By James D. White Jr . Plackett-Burman Design of Experiments 1. 2. 3. 4. Statistics developed in the early 20th century Tool to help improve yields in farming Many types of experiments/techniques Design of experiments when and who? Designs of Experiments by Plackett and Burman 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Were first written in 1946 R. L.. Plackett J. P. Burman Matrix design in structure Improve quality control process How does it help Improve the quality control Process? 1. 2. 3. 4. Upper and lower level limits of a variables Finds influencing factors Helps with efficient estimating of process Helps to improve the overall quality of the product Improving Quality of Product 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Experimental procedures require a structured approach Reliable results Minimal wastage of time and money Experimental design Statistical principles Limited number of experiments Improving Quality of Product (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Optimize a process Define which variables need most control Maintain the repeatability of a process A mathematical model of the process Predict results of changed variables Benefits of Knowing expected Results when variables changed 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Variables on system can be enhanced Design feasibility Product robustness Allows intelligent decision making Which variable to change in a system? Changing Variables In A System 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Modifying one variable is ineffective Interactions cause unforeseen problems Study Effects so intelligent decisions can be made Orthogonal array Plackett-Burman Design Plackett-Burman Experiments 1. 2. 3. 4. Two level fractional factorials Efficient estimations Interactions between factors ignored Used In Matrix Form Plackett-Burman (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. Columns represent factors Specify level to set for factors Rows contain process runs post-processing of results Plackett-Burman (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. Start with Factors More factors The better Factors go across the top labeled f1, f2, . . . . f7. Plackett-Burman (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. The number of runs will go down columns Multiples of 4 but not power of 2 On the last run we will use all (-) signs Possible design of Plackett-Burman design looks like the following: Matrix Pattern of 7 Factors Row r1 r2 r3 r4 r5 r6 r7 r8 f1 + + + + - f2 + + + + - f3 + + + + - f4 + + + + - f5 + + + + - f6 + + + + - f7 + + + + - Matrix Explained 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. ( - ) will have lower limits per variable ( + ) will have upper limits per variable r1 is test one f1 is variable one (r1,f1) positive upper limit Matrix explained (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. (r2,f2) negative lower limit Fill in the rest of the matrix the same way Lower limits from test go in ( - ) Upper limits from test go in ( + ) Matrix Explained (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Find Upper level and Lower level limit L = ¼ ( r1 + r4 + r6 + r7) - ¼ ( r2 + r3 + r5 + r8) Variable f1, r1-r8 going down not across. Now have upper and lower limits of f1 Matrix Explained (continued) 1. 2. 3. Get Value of upper level limit and value of lower level limit Once we have the values of Lower level limit and upper level limit we can then find the mean of that variable. What does all this mean? Meaning behind the means 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Variables can be changed Change 1 variable We now have mathematical formula Change numbers and see change to the process Very advantageous How could this tool be used in your organization? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Can you see the benefits? Where else could you see this working? Would it work in your organization? Examples Working example Example of matrix 1. 2. 3. Lets use a 2 variable matrix We will have 8 runs Matrix will look like the following: Example Matrix structure Row R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 r8 f1 + + + + - f2 + + + + - Example matrix (continued) 1. 2. 3. 4. We will have 8 runs for variable 1 We will have 8 runs for variable 2 For ease of example we will make up some numbers Matrix will look like following with numbers in it: Example matrix structure with values Row R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 r8 f1 3 2 2.2 3.1 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.0 f2 3.1 2.7 1.9 2.0 3.5 2.1 3.0 2.0 Finding upper and lower limits 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Formula: L = ¼ ( r1 + r4 + r6 + r7) - ¼ ( r2 + r3 + r5 + r8) F1-UL = 2.95, LL = -2.12 F2-UL = 2.0, LL = -2.52 Find the means. Means of example matrix 1. 2. 3. 4. Mean of variable 1 is ( .415) Mean of variable 2 is - ( .26) Change 2 runs New table is as follows: Example matrix after change of run 2 and 5 Row R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 r8 f1 3 4 2.2 3.1 3.5 2.9 2.8 2.0 f2 3.1 5 1.9 2.0 2.9 2.1 3.0 2.0 Means of variables after change in original variable runs 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Change of r2 to ( 4 ) and ( 5) Change of r5 to ( 3.5 ) and ( 2.9 ) f1: UL = 2.95, LL =2.92 New mean of variable 1 =( .06) f2: UL = 2.55, LL = 2.95 New mean of variable 2 = - ( .185) Means of variables after change: net change 1. 2. 3. Net change of variable 1 = ( .355) Net change of variable 2 = ( .075) We can predict what changes will be without any changes in process at this time Conclusion to Plackett and Burman designs 1. 2. 3. Change 1 to as many as N variables Changes in variables are beneficial to calculate Not totally conclusive Conclusion to Plackett and Burman Designs 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Several programs available for help Some that are available are as follows: Minitab S-plus MINU Calculators Good luck in you future of quality management References cited page 1. 2. Draper N.R., “Plackett Burman Designs”, Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences Volume 6, Ed Johnson Kotz, 9 volumes; Wiley, 1982-1988 Trutna Ledi, “Process Improvements”, Engineering Statistics Handbook, Ed. Caroll Croarkin; No Date, http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/ index.htm