Title: IRIS Portable Seismology 2013

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IRIS Portable Seismology 2013-2108 Budget Proposal
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IRIS Portable Seismology 2013-18 Budget Proposal to CoCom
James Gridley
3 April 2012
Five-Year Budget Description
Introduction
IRIS PASSCAL success is at an all time high between the record number of supported PI experiments in
the past year, and being the top IRIS program archiving data to the DMC. IRIS portable seismology faces
several new challenges during the 2013-18 cooperative agreement, and the program is working to
succeed beyond these circumstances. Even in this tight fiscal environment with expanding community
expectations, the facility and investigators are discussing new experiment designs and supporting
innovative technologies, and ways to get more out of facility resources. Since the IRIS PASSCAL and
EarthScope Flexible Array programs will merge by FY14, the PASC and USAAC are strategizing the details
regarding the physical inventory, policies and procedures, and governance for an integrated and
resourceful portable program that will continue to provide facility for a wide variety of future scientific
investigations. Although the equipment pools are showing deterioration from age and use, subsequent,
the facility is smartly establishing sustainability and decommissioning plans to keep the equipment
inventory at current levels through the 2013-18 cooperative agreement. Nonetheless, the 2013-18
budget creates a programmatic challenge in meeting the expectations of community while keeping
within the budget guidance.
PASC Guidance
The PASC agrees that the future portable seismology program should continue in its primary mission of
facilitating the use of portable instrumentation to produce freely available seismic data, and continue
supporting the broader IRIS mission. During the PASC Spring 2012 meeting, the committee provided
expectations for developing the FY13-18 portable seismology budget. The committee’s top expectation
of the program is to maintain the current level of experiments (>70/yr) and the breadth of end-to-end
services. The committee recognizes that instrumentation support has been, and continues to be, a
mandate of the program. Furthermore, that data service, in recent years, has been a growth area of the
program. With that in mind, the PASC recommended that for PASSCAL experiments, the base-level data
service remain at the current PASSCAL level. However, as the top-level new initiative the program shall
develop the capability to provide the more popular FA data service across the entire combined portable
program. The committee also recommended that we continue with our New Technology efforts
because this is strategic and is critical to laying out the path for future PI success, and positioning the
program for recompetition in 2018. The committee stressed the need to keep the program FTE capacity
strong enough to support their base-level expectations.
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Budget Description
Maintaining the core has been an ongoing direction from the Board of Directors and PASC in the past
year. Little resource has gone into purchasing new equipment, specifically sensors, and the program has
focused on providing services and strategically planning for the future. The FY13-18 budget plan
extends this vision, and for this discussion, we assume a physically integrated FA and PA equipment
pools, with reasonable and nonrestrictive policies, so that the facility can maximize PI scheduling and
use of equipment. Furthermore, the budget plan assumes continued end-to-end support of
experiments, as the PIs have requested in recent years. Therefore, we developed a budget plan based
on this continuing theme of maintaining the base-level program, but with the FA and PA inventory
merger, and a specific budget target in mind.
Merging the PA and FA budgets is not necessarily a simple task. The budgets and FTE are not simply a
summation of the two. For example, the PASSCAL budget is well defined however, the FA budget is part
of the AOF agreement (TA and FA) and it is not clear how the PIC applied these resources between the
programs. Furthermore, PA and FA leverage FTE and people for efficiency. Therefore, a 10% cut in
individual budgets, when merged, may result in something other than 10%.
Since we based the general budget on extension of the FY13 budgets and WBS, then the WBS, in figure
1, provides a framework in which to describe the FY13-18 budget plan.
Figure 1. Graphic description of the work breakdown structure for Portable or PI Facilities.
Management
Management budget items are primarily program-level related travel, meetings, and conference
attendance. This planned budget item is the same as in FY13 with no planned substantial
change over the FY13-18 period.
Governance
The governance element of the budget supports program governance for travel and meetings.
Since we do not yet know if the program governance responsibilities will change with the
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merger of the PA and FA pools, I have kept the budget plan at the FY13 level with no planned
substantial change over the FY13-18 period, until directed otherwise.
Instrumentation Systems
Instrumentation systems covers tasks related to instrumentation support. This area includes a
modest fund for the program manager to purchase materials and supplies and remains at the
FY13 level under the concept of maintaining the core. This also includes a moderate level of
system maintenance and repairs. The remaining budgeted money is divided between the UTEP
and NMT subawards. This element increases slightly over the FY13-18 period, and within the
NMT subaward only.
PI Support (Experiment Support)
PI support includes FTE in direct support of PI experiments, from logistics to actual in field
assistance. The program manager has travel funds, shipping, and most importantly, insurance
budgeted at FY13 levels with no substantial change over the FY13-18 period. Furthermore,
subaward tasking primarily with NMT, but some with UTEP, covers FTE costs, and only slightly
increases over the FY13-18 period, and within the prescribe budget guidance.
