Chapter 4 Managing Marketing Information Professor Marshall Queens College Coca-Cola’s Marketing Blunder In 1985, marketers thought they were listening to their target market. They noticed that they were losing market share to Pepsi and they conducted taste tests to develop their new formula. On April 23, 1985, Coca-Cola stopped producing old Coke and created a new Coke with a sweeter taste. Coca-Cola fouled up their research. They Angry customers panicked, filling their focused only on Taste. The company ignored basementsfeeling with old Cokethe and consumers’ about oldthreatening Coke. lawsuits. 3 months later, Coca-Cola brought back the old formula calling it Coca-Cola Clasic. Luckily, Coca-Cola had quick reaction time. The Importance of Marketing Information Companies need information about their: – Customer needs – Marketing environment – Competition Marketing managers do not need more information, they need better information. Marketing Information System An MIS consists of people, equipment, and procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate, and distribute needed, timely, and accurate information to marketing decision makers. The MIS helps managers to: 1. Assess Information Needs 2. Develop Needed Information 3. Distribute Information Assessing Information Needs A good MIS balances the information users would like against what they really need and what is feasible to offer. Sometimes the company cannot provide the needed information because it is not available or due to MIS limitations. Have to decide whether the benefits of more information are worth the costs. Developing Marketing Information Internal Databases: Electronic collections of information obtained from data sources within the company. – Information in a database can come from many sources. Operations tracks shipments and inventory, sales tracks competitor activities, marketing has customer demographics and buying behavior, customer service contains information on customer satisfaction. Marketing Intelligence: Systematic collection and analysis of publicly available information about competitors and developments in the marketing environment. – Used to improve strategic decision making Marketing Research: Systematic design, collection, analysis, and reporting of data relevant to a specific marketing situation facing an organization. – Used to help understand customer purchase behavior Customer Relationship Management Many companies utilize CRM – – – Capture customer information from all sources Analyze it in depth Apply the results to build stronger relationships. Companies look for customer touch points (every contact between company and customer). CRM analysts develop data warehouses (centralized database) and use data mining (algorithms designed to detect patterns in the data) techniques to find information out about customers. Marketing Research Process Defining the problem & research objectives Developing the research plan for collecting information Implementing the research plan – collecting & analyzing the data Interpreting & reporting the findings Problem: Losing market share to Pepsi. We must research the taste preferences of consumers. We should collect taste preference information through blind taste tests. Conduct blind taste tests in various settings aimed at various consumers Data finds that consumers prefer the sweeter taste of Pepsi. Based on the findings, Coca-Cola decides to produce a sweeter New Coke, and remove the old Coke from its product line. Defining Problem & Objectives Exploratory Research: – Gather preliminary information that will help define the problem and suggest hypotheses. Descriptive Research: – Describes things (e.g., market potential for a product, demographics, and attitudes). Causal Research: – Tests hypotheses about cause-and-effect relationships. Example: Would a 10% decrease in tuition at a private college increase enrollment enough to offset the decrease in tuition? Developing the Research Plan Includes: – – – Determining the exact information needed Developing a plan for gathering it efficiently Presenting the written plan to management Outlines: – – – – – Sources of existing data Specific research approaches Contact methods Sampling plans Instruments for data collection Developing the Research Plan: Campbell Soup Campbell wants to conduct research on how soup consumers would react to the introduction of new bowl-shaped plastic containers which would allow consumer to heat soup in the microwave without adding anything and without a need for dishes. They need to research the following information: Demographic, economic and lifestyles of current soup consumers Consumer usage patterns for soup (where, when, how much) Retailer reactions to new packaging Consumer attitudes toward new packaging Forecasts of sales for new and old packages Next Step: determine where/how to gather this information and all associated costs. Present this in a written proposal. Gathering Secondary Data Information that already exists somewhere – – – Internal databases Commercial data services: www.acneilson.com (data on household purchasing), www.dnb.com (information on companies) Government sources: www.sec.gov (financial data on US corporations), www.census.gov Available more quickly and at a lower cost than primary data. Must be relevant, accurate, current, and impartial. See page 116 for more external information sources. Primary Data Collection Information collected for the specific purpose at hand. Must be relevant, accurate, current, and unbiased. Plan for Primary Data Collection Must determine: – – – – Research approach Contact methods Sampling plan Research instruments Developing the Research Plan: Campbell Soup They need to research the following information: Demographic, economic and lifestyles of current soup consumers Consumer usage patterns for soup (where, when, how much) Retailer reactions to new packaging Consumer attitudes toward new packaging Forecasts of sales for new and old packages Secondary Data Secondary Data Primary Data Primary Data Secondary Data Observational Research The gathering of primary data by observing relevant people, actions, and situations. Ethnographic research: – Observation in “natural environment” Mechanical observation: – – – – People meters – records tv shows watched Checkout scanners – record shoppers’ purchases Galvanometer – detects sweating Eye Cameras – study respondents’ eye movements Survey Research Most widely used method for primary data collection. Approach best suited for gathering descriptive information. Can gather information about people’s knowledge, attitudes, preferences, or buying behavior. Survey Contact Methods Personal can mean individual interviewing or focus groups (6-10 people who talk about product) Mail Telephone Personal Online Flexibility Poor Good Excellent Good Qty of data that can be collected Control of interviewer effects Control of sample Good Fair Excellent Good Excellent Fair Poor Fair Fair Excellent Fair Poor Speed of data collection Response Rate Poor Excellent Good Excellent Fair Good Good Good Cost Good Fair Poor Excellent Choosing the Sample Sample – segment of the population selected to represent the population as a whole. Requires 3 Decisions: – Who is to be surveyed? Sampling unit – How many people should be surveyed? Sample size – How should the people in the sample be chosen? Sampling procedure Types of Samples Probability Sample Simple Random Sample Every member of the population has a known and equal chance of selection. Stratified Random Sample Cluster (area) Sample Population is divided into groups (ex age groups) and random samples are drawn from each group. Population is divided into groups based on location and samples are drawn from the groups. Nonprobability Sample Convenience Sample Researcher selects the easiest population members from which to obtain information. Judgment Sample Researcher uses his or her judgment to select population members who are good prospects. Quota Sample Researcher finds a prescribed number of people in each of several categories. Primary Data Collection Questionnaires: – – What questions to ask? Form of each question? Closed-ended – include all possible answers (multiple choice) Open-ended – allow respondents to answer in own words – – Wording? Ordering? Likert Scale One of the most popular closed-ended formats, widely used in survey research, particularly in measuring attitudes, beliefs and opinions. The basic idea here is to: write the item as a declarative sentence and; then provide a number of response options, or choices, that would indicate varying degrees of agreement with, or endorsement of, that sentence. Example: Three meals a day is essential to a healthy lifestyle. 