GIC Impacts on the Transmission Grid Thomas J. Overbye University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign overbye@illinois.edu WECC Technical Studies Subcommittee May 7, 2015 2 Geomagnetic Disturbances (GMDs) • • • GMDs have the potential to severely disrupt operations of the electric grid by inducing quasi-dc geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) in the high voltage grid Until recently power engineers had few tools to help them assess the impact of GMDs on their system GMD assessment tools are now moving into the realm of power system planning and operations engineers – Calculations are now implemented in power flow and transient • – stability GIC impact is certainly still an area of research, but tools are here Presentation presents recent results, but research is certainly ongoing in this area; particular need for model validation 3 GMD Overview • Solar corona mass ejections (CMEs) can cause changes in the earth’s magnetic field (i.e., dB/dt). These changes in turn produce a non-uniform electric field at the surface – Changes in the magnetic flux are usually expressed in nT/minute; – – – from a 60 Hz perspective they produce an almost dc electric field 1989 North America storm produced a change of 500 nT/minute, while a stronger storms, such as the ones in 1859 and 1921, could produce more than 5000 nT/minute variation Storm “footprint” can be continental in scale, for example covering much of the U.S. For reference, Earth’s magnetic field is normally between 25,000 and 65,000 nT, with higher values near the poles Image source: J. Kappenman, “A Perfect Storm of Planetary Proportions,” IEEE Spectrum, Feb 2012, page 29 4 July 2012 GMD Near Miss • • • According to a July 2014 NASA press release, in July of 2012 there was a solar CME that barely missed the earth If it had hit the earth it would likely have caused the largest GMD that we have seen in the last 150 years There is still lots of uncertainly about how large a storm is reasonable to consider in electric utility planning Image Source: science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2014/23jul_superstorm/ 5 Solar Cycles • • Sunspots follow an 11 year cycle, and have been observed for hundreds of years We're in solar cycle 24 (first numbered cycle was in 1755); minimum was in 2009, maximum in 2014/2015 But Large CMEs Are Not Well Correlated with Sunspot Maximums The large 1921 storm occurred four years after the 1917 maximum Slide from Chris Balch, "Space Weather and Solar Cycle 24", National Geomagnetic Disturbance Workshop, INL, April 2015 6 Impact of a Large GMD From an Operations Perspective • • • • • • • There would be a day or so warning but without specifics on the actual magnitude or location It could strike quickly (they move at millions of miles per hour) with rises times of less than a minute, rapidly covering a good chunk of the continent – Early warning satellites at Lagrange points, 1 million miles out Reactive power loadings on hundreds of transformers could sky rocket, causing heating issues and potential large-scale voltage collapses Power system software like state estimation could fail Control room personnel would be overwhelmed The storm could last for days with varying intensity Waiting until it occurs to prepare might not be a good idea 7 8 Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) The impact of the GMD induced quasi-dc electric field is modeled as dc voltages superimposed on the transmission lines. This causes dc currents, called geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) The GIC calculation then just involves solving a linear dc circuit problem. 