Quality Management Chapter 8 1 utdallas.edu/~metin Learning Goals Statistical Process Control X-bar, R-bar, p charts Process variability vs. Process specifications Yields/Reworks and their impact on costs Just-in-time philosophy utdallas.edu/~metin 2 Steer Support for the Scooter utdallas.edu/~metin 3 Steer Support Specifications Go-no-go gauge utdallas.edu/~metin 4 Control Charts 79.98 79.97 79.96 X-bar 79.95 79.94 79.93 79.92 79.91 79.9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 R 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 utdallas.edu/~metin 5 Statistical Process Control (SPC) SPC: Statistical evaluation of the output of a process during production/service The Control Process – – – – – – Define Measure Compare to a standard Evaluate Take corrective action Evaluate corrective action utdallas.edu/~metin 6 The Concept of Consistency: Who is the Better Target Shooter? Not just the mean is important, but also the variance Need to look at the distribution function utdallas.edu/~metin 7 Statistical Process Control Capability Analysis Eliminate Assignable Cause Conformance Analysis Investigate for Assignable Cause Capability analysis • What is the currently "inherent" capability of my process when it is "in control"? Conformance analysis • SPC charts identify when control has likely been lost and assignable cause variation has occurred Investigate for assignable cause • Find “Root Cause(s)” of Potential Loss of Statistical Control Eliminate assignable cause • Need Corrective Action To Move Forward utdallas.edu/~metin 8 Statistical Process Control Shewhart’s classification of variability: – Common (random) cause – assignable cause Variations and Control – Random variation: Natural variations in the output of process, created by countless minor factors » temperature, humidity variations, traffic delays. – Assignable variation: A variation whose source can be identified. This source is generally a major factor » tool failure, absenteeism utdallas.edu/~metin 9 Two Types of Causes for Variation Common Cause Variation (low level) Common Cause Variation (high level) Assignable Cause Variation utdallas.edu/~metin 10 Mean and Variance Given a population of numbers, how to compute the mean and the variance? Population {x1 , x2 ,..., x N } N Mean x i 1 i N N Variance 2 2 ( x ) i i 1 N Standard deviation utdallas.edu/~metin 11 Sample for Efficiency and Stability From a large population of goods or services (random if possible) a sample is drawn. – Example sample: Midterm grades of OPRE6302 students whose last name starts with letter R {60, 64, 72, 86}, with letter S {54, 60} » » » » x utdallas.edu/~metin Sample size= n Sample average or sample mean= x Sample range= R Standard deviation of sample means= n where : Standard deviation of the population 12 Sampling Distribution Sampling distribution is the distribution of sample means. Sampling distribution Variability of the average scores of people with last name R and S Process distribution Variability of the scores for the entire class Mean Grouping reduces the variability. utdallas.edu/~metin 13 Normal Distribution normdist(x,.,.,1) normdist(x,.,.,0) Probab Mean x 95.44% 99.74% Excel statistica l functions : normdist ( x, mean, st _ dev,0) normal pdf at x. Excel statistica l functions : normdist ( x, mean, st _ dev,1) normal cdf at x. utdallas.edu/~metin 14 Cumulative Normal Density 1 prob normdist(x,mean,st_dev,1) 0 x norminv(prob,mean,st_dev) Excel statistica l functions : Cumulative function (cdf) at x : normdist ( x, mean, st _ dev,1) Inverse function of cdf at " prob": norminv ( prob, mean, st _ dev) utdallas.edu/~metin 15 Normal Probabilities: Example If temperature inside a firing oven has a normal distribution with mean 200 oC and standard deviation of 40 oC, what is the probability that – The temperature is lower than 220 oC =normdist(220,200,40,1) – The temperature is between 190 oC and 220oC =normdist(220,200,40,1)-normdist(190,200,40,1) utdallas.edu/~metin 16 Control Limits Process is in control if sample mean is between control limits. These limits have nothing to do with product specifications! Sampling distribution Process distribution Mean utdallas.edu/~metin LCL Lower control limit UCL Upper control limit 17 Setting Control Limits: Hypothesis Testing Framework Null hypothesis: Process is in control