Monitoring and Evaluation Plan for California’s Weather Based Smart Irrigation Controllers Program Submitted to Dr. Harry Cummings Program Evaluation University of Guelph Guelph, ON N1G 2W1 Submitted by Inem Chahal April 2013 Table of Contents 1.0 Acronyms…………………………………………………………………………….3 2.0 Introduction……………………………………………………………………….. .4 2.1 Context and Background………………………………………………….4 2.2 The CWBSIC Project……………………………………………………...4 2.3 Goal of the Evaluation …………………………………………………….5 2.4 Objectives of the Evaluation………………………………………………5 3.0 Program Logic Model………………………………………………………………7 4.0 Evaluation Matrix………………………………………………………………….11 5.0 Evaluation Details………………………………………………………………….16 5.1 Type of Evaluation ……………………………………………………….16 5.2 Evaluation Design …………………………………………………………16 5.3 Evaluation Methods…………………………………………………….….17 5.4 Evaluation Team……………………………………………………….…..17 5.5 Evaluation Schedule……………………………………………………….18 5.6 Budget ...........................................................................................................18 6.0 Conclusion ….………………………………………………………………………19 References………………………………………………………………………………20 Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 2 Acronyms CDWR - California’s Department of Water Resources CUWCC - California Urban Water Conservation Council CWBSICP - California’s Weather Based Irrigation Controllers Program CWSC - California Water Service Company FG - Focus Group KII - Key Informant Interview WBIC - Weather Based Irrigation Controllers Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 3 2.0 Introduction 2.1 Context and Background Water scarcity is defined as, “Water scarcity occurs where there are insufficient water resources to satisfy long-term average requirements. It refers to long-term water imbalances, combining low water availability with a level of water demand exceeding the supply capacity of the natural system.” (Water Scarcity, 2008, p.1). This is an issue because we are facing fresh water scarcity in many parts of the world, mainly because of our high consumption levels. If the current consumption rates continue, then by 2025, the demand for fresh water will exceed the supply (UN Assessment of Fresh Water Resources, 1997). The state of California is no exception to this, it is facing a water crisis of a fairly epic proportion. In fact, by the year 2020, the demand for water will exceed the supply (Comprehensive Resources Management Plan, n.d). More than eighty percent of the water is used for agricultural purposes, the remaining twenty percent is allocated to industrial and residential use. Furthermore, more than half of the water in residential homes is used for outdoor purposes (i.e. water lawns, wash cars, etc.) (Water Use in the California Residential Home, 2010). In the case of California, both ground water and surface water levels are under threat. The water table in the aquifers is decreasing because when surface water supplies are limited, people turn to pumping ground water. In this region, aquifers will most likely be depleted within the next sixty to one hundred years (Yu, 2011). 2.2 The CWBSICP Program In response to this, CDWR introduced the installation of WBIC’s in Northern and Southern California, in order to help households consume less water for outdoor activities. The CDWR defines these controllers as, “Smart controllers estimate or measure depletion of available plant moisture to operate an irrigation system that replenishes water as needed while minimizing access. A properly programmed smart Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 4 controller makes irrigation adjustments throughout the season with minimal human intervention” (Water Use in the California Residential Home, 2010, p.4). Through “free exchange events” households in these two regions had the opportunity to trade in their old controllers for these WBIC’s. Additionally, close to three- quarters of the installed devices were free and the remaining twenty- five percent received a rebate or voucher to cover the cost of the installed WBIC’s. Households in Northern and Southern California are the main participants and beneficiaries of this project, because reducing their demand for water will also help them financially, provided that the price of water remains the same. CDWR is the sole funding agent for this project. The total funding allocated for Southern California is $1.8 million and $1.7 million for Northern California, a total of $3.5 million USD (Water Use in the California Residential Home, 2010). 2.3 Goal of the Evaluation This evaluation aims to thoroughly review and evaluate all aspects of this program and ensure that the proposed program outcomes are being achieved. This evaluation will provide a non- biased, independent assessment of the performance of the program. The results of the evaluation will be presented to CDWR so it can build on the lessons learned and improve future CDWR projects and programs. Additionally, the assessment will demonstrate to citizens of California that CDWR is seriously committed to this project and in ensuring that the program’s objectives are attained. The outcomes of this evaluation will also provide evidence to donors, including CDWR that the funded program is accomplishing the results that it was meant to achieve. 2.4 Objectives of the Evaluation The specific objectives for the CWBSICP program evaluation are as follows: To secure funding to further this program Conclusions derived from the evaluation will help highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the project To measure the success rate of WBIC in helping households reduce their water demand Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 5 Identify which methods of implementation were the most effective and community success stories of the CWBSICP program Efficient strategies and lessons learned from this project will serve as examples for future projects funded by CDWR Compare the results of the evaluation to the desired results indicated in the initial project proposal and explain why there were differences, if any. Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 6 3.0 Program Logic Model The program logic model is a diagram, which represents the program. It provides a graphic explanation of the relationship between the program’s inputs, outputs, outcomes (or impacts) with respect to the specified assumptions and risks (See Table 1) (Cummings, 2007). Inputs are resources, including personnel which contribute to the activities of the program (Powell, 2005) Activities are what the program does with the inputs to achieve its goal (Define How a Program Will Work, 2012) Outputs are the direct products of program activities (Define How a Program Will Work, 2012) Outcomes (or Impacts) are the benefits for participants during and after program activities (Define How a Program Will Work, 2012) The relationship between the above variables can be illustrated as follow: the inputs must be in place for activities to occur. The activities must be finished before the outputs are created. Finally, the outputs must be formed before the outcomes/ impacts are to be achieved. Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impacts (Source: Cummings, 2007) Table 1: Assumptions and Risks Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impacts The Government of California continue to support this project through various water management policies, low risk California Department of Water Resources continues funding the project, medium risk Households continue to accept the installation of the water smart irrigation controllers [means that where rebates/ vouchers and free distributions are not applicable, households are willing to buy these controllers with their own money], high risk Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 7 Table 2: Program Logic Model *Logic Model Adapted from Azerbaijan Project Logic Model (Cummings, n.d.) Inputs Funding provided by the Activities 1. Project coordinators ensure proper Outputs 1. Proper installation California Department of Water implementation of the project by of these controllers in demand for water in California are Resources overseeing the installations of the households will be Northern and Southern more aware of California the seriousness of Communities are water scarcity, Outcomes Reduced overall Impacts Communities in Alamada County Water District controllers; Recruitment and training of assured Contra Costa Water District the support staff to ensure proper 2. If households are Santa Clara Valley Water installation of the irrigation controllers successful in better aware of the ultimately 2. Monitoring the success of the water conserving more importance of water leading to an Sonoma County Water Agency smart irrigation controllers in reducing water using the new conservation within increase in the City of Long Beach water use in households1 controllers than their communities installation of The community these water smart installation then members will be more irrigation similar projects could aware of the goals and controllers, be implemented in objectives of the reducing water other states project, leading to wastage within District Los Angeles Department of water and Power City of Santa Monica San Diego County Water Inputs before their Technique used to monitor the success involves comparing the following two components: one full year of pre- installation water consumption versus one full year of post- installation water consumption 1 Authority Activities Outputs Outcomes Impacts City of Long Beach 3. Support staff to hold community 3. Households have a greater acceptability of the state 2 project Coordinators meetings to talk about the project and greater knowledge of the water smart Support Staff its significance the goals and irrigation controllers behavior Community Members 4. Support staff and community importance of the Skills gained by the (more water volunteers to contact participating project support staff to friendly) of households to get their feedback on the 4. Thoughts and achieve the goals of households who benefits and downsides of the project opinions of the project previously did not 5. Set up free exchange events in a) households on the The California take measures to community centers b) community project are obtained Department of Water conserve water colleges and c) internet signup which 5. Households will be Resources will be within their homes allows households to replace their old able to obtain the more aware of the irrigation controllers with the water new water smart actual effectiveness of smart irrigation controllers irrigation controllers the program and 6. Set up implementation methods for 6. Households will be determine what kind households (through free distributions , able to receive these of changes should be direct installation and rebates/ new controllers for made vouchers) free (conditions 2 Inputs 2 Changed apply) If they exchange their old irrigation controllers with the new ones Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 9 Activities Outputs 7. Send out customer service 7. Customer satisfaction surveys via mail satisfaction surveys 8. Evaluation of the California Water received by Smart Irrigation Controller Project households Outcomes Impacts 8. A thorough assessment of the efficiency and effectiveness of the project is conducted Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 10 4.0 Evaluation Matrix Evaluation matrix ensures that all relevant issues and covered. In table 3, the following issues will be covered: Relevance: Refers to the extent to which the program caters to the goal of the organization (Cummings- matrix definitions, 2013). Efficiency: Refers to the extent to which the program’s inputs and activities were planned to ensure that the outputs were produced at the least cost (Cummings, 2013) Effectiveness: Refers to the extent to which the outputs and outcomes catered to the overall program goal (Cummings, 2013). Access/ Reach: Refers to whether everyone in the community had a fair chance of being part of and reaping the benefits of the program (Cummings, 2013). Table 3: Evaluation Matrix for the Process Evaluation Issue Relevance Evaluation Question 1. To what extend does the program help the CDWR achieve its goal of reducing water use within households? 