european capacity building initiative ecbi european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités ecbi Equity and CBDR/RC on the Durban Platform 2012 ecbi Fellowships Benito Müller for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques UNFCCC Article 3.1 What is done to protect the climate system, and how it is carried out should be equitable and in accordance with CBDR/RC. How? Procedural Justice Distributive Justice What? Distributive Justice european capacity building initiative ecbi [Art. 3.1] The Parties should protect the climate system for the benefit of present and future generations of humankind, on the basis of equity and in accordance with their common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities. Accordingly, the developed country Parties should take the lead in combating climate change and the adverse effects thereof. Distributive Justice: Definitions Distributive Justice Principles of distributive justice are normative principles designed to guide the allocation of the benefits and burdens of economic activity. http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/justice-distributive/ As far as distributive justice definition is concerned, the term distributive justice is referred to as equal distribution of resources that are scarce among all demographics and population sectors, no matter what socioeconomic group they belong. http://www.justicedefinition.com/distributive-justice-definition.html european capacity building initiative ecbi Distributive Justice: the justice that is concerned with the apportionment of privileges, duties, and goods in consonance with the merits of the individual and in the best interest of society Two Paradigms − one Methodology ‘This, then, is what the just is – the proportional; the unjust is what violates the proportion.’ Aristotle, Nicomachean Ethics, Book V II. “Burden sharing”: Sharing costs/benefits of the manner in which the climate system is being protected. • Proposed Distributive Justice Principles: Polluter Pays (and Solidarity) • Aristotelian parameters: responsibility levels (and capability levels) NB: • Allocations of emissions permits/space will impose (direct) costs and benefits, and they will have to be treated as just, if the allocations are deemed to be just. • Burden sharing covers more issues than mitigation (e.g. adaptation and impact burdens) that will have to be addressed. european capacity building initiative ecbi I. “Resource Allocation”: Sharing limited emission permits/space between countries • Proposed Distributive Justice Principle: Egalitarian (‘per capita’) • Aristotelian parameter: population size What differentiation? United States Input to the Negotiating Text for Consideration at the 6th Session of the AWG-LCA Section 1 – Mitigation : Article 2 1. Developed country Parties: a. For each such Party, Appendix 1 includes quantitative emissions reductions/removals in the 2020/[ ] timeframe, in conformity with domestic law. b. Each such Party shall formulate and submit a low-carbon strategy for long-term net emissions reductions of at least [ ] by 2050. 2. Recognizing that the circumstances of countries naturally evolve over time, Paragraph 1 above shall apply, when Appendix 1 is next updated, to other Parties in accordance with objective criteria of economic development. 3. Developing country Parties whose national circumstances reflect greater responsibility or capability: a. For each such Party, Appendix 1 includes nationally appropriate mitigation actions in the 2020/[] timeframe that are quantified (e.g., reduction from business-as-usual) and are consistent with the levels of ambition needed to contribute to meeting the objective of the Convention. b. Each such Party shall formulate and submit a low-carbon strategy for long-term net emissions reductions by 2050, consistent with the levels of ambition needed to contribute to meeting the objective of the Convention. c. Appendix 1 shall include date(s) by which the Party will commit to the type of action referred to in paragraph 1(a) above. d. Other developing country Parties should implement nationally appropriate mitigation actions and develop low-carbon strategies, consistent with their capacity. european capacity building initiative ecbi (4 May 2009) What responsibility? european capacity building initiative ecbi • The state or fact of being accountable; liability, accountability for something • The fact of having a duty to do something. Responsibility to ‘Today we have learned in the agony of war that great power involves great responsibility.’ Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1945 Jefferson Day Dinner speech (Posthumously published in Ben D. Zevin, Nothing to Fear: The Selected Addresses of Franklin D. Roosevelt, 19321945:p.455) ‘Un grand pouvoir implique de grandes responsabilités’ Attributed to Voltaire (Œuvres de Voltaire, Volume 48, Lefèvre, 1832, not verified) european capacity building initiative ecbi “With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility” Responsibility for european capacity building initiative ecbi Benito Müller, Niklas Höhne, and Christian Ellermann (October 2007) What equity? I. In general. The quality of being equal or fair; fairness, impartiality; even-handed dealing. II. In Jurisprudence. The recourse to general principles of justice (the naturalis æquitas of Roman jurists) to correct or supplement the provisions of the law. equity of a statute: the construction of a statute according to its reason and spirit, so as to make it apply to cases for which it does not expressly provide. european capacity building initiative ecbi b : the money value of a property or of an interest in a property in excess of claims or liens against it. Equality on the Durban Platform “Treat like cases as like” Nicomachean Ethics, V.3. 1131a10-b15; Politics, III.9.1280 a8-15, III. 12. 1282b18-23 Full Aristotelian Conception Descriptively equal cases ought to be treated equally, descriptively unequal cases ought to be treated unequally, according to their degree of inequality. european capacity building initiative ecbi Aristotle’s principle of formal equality: The Oxford Measure − of Capability to Pay 2012 ecbi Fellowships Benito Müller european capacity building initiative ecbi european capacity building initiative initiative européenne de renforcement des capacités ecbi for sustained capacity building in support of international climate change negotiations pour un renforcement durable des capacités en appui aux négociations internationales sur les changements climatiques Capability as Ability to Pay − A Taxation Model Tax Liability vs Charity Gross Capability Axioms (gdp = GDP/cap) If gdpk = gdpm then GCk : GCm = GDPk : GDPm If GDPk = GDPm then GCk : GCm = GDPk : GDPm european capacity building initiative ecbi Capability = Gross Capability minus Capability Adjustment Ck = GCk − Cak [cu : capacity unit] taxable income = gross income minus tax allowances Capability as Ability to Pay − A Taxation Model european capacity building initiative ecbi Homogeneous World Solution (gdpk ≡ gdpm ) Gross Capability = National Income GCk ≈ GDPk Oxford Gross Capability Gross Capability = Progressively weighted National Income: OGCk = γk × GDPk, with γk = gdpk / gdpworld [cu/$] Gross Capability Examples GDP (2009 $ PPP) GDP and Gross Capabilities $15,000 $60,000 $50,000 $11,000 $40,000 $9,000 $7,000 $30,000 $5,000 $20,000 $3,000 $10,000 $1,000 -$1,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita european capacity building initiative ecbi World per capita GDP (2009): $10’643 $13,000 Gross Capability Examples OGCk = γk × GDPk, [γk = gdpk / gdpworld ] Gross Capabilities GDP (2009 $ PPP) GDP and Gross Capabilities 65,000 $15,000 $65,000 65,000 $13,000 $55,000 55,000 50,000 $11,000 $45,000 45,000 $9,000 40,000 $35,000 35,000 $7,000 60,000 γUS = 4.3 55,000 50,000 45,000 γEU = 3.0 40,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 $25,000 25,000 $5,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 $15,000 $3,000 γCH = 0.6 15,000 10,000 10,000 $5,000 $1,000 15,000 γJP = 3.0 5,000 5,000 γIN = 0.3 0 0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita -$5,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita $0 -$1,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita european capacity building