Alternative hypothesis: Process is out of control Alpha=P(Type I error)=P(reject the null when it is true)= P(out of control when in control) Beta=P(Type II error)=P(accept the null when it is false) P(in control when out of control) If LCL decreases and UCL increases, we accept the null more easily. What happens to – Alpha? – Beta? Not possible to target alpha and beta simultaneously, – Control charts target a desired level of Alpha. utdallas.edu/~metin 18 Type I Error=Alpha Sampling distribution /2 /2 Mean Probability of Type I error LCL UCL LCL norminv( /2, mean, st_dev) UCL norminv(1 - /2, mean, st_dev) The textbook uses Type I error=1-99.74%=0.0026=0.26%. utdallas.edu/~metin 19 Statistical Process Control: Control Charts Process Parameter • Track process parameter over time - mean - percentage defects Upper Control Limit (UCL) • Distinguish between - common cause variation (within control limits) - assignable cause variation (outside control limits) Center Line Lower Control Limit (LCL) Time utdallas.edu/~metin • Measure process performance: how much common cause variation is in the process while the process is “in control”? 20 Control Chart Abnormal variation due to assignable sources Out of control UCL Mean Normal variation due to chance LCL Abnormal variation due to assignable sources 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Sample number utdallas.edu/~metin 21 Observations from Sample Distribution UCL LCL 1 2 3 4 Sample number utdallas.edu/~metin 22 Parameters for computing UCL and LCL the Table method Number of Observations in Sample Sample size (n) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 utdallas.edu/~metin Factor for Xbar Chart (A2) 1.88 1.02 0.73 0.58 0.48 0.42 0.37 0.34 0.31 Factor for Lower control Limit in R chart (D3) 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.14 0.18 0.22 Factor for Factor to Upper estimate control limit Standard in R chart deviation, (d2) (D4) 3.27 1.128 2.57 1.693 2.28 2.059 2.11 2.326 2.00 2.534 1.92 2.704 1.86 2.847 1.82 2.970 1.78 3.078 23 The X-bar Chart: Application to Call Center Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 x1 x2 1.7 2.7 2.1 1.2 4.4 2.8 3.9 16.5 2.6 1.9 3.9 3.5 29.9 1.9 1.5 3.6 3.5 2.8 2.1 3.7 2.1 3 12.8 2.3 3.8 2.3 2 utdallas.edu/~metin x3 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.1 2 3.6 2.8 3.6 2.1 4.3 3 8.4 1.9 2.7 2.4 4.3 1.7 5.8 3.2 1.7 2 2.6 2.4 1.6 1.1 1.8 6.7 x4 3.7 1.8 4.5 7.5 3.3 4.5 3.5 2.1 3 1.8 1.7 4.3 7 9 5.1 2.1 5.1 3.1 2.2 3.8 17.1 1.4 2.4 1.8 2.5 1.7 1.8 x5 3.6 3 3.5 6.1 4.5 5.2 3.5 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.1 1.8 6.5 3.7 2.5 5.2 1.8 8 2 1.2 3 1.7 3 5 4.5 11.2 6.3 2.8 2.1 2.9 3 1.4 2.1 3.1 3.3 2.1 2.1 5.1 5.4 2.8 7.9 10.9 1.3 3.2 4.3 1 3.6 3.3 1.8 3.3 1.5 3.6 4.9 1.6 Average Mean Range 2.7 2 2.38 1.2 3.14 2.4 4.18 6.3 3.12 3.1 3.64 3.1 3.36 1.1 5.94 14.4 2.66 1.4 2.6 2.5 3.16 3.4 4.68 6.6 9.62 28 5.04 7.1 4.48 9.4 3.3 3.9 3.06 3.4 4.8 5.2 2.1 2.2 2.8 2.6 5.5 15.1 2.1 1.6 4.78 10.4 2.44 3.5 3.1 3.4 4.38 9.5 3.68 5.1 3.81 5.85 • Collect samples over time • Compute the mean: x1 x2 ... xn X n • Compute the range: R max{ x1 , x2 ,...xn } min{ x1 , x2 ,...xn } as a proxy for the variance • Average across all periods - average mean - average range • Normally distributed 24 Control Charts: The X-bar Chart The Table method • Define control limits 12 UCL= X +A2 × R =3.81+0.58*5.85=7.19 LCL= X -A2 × R =3.81-0.58*5.85=0.41 10 8 • Constants are taken from a table 6 • Identify assignable causes: - point over UCL - point below LCL - many (6) points on one side of center 4 2 0 1 3 5 7 mean st-dev utdallas.edu/~metin 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 CSR 1 2.95 0.96 CSR 2 3.23 2.36 • In this case: - problems in period 13 - new operator was assigned CSR 3 7.63 7.33 CSR 4 3.08 1.87 CSR 5 4.26 4.41 25 Range Control Chart UCL D4 R A multiple of the average of sample ranges LCL D3 R A multiple of the average of sample ranges Multipliers D4 and D3 depend on n and are available in Table 8.2. EX: In the last five years, the range of GMAT scores of incoming PhD class is 88, 64, 102, 70, 74. If each class has 6 students, what are UCL and LCL for GMAT ranges? R (88 64 102 70 74) / 5 79.6. For n 6, D 4 2, D3 0. UCL D4 R 2 * 79.6 159.2 LCL D3 R 0 * 79.6 0 Are the GMAT ranges in control? utdallas.edu/~metin 26 Control