Population Change in Arizona, Texas and the United States:
Implications for Education
and Economic Development
Steve H. Murdock, Director
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
and
Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology
Rice University
Morrison Institute
Phoenix, Arizona
April 27, 2012
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Major Topics of the Presentation
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Population Change
Increasing Racial/Ethnic Diversity
Aging of the Population
Implications of Demographic Change for
Education and Economic Development
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total Population and Percent Population Change
in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010
Total Population
Year
1850
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Texas
212,592
604,215
818,579
1,591,749
2,235,527
3,048,710
3,896,542
4,663,228
5,824,715
6,414,824
7,711,194
9,579,677
11,196,730
14,229,191
16,986,510
20,851,820
25,145,561
U.S.
23,191,876
31,443,321
39,818,449
50,155,783
62,947,714
75,994,575
91,972,266
105,710,620
122,775,046
131,669,275
150,697,361
179,323,175
203,302,031
226,545,805
248,709,873
281,421,906
308,745,538
Percent Change
Texas
--184.2
35.5
94.5
40.4
36.4
27.8
19.7
24.9
10.1
20.2
24.2
16.9
27.1
19.4
22.8
20.6
U.S.
--35.6
26.6
26.0
25.5
20.7
21.0
14.9
16.1
7.2
14.5
19.0
13.4
11.4
9.8
13.2
9.7
Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010
Change 2000-2010
2000
Population
2010
Population
Numeric
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6
Virginia
7,078,515
8,001,024
922,509
13.0
Washington
5,894,121
6,724,540
830,419
14.1
Colorado
4,301,261
5,029,196
727,935
16.9
Nevada
1,998,257
2,700,551
702,294
35.1
State
United States
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010
Change 2000-2010
State
United States
2000
Population
2010
Population
Numeric
Percent
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
Nevada
1,998,257
2,700,551
702,294
35.1
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6
Utah
2,233,169
2,763,885
530,716
23.8
Idaho
1,293,953
1,567,582
273,629
21.1
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6
Colorado
4,301,261
5,029,196
727,935
16.9
South Carolina
4,012,012
4,625,364
613,352
15.3
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase 2010-2011
15-month Change
2010 - 2011
Annualized Change
2010 - 2011
2010
Population
2011
Population
Numeric
Percent
Numeric
Percent
308,745,538
311,591,917
2,846,379
0.92
2,277,103
0.74
Texas
25,145,561
25,674,681
529,120
2.10
423,296
1.68
California
37,253,956
37,691,912
437,956
1.18
350,365
0.94
Florida
18,801,310
19,057,542
256,232
1.36
204,986
1.09
Georgia
9,687,653
9,815,210
127,557
1.32
102,046
1.05
North Carolina
9,535,483
9,656,401
120,918
1.27
96,734
1.01
Washington
6,724,540
6,830,038
105,498
1.57
84,398
1.26
Virginia
8,001,024
8,096,604
95,580
1.19
76,464
0.96
Arizona
6,392,017
6,482,505
90,488
1.42
72,390
1.13
Colorado
5,029,196
5,116,796
87,600
1.74
70,080
1.39
New York
19,378,102
19,465,197
87,095
0.45
69,676
0.36
State
United States
Population values as of April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2011.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Percentage Population Increase 2010-2011
15-month Change
2010 - 2011
Annualized Change
2010 - 2011
2010
Population
2011
Population
Numeric
Percent
Numeric
Percent
308,745,538
311,591,917
2,846,379
0.92
2,277,103
0.74
Texas
25,145,561
25,674,681
529,120
2.10
423,296
1.68
Utah
2,763,885
2,817,222
53,337
1.93
42,670
1.54
710,231
722,718
12,487
1.76
9,990
1.41
5,029,196
5,116,796
87,600
1.74
70,080
1.39
672,591
683,932
11,341
1.69
9,073
1.35
Washington
6,724,540
6,830,038
105,498
1.57
84,398
1.26
Arizona
6,392,017
6,482,505
90,488
1.42
72,394
1.13
Florida
18,801,310
19,057,542
256,232
1.36
204,985
1.09
Georgia
9,687,653
9,815,210
127,557
1.32
102,040
1.05
North Carolina
9,535,483
9,656,401
120,918
1.27
96,741
1.01
State
United States
Alaska
Colorado
North Dakota
Population values as of April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2011.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State,
Ranked by Percent of State’s Population that is Unauthorized, 2010
Population (in thousands)
Unauthorized Immigrants
State
United States
2010
Number
Percent
154,939
8,000
5.2%
2,655
190
7.2%
California
37,210
2,550
6.8%
Texas
24,858
1,650
6.7%
New Jersey
8,743
550
6.2%
Arizona
6,559
400
6.0%
Maryland
5,702
275
4.6%
18,492
825
4.5%
600
25
4.5%
Georgia
9,722
425
4.4%
New Mexico
1,997
85
4.3%
Oregon
3,854
160
4.3%
Nevada
Florida
District of Columbia
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.”