Data Services
The data services budget is primarily for FTE to support this task. A few indirect costs are
associated with this task, but at FY13 levels with no substantial change during the FY13-18
period. FTE for this task is in the NMT subaward and is funded specifically to provide PASSCAL
level data services only. This task is considered base level and has only a slight increase over the
FY13-18 period, and within the prescribe budget guidance.
Further Comments on the Subawards
The product-based WBS does not completely represent the nature of the facility. Several additional and
common tasks are “integrated” or “striped”, across the products. For example, software support is
critical to all elements whether it is supporting instrument evaluation, data analysis, or even problems in
the field, but with a primary focus on PI needs. In addition, certain general program operations are
necessary across the products including basic administrative tasks and personnel supervision.
Furthermore, the program supports all sorts of IRIS level projects related to the core mission, these are
commonly known as “unfunded mandates” and “unfunded opportunities”. Flexibility in tasking has
been important to IRIS PASSCAL success, the PASC noted that services like education, and special
projects with PIs and students has greatly enhance the value the program provides. One PASC member
was quoted saying that he liked the “yes we can mentality” at the PIC and stressed that this level of
flexibility must continue into the next cooperative agreement.
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An additional consideration and complexity for budget planning in the combined programs, has to do
with the historic operations at the PIC. The facility, whether supporting PASSCAL, Polar, FA, AOF, and
even the TACO, has utilized personnel and expertise across the different programs. For example, the
warehouse staff, software developers, and sensor experts apply their time and expertise across the
different programs and may be thought of in a budget plan as a single person, but log their time against
multiple programs. Previous leadership recognized the efficiency and value in this operational
approach, which is now a regular business practice. The issue lies in the complexity of merging, and in
another sense dividing, program resources in terms of people and FTE. For example, a person may be
applying their time and skills across multiple programs. This would be a partial FTE to the programs, but
a total FTE to the facility, in the form a single person. In other words, a person is not necessary tied to a
single task on a single program, and if you remove that person, it may affect multiple programs and
multiple tasks. Specifically, a software engineer, might also spend time doing field support for the Polar
program. Take the software engineer away and we lose the polar support as well. In planning the
budget, we have tried to account for as much of the integrated people as we can, but this is only an
initial estimate. In its totality, the complexity removes a substantial level of predictability in the
expected level of services and number of experiments we may be able to support.
New Technologies Effort
The new technologies effort was presented to and approved by the PASC and BoD in the spring of 2011.
PIF-PA-2012-05 and 06 describe the original proposal. A fundamental theme during FY13-18 is the
development of new instrumentation, and consequent demonstration array, to specifically address large
N, and quick deployment experiments. This effort is required to support not only new technologies for
new instrumentation, but also addressing new field methodologies, such as the direct burial project.
The PASC wants to utilize this effort for developing and infusing innovative technologies into the
PASSCAL program as core function, which creates capability, predictability, and consistency across the
facility and supports PI experiment success. We propose this budget element as an “add on” to the
base-line program budget. During FY12, this task took time getting started. Originally, this was suppose
to be a separate award, but ended up being a separate task within a single award that included PIC and
Polar operations. Furthermore, we plan to fund FY13 from program carryover in FY12. Though we
proposed this effort as an ongoing task, so far it has not fully developed into that. Nonetheless, this is
critical to the new instrumentation development and we recommend this as an add on task for the
FY13-18 period.
Statement of Cuts or Efficiencies
As suggested above, the program already utilizes an integrated facility approach to make best and
efficient use of resources. Reducing budget and FTE levels creates tension in this balance and could
cause enough disruption that we provide less end-to-end services, and consequently, force us to move
PIs off the schedule to later dates, while reducing the number of experiments per year. On the other
hand, we have not fully explored other possibilities such as balancing facility resources with outside
contractors for specific tasks such as software support. This has the advantage of more budget control,
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but could make the program less responsive to PI needs, and erode that “yes we can mentality” at the
PIC.
In developing the budget plan, I applied the PASSCAL program model. I will attempt to unify the
combined program level activities, such as travel and materials and supplies, into a single consolidated
budget plan at the FY13 PASSCAL budget level. In other words, I will operate the combined PASSCAL and
Flexible Array management and governance tasks at the PASSCAL FY13 level until it becomes necessary
to do otherwise.
The PASC recognized that FA data service, which requires more FTE than the PASSCAL service, has been
a growth area for the program. The committee suggested moving the FA data service level into New
Initiatives during FY13-18, and that we develop those capabilities with a particular focus on new
instrumentation and aspiring to archive ready field data. This strategic change reduces stress on the
data service support and normalizes all PI data expectations. This has the added advantage of giving the
program time to work with the DMC and develop turnkey field to archive solutions instead of piecewise
development.
Additionally, important program efficiency lies with our use of student help. The PIC utilizes student
help at a less than typical FTE rate. PIC staff has indentified tasks across the WBS where students help
from warehouse work, to basic clerical tasks, and even programmers. The benefit of using and
managing these students is a serious advantage to the PIC being at New Mexico Tech. Though we could
make more use of student help, most remaining tasks are more suited for professionals, or the
supervisory burden makes it prohibitive. Utilizing student workers reinforces the notion that the
program and facility already sought these program efficiencies in the earlier program development, and
seeking further efficiencies becomes a greater challenge.
