Training Workshop on Universal Access & Service (UAS) & Broadband Development Andy Dymond World Bank 25 January 2010, Washington D.C. Outline of Workshop Monday 25 Jan 20010– WB GICT Department 9.30-10.45 Session 1: Universal Access and Service (UAS) • Evolving UAS concept (broadband; e-inclusion) • Main UAS approaches, lessons & emerging trends • Broadband & e-applications for development • Policy & Regulatory options for broadband • USFs and other funding or strategic mechanisms • Case examples Discussion, Q&A 10.45-11.00 Coffee Break 11.00-12.00 Session 2: Case examples of approaches to Broadband development This session will complete Session 1 if necessary and will also present opportunity for a discussion of what options countries have for broadband development, and experiences. This will be facilitated with country case examples. Intelecon – knowledge & experience base • Universal Access & Service (UAS), Regulation & Market strategy UAS Policies & funding strategies & advisory services for Uganda, Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Burkina Faso, Peru, India, Nepal, Mongolia, Russia, Saudi Arabia • Broadband strategy & roll-out National broadband options for Philippines; USF roll-out for Saudi Arabia, USF Technical Audit for Pakistan; District POPs for Mongolia, Uganda, Mozambique • Private sector advice Contribution of Mobile to Universal Access (GSMA), Various strategic market & due diligence studies Tailored UAS advice to technology companies • ICT Applications Mostly recent: m-banking for Pakistan, Mobile Money User Study for IFC ICT Regulation Toolkit: Module 4 – Universal Access & Service 1. Universal Access: An overview http://www.ictregulationtoolkit.org 2. Regulatory reform & UAS 3. Overview of approaches to UAS 4. UAS Policy 5. Financing UAS 6. UAS Program Development & Prioritization 7. Competing for UAS Subsidies 8. Technologies for UAS Includes: 50 page Executive Summary Practice Notes with case examples Online Reference documents Definitions • Universal access (UA): ubiquitous access to service e.g., at a public place, also called public, community or shared access • Universal service (US): every individual or household can have service, using it privately at home or increasingly, carried with the individual through wireless devices such as mobile phones or PDAs Requires emphasis on defined quality of service (QoS) • Universal access and service (UAS): the generic term when referring to both UA & US or the concept Developing countries targeting both UA and US to voice US to voice and UA to Internet in same program UAS Concepts Issue Basic meaning Differentiation Availability Coverage of inhabited geographic territory • Region /area • Locality size Accessibility All inhabitants can use reasonable quality service • Gender • Race, tribe, religion • Ability /disability Affordability Ability to pay • Access device (Handset, PC, subscription costs) • Cost of calls & services • Minimum “basket” below a certain national limit (e.g., 3% of family income) With increasing focus on the Internet and broadband, awareness and ability need to be added – awareness of services and benefits & ability to use computers, navigate the Internet & use ICT services Importance of QoS – Saudi example • In mid/late 2008, two leading operators reached 39.5% of geographical area with low outdoors signal 31.5% with medium quality outdoor signal • Population coverage 98% with med. Quality outdoor signal 96% with indoor signal Less than 2,000 of 15,000 villages without service • Demand survey showed 22% of villagers “with service” have poor QoS Therefore targeting indoor service (double the number of villages) 2008 mobile coverage scenarios Objectives & targets UA Universal Access 100% Geographic coverage Available to defined areas, populations or localities Publicly accessible or shared No discrimination of access US Universal Service Defined Quality of Service 100% Household penetration Affordable Private Service Equitably available to the disabled & disadvantaged Voice telephone – fixed or mobile? (increasingly either) Internet – dial or always on? (dial not realistic now) Broadband – How defined? (e.g., >256 Kbps) Next Generation Networks UAS and broadband policies are merging Internet services UAS policy Stronger focus on Internet which increasingly requires minimum broadband Increased focus also on ICT enablement Broadband policy Includes wider range of measures for eInclusion Demand led Supply driven Broadband facilities While typically addressing broadband nationally, heaviest intervention/ incentives required for rural areas UAS policies migrating to (rural) Broadband policies UAS targets - examples Targets Area or region target Universal Access Universal Service Internet Administrative centres • Public Telecentre • Schools on Internet (subsidy?) • Training Programme Household Penetration targets, separate for Telephony Villages Every village above specified pop’n (e.g., 100, 250, 500) to have payphone Administrative centres • Connected to fibre or broadband microwave backbone (increasingly fibre) • Public broadband telecentre • School access • Specified e-Government applications Villages Above specified population size must have access to specified data speed (e.g., 256/512 Kbps) Broadband • • • • Urban telephony Urban Internet Rural telephony Rural Internet Affordable access at minimum specified data speed • 256Kbps • 512Kbps • 1Mbps • 2Mbps • Higher Gap model – theoretical framework for UAS • The smart subsidy zone has narrowed • The true access gap is typically last 2-5% population 100% households (universal service) True access gap Low income households Over last few years operators have bridged the market efficiency gap for voice Smart subsidy zone Market efficiency gap High income households • Current network reach & access After one-time subsidy, will Commercially feasible reach become Requires commercially ongoing feasible support Geographical reach Source: Initial concept in “Telecommunications & Information ser vices for the Poor: Towards a Str ategy for Universal Access”, by J. Navas -Sabater , A. Dymond, N. Juntunen, 2002. Modified by Intele con 100% geographical coverage What are the key UAS trends? 