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Number and Percent of Unauthorized Immigrants by State, Ranked
by Percent of State’s Labor Force that is Unauthorized, 2010
Labor Force (in thousands)
Unauthorized Immigrants
State
Number
Percent
154,939
8,000
5.2%
1,367
140
10.0%
California
18,811
1,850
9.7%
Texas
12,261
1,100
9.0%
New Jersey
4,679
400
8.6%
Arizona
3,116
230
7.4%
Georgia
4,777
325
7.0%
Florida
9,064
600
6.6%
Maryland
3,100
190
6.2%
District of Columbia
339
20
6.1%
New Mexico
909
50
5.6%
6,719
375
5.6%
United States
Nevada
Illinois
2010
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population: National and State Trends, 2010.”
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
NH White
2000
2010
194,552,774 196,817,552
Population Change
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
2,264,778
1.2
8.3
69.1
63.7
Hispanic (All Races)
35,305,818
50,477,594
15,171,776
43.0
55.5
12.5
16.3
NH Black
33,947,837
37,685,848
3,738,011
11.0
13.7
12.1
12.2
NH Asian
10,123,169
14,465,124
4,341,955
42.9
15.9
3.6
4.7
NH Other
7,492,308
9,299,420
1,807,112
24.1
6.6
2.7
3.0
281,421,906 308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Percent of Total
Population
Population Change
Percent of
Total
Percent Change
2000
2010
Numeric
150,525,687
157,100,990
6,575,303
4.4
25.9
72.0
67.0
Hispanic (All Races)
22,963,559
33,346,703
10,383,144
45.2
40.8
11.0
14.2
NH Black
23,337,573
27,323,665
3,986,092
17.1
15.7
11.2
11.6
NH Asian
7,702,895
11,288,995
3,586,100
46.6
14.1
3.7
4.8
NH Other
4,598,380
5,503,718
905,338
19.7
3.6
2.2
2.3
209,128,094
234,564,071
25,435,977
12.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
NH White
Total
2000
2010
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other
includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or
Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-9.8
-228.4
60.9
53.5
4,788,632
38.8
253.7
17.1
23.1
10,362,183
-248,081
-2.3
-13.1
14.7
14.0
2,420,274
3,176,129
755,855
31.2
40.0
3.3
4.3
2,893,928
3,795,702
901,774
31.2
47.8
4.0
5.1
72,293,812
74,181,467
1,887,655
2.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
2000
2010
Numeric
NH White
44,027,087
39,716,562
-4,310,525
Hispanic (All Races)
12,342,259
17,130,891
NH Black
10,610,264
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Percent of Total Population
Percent
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
NH White
2000
2010
Population Change
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
10,933,313
11,397,345
464,032
4.2
10.8
52.4
45.3
Hispanic (All Races)
6,669,666
9,460,921
2,791,255
41.8
65.0
32.0
37.6
NH Black
2,364,255
2,886,825
522,570
22.1
12.2
11.3
11.5
NH Asian
554,445
948,426
393,981
71.1
9.2
2.7
3.8
NH Other
330,141
452,044
121,903
36.9
2.8
1.6
1.8
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
18 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
NH White
8,426,166
9,074,684
648,518
7.7
Hispanic (All Races)
4,282,901
6,143,144
1,860,243
NH Black
1,631,448
2,076,282
NH Asian
415,219
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
19.6
56.3
49.6
43.4
56.1
28.6
33.6
444,834
27.3
13.4
10.9
11.4
716,968
301,749
72.7
9.1
2.8
3.9
209,327
268,659
59,332
28.3
1.8
1.4
1.5
14,965,061
18,279,737
3,314,676
22.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
NH White
2,507,147
2,322,661
-184,486
-7.4
Hispanic (All Races)
2,386,765
3,317,777
931,012
NH Black
732,807
810,543
NH Asian
139,226
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-18.8
42.6
33.8
39.0
95.1
40.5
48.3
77,736
10.6
7.9
12.4
11.8
231,458
92,232
66.2
9.4
2.4
3.4
120,814
183,385
62,571
51.8
6.4
2.1
2.7
5,886,759
6,865,824
979,065
16.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes
persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, NonHispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
NH White
3,274,258
3,695,647
421,389
12.9
Hispanic (All Races)
1,295,617
1,895,149
599,532
NH Black
149,941
239,101
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
233,370
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
33.4
63.8
57.8
46.3
47.5
25.3
29.6
89,160
59.5
7.1
2.9
3.7
257,426
24,056
10.3
1.9
4.5
4.0
89,315
170,509
81,194
90.9
6.4
1.7
2.7
88,131
134,185
46,054
52.3
3.7
1.7
2.1
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
18 and Over by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
2,595,584
3,017,895
422,311
16.3
Hispanic (All Races)
802,474
1,191,203
388,729
NH Black
103,257
172,249
