Saint Petersburg State University Role of Twitter in formation of political agenda in various socio-political contexts: the cases of discussions on migrants in Russia and Germany Svetlana Bodrunova, PhD, Anna Litvinenko, PhD School of Journalism and Mass Communications St. Petersburg State University Saint Petersburg State University Theoretical premises 1. Hybridization of media systems (Chadwick 2011, 2013): - Tech-based growth of the web segment of media systems brings in new societal and political cleavages - Difference in hybridization patterns depends most upon national socio-political conditions (Adam&Pfetsch 2011) 2. Media-constructed public sphere: - Media as ‘junctions’ of the public sphere => mediatization? 3. Network(ed) communication theory: - Formation of closed-up communicative milieus (‘echo chambers’) - The idea of ‘spill-overs’ (online to offline, traditional/new media) Saint Petersburg State University Twitter as a communicative milieu: optimism vs. pessimism • Twitter as the milieu of platform-limited horizontal communication with a big news alerts potential (Mancini&Mazzoni 2013, Vaccari et al. 2013) • Twitter as a de-politicized space for gaming, dating, and chats (Fuchs 2014: Chapter 8) • Can Twitter be a ‘crossroads of opinion’ in the online public sphere? Saint Petersburg State University Public Sphere in Russia and in Germany Russia in 21st century is a fundamentally fragmented society (Zubarevich 2011, 2013): «Four Russias» Bodrunova, Litvinenko 2013: formation of the public countersphere in Russia of 2008-2012 Germany, in these terms, has developed a more solid society, with the differences between Eastern and Western part gradually diminishing in many terms; the only striking similarity is huge urban migrant population from the southern direction still under-represented in the media content. Germany has a large number of citizens with migrant background and big diasporas, e.g. Turkish- and Russian-speaking communities which, in terms of media use, often differ from national average indicators (Sauer 2010) Saint Petersburg State University Project «Political agendas in hybrid media systems» • Research team: Svetlana Bodrunova, Dmitry Gavra, Anna Litvinenko, Alena Savizkaya, Anna Smolyarova, Alexandr Yakunin • Research upon structural and framing features of Twitter discussions in Russia and Germany • Roles of media accounts in discussions upon polarizing issues - overall mediatization linkages between media and non-media accounts (the ‘crossroads’ issue) • A case of social polarization: anti-migrant bashings in Biryulyovo district of Moscow in October 2013 • A ‘calm’ period in Russia and in Germany (March 2014) Saint Petersburg State University Mixed methodology 1. 2. 3. 4. Web crawling based on pre-selected hashtags Frame analysis based on coding of tweets Descriptive statistics Discourse analysis (including semantic groups of lexicon and their interpretation) Saint Petersburg State University Time-series graphs Saint Petersburg State University STRUCTURE OF THE DISCUSSION: results of web crawling Saint Petersburg State University Web graph: Russia, Biryulyovo - political actors - media - ordinary users - fake/spam Webgraph: Germany - Political actors - Media - Ordinary users - NGOs Webgraph: Russia - Political actors - Media - Ordinary users - Nationalist users - Official accounts - NGOs - Spin-doctoring(!) Saint Petersburg State University FEATURES OF THE DISCOURSE 15% of tweeets put blame on someone Just ONE tweet of 673 tells ‘it is the whole society to be blamed’ 10% contain nationalist speech 11% contain hate speech Saint Petersburg State University Features of the discourse: discussion topics Discussion topics 350 300 287 250 228 200 Number of tweets 150 118 100 50 27 16 0 Non-violent topics Bashings and police actions Killings Other Nondefinable Saint Petersburg State University Features of the discourse: Tweeters’ mood Tweeters' mood 600 516 500 400 300 200 114 100 19 14 12 Affective positive Constructive motivational 0 Destructive motivational Affective negative Neutral/Ambivalent Saint Petersburg State University Features of the discourse: Tweeters’ mood Emotional vs. rational discourse 350 291 300 250 200 197 Ntweets 150 113 100 37 50 17 0 Details / witness Facts Emotional Rational Call for action Saint Petersburg State University Polarization of the public sphere on Twitter Public sphere in Twitter: from anti- to pro-establishment users 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 16 31 46 61 76 91 106 121 136 151 166 181 196 211 226 241 256 271 286 301 316 331 346 361 376 391 406 421 436 451 466 481 496 511 526 541 556 571 586 601 616 631 646 661 676 0 Saint Petersburg State University Features of the discourse: origins of discussants Origins of discussants: Migrants vs. Russians 450 -2 Non-institutional migrants 413 400 350 -1 Migrant/diaspora actors or media 300 250 244 200 150 0 Citizens or actors from third contries 1 Russian actors or media 100 2 Russian citizens 50 0 9 0 -2 -1 0 0 1 2 Saint Petersburg State University Features of the discourse: who is to be blamed? Who is to be blamed? 25 23 23 20 20 20 15 10 6 6 Ntweets 5 1 2 1 0 15% = 100 tweets Saint Petersburg State University Semantic analysis: First 600 stems from the word dataset #бирюлево 16 66 5 8 14 86 21 28 42 28 42 34 35 37 41 Events Politics&politicians Judgment lexics Migrants Media City Police and their activity Protests and pogromes Killing Egor Scherbakov People and their features Russian and the nation The warehouse External territories Economics Other isuues Positive lexics Saint Petersburg State University MEDIATIZATION OF THE DISCUSSION Saint Petersburg State University Mediatization of the discussion: media dominate in N of tweets Communicative status of the discussants’ tweets 350 290 300 250 194 200 163 0 non-witness, 1 witness, 2 media, 3 experts 150 100 50 30 0 0 1 2 3 Saint Petersburg State University Some results in hashtagging - mediatization really high: «breaking news», «news», «novosti», «they say that…», «RIA», «media», «Lifenews», «RT» - national-level political actors: Putin, ‘United Russia’ party, Navalny, Public Chamber - scarce aspect thinking: introduction of visas, football - other issues: LGBT; corruption. Saint Petersburg State University ‘Discussion triggers’ • mediatization: both real and fake! • media of various Russian public spheres • nationalists outperform migrants • the role of Public Chamber Saint Petersburg State University Positions of media in the discussion Saint Petersburg State University Tweeted media content vs. involved media content 70% 64% 60% 50% 42% 40% 37% Tweeted Referenced 31% 30% 20% 19% 10% 0 0% Hybrid N = 677 tweets Online-only Web 2.0 5% 1% Twitter only Saint Petersburg State University Conclusion Twitter in Russia shows a bigger potential for becoming a real "crossroads of opinions", in contrast to the Russian Facebook where anti-governmental discourse predominates, as well as to Vkontakte where political debate is much less noticeable and is encapsulated in closed-up communities. BUT underrepresentation of migrant community in Twitter obstacles this. In Russian Twitter, hybrid pro-elite media dominate represented by lifenews_ru, izvestia_ru, pravda.ru, RT_russia, onlinekpru etc., although the anti-mainstreem media are also among influencers (GraniTweet, SvobodaRadio, MaloverjanBBC, ru_rbc). In general, the case study supported hypothesis about the different role of Twitter in different socio-political contexts. Thank you for your attention!