1. Much more ambitious goals – towards e-inclusion 2. Target dates compressing 3. Internet more closely aligned with voice 4. More experience with various approaches 5. More complex interactions with other policies 6. Greater interest in reaching the poor by commercial companies and associations We will address/illustrate these throughout presentation Much more ambitious goals • • • • Driven by mobile success Countries are achieving UA for voice and move to US goals for voice as mobile phone penetration rises Migration to 3/3.5G & 4G increases Internet expectation Planning for household penetration more important for Internet Fixed and Mobile Penetration 2008 140% Mobile Penetration 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Fixed Penetration Much more ambitious goals (2) However, in parts of sub-Saharan Africa, voice access is still an issue for a considerable part of population Coverage gap av. Less than 2% of population Source: Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic WB study, 2008 Much more ambitious goals (3) •Internet UAS objectives require broadband, but still a long way to go •Focus shifts away from simple access to Bandwidth/speed Frequency spectrum ICT capacity/ ability Applications/services •UAS goals will continue to rise with technology & service development – towards e-inclusion Figure: Internet subscriber, user and broadband penetrations by region, 2008 80% Internet user penetration 70% Internet subscriber penetration Broadband subscriber penetration 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% The benefits of broadband • Measuring impact of broadband still in early phase; few quantifiable and internationally comparable data; Currently restricted mostly to developed nations • However, findings so far support ICT sector growth & macro-economic multiplier Productivity gains, growth in employment, growth in businesses Transformation of how individuals, companies & government work, communicate and interact Reduction in pollution (due to reduced travel) • • Potential socio-economic impact significant Expected benefits especially in education & health delivery; improved governance & transparency The benefits of broadband (2) While specific “proof” of broadband benefits for developing countries and their impact on poverty, hunger and sickness still outstanding, countries cannot afford to wait as they lack already behind in their ICT development Key challenges for broadband development • Physical network infrastructure (or access) at the margins: Rural & developing regions • High costs for establishment & service provision in non-urban markets Operator interest and viability of subsidy • Lack of competition in service provision? • Weak demand + lack of affordability for Broadband service? • Computer literacy and training IT skills, e-applications & Desktop PC/internet infrastructure needed Financing challenge with broadband Compared to telecom, more money is also needed for • ICT capacity building campaigns • Accelerating e-gov services for rural/ poor population (possibly initially through mobile SMS) • Providing public Internet/broadband centres throughout the country • Improving PC penetration through PC loan/ grant programs – to increase broadband subscriptions • But remember – some e-applications (e.g., m-money) are not necessarily bandwidth hungry Digital Britain – direction example • Report states that UK is at a tipping point re the online world – changing from conferring advantage to those that are in it to conferring active disadvantage for people excluded from online world (Universal Service mandate) • Key obstacles for people offline are: Availability – will be addressed through Universal Service Broadband Commitment Affordability – partly addressed through £ 300 million Home Access Scheme for low income families (started with telephony) Capability and Relevance - addressed through Digital Inclusion program, ICT user skills recommendations, Ofcom review of media literacy, culminating in National Plan for Digital Participation (including funding for demand-side measures) Communications infrastructure Broadband has further issues Digital Britain envisages that availability of broadband has two components due to the speed of change, resulting in two projects: • Right network today: Universal Service Broadband Commitment • Right network tomorrow – through public support for the next at 2Mbps by 2012, achieved through upgrades of existing fixed and wireless networks nationwide generation network (NGN) to reach the final third of consumers that cannot be reached by the market (amounts to installing a new network) Universal Service Broadband Commitment (USC) • More