Competitive Cities: From Brown to Green Shahid Yusuf World Bank Institute World Bank, Washington, D.C. August 21, 2009 Presented at the UNESCO Future Forum: “Moving Towards a Green Economy and Green Jobs” Why Competitiveness Determines Sustainability • Cities need to attract industry and services in order to generate growth and employment. • Competitive economic base determines elasticity of fiscal revenue and access to financing from capital markets. • Competitiveness helps ensure that a city’s imports of goods and services are balanced by exports. • Both Brown and Green cities must be competitive. What Makes Cities Competitive? • • • • • Low input costs Factor productivity Business culture and business climate Industrial composition Innovativeness How Is Competitiveness Realized? • Size of city and industrial diversity affects scale, agglomeration and urbanization economies. • Mix of industries and services affects productivity growth, R&D intensity and patenting. • Supply and quality of technical, vocational and scientific skills determines industrial diversification, technological upgrading, labor productivity and innovation. • Municipal leadership, private-public partnerships and effective use of the internet/ICT improves the business climate by reducing transaction costs. • Quality and technical excellence of infrastructure cuts costs and contributes to productivity. Industries With The Highest Levels of R&D an ce co m pu g ac tro tin ic n ni c un nt if co ie ut io eq tru m po ne n ts ne s ts en t m en ui pm s try em is m ac hi co g In s eq ch in e ic ts uc t t m en ro d m ed c d rts uc ts pa pm en ui p eq ui ni an to Pr od au al P d in g or ga tri b Sc an s d tic an M et s d ru g El ec d ry ce iv tri al di s nd an al a tin on d us D to Pl as te re br ica In d an d hi ne an io n is Fa le v n te er lm ac ub b ria sio d du st m is ns o in Pr of es si tra O ffi tri ca l El ec ad i er al R G en R Au Industries Generating The Most Patents 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 What Are the Characteristics of Competitive Cities? • Location • Size • Concentration of manufacturing activities • Presence of high quality urban innovation system • Good logistics, public services and ICT infrastructure • Adequate social and recreational amenities However, Brown industrial cities: • Are energy and water intensive, and sprawling • Are greatly dependent upon auto-mobility • House industries that release large quantities of GHG and other pollutants Sectoral GHG Intensity What Are the Attributes of a Green City? • Low energy intensity to lessen GHGs achieved through spatial compactness, limited dependence on autos, and composition of productive activities. • Low water and resource intensity with the help of lean technologies and emphasis on recycling and reuse. • Reliance on renewable materials and energy sources. • Focus on knowledge intensive, relatively weightless activities producing high value exportable goods and services. • Abundance of social and recreational amenities which can raise quality of life, but contribute little directly to urban GDP. How Can Competitive Brown Industrial Cities Become Green? • Main Challenges: – Renewing and greening stock of infrastructure (including energy) and housing. – Transforming physical shape of city to make it compact and more vertical, polycentric, mainly reliant on public transport and with amenities (e.g. green spaces) which sustain livability as densification increases. – Changing industrial composition to favor activities with lesser resource and GHG footprints, while not sacrificing value added and competitiveness. How Can Competitive Brown Industrial Cities Become Green? • Main Challenges: – Redesigning, cost effectively, products, processes, supply chains and infrastructures so as to cut energy, water and material inputs and facilitate recycling and reuse. – Switching significantly from fossil to renewable energy sources. – Creating a smart, wired urban society with a rich culture of innovation to spur economic performance. What Will It Take? • A change in mindsets, and visionary leadership combined with focused grassroots initiatives. • Huge upfront investments which partially erase and reshape urban-industrial legacies and point cities in new directions. • Raising relative prices of energy (carbon), land and water to induce conservation. • Standards (e.g. ISO 14000) for ‘green compatible’ processes plus enforceable certification procedures; IP protection and technology standards to promote innovation. What Will It Take? • Labeling of carbon content, type of energy used (renewable or not) and use of bio based/recycled material. • Data gathering plus appropriate ‘ecometrics’ for tracking the progress with greening the urban economy. • A redirection and substantial increase in innovation, plus some breakthroughs in energy, materials and water technologies. • Political resolve, willingness to take risks, mobilize financing and commit to long term and complex projects. Green Pathways Source: Chris Yingchun Yuan, LMAS Presentation, 2009 Laboratory for Manufacturing and Sustainability © 2009 Are There Success Stories To Light The Way Forward? • Numerous examples associated with urban transport greening, urban recreational amenities (e.g. in Curitiba, Toronto, Zurich, Freiburg and Fukuoka; and by companies such as Intel, Dell, UPS and Starbucks) and redesign of products and processes which have diminished GHG emissions. • No examples as yet of urban-industrial transformations on the scale required and on the time scale that is desirable. • Sustaining economic momentum of a major city while making it a “Green eco-city” remains to be achieved. • Viability of custom-built eco-cities not yet established (e.g. Dongtan, Tianjin Eco-City, Huangbaiyu, and Masdar in Abu Dhabi. Thank You