Charts: X-bar Chart and R-bar Chart For the Call Center 12 10 X-Bar 8 6 4 2 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 30 25 R 20 15 10 5 0 utdallas.edu/~metin 27 X-bar and Range Charts: Which? (process mean is shifting upward) Sampling Distribution UCL Detects shift x-Chart LCL UCL R-chart Does not detect shift LCL utdallas.edu/~metin 28 X-bar and Range Charts: Which? Sampling Distribution (process variability is increasing) UCL Does not reveal increase x-Chart LC L UCL R-chart Reveals increase LC L utdallas.edu/~metin 29 Control Charts: The X-bar Chart The Direct method • Compute the standard deviation of the sample averages • stdev(2.7, 2.38, 3.14, 4.18, 3.12, 3.64, 3.36, 5.94, 2.66, 2.6, 3.16, 4.68, 9.62, 5.04, 4.48, 3.3, 3.06, 4.8, 2.1, 2.8, 5.5, 2.1, 4.78, 2.44, 3.1, 4.38, 3.68)=1.5687 • Use type I error of 1-0.9974 0.0026 LCL norminv( /2, mean, st_dev) norminv(0. 0013,3.81,1.5687) -0.91 UCL norminv(1 - /2, mean, st_dev) norminv(0. 9987,3.81,1.5687) 8.53 utdallas.edu/~metin 30 Process Capability Let us Tie Tolerances and Variability Tolerances/Specifications – Requirements of the design or customers Process variability – Natural variability in a process – Variance of the measurements coming from the process Process capability – Process variability relative to specification – Capability=Process specifications / Process variability utdallas.edu/~metin 31 Process Capability: Specification limits are not control chart limits Lower Specification Upper Specification Process variability matches specifications Lower Specification Sampling Distribution is used Upper Specification Process variability well within Lower Upper specifications Specification Specification utdallas.edu/~metin Process variability exceeds specifications 32 Process Capability Ratio When the process is centered, process capability ratio Cp Upper specificat ion level - Lower specificat ion level 6 X A capable process has large Cp. Example: The standard deviation, of sample averages of the midterm 1 scores obtained by students whose last names start with R, has been 7. The SOM requires the scores not to differ by more than 50% in an exam. That is the highest score can be at most 50 points above the lowest score. Suppose that the scores are centered, what is the process capability ratio? Answer: 50/42 utdallas.edu/~metin 33 3 Sigma and 6 Sigma Quality Upper specification Lower specification Process mean +/- 3 Sigma +/- 6 Sigma utdallas.edu/~metin 34 The Statistical Meaning of Six Sigma Lower Specification (LSL) Upper Specification (USL) Process A (with st. dev A) X-3A X-2A X-1A X X+1A X+2 Process B (with st. dev B) X Cp P{defect} 1 0.33 0.317 2 0.67 0.0455 3 1.00 0.0027 4 1.33 0.0001 5 1.67 0.0000006 6 2.00 2x10-9 X+3A 3 X-6B x X+6B • Estimate standard deviation: ̂ =R /d2 • Or use the direct method with the excel function stdev() • Look at standard deviation relative to specification limits utdallas.edu/~metin 35 Use of p-Charts p=proportion defective, assumed to be known When observations can be placed into two categories. – Good or bad – Pass or fail – Operate or don’t operate – Go or no-go gauge utdallas.edu/~metin 36 Attribute Based Control Charts: The p-chart Period n 1 300 2 300 3 300 4 300 5 300 6 300 7 300 8 300 9 300 10 300 11 300 12 300 13 300 14 300 15 300 16 300 17 300 18 300 19 300 20 300 21 300 22 300 23 300 24 300 25 300 26 300 27 300 28 300 29 300 30 300 utdallas.edu/~metin defects 18 15 18 6 20 16 16 19 20 16 10 14 21 13 13 13 17 17 21 18 16 14 33 46 10 12 13 18 19 14 p 0.060 0.050 0.060 0.020 0.067 0.053 0.053 0.063 0.067 0.053 0.033 0.047 0.070 0.043 0.043 0.043 0.057 0.057 0.070 0.060 0.053 0.047 0.110 0.153 0.033 0.040 0.043 0.060 0.063 0.047 • Estimate average defect percentage p =0.052 • Estimate Standard Deviation ̂ = p(1 p) Sample Size =0.013 • Define control limits UCL= p + 3̂ =0.014 LCL= p- 3̂ =0.091 37 Attribute Based Control Charts: The p-chart 0.180 0.160 0.140 0.120 0.100 0.080 0.060 0.040 0.020 0.000 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 utdallas.edu/~metin 38 Inspection Where/When » Raw materials » Finished products Inputs Acceptance sampling Transformation Process control Outputs Acceptance sampling » Before a costly operation, PhD comp. exam before candidacy » Before an irreversible process, firing pottery » Before a covering process, painting, assembly