Overhead rates at NMT went up in FY12. The program had to absorb an approximate 23% to 43%
increase. In FY12, the program fully realized these new costs while working with a decrease in budget.
We managed to cut enough areas of the budget to contain the increase, but as of FY14, the only
considerable gain in budget efficiency will be through a reduction in FTE and consequent services.
Perhaps the most disturbing aspect of the FY13-18 budget is the unknown effect of the budget
reduction on the FTE and resources to the PIs. Depending on how the Transportable Array supports the
AOF, we are looking at a reduction in force at the PIC at up to 7 FTE. As a point of reference, the
proposed budget translates into a 15-25% loss of FTE, depending on how you count the FTE across the
PIC, including potential affects of any TA reductions. This could have serious negative effects to the PIs,
the programs and employees. For example, the combined portable program may have to consider not
providing in-field support of small experiments (less than 10 systems for example) because these are a
less efficient use of FTE resources. We will have to strictly enforce the PI agreement, which will put PIs
under more scrutiny to maintain the agreed upon schedule. In addition, we will likely reduce our large
experiment surge capacity. This will reduce our capacity to support larger experiments and place
greater stress on the equipment use schedule. I am concerned that the program and IRIS may lose its
good reputation with the community, which could make it more difficult to garner community support
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and hire staff in the future. The challenge for the program will be how to maintain current levels of
community expectations while supporting larger experiments, and strategically positioning itself for recompetition in 2018. These potential FTE numbers suggest the program may not be able to maintain
the current level of experiments and the end-to-end services. The community and program may have to
face a certain reality and adjust expectations.
My best estimate for establishing a programmatic base-level, which is congruent with PASC
expectations, is an increase in approximately 5 FTE, or about $750,000 above the proposed base-level.
Another way to think of this FTE difference is simply not hiring the current open positions, which is
about five. This may require moving a few people around or retooling some skills, but keeps the
manpower at FY11 and FY12 levels. Admittedly, this is only estimate, and we do not actually know
whether the program will struggle to maintain the FY11/12 experiment and PI support levels. However,
given recent stress levels and trends, the simple and obvious answer is that the program will struggle to
meet BoD, PASC, and PI expectations.
Regarding the new technologies add on, to be blunt, without this support the development of any new
instrumentation and demonstration array will not be possible without cutting into the base-level
program FTE. If we have to do that, it will come at the cost of experiment support because there is
nowhere else to capture the required expertise and resource.
Prioritized List of New Initiatives
The PASC has recommended the following as prioritized new initiatives:
1. Increase in data services level (PIF-PA-2012-01)
2. Active source initiative (PIF-PA-2012-02)
3. Equipment preparation for Alaska deployments (PIF-PA-2012-03)
See the PIFs below for a complete description of the new initiatives.
Participation in New Pan-IRIS Initiatives
The PASC has prioritized the need for new instrumentation in the FY13-18 period. Furthermore, the
committee has recognized that this development is the gateway to new and innovative science, such as
“large N” experiments and quick deployments, while creating more efficiency in the facility. The reason
we consider this pan IRIS is because the development has applications across program such as GSN’s
proposal for Array of Arrays, and possibly areas of the Transportable Array in Alaska. Since we are also
looking to streamline data archiving, we require input and coordination with the DMC. For an
explanation of the new instrumentation project, see PIF-PA-2012-04.
Instrumentation Services
As stated above, new sensor development could support the GSN Array of Arrays initiative, and possibly
the TA in Alaska. Furthermore, PASSCAL Polar experts are prepared to provide assistance in the TA
Alaska effort. The program has considered how to absorb and distribute any surplus equipment as the
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TA completes the continental US deployment. This could benefit GSN, IDS, EPO, and even PASSCAL
itself.
DMC
The program has been, and will continue to, work with the DMC on the Mustang project. This project
will benefit the program and PIs, as we develop consistent standards and processes for station
deployment methods, and data archiving. Working with the DMC will be critical in any new
instrumentation development if we plan to realize a sensor to archive data solution.
IDS
The PASSCAL program plans to continue supporting IDS though the program mission. In addition, as we
consider plans to decommission equipment, we will be working with IDS to create a plan that may
support the IDS mission. Limitations on program FTE will prohibit the use of FTE resources to support
any significant effort, though we remain open to the possibilities.
EPO
PASSCAL has been a long-time supporter of the IRIS education mission. The facility hosts the yearly
intern orientation at the beginning of the summer program. Beyond that, the program fundamentally
teaches new scientists about instrumentation and empirical side of seismology. The program has hosted
individuals seeking everything from understanding instrumentation and basic data handling and
analysis, to complex engineering solutions related to Polar deployments.
Possible and Future Funding Sources
The PASC has considered possible funding sources in the abstract for specific projects but has not
developed a plan to pursue any as of yet. For example, we discussed the idea of approaching the oil and
gas industry for development of new instrumentation, and potential strategies for seeking an MRI.
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