9 GMD Assessment Software Evolution • • Initial packages were stand alone, not integrated into commercial power flow or transient stability In 2011-2012 GMD assessment integrated into power flow • More recently sensitivity analysis has been included – Uniform electric field assumption initially common – Sensitivity of GICs to input electric field assumptions (nearby lines – • • provide vast majority of a transformers GICs) Sensitivity of GICs to assumed substation grounding resistance (results indicate the values can be quite sensitive!) Much more detailed non-uniform electric fields are now being modeled Calculations are now also integrated into transient stability for possible dynamic considerations and EMP 10 GMD Enhanced Power Analysis Software • • By integrating GIC calculations directly within power analysis software (like power flow) power engineers can readily see the impact of GICs on their systems, and consider mitigation options GIC calculations use many of the existing model parameters such as line resistance. But some nonstandard values are also needed; power engineers would be in the best position to provide these values, but all can be estimated when actual values are not available – Substation grounding resistance – transformer grounding configuration, transformer coil resistance, whether auto-transformer, whether three-winding transformer, generator step-up transformer parameters 11 GIC G-Matrix • With knowledge of the pertinent transmission system parameters and the GMD-induced line voltages, the dc bus voltages and GIC flows can be calculated by solving a linear equation I =GV – The G matrix is similar to the Ybus except 1) it is augmented to – • • include substation neutrals, and 2) it is just conductances The current vector contains the Norton injections associated with the GMD-induced line voltages Factoring the sparse G matrix and doing the forward/backward substitution takes about 1 second for the 62,600 bus Eastern Interconnect Model Linear system so superposition holds (e.g., doubling the input doubles the output) 12 Transformer Impacts of GICs • • The dc GICs are superimposed upon the ac currents. In transformers this can push the flux into saturation for part of the ac cycle This can cause large harmonics; in the positive sequence (e.g., power flow and transient stability) these harmonics can be represented by increased reactive power losses on the transformer Mapping Transformer GICs to Transformer Reactive Power Losses • • • • 13 Transformer specific, and can vary widely depending upon the core type – Single phase, shell, 3-legged, 5-legged – Most significant with single phase designs Ideally information supplied by the transformer owner – Currently support default values, a user specified linear mapping, or a piecewise linear mapping For large system studies default data is used when nothing else is available. Scaling value changes with core type Still debate in the industry with respect to the magnitude of damage GICs would cause in transformers (from slight aging to permanently destroyed) 14 Four Bus Example IGIC ,3Phase 150 volts 93.75 amps or 31.25 amps/phase 1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 Substation A with R=0.2 ohm Neutral = -18.7 Volts Neutral = 18.7 Volts Bus 3 DC = 18.7 Volts 1.001 pu Bus 1 DC = 28.1 Volts 0.999 pu Substation B with R=0.2 ohm Bus 2 765 kV Line DC =-28.1 Volts 0.997 pu Bus 4 DC =-18.7 Volts 1.000 pu 3 ohms Per Phase slack GIC/Phase = 31.2 Amps High Side = 0.3 ohms/ Phase GIC Input = -150.0 Volts High Side of 0.3 ohms/ Phase GIC Losses = 52.6 Mvar GIC Losses = 52.5 Mvar The line and transformer resistance and current values are per phase so the total current is three times this value. Substation grounding values are total resistance. Brown arrows show GIC flow. Specifying the Transformer Loss Values in Per Unit • • Previously K was specified as Mvars/amps 𝑄loss = 𝑉pu𝐾𝐼GIC – – 𝐾 is the “loss factor”, depends on core type, phases, etc. 