Reliability Analytics
Special Interest Group
Paul Casto & Mike Raible,
Secretary and Vice Chair
Presentation to Houston SMRP
MARS Conference
Galveston, TX
August 22, 2012
1
SMRP "Reliability Analytics"
Special Interest Group
Mission
To be a premiere resource for advancing Reliability Analytics
Vision
To develop and promote leaders in Reliability Analytics
Scope
Special Interest Groups, or SIG's, are self-governing groups within
SMRP, which exist for connecting people with a shared interest, to
share general information within a portion of the field of "Reliability
and Physical Asset Management".
2
"Reliability Analytics" topics
Design for Reliability
• Reliability Design Requirements
• System Reliability Analysis
• RAM modeling
• Monte Carlo simulation
Collecting Data for Reliability Analytics
• Failure history codes
• Data extraction and preparation
Using Process Condition to Detect Failure in advance
3
"Reliability Analytics" topics
Data Mining
• Bad Actor Analysis
Item & Component Failure Rate Determination
• MTTF / MTBF
• Simple Exponential Reliability
Evaluating whether maintenance plans/strategies are working
• Reliability Growth Analysis (Crow AMSAA)
• Weibull Analysis
• Cost of Unreliability
4
"Reliability Analytics" topics
Advanced Modeling & Prognostics
• Bayesian
• Markov
• Neural networks
• Similarity Models
• Proportional Hazard Models
Risk Analysis
• Signature / Authorization levels
• Life Cycle Cost Analysis
• Critical Spares Analysis
• Warranty Statistics
• Fault Tree Analysis
5
Value Proposition
The SMRP Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group (SIG) could
therefore help members learn to, within their respective
organizations:
1. champion "Reliability Analytics"
2. communicate (skills & methods) the value of "Reliability Analytics"
3. differentiate "Reliability Analytics" from other reliability engineering
tools (e.g. RCFA, RCM, Condition-Based Maintenance)
4. show practical applicability ("statistics that make sense") of
"Reliability Analytics"
5. evaluate whether their maintenance plans/strategies are working
6
Value Proposition
The SMRP Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group (SIG) could
therefore help members learn to, within their respective
organizations:
6.
7.
championing a “failure free” environment
use “Reliability Analytics” to support value based recommendations that
drive the right changes in strategy and tactics
a)
b)
c)
Data-driven, not emotional decision making (“Do we need a spare for that
on hand?”)
Improvements in hardware and system reliability are based on sound
reliability analyses
value is measureable in various business contexts
7
Value Proposition
The information above could be communicated to SIG membership via:
•
•
•
free monthly or quarterly webinars
semi-annual in-person meetings, including one at the annual SMRP Conference
technical topic–centered social media
Through the items listed above, we will be:
•
•
•
•
learning how to make our employers more profitable
helping to advance the practice of reliability engineering
elevating understanding of certain concepts & tools within the larger SMRP
community
helping to grow the information about Reliability Analytics in the SMRP Body of
Knowledge
8
Reliability Analytics SIG
Formation Committee
Timothy R. Holmes, Chair
Mike Raible, Co-Chair
Paul Casto, Historian/Secretary
Paul Barringer
Stanford J. LeBlanc
DuPont
Eastman Chemical
Meridium
Barringer & Associates
NASA
9
For More Information, Contact:
Timothy R. Holmes
(615)828-8682
Mike Raible
(423)229-5031
Paul Casto
(540)344-9205
Paul Barringer
(281)852-6810
Stanford J. LeBlanc
(281)244-7662
Cindy Boyd, SMRP SIG Chair
(713)481-3320
Howard Penrose, SMRP Director
(630)487-6223
Ed Foster, SMRP Membership Chair (281)983-6050
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