Change is Imminent
Burke-Macgregor Group LLC
Key Point: Bill Gates, the founder of Microsoft, noted that when waves of change
appear, “You can duck under the wave, stand fast against the wave or, better yet, surf
the wave.”
•
Capstone Concept for Joint Operations Wargame, Andrews AFB 7 May 2012
Executive Summary (EXSUM):
“Situations generally required combinations of capabilities from across the joint force
organized into mission packages under functional command structures rather than according
to strict regional boundaries. A proposed template for joint mission packages included the
following essential building blocks: Mission Command, ISR, Sustainment, Maneuver and
Strike, each requiring differing capabilities from the various services.”
•
As industry strives for market advantage, the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment
Complex framework can guide investment planning over the next decade to capture
market share.
What do the trend lines mean for 21st Century
Defense Establishments?
Old WW II/Cold War Industrial
Age Paradigm
Army
Burke-Macgregor Group LLC
Post-Industrial Information Age
Paradigm
Navy Marine
ISR –
STRIKE
60%
MNVR
15%
SUST
25%
Air Force
Strategic
Assumptions
New
Operational
Concept
New Force
Missions
New Force
Design &
Capabilities
New Force
Development /
Management /
Employment Paradigm
Critical Tasks for the U.S. Defense Establishment and its new leadership:
•
•
•
Align defense investments with evolutionary trends in technology, organization and command
structures;
Align defense commitments and missions with a changed strategic environment; and
Optimize today’s forces within the trend lines to guide strategic investment over time.
Paradigm Shift Signals Greater Operational ROI
Old WW II/Cold War Industrial
Age Paradigm
Relative sizes indicate
Return on Investment
Operational
Impact
$1 Investment yields $0.78 Result
Burke-Macgregor Group LLC
Post-Industrial Information Age
Paradigm
Operational
Impact
$0.82 Investment yields $1.19 Result
Old paradigm inefficiencies and duplications reduce operational impact and
perpetuate unsustainable “cost exchange ratios” with our adversaries
Optimizing “capability at cost” in new paradigm dramatically increases
operational impact of each dollar spent – maintaining /increasing security at
reduced spending levels.
ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex
Burke-Macgregor Group LLC
The Central Idea: Cross-domain
synergy. The complementary vice
merely additive employment of
capabilities in different domains
such that each enhances the
effectiveness and compensates
for the vulnerabilities of the
others…
JOINT OPERATIONAL
ACCESS CONCEPT (JOAC)
VERSION 1.0 17 January
2012
•
•
•
Build an ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex inside the regional unified commands to integrate
U.S. Defense capabilities at the operational level to detect, deter, disrupt, neutralize or destroy
opposing forces decisively.
Employ the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex as a baseline to optimize U.S. Armed Forces to:
(1) More effectively and efficiently execute expeditionary operations; and,
(2) Shape future force development.
Apply the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment framework as a methodology for incorporation into U.S.
Defense investment planning and programming cycle to enable informed choices as constrained
budgets compel force optimization.
A New Business Model for the Paradigm Shift
Burke-Macgregor Group LLC
• Critical Path: Pilot the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment operational
framework:
o Team with customer to share in the discovery of new capabilities that
maximize operational capability at cost.
• The critical path points to these outcomes:
o Full spectrum DOTMLPF,P rapid prototyping to demonstrate prioritization of
good enough over “unobtanium”;
o Customer arbitrates trades among requirements, technology, cost and risk;
o Get into production sooner - where manufacturing optimizations and vendor
management allow greater margins; and
o Efficiently field (time and cost) new capabilities that reduce total ownership
and manpower, freeing up resources for further recapitalization.