𝑄loss is in Mvars, 𝐼GIC is in Amps Since Qloss varies with V, this required an assumed nominal voltage (usually 500 kV) with the actual nominal voltage of each transformer used to scale the 𝐾 values 𝑉base,highkv 𝑄loss = 𝑉pu 𝐾 𝐼GIC 500 – Disadvantages: Arbitrary assumed kV needed, 𝐾 in Mvars/Amp cannot well model default piece-wise linear relationships that may exist for the three-leg transformers 15 Specifying Transformer Losses Scalars in Per Unit • Current Approach: Representing the 𝐾 values in per unit – Using a base derived using the transformer’s high side voltage – Current base using the peak value Peak (or "crest") value I base,highkv , peak • 16 Sbase 1000 2 Vbase,highkv 3 used since this is a dc current base Convert to per unit by dividing Qloss by Sbase,3ph Qloss Sbase V pu K old Vbase,highkv 1000 I GIC 2 500 Vbase ,highkv I base,highkv , peak 3 K values are independent of the assumed MVA base 1000 2 K old Qloss , pu V pu ( ) I eff,pu V pu 1.633 K old I eff,pu V pu K new I eff,pu 500 3 K new 1.633K old Specifying Transformer Losses Scalars in Per Unit • Example: 345/138 kV transformer with IGIC = 100 amps and K = 1.5; use Sbase of 100 MVA 100 1000 2 100 236.7 A I pu 0.422 236.7 345 3 The use of 0.422 1.5 0.634 Qloss 63.4 Mvar I base,highkv , peak Qloss , pu this per unit approach should be standardized! PowerWorld cases all use the new approach now 17 18 Single Phase Transformer K Comparison Graph provided by University of Tennessee 19 Four Bus Example: Input Data • • Next several slides demonstrate how GICs and their impacts can be calculated in an integrated fashion Earlier four bus system with an assumed electric field – Substation coordinates need to be given to get line length – In example Sub A is at 40N, 87W, Sub B is at 40N, 89W – Line length is 170.8 km (106.2 mile) 20 Four-Bus Inputs: Substations • Key inputs are the grounding resistance and geo-location (latitude and longitude) Latitude and longitude Grounding resistance = 0.2 21 Grounding Resistance • • • Substation grounding resistance is the resistance in ohms between the substation neutral and earth ground (zeropotential reference) An actual “fall of potential” test is the best way to determine this resistance Defaults are provided based on number of buses and highest nominal kV, but research has shown this to be a poor substitute for actual measurements – Typical values range from 0.1 to 2.0 – Substations with more buses and higher nominal kV are assumed to have lower grounding resistance 22 Four-Bus Inputs: Transformers • Key inputs – Coil resistance (DC ohms) – Grounding configuration – Autotransformer? (Yes/No) – Core Type Most essential parameters; these determine the basic topology of the GIC network 23 Four-Bus Inputs: Transformers • • • • Manually Enter Coil Resistance – “Yes, User Set”: user enters “High Side Ohms per Phase” – and “Medium Side Ohms per Phase” “No, Auto Default”: values estimated XF Config High and XF Config Med: most common options are “Gwye” and “Delta” Is Autotransformer: “Yes”, “No”, or “Unknown” Core Type 24 Transformer Assumptions • • • It is always best to provide known quantities, especially for configuration and autotransformer fields If any transformer information is unknown, assumed values need to be used Coil Resistance – ohms per phase estimate based on positive-sequence AC – per-unit series resistance and transformer impedance base Assumed split between each winding: 𝑅𝑝𝑢 𝑅𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑒,𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑆𝑖𝑑𝑒 = 𝑅𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑆𝑖𝑑𝑒 + 𝑎𝑡2 𝑅𝐿𝑜𝑤𝑆𝑖𝑑𝑒 𝑅𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑆𝑖𝑑𝑒 = 𝑎𝑡2 𝑅𝐿𝑜𝑤𝑆𝑖𝑑𝑒 25 Transformer Assumptions: Autotransformers • Units are assumed to be autotransformers if all of the following criteria are met – unit is not a phase-shifting transformer – high side and low side are at different nominal voltages – high side nominal voltage is at least 100 kV – turns ratio is less than or equal to 4 Transformer Assumptions: Mapping GICs to Reactive Power Losses • • As mentioned earlier the relationship between GICs and reactive power losses now uses the per unit approach, and allows for linear or piecewise linear models Impact in the power flow and transient stability is modeled as a reactive current source, so Mvars vary linearly with voltage 26 27 Other Considerations • • • Specifying a minimum voltage level to include in the analysis allows electric fields to be ignored on transmission lines below a cutoff kV GIC losses can be ignored on an area basis GIC input voltages can be ignored on an area basis 28 Scaled Electric Field Modeling • • • GICs are dependent upon the assumed electric field NERC approach is to use a scaled uniform direction electric field Field/voltage input is – Electric-Field Magnitude (V/mile or V/km) – Storm Direction (0 to 360 degrees) All directions are a linear combination of the north and east directions α and β scaling factors (covered later) 29 Four Bus Case – Eastward Field • • Below values show results with uniform 0.88 V/km eastward field With uniform field, voltage is path independent 0.88 V/km 170.8 km 150 V I base,highkv , peak (100 MVA Base) QLoss ,pu,GIC 100 1000 2 106.7 A 765 3 31.2 1.80 0.526 52.6 Mvar 106.7 Substation A with R=0.2 ohm Neutral = -18.7 Volts Neutral = 18.7 Volts Bus 3 DC = 18.7 Volts 1.001 pu Bus 1 DC = 28.1 Volts 0.999 pu Substation B with R=0.2 ohm Bus 2 765 kV Line DC =-28.1 Volts 0.997 pu Bus 4 DC =-18.7 Volts 1.000 pu 3 ohms Per Phase slack GIC/Phase = 31.2 Amps High Side = 0.3 ohms/ Phase GIC Input = -150.0 Volts High Side of 0.3 ohms/ Phase GIC Losses = 52.6 Mvar GIC Losses = 52.5 Mvar Values would be zero for a N-S field for this case 30 42 Example System 2 5 M var 28 2 1 .0 M var Substation 3 Substation 2 Total GIC Losses 0.0 Mvar 18 6 0 0 MW -2 M var 17 15 16 A A M VA 6 0 0 MW -2 M var A 9 0 0 MW 2 1 M var A Amps A 33 Amps M VA A 89% M VA A 22 A 92% M VA MVA 36 A 91% M VA 30 MVA Amps A 4 0 0 MW 1 5 0 M var A Amps 29 Amps A A Amps A Substation 5 A Amps 20 Amps 5 Amps A A A Amps M VA Amps 24 32 A A Amps A A A A Amps 25 Amps M VA 34 Amps Amps 1 0 0 M var 4 0 0 MW A M VA A 21 M VA 40 Amps A Am p s Amps Amps A A Amps Amps A Amps 12 Amps A Substation 8 A 3 A M VA 4 1 7 8 .1 M var 42 A A M VA M VA 13 7 5 M var 7 5 MW A A A M VA A M VA M VA A M VA Amps A MVA A Amps 37 A 31 41 M VA Substation 4 slack 11 A Amps A 5 3 .2 7 M var 1 0 0 MW 5 0 M var 3 0 0 MW 1 2 5 M var A Amps Amps A Amps A 2 39 A Amps Amps A M VA A 35 A A Amps 5 0 MW 2 5 M var Amps 38 A 5 0 MW 7 5 M var A A Amps Amps A 23 A M VA 93% 3 0 0 MW 7 5 M var 1 4 0 0 MW 5 0 0 M var A A 7 3 1 MW 7 9 M var 8 M VA A M VA Amps 9 0 0 MW 2 1 M var 7 Amps A Amps A M VA A A 19 Substation 6 6 1 2 0 0 MW 3 0 0 M var A M VA 14 A 26 Amps M VA 2 1 .1 M var A M VA 5 0 MW 2 0 M var Substation 1 A M VA 27 A A Amps M VA 3 0 0 MW 2 5 0 M var 5 0 0 MW -1 3 M var 5 0 0 MW -1 3 M var 31 42 Bus Example System: 5 V/km Eastward 2 5 M var 28 1 8 .3 M var Substation 3 Substation 2 Total GIC Losses 1516.8 Mvar 18 6 0 0 MW 3 2 7 M var 17 15 16 A A M VA 6 0 0 MW 3 2 7 M var A 9 0 0 MW 4 0 0 M var A Amps A 33 Amps M VA A 88% M VA A 22 A 97% M VA MVA 36 A 92% M VA A 102% Amps 4 0 0 MW 1 5 0 M var A Amps 29 Amps A A Amps A Substation 5 A Amps 20 Amps 5 Amps A A A Amps M VA Amps 32 A A Amps A A A A Amps 25 Amps M VA 34 Amps Amps 1 0 0 M var 4 0 0 MW A M VA A 21 M VA 40 Amps A Am p s Amps Amps A A Amps Amps A Amps 12 Amps A Substation 8 A 3 A M VA 4 1 5 6 .2 M var 42 A A M VA M VA 13 7 5 M var 7 5 MW A A A M VA A M VA M VA A M VA Amps A MVA A Amps 37 A 31 41 M VA Substation 4 slack 11 A Amps A 4 3 .8 0 M var 1 0 0 MW 5 0 M var 3 0 0 MW 1 2 5 M var A Amps Amps A Amps A 2 39 A Amps Amps A M VA A 35 A A Amps 5 0 MW 2 5 M var Amps 38 A 5 0 MW 7 5 M var A A Amps Amps A 23 A 30 A 24 1 4 0 0 MW 5 0 0 M var A M VA MVA 3 0 0 MW 7 5 M var 7 4 2 MW 3 2 7 M var 8 M VA A M VA Amps 9 0 0 MW 4 0 0 M var 7 Amps A Amps A M VA A A 19 Substation 