AS Economics PowerPoint Briefings Introduction to Macroeconomics AS Economics What is macroeconomics? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics What is macroeconomics? • Macroeconomics considers the performance of the economy as a whole. • We try to understand changes in – The rate of economic growth – The rate of inflation – Unemployment – Our trade performance with other countries • Macroeconomics also includes an evaluation of the relative success or failure of government economic policies Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics So what is ‘the economy’? Vital knowledge • The economy is made up of four sectors sometimes called economic agents: • Households who receive payments (income) for their services (eg labour and land) and use this money to buy the output of firms (ie consumption or household spending). • Firms who use land labour and capital to produce goods and services for which they pay wages rent etc (income) and receive payment (expenditure) • Government (also known as the public or state sector) and • International eg consumers buying overseas products (M) and Foreigners buying UK products (X) Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics You will learn all about this ! Key Concepts • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The monetary value of all goods and services produced within the UK in a given time period • Real GDP – The volume of goods and services produced within the UK (i.e. GDP adjusted for changes in the price level) • Economic Growth – The percentage rate of increase of real GDP • Inflation – The annual percentage rate of change of the general price level Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Difference between micro & macro • Microeconomics • Recession in the tourist industry due to the global downturn • A government subsidy to steel producers • A recession in the textiles industry • Increased spending on the National Health Service Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Microeconomics Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Difference between micro & macro • Macroeconomics • Strong economic growth arising from high levels of consumer spending • A fall in exports because of a recession in leading European markets • Higher interest rates to curb inflationary pressure Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics The ever changing economy Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Manufacturing industry in the UK • Manufacturing industry in the UK has been in long term decline – It now contributes less than 18% of national output – It employs just over 3.3 million people (over 7 million in 1979) – We have a very large trade deficit with other countries in manufactured products • The service sector is now the dominant sector of the UK economy Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Can you spot the recessions? Index of Production October shows 8.4% annual fall Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Manufacturing What are the main manufacturing industries in the economy? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Objectives of economic policy • What are the government’s main economic objectives? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics The main objectives of government economic policy Vital knowledge • The key elements of the Government's strategy are: 1. Delivering macroeconomic stability (a very broad macroeconomic aim) 2. Meeting the productivity challenge (an important supply-side target) 3. Increasing employment opportunity for all (a labour market objective) 4. Ensuring fairness for families and communities (commitment to equity) 5. Protecting the environment (green economics has a macroeconomic dimension) Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Macro stability… • What are the government’s main economic objectives? • Low inflation • Steady and sustained growth • High levels of employment • Improvements in living standards Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics AS Economics PowerPoint Briefings So now you are going to look at some current economic data Meeting the Inflation Target What trends can you see? Are there any falls in Inflation? When? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Can you identify the 4 stages of the economic cycle??? Achieving sustained growth BOOM RECESSION RECOVERY SLUMP Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Maintaining low unemployment? What’s the relationship between GDP and unemployment Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Maintaining low unemployment? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics How’s consumer confidence? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Standard of Living. This diagram uses INDEX numbers …. But Other what are than ‘standards ‘money’of how living’? else can you judge quality of life? Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Unit 2 key theory – we will look at You will learn all about this ! • Macro stability can be measured by the volatility of key indicators: Tutor2u & Mrs G • 1. Consumer price inflation (annual % change in prices) 2. Real GDP growth over one or more business cycles 3. Changes in measured unemployment / employment 4. Fluctuations in the current account of the balance of payments 5. Changes in government finances (i.e. the size of the fiscal deficit or surplus) 6. Volatility of short term policy interest rates and long term interest rates such as the yield on government bonds 7. Stability of the exchange rate in currency markets AS Economics Your task • To find out the current economic figures for – GDP – Inflation – Employment/unemployment – BoP – Values of sterling against euro & $ – Look up these figures for Germany, Italy, Japan, Eurozone, USA and UK. Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Current Economic Data GDP Inflation Unemployment Balance of Payments UK USA Japan Germany Italy Eurozone Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics How to research the data • Go to www.economist.com • Select Economic data • Select the economy required • Go to the data file • Read info provided… Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Your written task… 1. Compare the recent economic performance of of the UK with one other country. 2. WHAT other data/information would you need to know to decide whether the UK economy has better performance than the others? Identify at least 5 factors. Tutor2u & Mrs G AS Economics Homework • News article – research an article from a reputable source: • Article must be on one of the following topics… • BBC • UK employment / unemployment • Financial Times • Guardian • Independent • UK inflation • UK interest rates • UK economic growth • The Times • The Economist Tutor2u & Mrs G • Analyse the key issues raised in the article.. AS Economics What makes a stable economy? Tutor2u & Mrs G • Macro stability can be measured by the volatility of key indicators: • 1. Consumer price inflation (annual % change in prices) 2. Real GDP growth over one or more business cycles 3. Changes in measured unemployment / employment 4. Fluctuations in the current account of the balance of payments 5. Changes in government finances (i.e. the size of the fiscal deficit or surplus) 6. Volatility of short term policy interest rates and long term interest rates such as the yield on government bonds 7. Stability of the exchange rate in currency markets • A stable economy provides a framework for an improved supply-side performance i.e. • • Stable low inflation encourages higher investment which is a determinant of improved productivity and non-price competitiveness • Control of inflation helps to main price competitiveness for exporters and domestic businesses facing competition from imports • Stability breeds higher levels of consumer and business confidence – sentiment drives spending in the circular flow • The maintenance of steady growth and price stability helps to keep short term and long term interest rates low, important in reducing the debt-servicing costs of people with mortgages and businesses with loans to repay • A stable real economy helps to anchor stable expectations and this can act as an incentive for an economy to attract inflows of foreign direct investment AS Economics