AP STATISTICS: Ms. Jetmore 2015-2016 Syllabus Chapter 10: Comparing Two Populations or Groups Day R Feb 11 Topic “Is Yawning Contagious?”Activity 10.1 The Sampling Distribution of a Difference between Two Proportions F Feb 12 10.1 Confidence Intervals for p1 p2 M Feb 15 NO School – President’s Day T Feb 16 10.1 Significance Tests for p1 p2 , Inference for p. 623; 15, 17, 21, 23 Experiments Read 627-633 W Feb 17 10.2 “Does Polyester Decay?” Activity, The Sampling Distribution of a Difference between Two Means p. 626; 29-32 p. 656; 35, 37, 57 R Feb 18 Review 10.1 – AP MC questions Quiz 10.1 (30 points) Read 633-638 F Feb 19 10.2 The Two-Sample t Statistic, Confidence Intervals for 1 2 p. 652; 39, 41, 43, 45 10.2 Significance Tests for 1 2 , Using Two-Sample p. 655; 51, 55, 59, 65, 67-70 M Feb 22 Assignment p. 621; 1, 3, 5 Read 608-611 p. 622; 7, 9, 11, 13 Read 611-619 Read 638-650 t Procedures Wisely T Feb 23 FRQuesday W Feb 24 Chapter 10 Review – Part I p. 661; 4-7 R Feb 25 Chapter 10 Review – Part II p. 661; 1-3, 8-10 F Feb 26 Chapter 10 Test (50 points) Last day for chapter 9 quiz retakes M Feb 29 MOCK EXAM (1/2 day field trip pm) Tutoring is available most mornings 7:30-8:00am and after school as needed. Additional assistance is available at: rhsjetmoremath.pbworks.com Chapter Objectives Section 10.1 – Comparing Two Proportions Describe the characteristics of the sampling distribution of pˆ1 pˆ 2 Calculate probabilities using the sampling distribution of pˆ1 pˆ 2 Determine whether the conditions for performing inference are met. Construct and interpret a confidence interval to compare two proportions. Perform a significance test to compare two proportions. Interpret the results of inference procedures in a randomized experiment. Section 10.2 – Comparing Two Means Describe the characteristics of the sampling distribution of x1 x2 . Calculate probabilities using the sampling distribution of x1 x2 . Determine whether the conditions for performing inference are met. Use two-sample t procedures to compare two means based on summary statistics. Use two-sample t procedures to compare two means from raw data. AP Exam Tips You may use your calculator to compute a confidence interval on the AP exam. But there’s a risk involved. If you just give the calculator answer with no work, you’ll get either full credit for the “Do” step (if the interval is correct) or no credit (if it’s wrong). If you opt for the calculator method, be sure to name the procedure (e.g., two-proportion z interval) and to give the interval (e.g., 0.223 to 0.297). When checking the Normal condition on an AP exam question involving inference about means, be sure to include a graph. Don’t expect to receive credit for describing a graph that you made on your calculator but didn’t put on paper. When a significance test leads to a fail to reject H 0 decision, as in the previous example, be sure to interpret the results as “We don’t have enough evidence to conclude H a .” Saying anything that sounds like you believe H 0 is (or might be) true will lead to a loss of credit. Free-Response Questions from Previous AP Exams Questions can be found on the AP Central Web site: http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/members/exam/exam_questions/8357.html. Students should be able to answer all the free-response questions listed with material in this chapter. Questions that contain content from this chapter but also require content from later chapters are listed in the last chapter required to complete the entire question. Some of these problems we will do in class as warm-up problems. You may do the others to help you understand the content from this chapter as well as to prepare for the AP exam in May. Year Question 2000 4 2002 2002 5 6 2003B 3 2003B 4 2004B 4 2004B 5 2004B 6 2005B 3 2006 4 2006B 2 2007 1 2007 5 2007B 2008 5 4 2008B 2009 1 4 2009 5 2009B 2009B 3 6 2010 5 Content Two-sample t test for the difference between two means, Inference about cause and effect Stating hypotheses, Two-sample t test for the difference between two means One-sample z interval for a proportion, Interpreting confidence level, Two-sample z test for the difference between two proportions, Pooling Experiment versus observational study, Two-sample z test for the difference between two proportions (identification and hypotheses only) Random assignment, Control groups, Choosing a correct inference procedure, Sources of variability Two-sample t interval for the difference between two means, Two-sample versus paired t interval Boxplots, One-sample t interval for a mean (conditions only), Two-sample t test for the difference between two means (conditions only) Two-sample t interval for the difference between two means, constructing and interpreting an interaction plot Completely randomized design versus matched pairs design, Two-sample t test versus paired t test Two-sample t interval for the difference between two means, Using a confidence interval to test hypotheses Two-sample z interval for the difference between two proportions, Using a confidence interval to test hypotheses Interpreting standard deviation, Comparing center, Using a confidence interval to test hypotheses Experiment versus observational study, Stating hypotheses, Two-sample z test for the difference between two proportions (conditions only), Interpreting a P-value and making a conclusion Two-sample t test for the difference between two means Constructing and interpreting scatterplots, Standard error of the average of two proportions Constructing and comparing dotplots, Logic of hypothesis tests Two-sample t interval for the difference between two means, Using a confidence interval to test hypotheses Interpreting a P-value for a two-sample z test for the difference between two proportions, Using a P-value to make a conclusion, Type I and Type II errors and consequences Two-sample z test for the difference between two proportions Double-blind experiments, Two-sample z interval for the difference between two proportions, Relative risk Two-sample t test for the difference between two means