Institutional framework for economic statistics in decentralized

advertisement
Institutional Framework for
Economic Statistics in Decentralized
System
J. Steven Landefeld
Director
Friends of the Chair Group on Integrated
Economic Statistics, Work Group Meeting
June 6-8, 2007
How Do Things Get Done in A Decentralized
System?
 The U.S. system produces a set of
statistics that pretty well reflects what
the U.S. public wants:
 Timely data that answers the “big picture”
questions, gets the answer “about right,” and
doesn’t ask “too much” information from
respondents
www.bea.gov
2
How Do Things Get Done in A Decentralized
System?
 The system achieves this through:
 Coordination of selected infrastructure issues
 Strong degree of independence of major
statistical agencies
 Working with and listening very carefully to
customers (balancing needs of all customers)
 Responding to these customers by
 Specializing and coordinating across agencies in
research, innovation, and implementation in the
development of new measures for these
customers.
www.bea.gov
3
Role of the Chief Statistician & Inter-Agency Council
on Statistical Policy (ICSP)
 Infrastructure
 Education – JPSM
 Best practices – OMB Quality and Documentation
Standards
 Principles for statistical agencies
 Confidentiality, Independence, Professionalism
 Common data dissemination – FEDSTATS
 Classification systems – NAICS, NAPS, Regional
 Standards and Guidelines for: Data releases,
survey response rates, and accuracy
www.bea.gov
4
Role of Chief Statistician & ICSP
 Integration
 Forms review – avoid duplication, minimize
response burden
 Cross cutting budget review
 Data sharing – CIPSEA and IITSA
www.bea.gov
5
Role of Federal Economic Statistics Advisory
Committee
 Review of Cross cutting BEA, BLS and
Census issues
 Recommendations for improvements,
including:
 Expansion of payroll survey
 Development of time use survey
 Development of financial services prices
www.bea.gov
6
Role of Intra-Agency Coordination
 BEA/BLS
 PPI expansion for services, export-import prices, new nonresidential construction process, and integration of BEA-BLS
employment and productivity data
 BEA/Census
 Domestic services data expansion and assistance on
international services sample frame
 BEA/FRB
 Stock options, pensions, LAN prices and integration of Flow
of Funds and NIPAs.
 BEA/FRB/Treasury
 Derivatives, short-term instruments, and tax havens
www.bea.gov
7
Professional Associations & Interest Groups
 BEA/NABE
 chain and hedonic indexes, more timely regional and industry
data, NAICS time series
 BEA/Coalition of Services Industries
 expanded detail on international trade in services
 BEA/NBER-CRIW
 Multinational Corporations, capital stock and deprecation,
prices for new goods and services, medical care, intangibles
and integration
 BEA/AEA
 “New Economy,” “off-shoring”, corporate profits and medical
care
 BEA/ACCRA/AUBER
 more timely, detailed, comprehensive regional data
www.bea.gov
8
Role of BEA Advisory Committee
 Blue ribbon panel of academics and business
leaders
 Recommendations carry weight beyond BEA
 Key role in all BEA and related system-wide
improvements in recent years
 Integration efforts across agencies
 Capitalization of R&D
 Better measurement of health care expenditures
www.bea.gov
9
Role of Other Government Agencies
 Federal Reserve Board, President’s Council
of Economic Advisors, Treasury,
Congressional Budget Office and others
 Important for filling “gaps” where there
is no constituency:
 Data sharing, services expansion, chain
indexes, and international capital flows
www.bea.gov
10
What works in the Decentralized System
 Resulting system good at providing timely
measures on issues of interest to public and
private decision makers:
 Rich set of monthly current indicators
 Timely quarterly GDP accounts data on key issues
of relevance to policymakers
 Regularly updated measures to reflect changes in
the economy.
 “Big Picture” accuracy through innovation and the
adoption chain indexes, hedonic measures, and
other quantitatively important new methods.
www.bea.gov
11
What Are the Challenges?
 Challenges associated with decentralized
system:
 Providing consistent and well integrated data
 Developing measures on issues/areas with no
constituency and Federal agency management
 Challenges for all systems:
 Lack of well established conceptual foundation and
organizational framework (true of all national
accounts)
www.bea.gov
12
Download