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
142,940
NH Asian
NH Other
NH White
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
42.3
69.0
63.4
48.4
38.9
21.3
25.0
68,992
66.8
6.9
2.7
3.6
175,207
32,267
22.6
3.2
3.8
3.7
69,331
132,317
62,986
90.8
6.3
1.8
2.8
50,099
74,132
24,033
48.0
2.4
1.3
1.6
3,763,685
4,763,003
999,318
26.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
678,674
677,752
-922
-0.1
Hispanic (All Races)
493,143
703,946
210,803
NH Black
46,684
66,852
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
90,430
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-0.4
49.6
41.6
42.7
80.4
36.1
43.2
20,168
43.2
7.7
3.4
4.1
82,219
-8,211
-9.1
-3.1
6.6
5.0
19,984
38,192
18,208
91.1
6.9
1.5
2.3
38,032
60,053
22,021
57.9
8.4
2.8
3.7
1,366,947
1,629,014
262,067
19.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
2,140,171
2,460,541
320,370
15.0
Hispanic (All Races)
817,012
1,235,718
418,706
NH Black
113,179
193,497
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
58,122
NH Asian
NH Other
NH White
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
34.0
65.8
58.7
51.2
44.5
25.1
29.5
80,318
71.0
8.5
3.5
4.6
76,662
18,540
31.9
2.0
1.8
1.8
65,563
134,415
68,852
105.0
7.3
2.0
3.2
57,829
92,054
34,225
59.2
3.6
1.8
2.2
3,251,876
4,192,887
941,011
28.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population
Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ
Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
459,500
480,208
20,708
4.5
Hispanic (All Races)
316,060
473,970
157,910
NH Black
36,563
56,184
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
20,215
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
8.8
52.6
43.4
50.0
67.3
36.2
42.8
19,621
53.7
8.4
4.2
5.1
22,477
2,262
11.2
1.0
2.3
2.0
15,322
31,810
16,488
107.6
7.0
1.8
2.9
25,424
42,912
17,488
68.8
7.5
2.9
3.9
873,084
1,107,561
234,477
26.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion
of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity
for Maricopa County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
Population Change
2000
2010
2,034,530
2,240,055
205,525
10.1
Hispanic (All Races)
763,341
1,128,741
365,400
NH Black
108,521
177,490
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
45,703
NH Asian
NH Other
NH White
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
27.6
66.2
58.7
47.9
49.0
24.8
29.6
68,969
63.6
9.3
3.5
4.6
59,252
13,549
29.6
1.8
1.5
1.6
64,562
128,301
63,739
98.7
8.6
2.1
3.4
55,492
83,278
27,786
50.1
3.7
1.8
2.2
3,072,149
3,817,117
744,968
24.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity
for Maricopa County, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
440,658
434,210
-6,448
-1.5
Hispanic (All Races)
297,029
434,592
137,563
NH Black
35,321
51,727
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
15,386
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-3.6
53.2
43.1
46.3
76.5
35.9
43.1
16,406
46.4
9.1
4.3
5.1
17,794
2,408
15.7
1.3
1.9
1.8
15,112
30,518
15,406
101.9
8.6
1.8
3.0
24,497
39,020
14,523
59.3
8.1
3.0
3.9
828,003
1,007,861
179,858
21.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion
of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity
for Phoenix, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
736,844
672,573
-64,271
-8.7
Hispanic (All Races)
449,972
589,877
139,905
NH Black
63,756
86,788
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
21,472
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-51.6
55.8
46.5
31.1
112.3
34.1
40.8
23,032
36.1
18.5
4.8
6.0
23,327
1,855
8.6
1.5
1.6
1.6
25,453
43,894
18,441
72.5
14.8
1.9
3.0
23,548
29,173
5,625
23.9
4.5
1.8
2.0
1,321,045
1,445,632
124,587
9.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity
for Phoenix, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Percent of Total Population
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-37,562
-23.4
-145.0
42.0
30.2
230,057
52,695
29.7
203.4
46.4
56.3
21,194
25,138
3,944
18.6
15.2
5.5
6.2
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
6,923
6,637
-286
-4.1
-1.1
1.8
1.6
NH Asian
6,071
10,171
4,100
67.5
15.8
1.6
2.5
NH Other
10,107
13,122
3,015
29.8
11.6
2.6
3.2
382,435
408,341
25,906
6.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
160,778
123,216
Hispanic (All Races)
177,362
NH Black
Total
Numeric
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion
of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity
for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
