MLC investment performance review Updated to 31 March 2010 General advice warning and disclaimer Any advice in this communication has been prepared without taking account of individual objectives, financial situation or needs. Because of this you should, before acting on any information in this communication, consider whether it is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs. You should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement or other disclosure document relating to any financial product issued by MLC Investments Limited (ABN 30 002 641 661) and MLC Nominees Pty Ltd (ABN 93 002 814 959) as trustee of The Universal Super Scheme (ABN 44 928 361 101), and consider it before making any decision about whether to acquire or continue to hold the product. A copy of the Product Disclosure Statement or other disclosure document is available upon request by phoning the MLC call centre on 132 652 or on our website at mlc.com.au. An investment in any product offered by a member company of the National group does not represent a deposit with or a liability of the National Australia Bank Limited ABN 12 004 044 937 or other member company of the National Australia Bank group of companies and is subject to investment risk including possible delays in repayment and loss or income and capital invested. None of the National Australia Bank Limited, MLC Limited, MLC Investments Limited or other member company in the National Australia Bank group of companies guarantees the capital value, payment of income or performance of any financial product referred to in this publication. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The value of an investment may rise or fall with the changes in the market. Please note that all return figures reported are before management fees and taxes, and for the period up to 31 March 2010, unless otherwise stated. The specialist investment management companies are current as at 31 March 2010. Funds under management figures are as at 31 March 2010, unless otherwise stated. Investment managers are regularly reviewed and may be appointed or removed at any time without prior notice to you. AGENDA 1. Overall results 2. The market environment 3. Drill down by asset class Slide 3 1. Overall results Key Messages: • Markets have rebounded strongly, however risks remain. • Clients participated fully in the recovery due to our disciplined investment approach. • Market rebound has justified advice to clients to remain fully invested and focused on long-term goals. • Appointed managers have generally enhanced returns though security selection. • Our diversified portfolios’ 5-year returns remain positive. MLC Horizon 4 – Super MLC Horizon 4 - Balanced Portfolio Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 2.6 28.7 -1.0 6.0 1.8 25.6 -2.1 - 1.7 24.7 -2.6 3.6 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star. The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • 5-year returns remain positive, and 1 year returns rebounded very strongly. • All asset classes provided positive returns for both the year and quarter. • Australian Shares (+45%) and Hedged Global Shares (+51.8%) performed strongly. (ref slide 12) • Hedged Global Shares outperformed unhedged Global Shares by +32.2% over the year on account of a rising $A. (ref slide 12) • Global Private Assets have continued to rally in the latest quarter, one year return is now +11.5%. (ref slide 34) • Horizon 4 debt returns (+10.9% for the year) have been driven by strong returns from higher credit risk bonds which continue to benefit from robust corporate earnings and buoyant investor risk appetites. Slide 5 MLC Horizon 4 – total returns Historical Absolute Performance MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star Horizon 4 Balanced Portfolio (after taking into account fees and tax) 30% Return % p.a. 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 89 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 008 009 010 19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Year Ended 31 March Slide 6 5 Years Ended 31 March MLC Horizon 4 – asset class contribution Contribution to Total Return by Asset Class MLC Horizon 4 Balanced Portfolio (before taking into account fees and tax) (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Return Contribution % 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Australian Shares Global Shares Global Shares - Hedged - Unhedged 3 months to Mar-2010 Slide 7 Global Property Securities Global Private Assets 1 year to Mar-2010 LTAR 3 years to Mar-2010 Debt Securities Total 5 years to Mar-2010 MLC Horizon 5 – Super MLC Horizon 5 - Growth Portfolio Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 2.6 32.6 -2.7 5.6 1.8 29.6 -3.5 - 1.7 28.6 -4.0 3.4 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star.The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • 5-year returns remain positive, and 1 year returns rebounded very strongly. • All asset classes provided positive returns for both the year and quarter. • Australian Shares (+45%) and Hedged Global Shares (+51.8%) performed strongly. (ref slide 12) • Hedged Global Shares outperformed unhedged Global Shares by +32.2% over the year on account of a rising $A. (ref slide 12) • Global Private Assets have continued to rally in the latest quarter, one year return is now +11.5%. (ref slide 34) • Horizon 5 debt returns (+12.4% for the year) have been driven by strong returns from higher Slide 8 credit risk bonds which continue to benefit from robust corporate earnings and buoyant investor risk appetites. MLC Horizon 5 – total returns Historical Absolute Performance MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star Horizon 5 Growth Portfolio (after taking into account fees and tax) 30% Return % p.a. 