than one out of 10 households cannot have 2Mbps connection • Will be corrected through USC by 2012, using a mix of fixed & mobile technologies USC also necessary step to switchover to more and more digital delivery of public service • It will be funded by £ 200 million direct public funding, enhanced by several other sources including Value of wider coverage obligations on mobile operators arising from wider mobile spectrum package Mobile operators also considered for license terms to be eliminated • USC will be delivered through Network Design and Procurement Group, with a CEO Next Generation “Final Third” Project • While overall electronic communications infrastructure compares favorably, first strains can be seen & will increase: under-investment in backhaul networks & congestion in existing spectrum • Broadband NGNs not only offer high definition video/ games, but also more revolutionary applications such as tele-presence (allowing flexible work arrangements), e-healthcare in the home, and for small businesses access to benefits of cloud computing • First generation broadband networks provided a contribution to GDP of 0.5 to 1% a year, NGN will likely increase that • UK has already seen market-led roll-out of NGN: 50% of UK homes have speeds of 50 Mbps and above available to them • Government believes case is made for desirability of broadband networks being available to large majority of population Trend to “e-Inclusion”- ICT & all sectors • EU-centric term but is the trend globally. • Includes both ICT and the use of ICT to achieve wider inclusion objectives. • The Riga Declaration (June 2006) stresses actions in the following areas: Improve digital literacy & competencies; Reduce geographical digital divides; Use ICT to promote cultural diversity; Promote inclusive e-government; Use ICT to address the needs of older workers & elderly Enhance e-accessibility & ICT usability for people of all abilities, gender & social standing. UAS integration with other programmes • Education Vanguard user to be targeted under UAS First priority & demand – the emerging generation Education Ministry responsible for the computer strategy • e-Government / e-governance ICT improves administration, services, health, etc. Accountability • Electricity Raises the potential for ICT demand Reduces the complexity & cost of infrastructure build-out • Microfinance and m-banking Allied initiatives with pro-rural and pro-poor direction m-banking regulated under Central bank but reliant on increasing ICT reach & telecom operator innovation Main Approaches to UAS • Traditional incumbent obligations (USOs) Obligation & compensation (Historic & superseded) • Regulatory reform Several prior measures have fundamental impact on the achievement of UAS • Competitive subsidy distribution (OBA - UASFs) • Licensing and UAS • Open access, shared facilities & ICT backbones • Non-Government & local community contributions Reform first • Regulatory reform, especially competition, accelerates achievement of UAS – regulatory reform is key first step in UAS policy • Key elements include: Modern regulatory framework (addressing convergence) Effective regulator Effective regulation of competition Interconnection and pricing Spectrum allocation reform Technology & service neutral licensing Open access & regulating dominant markets Taxes, import duties and fees • Implementing UAS policies in badly regulated markets is highly ineffective (e.g., higher subsidy costs) Regulatory /licensing impact on mobile growth S. Africa Key indicators P enetratio n A rea Thailand Key indicators P o pulatio n 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Nigeria - Key indicators Penetration 2004 Area 2005 2006 Population 0% 1999 2000 2001 India Key Indicators 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% Population 2002 2003 P enetratio n 2004 A rea 2005 2006 P o pulatio n 2001 2002 2003 Penetration 2004 Area 2005 2006 Population 1999 entry Decision on semifixed vs. mobile disputes 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2000 2001 Uganda Key indicators 100% 0% 1999 Comparison for GSMA showed specific impacts of regulatory decisions & general policy New competition 0% 2000 Morocco Key indicators 0% 1999 Area • 100% 0% 1999 Penetration 2000 2001 2002 2003 Penetration 2002 2003 2004 Area 2004 2005 2006 Population 2005 2006 Weight of taxation Licensing & UAS • Countries that reform their licensing regime in response to convergence, with technology neutral or unified licences, have major opportunity to incorporate new UAS targets UAS targets more easily accepted in return for greater flexibility of new licences • Even without reform, newly offered licences could also include useful territorial and UA obligations to Internet & broadband Important that those conditions are made public in advance South Africa’s new entrant Neotel has to provide broadband connectivity to 5,000 public schools and rural medical clinics • Competition for new spectrum based licenses (e.g., 3G, WiMAX) Mandatory roll-out targets & public and school access requirements Matching attractive urban with less attractive regions - Anatel in Brazil used this approach for their 3G frequency auction (Sao Paulo paired with state in poor North-East etc.) Enabling regulation for broadband • Good competitive practice also applies to broadband – look first at regulation Open access to dominant access networks • Access to international connectivity & capacity Competition, joint volume purchase, or both? • Liberalization of backbone: Permission for wholesale Enforcement or inducement to sharing & co-location • Tax/fiscal incentives to network build-out • Planning for converged services What does IP transition & NGN need? VOIP and multi-media General recommendations ITU Sept 2008 • Recognize importance of broadband; formulate national plans, including specific targets • Award licenses & spectrum for wireless broadband technologies (3G, WiMAX) • Open up the broadband market to new operators and stimulate competition to lower prices • • Create investment incentives in telecom sector • • Promote development of local content Utilize universal access & service funds to bring broadband to rural and underserved areas Encourage convergence and the transition to NGN including adoption of regulations allowing the use of voice and video over broadband networks. Competing for subsidies & UAS Funds Competitive subsidy allocation mechanism & smart subsidy (OBA): • One-time partial subsidy that leverages additional commercial investment • • Subsidy minimized through competitive procedure Amount of money required by service provider to bring loss-making services to an acceptable rate of return over long term only shortfall between revenue & costs is paid exact amount determined by bidders through competitive tender projects are selected that are commercially viable in the long-run after initial subsidy – no ongoing subsidies “Smart subsidy” OBA amount • “The amount of money required by an operator to bring loss-making services to an acceptable rate of return over the long term” Specific services in a target area – e.g. payphones, Internet & private service in specified target areas Once-only agreement Business sustainable in the medium/ long term $ per year Revenue Costs Subsidy Loss Years 1 to 10 Profit How UASF OBA competition is administered • UASF Fund Manager initially estimates the 5 or 10 year revenues & costs, and estimates the “financial gap” (Max. allowable subsidy) • Bidders (operator-investors) make their own estimate - at or below the maximum allowable subsidy • The total agreed subsidy will be distributed to the lowest bidder over a limited period (e.g. the first 2-3 years) and will not need to be repeated. The operator accepts a 5-10 year (or permanent) licensed obligation to provide the minimum level of service, and is expected to pursue normal commercial opportunity & growth • Internet & Broadband less certain finances than voice – subsidies can rise to > 100% of Capex costs Use of UAS Funds Funds have been used for • Meeting regional and rural service targets for telephony and Internet services • • Broadband and backbone development • Supporting national and local content, services and applications development that stimulate Internet take-up and usage • • ICT capacity building Supporting key users - rural schools and health clinics, to access the Internet Supporting various activities related to regionally balanced network and service development, such as the creation of Internet Exchange Points (IXPs) and regional Internet points of presence (POPs) Around 50 countries have UASFs. UAS Funds – best practice advantages Key principles & elements of best practice UASFs: • Transparent and fair means of allocating subsidy – all operators pay proportionally equal amount and technology-neutral tenders give all equal chance to win (vs. mandating USO) • Provides incentives for innovation and cost-minimization (vs. reimbursing USO providers their costs) • “Pay or play” in practice – operators can choose if they want to particpate • UASF programs developed with industry & stakeholder consultation • • Focus on ongoing sustainability Independent of Government, audited & publicly reported Examples of UASF successes • Overall too few evaluation/ impact studies on UASFs • Peru, Colombia and Chile – 1st generation • Uganda - 1st in Africa – leveraged mobile (practice note) • Mongolia – Highly successful in achieving operator collaboration – voice & broadband (practice note) • Pakistan – Professional & successful in mobile, broadband & fiber projects • India – Cumbersome but transforming – tower sharing UASF total experience to date – Hmmm! • • • Some funds have not been allocated in a technologyneutral manner (e.g. India, Russia) Some funds have accumulated money and not disbursed, or too little E.g., Malaysia, Brazil & India In some cases, UAS programme planning and implementation too slow – overtaken by market development No fund has been capable of distributing more than 2% of sector revenue 7,000 6,000 5,000 US$ Millions • Performance of 15 Developing Country USFs 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Collected Fixed incumbent Distributed Fixed new entrants Mobile Key lessons - future rural broadband development • • Strong focus on improving regulation • In practice, UAS projects need to be developed for implementation in 2-3 years – and require update shortly before implementation • Levies should be limited to 1-2% and allowed to reduce over time as UAS targets are achieved • UASFs need stronger capacity building element and efficiency – also explore “company” models – e.g., Pakistan • Competitive mechanism & collaborative approach with industry can work well Technical Assistance should assist the UAS policy adoption process and the passing of necessary legislation and regulation – as this is an area of delay NGO & community initiatives (1) • • Bottom up approaches (vs. top-down policy driven initiatives) • Community networks fairly recent and few established examples – usually small scale Most successful example are micro-finance & entrepreneurial village phone initiatives (i.e., solving the problem in one community, not nation-wide) – depend on local leadership/champion Too complex for effective national programs • Telecentres wide range of models – mixed record but successful if there is a network of telecentres, & financing model that secures ongoing sustainability good Internet connectivity essential – best to follow UAS infrastructure projects NGO & community initiatives (2) • Community radio or local radio Local radios connected to the Internet are successful intermediaries in community to overcome issues of pre-literacy, lack of ICT training and language barriers • Co-operatives Only thrive in handful of countries – require certain conditions • Regional or rural operators Limited experience (e.g., Nigeria, South Africa) difficult -require special/strong regulation to be protected from bigger players Temporary phenomenon – become national operators (through acquisition or own drive to grow) Possible tool to introduce more competition – also for broadband – cover rural area first and then be allowed to provide national service Backbone development & open access Important because • Limited ICT access if backbone does not reach all parts of country • Challenge with single backbone – need access for all at reasonable cost-based prices • Increased demand for bandwidth capacity & investment costs for NGNs can potentially create bottlenecks Increased attention on backbone development – some UASFs have financed backbone & transmission extensions (e.g., Chile, Pakistan, Nigeria) Backbone development & open access (2) • Opening networks of dominant operators to wholesale service provision: non-discriminatory access & pricing Through price regulation (least invasive) to functional, operational or structural separation (costly and complex) • Backbone extensions via competitive UASF bid Many UASF projects already included backbone extensions and open access policies (Nigeria, Uganda, Mongolia) • Alternative network options If not already liberalized, license alternative network operators (electricity, gas, railway) and allow existing operator to sell excess capacity • Building new wholesale backbone-only networks Have been considered, few existing examples (Canada, EU) – best operated independent of existing operators, wholesale only and open access Backbone development – Tower sharing India Infrastructure sharing • India’s TRAI & USOF identified locations for 7,871 rural mobile infrastructure towers, buildings & power supply (passive infrastructure) to be shared by multiple operators • • Consulted with the industry and secured broad support • Separate competition for 3 mobile operators to use each tower was overwhelmingly successful – “negative” bids (no net subsidy required) Competition for 5 year subsidy was successful and bids were well below the “reserve” price – mostly bid by independent tower operation companies Forms of tower sharing • Selective/case-by-case - direct agreements between operators for selected towers • Separated tower assets - tower assets divested into a separate company which then enters into agreement with other operators Reliance Infratel, Qippo Telecom (Spice & Tata Teleservices), India • Joint ventures - operators jointly build or consolidate their tower assets into a JV Indus Towers (Bharti, Airtel & IDEA) • Outsourcing to independent tower companies who build and lease to operators Helios >1,000 towers in Nigeria American Tower, etc., India Tower sharing – for broadband deployment ☎ Rural voice coverage Much of the voice telephony needs in rural areas met by mobile service • But Digital Backbone links all sites Fibre or microwave Can be developed for broadband • Initial demand for Internet services mostly in vicinity of small towns & district centres, • Broadband Internet Demand Use GSM EDGE, CDMA, 3/3.5G, Wi-Fi, • WiMAX type wireless from same towers How far will broadband reach? Smaller operating radius (<5Km) Frequencies key Need more sites? (depends on Min Bandwidth specification) ‘Open Access’ to towers a key UAS policy tool Voice & Internet situations & challenges Locality population sizes Remote Rural - unserved (A) • Voice already exists • Higher population density • Largely no Internet service • Expect overlay of 3G or WiMAX on existing towers • USFs finance Internet service only (B) • No existing voice or Internet services • Very low population density • Could be integrated or overlaid technologies • USFs finance voice & Internet together? Issues of cost versus speed / bandwidth Factors emerging in recent UAS consultation • Broadband “coverage” dependent on Bandwidth required, capacity & usage demand per cell Range & frequency of wireless signal • Targeting 512 kbps could cost 3x 128 kbps due to Technical Options - 2G (e.g., EDGE) versus 3/3.5G (HSPA) & future LTE Frequency Spectrum policy • Thus broadband UAS could depend on spectrum policy 900 MHz versus 1800/2100 MHz Other (lower) frequencies could service rural areas better GSM versus technological neutrality Whether WiMAX licensing opportunity as well as other freq. allocations are leveraged to achieve rural roll-out Financing UAS & broadband • Government aid for ICT infrastructure has