Remote Sensing For Assessing Environmental Impacts Based On Sustainability Indicators John C. Trinder School of Surveying and SIS UNSW Sydney, Australia 1st Vice President ISPRS 1 IMPACT OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT Humans are modifying the energy and mass exchanges that occur between the atmosphere, oceans and biota The resulting changes may be beyond the resilience of the Earth’s environment to absorb them Sets of compatible global data are required for analysis of key terrestrial variables WSSD declaration includes the three ‘pillars’ of Sustainable Development: economic, social and environmental protection 2 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Sustainable Development: Adoption of practices of environmental use and management which provides for a satisfactory standard of living today, and which will not impair the capacity to provide for future generations. Development that meets the needs of the present without foreclosing the needs or options of future generations It requires equilibrium between production and the consumption of energy Achieving a sustainable society cannot be divorced from issues of equity, welfare, lifestyle and standards of living 3 SUSTAINABILITY IN TERMS OF ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS Need to take into consideration economical, ecological and sociological issues Ecological economics – based on transformation of ‘Natural Capital’ into ‘Man-Made Capital’ Optimal growth occurs when marginal cost of natural capital transformation equals marginal benefits to mankind There is a limit to the extent of natural capital When development involves transformation above optimum, it is unsustainable 4 TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE Scenarios for developing a sustainable human society (Gallopin & Raskin 2002) : market forces policy reform eco-communalism muddling through Ecosocial market (Rademaker 2004 ) consensus, and respect for civil rights and human equity human behaviour is agreed globally by social contract Decisions based on inputs from all stakeholders (Azapagic 2005) Economic, social and ecological issues must be considered when developing sustainable society 5 Sustainable Development Indicators (SDI) developed to monitor progress and assess the impact of policies on natural resource development exact measures of single factors and their combination into meaningful parameters compresses information on a relatively complex process, trend or state into a more readily understandable form may be application specific should be unbiased sensitive to changes convenient to communicate and collect. separate SDIs for economic, social and ecological 6 Development of SDIs Many examples on SDIs OECD - 23 indices based on natural sciences, policy performance, accounting framework and synoptic indices. IISD – International Institute for Sustainable Development UN – DSD World Bank Alliance for a Sustainable Atlanta 7 Environmental and Sustainability Indicators for Canada (NRTEE) (2003) National natural and human capital indicators Supplementing existing economic indicators will provide a more robust picture of the state of the national capital Air quality Fresh water Green house gas emissions Forest cover Wetlands Human capital (Education attainment) 8 Typical SDIs for Land Practices Sustainable land practices: nutrient balance, yield trend and variability, land use diversity and land cover amount of tree cover impact on soil and/or water conservation of native habitats. Agriculture yield trends, coefficients for limited resources, material and energy flows and balances, soil health, modelling and bioindicators 9 Analysis and Combination of SDIs Multiple SDIs cause difficulties in assessing sustainability Methods suggested to combine multiple SDIs to produce a measure of sustainability Rule based system Fuzzy logic analysis Principal component analysis Concept is still being researched – is it appropriate? 10 SDI FRAMEWORKS Simple approach to developing SDIs inadequate New approach - frameworks for SDIs which include linkages between the three areas:Typical conceptual frameworks recommended by authors: domain-based, issue-based, goal-based Olalla-Tárraga (2006) hierarchical concept economic, social and ecological each subdivide into ‘area’, ‘objective’, ‘attribute’, and ‘indicators’ 11 Dimension Area Objective Environment Sustainable Development Social Attribute I N D I C A T O R S Economic Hierarchical framework of indicator system. 