American Politics & Foreign Policy Congressional Sources of USFP and Societal Sources of USFP Prof. Jaechun Kim CONGRESS AND FOREIGN POLICY MAKING “President proposes, Congress disposes.” President proposes an agenda and the Congress disposes or votes on the various proposals. Congress has been acquiescent in early Cold War era, (Cold War consensus) but after the Vietnam War, this has changed… Congress has enacted a number of legislation to place limits on presidential leadership in FP. This was a response to the “imperial presidency” of the Vietnam era. After the Cold War, American public is more tolerant toward Congressional dissent to presidential foreign policy initiatives. But after 911 this changes… toward 2008 this changes again!! Obama’s victory But FP power is still vested in the hands of the P. The problem is that the Congress lacks the will… and other obstacles… Obstacles to Congressional Foreign Policy Making Parochialism Congressmen depend for their survival on satisfying their constituents’ parochial interests; need to attend more to domestic than to international concerns… “being national-minded can be a positive hazard to a legislative career!!!” (Sundquist 1976) The President’s vantage point is much different. Broader outlook… Organizational Weaknesses Fragmentation of power and responsibility within Congress (decentralized Congress) There are over half of the standing committees in both the House and Senate that have broadly defined jurisdictions over FP responsibilities. Consistency and coordination is difficult cf. President Lack of Expertise and Resources Think of President’s bureaucratic resources! Past Relationship bet President and Congress The Cold War Phase (1945-1968) • Mostly Congressional deference to presidential leadership. the period of the Cold War consensus.. the period of the bipartisanship. Accommodation (1943-51) FDR; Cooperative Federalism; Ascendance of P Gov. Antagonism (Truman years: 1951-1955) McCarthyism fell within this period. Who lost China? Congress - Not happy with limited war in Korea… Acquiescence (1955-65) Ambiguity (LBJ vs. Fulbright) Post-Vietnam Phase The period of acrimony and period of Congressional assertiveness… “Politics stops at the water’s edge” no longer true after Nixon… spirit of bipartisanship is lost.. Presidents complaining about “Imperial Congress” during the Reagan era “Foreign policy has become almost synonymous with lawmaking. The result is to place a straitjacket of legislation around the manifold complexity of our relations with other nations.” Reagan - “We have got to get to the point where we can run a foreign policy without a committee of 535 telling us what we can do” Post Cold War Phase Similar to the patterns that developed toward the end of the post Vietnam phase – struggle between the president and the Congress over FP. American public is more tolerant to legislative dissent on foreign affairs. While Bush and CLINTON had some success on big issues – the Gulf War for Bush, NATO expansion and Russian aid for Clinton, the overall pattern was sharply partisan and antagonistic… Post 911 Phase Return of Congressional deference? Obama Era After the level-headed assessment of 911, the Congress became more assertive… still foreign policy making authority is in the hands of the president Societal Sources of US Foreign Policy Political Culture & the US Foreign Policy Revisited * What is political culture? * What is the core American culture or value? Strong liberal tradition The mainstream American political beliefs may be labeled as (classical) liberalism John Locke Declaration of Independence and the Constitution Adam Smith: invisible hand of the market Classical democratic theory combined with capitalism gave rise to a deeply entrenched ideology of democratic capitalism. Conservatives = ‘traditional liberals’ Liberal tradition and American foreign policy behavior To mobilize support for their (realist) actions abroad leaders invoke self-determination, self-preservation, or other liberal ideals and values… Exceptional American political experience – We are the chose ones! - Beacon light of democracy; Americans installed capitalist liberal democracy without bloodshed or too many conflicts. Promotion of Democracy has been the main theme of American foreign policy. Americans think installing Democratic Capitalism in other countries is also easy; Change and developments are easy; all good things go together (linear relationship between economic and political development) * American economic aid econ develop would beget political development… Distributing political power is more important than accumulating it! On many occasions American foreign policy behaviors have been at odds with American liberal tradition. But they were justified in the name of seeking loftier goal of promoting (or protecting) liberal values… Public Opinion and Foreign Policy Political participation in democracies - theory and practice In democracies mass public does (or should) dictate policy choices. Public has information and constraining mechanism… “Foreign policy does not rest on a definition of the national interests. It rests on public opinion.” (Schlesinger 1989) Does this (liberal democratic) theory operate in practice? The nature and impact of American public opinion Do they make informed choices? Or are they just so ignorant? cf. In 1985, about 30 percent of Americans thought that the Soviet Union and the US fought each other in WWII; 44 percent did not know the two were allies at that time. “Almond-Lippman” consensus The general public is disinterested in foreign policies and the public opinions regarding foreign policies are in general volatile and poorly organized and the public has little impact on the making of foreign policy. (Almond,1950, 1956; Rosenau,1961; Converse,1964; Lippmann,1962; Cohen,1973) “Rational Public” thesis The public is relatively well-informed in the matters of foreign policies policy and the public opinions concerning foreign policies are coherent and stably structured. Public opinion influences foreign policy making processes to a significant extent (Monroe, 1979; Page & Shapiro, 1983, 1992; Shapiro & Page, 1994; Russett, 1990; Wittkopf, 1990; Hinckley, 1992). Normative implications of the debate – Should public influence making of (American) foreign policy? Advocates of the Almond-Lippmann model are skeptical of the public's contribution to foreign policy making processes. (Mearsheimer, 1990; Morgenthau, 1960; Kennan, 1984) The revisionist theories tend to claim that the public "should" affect the foreign policy making because of democratic norms and the sound effect of the public's restraining influence on elite choices. (Ninic, 1992) * Are they (mass public) really ignorant? They are interested in the most salient foreign policy issues of the nation…. They are able to discriminate among issues… They are able to hold politically relevant foreign policy beliefs… beliefs may not be sophisticated, but coherent and relevant… In collectivity, they are shrewd Core belief is less susceptible to change e,g., Contra War in Nicaragua ed. * How decision-makers perceive and react to public opinion? Decision-making elites in general consider the segments of the public world - the news media and the citizenry alike – as elements to be ripe for the influenced. • Then does (should) elites lead foreign policies? • Then does (should) public opinion influence (American) making of foreign policy??? American military action, casualties, and public opinion Mueller's analyses (1973, 1994) of American public opinion on of the Korean, Vietnam, and Gulf Wars show that public support for war declined as a logarithmic function of casualty rates. Short and decisive military actions which produce insignificant American casualties have been very popular… Democracies win wars they initiate. Media and US Foreign Policy * Most of the public's understanding of foreign policy issues is affected by the media coverage. * Not only does the mass media transmit information from decision decision-makers to the public, but it also relays the public's opinions to its elected representatives (Seaver, 1998). The "agenda-reflecting" school The media merely reflects or relates the government’s agenda and passively transmits it to the public (Carpenter, 1995; Neuman, 1996; Chomsky & Herman, 1988). The “Agenda-building” school Media influences the foreign policy agenda only to the extent that the public accepts or shares the media’s agenda (Genest, 1995; Robinson, 1999). National mood and the behavior of the American media Early Cold War era – lap-dog not watch-dog of the government After Vietnam War – rise of muckraking, investigative journalism