diminished e.g., OECD: USD 1.2 billion in 1990 to ~200 million in 2002 However, some major broadband investments now underway – USA, UK, Finland • In developing countries, mainly private sector funded UAS achievement through commercial drive via good policy & regulation through UASFs Through philanthropic/commercial/NGO initiatives (e.g., GSMA Development Fund, Grameen Phone) • Donor focus on policy & regulatory support, ICT service applications and capacity development • Will this be enough for broadband development? Philippines – hindrance is demand & applications Major operator financials 2008; Similar capex amounts for 2009 Finance & supply capacity not the issues in this case – GSM coverage is 99% of population & could be leveraged However, broadband uptake mainly hindered by: Computers (USD 292) not affordable for large majority; but could afford to pay over 2 years; could afford usage Government not advanced with own connectivity (e.g., only now connecting all high schools to Internet) Government not advanced with implementing e-gov services for the general population Challenges are: affordability of Internet access device; ICT capacity; useful applications & services Broadband case studies • Broadband benefits • Review of broadband issues & challenges • Overview of broadband strategy options Best practice responses • Country case examples Broadband & e-applications What has changed with the advent of broadband? • “The need for speed” – new digital divide No fixed UAS speed; will constantly increase Cambodia Tonga Brunei Darussalam Laos Vanuatu Bangladesh Sri Lanka Solomon Islands PNG Pakistan Nepal Fiji Bhutan Philippines Thailand Maldives Malaysia Macao, China Vietnam Taiwan, China India Singapore Australia Hong Kong, China Korea (Rep.) Japan (20) (30) (50) (50) 0 2 4 Data ITU Sept 2008 6 8 10 12 14 Mbps Benchmarking Study in 2009 for S. Arabia • • Minimum download speed at the customer level in rural (UAS) programs Consider the incremental costs of bandwidth in rural areas (bandwidth versus radius) USF targeted service operations Country Telephony Mobile Internet Allowed Broadband (minimum download speed) Telecentre Australia Canada Chile India (256k) Malaysia (256k) Morocco (128k) (512k) N. Zealand (BIF) Nigeria (512k) (256k) (1000k) Pakistan Peru Uganda (128k) Four approaches to Broadband Policy Approach Country examples 1 Competitive tender to build new backbone & access infrastructure Canada, Chile, Sri Lanka, Singapore, UASF countries 2 Create / Underwrite Demand Malaysia, Singapore 3 Stimulate Private Demand in the ICT Sector Egypt, Thailand 4 Regulatory Reform, liberalisation & UASF Pakistan, India • These address the main obstacles to broadband development • Not necessarily exclusive to one another • May be pursued in combination Issue (1) – Lack of Infrastructure supply • Challenges Lack of network infrastructure at the margins - fixed-line copper, fiber & wireless Poor competition & access to existing network infrastructure High costs of infrastructure & operation are barriers to investment & user uptake in rural areas Lower populations, distance and geographic constraints • Best Practice responses Progressive regulation and open access policies Public-Private-Partnerships for network establishment Subsidies through competitive bidding Government purchase and use of bandwidth Issue (1) Infrastructure – Smart Subsidies Competitive Tendering & OBA Approach • Smart Subsidy Approach One-time subsidies, non-distortion of markets Open to both infrastructure and service providers foreign and local Stakeholder input into design • Bundling of Strategic Regions Strategies to ensure subsidies are tied to both commercially promising and challenging regions • Competitive Bid Process Formulation of bid design with stakeholders Clearly outline eligibility criteria & requirements Use of least subsidy or reverse auction approach Issue (1) Infrastructure - Case Example Province of Alberta Supernet • Challenge: Lack of infrastructure & affordability in rural areas; important resource-based economy • Approach PPP between government & consortium of network builder (Bell) & network operator/reseller (Axia); build-operate (BO) type agreement USD 157 million government; USD 102 million private sector with 10 year renewable contract for operation Axia Open Access Model – standard bandwidth price for all users: • Government applications – health facilities, regional offices, & schools; • Rural ISP • Outcomes Bandwidth prices same for all ISP & ASP company; similar to urban rates Rural network publicly owned; operating contract renegotiable on term Increase from 7 rural ISPs to 100 now Issue (1) Infrastructure - Case Example Chilean BackBone Network financed by smart subsidy • Challenge: Lack of open access & physical infrastructure to reach rural areas; Alternative approaches required to reach rural areas • Approach Arica to Puerto Montt – North –South Fibre Backbone Competitive bidding conducted by Chilean Regulator Subtel $4.7 million US with $2.6 million US subsidy from Telecom Development Fund • Outcomes Awarded July 2007 to 3rd Operator Telefonica del Sur (Telsur); requirements for open access Innovative agreement established with operators Telsur & Movistar November 2008 Favorable roaming arrangements; expansion of their combined mobile and wireless coverage Issue (2) – Lack of Critical Demand Approach Country examples 1 Competitive Tender to build new backbone