Quality Tools MTSU 1 The PDSA Cycle Plan Act Do Study MTSU 2 The Process Improvement Cycle Select a process Document Study/document Evaluate Seek ways to Improve it Implement the Improved process MTSU Design an Improved process 3 Process Improvement Tools • There are a number of tools that can be used for problem solving and process improvement • Tools aid in data collection and interpretation, and provide the basis for decision making MTSU 4 Seven Basic Quality Tools 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. MTSU Check sheets Flowcharts Scatter diagrams Histograms Pareto analysis Control charts Cause-and-effect diagrams 5 Check Sheet Billing Errors Monday Wrong Account Wrong Amount A/R Errors Wrong Account Wrong Amount MTSU 6 Flowchart Process Good? Process Good? Process Process MTSU 7 Scatter Diagram Variable B Variable A MTSU 8 Histogram frequency A MTSU B C D E 9 80% of the problems may be attributed to 20% of the causes. MTSU Number of defects Pareto Analysis Off Smeared Missing Loose Other center print label 10 Control Chart 1020 UCL 1010 1000 990 LCL 980 970 0 MTSU 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 11 Cause-and-Effect Diagram Methods Materials Cause Cause Cause Cause Cause Cause Environment Effect Cause Cause Cause People MTSU Cause Cause Cause Equipment 12 Tracking Improvements UCL UCL UCL LCL LCL LCL Process centered Process not centered and stable and not stable MTSU Additional improvements made to the process 13 Seven Management Tools 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. MTSU Affinity Diagram Interrelationship Diagraph Tree Diagrams Prioritization Matrices Matrix Diagram Process Decision Program Chart Activity Network Diagram 14 Methods for Generating Ideas • Brainstorming • Quality circles • Interviewing • Benchmarking • 5W2H MTSU 15 A Brief History of Quality MTSU 16 America Re-discovers Deming MTSU 17 … and Juran MTSU 18 Rediscovering the Gurus • Deming – Emphasis on Statistical Control – 14 Points for Management • Juran – Quality Planning and Analysis – Managerial Breakthrough – Quality Control Handbook MTSU 19 MTSU 20 MTSU 21 MTSU 22 MTSU 23 MTSU 24 MTSU 25 MTSU 26 MTSU 27 MTSU 28 MTSU 29 MTSU 30 MTSU 31 What Types of Companies Can Benefit from Six Sigma? • Companies that benefit from structured organizational improvement • Companies that need to improve customer satisfaction • All types of companies can benefit: – – – – MTSU Manufacturing Service Non-profit Educational 32 What is Six Sigma? A. Customer Focus – Focus on what is critical to customers B. Data Driven – Extensive use of statistical tools C. Robust Methodology – Tools plus implementation methods to make success more likely MTSU 33 What is Six Sigma? Key Concepts 1. Critical to Quality: What attributes are most important to the customer? (CTQ, CTC, CTD) 2. Defect: Failing to deliver what the customer wants / expects (DPMO) 3. Variation: The level of unpredictability the customer experiences MTSU 34 What is Six Sigma? Key Concepts 5. Process Capability: What your process can deliver – consistently 6. Stable Operations: Stable ops are predictable 7. Design for Six Sigma: Designing to meet customer needs and process capability MTSU 35 DMADV - DMAIC Existing Processes New Processes Measure Design Analyze MTSU Define Control Define Verify Measure Improve Analyze 36 Statistics Lite Centered 3s Process LSL MTSU USL 37 Statistics Lite Centered 3s Process LSL MTSU s USL 38 Statistics Lite Centered 3s Process LSL MTSU s USL Non-conforming Product 1,300 DPMO 39 Statistics Lite Centered 3s Process LSL MTSU s USL Non-conforming Product 2,600 DPMO 40 Statistics Lite Shifted 3s Process LSL s USL 1.5 s mean shift MTSU 41 Statistics Lite Shifted 3s Process LSL s USL Non-conforming Product 66,800 DPMO 1.5 s mean shift MTSU 42 Statistics Lite Shifted 3s Process Cost to your company – 15-30% of sales LSL s USL Non-conforming Product 66,800 DPMO 1.5 s mean shift MTSU 43 Cost of Poor Quality 5-8% of Sales Inspection Overtime Downtime Rejects Rework Lost sales Long cycle times Cost of Capital Redundant Operations Expediting costs MTSU Late delivery (less obvious) Lost Opportunity Lost Customer Loyalty 15-22% of Sales Inaccurate Reports Excessive Planning 44 Statistics Lite Centered 6s Process LSL MTSU s USL 45 Statistics Lite Shifted 6s Process LSL s USL 1.5 s mean shift MTSU 46 Statistics Lite Shifted 6s Process LSL s USL Non-conforming Product 3.4 DPMO 1.5 s mean shift MTSU 47 Why Six Sigma? 