6 6 1 2 0 0 MW 3 0 0 M var A M VA 14 A 26 Amps M VA 1 6 .4 M var A M VA 5 0 MW 2 0 M var Substation 1 A M VA 27 A A Amps M VA 3 0 0 MW 2 5 0 M var 5 0 0 MW 1 8 7 M var 5 0 0 MW 1 8 7 M var 32 42 Bus Example System: 5 V/km Northward 2 5 M var 28 1 9 .6 M var Substation 3 Substation 2 Total GIC Losses 936.9 Mvar 18 6 0 0 MW 1 8 0 M var 17 15 16 A A M VA 6 0 0 MW 1 8 0 M var A 9 0 0 MW 3 0 4 M var A Amps A 33 Amps M VA A 89% M VA A 22 A 94% M VA MVA 36 A 92% M VA 30 MVA Amps A 4 0 0 MW 1 5 0 M var A Amps 29 Amps A A Amps A Substation 5 A Amps 20 Amps 5 Amps A A A Amps M VA Amps 24 32 A A Amps A A A A Amps 25 Amps M VA 34 Amps Amps 1 0 0 M var 4 0 0 MW A M VA A 21 M VA 40 Amps A Am p s Amps Amps A A Amps Amps A Amps 12 Amps A Substation 8 A 3 A M VA 4 1 6 7 .9 M var 42 A A M VA M VA 13 7 5 M var 7 5 MW A A A M VA A M VA M VA A M VA Amps A MVA A Amps 37 A 31 41 M VA Substation 4 slack 11 A Amps A 4 6 .7 7 M var 1 0 0 MW 5 0 M var 3 0 0 MW 1 2 5 M var A Amps Amps A Amps A 2 39 A Amps Amps A M VA A 35 A A Amps 5 0 MW 2 5 M var Amps 38 A 5 0 MW 7 5 M var A A Amps Amps A 23 A M VA 97% 3 0 0 MW 7 5 M var 1 4 0 0 MW 5 0 0 M var A A 7 3 2 MW 1 2 7 M var 8 M VA A M VA Amps 9 0 0 MW 3 0 4 M var 7 Amps A Amps A M VA A A 19 Substation 6 6 1 2 0 0 MW 3 0 0 M var A M VA 14 A 26 Amps M VA 1 8 .9 M var A M VA 5 0 MW 2 0 M var Substation 1 A M VA 27 A A Amps M VA 3 0 0 MW 2 5 0 M var 5 0 0 MW 3 2 M var 5 0 0 MW 3 2 M var 33 WECC GICs: Uniform 5 V/km Eastward Transmission Atlas ® 34 WECC GICs: Uniform 5 V/km Northward Transmission Atlas ® 35 Power Flow Convergence • • Integrated GIC modeling can certainly impact power flow convergence since the GIC induced reactive power losses simultaneously adds (potentially) lots of reactive power Several techniques can help prevent divergence – Just calculating the GICs without solving the power flow – Not calculating GMD induced voltages for equivalent lines – Gradually increasing the assumed electric fields to avoid – – – simultaneously adding too much reactive power at one time Only calculating the GIC transformer reactive power losses for specified areas; reactive power doesn’t tend to travel far Freezing the transformer taps and switched shunts in certain problematic areas Solving in transient stability for a gradually increasing GMD 36 Sensitivity Considerations • • Data is needed at least for the study footprint and near neighbors Transmission line resistance values are readily obtained from the power flow cases • • DC resistance is quite close to ac values; temperature dependence (0.4% per degree C) plays a role Estimates of transformer winding resistance can be obtained from the power flow cases – Usually whether they are auto-transformers can be determined – Whether device is a three winding transformer can usually be • guessed (if not explicitly modeled) Recent research has indicated that the GICs can be quite sensitive to the assumed grounding resistance G Matrix Substation Grounding Considerations • • The GIC sensitivity to the substation resistance can be determined by using a Thevenin equivalent, where the resistance is the driving point value – Can be computed quickly using sparse vector methods Sensitivity at substation i is defined as Negative of this ratio is defined as • Normalized as Ri i : Ri RTH ,i 37 38 Grounding Sensitivity, 20 Bus System • Grounding sensitivities can be computed for a 20 bus system as Values about 0.5 indicate that the local substation resistance is the dominant parameter in determining the GICs 39 Grounding Sensitivity, EI System • The previous sensitivity approach was applied to the Eastern Interconnect – Since we didn't know the actual substation grounding resistance, • – these values needed to be estimated Subject to a uniform 1 V/km eastward electric field Table shows the resultant sensitivities for the ten substations with the highest GICs; again substation resistance often