Centralized vs. On-Site, my friend checks quality at cruise lines utdallas.edu/~metin 39 Discovery of Defects and the Costs Process Step Defect occurred Defect detected Cost of defect End of Process Bottleneck Defect detected Defect detected $ $ Based on labor and material cost Based on sales price (incl. Margin) Market Defect detected $ Recall, reputation, warranty costs Recall Alert CPSC, Segway LLC Announce Voluntary Recall to Upgrade Software on Segway™ Human U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission Transporters Office of Information and Public Affairs The following product safety recall was conducted by the Washington, DC 20207 firm in cooperation with the CPSC. September 26, 2003 Name of Product: Segway Human Transporter (HT) Units: Approximately 6,000 utdallas.edu/~metin 40 Examples of Inspection Points Type of business Fast Food Inspection points Cashier Counter area Eating area Building Kitchen Hotel/motel Parking lot Accounting Building Main desk Supermarket Cashiers Deliveries utdallas.edu/~metin Characteristics Accuracy Appearance, productivity Cleanliness Appearance Health regulations Safe, well lighted Accuracy, timeliness Appearance, safety Waiting times Accuracy, courtesy Quality, quantity 41 The Concept of Yields Yield of Resource = Yield of Process = 90% Flow rate of units processed correctly at the resource Flow rate Flow rate of units processed correctly Flow rate 80% 90% 100% 90% Line Yield: 0.9 x 0.8 x 0.9 x 1 x 0.9 utdallas.edu/~metin 42 Rework / Elimination of Flow Units Rework: Step 1 Test 1 Step 2 Test 2 Step 3 Test 3 Rework Step 1 Test 1 Step 2 Test 2 Step 3 Defects can be corrected Same or other resource Leads to variability Examples: - Readmission to Intensive Care Unit Test 3 Loss of Flow units: Step 1 Test 1 Step 2 Test 2 Step 3 Test 3 Defects can NOT be corrected Leads to variability To get X units, we have to start X/y units Examples: - Interviewing - Semiconductor fab utdallas.edu/~metin 43 Why Having a Process is so Important: Two Examples of Rare-Event Failures Case 1: Process does not matter in most cases • Airport security • Safety elements (e.g. seat-belts) “Bad” outcome only happens Every 100*10,000 units 1 problem every 10,000 units 99% correct Case 2: Process has built-in rework loops • Double-checking 99% Good 99% 99% “Bad” outcome happens with probability (1-0.99)3 1% 1% utdallas.edu/~metin 1% Bad Learning should be driven by process deviations, not by defects 44 Rare events are not so rare: Chances of a Jetliner Crash due to Engine Icing Engine flameout due to crystalline icing: Engine stops for 30-90 secs and hopefully starts again. Suppose 150 single engine flameouts over 19902005 and 15 dual engine flameouts over 20022005. What are the annualized single and dual engine flameouts? 10=150/15 and 5=15/3 Let N be the total number of widebody jetliners flying through a storm per year. Assume that engines ice independently to compute N. Set Prob(2 engine icing)=Prob(1 engine icing)2 (5/N)=(10/N)2 which gives N=20 There are 1200 widebody jetliners worldwide. It is safe to assume that each flies once a day. Suppose that there are 2 storms on their path every day, which gives us about M=700 widebody jetliner and storm encounter very year. How can we explain M=700 > N=20? The engines do not ice independently. With M=700, Prob(1 engine icing)=10/700=1.42% and Prob(2 engine icing)=5/700=0.71%. Because of dependence Prob(2 engine icing) >> Prob(1 engine icing) 2 . Unjustifiable independence leads to underestimation of the failure probabilities utdallas.edu/~metin in operations, finance, engineering, flood control, etc. 45 Just-in-Time Philosophy Pull the operations rather than pushing them – Inventory reduction – JIT Utopia » 0-setup time » 0-non value added operations » 0-defects Discover and reduce process variability utdallas.edu/~metin 46 Push vs Pull System What instigates the movement of the work in the system? In Push systems, work release is based on downstream demand forecasts – Keeps inventory to meet actual demand – Acts proactively » e.g. Making generic job application resumes today (e.g.: exempli gratia) In Pull systems, work release is based on actual demand or the actual status of the downstream customers – May cause long delivery lead times – Acts reactively » e.g. Making a specific resume