infrastructure Chile, Sri Lanka, Singapore 2 Create / Underwrite Demand Malaysia, Singapore 3 Stimulate Private Demand in the ICT Sector Egypt, Thailand 4 Regulatory Reform and Liberalisation Pakistan, India Challenges • Low demand for Broadband considered due to lack of common and locally useful broadband applications Large % of internet users dialup, lower demand in rural areas Lack of broadband traffic constraining public exposure & market entry by service providers Barriers: Price point & limited applications relevant to local circumstances Issue (2) Stimulate Demand for Broadband Solutions • Establish & support development of broadband applications in government operations and public service provision which include: e-Government applications and networked government information system e-procurement systems for local businesses • Subsidize bandwidth and interconnection costs for broadband in high cost areas Desired outcomes • Stimulate greater use and interaction of public with useful broadband e-Government applications • Local capacity building institutions, e.g. schools and IT-based business incubators, more active • Greater local appreciation and demand for broadband Issue (2) Stimulating Demand - Case Example Malaysia’s National Broadband Plan, 2004 • Strategy Broadband Policy - Key pillar of 2006 National ICT & Knowledge Society Strategy MyICMs 886 • “Critical Mass” Approach - Create ‘Tipping Point’ for Demand Fund broadband applications to attain critical subscriber penetration rates (50% household) or 1.3 million subscribers by 2010 Fund public broadband applications to ‘critical’ subscriber level to initiate widespread private sector uptake Government departments (EG*NET); hospitals & clinics; public schools (SchoolNet); universities and internet community centres Implement a 11.3 billion Ringgit national broadband network funded (2.4 billion) by the Malaysian Government as a PPP Issue (2) Stimulating Demand - Case Example Malaysia’s National Broadband Plan (Cont’d) • Regulatory measures Mandate BB access nationwide, and fund designated remote rural areas under UAS program (USP) Establish facilitative role of local authorities to speed up einfrastructure projects • Incentives Tax rebates for broadband equipment & PCs; soft loans for ISP rollout Support shared use of private networks(MNCs); • Outcomes: Achieved increase in household penetration rate to current 18% Updated Broadband Plan due 2008/2009 Realized plan for the enhanced national broadband backbone network • Sept 2008 – the PPP agreement signed between Government & Telekom Malaysia Issue (3) – Lack of Core IT & Capacities Approach Country examples 1 Competitive Tender to build new backbone infrastructure Chile, Sri Lanka, Singapore 2 Create / Underwrite Demand Malaysia, Singapore 3 Stimulate Private Demand in the ICT Sector Egypt, Thailand 4 Regulatory Reform and Liberalisation Pakistan, India Challenge • Low demand for Broadband considered problem of lack of IT skills & basic PC/internet infrastructure • • Issues for developing regions and rural areas • Limited IT skills and capacities Lack of access to useful applications & core IT hardware: Networked PCs Issue (3) – Lack of Core IT & Capacities Building Core IT Capacities for Demand • Solutions Programs to provide needed IT infrastructure, capacity development and training to public and community institutions Provision of internet-enabled PCs & broadband connection to public schools and community institutions Establish e-Government services and applications for local needs Basic computer and internet skills training and capacity development to targeted groups • Desired outcomes Develop IT and internet skills to stimulate demand among high- impact users including local businesses and youth Develop IT capacities and infrastructure at public access points & businesses e.g. schools, community centres & chambers of commerce Issue (3) – Core Capacities – Case example Thailand – Building Core Capacities for Broadband • Approaches Thailand’s ICT Directions 2004 Policy - To improve ICT skills and access to ICTs for all Thais to benefit from information Provision of necessary IT hardware & internet connectivity • Subsidized PCs & software for purchase; lowered long-distance rates for internet; establishment of public internet booths with dialup internet access Encourage telecom operators to expand wired/wireless communication services in rural areas i.e. rural telephone project Provide educational and local content - Tambon and Schoolnet projects to provide internet access to village groups and public schools • Outcomes: Increased PC penetration from 5% in 2001 to 27% in 2005 Issue (4) – Regulatory impediments Approach Country examples 1 Competitive Tender to build new backbone infrastructure Chile, Sri Lanka, Singapore 2 Create / Underwrite Demand Malaysia, Singapore 3 Stimulate Private Demand in the ICT Sector Egypt, Thailand 4 Regulatory Reform and Liberalisation Pakistan, India Challenges • Restricted competition poor access to incumbent network lack of new service providers License limitations • • Cost barriers – network/spectrum access, interconnection fees; Limited ability to utilize innovative and converging technologies e.g., service bundling, VOIP, etc. Issue (4) – Enabling Regulation • Best Practice solution – improve policy & regulatory frameworks Deregulation - open up service provision to multiple operators Open access – enforcement of