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 1 Year Ended 31 March Slide 9 2005 2006 2007 5 Years Ended 31 March 2008 2009 2010 MLC Horizon 5 – asset class contribution Contribution to Total Return by Asset Class MLC Horizon 5 Growth Portfolio (before taking into account fees and tax) Return Contribution % (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Australian Shares Global Shares Global Shares - Hedged - Unhedged 3 months to Mar-2010 Slide 10 Global Property Securities Global Private Assets 1 year to Mar-2010 LTAR 3 years to Mar-2010 Debt Securities Total 5 years to Mar-2010 2. The market environment Market environment - asset class returns for the period ending 31 March 2010 Asset Class Performance 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% -20.00% -40.00% Australian Shares Global Shares (hedged) Global Shares (unhedged) Quarter to Mar-10 % p.a. Emerging Markets Australian Property Securities 1 Year to Mar-10 % p.a. Global Property Securities Australian Bonds 3 Year to Mar-10 % p.a. Global Bonds (hedged) Global High Yield Bonds (hedged) InflationLinked Bonds Cash 5 Year to Mar-10 % p.a. Index data source: Australian Shares - S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index; Global Shares (hedged) - MSCI All Countries (A$ hedged); Global Shares (unhedged) - MSCI All Countries; Australian Property Securities S&P/ASX 300 LPT Accumulation Index; Global Property Securities - UBS Global REIT (hedged); Australian Bonds - UBS Composite Bond (all mats); Global Bonds (hedged) - BCGA Global Agg (hedged); Global High Yield Bonds (hedged) - BCGA US Corp HY BB/B (hedged), Australian Inflation Linked Bonds - UBS Inflation Linked Bonds (all mats); Cash - UBS Australian Bank Bill; Slide 12 Recovery, but still a complex and uncertain environment • A very uneven global recovery is underway Solid, V-shaped upswing in the emerging economies A modest U-shaped recovery in the US Japan, Europe are still lagging Australian economy continuing to improve, after an extraordinary period of outperformance • But unresolved imbalances still remain Household indebtedness in the English-speaking world Unsustainable budget deficits and rising public debt in the US, UK, and peripheral European economies Inflexible currencies in key emerging economies (e.g. China) • Equity and credit market recovery is welcome, but prospective returns are now lower as a result (markets no longer cheap!) 3. Drill down by asset class Australian shares Australian shares - performance MLC Australian Share Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC Masterkey Super Fundamentals / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC Masterkey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC Masterkey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index (S&P/ASX 200 Index prior to Nov 2002) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 1.3 45.0 -1.3 8.6 1.1 41.1 -1.2 - 0.9 40.0 -1.9 7.0 1.3 41.9 -2.6 8.0 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star. The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • Absolute one year return is very strong, capturing the market recovery which commenced in March 2009. • Rolling one year returns have been above index with a very high degree of consistency since September 2008 – a good result in varying market circumstances. • 7/10 appointed managers outperformed – a range of styles contributed. Stock selection will be more important from here. • Positive stock contributors: o/w News Corporation (+65%), Brambles (+53%), Fairfax Media (+77%), ANZ (+61%) which helped offset u/w Commonwealth Bank (+62%). Slide 15 Australian shares – total returns Historical Absolute Performance MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star Australian Share Fund (after taking into account fees and tax) 40% 30% Return % p.a. 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% 1 Year Ended 31 March Slide 16 5 Years Ended 31 March 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 19 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 -30% Dec-90 Jun-91 Dec-91 Jun-92 Dec-92 Jun-93 Dec-93 Jun-94 Dec-94 Jun-95 Dec-95 Jun-96 Dec-96 Jun-97 Dec-97 Jun-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Annualised Excess Return (S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index) Australian shares – excess returns Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Australian Share Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% 1 Year Slide 17 3 Years 5 Years Australian Shares – manager contribution Manager Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Australian Share Fund 14% 12% (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Excess Return vs S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index (before taking into account fees and tax) 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% MapleBrown Abbott Lazard Dimensional Contango Quarter to Mar-10 Slide 18 Contributors: • Dimensional: • Balanced: • Maple-Brown Abbott: Woolworths • Concord: • JF Capital Partners: • Northcape: • Wallara: Detractors: • Lazard: • Northward: • Contango: Concord JF Capital 1 Year to Mar-10 Wallara Balanced Equity 3 years to Mar-10 Northcape Northward Australian Capital Share Fund 5 Years to Mar-10 o/w small caps, Macquarie Group, Amcor, OneSteel, Qantas, Alumina, Boral o/w Wesfarmers, Orica, ANZ Bank, Qantas o/w Fairfax Media, APN News & Media, News Corp., Lion Nathan (takeover) and u/w o/w James Hardie, ANZ Bank, Macquarie Group, JB Hi-Fi, Arrow Energy o/w Navitas, News Corp., Independence Group, Rio Tinto, u/w/ Telstra o/w ANZ Bank, Brambles, Incitec Pivot, Seek, Fairfax Media o/w Challenger, OneSteel, Orica, James Hardie, Macquarie Group, Seek o/w Telecom NZ, Telstra, Intoll, u/w Commonwealth Bank, Tabcorp o/w Woolworths, Nufarm u/w ANZ Bank, Wesfarmers o/w Orica, Seek, Lion Nathan, Oz Minerals, u/w Fosters 3. Drill down by asset class Global shares Global shares - performance MLC Global Share Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) MSCI All Country World Index (MSCI World Index prior to July 2002) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 1.0 19.6 -8.6 0.5 -0.2 17.0 -9.0 - -0.4 16.2 -9.5 -1.3 1.2 18.3 -7.9 1.0 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star.The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • All markets provided positive returns for the year, which was captured by the managers who all provided absolute double-digit returns for the year. • The portfolio benefited by having exposure to emerging markets, which returned +58.4% for the year. • It has been one year since the MLC Global Share strategy underwent an enhancement with the appointment of four new managers. The short term results from the new managers are in line with how they were expected to perform in a rising market. Sands Capital (+44.3%), Harding Loevner (+18.9%) and Tweedy, Browne (+18.6%) outperformed Slidethe 20 benchmark, while Mondrian (+13.4%) lagged the broader market over the year. Global shares – total returns Historical Absolute Performance MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star Global Share Fund (after taking into account fees and tax) 40% 30% Return % p.a. 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% 1 Year Ended 31 March Slide 21 5 Years Ended 31 March 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 19 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 -30% Dec-90 Jun-91 Dec-91 Jun-92 Dec-92 Jun-93 Dec-93 Jun-94 Dec-94 Jun-95 Dec-95 Jun-96 Dec-96 Jun-97 Dec-97 Jun-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Annualised Excess Return (MSCI All Country World Index) Global shares – excess returns Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Global Share Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 20% 15% Slide 22 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Global shares – manager contribution Manager Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Global Share Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 25% (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Excess Return vs MSCI All Country World Index 30% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% Capital International Wellington Management Walter Scott Quarter to Mar-10 Harding Loevner Sands Capital 1 Year to Mar-10 Mondrian 3 years to Mar-10 Tweedy, Browne Dimensional Global Share Fund 5 Years to Mar-10 Contributors: • Returns from Sands Capital (+25.9% over the benchmark) and Dimensional (+15.7% over the benchmark) were driven by the riskier parts of the market rallying the most during the year. • Harding Loevner's excess performance (+1.3% over the benchmark) for the quarter was driven by good stock selection in the Health Care, Information Technology, and Consumer Discretionary sectors. Detractors: • Capital (-7.9% below the benchmark) and Walter Scott (-6.7% below the benchmark) lagged the market over the year in an environment where companies with higher risk levels rose above conservatively placed quality companies. • Mondrian (-3.0% below the benchmark) underperformed for the quarter due to allocations to the Spanish and Singaporean markets. Further, weak security selection within the US, UK, Australia Slide 23 3. Drill down by asset class Australian property Australian property - performance MLC Property Securities Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) S&P/ASX 300 Property Accumulation Index (S&P/ASX 200 Property Index prior to Nov 2006) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. -0.9 42.7 -18.9 -3.6 -1.2 40.2 -19.3 - -1.3 39.0 -19.7 -5.6 -1.6 42.0 -23.3 -7.2 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star. The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • The sector has stabilised due to massive capital raisings. A number of REITs have resumed development activity. • Strong return rebound by the sector but it is still 58% below mid-2007 peak. • Strong track record of index outperformance intact (through variable market conditions) • The Fund’s one year performance was due largely to Resolution Capital’s outperformance (70% allocation) while Challenger underperformed (though still ahead over 3 and 5 years) • Ownership of non-Australian REITs via mandate discretion given to Resolution has been very rewarding in addition to Australian REIT stock selection. Slide 25 Australian property – total returns Historical Absolute Performance MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star Property Securities Fund (after taking into account fees and tax) 40% 30% 20% Return % p.a. 