Climate Change Curriculum: UPM Experiences MATERIALS PREPARED BY Assoc. Prof. Dr Ahmad Makmom Abdullah FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Course Particulars • • • • • • • • • • Program: Bachelor of Environmental Science and Technology Course Name: Carbon Sequestration and Climate Change Course Code: ESC4303 Credit: 3(2+1)- 2 hours lecture and SCL per week and 3 hour laboratory (Computer Modeling) Total Learning Hours: 120 hours Semester offered: Second Semester (February 2015- June 2015) Student Level: 3rd year Number of Student Registered for the course: 18 Mode of Teaching: Lectures, assignments (3 assignment) and SCL Assessment: – 60% Course work ( 2 Test and 3 Assignments and 1 presentation) and 40% Final Exam Course Synopsis • This course covers sources, changes and impacts of Greenhouse Gases, Principles of United Nations Framework Convention On Climate Change. The Focus Is on temperature changes, sea level rises, changes in amount of rainfall, impacts of Climate Change on Biodiversity and sustainability of life support systems. Concept Of • Carbon Sequestration in ecosystem and carbon trading are discussed. Student Assignment 1: Temperature The temperature is getting higher!!! Each country has similar trend line, but different mean temperature. It fluctuates steadily, but since the 1940s, it only fluctuates slightly at constant rate and tends to increase gradually after the 1970s. Sudden decrease in 1880s due to recurring Mayon volcanic eruption Lowest due to cold wind from the northern countries Global temperature and GHG forcing are due to CO2, CH4, & N2O from Vostok ice core. Net climate forcing and modern temperature zero points are at 1850, which is assumed that positive GHG forcing is largely offset by negative human-made forcings. Rapid urban development Increasing human population Coriolis effect High emission in greenhouse gases Weather-changing pattern Student was asked to analyze the temperature trends based on Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature: Student determine and discuss the questions: 1. The temperature trends in your country and neighboring countries. What is similar? What are the differences? Students Assignment 2: Pamphlets • Example of student pamphlets – Sakinah – Haifa Student Assignment 3: Climate Change Newsletter • Examples – Ashton Laboratory Works: IPCC Carbon Emission • • Laboratory Session 2.National Greenhouse Gases Inventory using 2006 IPCC Software: How GHG inventory be made. Procedure • Step 1. Students download and read 2006IPCCSoftware_ver 2.12 before coming to the laboratory. • Step 2.Whole class briefing by the instructor on the download procedure. • Step 3.Demonstration of Running the Software. • Step 4.Demonstration how the work with worksheet. Laboratory work: Online Java Climate Model StudentOutline • • • • • • Experiment 4: Online Java ClimateModel DATE: 3 April 2015 TIME: 9 A.M.-12 P.M. PLACE: MAGIS, JSAS Introduction: • Student will learn how to explore the interactive model system and how they can change it, simply by adjusting with their mouse parameters and observing the effect instantly on diverse plots ranging from socioeconomic drivers to climate impacts. Student will experiment with interacting processes affecting the carbon cycle and heat balance of the earth, investigate their relative speed, importance, and uncertainty, and discover how model predictions work.The core science calculation methods in the system are calibrated to be consistent with results from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, implemented efficiently in the java language, to enable anybody to access this tool via the internet and explore diverse scenarios and the sensitivity of projections to risk/value judgements and scientific uncertainties. • Learning Outcomes: At the end of the laboratory work student be able to: • Explore IPCC scenarios of future greenhouse gas emissions and predictions of consequent climate change • Compare "baseline" scenarios (SRES) with "mitigation" scenarios to stabilise concentrations. Laboratory Work: MAGICC/SCENGEN STUDENT OUTLINE Experiment 6 :ClimateChangeModel: MAGICC/SCENGEN • DATE : 15, 20 and 29May2015 • TIME : 9 A.M.-12 P.M. • PLACE: MAGIS Introduction MAGICC and SCENGEN are coupled, user-friendly interactive software suites that allow users to investigate future climate change and its uncertainties at both the global-mean and regional levels. MAGICC consists of a suite of coupled gas-cycle, climate and ice-melt models integrated into a single software package. MAGICC carries through calculations at the global-mean level using the same upwelling-diffusion, energy-balance climate model that has been and is employed by IPCC. SCENGEN uses these results, together with spatially detailed results from the CMIP3/AR4 archive of AOGCMs, to produce spatially detailed information on future changes in temperature, precipitation and MSLP, changes in their variability, and a range of other statistics.The software allows the user to determine changes in greenhouse-gas concentrations, global-mean surface air temperature, and sea level resulting from anthropogenic emissions.SCENGEN constructs a range of geographically explicit climate change projections for the globe using the results from MAGICC together with AOGCM climate change information from the CMIP3/AR4 archive. LEARNING OUTCOMES At the end of the experiment, student be able to; • determine the effects of uncertainties in the carbon cycle, the magnitude of aerosol forcing, the overall sensitivity of the climate system to external forcing, and ocean mixing rate. • intervene in the design of the global or regional climate change scenario by selecting and/or specifying the greenhouse gas and sulfur dioxide emissions scenarios. Lectures • Some of Lecture notes from Leaf Workshop were used in the lectures. Videos • • • • El Nino Earth under Water in the Next 20 Years Dangerous Norway’s Atlantic Ocean Road Sea Level Rise