RIO, interconnection, spectrum allocation Progressive Licensing, e.g., unified licensing Targeted subsidies for new entrants & challenging areas Establish & utilize UAS/government programs Issue (4) Enabling Regulation – Case Example Pakistan • Challenges: Broadband expansion needs & opportunities Expanded network infrastructure; local internet content/applications & IT capacity development Capitalize on dramatic expansion of mobile/wireless network High tariffs considered main impediment • • Approaches Establishment of formal policies, i.e., Broadband Policy 2004 Utilize UAS funds for targeted support and subsidy Encourage entry and growth of new service providers • No restriction on number of broadband providers (must meet minimum QOS standards ) Backhaul facilitation • Subsidies for intl. bandwidth for startup period in project areas services in rural areas, i.e., rural telephone project Issue (4) Enabling Regulation – Case Example Pakistan (Cont.) • Spectrum management promoting wireless services Open auctions for wireless fixed access spectrum Regulatory framework for free access to IEEE 802 bands • Interconnection strategies Reduced primary rate interface charges (PRI) for dial-up connection to facilitate future switch to broadband Promotion of national/regional peering points & “domestic” network to reduce use of costly international backbone • Licensing New class license available for data providers enabling agreements for network & local loop access with any operators (LDI/LL Licensees) Issue (4) Enabling Regulation – Case Example Pakistan (Cont.) • Outcomes Increased broadband connectivity – Est. 200,000 current subscribers Still marginal (1%), but USF has contracted service agreements for more than 100,000 additional subscribers. • Marked improvement in enabling conditions for broadband penetration Backhaul network access is now relatively inexpensive Price of end-user broadband equipment reducing Regulatory frameworks for broadband and new wireless applications • Wateen Telecom launch of WiMAX service in December 2007 - now has 10,000’s wireless broadband subscribers • • Other operators with WiMAX and CDMA services USF Broadband Projects Pilot: 88,000 private broadband connections – awards to PTCL and Wateen 380 community & educational access centers Several others already awarded Fiber backbone to all Tehsils (sub-districts) Philippines - Provinces without fiber-backbone • Mostly in central and southern regions • 14 provinces outside Luzon w/o fiber have per capita income considerably below national average 8% of population Most are lowest income province in their region • But some do/ may have digital microwave Fiber not necessarily or absolutely required Technical solutions feasible though e-applications and ICT diffusion measures required Reviewing broadband pricing & affordability Broadband Access Device Cost (PHP) Cost (USD) Usage Cost (PHP) Usage Cost (USD) GPRS/EDGE Mobile Phones 5,000 104 5/15 min 0.10/15 min WiFi-ready Phones 13,000 271 variable variable n/a n/a 30-60/hour 0.70-1.40/hour Desktops (lowest option) 10,000 208 Netbooks 18,000 375 variable variable Nettop 10,000 209 variable variable 1,900 40 5/15 min 0.10/15 min Internet Cafés Wireless Dongles 999 for DSL, incl. landline phone service 20.80 Minimum cost for a broadband access device is PHP 10,000, plus cost for software - the nettop with Vista starter edition for PHP 12,000 and 1,900 for a wireless dongle = at least PHP 14,000 (USD 292) Broadband costs as % of monthly family income (USD) Philippines First decile Second decile Third decile Fourth decile Fifth decile Sixth decile Seventh decile Eighth decile Ninth decile Tenth decile Est. 2009 HH income 1 4,121 767 1,222 1,557 1,941 2,396 2,947 3,738 4,888 6,949 14,784 343 Start-up computer package $292 85% Paid over 2 years $12 4% Monthly broadband costs postpaid $14 4% 64 102 130 162 200 246 311 407 579 1,232 457% 287% 225% 181% 146% 119% 94% 72% 50% 24% 19% 12% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 22% 14% 11% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% Montly HH income Monthly broadband prepaid min. costs $6 2% 9% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1.0% 0.5% Intelecon analysis; data from NSO 2006, CAGR of 7% to est. 2009 HH income Average HH expenditure on transport & communications: 8.2% in 2006 Philippines policy options • Regulatory changes Spectrum reform Tower sharing Taxes & regulatory fees (Fees go to Govt – beyond need for market regulation) • Stimulate demand Internet access devices – Desktop/Netbook/Nettop – at household level “Laptop per child” type programs Government as model user / underwrite demand eGov’t services • Policy intervention USF/OBA style competitions as a last resort for backbone development, telecenters (Community e-Centres) No new levy – use existing resources from fees Summary of issues Broadband & e-applications • • Importance of e-applications for broadband uptake What is different about broadband? ICT skills Existing versus needed applications Awareness Access devices for penetration More co-ordination with other sectors like health, education, tax authorities, e-government Discussion on future • • • What about PPPs (scarce examples?) Can UASF funds be used for broadband? Should UASF funds be used for ICT infrastructure capital only, or for applications and ICT capacity building, computers for all, etc.? Thank you! Adymond@inteleconresearch.com www.inteleconresearch.com