99% (3.8 Sigma) 99.99966% (6 Sigma) • 20,000 lost articles of mail per hour • Seven articles lost per hour • 5,000 incorrect surgical operations per week • 2 incorrect operations per week • Two short or long landings at most major airports each day • 200,000 wrong drug prescriptions each year • No electricity for almost seven hours each month MTSU • One short or long landing every five years • 70 wrong prescriptions per year • One hour without electricity every 34 years 48 Six Sigma Breakthrough Strategy • Define • Measure • Analyze • Improve • Control MTSU 49 DMADV - DMAIC New Processes Define Verify Measure Design Analyze MTSU Existing Processes Define Control Measure Improve Analyze 50 Define - Selecting Projects • The project must relate to customer satisfaction • The project’s results must reduce defects by some threshold amount • The project should achieve some threshold of cost savings. MTSU 51 Criteria for Project Selection • Does it involve recurring events? • Is the scope narrow? • Do measures exist? • Do you have control of the process? MTSU 52 Define Phase, Continued • If these criteria are met then: 1) Identify the customers involved, both internal and external to the function. 2) Find out what the customer’s CT’s are (Critical to Quality, Critical to Delivery, Critical to Cost, etc). 3) Define the project scope and goals. 4) Map the process to be improved. MTSU 53 Define Phase - Tools • Project Charter • Stakeholder Analysis • Affinity Diagram • SIPOC • Voice of the Customer • CT Tree MTSU • Kano Model • SWOT Analysis • Cause-and-Effect Diagrams • Supplier Segmentation • Project Management 54 Charter • Problem statement • Business case • Goals, milestones, success criteria, & deliverables • Project scope / boundaries • Roles & responsibilities • Stakeholder support / approval needed MTSU 55 Define Phase Charter Development Charter – An agreement between management and project team members about what the team will accomplish. MTSU 56 Charter: Providing Direction You have to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ... because you might not get there. MTSU 57 Define Phase Charter – What it does • Clarifies expectations (what and why) • Keeps team focused – Reduces tampering – Reduces wandering – Reduces goal creep • Transfers ownership from management to team MTSU 58 Define Phase Charter – What it does • Provides overview of purpose • Describes why you are working on this project (business case) • Defines scope of project • Determines deliverables • Defines measures of success • Determines resources available MTSU 59 Business Case Potential Improvement Potential Impact Improve quality Reduce cost, inventory Improve OTD Shortages , inventory Select better suppliers Q, $, LT, reduce inventory Implement rating system Improve supply efficiency, better suppliers Reduce cost 60 Reduce price MTSU Define Phase - Tools • Project Charter • Stakeholder Analysis • Affinity Diagram • SIPOC • Voice of the Customer • CT Tree MTSU • Kano Model • SWOT Analysis • Cause-and-Effect Diagrams • Supplier Segmentation • Project Management 61 SIPOC Example Suppliers Ops Mgt Buyers Engrg. Mfg. Inputs Supplier Perf. Complaint s Tech Reqts Rating system Suppliers Supplier MTSU Complaint Processes Outputs Survey Supplier Evaluation Customers Ops Mgt Rating Buyers system Improved Engineering Supplier Perform. Commit. to suppliers Mfg. Suppliers 62 SWOT Analysis MTSU Positive Negative Internal Strengths Weaknesses External Opportunities Threats 63 Define Outputs • Once completed, the Define Phase should answer the following questions: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) MTSU Who is the customer? What matters? What is the scope? What defect am I trying to reduce? What are the improvement targets? 64 Define Phase Toll Gate Review • Submit project storyboard to sponsor • Toll Gate review presentation • Sponsor provides feedback • Project corrections are made prior to proceeding to the next phase MTSU 65 The Measure Phase • Purpose – To collect current performance of the process identified in the Define phase – This data is used to determine sources of variation and serve as a benchmark to validate improvements MTSU 66 Measurements • Benefits of having good data need to outweigh the costs of getting it • What does this measure do for the Project? MTSU 67 The Measure Phase • Upon completion of the measure phase, Project Teams will have: » A plan for collecting data that specifies the type of data needed and techniques for