initiative ecbi World per capita GDP (2009): $10’643 60,000 Gross Capability Examples OGCk = (γk)δ × GDPk, δ ≥ 0 Gross Capabilities GDP (2009 $ PPP) 65,000 $15,000 9 60,000 $13,000 55,000 8 50,000 $11,000 7 45,000 $9,000 6 40,000 35,000 5 $7,000 US (γ = 4.3) 30,000 4 25,000 $5,000 3 EU; Japan (γ = 3.0) 20,000 $3,000 15,000 2 10,000 1 China (γ = 0.6) $1,000 5,000 India (γ = 0.29) 0 0 0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita $0 -$1,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 δ european capacity building initiative ecbi γδ Gross Capability Examples Gross Capability (δ = 0) OGCk = (γk)δ × GDPk, δ ≥ 0 Gross Capability (δ = 1) Gross Capabilities (δ = 0.8) $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita european capacity building initiative ecbi Reference level Oxford Measure − Capability Adjustment PCAk = Πk × PHk [cu] Multidimensional Poverty Index: MPIk [scalar] PCAk = Π × Pk × MPIk , with Pk = population european capacity building initiative ecbi Capability = Gross Capability minus Capability Adjustment Adjustment for what? The size of the domestic poverty problem • Poverty Capability Adjustment PCAk Measuring the size of the poverty problem − two dimensions: • Poverty Headcount PHk [number of poor people] • Poverty Intensity Index: PIk [scalar] • Global Poverty Capability Allowance Π [cu/person] • Differentiated Poverty Capability Allowance Πk = Π × PIk [cu/person] Oxford Measure − Global Capability Allowance Π Zero Capability Allowances 10,000 Bhutan 9,000 Namibia 8,000 Swaziland 7,000 Zero Capability Allowances (ZCAk) OCMk = OGCk − Π × Pk × MPIk 0 = OGCk − ZCAk × Pk × MPIk Vanuatu 6,000 5,000 4,000 Congo 3,000 Π =def 3 × ZCALDC Angola 2,000 3 × ZCALDC 1,000 LDC average (ZCALDC) GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita 0 $10,000 Africa(-) $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0 LDCs Africa(-) = Sub-Saharan w/o South Africa european capacity building initiative ecbi Poverty Capability Adjustment = Global Capability Poverty Allowance (Π) × Population × Multidimensional Poverty Index PCAk = Π × Pk × MPIk , Gross and Net Capability Examples Net Capability (δ = 1; Π = 3×ZCALDC) Gross Capability (δ = 1) Gross Capability (δ = 0) $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita european capacity building initiative ecbi Reference level Net Capability: Sensitivity to Choice of Poverty Allowance Π 0 1 2 3 4 5 Capability Intensity (OCMk /GDPk) 400% 1 300% 2 3 4 5 6 106% 104% 200% 102% 100% 100% 98% 0% 96% 94% -100% 92% -200% -300% LDC Slope = ̶ Poverty Intensity −(Poverty Headcount × Poverty Intensity)/GDP −(PHk × PIk )/ × GDPk european capacity building initiative ecbi Poverty Allowance Π = ZCALDC × Oxford Measure: Capability Headroom Capability Headroom = − Capability/GDP [%] 1,000 % (Log scale) Burundi 666% δ = 1, Π = 3 × ZCALDC LDC aggregate 100 10 Djibouti 9% GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita 1 $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 european capacity building initiative ecbi (for countries with negative capability) Oxford Measure − Sample Capabilities I $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 65,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita 60,000 US 55,000 50,000 Non-zero Capability 45,000 EU 40,000 Capability 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 Japan China 5,000 Brazil South Africa 0 -5,000 Russia India LDC aggr. Canada Saudi Switzerland UAE Australia Zero Capability european capacity building initiative ecbi δ = 1, Π = 3 × ZCALDC Oxford Measure − Sample Capabilities II 7,000 UK 6,000 China 5,000 Russia Canada Spain 4,000 S. Korea Australia 3,000 Brazil Mexico Netherlands 2,000 Belgium Austria Poland Saudi Turkey Switzerland 1,000 EgyptThailandS. Africa Argentina Indonesia Pakistan Malaysia Nigeria Colombia 0 Kazakhstan Ukraine Ethiopia Bangladesh India Czech R. UAE Non-zero Capability Italy Sweden Greece -1,000 Zero Capability LDC Aggregate -2,000 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 GDP ($PPP, 2009) per capita european capacity building initiative ecbi France δ = 1, Π = 3 × ZCALDC european capacity building initiative ecbi Thank you!