EU-MODA: Poverty and Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis in the EU Chris de Neubourg Paris, November 2015 TIAS School for Business and Society, Tilburg University, SPRI, Brussels, EPRI, Cape Town. Poverty is usually measured not having enough resources - money “Poverty is not having the financial resources necessary to support a person at the subsistence level of food, shelter, clothing and other necessities” (Rowntree, 1901) • In EU: at risk of poverty: 60% (50%) median national income EPRI Monetary poverty: as a proxy measure Monetary poverty measures solve an aggregation and weighting problem Income needed to pay for this shelter food Other necessities clothing EPRI But what is poverty?? “Poverty is not having the financial resources necessary to support a person at the subsistence level of food, shelter, clothing and other necessities” ? We can study that by looking at the financial resources to … But we can also study: Whether people have enough (adequate) food, shelter, clothing and other necessities First = monetary poverty Second = deprivations or deprivation poverty EPRI Monetary poverty: How do we calculate monetary child poverty? • Child Poverty Headcount Ratio • Children in poor households= X% of all children • It is very common globally, and usual in SSA, for children to be overrepresented in poor households • e.g. Children are 40% of population but 50% of the poor • Consider headcount ratios by household type/composition 5 Monetary poverty: What about child poverty? Why should we focus on child poverty? • Different because – Basic needs for children are different than those for adults – Children are dependent on others and less mobile, their environment is especially important – Children do not control income, income may not be spent in ways that benefit children, must therefore measure their welfare directly • Important to focus on children because – Poverty can have lasting effects, alter a child’s life forever – Returns to investing in children occur in the future, but policy-makers can be ‘short-sighted’ and focus on present, ignoring future Child poverty is probably better measured by deprivation or at least we need to look at both aspects: living in a poor family and not having what is needed (being deprived) Thus we need monetary poverty and deprivation poverty “Poverty is not having the financial resources necessary to support a person at the subsistence level of food, shelter, clothing and other necessities” ? We can study that by looking at the financial resources to … But we can also study: Whether people have enough (adequate) food, shelter, clothing and other necessities First = monetary poverty Second = deprivations or deprivation poverty EPRI Monetary poverty ≠ deprivation • Missing markets of basic services and goods • Intra-household differences in needs and ‘says’: – Do not always get their fair share in a household [Intra-household distribution of wealth (discrimination)] – Children cannot make consumption decisions themselves [Lack of consumer sovereignty] • Discrepancy remains an issue even for highly developed economies: – Children’s needs often have a high public good character [Public/private nature of some goods and services and their pricing] – Having enough money [financial resources] does not always imply access to goods and services – Not having financial resources does not always imply not having access to goods and services EPRI Bulgaria Belgium Finland Monetary poverty ≠ deprivation Monetary poverty (NPL) and deprivation (K=3 or K=4) for all children (0-17 years in Mali 100.0 85.7 Deprivation/poverty rate in % 90.0 80.0 73.0 72.4 70.0 60.5 60.0 50.0 59.0 49.1 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 56.0 53.3 50.1 46.4 69.7 29.1 16.0 9.010.5 0.0 Deprived (K=3) 51.9 46.744.5 49.7 32.9 23.1 15.9 48.8 Monetary poor 28.1 In conclusion • Not everybody who is poor is deprived • Not everybody who is deprived is poor • They mean different things • They measure different things they may identify different people EPRI Conceptual clarity: 3 types of poverty • MONETARY POVERTY – Poverty measured with reference to a pre-defined benchmark to minimum necessary income/consumption • DEPRIVATION (POVERTY) – Poverty measured by missing essential basic needs • SUBJECTIVE POVERTY – self-assessed poverty/wellbeing/deprivation WELLBEING FINANCIAL POVERTY DEPRIVATION POVERTY EQUITY SUBJECTIVE POVERTY Multidimensional Poverty ?? Not having enough resources to pay for shelter, food etc. shelter clothing Other necessities Defining deprivation: additional challenges Other necessities • Define “other necessities” • Select indicators and dimensions (and solve the aggregation and weighting problems) • Relevance of needs across life-stages: life cycle approach • Neither loose dimensionality • Nor get lost in dimensions EU-MODA vs. other approaches 1. EU-MODA uses a ‘child-centered approach’ 2. EU-MODA adopts a ‘life-cycle approach’ with extensive attention for overlaps in deprivations and poverty 3. EU-MODA builds on existing tools of multidimensional poverty measurement (Bristol, Oxford OPHI, Marlier & Guio) 4. EU-MODA helps to create profiles of deprived children 5. EU-MODA supports integrative approach to policy-making (i.e., integration of sectors) 6. EU-MODA integrates monetary poverty analysis and deprivation analysis EU-MODA: (special case of CC-MODA for low- and middle income countries) • Data from the EU-SILC 2009: EU-27 plus NO and IS – – Child-centred deprivation indicators from the Material Deprivation module Deprivation is defined as lacking an item because the household cannot afford it or for any other reason • Four levels of analysis – – – – Single deprivation Multiple deprivation Monetary poverty Multiple deprivation and monetary poverty overlap • Three age-groups • National and comparative • Three age groups – – – Pre-school age School age Aged 17-18 • National and international comparative – analyses made for separate countries – comparative analyses between countries or groups of countries EU-MODA: Dimensions of deprivation Below minimum compulsory school age School age, under 16 Age 17-18 (excluding those under one) • Nutrition • Clothing • Early childhood education and care (ECEC) • Child development • Information • Housing • • • • • • • Nutrition Clothing Educational resources Leisure Social Information Housing • • • • • • Age 17-18: no data for BE, CZ, DK, FI, IS, NL, NO, SE, SI, UK due to high incidence of missing values Clothing Activity Leisure and social Healthcare access Information Housing EU-MODA: Indicators of deprivation • Nutrition – – Fruit/vegetables once a day One meal with meat once a day • Clothing – – Some new clothes Two pairs of shoes • ECEC / Educational resources / Economic activity – – – Pre-school: at least one hour a week in formal childcare School age: School trips & Suitable place at home to study Aged 17-18: Not in education, employment, or training (NEET) EU-MODA: Indicators of deprivation • Child development / leisure / social – – Pre-school: Books at home; Games (outdoor, indoor); Social activities (celebrations, friends) School-age: • • – Books at home; Games (outdoor, indoor); Social activities; Regular leisure activity – Leisure dimension Celebrations on special occasions; Having friends round to play – Social dimension Aged 17-18: • Social life; regular leisure activity • Healthcare access (aged 17-18 only) – – Unmet medical need Unmet dental need • There was at least once occasion during the last 12 months when the person really needed examination or treatment but did not have it for any reason. EU-MODA: Indicators of deprivation • Information – – – Computer Internet Mobile phone (aged 17-18 only) • Housing – – Overcrowding (Eurostat definition) Water and sanitation • – The dwelling lacks at least one of the following: a bath/shower for sole use of the household; an indoor flushing toilet for sole use of the household; hot running water Multiple housing problems • The dwelling suffers from at least one of the following: a leaking roof, damp roof/walls/foundation, rot in window frames or floor; there is not enough day light coming through the windows. MODA – Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis for children EPRI Belgium: headcount by number of simultaneous deprivations; pre-school age Greeceheadcount by number of simultaneanous deprivations; pre-school age Belgium Number of deprivations by migrant status; pre-school age Overlapping deprivation in education, nutrition and clothing: Finland and Romania The single framework: MODA Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis Encompassing: - Single indicator analysis Single dimension analysis Multidimensional deprivation counting Multidimensional overlap analysis Multidimensional poverty indices and their decomposition Profiling in single deprivation and dimension analysis Profiling in multidimensional overlap analysis Overlap analysis and distributional analysis deprivation – mon. poverty - Focussed on children in current application but applicable to adults EPRI References EU-MODA: Chzhen, Y. (2013), ‘Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis for the European Union (EU-MODA) – Technical Note’, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence, forthcoming. De Neubourg C. and Y. Chzhen, (2013), Monitoring Child Poverty and Well-Being in the European Union – Integrated Overlapping Deprivation and Poverty Analysis’, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence, forthcoming. CC-MODA Technical Note: De Neubourg, C., J. Chai, M. de Milliano, I. Plavgo, Z. Wei (2012), 'Cross-country MODA Study: Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis (MODA) - Technical note', Working Paper 2012-05, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence. Step-by-step guidelines to MODA: De Neubourg, C., J. Chai, M. de Milliano, I. Plavgo, Z. Wei (2012), 'Step-by-Step Guidelines to the Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis (MODA)', Working Paper 2012-10, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence. MODA in the context of multidimensional poverty/deprivation measures: De Neubourg, C., M. de Milliano, I. Plavgo (2013), 'Lost (in) dimensions', Working Paper - forthcoming, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence, forthcoming. MODA the basics: De Neubourg, C., J. Chai, M. de Milliano, I. Plavgo, Z.Wei (2013), ‘The Challenge of Multidimensional Child Deprivation Indicators: Reducing complexity without killing the multidimensionality; progress through Multiple Overlapping Deprivation Analysis (MODA)’, Working Paper – forthcoming, UNICEF Office of Research, Florence, forthcoming. Web-portal 2009 • www.unicef-irc.org/MODA www.SPRIglobal.org