2. Do the agencies that are part of the Indicators Data Required 1.Determine if the number of days that saw water shortage changed or not after the implementation of the program 1. Information on the number of days that saw water shortage before the implementation of CWBSICP and the number of days that saw water shortage after the program 2a. Government of California’s budget for the program 2. Number of CDWR projects; CDWR’s budget for CWBSICP Source of Data 1. CDWR, CUWCC, CWSC, households 2. CDWR, Ministry officials Method of Collection 1. KII with CDWR officials, CUWCC, CWSC, households, beneficiaries; document review 2. KII with stakeholders and government Analysis Responsibility Timing 1-3 KII’s and FG’s will be conducted and documents/ data will be reviewed and compared 1-3 Document/ data review will be conducted by the evaluation team 1-3 Through out the project lifetimeongoing basis KII’s and FG’s will be conducted by the evaluation team May 2013 Issue Relevance (Continued) Evaluation Question Indicators program think it’s a priority or not? 2b. CWBSICP included in the California Water Plan 3. Is there evidence supporting that the introduction of the CWBSICP addressed a need in the community? 3a. Stakeholders, including households agree that the program is essential in addressing the community’s needs. 3b. Increased access to smart controllers and less water wasted in household irrigation activities. 3c. Conduct household surveys to determine if there is a need to install irrigation controllers Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP Data Required Source of Data Method of Collection Analysis Responsibility Timing documents review 3. List of objectives met by the CWBSICP, reduction of outdoor water use 3. CDWR, households, beneficiarie s, master plan and baseline data 3. KII with CDWR officials; FG with households, beneficiaries and document review 12 Issues Efficiency Evaluation Question 4. Were the hired personnel on time? Were there any issues? 5. Were there enough smart controllers to install? Were they delivered on time? What were some of the difficulties encountered , if any? Indicators Data Required 4.Organizational structure and a list of all positions recruited 4. Information on recruited positions, organization chart 5a. # of water smart irrigation controllers available and the # that are actually needed 5b. # of households that could not have the controllers installed because of delivery failures 5. List of suppliers and contractors that were responsible for the delivery and installation of controllers Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP Source of Data 4. CWBSICP documents and monitoring data Method of Collection 4. Document data and review; KII with CDWR officials 5. CWBSICP documents and monitoring data 5. Document and data review; KII with households, suppliers and contractors Analysis 4-6 KII and FG will be conducted Documents and data reviewed and compared Responsibility 4-6 KII’s and FG are to be conducted by the evaluation team Documents and data will be analyzed and compared by the evaluation team Timing 4-6 Through out the project lifetimeongoing basis May 2013 13 Issues Efficiency (Continued) Evaluation Question 6. What was the cost associated with the CWBSICP? Was it comparable with other projects conducted by CDWR? Indicators 6. Cost of installing smart controllers versus the installation of water efficient toilets (another program by CDWR) Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP Data Required Source of Data 6. Cost data from 6. CWBSICP other programs documents funded by CDWR and monitoring data, CDWR Method of Collection 6. Document data and review; KII with CDWR officials Analysis Responsibility Timing 14 Issues Access and Reach Evaluation Question 7. Are the smart controllers accessible to all households? Indicators Data Required 7. Percentage of people in the community that can access the facilities which supply these controllers 7. Number of households that experienced no difficulty in locating a facility that distributed the controllers 8. Are the benefits of the project available to all members of the community? 8. Percentage of beneficiaries that come from low income households 8. Details of the beneficiaries economic status 9. Is the CWBSICP teaching the intended audience? 9. Actual beneficiaries reached vs. the original planned Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP Source of Data 7. Facilities set up by CDWR, households Method of Collection 7. KII with households and beneficiaries 8. U.S. Census (Zip code statistics) 8. Postal code ranking of neighborhoods according to income per year Analysis 7-9 KII and FG will be conducted Document s and data reviewed and compared Responsibility 7-9 KII and FG will be carried out by the evaluation team Timing 7-9 May 2013 Documents and data will be analyzed by the evaluation team 15 5.0 Evaluation Details 5.1 Type of Evaluation As decided by the evaluation team, the evaluation of the CWBSICP will be a summative evaluation. This type of evaluation takes place during and after the implementation of the project and tends to represent outcomes, as opposed to formative evaluation. It is appropriate for this type of program because summative evaluation is associated with more objective and quantitative methods. Quantitative and objective techniques are much more useful for this situation because it is