for a company after talking to the recruiter utdallas.edu/~metin 47 Push/Pull View of Supply Chains Procurement, Manufacturing and Replenishment cycles PUSH PROCESSES Customer Order Cycle PULL PROCESSES Customer Order Arrives Push-Pull boundary utdallas.edu/~metin 48 Pull Process with Kanban Cards Direction of production flow upstream downstream Authorize production of next unit utdallas.edu/~metin 49 Pareto Principle or 20-80 rule Absolute Number Cause of Defect Percentage Cumulative Browser error 43 0.39 0.39 Order number out of sequence 29 0.26 0.65 Product shipped, but credit card not billed 16 0.15 0.80 Order entry mistake 11 0.10 0.90 Product shipped to billing address 8 0.07 0.97 Wrong model shipped 3 0.03 1.00 Total 110 Number of defects 100 Cumulative percents of defects 100 75 50 50 Wrong model shipped Product shipped to billing address Order entry mistake Product shipped, but credit card not billed utdallas.edu/~metin Order number out off sequence Browser error 25 50 Reduce Variability in the Process Taguchi: Even Small Deviations are Quality Losses Taguchi’s view of Quality loss Traditional view of Quality loss Quality Loss Quality Loss Performance Metric, x High Low Lower Specification Limit Target value Upper Specification Limit Performance Metric Target value Performance Metric •It is not enough to look at “Good” vs “Bad” Outcomes •Only looking at good vs bad wastes opportunities for learning; especially as failures become rare (closer to six sigma) you need to learn from the “near misses” utdallas.edu/~metin 51 Accommodate Residual (Common) Variability Through Robust Design • Double-checking (see Toshiba) • Fool-proofing, Poka yoke (see Toyota) • Computer plugs • Set the watch 5 mins ahead • Process recipe (see Brownie) • Recipes help standardize utdallas.edu/~metin 52 Ishikawa (Fishbone) Diagram Specifications / information Machines Cutting tool worn Dimensions incorrectly specified in drawing Vise position set incorrectly Clamping force too high or too low Machine tool coordinates set incorrectly Part incorrectly positioned in clamp Dimension incorrectly coded In machine tool program Vice position shifted during production Part clamping surfaces corrupted Steer support height deviates from specification Extrusion temperature too high Error in measuring height Extrusion stock undersized Extrusion die undersized People utdallas.edu/~metin Extrusion rate too high Material too soft Materials 53 Summary Statistical Process Control X-bar, R-bar, p charts Process variability vs. Process specifications Yields/Reworks and their impact on costs Just-in-time philosophy utdallas.edu/~metin 54 Process Failure in Healthcare: The Case of Jesica Santillan Jesica Santillan died after a bungled heart-lung transplant in 2003. In an operation Feb. 7, Jesica was mistakenly given organs of the wrong blood type. Her blood type was 0 Rh+. Organs come from A Rh- blood type. Her body rejected the organs, and a matching transplant about two weeks later came too late to save her. She died Feb. 22 at Duke University Medical Center. Line of Causes leading to the mismatch • On-call surgeon on Feb 7 in charge of pediatric heart transplants, James Jaggers, did not take home the list of blood types Later stated, "Unfortunately, in this case, human errors were made during the process. I hope that we, and others, can learn from this tragic mistake." • Coordinator initially misspelled Jesica’s name • Once UNOS (United Network for Organ Sharing) identified Jesica, no further check on blood type • Little confidence in information system / data quality • Pediatric nurse did not double check • Harvest-surgeon did not know blood type utdallas.edu/~metin 55 Process Failure in Healthcare: The Case of Jesica Santillan - We didn’t have enough checks. Ralph Snyderman, Duke University Hospital - As a result of this tragic event, it is clear to us at Duke that we need to have more robust processes internally and a better understanding of the responsibilities of all partners involved in the organ procurement process. William Fulkerson, M.D., CEO of Duke University Hospital. Jesica is not the first death in organ transplantation because of blood type mismatch. utdallas.edu/~metin 56 The Three Steps in the Case of Jesica Step 1: Define and map processes - Jaggers had probably forgotten the list with blood