ESA-ESO Working Group on Extra-solar Planets Report and Recommendations F. Kerber, ECF 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets 1 Joint Working Groups Extra-solar Planets – Synergies between Herschel and ALMA – M. Perryman, O. Hainaut, June - Dec 2004 T. Wilson, in progress Survey of the field: – – – review of methods used and envisaged survey of associated instrumentation summary of targets, capabilities, limitations Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 2 Composition Chair: Michael Perryman (ESA) Co-chair: Olivier Hainaut (ESO) Members: Dainis Dravins (Lund), Alain Léger (IAS), Andreas Quirrenbach (Leiden), Heike Rauer (DLR) ECF support: Florian Kerber, Bob Fosbury Experts: François Bouchy (Marseilles, COROT), Fabio Favata (ESA, Eddington), Malcolm Fridlund (ESA, Darwin, GENIE), Roberto Gilmozzi (ESO, OWL), Anne-Marie Lagrange (Grenoble, Planet Finder), Tsevi Mazeh (Tel Aviv, Transits), Daniel Rouan (Meudon, GENIE), Stephane Udry (Genève, Radial velocity), Joachim Wambsganss (Heidelberg,Microlensing) Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 3 Section 1: An Introduction Objectives of the searches: – characterising and understanding the planetary population – understanding the formation and evolution of planets – search for biological markers and life Survey methods: – radial velocity, astrometry, photometry, direct imaging, microlensing, miscellaneous Accuracy limits from ground and space: – photometry/astrometry: atmosphere; granular flows and star spots – radial velocity: atmospheric circulation and oscillations – conclusions: fundamental limits are not yet firmly understood Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 4 Section 1: Current status Statistics (Dec 2004): – 135 planets, 119 systems (12 multiple, 2 triple, 1 transiting) – five additional confirmed transits: OGLE/TrES + 1 microlensing Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 5 1997 ESO Working Group (App: C) Radial Velocity – – Narrow angle astrometry – VLTI: ATs and PRIMA Microlensing – – Dedicated spectrograph with 1 m/s (HARPS) Iodine cell for UVES, extension to IR: CRIRES Dedicated 2.5 m on Paranal (VST) 16k x 16k CCD (OmegaCam) Direct Detection – High order AO/coronograph (Planetfinder) Paresce, Renzini et al. 1997 Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 6 Period 2005-2015: Ground Radial velocity: 18 surveys, targeting 1 m/s • • • • HARPS: leading instrument for radial velocity work promises to reach a few Earth mass planets will follow-up COROT detection ESO: UVES, CRIRES: extension to IR Transit surveys: 30 surveys ongoing • results are expected to accelerate as temporal baseline increases • four discoveries using 1.3-m OGLE; 1 with 10-cm TrES-1 Imaging/other: • ESO activities: NAOS-CONICA, PRIMA, VLTI, Planet Finder, ALMA Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 7 Summary of Prospects 2005-15 (Tab 5) Mass (Jupiter) 2004 2010 Radial Velocity (ground) 2010 2008 2010 2015 2016 2016 Transits (ground) COROT Kepler SIM Gaia (astrom) Gaia (photom) 1-10 90 250 1000 5-15 20000 200 15000 3000 0.1-1 30 200 0 50-150 10000 50 5000 0 0.01-0.1 0 20 0 10-30 1000 20 0 0 < 0.01 0 0 0 0-3 0-500 0-5 0 0 Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 8 2015-2025: 100-m OWL S/N=10: imaging (35 mag, 1 hr); spectroscopy (30 mag, 3 hr) Detectability considers: – – – – target Strehl ratios of 90% over 1-5 m magnitude/separation (Table 6); planet detectable if beyond 5/D number of target stars calculated from D integration time D– 4 (hence 30 m : 100 m = 123 times longer) D(m) 30 60 100 Earth-like Jupiter-like Imaging Spectroscopy Imaging Spectroscopy d (pc) 10 0 70 5 N (stars) 22 0 6800 3 d (pc) 22 0 120 18 N(stars) 210 0 35000 170 d (pc) 40 15 500 35 1200 67 2500000 860 N(stars) 2015-2025 - Space: Darwin Darwin (4 telescopes with B = 50–100 m): – infrared: contrast, sample size, biomarkers, technology precursor – detection phase: 2 years; spectroscopy follow-up: 3 years – targets: 200 nearby stars covering CO2, H2O, O3, CH4 Integration times (hr): detection at S/N = 5, spectra at S/N = 7: Stellar type 10 pc 20 pc 30 pc G2V 18-33 28-54 109-173 K2V 4-9 26-37 104-157 Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 10 2015-2025 - Space: Darwin • GENIE: – nulling interferometer developed by ESO-ESA for VLTI – targets the demonstration of technology required for Darwin, and… – scientific pre-cursor for Darwin survey (zodiacal emission) in southern hemisphere – will require of order 50 nights on UTs or ATs at 3.6 m – operational by mid-2008? Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 11 TPF and Beyond TPF (NASA, April 2004): – – – – 6–8 3.5 m2 coronograph over 0.6–1.06 m in 2014 full search: 32 nearby stars, incomplete search 80–130 stars free-flying interferometer, with ESA, before 2020 scientific and technical precursors: listed in Appendix A Beyond 2025 (Appendix B): – larger ‘life finders’ for improved S/N spectroscopy – planet imagers (resolution of surface): distant visions only Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 12 ESA Themes Beyond 2015 Astronomy Working Group, 19 October 2004: – recognition of roles of COROT and Gaia – confirmation of Darwin-type mission around 2015 – next steps: census of terrestrial planets within 100 pc, e.g. astrometry – re-iterates support of a rapid implementation of Eddington Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 13 Schedule of Some Major Facilities 2004 2000 Corot 2008 2012 2016 2020 Kepler Gaia SIM TPF-C TPF/Darwin Very large telescopes (CELT, OWL) Europe US Very large space arrays Detections and Follow-Up Two types of planets (cf Figure 7): – high-mass (Jupiter), where follow-up is ‘easy’ • large numbers: thousands to tens of thousands over 2008–2015 • ground radial velocity and transit surveys • space transit surveys (Kepler) + astrometry and photometry (Gaia) – low-mass (up to a few Earth mass), where follow-up is problematic: • from COROT and Kepler • TPF-C general instrument ? Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 15 Detections and Follow-Up Provides statistics of high-mass, low-mass, nearby stars: – particularly important for Darwin preparations Detections by method X, require follow-up by methods Y and Z: – – – – – rejection of false positives characterisation of mass transit spectroscopy - transit photometry role of amateurs: TrES-1 observed by 5 groups, some sequential P=3.04d multiple observations of transits: timing >> detection of lesser mass planets in systems (Holman & Murray 2005) Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 16 Detections and Follow-Up Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 17 Astrophysical Characterisation: Host Stars Thousands of planetary systems should be known by 2010-15 Characterisation for formation/evolution requires (Section 4): – – – – – – photometry: Teff, log g, metallicity, micro-variability (Gaia, LSST, etc) spectroscopy at R = 20–60,000: Teff, log g, [Fe/H] (Section 4.4.1) spatial distribution, kinematics, environment, e.g. wrt LSR (Gaia) kinematic radial velocities, probably improved compared to Gaia improvement in some fundamental physical data – VO (Section 4.7.1) fundamental planetary data (Section 4.7.2) Some of the necessary follow-up and characterisation studies will be undertaken through the normal development of the field Some may benefit from pro-active effort by ESA and ESO Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 18 Recommendations (1/3) 1. ESA: 1. Eddington: provide clear message to community 2. Gaia: impact on field is a strong function of accuracy 3. Darwin: phase development with TPF-C in 2014 4. JWST: importance of transit capabilities 5. Themes 2015: encourage innovative mission proposals Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 19 Recommendations (2/3) 2. ESO: 1. 2. 3. 4. Improve radial velocity detection limits Spectroscopic survey of nearby host stars Improve visible/infrared transit instrumentation Evaluate follow-up needs on small to large telescopes 5. Consider OWL as a search / follow-up facility 6. Investigate astrometric capabilities of OWL Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 20 Recommendations (3/3) 3. ESA-ESO Joint Initiatives: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Radial velocity follow-up of COROT/Kepler candidates Radial velocity follow-up of Gaia candidates Photometric transit monitoring of high-mass candidates Observing time support for preparatory observations Consider GENIE-like instrument at Dome C Coordination of amateur networks for transits Cooperation of solar system and exoplanet communities Coordinate public communication discovery aspects Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 21 Implementation: first steps Rec. 2.2 Spectral survey of nearby host stars – Estimate of time required – Draft implementation plan Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets Fischer & Valenti 2005 F. Kerber, page 22 Implementation: first steps Rec. 2.5/2.6 OWL as search/follow-up facility – ESO: Instrument concept studies; D’Odorico – T-OWL: thermal IR imager (spectrograph) • Lenzen (MPIA Heidelberg), Käufl (ESO) – EPICS: NIR Camera-Spectrograph • Hubin (ESO), SWG (Chair/Co-chair: Kasper, Kerber) Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 23 Implementation: first steps Rec. 3.6 Amateur Network for transits (section 4.7.3) – Cost efficient way to increase follow-up capabilities – Interesting hook for outreach – Contact with amateur groups; AGAPE (ESO) – Draft project plan available Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 24 Implementation: first steps Rec. 3.1, 3.4 COROT/Kepler preparatory obs & follow-up – Request from ESA received for COROT – Analysis of requirements from COROT underway – NASA-ESA WG Planet Finding Data Archive (Kerber) Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 25 CoRoT CNES (plus partners), launch Q3 2006 – Asteroseismology and Extra-solar planets – FOV 2.6º, Galactic (anti-)center for 5 months, 5000-10000 target stars, high sampling rate (512s) – accuracy: 7·10-4 at V=15 mag in 1 hr > transits of rocky planets (a few 10s) Need for characterization of fields and follow-up – Photometry, Spectroscopy, RV measurements Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 26 Available at ESO and ESA websites: http://www.eso.org/gen-fac/pubs/esaesowg/ http://sci.esa.int/science-e/www/object/index.cfm?fobjectid=36935 astro-ph/0506163 Faculty meeting, 10.06.2005 ESA-ESO WG: Extra-solar Planets F. Kerber, page 27