dominates 40 GIC Source Sensitivity Analysis • • • Sensitivities of the effective GICs for a transformer (or set of transformers) to the assumed transmission line GMD-induced electric fields can be calculated Sensitivities are derived by first writing the effective GIC for transformer r in matrix form where G is the GIC conductance matrix, ET are the input fields tangential to each line, B relates the voltages to the Norton current injections, and Cr relates the voltages to the effective current; V is the GIC voltage vector G, B, Cr are sparse, hence quick computation 41 GIC Sensitivity Analysis, cont. • • Sensitivities, telling which voltage inputs contribute to the current, are determined just by differentiating the previous equation Each entry k in ST,r tells how IEffective for transformer r would vary for a 1 V/km variation in the electric field tangential to the kth transmission line 42 Four Bus Example Transpose of ST vectors for the four bus system Transmission Lines Line 1 -- 2 Line 3 -- 4 Bus 1 GSU Bus 4 GSU Bus 2-3 Auto 35.02 5.87 5.87 40.25 -18.30 36.21 43 Twenty Bus Case Results T3, 18-17 Eastward T3, 18-17 Max T8, 20-5 Eastward T8, 20-5 Max Ieffective Line 2-3 Line 2-17 Line 15-4 Line 17-16 Line 4-5,1 Line 4-5,2 Line 5-6 Line 5-11 Line 6-11 Line 4-6 Line 15-6,1 Line 15-6,2 Line 11-12 Line 16-20 Line 17-20 31.55 5.82 -4.50 0.62 11.64 1.35 1.35 0.76 0.00 -0.05 2.46 1.72 1.72 0.40 0.01 8.27 48.09 5.84 5.84 0.65 12.01 1.65 1.65 0.81 0.00 0.25 2.47 1.81 1.81 0.40 0.46 12.45 13.07 -2.53 1.95 8.07 -0.79 -11.38 -11.38 21.57 0.00 -0.25 9.19 0.63 0.63 1.98 -0.06 -4.55 92.1 2.53 2.54 8.55 0.82 13.95 13.95 23.16 0.00 1.23 9.21 0.66 0.66 1.98 6.03 6.86 44 Large Case Results In the Eastern Interconnect example, usually very few lines contribute the GICs for each transformer Conclusion is detailed electric field values are only needed for the contributing lines For AEP’s 60 transformers with the largest effective currents about 50% of the GICs are contributed by just 10 lines (out of 57,000 in the case); 76% by just 20 lines; 99% by 1% of the lines 45 Benchmark GMD Scenario • • • Derived from the March 1989 event Peak electric field is 8 V/km for a reference location (60 deg. N, resistive Earth) Electric field for other regions scaled by two factors – Epeak = 8 * α * β V/km – “1 in a 100 year” event – Details can be found at • http://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Project201303GeomagneticDist urbanceMitigation/Benchmark_GMD_Event_June12_clean.pdf GIC Calculations with Geomagnetic Latitude Scaling (α) Transmission Atlas ® 46 Magnetic latitude is about 10 degrees greater than geographic latitude in much of North America Magnetic latitudes are changing because the earth's magnetic poles are moving Earth Resistivity and Geomagnetic Latitude Scalars (α β) Transmission Atlas ® Earth Image Source: http://www.naturalhistorymag.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/large/media/2009/05/0309partner2_jpg_18912.jpg The earth resistivity layers are now modeled in power system software, allowing different scenarios to be considered 47 48 Quantifying Scaling Effect on GICs • PowerWorld directly handles transmission lines that span areas with different a and b values – Voltage is calculated by integrating the electric field along the • length of the transmission line With a uniform 8 V/km electric field the total WECC GIC losses (with default data) are about 40,000 Mvars – 9100 Mvar in Northwest, 4400 Mvar in Arizona, 4200 Mvar in • PGE, 2400 Mvar in Alberta With the ab scaled 8 V/km electric field the total WECC GIC losses are about 7,000 Mvars – 1500 Mvar in Northwest, 180 Mvar in Arizona, 450 Mvar in PGE, • 2100 Mvar in Alberta PowerWorld v19 will allow individual resistivity scalars (b) to be specified on a substation basis 49 Parametric Studies • GMD analyses of a large scale system – Focus on steady-state voltage stability – What happens if Emax exceeds 8 V/km? – Comprising of two parametric studies 1. Effects of including/excluding neighboring regions – At which value of Emax does the power flow lose convergence, due to increased reactive power losses? 