518,720
541,700
22,980
4.4
Hispanic (All Races)
247,578
338,802
91,224
NH Black
24,047
31,075
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
21,821
NH Asian
NH Other
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
16.8
61.5
55.3
36.8
66.8
29.3
34.6
7,028
29.2
5.1
2.9
3.2
23,558
1,737
8.0
1.3
2.6
2.4
16,595
24,592
7,997
48.2
5.9
2.0
2.5
14,985
20,536
5,551
37.0
4.1
1.8
2.1
843,746
980,263
136,517
16.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity
for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
Population Change
2010
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
NH White
95,081
81,367
-13,714
-14.4
-78.7
45.7
36.1
Hispanic (All Races)
89,163
116,169
27,006
30.3
155.0
42.9
51.6
NH Black
6,769
7,688
919
13.6
5.3
3.3
3.4
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
7,661
7,235
-426
-5.6
-2.4
3.7
3.2
NH Asian
3,206
4,504
1,298
40.5
7.5
1.5
2.0
NH Other
6,016
8,353
2,337
38.8
13.4
2.9
3.7
207,896
225,316
17,420
8.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion
of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity
for Tucson, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Population Change
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
2010
NH White
263,748
245,323
-18,425
-7.0
Hispanic (All Races)
173,868
216,308
42,440
19,795
23,362
7,732
NH Asian
NH Other
NH Black
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
Total
Numeric
Percent
Percent of Total Population
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
-55.1
54.2
47.2
24.4
127.0
35.7
41.6
3,567
18.0
10.7
4.1
4.5
8,776
1,044
13.5
3.1
1.6
1.7
11,537
14,211
2,674
23.2
8.0
2.4
2.7
10,019
12,136
2,117
21.1
6.3
2.1
2.3
486,699
520,116
33,417
6.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity
for Tucson, Arizona, 2000 and 2010
Population
Race/Ethnicity*
2000
Population Change
2010
Numeric
Percent of Total Population
Percent
Percent of
Total Change
2000
2010
NH White
44,648
34,166
-10,482
-23.5
-600.0
37.3
28.2
Hispanic (All Races)
61,161
72,143
10,982
18.0
628.6
51.1
59.4
NH Black
5,584
5,691
107
1.9
6.1
4.7
4.7
NH American Indian/
Alaska Native
2,287
2,478
191
8.4
10.9
1.9
2.0
NH Asian
1,992
2,212
220
11.0
12.6
1.7
1.8
NH Other
3,945
4,674
729
18.5
41.7
3.3
3.9
119,617
121,364
1,747
1.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons
identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of
two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Percent of Texas Population by Age Group
and Ethnicity, 2000
Pe rce nt
80.0
72.6
67.1
66.4
63.5
60.2
60.0
57.2
53.0
47.8
44.0
39.5
40.0
45.0
45.0
43.1
41.6 41.3
40.5
38.4
38.0
44.4
38.6
35.3
30.5
26.7
24.2
22.4
20.6
20.3
20.0
16.7
0.0
<
5
rs
a
ye
5
to
s
9
ar
e
y
10
to
14
rs
a
ye
15
to
19
rs
a
ye
20
to
24
rs
a
ye
25
to
29
rs
a
ye
30
to
34
rs
a
ye
35
to
Anglo
39
rs
a
ye
40
to
44
rs
a
ye
45
to
His panic
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
49
rs
a
ye
50
to
54
rs
a
ye
55
to
59
rs
a
ye
60
to
64
rs
a
ye
65
+
rs
a
ye
Percent of Texas Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010
80.0
Anglo
Hispanic
67.6
62.3
58.7
60.0
55.3
50.6
49.1
40.0
31.7
33.2
50.7
46.9
35.2
44.9
42.8
42.1 41.2
41.8
40.3
40.1
39.6
39.2
36.7
45.0
36.7
31.7
27.8
25.2
23.2
20.5
20.0
0.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Texas Age Distribution April 1, 2010
Hispanic Population and White, Not Hispanic Population
85 +
Males
Females
80 - 84
75 - 79
Hispanic
70 - 74
White, Not Hispanic
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
Age
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
Population
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
80.0
Percent of Texas Population by Age Group
and Ethnicity, 2040*
Pe rce nt
69.9
70.0
67.8
66.5
66.8
66.0
65.5
66.4
64.3
62.6
60.6
60.0
56.7
55.2
52.3
50.0
39.8
40.0
37.1
30.0
20.0
25.3
17.7
19.3
19.9
20.3
19.8
19.3
19.4
20.5
20.6
26.5
27.2
21.9
10.0
0.0
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
rs
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
a
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
ye
5
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
9
4
+
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
<
to
65
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
to
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Anglo
* Proje ctions are s how n for the 1.0 s ce nario
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
His panic
Percent of United States Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
