Learning Targets: 1. The student will understand major economic indicators. 2. The student can identify and explain economic indicators such as the GDP, CPI and the Unemployment Rate. • Today’s indicator: The Unemployment Rate Macroeconomic Goals • 1. Full Employment – an unemployment rate low enough so people can find jobs, but not so low as to cause wages to go up. • 2. Price Stability – Average prices stable or slowly increasing. • Economic Growth – The GDP Per Person increasing at a stable rate but not growing so much as to increase prices. UNEMPLOYMENT https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web &cd=1&cad=rja&ved=0CC4QtwIwAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.y outube.com%2Fwatch%3Fv%3D75SEy1qu71I&ei=qv1_UsToDqnXyg HK2IHIBA&usg=AFQjCNF2iy_GQsn5AP9ZLL0X_IrZ366R1Q&sig2=GF ArQjRCqto2O0Gojp8-hA&bvm=bv.56146854,d.aWc http://www.youtube.com/watch?fea ture=player_detailpage&v=EaqcC5zZ 5Fc Obviously… • …unemployment means that you are out of work– laid off….fired…downsized…out of a job. • While this state may signal a “new beginning”, it is usually not a pleasant status. For the Government, “The Unemployed” is: The portion of the labor force that is not working but is willing and able and has actively looked in the past 30 days. or The percentage of the labor force actively seeking work after looking during the past 30 days. Natural Unemployment Rate = 4-6% (Lowest rate w/o causing inflation) U.S. POPULATION: Non-Labor Force NOT in Labor Force •Under 16 •Institutionalized •Retirees •Military •FT Students •Stay-at-Home Parents •Discouraged Workers Labor Force UNEMPLOYED EMPLOYED Or, as Khan Academy explains, • http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/201 0/02/khan-academy-how-to-calculate-theunemployment-rate.html • This is a 2010 Khan video made for PBS Newshour. Now let’s practice by calculating a classroom unemployment rate… • Form groups of approximately 4 – 5 persons with the people right around you. Choose a secretary (to write down the numbers) and a spokesperson. • Take the role given to you and be ready to apply the questions of unemployment to that or those persons. For each identity given… 1. Are you currently working at a job outside of school… 2. If not, are you not working by choice – does not want a job… 3. Or, not working, no job, but gave up looking. 4. Or, not working, no job, and has actively (applied, interviewed, gone in?) looked in the past 4 weeks. Total up – for your group…and have your reporter tell us… • 1. # of people who currently have a job. • 2. # of people who have no job, but have actively looked in the past 4 weeks. • ………………………………………………… • # of people who gave up. • # of people who don’t want a job. Total the numbers from the Smartboard… • Calculate our classroom unemployment rate by adding the employed to those actively looking for work and not finding it, and then… • Divide the # actively looking and not finding a job by the total from above. Current U.S. Unemployment Rate • The “U-3” unemployment rate- the most commonly reported rate is calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and can be found at www.bls.gov. • This rate is reported on the first Friday of the month for the previous month. • Last Friday the rate for October was reported as 5.8%, up .1% from September. Minnesota is almost always lower than the nation’s average. • Minnesota: 5.1% (August, 2013) • Twin Cities: 4.7% (August, 2013) • Nationally, the unemployment problem hits some states harder than others, and some counties harder within states. • Which state(s) have the lowest (best) unemployment situation? Can you suggest why? • Minnesota 10/14- 4.1% TC = 3.6% The counting system presents some problems, so other rates try to correct. • The U-6 adds in those person who are working part-time, but want full time work, and those who are considered “discouraged workers”those who gave up looking. • Current U-6: 13.8% (October, 2013) up .2% from September. Problems with the Unemployment Rate as an Indicator of Economic Health • Discouraged workers are ignored! • This means people who do not look for work are not counted. • Involuntary part-time workers are considered as working and in the labor force. Types of Unemployment Economists identify four types of unemployment. Mike islaid temporarily laid off at from Example: Bob off structural, from his a ishis Example: Megan’s factory is job eliminated The first three –is frictional, and seasonal Example: Tina quits her job job because she lifeguard job during the Minnesota coffee shop a exist recession unemployment – can even incauses a growing when atonew machine iscold invented that adoes unable getwhen the hours he wants. She is winter months. economy. Thehuman fourth, cyclical large decrease in be the demand foranother coffee. job. not require labor. confident she will able tounemployment, find emerges during an economic downturn. Frictional Unemployment http://www.youtube.com/watch?f eature=player_detailpage&v=Eaqc C5zZ5Fc Structural Unemployment http://www.pbs.org/pov/seltzerwo rks/ Cyclical Unemployment Howondothese these Based data, what generalizations unemployment can youhelp maketoabout data theexplain health ofwhat the U.S. economy during the you see in the Great Depression? photograph? The government is MOST concerned with cyclical unemployment and takes steps to correct it. What field are “The best cure for unemployment is economic growth.” The Economic Costs of High Unemployment • Lost potential output – Produce inside PPC • Economic cost for families – Lost income, medical benefits, etc. • Societal cost – Loss of income taxes – Unemployment pay/benefits Let’s practice looking at some data… Based what explain you knowthe about During which of these years Whaton might explain the What might the unemployment rate andrate how was the unemployment fluctuations between 1933 decrease in unemployment it’s determined, what might the lowest? The highest? and 1940? after 1940? explain the rise in unemployment Howondothese these Based data, what generalizations unemployment can you help maketo about data the health of the U.S. explain what economy during the you see in the Great Depression? photograph? Go to the worksheet provided: • Look at the graphs on the worksheet and answer the questions for each.