groups 20 times before - Persons involved in the process did not double-check, everybody checked sometimes - Learning is triggered following deaths / process deviations are ignored Step 2: Reduce variability - quality of data (initially misspelled the name) Step 3: Robust Design - color coding between patient card / box holding the organ - information system with no manual work-around - let the technology help RFID tagged patients: Tag includes blood type and other info Electronic medicine box: Alarming for the obsolete medicine utdallas.edu/~metin 57 How do you get to a Six Sigma Process? Do Things Consistently (ISO 9000) 1. Management Responsibility 2. Quality System 3. Contract review 4. Design control 5. Document control 6. Purchasing / Supplier evaluation 7. Handling of customer supplied material 8. Products must be traceable 9. Process control 10. Inspection and testing 11. Inspection, Measuring, Test Equipment 12. Records of inspections and tests 13. Control of nonconforming products 14. Corrective action 15. Handling, storage, packaging, delivery 16. Quality records 17. Internal quality audits 18. Training 19. Servicing 20. Statistical techniques Examples: “The design process shall be planned”, “production processes shall be defined and planned” utdallas.edu/~metin 58 The System of Lean Production Principles Zero Inventories Zero Defects Flexibility / Zero set-ups Zero breakdowns Zero handling / non value added utdallas.edu/~metin Organization Autonomation Competence and Training Continuous Improvement Quality at the source Methods Just-in-time Production • Kanban • Classical Push • “Real” Just-in-time Mixed Production Set-up reduction Pardon the French, caricatures are from Citroen. 59 Principles of Lean Production: Zero Inventory and Zero Defects Inventory in process Buffer argument: “Increase inventory” • Avoid unnecessary inventory • To be seen more as an ideal • To types of (bad) inventory: a. resulting from defects / rework b. absence of a smooth process flow • Remember the other costs of inventory (capital, flow time) utdallas.edu/~metin Toyota argument: “Decrease inventory” 60 ITAT: Information Turnaround Time 7 8 5 4 6 3 1 Defective unit 2 Good unit ITAT=7*1 minute 4 1 3 2 ITAT=2*1 minute utdallas.edu/~metin 61 Principles of Lean Production: Zero Set-ups, Zero NVA and Zero Breakdowns Avoid Non-value-added activities, specifically rework and set-ups • Flexible machines with short set-ups • Allows production in small lots • Real time with demand • Large variety utdallas.edu/~metin • Maximize uptime • Without inventory, any breakdown will put production to an end • preventive maintenance 62 Methods of Lean Production: Just-in-time Push: make to forecast Pull: Synchronized production • Classical MRP way • Based on forecasts • Push, not pull • Still applicable for low cost parts • Part produced for specific order (at supplier) • shipped right to assembly • real-time synchronization • for large parts (seat) • inspected at source Pull: Kanban • Visual way to implement a pull system • Amount of WIP is determined by number of cards • Kanban = Sign board • Work needs to be authorized by demand utdallas.edu/~metin 63 Methods of Lean Production: Mixed Production and Set-up reduction Production with large batches Cycle Inventory Cycle Inventory Beginning of Month End of Month Production with small batches Produce Sedan Produce Station wagon Month utdallas.edu/~metin Beginning of Month End of 64 Organization of Lean Production: Autonomation and Training • Automation with a human touch • Create local decision making rather than pure focus on execution • Use machines / tools, but avoid the lights-off factory utdallas.edu/~metin • Cross training of workers • Develop problem solving skills 65 Organization of Lean Production: Continuous Improvement and Quality-at-the-source • Solve the problems where they occur - this is where the knowledge is - this is the cheapest place Defect found End User Own Process Next Process End of Line Final Inspection $ $ $ $ $ • very minor • minor delay • Rework • Significant • Reschedule Rework • Delayed Defect fixed delivery • Overhead • Warranty cost • recalls • reputation • overhead • Traditional: inspect and rework at the end of the process • Once problem is detected, send alarm and potentially stop the production utdallas.edu/~metin 66