2. Uncertainty of substation grounding resistance values – Scaling resistance values by a factor “γ” 50 Mitigation Strategies • • • • Tools can help engineers determine effective mitigation strategies GIC flows can be reduced both through operational strategies such as opening lines, and through longer term approaches such as installing blocking devices Redispatching the system can change transformer loadings, providing margins for GICs Algorithms are needed to provide power engineers with techniques that go beyond trial-and-error 51 Validation • • GIC modeling is still evolving; there is a need for much more validation work Currently there are just 22 magnetic field monitors in North America – Values are often not correlated on • • • short time scales (less than minutes) Need more transformer neutral GICs but to be useful these need to be associated with realtime system models Need accurate measurements V, MW, and Mvars on both sides of transformers with neutral GICs Useful data is only obtained during modest or larger GMDs High Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse (HEMP) • • • HEMPs produce three energetic waves that interact with power system components (E1, E2, E3) Geoelectric fields are induced via E3 (the focus of this research) Similar to solar storms (GMS), but with quicker rise-times and larger magnitudes HEMP E3 • The earth’s magnetic field is disturbed by 1) the fireball generated by the blast and 2) energized metallic debris • E3 is not a direct energy coupling like E1/E2 • E3 is a geoelectric field induced by the earth’s changing magnetic field • E3 is very similar to GMD except faster rise times and magnitudes • Leverage existing GMD research to establish the foundation of E3 modeling and simulation *Rise-times make HEMP E3 appropriate for transient stability timeframe, system dynamics are crucial! Simulated HEMP E3 Disturbance The highest E3 is not right over the blast; also, large EMPs can be caused by relatively small (e.g., North Korea type) weapons 20 E(t) (V/km) 15 10 5 0 -5 0 10 5/6/2015 10 1 Time (s) 10 2 [IEC] [FERC] 10 3 HEMP E3 20 bus GIC benchmark case (augmented to include ac parameters and dynamic models) Composite E3 Disturbance 40 35 30 E3(t) (V/km) 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 0 10 1 2 10 10 Time (s) First 60 seconds of IEC 61000-2-9 Visualization* Time varying voltage contours (such as this one) shed light on potential mitigation strategies for preventing grid collapse during HILF events *preliminary studies 3 10 56 HEMP Power Grid Impact Simulation 57 Data Issues • Getting the correct extra GIC (or EMP) related data into the power flow (or transient stability) packages will be key – Examples: Substation resistance, transformer K values, etc., will • • • be key Studies will require data for individual areas, along with data from neighboring areas Standardized, flexible data formats would be helpful – We'll be tracking a moving target for a few years, as needed fields continue to evolve Small, benchmark cases will help in making sure the different packages are giving the same results 58 Conclusions • GIC impact assessment has progressed to point at which it can be treated like other engineering problems with a cost/benefit assessment – There is lots of uncertainty, but we work in an industry with lots of • uncertainty! Getting started with GIC assessment can be relatively straightforward, consisting of doing GIC enhanced power flow studies – Can be used to determine mitigation strategies and locations for • monitoring equipment Integration into transient stability is straightforward, and can be leveraged for GMD and EMP studies 59 Thank You!