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 1 Year Ended 31 March Slide 26 5 Years Ended 31 March 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 19 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 -60% Dec-90 Jun-91 Dec-91 Jun-92 Dec-92 Jun-93 Dec-93 Jun-94 Dec-94 Jun-95 Dec-95 Jun-96 Dec-96 Jun-97 Dec-97 Jun-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Annualised Excess Return (S&P/ASX 300 LPT Index) 0% -2% -4% -6% 2% Jun-91 Dec-91 Jun-92 Dec-92 Jun-93 Dec-93 Jun-94 Dec-94 Jun-95 Dec-95 Jun-96 Dec-96 Jun-97 Dec-97 Jun-98 Dec-98 Jun-99 Dec-99 Jun-00 Dec-00 Jun-01 Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Annualised Excess Return Dec-90 (S&P/ASX 300 LPT Index) Australian property– excess returns Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Property Securities Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 8% Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Property Securities Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 6% 4% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% 1 Year 1 Year 3 Years 3 Years 5 Years -6% Slide 27 5 Years Australian property – manager contribution Manager Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Property Securities Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) 4% (Annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Excess Return vs S&P/ASX 300 LPT Index 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% Resolution Capital Quarter to Mar-10 Slide 28 Challenger 1 Year to Mar-10 3 years to Mar-10 Property Securities Fund 5 Years to Mar-10 Contributors: • Ownership of non-Australian REITs via mandate discretion given to Resolution has been very rewarding (e.g. US mall owner Simon Property Group, US diversified Vornado, Hong Kong Land and Manhattan office REIT SL Green). Other positives were o/w Challenger Diversified Prop. Group & Challenger Kenedix Japan Trust and u/w Dexus Property Group. Detractors: • Underweight Goodman Group (recapitalised recently), Charter Hall Office REIT (formerly Macquarie Office Trust), Centro Properties, ING Industrial Trust and Mirvac Group. • Performance recovery of higher risk, poorer quality REITs which the managers tend to avoid. 3. Drill down by asset class Global property Global property - performance MLC Global Property Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) UBS Global Investors Index (hedged) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 6.5 85.2 - - 6.0 87.4 - - 6.8 81.9 - - Highlights: • Substantial performance recovery and return outcome for the year (though still negative on a 3 year basis). The US (+109%) and Singapore (+79%) REIT markets were the best regional market performers in local currency terms, Japan (+15%) the lowest. • The MLC strategy captured the one year return surge, and more. • Largest country REIT market overweights remain Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan while USA, Australia and Europe continue to be underweighted. • Morgan Stanley continues to outperform strongly (40% of portfolio in Asian REITs). Resolution’s excess return recently went negative (price weakness of their largest holding Link REIT) while La Salle’s return is also under benchmark. Slide 30 Global property – excess returns Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Global Property Fund 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 1 Year Slide 31 Mar-10 Sep-09 Mar-09 Sep-08 Mar-08 Sep-07 Mar-07 -4% Sep-06 Annualised Excess Return UBS Real Estate Investors Trust Index (hedged) (before taking into account fees and tax) Global property – manager contribution Manager Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Global Property Fund 16% 14% (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Excess Return vs UBS Real Estate Investors Trust Index (before taking into account fees and tax) 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% LaSalle Investment Management Quarter to Mar-10 Morgan Stanley 1 Year to Mar-10 Resolution Capital 3 years to Mar-10 Global Property Fund 5 Years to Mar-10 Contributors: • Asian stock selection by Morgan Stanley (40% of their portfolio) • O/w Manhattan office specialist SL Green • U/w Australian REITs Detractors: • O/w Japan • O/w Link REIT (Hong Kong retail, due to management change related price weakness), Unibail (Europe retail), Hammerson (UK) Slide 32 3. Drill down by asset class Global private assets Global private assets – performance MLC Global Private Assets Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC Global Private Assets (diversified fund component, before taking into account fees and tax) MSCI All Country World Index Hedged into AUD (MSCI World Index Hedged prior to July 