FORMATION AND EVOLUTION OF PLANETARY SYSTEMS: PROBING INITIAL CONDITIONS AND OUTCOMES WITH E-ELT Michael R. Meyer Institute for Astronomy Department of Physics (and many, many, others) HARMONI Early Science, Oxford, 2 July, 2015 What we need to explain… Pepe, Ehrenreich, & Meyer, 2014, Nature, V513, 358 Collapsing Cores & Specific Angular Momentum Time Williams & Cieza (2011) ARAA; see also Belloche (2013) Structure of Protostellar Disks 1 AU From M. Meyer, Physics World, November, 2009 Based on Dullemond et al. (2001) with artwork from R. Hurt (NASA) 100 AU JWST/ELT Complementary Capabilities Physical Resolution: JWST ELT 1.65 mm 10 mm 1.65 mm 10 mm Spectral Resolution : Field of View: 15 pc 1 AU 7 AU .2 AU 1 AU 50 pc 3 AU 20 AU .5 AU 3 AU 150 pc 10 AU 60 AU 1.5 AU 10 AU 450 pc 30 AU 180 AU 5 AU 30 AU R = 100 (molecular features) R = 1000 (atomic features) R = 10,000 (30 km/sec) R = 100,000 (3 km/sec) JWST JWST ELT ELT 2’ (star clusters within 1 kpc) JWST 1.5” (circumstellar disk at 150 pc) ELT METIS Instrument Baseline Imaging at 3 – 19 μm. with low/medium resolution slit spectroscopy as well as coronagraphy for high contrast imaging. High resolution (R ~ 100,000) IFU spectroscopy at 3 – 5 μm, including extended instantaneous wavelength coverage. Work at the diffraction limit with single conjugate (SC) and eventually assisted by a laser tomography adaptive optics (LTAO) system. Instrument Concept Common Fore-Optics AO Wavefront Sensor Imager IFU Spectrograph Warm Calibration Unit as well as Q! (SC)AO Performance H band D=39m, V=6 guide star, 100 Hz closed loop N band LM band Probing Planet-Forming Disks from 1-1000 mm Follette et al. (2015), van der Marel et al. (2013); METIS/MICADO/ALMA Science Inner CO Gas vs. Outer Dust Continuum: CO gas with METIS Dust continuum with ALMA Transitional disk SR 21 Pinella et al. (2015); Pontoppidan et al. (2008); METIS/HARMONI Science (Multiple) Planet Forming Disks: HD 100546 L-band Scattered Light Avenhaus et al. (2014) Spectro-astrometry with CRIRES Brittain et al. (2014) (Multiple) Planet Forming Disks: HD 100546 Not yet detected in K-band (Quanz et al. 2013; 2015b) and there are other examples… Direct Detection (and Characterization) of Circumplanetary Disks Quanz et al. (2015b); METIS/HARMONI/MICADO Science Direct Detection of Thermal Emission for Planets of Known Mass with E-ELT: Calibrating the Models RV+Gaia follow-up requires imaging photometry and IFU spectroscopy! Quanz et al. (2015a); METIS/MICADO/HARMONI Science Phenomenological Planet Populations: RV Data GI CA Benz et al. (2014); Galvagni & Mayer (2014); Forgan & Rice (2013) Direct (Non-) Detections of Gas Giant Planets Few massive planets at large orbital radii. NACO-LP: Chauvin et al. (2014) Not good for GI [>3 Mjup @ > 50 AU] dN/da ~ ab Lafrenerie et al. (2007); Nielssen & Close (2009); Heinze et al. (2010); Chauvin et al. (2010); Delorme et al. (2011); Vigan et al. (2012); Reggiani et al. (submitted); SPHERE+ERIS DIRECT IMAGING: DISRUPTING PLANET FORMATION THEORY WITH THE E-ELT a. Start with a fit to RV distributions (Cumming et al. 2008) with brown dwarf companions (Reggiani et al. submitted) b. Evidence for dependence of Co, planet frequency over range of mass and orbital radius, on stellar mass (Johnson et al. 2010; Clanton et al. 2014). c. Initial conditions (and theory) suggest dependence on ratio of planet mass to star mass. d. RV/micro-lensing/Imaging consistent with log-normal surface density peaking at 10 AU (Meyer et al. in prep). METIS The Survey: 75 G stars < 50 pc < 300 Myr -0.5 -0.5 Log(Jupiter Mass) 1.0 0.5 0.0 Log(Jupiter Mass) 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.5 HARMONI Follow-up Required! 