0.0
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
65+ years
60 to 64
20.0
23.8
26.5
29.2
80.0
76.2
73.5
70.8
Non-Anglo
55 to 59
50 to 54
32.4
67.6
63.3
59.4
57.6
57.9
57.6
56.0
80.0
45 to 49
36.7
40.0
40 to 44
40.6
42.4
42.1
42.4
44.0
44.9
55.1
53.3
46.7
Anglo
35 to 39
30 to 34
25 to 29
20 to 24
15 to 19
10 to 14
5 to 9
50.8
49.2
60.0
< 5 years
Percent of United States Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010
100.0
20.0
United States Age Distribution April 1, 2010
Hispanic Population and White, Not Hispanic Population
85 +
Males
Females
80 - 84
75 - 79
White Not Hispanic
70 - 74
Hispanic
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
Age
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
Population
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
Percent of United States Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Arizona Population Age Distribution April 1, 2010
Hispanic Population and Non-Hispanic Population
85 +
Males
Females
80 - 84
75 - 79
Not Hispanic
Hispanic
70 - 74
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
Age
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Population
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND
SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009
1999
2009
Population
in Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income*
%
Median
Household
Income
15,414,119
8.1
$58,523
19,462,966
10.0
$54,671
Hispanic
7,797,874
22.6
$43,442
11,130,896
23.5
$39,923
Black
8,146,146
24.9
$37,956
9,407,955
25.8
$33,463
Asian
1,257,237
12.6
$66,961
1,539,226
11.4
$68,780
Other
1,284,436
18.5
NA
1,327,120
18.4
NA
Total
33,899,812
12.4
$54,172
42,868,163
14.3
$50,221
Anglo
Population
in Poverty
*In 2009 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009
1999
2009
%
Median
Household
Income*
826,459
7.8
$60,839
1,010,170
9.0
$59,836
1,658,434
25.4
$38,536
2,364,407
26.4
$35,628
Black
525,082
23.4
$37,803
630,479
23.1
$35,438
Asian
65,048
11.9
$64,576
105,186
12.1
$63,692
Other
42,586
13.9
NA
40,000
11.9
NA
3,117,609
15.4
$51,506
4,150,242
17.2
$50,043
Population
in Poverty
Anglo
Hispanic
Total
Population
in Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income
*In 2009 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household
Income by Race/Ethnicity for Arizona, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
Median
Household
Income*
%
Median
Household
Income
406,995
11.2
$51,642
$44,401
63,436
25.1
$36,351
24.5
$41,457
494,637
26.6
$36,622
91,998
37.3
$32,086
101,556
36.9
$29,487
11,042
12.3
$59,950
20,311
11.9
$63,376
698,669
13.9
$53,086
1,094,249
17.4
$46,789
Population
in Poverty
%
249,381
7.8
$57,785
28,798
19.9
310,381
American Indian/
Alaska Native
Asian
NH White
Hispanic (All Races)
Black
Total
Population
in Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and
Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for
Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale MSA, Arizona, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
NH White
Hispanic (All Races)
Black
American Indian/
Alaska Native
Asian
Total
Population
in Poverty
%
2010
Median
Household
Income*
Population
in Poverty
%
Median
Household
Income
136,127
6.5
$63,651
245,303
10.1
$55,879
22,298
20.0
$46,087
53,572
25.8
$35,232
194,576
24.4
$44,439
330,811
27.2
$37,048
19,033
29.1
$41,080
22,901
27.0
$34,575
7,420
11.1
$66,540
13,863
11.0
$68,449
383,484
12.0
$58,730
672,299
16.3
$50,385
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household
Income by Race/Ethnicity for Tucson MSA, Arizona, 1999 and 2010
1999
Race/
Ethnicity
2010
Median
Household
Income*
%
47,482
9.4
$52,632
64,818
12.3
$49,145
4,418
19.4
$40,242
6,335
19.7
$40,158
55,860
22.9
$39,499
81,675
24.5
$35,848
American Indian/
Alaska Native
9,345
35.2
$34,325
12,071
38.9
$28,605
Asian
2,760
16.8
$41,457
3,942
15.7
$60,260
120,778
14.7
$48,113
169,852
17.8
$44,274
NH White
Hispanic (All Races)
Black
Total
Population
in Poverty
Median
Household
Income
Population
in Poverty
*In 2010 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
%
Educational Attainment for the United States
Population Age 25 and Older
by Race/Ethnicity, 2009
Population
Less
High
Race
Age 25 and than high school
Ethnicity
Older
school diploma
Non-Hispanic White 139,962,199
9.6
29.3
Black
22,975,410
18.6
31.6
Hispanic*
26,106,587
39.1
26.2
Asian
9,404,493
14.7
16.0
Total
201,952,383
14.7
28.5
________
Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.
