Mind Matter and Machines
Tools for Anomalies Research
PEAR Laboratory, Princeton University
Roger Nelson rdnelson@princeton.edu
We have used many machines
All based on Random Sources
Random Drumbeat
Dual Thermistor
Electronic REG/RNG
Chaotic Fountain
Linedar Pendulum
Designing a flawless experiment
is extremely difficult, and carrying
one out is probably impossible.
- - Jessica Utts, Seeing Through Statistics
The beginning of a viable
Experiment is good design
And careful implementation
The technology has been developing
Over the last four decades
Reliable, calibrated REG/RNG devices
Increasing sophistication of design
Computer recording and analysis
Controlled explorations
Theoretical questions
Robust analyses
New generations of Random Sources
PEAR B-Box: Thermal Johnson Noise
Mindsong: Field Effect Transistor
Palmtop Portability
Replications and Extensions
How it works: Here’s 1000 Trials from
A physical random source
Each trial is the sum of 200 bits
The binomial distribution of 1000
200-bit trials, compared with
Theoretical normal distribution
expected
What happens to the data over time?
Plot cumulative deviation from expectation
A General Case
GCP Standard Analysis
Should be a Random Walk (a “drunkard’s walk”)
The REG technology is basic
Experimental questions can vary
Feedback and perspective change outcome
Feedback mode can be simple numbers
Or plots of cumulative deviations
Is one of these better?
Laboratory Experiments, PEAR:
Intention to change the REG behavior
High and Low both depart from expectation
HI
BL
LO
522 REG Experiments:
The Difference Between High and Low
Intention is Small, but is a Significant Shift
Other Experiments with
Random Physical Systems
Fabry Perot Interferometer
Crookes Tube
Dual Thermistor
Degraded Shift Register
Random Mechanical Cascade
Linear Pendulum
Linear to Turbulent Flow (Fountain)
…
An Onboard REG controls the path
of a Robot (with a Frog passenger)
Poisson distributed rotation and distance
Random Mechanical
Cascade (RMC)
The Pinball Machine
Murphy
9000 ¾ inch balls
19 collecting bins
10’ high 6’ wide
A Linear Pendulum
Swinging in Air
Increase or
Decrease Damping
Knife edge breaks
An LED beam
Timing by a 50
Nanosecond clock
A Random Event Generator
(REG or RNG)
Mindsong REG
Orion RNG
Broader Applications: A continuous running
REG in the lab, with software to mark events
In November, 1995, Rabin was Assassinated
Field REG Experiments: Take portable REG
With Palmtop Computer into the Field
Resonant vs Mundane Situations
In FieldREG there are no Assigned Intentions
We simply collect data in the situation
We find departures from expectation
Queens Grand Kings
Chamber Gallery Chamber
Departures from expectation correlate with
Coherent or Resonant group consciousness
Deeply engaging ideas and emotions
Going Global: A prototype collaboration
Colleagues in Europe and the US
Collected 12 independent data streams
Global Consciousness Project
Combined data
For a whole day, from 48 eggs
We can see better what’s happening by
Plotting the cumulative deviations
Correlation Tilts … Variance Spreads
Maybe a trend in the cumulative
Deviation is Meaningful?
Examples of the range of
Potential Global Events:
Natural disasters
Terrible accidents
The beginning of war
The Pope’s pilgrimage
Grand celebrations
Political excitement
Astrological hot spots
World-wide meditations
Tearing the Social Fabric:
Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats
Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing
Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure
September 11 Enters History of the Earth
Major disasters that engage us powerfully
Often correlate with big deviations
An exploration of context: Six hours of data
Around the beginning of bombing in Kosovo
Sept 11 prediction:
Inter-egg Variance will fluctuate
Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom
Repairing the Social Fabric:
Healing
Meditations
Prayer Vigils
Ceremonies
Holidays
A Substantial Agreement on Getting
Our Ecological Act Together
Voices For Peace -- World-Wide
Conscience -- Global Consciousness
And Yet -- A Preemptive Attack
The
March to War is No Random Walk
The Lighter Side
Celebrations:
What better example than
New Years?
An obvious prediction:
New Years celebrations
Across all (37) time zones
Three of five
are classic
examples
Prediction: New Years
Reduction of Variance
Among the Eggs
Three of five
are classic
confirmations
Questions outnumber answers
Deep engagement is powerful
Great numbers contribute
but
Does distance from the focus matter?
How about relevance to local people?
Is human consciousness necessary?
Are “experimenter effects” the source?
What kinds of events are “strongest”?
Is the effect repeatable and reliable?
Does the distance of the eggs
From the event make a difference?
1.4
Effect vs Dist, Stouffer Z, Full Day, Sept 11
1.2
Effect Size (r)
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
-0.4
US
Eastern
US
Middle
US
England, Western
Western Scandin Europe
Increasing Distance from NYC
Israel,
India,
Brazil
Africa,
Austral,
New Zeal
Categories: What seems to touch the EGG Network?
Four and a Half Years, 132 Formal Predictions
GCP Effect Size by Event Category
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.5
0.3
Category
Composite Effect
Political Event
Natural Disaster
Meditation
Misc Human
Sport Event
Misc Natural
Crash Accident
-0.5
War Acts
-0.3
Terror Attack
-0.1
Spiritual Event
0.1
Celebration
Effect Size (r)
0.9
The Bottom Line:
132 global events over 4.5 years
Odds: About 100,000 to 1