1 2 Strongly Moderately Disagree Disagree 3 Mildly Disagree 4 5 6 Mildly Moderately Strongly Agree Agree Agree Please note, in the above example, that the "item" to be evaluated consists of a declarative sentence. Thus, it already states a 'position' and 'direction' of attitude. The respondent is then asked to circle the direction and extent (intensity) of his/her agreement (or disagreement) with that "position" sentence. Implementing the Research Plan Collecting the data – Most expensive and subject to error Processing the data Analyzing the data Analyzing the Data Simple Tabulation – count the occurances of each variable independently of other variables Cross Tabulation – divide the sample into sub-groups to show how the variable varies from one subgroup to another Simple Tabulation Answer Choice Question 1 Question 2 Question 1 Question 2 1 5 19 2 8 7 3 10 4 4 11 2 5 14 21 6 16 11 Total Respondants 64 64 PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL 8% 13% 16% 17% 22% 25% 30% 11% 6% 3% 33% 17% Question 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = Strongly Disagree, 2 = Moderately Disagree, 3 = Mildly Disagree, 4 = Mildly Agree, 5 = Moderately Agree, 6 = Strongly Agree Cross Tabulation QUESTION 1 Answer Choice 1 2 3 4 5 6 Men 4 7 8 6 7 1 PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL 12% 21% 24% 18% 21% 3% Women 1 1 2 5 7 15 PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL 3% 3% 6% 16% 23% 48% Question 1 - MEN Total Respondants 33 31 Question 1 - WOMEN 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 1 = Strongly Disagree, 2 = Moderately Disagree, 3 = Mildly Disagree, 4 = Mildly Agree, 5 = Moderately Agree, 6 = Strongly Agree Interpreting and Reporting Findings Interpret the findings Draw conclusions Report to management Experimental Research Tries to explain cause-and-effect relationships. Involves: – – – – selecting matched groups of subjects, giving different treatments, controlling unrelated factors, and checking differences in group responses. Example: before adding a new product, to its menu, Taco Bell might use experiments to test the effect of sales on two different prices it might charge. Analyzing the Data Hypothesis Testing – Uses Regression Analysis to Interpret the results Exmaple: Taco Bell might take the data from the experiments designed to test the effect of sales on two different prices. The company would run a regression on the data to determine if the new price had a significant effect on sales. Original Price New Price Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Taco Supreme Meal Taco Supreme Meal Sales at Old Price Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday 200 179 154 320 228 207 189 289 182 221 198 178 245 189 167 183 200 196 118 149 $4.98 $5.48 Sales at New Price 190 170 146 376 217 197 180 275 173 210 188 169 233 180 159 174 221 186 112 142 Regression Output SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.967420566 R Square 0.935902551 Adjusted R Square 0.932341582 Standard Error 14.39127822 Observations 20 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Intercept Sales at Old Price 1 18 19 SS 54432.857 3727.959999 58160.817 MS F Significance F 54432.857 262.8224086 3.4894E-12 207.1088888 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value -38.22687925 14.72791383 -2.595539307 0.018269864 1.167319034 0.07200429 16.21179844 3.4894E-12 Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% -69.16910196 -7.28465654 -69.16910196 -7.28465654 1.016043518 1.318594551 1.016043518 1.318594551 Interpretation: we are 98% confident (1-p value) that there is a relationship between old sales (x) and new sales (y) data. To estimate new sales, we would formulate the following equation: -38.23 + (1.17 * Sales at the Old Price) If sales at the old price averaged 200, we would estimate new sales by: -38.23 + (1.17 * 200) = 195.24 Making the Decision Given Estimated Sales at the New Price, is the price hike worth it? Judging by our research estimates, we would reduce sales by 5 if we implement the new price. We sold 200 at $4.98 = $996.00 The new price adds $0.50 per sale, so we would sell: 195 at $5.48 = $1,069.90 Making the Decision Assuming there are no other costs (or that the other costs don’t outweight the profits)… We would increase revenue by: $73.90 if we increase the price. So – YES we should make Taco Supreme Meals $5.48. Video Case Burke, Inc. (9 minutes) Applying Knowledge - Improving Decisions Burke is one of the premier international research and consulting firms in the world. For nearly seven decades, Burke has helped manufacturing and service companies understand and accurately predict marketplace behavior. Burke's employee owners add value to research and consulting assignments by applying superior thinking to help clients solve business problems. http://www.burke.com/about/ Thoughts Can you name some new growing trends? What products or services might be in high demand to fit those trends? What jobs will grow to suit those trends? Video Case Intel (15 minutes) http://www.capstonevideo.com/rpm_wvx/capstone_intel.wvx Thoughts Marketing Research was used at every stage in developing the Intel brand. – Deciding on an advertising theme and jingle – Developing a product name – Developing products geared toward the uses of customers all over the globe