collecting the data » A validated measurement system that ensures the accuracy and consistency of the data collected » A sufficient data set for problem analysis MTSU 68 Measure - Key Concepts • Measurement • Variation – Exists naturally in any process and is the reason Six Sigma projects are undertaken • Data • Data Collection Plan • Measurement System Analysis – Ensures measurement techniques are reproducible and repeatable MTSU 69 Recording Measurements • 3 stages – The output stage » These tell how well customer needs are being met – Parts of the process » These are taken at critical points in the process – The input stage » These evaluate contributions to the process that are turned into value for the customer MTSU 70 Recording Measurements • Output Stage – – – – – MTSU Shortages Line shutdowns Quality – discrepant material Material price variances Internal customer survey 71 Recording Measurements • Parts of the process – – – – – MTSU Project milestones Supplier ship on time performance Supplier OTD Supplier internal throughput yield Supplier suggested cost reductions 72 Recording Measurements • The input stage – – – – – MTSU Supplier base size % Buyers with degrees % of spend covered by LTC’s % of spend from reverse auction Supplier FMEA’s 73 Operational Definitions Walter Shewhart, the inventor of statistical process control, believed his work on operational definitions to be of greater importance than his work on control charts. MTSU 74 Operational Definitions “An operational definition is a procedure agreed upon for translation of a concept into measurement of some kind.” Deming, 1986 Operational definitions should be valid and reliable. MTSU 75 Operational Definitions? Slump, I ain’t in no slump. I just ain’t hitting. MTSU 76 Operational Definitions • On-Time Delivery • On-Time Payment • Late • Defective • Clean • Good communication • Engineering support MTSU Do you, your management, and your suppliers agree on these definitions? 77 Determining Data Type • What do we want to know? • Review materials developed during design phase • What characteristics do we need to learn more about? MTSU 78 Data Collection Plan • What data will be collected? • Why is it needed? • Who is responsible? • How will it be collected? • When will it be collected? • Where will it be collected? MTSU 79 Measurement System Analysis • After Data Collection Plan is complete, it needs to be verified before actual data is collected • MSA is performed on a regular basis • MSA ends when a high level of confidence is reached that the data collected accurately depicts the variation in the process MTSU 80 Analyze Phase • The analyze phase allows the Project Team to target improvement opportunities by taking a closer look at the data. MTSU 81 Analyze Phase • Capability Analysis - establishing current performance level • Graphical Analysis - a visual indication of performance using graphs • Root Cause Analysis – developing a hypothesis about the causes of variation • Root Cause Verification – verifying that the planned action will generate the desired improvement MTSU 82 Process Capability When selecting a process to perform an operation, the inherent variability of process output should be compared to the range or tolerances allowed by the designer’s specifications. MTSU 83 Process Capability process distribution Lower Specification Upper Specification Much of the process output fits within specification width Almost all of the process output fits within the specification width In other words, is the process capable of producing the item within specifications? A significant portion of the process output MTSU falls outside of the specification width 84 Analyze Phase Cause Hypotheses • Identifying Obvious Process Problems – – – – – – MTSU Disconnects Process Map Review Bottlenecks Redundancies Unnecessary distance Rework Decision points 85 Analyze Phase Cause Hypotheses • Quantifying Value-Added Steps – Value-Adding – Value-Enabling – Non-Value-Adding MTSU Process Map Review 86 Analyze Phase Cause Hypotheses • Process Time Analysis – – – – MTSU Work time (value, but often only 5%) Wait (& queue) time (usually dominates) Setup time (tremendous leverage) Move time (process dependent) 87 Analyze Phase Tools • Brainstorming . . . And beyond! • Process Maps • Cause-and-Effect Diagrams • Focused Problem Statement • Statistical Tools MTSU 88 Cause-and-Effect Diagrams Supplier Failure - Causes Environment Equipment Business down Strike Lawsuit People