Hydrologic/Watershed Modeling Design Point 1 2 3 5 6 14 a a a a Glenn Tootle, P.E. , Ph.D. Department DepartmentofofCivil Civiland andEnvironmental Architectural Engineering Engineering University University of Nevada, of Wyoming Las Vegas tootleg@unlv.nevada.edu tootleg@uwyo.edu Questions? Who has used / developed a hydrologic model? What model(s) did you use? Examples Conceptual Model of Watershed Modeling Typical Input • Topography • Soil Characteristics • Land cover • Land use • Meteorological data Typical Output • Streamflow • Subsurface Flow • Depth to water table Steps to Hydrologic Modeling 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Delineate watershed Obtain hydrologic and geographic data Select modeling approach Calibrate/Verify model Use model for assessment/prediction/design What is a Watershed? Area that topographically contributes to the drainage to a point of interest Natural Watershed Points of Interest • Road crossing • Stream gage • Reservoir inlet • Wastewater treatment plant • Location of stream restoration Urban Watershed 98 100 98 100 98 103 100 108 110 105 99 97 100 103 100 Design Point 98 USGS Quad Map Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Digital file that stores the elevation of the land surface a specified grid cell size (e.g., 30 meters) Geographic Data Land cover Land use Land Cover Forest Oak Woodlands Mesquite Woodlands Grasslands Desertscrub Riparian Agriculture Urban Water Barren / Clouds N 0 1992 NALC 5 10 km Hillshade DEM STATSGO EM Geographic Data Soil type/classification STATSGO Hydrologic Data Meteorological Data – – – – Temperature Precipitation Wind speed Humidity Extrapolation of point measurements – Theissen Polygons – Inverse distance weighting Hydrologic Data Streamflow Hydrologic Data Design Point 1 – Streamflow 2 Peak discharge Daily flow volume Annual flow volume 3 – Soil moisture – Groundwater level 5 6 14 a a a a Modeling Approaches (examples) TIME SCALE Empirical Regression equ’s Transfer Functions Simple models Physically-based Based on physical processes Complicated Many parameters Event-based (minute to day) Continuous Simulation (days – years) Rational Method SCS Unit Hydrograph Simple Model KINEROS Stanford Watershed Model TOPMODEL SWAT VIC-3L TOPMODEL Basis for Many Hydrologic Models Hydrologic Budget (In – Out = ΔStorage) Transpiration (T) Evaporation (E) Precipitation (P) Streamflow (Q) Groundwater out (GWout) Reservoir Groundwater in (GWin) Infiltration (I) Watershed (P + GWin) – (E + T + I + GWout + Q) = ΔStoragereservoir Which Model Should be Used? It Depends on: – What time scale are you working at? – What hydrologic quantity are you trying to obtain? – What data do you have for your watershed? – How fast of a computer do you have? Spatial Scaling of Models Semi-Distributed Lumped Parameters assigned to each subbasin A3 A1 A2 Parameters assigned to each grid cell, but cells with same parameters are grouped Fully-Distributed Parameters assigned to each grid cell Stanford Watershed Model (HSPF) Physically-based and continuous simulation Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC-3L) Continuous simulation and physically-based Macroscale hydrologic model that solves full water and energy balances VIC-3L Example Anamoly Three Layers Soil Moisture ( Upper Mississippi Basin) Anomaly Soil Moisture (inch) 200 100 0 Jan-50 -100 Sep-63 May-77 Feb-91 Oct-04 -200 Time (Month) layer1 layer2 layer3 Calibrating a Model Typically the model is calibrated against observed streamflow data Depending on the model complexity, parameters are adjusted until observed streamflow equals model streamflow Which observed value to use: – Qpeak – Qvolume – tpeak Qpeak Q tpeak Qvolume t Sensitive Parameters Precipitation Soil parameters – Hydraulic conductivity – Soil water holding capacity Evaporation (for continuous simulation) Flow routing parameters (for event-based) Uncertainties Precipitation – Extrapolation of point to other areas – Temporal resolution of data Soils information – Surveys are based on site visits and then extrapolated Routing parameters – Usually assigned based on empirical studies Use of Models Assessment – What happens if land use/land cover is changed? Prediction – Flood forecasting Design – How much flow will occur in a 100 year storm? QUESTIONS