Mr. Mariani 12/10 – 12/14/2012 AP Statistics WOODLAND HILLS HIGH SCHOOL LESSON PLANS Length of Lesson: 14 days STAGE I – DESIRED RESULTS Lesson Topic: Big Ideas: Understanding Goals (Concepts): Chapter 5: Producing Data – Samples & Experiments M11.E.1.1.1 Create and/or use appropriate graphical representations of data, including boxand-whisker plots, stem-and-leaf plots or scatter plots. M11.E.1.1.2 Analyze data and/or answer questions based on displayed data (box-and-whisker plots, stem-and-leaf plots or scatter plots). M11.D.1.1.1 Analyze a set of data for the existence of a pattern and represent the pattern algebraically and/or graphically. Student Objectives (Competencies/Outcomes): Students will be able to: Perform an SRS Design a sample/experiment Identify sources of bias in surveys/experiments Indentify methods of experimental control and isolate explanatory/response variable relationships in experiments through control Simulate the process of an experiment that students design and apply methods of control within the experiment (control for lurking variables) Essential Questions: 1. Collect, display, describe and perform calculations with bivariate data. 2. Perform least squares regression analysis to model data and to perform interpolation/extrapolation with the data 3. Transform non-linear data using logarithms. Then, perform inverse transformation with power of 10 to produce exponential/power regression equations. 4. Describe causation, common response and confounding associations. Vocabulary: 1. What is random sampling? 2. How are random samples performed? 3. What is bias? Why is this important when collecting data from “random” samples? 4. What is an experiment? Why are experiments more powerful than surveys? 5. How are samples/experiments simulated? 5.1: Design, population, sample, simple random sample (SRS), stratified random sample, multistage sample, bias, voluntary response, under-coverage, non-response, poorly worded questions 5.2: observational study, experiment, treatment, experimental units (subjects), design, control, randomization, replication, comparison, confounding, hidden bias, lack of realism, blocks/blocking, matched pairs 5.3: simulation Performance Task: STAGE II – ASSESSMENT EVIDENCE Other Evidence: Class discussion, classwork/homework assignments and formal assessments. Individual discussions with students and during tutoring after class as needed. STAGE III – LEARNING PLAN Interventions: Materials and Resources: Individual/group tutoring in 222 during 3rd period as well as after school as needed. Practice of Statistics textbook, graphing calculator, notebook, pencil Instructional Procedures: Monday Assignments Procedures 12/10 Day 64 Tuesday 12/11 Day 65 Wednesday 12/12 Day 66 Thursday 12/13 Day 67 Friday 12/14 Day 68 Intro probability models, intuitive probability and probability rules Discuss Venn diagrams, joint/disjoint events Pass out Quiz on 6.1 & 6.2, collect when students finish Assign reading for next section, notes sheet, and two practice problems Review 4 Rules of Probability Intro Rule #5 – Multiplication Rule Discuss unions, intersections (Venn diagrams) Intro conditional probability 6.2 worksheet #6.18 – 6.23 QUIZ 6.1 & 6.2 Read & outline 6.3 6.3 wkst #6.41, 6.43 6.3 wkst #6.37 – 6.44, 6.46, 6.47 QUIZ 6.3 - Monday Exercises #6.24 – 6.28, 6.30 – 6.32, 6.34, 6.36