Incapable equip Flood Earthquake Fire Business up New employees Tornado Lack of PM Process upset Bad specs Different standards MTSU Measurement Processes Strike Fraud Incompetence Turnover Illness New source Commodity allocation Bankruptcy Inaccurate PO Materials Mat'l price increase 89 Elements of Improve Phase MTSU Generate Improvement Alternatives Create a “Should Be” Process Map Conduct FMEA Perform Cost/Benefit Analysis Pilot Validate Improvement 90 Improve Phase Elements MTSU Generate Improvement Alternatives Create a “Should Be” Process Map Conduct FMEA Perform Cost/Benefit Analysis Pilot Validate Improvement 91 Failure Modes Effects Analysis • Identify failure modes – How can this product or process fail? • Identify failure effects – What happens when this failure occurs? • Identify potential causes of the effects & their probability of occurring. • Rate the likelihood of detecting the occurrence. MTSU 92 FMEA - Output • Ranked list of products that contribute to risk • List of actions and persons responsible for addressing the risk • Revised ranked priority list MTSU 93 Improvement Phase Methods UCL UCL UCL LCL LCL LCL Process centered Process not centered and in control and not in control MTSU Evidence of additional improvements 94 Review of Improvement Phase • • • • • • MTSU Generate Improvement Alternatives Create a “Should Be” Process Map Conduct FMEA Perform Cost/Benefit Analysis Pilot Validate Improvement 95 Generating Improvement Alternatives MTSU Define Improvement Criteria Generate Possible Improvements Evaluate Improvements and Make Best Choice 96 Pilot Benefits of Pilot • Determine best way to implement the improvement • Lowers risk of failure • Increases opportunity for feedback • Obtain buy-in from affected personnel • Provides opportunity to revise the improvement before full implementation MTSU 97 Stakeholder Analysis People or Groups Level of Commitment Buy Mfg Eng Enthusiastic Support Help it work Compliant Hesitant Indifferent Uncooperative Opposed Hostile MTSU X X X 98 Review of Implementation Phase • • • • • • MTSU Generate Improvement Alternatives Create a “Should Be” Process Map Conduct FMEA Perform Cost/Benefit Analysis Pilot Validate Improvement 99 Control Phase Why is it important? • The Control Phase begins as the project team tries to eliminate errors by “Mistake Proofing” their improvement alternative. • Mistake Proofing attempts to eliminate the opportunities for error. MTSU 100 Control Phase Why is it important? • Mistake Proofing tries to make it impossible for an operation to be performed incorrectly, and/or correct errors before they are passed to the next worker, where they might become a defect. MTSU 101 Control Phase #2 • During the Control Phase the Project team will: 1) Develop a plan to make sure the measurement system will remain relevant over the long term. 2) Establish Control Charts the process owner will use to manage the process. 3) Create a Reaction Plan to address situations that might cause the process to move out of control. MTSU 102 Control Phase #3 • The Control Phase ends when: 1) Standard Operating Procedures have been updated. 2) Process Operators, the people who do the job, have been trained for the new process. • Once completed, the Control Phase should sustain the gains the project made while implementing ongoing process controls. MTSU 103 Control Phase #4 • When is a project complete? 1) When other Black Belts can see the ongoing controls work 2) When the customer sees the results 3) When the business sees the money. MTSU 104 Six Sigma Six Sigma People • Executives • Champions (deployment, project) • Master Black Belts • Black Belts • Green Belts MTSU 105 Control Phase Methods • During the Control Phase the Project team will: 1) Develop a plan to make sure the measurement system will remain relevant over the long term. 2) Establish Control Charts the process owner will use to manage the process. 