2002) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 8.3 11.5 6.0 11.6 5.4 52.8 -3.9 5.3 Highlights: • One year return of +11.5% on a hedged basis reflects the strength of the $A and the positive momentum of valuations. • The strategy has provided positive absolute returns since inception (+8.7% p.a.) and represents a premium of +5.6% when compared to the listed global share markets reflected by the MSCI ACWI return of +3.6%. When comparing this relative performance, listed markets are more volatile than unlisted assets. • The majority of MLC’s Managers are first or second quartile and have acquired quality assets that have proven more resilient through the crisis. • China is continuing to present some attractive opportunities and MLC has backed Managers seeking to invest in select state owned enterprises. Slide 34 3. Drill down by asset class Long-Term Absolute Return Portfolio Long-Term Absolute Return – performance MLC Long-Term Absolute Return Portfolio Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals / Gold Star / Business Super 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 4.1 32.6 1.5 - 2.8 29.4 -1.3 - 2.7 28.4 -1.9 - 3.3 51.7 -6.2 - 0.5 2.1 2.9 - (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (after taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (after taking into account fees and tax) MLC LTAR Neutral Strategy (before taking into account fees and tax) Inflation (CPI)** *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 5 December 2005 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star. The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. **The Consumer Price Index figures are currently only available to 31 December 2009 Highlights: • Returns were positive for most risky assets - with the exception of Australian REITs over the last quarter. Most notable were the positive returns from private markets and the multi-asset class real return strategy, managed by Ruffer. • The Portfolio underperformed the Neutral Strategy because we started to take a relatively defensive asset allocation stance in the first half of 2009 and market returns have continued to be strong. • This stance is consistent with LTAR’s objective of ensuring that the long-term return is robust regardless of market performance – this implies reducing risk exposure when the risk of a long-term adverse outcome is relatively high. We believe this continues to be the case. 36 •SlideLTAR’s longer-term returns are significantly ahead of the Neutral Strategy. 3. Drill down by asset class Diversified Debt Fund Note: Horizon 1 to 5 debt strategy results are in the detailed quarterly commentary documents. Diversified Debt assets - performance MLC Diversified Debt Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) 50% UBS Composite Bond Index (All Maturities) and 50% Barclays Capital Global Aggregate Bond Index (hedged) 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 2.4 9.2 - - 1.7 6.6 - - 2.0 6.4 7.5 6.6 Highlights: • The Fund’s returns have been driven by strong returns from higher credit risk bonds which continue to benefit from robust corporate earnings and buoyant investor risk appetites. • Credit spreads (the difference between yields on high yield bonds and government bonds) are now close to long-term averages so the prospective for further gains has reduced. Investments in non-investment grade bonds are a variable component of our debt strategy and we continue to assess the risk/return trade-off of investing and will make adjustments accordingly. • Almost all managers have outperformed their respective benchmarks over the year. • During the quarter we announced changes to the debt strategy that are designed to strengthen their defensive characteristics and improve our ability to preserve capital when growth assets are weak. Details are available at mlc.com.au/debtstrategy Slide 38 Diversified Debt – excess returns Rolling Performance in Excess of the Index MLC Diversified Debt Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) Annualised Excess Return Above 50% UBS Comp Bond / 50% BCGA Index 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% -4.0% -6.0% -8.0% Quarter Slide 39 1 Year Mar-10 Dec-09 Sep-09 Jun-09 Mar-09 Dec-08 Sep-08 Jun-08 -10.0% Diversified Debt – sector contribution Contribution to Total Return by Asset Class MLC Diversified Debt Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) Return Contribution % (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.0% Australian Bonds Australian InflationLinked Bonds Global Bonds (Global (Global Non- Global Multi- Global High Global Bank Government Government Sector Yield Bonds Loans Bonds) Bonds) Bonds Quarter to Mar-10 Global Mortgages Total 1 Year to Mar-10 Due to changes to the debt strategy (announced 15 February 2010) occurring during the quarter, returns will be available for the new debt sectors from the June quarter onwards. Contributors: • Global high yield bonds and global multi-sector bonds have continued to outperform lower credit risk bonds in Australia and globally. 