Investments: Theory and Applications Mark Hirschey Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Chapter 15 Investment Management: Mutual Funds Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. ASSESSING STOCK FUND RISK Portfolio Characteristics Common stock investors look to the company’s annual report to shareholders, 10-k report to SEC, and fund prospectus for free information about: company assets earnings management strategy Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-3 ASSESSING STOCK FUND RISK Portfolio Characteristics Mutual Fund Investors look to the fund’s annual report to shareholders and its prospectus for information about: The fund’s portfolio holdings Helps clarify the fund’s investment policies (value stocks, growth stocks, U.S. Treasuries) Level of concentration in the portfolio Historical rates of return / performance Management Investment philosophy Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-4 ASSESSING STOCK FUND RISK Portfolio Characteristics When evaluating mutual funds, performance is always the bottom line. However, it’s important to view performance in “relative” terms: Relative to: an appropriate benchmark index and against peer group competitor funds that have similar objectives and policies Yahoo! Finance Mutual Funds – Investment philosophy – Relative performance – Fees and expenses Must track performance over time to get a clear picture Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-5 ALPHA, BETA & R2 Under CAPM, the Security Market Line (SML) shows relation between expected rate of return and systematic risk E(Rp) = RF + ßP(RM – RF) ßP is beta measure of portfolio systematic (market) risk Risk premium for typical mutual fund should be ßP times as great as the market risk premium. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-6 ALPHA, BETA & R2 For any given mutual fund portfolio, the following equation can be used to identify any abnormal risk-adjusted performance: E(Rp) - RF = P + ßP(RM – RF) signifies annual return on the portfolio that cannot be tied to volatility in overall market Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-7 ALPHA, BETA & R2 If is > 0 and significant: a mutual fund portfolio has returned positive risk-adjusted performance to its shareholders, indicating superior historical portfolio manager performance performance is better than the expectation derived from the CAPM – the fund has earned an abnormal return Market-beating performance can be due to superior: Selectivity: stock-picking ability (the selection of stocks with exceptionally good risk/reward characteristics) – Warren Buffett, Fidelity’s Peter Lynch, and global investor John Templeton Market Timing: punctual purchase and sale of securities Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-8 ALPHA, BETA & R2 If is < 0 and significant, the mutual fund has underperformed the market on a risk-adjusted basis, and inferior historical performance is demonstrated. Possibly due to: Bad stock picking Bad market timing Excessive operating expenses tied with: extravagant portfolio manager compensation or unreasonably high portfolio turnover Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-9 ALPHA, BETA & R2 R2 measures the degree to which volatility of a fund’s return is explained by volatility in the overall market The lower the R2, the more fund performance depends on the fund manager’s timing and stock selection If a stock fund has a low R2, it’s hard to predict how the fund will perform compared with the overall stock market Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-10 Risk-Adjusted Performance , , and R2 aren’t very useful in depicting risk/reward ratio for mutual funds over time Sharpe Ratio: Risk premium earned relative to total risk Reward-to-variability measure (RVAR) RVAR - Ranks portfolios according to the risk premium earned relative to total risk using SD(RP) Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-11 Risk-Adjusted Performance Treynor Ratio: Risk premium earned relative to systematic risk Reward-to-volatility measure (RVOL) RVOL – ranks portfolios according to the risk premium earned relative to systematic risk using ßP Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-12 Bond Fund Investing Why Bonds? Bonds are part of many people’s and institutional investors’ portfolios. Stable income (coupon payments) Diversification Tax-exempt municipal bond income Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-13 Advantages of Investing in Individual Bonds Advantages of Individual Bond Investing (not a mutual fund): Great confidence in a given bond issuer to make all promised interest payments and to repay principal in full at maturity Choose when to buy or sell, retaining control over the timing and amount of any taxable capital gains or losses Avoid paying fees for professional management or record keeping, and thus receive all the income Assurance that the value of a given bond investment will pay in full on a certain date so that it can be targeted to pay for anticipated living expenses or an expected cost such as college tuition. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-14 Advantages of Investing in Individual Bonds When bonds of different maturity dates are purchased to meet specific expenses, a technique called laddering is used. However, brokerage commissions are incurred when buying or selling individual bonds Exception: U.S. Treasury securities my be purchased without commissions through the Treasury Direct program of the Federal Reserve System Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-15 Advantages of Bond Funds Investors may choose to have interest income automatically reinvested Appealing to small investors with limited amounts to invest: 3k for a portfolio or 1k for an IRA Can purchase additional fund shares in amounts far smaller than the cost of an individual bond. Subsequent purchases can be as low as $100 Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-16 Advantages of Bond Funds Diversification – a fund may hold hundreds of different issuers The failure of any single issuer to make interest or principal pmts has only a slight effect on the overall portfolio vs. a potential catastrophic loss for the holder of the individual bond in default Professional fund managers - are in a position to make informed trading decisions with access to: extensive research market information skilled securities traders Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-17 Advantages of Bond Funds Offer the advantage of ready liquidity Shares in a bond mutual fund may be bought or sold whenever an investor chooses via toll-free telephone number or Internet Check writing redemption options Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-18 Advantages of Bond Funds However – there are a few disadvantages: Dividend income payments tend to vary as the fund buys and sells individual bonds No fixed maturity date – funds sell off aging bonds and by newer ones which may create unwanted taxable capital gains Must redeem a bond mutual fund investment at an unknown price to receive funds which may create realizable capital gain or loss Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-19 Bond Fund Risks The value of a bond fund goes up and down with changes in credit market conditions Bond funds can be just as risky as stock funds The market value of bond funds decrease in value when interest rates rise (but increase when interest rates fall) Interest Rate Risk – is the risk that a bond fund will rise or fall in value due to changes in interest rates. (The longer a bond fund’s average time to maturity, the greater the interest rate risk.) Income risk – during periods of rising interest rates long term bonds pay a lower coupon rate relative to new bond issues. Additionally, the face value of the bonds drops Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 Harcourt, 15-20 which would produce a byloss on Inc. sale. Bond Fund Risks Call Risk: Chance of bond redemption when doing so would be economically advantageous to the issuer If market rates have fallen or a bond issuer’s credit rating has improved, bond issuers will refinance their debt at a lower interest rate – bond holders must reinvest at a lower yield Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-21 Bond Fund Risks Prepayment Risk: Chance of mortgage-backed security redemption Ginnie Maes – when interest rates fall, homeowners may pay off their mortgages early by refinancing Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-22 Bond Fund Risks Inflation risk – long-term bond investments lose purchasing power as prices rise. A serious concern to anyone relying on fixedincome coupon payments to pay “future” inflated expenses Over significant periods of time, the long-run effects of inflation on the value of a bond portfolio can be devastating Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-23 Bond Fund Risks Individual Bond Investors can lose money if an issuer defaults or if a bond’s credit rating is reduced. However, because a mutual fund invests in many bonds, the possibility that a single default would significantly impair the investor’s overall portfolio is greatly reduced. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-24 Specialized Funds Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs): tradable shares that represent proportional ownership in baskets of stocks that closely track any one of a large number of market indexes Can be purchased any time the markets are open Can be held for long term appreciation Low fees and expenses Standard and Poor’s Depository Receipts (SPDRs – called “Spiders”): ETFs that track the price performance and dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index (unit investment trusts or closed-end mutual funds) Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-25 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) DIAMONDS: ETFs that track the price performance and dividend yield of the DJIA Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-26 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) QQQs: ETFs that track the price performance and dividend yield of the Nasdaq 100 Index MidCap SPDRs: ETFs that track the price performance and dividend yield of the S&P MidCap 400 Index Select Sector SPDRs: ETFs that track the price performance and dividend yield of particular industry groups unbundle the S&P 500 Index and give investors ownership in a particular market sector or group of industries Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-27 Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) iShares: index shares (ETFs) created by Barclay’s Global Investors ETFs and iShares: Represent valuable investment vehicles for long-term investors Can serve as the core position in an investor’s portfolio by giving diversified exposure to one or more broad market indices Can compliment an existing core portfolio Can make it easy to add international exposure to domestic portfolios Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-28 Closed-End Funds Closed-End Funds: Investment companies that issue a fixed number of shares at a given point in time They collect money from investors through an initial public offering (IPO) and use the money to invest in securities The number of shares issued by the fund and the dollar value of assets under management are fixed at the time of the fund’s IPO Operate with a stable pool of money Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-29 Closed-End Funds Total assets under management grow or decline depending on management’s investment success A closed-end fund is a publicly traded investment company on the exchanges or OTC market Have a board of directors elected by shareholders Offer a wide array of investment alternatives Conventional mutual finds offer many of the same advantages with