UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS CHAPTER 9: MEASURING NATIONAL OUTPUT & NATIONAL INCOME 9.1 GDP & GNP 9.2 Calculating GDP: The Expenditure Approach 9.3 Calculating GDP: The Income Approach 9.4 GNP & Personal Income 9.5 Nominal and Real GDP 9.6 Limitations of the GDP Concept 1 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.1 GDP & GNP Gross domestic product (GDP) is the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production located within a country. Gross national product (GNP) is the total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production owned by a country’s citizen, regardless of where the output is produced. 2 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS A. Understanding the Definition of GDP: 1. Final goods and services: Refers to goods & services produced for final use. “Final use” means no more further processing. Thus, final goods/services are generally goods/services that are readily be consumed by consumers. 2. Intermediate goods are produced by one firm for the usage in further processing by another firm. The value of intermediate goods is not counted in GDP. Why? To avoid double counting. How to count GDP? Using value added. 3. Value added is the difference between the value of goods as they leave the stage of production and the cost of the goods as they enter that stage. 3 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS B. General Rules in Calculating GDP: 1. In calculating GDP, we can either sum up the value added at each stage of production or take the value of final sales to avoid double counting. E.g. of Table 9.1: If take the value of final sales = $1.00. If use value added = $1.00. If add up all value of sales at every stage of production, we get $2.95. Those values from stage (1) to (3) are added twice compare to value added method or taking the value of final sales. 4 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Table 9.1:Value Added in the Production of a Gallon of Gasoline Value Added in the Production of a Gallon of Gasoline (Hypothetical Numbers) STAGE OF PRODUCTION VALUE OF SALES VALUE ADDED $ .50 $ .50 (2) Refining .65 .15 (3) Shipping .80 .15 1.00 .20 1.95 $ 1.0 0 (1) Oil drilling (4) Retail sale Total value added Sum of sales: 5 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Note: GDP is the market value of total production. So, productions (outputs) for the GDP calculation period that have not been sold yet still included in the GDP calculation. In contras, GDP calculation did not include those productions (outputs) that have been produced in the previous period and sold in the current GDP calculation period. Thus, The relationship between total production and total sales is represent by the following equation: GDP = final sales + change in business inventories [Refer to 9.2 (A)(3)] 6 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS GDP Calculation IGNORE / EXCLUDE: i. Purely financial transaction ii. Re-sales or Secondhand sales IF GDP Calculation ALSO EXCLUDE: GDP The output produced abroad by domestically owned factors of production Plus BUT INCLUDED: The output produced domestically by foreign owned factors of production GNP Minus 7 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Calculating GDP Expenditure Approach Income Approach Measure spending Measure income 8 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.2 Calculating GDP: The Expenditure Approach GDP = [Consumption] + [Investment] + [Government spending] + [Net Export] GDP = [Durable good + Non-durable goods + Services] + [Gross Private domestic investment] + [Federal government + State government + Local government] + [Export – Import] GDP = [Durable good + Non-durable goods + Services] + [Non-residential investment + Residential investment + Changes in inventories] + [Federal government + State government + Local government] + [Export – Import] 9 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Table 9.2: Components of U.S. GDP, 2002: The Expenditure Approach Personal consumption expenditures (C) Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment (l) Nonresidential Residential Change in business inventories Government consumption and gross investment (G) Federal State and local Net exports (EX – IM) Exports (EX) Imports (IM) Total gross domestic product (GDP) Note: Numbers may not add exactly because of rounding. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERCENTAGE OF GDP 7303.7 871.9 2115.0 4316.8 1543.2 1117.4 471.9 3.9 1972.9 69.9 8.3 20.2 41.3 14.8 10.7 4.5 0 18.9 693.7 1279.2 - 423.6 1014.9 1438.5 10446.2 6.6 12.2 - 4.1 9.8 13.8 100.0 10 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.3 Calculating GDP: The Income Approach GDP = [National income] + [Depreciation] + [(Indirect taxes – subsidies)] + [Net factor payments to the rest of the world] + [other] GDP = [Compensation to employees + Proprietors’ income + Corporate profits + Net interest + Rental income] + [Depreciation] + [(Indirect taxes – subsidies)] + [Foreigners’ income – citizens’ earning aboard] + [Business transfer payments + Discrepancy] 11 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Table 9.3: Components of U.S. GDP, 2002: The Income Approach National income Compensation of employees Proprietors’ income Corporate profits Net interest Rental income Depreciation Indirect taxes minus subsidies Net factor payments to the rest of the world Other Gross domestic product BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERCENTAG E OF GDP 8,199.9 80.3 6,010.0 943.5 748.9 554.8 58.9 7.3 7.3 5.4 142.7 1.4 1,351.3 13.2 739.4 7.2 11.1 0.1 - 96.1 10,205.6 - 0.9 100.0 12 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.4 GNP & Personal Income Table 9.4a: GDP, GNP, NNP, National Income, Personal Income, and Disposable Personal Income, 2002 DOLLARS (BILLIONS) GDP Plus: receipts of factor income from the rest of the world Less: payments of factor income to the rest of the world Equals: GNP Less: depreciation Equals: net national product (NNP) Less: indirect taxes minus subsidies plus other Equals: national income Less: corporate profits minus dividends Less: social insurance payments Plus: personal interest income received from the government and consumers Plus: transfer payments to persons Equals: personal income Less: personal taxes Equals: disposable personal income 10,205.6 + 342.1 - 353.2 10,194.5 - 1,351.3 8,843.2 - 643.3 8,199.9 - 332.6 - 731.2 + 439.1 +1,148.7 8,723.9 - 1,306.2 13 7,417.7 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS Table 9.4b: Disposable Personal Income and Personal Saving, 2002 DOLLARS (BILLION S) Disposable personal income Less: Personal consumption expenditures Interest paid by consumers to business Personal transfer payments to foreigners Equals: personal saving Personal savings as a percentage of disposable personal income: 7,417.7 - 7063.5 - 204.3 - 31.3 118.6 1.6% 14 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.4 Nominal & Real GDP Nominal GDP is GDP measured in current dollars, or the current prices we pay for things. When a variable is measured in current dollars or the current price, it is described in nominal terms but it can be adjusted into real terms. Nominal GDP adjusted for price changes is called real GDP. Real GDP = Nominal GDP / price index 15 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 9.5 Limitations of the GDP Concept 1. Most of the social and humanist aspects are not captured in the GDP or other national accounting measurements. E.g. society is better off when crime decreases, however, a decrease in crime is not reflected in GDP. 2. An increase in leisure is an increase in social welfare, but not counted in GDP. In contrast, increase in leisure will tend to decrease output (GDP). 16 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 3. Non-market and household activities are not counted in GDP even though they amount to real production. E.g. the “output” of a housewife taking care of her children or family is not counted in the GDP, implying that mother housewives’ contributing to the economy is not recognized 4. GDP accounting rules do not adjust for production that pollutes the environment. 5. GDP has nothing to say about the distribution of output. Re-distributive income policies have no direct impact on GDP. 17 UBEA 1013: ECONOMICS 6. GDP is neutral to the kinds of goods an economy produces. It did not differentiate the important goods (e.g. medicines or foods) against ‘harmful’ goods (cigarettes). 7. The underground economy is the part of an economy in which transactions take place and in which income is generated that is unreported and therefore not counted in GDP. End 18