1 year returns have been extremely strong after the market bottomed just over a year ago. • Global bonds, which have more exposure to higher credit risk securities, have outperformed Australian bonds over the year and the quarter. Detractors: • The Fund is more exposed to interest rate changes because it’s a longer-term focussed strategy. It was therefore more affected by increasing government bond yields in almost all developed countries. • Global government bonds have been relatively weak this year due to concerns about the increase in supply. Governments, particularly in the developed world, have had to borrow massive sums to fund fiscal stimulus packages and the market is increasingly concerned about their ability to service their debt. The market is currently more concerned about some of the developed countries, like the US, defaulting than many companies and governments of emerging countries. • Over the year Australian inflation-linked bonds detracted from performance, however they were removed from the Diversified Debt Fund Slide 40 in September 2009. That’s why the graph doesn’t include a return for the last quarter. Diversified Debt – manager contribution Manager Absolute Performance MLC Diversified Debt Fund (before taking into account fees and tax) Manager Performance % (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Antares UBS Goldman Wellington Sachs Management Domestic Domestic Global Composite Composite Sovereign Global Credit Rogge Amundi Franklin Templeton PIMCO W. R. Huff Global Credit Global MultiSector Global MultiSector Global MultiSector Global Global High Yield High Yield Debt Debt Quarter to Mar-10 Oaktree Shenkman Stone Tower Capital Global Bank Loans NonAgency Mortgages 1 Year to Mar-10 Due to changes to the debt strategy (announced 15 February 2010) occurring during the quarter, returns from the 7 new managers will be available from the June quarter onwards. Contributors: • The graph reflects the extremely strong returns achieved by managers in the global high yield and multi-sector bond sectors this past year. • All but one of the managers outperformed their respective benchmarks over the year because they maintained their exposure to higher credit securities during the recovery. • NSIM and UBS outperformed their Australian bond benchmarks, boosting returns from one of the weaker sectors this year. Detractors: Slide • 41 Oaktree marginally underpeformed in a sector that produced a massive return this year. 3. Drill down by asset class MLC IncomeBuilderTM MLC IncomeBuilderTM - performance MLC IncomeBuilderTM Fund Performance to 31-Mar-10 MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals / Gold Star / Business Super (before taking into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Fundamentals (takes into account fees and tax) MLC MasterKey Super Gold Star / Business Super* (takes into account fees and tax) S&P/ASX 200 All Industrials Accumulation Index 3 Months % 1 Year % 3 Years % p.a. 5 Years % p.a. 1.5 43.9 -3.3 6.4 1.3 38.9 -3.2 - 1.2 37.8 -3.8 5.1 1.4 43.8 -5.6 5.4 *MLC MasterKey Business Super commenced on 30 April 2001 and issues the same unit price as that reported for MLC MasterKey Superannuation Gold Star.The returns outlined above do not include allowance for fee rebates you may be entitled to should you be part of a large employer plan. Highlights: • Quarterly distributions are still below those of 1-2 years ago due to the profit environment and companies (especially banks) acting cautiously re their dividend policies. • Aggregate return (pre fees & tax) above benchmark for all periods shown above. • Positive stock contributors for the year include Lion Nathan (takeover late 2009), Fairfax Media and underweighting/not owning CSL, QBE Insurance and Woolworths. These and others offset overweighting Telstra, Fosters, Primary Health Care, Metcash and underweighting Commonwealth Bank. Slide 43 MLC IncomeBuilderTM – distribution performance 14 5.34 3.59 10 0.02 1.68 8 0.08 6 1998 1999 2000 2.98 2009 1997 2.83 8.97 2008 2.73 4.87 8.21 2007 2.23 4.24 7.64 8.71 6.74 2006 2.46 1.31 2004 1.86 3.04 1996 2 0.99 2003 0.35 0.43 2002 4 2005 0.35 2001 Cents Per Share 12 0 Financial Year End 30 J une Income Buy Backs Total Capital Gains Highlights: • The above distribution chart (Fund inception to only 2009) shows the Fund’s strong history of growing underlying annual distribution (Primary objective to grow income achieved in 12 out of 14 years distribution history since inception). • Current year (2009-10, not displayed above) distributions have so far been consistently lower than last year’s due to many companies deciding to reduce dividends in response to the GFC and associated earnings slowdown. • The Fund is well positioned for an anticipated recovery in earnings and dividends. Slide 44 Source: MLC IncomeBuilderTM Unit Trust MLC IncomeBuilderTM – manager contribution Manager Performance in Excess of the Index MLC IncomeBuilderTM 3.5% 3.0% (annualised for periods greater than 1 year) Excess Return vs S&P/ASX 200 All Industrials Index (before taking into account fees and tax) 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% Vanguard Quarter to Mar-10 Maple-Brown Abbott 1 Year to Mar-10 3 years to Mar-10 IncomeBuilderTM 5 Years to Mar-10 Contributors: • O/w Lion Nathan (takeover late 2009), Fairfax Media and underweighting/not owning CSL, QBE Insurance and Woolworths. Detractors: • O/w Telstra, Fosters, Primary Health Care, Metcash and u/w Commonwealth Bank. Slide 45