*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.
Some
college or
associates Bachelor
degree
or more
30.0
31.1
32.2
17.6
22.1
12.6
19.6
49.7
28.9
27.9
Educational Attainment for the Texas
Population Age 25 and Older
by Race/Ethnicity, 2009
Race
Ethnicity
Non-Hispanic White
Black
Hispanic*
Asian
Total
________
Population Less than
High
Age 25 and
high
school
Older
school
diploma
8,026,049
8.3
25.3
1,705,709
15.0
30.4
4,876,517
42.5
25.2
580,159
14.2
15.4
15,361,557
20.1
25.4
Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.
*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.
Some
college or
associates Bachelor
degree
or more
32.5
33.9
36.5
18.1
21.4
10.9
17.2
53.2
28.9
25.5
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older
by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Arizona
Population
Less
Race/
Age 25 and than High
Ethnicity
Older
School
6.6
Non-Hispanic White 2,722,084
152,212
10.9
Black
966,077
35.4
Hispanic*
American Indian/
155,332
26.2
Alaska Native
120,526
12.2
Asian
Total
4,146,758
14.4
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
24.1
37.8
31.5
26.3
41.7
21.1
27.9
26.4
10.3
32.8
33.2
7.8
17.1
25.1
21.3
34.7
49.4
25.9
*Hispanic includes persons of all races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major
Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale MSA, Arizona
Population
Less
Race/
Age 25 and than High
Ethnicity
Older
School
6.1
Non-Hispanic White 1,788,467
122,022
11.1
Black
615,315
37.5
Hispanic*
American Indian/
47,818
21.0
Alaska Native
93,374
11.9
Asian
Total
2,689,621
14.0
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
23.6
37.5
32.8
27.5
40.9
20.5
28.4
24.3
9.7
34.3
35.8
9.0
16.5
24.8
21.8
34.0
49.8
27.2
*Hispanic includes persons of all races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by
Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Phoenix, Arizona
Population
Less
Race/
Age 25 and than High
Ethnicity
Older
School
508,162
6.6
Non-Hispanic White
59,822
15.0
Black
279,171
42.9
Hispanic*
American Indian/
13,408
22.2
Alaska Native
30,210
15.4
Asian
Total
897,881
19.0
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
23.7
35.6
34.1
29.1
37.3
18.6
30.4
19.4
7.3
37.2
33.3
7.3
17.0
26.1
16.2
30.0
51.4
24.9
*Hispanic includes persons of all races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by
Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Tucson MSA, Arizona
Population
Less
Race/
Age 25 and than High
Ethnicity
Older
School
408,633
5.8
Non-Hispanic White
20,874
9.6
Black
181,621
29.0
Hispanic*
American Indian/
18,378
27.1
Alaska Native
17,716
9.8
Asian
Total
649,176
13.0
Some
High
College or Bachelor
School Associates Degree or
Diploma
Degree
More
21.4
35.6
37.2
24.4
44.8
21.3
25.3
31.8
13.9
32.1
29.5
11.3
22.8
22.8
17.6
34.3
49.8
30.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
PROJECTIONS
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and
Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Year
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
All other
White alone Black alone Asian alone
(any race)
races
195,771
34,414
10,436
5,909
35,629
200,853
37,985
14,083
7,586
49,726
205,255
41,847
18,308
9,612
66,365
207,217
45,461
22,991
11,904
85,931
206,065
48,780
28,064
14,523
108,223
203,347
51,949
33,418
17,503
132,792
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total
282,158
310,233
341,387
373,504
405,655
439,010
Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by
Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)
156.9
97.2
17.5
23.0
11.6
7.6
Non-Hispanic
White alone
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
Non-Hispanic all
other races
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Hispanic (any
race)
Total
Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and
Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Non-Hispanic White
alone
5%
Non-Hispanic Black
alone
11%
Non-Hispanic Asian
alone
15%
Hispanic
62%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Non-Hispanic Other
7%
Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population:
2000 to 2050
Age Group
Under 5 years
5 to 19 years
20 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 to 84 years
85 years and over
