San Francisco LTMS: Accomplisments And New Challenges SFBJV, March 29, 2011 Origin of the LTMS The San Francisco Estuary Project’s CCMP • Five Key Challenges Facing the Estuary: – Decline of biological resources (especially wetlands and related habitats) – Increased pollution – Freshwater diversions and altered flow regime – Intensified land use and population – Dredging and waterway modification • The San Francisco Bay LTMS – Implementing arm of the CCMP for Dredging and Waterway Modification The LTMS Goals • Maintain…those channels necessary for navigation…and eliminate unnecessary dredging • Conduct dredged material disposal in the most environmentally sound manner • Maximize use of dredged material as a resource • Establish a cooperative permitting framework The LTMS Plan Minimize In-Bay Disposal Maximize Beneficial Reuse Percent of all Disposal 90 In-Bay Ocean Upland/Reuse 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-LTMS LTMS Plan How To Get There Step 2: 12-Year Transition Period Systematically Reduces In-Bay Disposal Initial: LTMS annual limit less than 1/2 previous limits 1/1/10: Annual limit reduced by another 1,135,500 cy Long-term Goal How Are We Doing? The LTMS Transition is On Track • In-Bay Disposal – Significantly reduced: disposal limits have been met every year – Mostly done successfully within Environmental Work Windows • Ocean Disposal – Successful low-impact alternative – Over 15 million cy diverted from in-Bay disposal to date • Beneficial Reuse – ~20 million cy has already been reused – Current and near-term capacity for many millions cy more • Beach Nourishment – ~1 million cy sand placed nearshore for Ocean Beach demo project – EPA/USACE preparing to designated official reuse site “SF-17” Montezuma Wetlands Project Sonoma Baylands & Carneros River Ranch Cullinan Ranch Hamilton Army Airfield/BMK Middle Harbor Habitat Area S. Bay Salt Ponds? SF-8/Ocean Beach Nourishment Site Bair Island Major Bay Area Beneficial Reuse Sites But Today We Face New Challenges that the LTMS Plan Did Not Foresee: • Short Term: – Escalating costs for: • Ocean disposal • Hydraulic offloading at reuse sites – Flat or decreasing dredging budgets • Long Term: – Sediment deficit (habitat erosion, Bay water quality) – Climate change – especially sea level rise – will accelerate habitat loss and other changes Changed Situation The New World: Sediment Deficit 1600 1400 SSC, mg/L 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Point San Pablo, mid-depth, Dave Schoellhamer, USGS Changed Situation Sediment Supply Shift: from the Delta to local tributaries Oakland Museum Creek Changed Situation The New World: Sea Level Rise Area subject to high tide with 16 inches of sea level rise 55 inches of sea level rise and Current 100-year flood plain Shorelines, Marshes and Beaches need sediment to keep up with sea level rise PWA & PRBO in review Sand mining removing sand Sand appears slow to replenish Patrick Barnard & Rikk Ocean Disposal Removes Sediment from the System Is the LTMS Approach to Sediment Management too Narrow? • Minimizes in-Bay disposal • Emphasizes large-scale tidal wetland projects • Ocean disposal for remaining dredged material Or Does It Need to be Re-Framed? How can LTMS help in this New World? • RSM planning: coordinate sediment sources and needs beyond navigation dredging? – Sand miners – Flood control districts – Watershed management • • • • Less reliance on mega-projects? New kinds of Beneficial Reuse, including in-Bay? New policies/laws to facilitate reuse? Your Ideas? LTMS RSM • While still working under the LTMS Management Plan for dredging: – Funding local tributaries study – Funding sediment modeling (“UnTRIM” combined with “Sedmorph” and “SWAN”) – State of the Sediment Workshop 2010 – Spring 2011 RSM Stakeholders Workshop – Stakeholder listening sessions – Work toward 2010 program review Contact Information • Brian Ross (EPA): 415.972.3475 – Ross.Brian@epa.gov • Brenda Goeden (BCDC): 415.352.3623 – brendag@bcdc.ca.gov • Al Paniccia (USACE): 415.503.6735 – Al.Paniccia@usace.army.mil • Beth Christian (Water Board) 510.622.2335 – echristian@waterboards.ca.gov