10 20 30 Separation (AU) 40 50 10 20 30 Separation (AU) 40 50 High Resolution Spectra of Brown Dwarfs and Planets: METIS/HARMONI Characterization Science Brown dwarf doppler imaging with CRIRES Crossfield et al. (2014) Wind speeds on planets with CRIRES Snellen et al. (2014) Star Clusters, Disks, & Planets: E-ELT Opportunities SYNERGIES => Building on legacy of VLT: E-ELT, JWST, and ALMA. => METIS and first-light instruments HARMONI & MICADO. STAR CLUSTERS => Resolved IMFs within 10 Mpc. DISKS => E-ELT will resolve planet-forming disks (gas and dust) inside 10 AU. => Spectro-astrometry: of what are forming planets in disks made? => E-ELT will detect planets in formation (and circumplanetary disks). PLANETS => Direct detection of planets with known mass (constrain models). => Collide planet formation theory with planet populations vs. stellar mass. => Characterize gas giant planets, including phase maps, and weather! => Possible to image (and characterize) a handful of super-earths. BACKUP SLIDES Resolved Stellar Pops: HARMONI/MICADO @ Confusion Limit PSF MMT-AO 6.5m PSF from Close et al. 2003. 0.5 kpc 5 kpc Simulated Trapezium Observations R(Sky Noise) = 1 Rc = 0.2 pc using Hillenbrand & Carpenter (2000). Hcomp(at Rc) < 24 mag 25 kpc R(sky noise) = 2.5 Rc = 0.5 pc Hcomp(at Rc) < 17.8 mag. 50 kpc R(Sky Noise) = 4 Rc = 0.8 pc Hcomp(at Rc) < 15.3 mags. 0.5 Mpc R(Sky Noise) > 20 Rc = 4-5 pc Core Radius not resolved. Primordial Disk Evolution: A Scenario… Volatiles (Ciesla et al; Banzatti et al.) Few AU Williams & Cieza ARAA (2011); Effects of Photoevaporation? Ercolano et al. (2015) Typical Disk Parameters Parameter Median ~1σ Range Log(M(disk)/M(star))[all ~1 Myr] [detected disks only] -3.0 dex -2.3 dex ±1.3 dex ±0.5 dex Disk lifetime -q] Temperature power law [T(r)~r Parameter 2-3 Myr 0.6 Median 1-6 Myr 0.4-0.7 ~1σ Range R(inner) 0.1 AU ~0.08-0.4 AU R(outer) Surface density power [Σ(r) ~ r-p] [Hayashi min. mass nebula] [steady state viscous α disk] 200 AU 0.6 1.5 1.0 ~90-480 AU 0.2-1.0 (predicted) (predicted) Surface density norm. Σo (5AU) 14 g cm-2 ±1 dex Taken from (or interpolated/extrapolated from): Muzerolle et al. (2003), Andrews & Williams (2007), Hernandez et al. (2008), Isella et al. (2009) Circumplanetary Disk Detection with ALMA (mm grains) From Pineda et al. Cycle 3 Proposal (submitted) CA Phenomenology: Planet Masses and Orbits Solid growth time: tp ~ Rp rp / [ Sd x with Sd ~ M*/a and d] 3) ~ sqrt(M /a d * tp ~ a5/2/ [M*3/2] cf. gas disk lifetime td ~ 1/M* Given aouter, there is a timescale td ~ 1/M* giving Rp. aouter ~ [td M*3/2]2/5 ~ M*1/5 Very hard to form critical mass core beyond 10s of AU (all stars). If Mp set by disk accretion: Mp ~ [dMacc/dt ] td ~ M*2 x (1/M*) ~ M* Planet Mass linearly related to star mass. GI Phenomenology: Planet Masses and Orbits Toomre Parameter: Q ~ cs(a) W/ GS(a) with Sd ~ M*/a, 3), and c ~ sqrt(T) ~ (M /a)1/4 ~ sqrt(M /a s * d * Q ~ 1/ [M*1/4 a3/4] Depends “weakly” on stellar mass, more strongly on radius. For typical disk parameters, should operate > 50 AU. Typical fragment mass would be ~ cs4/S(a) ~ 5 Mjupiter. Massive planets, beyond 50 AU, independent of stellar mass. Companions to Stars: Brown Dwarfs and Planets Reggiani et al. (2011; 2013; 2015); Sahlman et al. (2011) Planet Populations versus Stellar Mass: Co ~ M* Mp/M* Meyer, Reggiani, & Quanz (in preparation) Can ELTs Directly Image Super-Earths? Hinz et al. (2010), Quanz et al. (2015) and the METIS Science Team