(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
6.8
6.8
6.7
6.5
6.4
6.4
21.7
20.3
19.9
19.7
19.4
19.3
36.9
33.8
32.7
32.0
31.5
31.7
22.1
26.1
24.7
22.6
22.7
22.4
10.9
11.1
14.1
17.0
16.5
15.8
1.5
1.9
1.9
2.3
3.5
4.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the
U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000
Age
Total
Under 5 years
5 to 17 years
18 to 24 years
25 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 years and over
Non-Hispanic
White alone
69.4
58.7
62.1
62.0
67.4
76.7
83.7
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and over
81.6
85.8
86.9
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
Black alone
Asian alone
all other races
(any race)
12.2
3.7
2.1
12.6
14.4
3.6
3.8
19.5
15.0
3.4
3.1
16.4
13.9
4.2
2.5
17.4
12.5
4.4
1.9
13.8
10.4
3.5
1.5
7.9
8.0
2.3
0.9
5.0
8.7
7.2
7.3
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
2.7
2.0
1.5
1.1
0.8
0.7
5.9
4.1
3.6
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution
of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2050
Age
Total
Under 5 years
5 to 17 years
18 to 24 years
25 to 44 years
45 to 64 years
65 years and over
Non-Hispanic
White alone
46.3
37.1
38.3
39.6
43.6
49.7
58.5
65 to 74 years
75 to 84 years
85 years and over
54.5
58.2
67.4
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
Black alone
Asian alone
all other races
(any race)
11.8
7.6
4.0
30.2
11.1
5.9
6.5
39.4
11.3
6.0
5.7
38.6
11.6
6.4
4.9
37.5
12.1
7.8
4.1
32.4
12.8
8.9
3.1
25.5
11.2
8.4
2.1
19.8
12.1
10.9
9.9
9.3
8.8
5.9
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
2.4
2.0
1.8
21.7
20.2
15.1
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year
Anglo
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
2000
11,074,716
2,421,653
6,669,666
685,785
20,851,820
783,198
841,654
878,107
893,129
22,802,947
24,330,685
25,449,060
26,085,070
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,331,872
11,381,128
11,171,420
10,733,052
2,627,276
2,771,387
2,823,280
2,796,629
8,060,601
9,336,516
10,576,253
11,662,260
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,533,974
11,796,493
11,789,298
11,525,112
2,754,744
3,052,401
3,268,616
3,403,169
9,080,436
11,882,998
15,140,100
18,804,298
961,458
1,273,896
1,632,575
2,028,622
24,330,612
28,005,788
31,830,589
35,761,201
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,739,988
12,227,547
12,442,107
12,376,308
2,888,448
3,361,700
3,783,673
4,140,673
10,252,220
15,226,387
21,871,386
30,604,622
1,177,909
1,921,059
3,020,458
4,585,897
26,058,565
32,736,693
41,117,624
51,707,500
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
11,369,946
11,461,192
11,299,159
10,899,933
2,778,528
3,106,273
3,355,344
3,523,778
9,827,743
13,922,261
19,032,000
25,325,641
1,129,429
1,762,813
2,646,377
3,832,576
25,105,646
30,252,539
36,332,880
43,581,928
Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in
2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year
Anglo
Black
2000
53.1
11.6
Hispanic
32.0
Other
3.3
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
49.8
46.7
43.8
41.2
11.5
11.4
11.1
10.7
35.3
38.4
41.6
44.7
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.4
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
47.4
42.2
37.0
32.2
11.3
10.9
10.3
9.5
37.3
42.4
47.6
52.6
4.0
4.5
5.1
5.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.1
37.3
30.3
23.9
11.1
10.3
9.2
8.0
39.3
46.5
53.2
59.2
4.5
5.9
7.3
8.9
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.3
37.9
31.1
25.0
11.1
10.3
9.2
8.1
39.1
46.0
52.4
58.1
4.5
5.8
7.3
8.8
Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in
2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year
Anglo
Black
2000
53.1
11.6
Hispanic
32.0
Other
3.3
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010
2020
2030
2040
49.8
46.7
43.8
41.2
11.5
11.4
11.1
10.7
35.3
38.4
41.6
44.7
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.4
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
47.4
42.2
37.0
32.2
11.3
10.9
10.3
9.5
37.3
42.4
47.6
52.6
4.0
4.5
5.1
5.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.1
37.3
30.3
23.9
11.1
10.3
9.2
8.0
39.3
46.5
53.2
59.2
4.5
5.9
7.3
8.9
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010
2020
2030
2040