important to measure the amount of water saved through the use of these smart controllers. Finally, summative evaluation will be used because the evaluation team would like to assess whether the program has achieved its goals and whether there were any unforeseen consequences. Through this type of evaluation, the team would also like to determine: What lessons were learned? How can this program be improved? (Types of Evaluation, n.d.) 5.2 Evaluation Design The evaluation plan was developed using a participatory approach because of the following reasons (Participatory Methods, 2011): Gives a voice to the marginalized population Teachers people how to take more control over their lives Provides a clearer picture of what works and what does not from the perspectives of those directly involved Provides a clearer picture of the needs of staff and beneficiaries The evaluation will use a quasi- experimental approach because it will allow the evaluation team to use comparison groups rather than randomly assigned control groups as the baseline. These comparison groups will fall into any of the following three categories (QuasiExperimental Evaluation, n.d.): 1) Eligible non- participants in the same community 2) Individuals similar to the participants from an existing data base that contains the outcome measures of interest 3) Individuals in a matched comparison site who would have been eligible for the program if it was initiated in that location/ site 5.3 Evaluation Methods This evaluation will use both qualitative and quantitative methods in order to assess the outputs and outcomes of the CWBSIC program. The methods of the summative evaluation are listed in Table 4 below: Table 4: Evaluation Methods Summative Evaluation Document review Data review Key informant interview Focus group discussion Questionnaires for households Budget analysis 5.4 Evaluation Team *Required number of evaluators: 1 Minimum of a Bachelors degree in management or equivalent. Strong written and oral communication skills in English is required Previous experience in evaluation management Strong track record in managing evaluations *Required number of support staff to conduct telephone surveys, KII’s, focus groups/ questionnaires: 10 Graduate students whose research focuses on water conservation Strong verbal and written communication skills Previous experience in conducing surveys and dealing with the public is an asset Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 17 5.5 Evaluation Schedule A general schedule is provided below for the summative evaluation. The schedule in table 5 may be subject to minor chances throughout the duration of the evaluation. The total time dedicated to this evaluation will be 5 months. Table 5: Proposed Schedule for Evaluation Timelines March/ April 2013 Activities Develop and finalize tools for Summative Evaluation July 2013 Summative Evaluation -Document review -Field Visit (10- 15 days) -Analysis of Data -Budget Analysis -Submit Evaluation Report 5.6 Budget Table 6: Budget Proposed Budget Activities Amount in $ (USD) 1. Document/ Data Review $ 1500 2. Develop and Finalize the Evaluation Work $2000 Plan 3. Develop Data Collection Tools/ Guides $1200 4. Analyze/ Synthesize $5000 5. Field Mission and Data Collection $2000 6. Prepare Draft Report $2000 7. Staff Salaries $1000 8. Finalize/ Present Evaluation Report Total Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP $10, 000 $24, 700 18 6.0 Conclusion This evaluation plan includes all the necessary steps and information required when conducting the assessment for the CWBSICP. The following information was covered in this report and is necessary to take into account before the actual evaluation begins: A brief background information on the issue of water scarcity in California Introduction to the CWBSICP The goal of the evaluation The objectives of the evaluation Program Logic Model Evaluation Matrix- identifies the key issues The type of evaluation that should be used for this program The type of evaluation design that should be used for this program Personnel required to conduct this evaluation The schedule outlining when the main steps will be taken during the evaluation The planned budget for this evaluation Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 19 References (2010). Water use in the California residential home. Cummings, H. (n.d.). Azerbaijan project. Unpublished raw data, School of Environmental Design and Rural Development, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada. Available from CourseLink. Retrieved from https://courselink.uoguelph.ca Cummings, H. (2007). Monitoring and evaluation plan for riwash. Cummings, H. (2013, March). Evaluation matrix. Guelph, Ontario. Define how a program will work: The logic model. (2012, October 5). Retrieved from http://nnlm.gov/outreach/community/logicmodel.html Participatory methods. (2011). Retrieved from http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTPOVERTY/ EXTISPMA/0,,contentMDK:20190347~menuPK:412148~pagePK:148956 ~piPK:216618~theSitePK:384329,00.html Powell, E. (2005, march 21). Logic model: A framework for program planning and evaluation. Retrieved from courselink.uoguelph.ca Quasi experimental evaluation. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.le.ac.uk/oerresources/criminology/msc/unit8/page_05.htm Types of evaluation. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://evaluationtoolbox.net.au/index.php? option=com_content&view=article&id=15&Itemid=19 Un assessment of freshwater resources. (1997, June 23). Retrieved from http://www.un.org/ecosocdev/geninfo/sustdev/waterrep.htm Water scarcity. (2008, 11 26). Retrieved from http://www.eea.europa.eu/themes/water/featuredarticles/water-scarcity Yu, J. (Director) (2011). Last call at the oasis [Web]. Retrieved from http://www.cbc.ca/passionateeye/episode/last-call-atthe-oasis.html Monitoring and Evaluation Plan- CWBSICP 20