Part IV. Operational and Enterprise Systems and Processes C hapter 11 Business Intelligence and Decision Support C o u rs e Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-1 Chapter 11 Outline 11.1 Business Intelligence (BI) for Profits and Nonprofits 11.2 BI Architecture, Analytics, Reporting, & Data Visualization 11.3 Data, Text, and Web Mining 5 Oracle BI Apps for iPhone 11.4 Decision Making Processes 11.5 Decision Support Systems (DSS) 11.6 Mobile Intelligence: Convergence of Mobile Computing & BI Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-2 Chapter 11 Learning Objectives Understand organizations’ need for BI, BI technologies, and how to make a business case for BI investments Describe BI architecture, data mining, predictive analytics, dashboards, scorecards, and other reporting and visualization tools Understand the value of data, text, and Web mining. Understand managerial decision making processes and decision processes Describe DSSs, benefits, and structure Take a forward-look at the future of BI in the form of mobile intelligence (MI) Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-3 A century ago, John Wanamaker, FATHER OF MODERN ADVERTISING, said Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don't know which half. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-4 BI, data mining, and DSSs are used to minimize uncertainty (the reverse of intelligence) and to be able to make faster, smarter decisions—often in real-time. When managers and workers have the intelligence they need to respond correctly and quickly to opportunities, threats, & mistakes, they and their companies significantly outperform those that don’t. http://www.teradatamagazine.com/v10n04/Features/Stellar-Outlook/ Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-5 Resource allocation Proper resource allocation: optimal distribution of resources to a specific place at a specific time to achieve a specific purpose. Ineffective resource allocation—symptoms of which are long wait times—can prevent delivery of products or service when needed. This in turn, frustrates customers and hurts revenues. • BI can improve a company’s allocation of resources and profitability—and show a clear ROI. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-6 Why would companies invest in another set of IT apps? BI leverages existing reporting systems by delivering realtime information through dashboards, mashups, and reports to employees, managers, partners, & customers. Since the latest BI tools provide a high degree of selfsufficiency reducing managers’ dependence on analysts and tech staff, you can expect to be a hands-on user of these tools during your career. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-7 11.1 Business Intelligence (BI) for Profits & Nonprofits BI refers to a collection of ISs and technologies that support managerial decision making or operational control by providing information on internal and external operations. • It’s tough to fully understand BI because BI apps are not standalone systems nor do they support a specific objective, as do supply chain management (SCM) or customer relationship management (CRM). • Visualization tools including dashboards & mashups are the user-interfaces that help people understand the numbers. Visit iDashboards.com to preview live dashboards by industry or function Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-8 BI Cases WildTrack (wildtrack.org/), monitors and verifies endangered rhinos in Africa United Way (unitedway.org/), monitors fundraising campaigns and generates reliable reports Jamba Juice, (jambajuice.com/), monitors customers’ preferences and captures data for fast, reliable P&L and financial reporting Figure 11.3 Endangered black rhinoceroses are tracked using BI Figure 11.4 Jamba Juice store managers rely on BI for marketing and accounting Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-9 3 Types of BI Strategic Traditional BI Tactical Operational Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-10 How to Recognize the Need for BI Competing and conflicting versions of what’s happening Can’t trust reports Can’t perform in-depth analysis Can’t find crucial data Need simple-to-use production reporting technology Delay and difficulty consolidating data Can’t comply with government and regulatory reporting mandates When data are not integrated into a unified reporting system, there’s no trusted real-time view. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-11 Predictive Analytics Branch of data mining that focuses on forecasting trends (e.g., regression analysis) and estimating probabilities of future events Figure 11.5 Top 5 business pressure driving the adoption of predictive analytics. (Data from Aberdeen Group) Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-12 Event-Driven Alerts Event-driven alerts are real-time alerts or warnings that are broadcast when a predefined event occurs. Figure 11.6 (in textbook) shows the processing that takes place when an unusually large deposit occurs For a credit card company, a customer's sudden payoff of the entire balance might trigger a business rule that creates an alert because the payoff could be a signal that the customer is planning to cancel the card. • E.g., There could be an intervention, such as a low interest rate offer, to reduce losing the customer. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-13 11.2 BI Architecture, Analytics, Reporting, and Data Visualization Purpose of BI is to gain insight from data for the purpose of taking action IT at Work 11.2 BI Saves Lives of Wounded Soldiers from Battlefield to Treatment When soldiers are wounded in battle, the military needs to be able to quickly diagnose their condition and provide medical transport. TRAC2ES tracks & coordinates patient information throughout the U.S. military’s worldwide network of healthcare facilities. Figure 11.9. Overview of the BI architecture of TRAC2ES to calculate the best transport method & the most appropriate medical center for treatment Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-14 Business Performance Management (BPM) BPM requires that managers have methods to quickly and easily determine how well the organization is achieving its goals and objectives, and whether or not the organization is aligned with the strategic direction. BPM relies on BI analysis reporting, queries, dashboards, and scorecards. Figure 11.11. BPM for monitoring and assessing performance Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-15 11.3 Data, Text, and Web Mining Data mining is a process that uses statistical, mathematical, artificial intelligence, and machine-learning techniques to extract and identify useful information from large databases Text from documents, e-communications, and e-commerce activities can be mined. Text needs to be codified, typically with XML (eXtensible Markup Language), and extracted so that predictive data mining tools can be used to generate real value Web mining, or Web-content mining, is used to understand customer behavior, evaluate a Web site's effectiveness, and quantify the success of a marketing campaign Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-16 Data Mining Apps Retailing and sales. Predicting sales, determining correct inventory levels and distribution schedules among outlets, and loss prevention. Banking. Forecasting levels of bad loans and fraudulent credit card use and which kinds of customers will best respond to new loan offers. Manufacturing and production. Predicting machinery failures; finding key factors that control optimization of manufacturing capacity. Healthcare. Developing better insights on symptoms and their causes and how to provide proper treatments. Broadcasting. Predicting which programs are best to air during prime time Marketing. Classifying customer demographics that can be used to predict which customers will respond to a mailing or Internet banners or buy a particular product Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-17 11.4 Decision Making Processes Figure 11.14 Phases in the decision-making process Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-18 Types of decisions Structured decisions are routine and repetitive problems for which standard solutions exist. Unstructured decisions involve a lot of uncertainty for which there are no definitive or clear-cut solutions. Semistructured decisions fall between the polar positions. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-19 11.5 Decision Support Systems (DSS) DSS are a class of ISs that combine models and data to solve semistructured and unstructured problems with intensive user involvement. DSS is interactive, flexible, and adaptable—and support the solution of unstructured or semistructured problems. DSSs have easy-to-use interfaces, and allow for the decision maker’ own insights. Models used in DSSs enable sensitivity analysis—study of the impact that changes in one or more parts of a model have on other parts or the outcome. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-20 Figure 11.15 Conceptual model of DSS and its components Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-21 11.6 Mobile Intelligence: Convergence of Mobile Computing and BI Figure 11.16 Five generations of computing from 1960s to 2010s According to Morgan Stanley’s Global Mobile Internet Report, mobile computing may be the fastest growing and most disruptive technology launch we have ever seen. Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-22 Unifying Communications in the Cloud Powerful mobile devices using IP-based infrastructure, such as 4G networks, combined with easy-to-use software are unifying communications Smartphones and other Internet-enabled mobile devices change how people stay informed, communicate, and in general manage their professional and personal lives Accessing information at any time, in any location, on a handheld device on a regular basis has changed the way that managers and other workers expect to make decisions Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-23 Mobile Intelligence (MI) MI is positioned to change how organizations deliver, consume, and act on information Without 24x7 convenient access to business information, decisions and actions get postponed causing bottlenecks and delays These restrictions and delays are blown away with MI, which allows analysis and decision-making wherever a decision is required In the Mobile Intelligence era, businesses that don’t yet exist may evolve into industry leaders Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-24 Chapter 11 Link Library Business Intelligence Journal businessintel.org/ The Data Warehousing Institute (TDWI) tdwi.org/ Cloud9 Analytics, on-demand (SaaS) cloud9analytics.com/ Information Builders informationbuilders.com/ WebFOCUS BI platform informationbuilders.com/products/webfocus/ IBM Cognos 8 BI www-01.ibm.com/software/data/cognos/ Oracle Oracle.com SAS BI sas.com/technologies/bi/ SAP AG Sap.com Microsoft BI microsoft.com/bi/default.aspx Tableau Software tableausoftware.com/ QlikTech qlikview.com iDashboards idashboards.com Honoring Those Who Use IT to Benefit Society cwhonors.org/ Copyright 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 11-25