45.3
37.9
31.1
25.0
11.1
10.3
9.2
8.1
39.1
46.0
52.4
58.1
4.5
5.8
7.3
8.8
Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and
Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from
2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and
Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
Age
Group
Non-Hispanic
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Total
26.1
11.2
37.7
20.1
4.9
28.2
10.6
31.1
20.2
9.9
All Scenarios
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
23.0
8.8
30.1
24.4
13.7
31.7
11.2
32.1
17.7
7.3
35.8
13.2
31.8
14.0
5.2
Assuming Rates of Zero Migration
2020
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
20.1
8.2
24.7
27.4
19.6
24.8
10.2
29.3
25.0
10.7
32.0
11.1
26.9
21.5
8.5
21.2
9.1
24.0
29.9
15.8
25.2
9.6
26.1
24.9
14.2
17.4
7.6
24.1
24.9
26.0
19.9
8.8
27.6
26.5
17.2
27.5
10.0
27.1
20.6
14.8
16.8
6.5
23.7
22.1
30.9
22.2
8.7
25.9
23.0
20.2
2040
<18
18-24
25-44
45-64
65+
Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000
Dollars)
$60,000
$54,441
$52,639
$50,903
$49,326
$50,000
$47,883
$40,000
$30,000
2000
2010
2020
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
2030
2040
Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by
Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Percent in Poverty
35.0
30.0
26.7
30.0
25.0
18.9
20.0
15.0
18.9
17.0
15.4
16.6
15.0
14.4
11.8
11.4
7.5
10.0
5.0
0.0
Family
Households
Married
Couple
Male
Householder
2000
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Female
Householder
2040
Nonfamily
Households
Total
Households
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational
Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
Percent
35
30.1
29
28.7
28.7
30
23.9
25
18.8
18.2
20
12.9
15
10
5.3
4.4
5
0
No High
School Diploma
High School
Graduate
Some
College
2000
2040
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Prof.
Degree
Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational
Attainment of Householder in 2000*
Average Income
$120,000
$102,410 $104,294
$100,000
$80,950
$80,327
$80,000
$52,552
$60,000
$42,271
$40,000
$30,412
$54,467
$44,068
$32,473
$20,000
$0
Less Than
High School
High School
Graduate
Some College or
Associate Degree
Texas
Bachelor's
Degree
United States
*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)
Graduate/Professional
Degree
Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational
Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040*
Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates
Anglo
< High School
12.7
2.2
25.7
High School
16.6
31.6
33.4
30.0
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
47.8
Black
< High School
24.0
4.3
29.9
High School
25.6
30.6
Some Coll/Assoc.
40.5
15.5
Bachelor's +
29.6
Hispanic
50.7
< High School
32.1
22.0
25.8
18.4
24.1
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
8.9
18.0
Other
21.0
< High School
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
13.4
16.1
7.6
20.6
11.0
42.3
Bachelor's +
0.0
68.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Percent
2000
2040
*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
60.0
70.0
80.0
Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population
25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under
Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*
Billions
$1,200
$938
$1,000
$765
$800
$629
$621
$528
$600
$400
$752
$251
$210
$200
$0
2000
Base Values
2040 Assuming
2000 Attainment
Differentials
Aggregate Income
2040 Assuming
1990-2000 Trends
in Differentials
Consumer Expenditures
*Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
2040 Assuming
Anglo Trends
Apply to all Groups
The mark of a truly
educated man is to be
moved deeply by statistics.
George Bernard Shaw
Arizona Population Age Distribution April 1, 2010
Hispanic Population and Non-Hispanic Population
85 +
Males
Females
80 - 84
75 - 79
Not Hispanic
Hispanic
70 - 74
65 - 69
60 - 64
55 - 59
50 - 54
Age
45 - 49
40 - 44
35 - 39
30 - 34
25 - 29
20 - 24
15 - 19
10 - 14
5-9
0-4
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Population
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
Steve Murdock
Phone: 210-867-4385
E-mail: shm3@rice.edu
Website: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu