Aggregate Expenditures • The four expenditure components of national income accounting were developed around the multiplier model. AE = C + I + G + (X - IM) Expenditures Function • AE = C + I + G + (X - IM) • AEo = autonomous expenditures that don’t change as income changes. • AE/ Y = those expenditures that change as income changes • We simplify the model for Econ 100: we pretend that only consumption changes when income changes. The Marginal Propensity to Consume • The mpc is the fraction spent from an additional dollar of income. change in consumption C mpc change in income Y Consumption and Income • Consumption depends on income. When income rises, consumption increases. • The marginal propensity to consume is the change in c divided by the change in y. – YD = C + S – MPC = C/YD – MPS = S/YD Consumption and Saving • The MPC plus the MPS equals one. • To see why, note that, if you receive an additional $100 in disposable income, you will spend part of the income or not spend part of the income, that is save it. • In algebra: • C + S = YD. Consumption Function Aggregate Expenditure Diagram Aggregate Expenditure Diagram The Marginal Propensity to Consume and AE • Since only consumption expenditures depend on income, in our simple model: C AE Y Y Expenditures Function The expenditures function is expressed as a mathematical function: AE = AEo + mpcY AE = aggregate expenditures AEo = autonomous expenditures mpc = marginal propensity to consume Y = income The Multiplier Equation • The multiplier is a number that reveals how much income will change in response to a change in autonomous expenditures. Multiplier = 1/(1 – mpc) Alternative Equation • By definition: mpc + mps = 1 • Alternatively expressed: mps = 1 - mpc multiplier = 1/mps The two equations Multiplier = 1/(1 – mpc) multiplier = 1/mps Because 1-mpc = mps What you don’t consume is what you save. An Upward Shift of AE, Fig. 10-8a, p 248 Real expenditures $4,210 AE1 30 AE0 Y 4,090 1,052.5 4 AE0 120 30 1,022.5 0 1 AE0 1 - 0.75 $120 $4,090 $4,210 Real income An Downward Shift of AE, Fig. 10-8b, p 248 Real expenditures $4,152 Aggregate production AE0 30 AE1 Y 4,062 1,412 3 AE0 90 30 1,382 0 1 AE0 1 - 0.66 $90 $4,062 $4,152 Real income An Example of the Multiplier • Suppose Investment rises by $ 100 million • the mpc is .8 so the mps is .2 • Multiplier = 1/(1 – mpc) = 1/(1-.8) = 1/.2 = 5 • multiplier = 1/mps = 1/.2 = 10/2 = 5 • Rise in Equilibrium Income 5 * $100 = $500 Realistic Multipliers • Our simple model pretends that no one pays taxes and no one buys imports • We also assume that Investment and government spending don’t change when income changes. • The real multiplier is closer to 2 than to 5. Realistic Multipliers • Observe that the multiplier is calculated assuming prices are not changing. • The multiplier tells us how much the AD curve shifts to the right. • When AD shifts, prices change so the change in equilibrium income is even less than an accurate multiplier predicts.