more flexibility at lower costs Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-30 Closed-End Funds Premium: when the market price per share for closed- end funds exceeds the NAV Shares sell at a premium to net asset value when investors are unusually optimistic about the fund’s investment prospects Discount: when the market price per share for a closed- end fund is less than NAV Closed-end mutual funds typically sell at a discount of 1520% because there is no implicit agreement on the part of the fund advisor to redeem shares at net asset value and they operate in relative obscurity Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-31 Hedge funds Hedge Funds: investment partnerships that use speculative investment techniques, such as leverage and short selling, that are very risky and commonly prohibited for mutual funds Largely unregulated with little reliable information about their operations Typically organized as partnership arrangements available only to sophisticated high-net-worth individuals or institutions with a minimum of $1 million to invest Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-32 Taxes Taxes on Distributions Once income dividends and capital gains distributions have been received by shareholders, they must pay any taxes due when they file their income taxes with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Income Dividends – are derived from all interest and dividend income earned from the fund’s cash investments, bonds, and stock positions The amount paid to shareholders is the fund’s net income, after subtracting fund operating expenses. Fund net realized capital gains must be fully distributed to shareholders in the same calendar year. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-33 Taxes on Distributions All income and capital gains distributions are generally subject to local, state, and federal income taxes Gains or losses on securities held one year or less before sold or exchanged are categorized as short term capital gains taxed at ordinary income tax rates Long-term capital gains on securities held more than one year are taxable at a lower federal tax rate Mutual funds send out IRS Form 1099-DIV, which details income dividends and capital gains distributions that must be reported Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-34 Taxes on Distributions Before purchasing a fund, the buyer needs to know when the fund plans to make its next distribution If a shareholder owns shares on the fund’s record date, they will receive a distribution. When a mutual fund makes a distribution, its share price and net asset value fall by the amount of the distribution. Purchasing shares shortly before a distribution is made is called “buying the dividend” and exposes the buyer to taxes on the distribution received even though net asset value per share has fallen and no true gain has been realized Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-35 Influences on the Size of Distributions Money market funds: pay dividends on interest income that are fully taxable Except in the case of low-yield funds that invest in tax-exempt municipal bonds Bond funds: typically produce relatively high levels of taxable income Stock funds: generate income from dividends paid by common stocks held in the portfolio and from capital gains on sales of stock Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-36 Influences on the Size of Distributions Frequent selling within a fund makes the fund more likely to produce taxable distributions than a fund that follows a “buy-and-hold” strategy Turnover Rate: Common measure of a mutual fund’s trading activity Funds with high turnover generate lots of short-term gains and realized long-term gains and relatively higher taxes for mutual fund shareholders. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-37 Influences on the Size of Distributions The simple “buy-and-hold strategy” is a tax- efficient means of building mutual fund shareholder wealth Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-38 Taxes on Sales and Exchanges All capital gains from the sale of mutual fund shares are taxable, even those from the sale of shares in tax-exempt funds Interest payments are tax-exempt not profit on sale Writing a check against an investment in a short-term bond fund with a fluctuating share price also triggers a sale of shares and may expose the mutual fund investor to a tax on any resulting capital gains Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-39 Taxes on Sales and Exchanges Mutual fund investors can use losses on the sale of shares to: fully offset other capital gains on mutual funds, stocks, bonds, or other investments. After capital gains have been fully offset, mutual fund shareholders can use up to $3,000 of net capital losses to offset ordinary income, such as salary or investment income, in any year Capital losses that exceed $3,000 in any year can be carried forward to offset future capital gains and ordinary income Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-40 Taxes on Sales and Exchanges Wash Sale: when an investor redeems shares at a loss and purchases shares in the same fund within 30 days In the eyes of the IRS, there was no effective sale of shares, and the investor may not be allowed to claim some or all of the realized losses on the tax return Note: Tax rules governing taxable gains and losses can be complex, and individual investors may wish to consult with a tax adviser or tax preparer for guidance in dealing with these situations Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-41 Answers to Selected End of Chapter 15 Questions and Suggested Study Study the following end-of- 11. (c) chapter questions: 2. (b) 4. (c) 12. (d) 5. (b) 19. (d) 6. (c) Read the Chapter 7. (b) Read the Chapter 9. (b) “Summary” Review the Power Point Presentation 10. (d) 13. (a) 18. (d) Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. 15-42