Why Can’t I change the traffic lights with my iPhone…yet? Or Reality Checkpoint Ahead Jon Crowcroft, University of Cambridge Jon.Crowcroft@cl.cam.ac.uk http://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/~jac22 Reality Checkpoint Reality Rears it’s Ugly Head Reality - love it or loathe it, you can’t ignore it In this talk: I wan’t to bring a sense of realism To discussions of pervasive services Get a sense of how far we have Yet to go Picture this -> “Why Can’t I change the traffic lights with my iPhone”, expanded You are at the lights and about to be late for a very important key note You’ve heard that people use smart phones to control TVs and to pay for things What if you could pay to get priority service? - perhaps you would pay other drivers/cyclists to sit at red for longer (cf. shadow pricing==congestion charge) So you can get to your important meeting soonest (or get out of bed later:) You write an app to control traffic lights and start looking for VC… Is the attention grabbing title just A gimmick? Not really illustrates 3 ideas which don’t yet pervade our thinking: Physics Psychology Systems Physics Control traffic lights with my iPhone. Key word is : Control Has an impact on real world (actuator) current pervasive services just sensors Effect is indirect (human in loop) All sorts of error checking (comparison with other data sources) All sorts of built in delays (no fast feedback loop - no black Monday/flash crowd/oscillation/congestive collapse) Psychology Control traffic lights with my iPhone. Keyword is: my What about you? Maybe you don’t have an iPhone Maybe you think its unfair Maybe your battery is flat Or you’ve roamed somewhere and don’t want to pay.. Actually I don’t even have an iphone - I have an HTC android phone maybe the application hasn’t been ported yet… Systems Control traffic lights with my iPhone. Keyword is: traffic Traffic constitutes a system which is complex lights are just one part of it If we make very local dynamic decisions, we may disrupt careful controls (yes, really they are there:) designed by road traffic planners… Some mere engineering considerations I’m going to detour to look at pure sensor systems for a bit coz we have a lot of experience in those now UK WINES Programme has many projects building smart sensor nets Lets look at two aspects of these Energy sources Combatting errors The purpose of the detour is to show how even simple systems need some higher level considerations Sensor Net Energy There’s a lot of fancy work on self-organising nets and random duty cycling for mobile adhoc wireless sensors to extend battery life Most the WINES Projects are static Most the sensors monitor a well defined physical environment, which isn’t even very dynamic Often, the environment contains moving air (wind farm) water (sewer) or power (metro rail) Most amusingly, nottingham folks noticed that monitored cattle can quite easily carry a 10kg battery…. Oh, and more than half the environments have cellular coverage…. Sensor system consistency If you have more than 1 sensor in a system, one assumes they are monitoring a property over some area/volume (temperature, humidity, sound level) This property has certain physical constraints (heat and sound propagate at a certain maximum rate) which lead to sanity checks on the d/dt of that property over x,y,z… This may be more easy to check than running a Byzantine Fault Tolerance algorithm :-) Control Systems and no surprises We have a couple of hundred years experience of control systems Feedback controllers (“regulators”) in steam trains etc The human race has sort of gotten used to these just about, and this is good since we rely on them they contain few surprises Aircraft use 3-fold redundant, heterogeneous systems - even when they go wrong, manual backup works quite well So what can we learn from these (that sadly economists fail to have grasped)? No surprise principle part b They are largely local-operation only set-point controllers may distribute the setpoint from time to time e.g. traffic light rate, and do clock synch, but we don’t try to do distributed control except TCP in the Internet…or “lightly” regulated financial service industry There, you can still get a flash mob when you combine a set of locally controlled systems in a distributed environment. Flashmobs of iphone-0wning impatient SUV drivers late for the school drop would lead to, (yes, you got it), a run on the price for a greenlight. Past, Present, Future Legacy is not the only problem Now consider we get rid of traffic lights (disintermediating DfT:-) People without smart device…left out Your iPhone is part of a mobile social net Or its just part of your satnav Implements traffic norms as well as local preference/price… Now add robot cars So we need to embed We need to embed a model of the physical environment, which includes propagation delay of physical effects and policy/control for feedback (both local and collective) to actuators We need to embed a model of human expectation given current perceived (and understood) state of the real world environment, including apparent state other humans (think US 4=way intersect, or UK when traffic light systems fail… what if one person only still thinks their iPhone is Appropriate Phase for Embedding Clear some designers already do this at design time. Often, a pervasive service has a design team including other groups who convey this in requirements (implicitly or explicitly) Its clear to me that sometimes at least the system needs to capture the embedded knowledge at runtime too. This may be resource intensive, but I hope I’ve given examples that show it may in fact reduce resource needs too Conclusion: Embeddings A system has to embed (at least) two models that might normally be merely implicit 1. 2. A model of the physical world (reality) A model of the human users (perception&cognition) These embeddings are not just design time it may be necessary to execute them at run time - Continuously to verify the system view and Continually re-calibrate it against reality and use. Take home messages Its easy to be a geeky creator Its hard to avoid major pitfalls that have little to do with mainstream Computer Science/Engineering Embedding these other modes of thinking in our tools and techniques is not optional. Acknowledgements EPSRC & BCS for UK Grand Challenge in Ubicomp support (ideas from Tom Rodden, Robin Milner, et al) EPSRC for Horizon Digital Econony Hub Colleagues in Cambridge&UCL LEO Whoever put sign on Parker’s Piece. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reality_Checkpoint