3) Create a Control Plan to address situations that might cause the process to move out of control. MTSU 106 Statistical Process Control (SPC) • Chance variations are the many sources of variation within a process that is in statistical control. They behave like a constant system of random chance causes. • If only natural causes of variation are present, the output of a process forms a distribution that is stable over time and is predictable. MTSU 107 Statistical Process Control (SPC) • Assignable variation in a process can be traced to a specific reason. Machine wear Misadjusted equipment Fatigued or untrained workers • If assignable causes of variation are present, the process output is not stable over time and is not predictable. MTSU 108 SPC - Assignable Causes The operational definition of assignable variation is variation that causes out-ofcontrol points on a control chart. MTSU 109 Natural Patterns or Variations Natural patterns exhibit the following characteristics: • Most of the points are near the centerline. • A few points spread out and approach the control limits. • None (or only on rare occasions) of the points exceeds the control limits. Reference: Statistical Quality Control Handbook, Western Electric MTSU 110 Unnatural Patterns or Variations Unnatural patterns exhibit the following characteristics: • Absence of points near the centerline produces a pattern known as a “mixture.” • Absence of points near the control limits produces an unnatural pattern known as “stratification.” • Presence of points outside of the control limits produces an unnatural pattern known as “instability.” Reference: Statistical Quality Control Handbook, Western Electric MTSU 111 Tests for Unnatural Patterns • Instability – A single point falls outside of the 3 sigma control limits. – Two out of three successive points fall in the outer one third of the control limits. – Four out of five successive points fall in the outer two thirds of the control limits. – Eight successive points fall on one side of the centerline. • Systematic variable – A long series of points are high, low, high, low without interruption. Reference: Statistical Quality Control Handbook, Western Electric MTSU 112 Statistical Process Control Why use averages? • To create a normal distribution • Averages are more sensitive to change than individuals MTSU 113 Central Limit Theorem Simulation The distribution of a sample approaches normal even when the parent population is not normally distributed. MTSU 114 Control Phase Mean and Range Charts Process Distribution process mean drifting upward UCL Drift Detected x-Chart LCL UCL No drift detected R-chart LCL MTSU 115 Control Phase Mean and Range Charts Process Distribution process variability increasing UCL x-Chart No shift detected LCL UCL Increase detected R-chart LCL MTSU 116 Statistical Process Control • Tolerance or specification limits – Defined by an engineer – Related to product design requirements • Control limits – Defined by the process – Related to the variation in the process – Unrelated to product needs MTSU 117 Control Phase Control Plans • Structured approach for designing value added control methods • Control actions necessary to ensure output quality • May include controls anywhere in the process MTSU 118 Control Phase Radar Chart Product Features - s F1 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 F5 F4 Days Late F2 Cust-4 Cust-1 20 15 10 5 0 Cust-2 F3 Cust-3 Baseline Current Data Entry Errors Jane 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Jose Baseline Savings by Project P1 Sally P6 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 P5 Steven Current P2 P3 Tom P4 MTSU Baseline Current Threshold Actual 119 Control Phase Radar Chart S1 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 S6 Defect Levels by Supplier S2 S5 S3 S4 Q1 MTSU Q2 Q3 120 Final Toll Gate Review • Submit project storyboard to sponsor • Toll Gate review presentation – Did the team carry out the agreed upon tasks? – Did the team achieve the desired results? • Sponsor provides feedback • Project corrections are made prior to termination or proceeding to next cycle MTSU 121 Why TQM Fails • Lack of Top Management Commitment Commitment Up Front Appropriate Training • Wasted Education & Training • Lack of Short-Term Results Biz Case Threshold • Failure to Empower Employees Charter Brown, Hitchcock, and Willard - 1994 MTSU 122 Why Six Sigma Fails (and it does) • Lack of Top Management Commitment • Interdepartmental / crossfunctional issues • Communication • People MTSU 123 Quality Tools Kimball Bullington, Ph.D. MTSU 124 References Books: • • • • • • • Six Sigma Pocket Guide (Rath & Strong’s) The Black Belt Memory Jogger (GOAL / QPC) Six Sigma (Harry and Schroeder) Implementing Six Sigma (Breyfogle) The Six Sigma Way Team Fieldbook (Pande, et al) The Vision of Six Sigma: A roadmap for breakthrough (Harry) Why TQM Fails and What To Do About It (Brown, Hitchcock, & Willard) Web sites: • • • • MTSU www.isixsigma.com www.ge.com/sixsigma www.asq.org www.aiag.org 125