12 Characteristics of Sustainability Indicators (Becker 1997) Criteria Scientific Quality Ecosystem relevance Data Management Sustainability Paradigm 13 Scientific Quality Indicator really measures what it is supposed to detect Indicator measures significant aspect Problem specific Distinguishes between causes and effects Can be reproduced and repeated over time Uncorrelated, independent Unambiguous 14 Ecosystem relevance Changes as the system moves away from equilibrium Distinguishes agro-systems moving away from sustainability Identifies key factors leading to unsustainability Warning of irreversible processes Proactive in forecasting future trends Covers full cycles through time Corresponds to aggregation level Highlights links to other system levels Permits trade-off detection and assessment between system components and levels 15 Remote Sensing for Sustainable Development Identify parameters measurable by remote sensing sensors Relate them to sustainability indicators Typical parameters: Vegetation stress Agricultural Yield estimates Soil condition and erosion Land subsidence due to mining or water withdrawal 16 Vegetation stress Effects of stress on vegetation caused by withdrawal of underground water has been studied in Florida Vegetation - pond-Cyprus Laboratory scans in NIR and mid infrared regions of the spectrum of dried milled branch tips Chemical changes in the vegetation revealed in the data An indicator of unsustainable withdrawal of water from the aquifers Similar studies of stress on vegetation due to lack of water have been made on red gum plantations in Australia 17 Agricultural yield estimates Remote sensing data, combined with agrometeorological data, can provide daily, weekly and annual information on crop condition and status This data can also be used to generate yield estimates and comparisons of annual production trends Similar measurements made in Canada 18 Soil condition and erosion Remote sensing input - direct and indirect indicators may be derived through spectral characterisation of the soil (if exposed) or of vegetation conditions (if covered) changes of the soil surface composition over time are indicators of land degradation, salinity and erosion 19 Mapping surface expression of salinity in south western Australia 20 Land subsidence due to mining or water withdrawal Differential interferometric SAR (DInSAR) is a precise for measuring mine subsidence Can detect illegal mines by surface subsidence Subsidence of surface due to withdrawal of underground water Permanent scatterers over built-up areas – PSInSAR can give very high precisions of ground subsidence. 21 Typical Plan View of Longwall Panels Coal remaining Goaf Direction of mining Goaf Remaining chain pillars between longwall panels Longwall shearer Coal face Development headings to create new longwall panels Solid coal Extracted longwall panel Current longwall panel Future longwall panel Main Headings 22 (typically a slice of 1 metre width is removed), the shearer, conveyor and hydraulic roof supports are pushed forward allowing further collapse of the strata behind the supports into the goaf. shearing and cracking of the stata depends upon the strata geology, the longwall width, the seam thickness and the depth of cover. Cross Section of a Typical Longwall Face Goaf Coal Seam Hydraulic roof supports Longwall shearer & conveyor Direction of mining 23 Mine subsidence in 24 Hours – ERS Tandem DInSAR Subsidence • Master: 29 October 1995, ERS-1; Slave: 30 October 1995, ERS-2; • Remarkable result of subsidence in 24 hours 24 PSInSAR result of ground subsidence in Perth 25 Trend of groundwater level 1995 - 2004 (CSIRO) 26 REVIEW - TOWARDS A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE Scenarios for developing a sustainable human society Ecosocial market (Rademaker 2004 ) Decisions based on inputs from all stakeholders (Azapagic 2005) Economic, social and ecological issues must be considered when developing sustainable society Remote sensing deals primarily with ecological issues Linking to economic and social issues is essential 27 Linking Remote Sensing to Social Sciences and Economics Remote sensing determines ‘what’ and ‘where’ of changes Social sciences aim to determine ‘why’ and ‘who’ Economics deals with ‘how’ and ‘who’ Relating data from social sciences and economics to remote sensing presents considerable difficulties. The reason for suggesting frameworks 28 where & what why & who how & who 29 where & what why & who how & who 30 Conclusions Definitions of sustainable development have been given Assessment of sustainability should be based on appropriate indicators - SDIs There is still a lot to be learned about SDIs to ensure sustainability of development The SDIs must consider relationships within the three areas of sustainability – economic, social and environmental Examples demonstrate how remote sensing can contribute to developing SDIs There is still significant unexplored potential for remote sensing to contribute to further the development of SDI 31