Supply and Demand are the most fundamental concepts of economics and the backbone of market economics. Demand refers how much (quantity) of a good or service is that people are able or willing to buy. Quantity demanded (the amount people wish to buy) refers to how much of a good or service is desired by buyers at a specific price. The Law of Demand- Price and quantity demanded have an inverse relationship. When price increases the quantity demanded decreases, and as price decreases the quantity demanded increases. Notice that price is depicted on the y axis while quantity is depicted on the x axis. 2 As you can see the demand curve is a downward sloping curve. Price 2 is higher than price 1 and as a result the quantity demanded for the widget has dropped. Think about it, if you were interested in purchasing a new pair of jeans and assuming all things are the same would you be more or less able/willing to buy a pair of jeans at $40 or $80? The answer is most likely $40 but why? An absolute key assumption in the law of demand is that nothing else that could have an impact on the demand for the product has changed expect for its price. Reasons that explain the law of demand. 1. Substitution effect- we all have choices. Perhaps a person was planning on buying a pair of jeans for $40 and they saw the price was $80 and as a result they bough a pair of khaki pants instead. 2. Income effect- Change in purchasing power. - Maybe you thought the price was $40, an you only brought enough money to buy a pair of $40 jeans, now you can’t buy any. Conversely, maybe you brought enough money to buy 1 pair of $80 jeans and to your delight you saw that the jeans were on sale for $40. Now you are able or willing to buy 2 pairs. 3. The law of diminishing maximum utility- see next page 3 Demand is a measure of the buyer’s marginal utility or marginal benefit. Law of Diminishing Marginal Benefits- A law of economics stating that as a person increases consumption of a product - while keeping consumption of other products constant - there is a decline in the marginal utility that person derives from consuming each additional unit of that product. Imagine you spent the entire day swimming and playing on the Ocean City beach. It is now dinner time and you are absolutely starving. You decide to stop at Mack and Manco’s and get a slice of pizza. You buy a slice for $2.00. As you are eating your slice you think to yourself, “wow this is so good I would have paid $3.00 for this slice.” You decide to go back and buy another slice. As you are enjoying you second slice you think, “This wasn’t as good as the first slice but it was worth $2.00.” You head back to buy one more slice you think, “I’m full and I don’t want to spend more money on a slice, maybe I would if it was a only dollar.” 1st slice > $2.00 2nd slice = $2.00 3rd slice < $2.00 4 We can graphically depict the law of diminishing marginal utility. Notice the downward slope. Price $3 Marginal Cost $2 $1 Marginal Benefit Slice 1 Slice 2 Slice 3 Quantity Brainstorm a list of businesses that consider the diminishing marginal utility of the customer when determining their pricing a portion size. 5 To summarize, the law of demand states that price and quantity demanded (the amount people wish to buy) have an inverse relationship. As price increases the amount that people wish to buy drops and as price decreases the amount that people wish to buy increases. This produces a downward curve and is caused by three things; the substitution effect, the income effect (changes in purchasing power), and the law of diminishing marginal utility. Supply represents how much the market can offer. The quantity supplied refers to the amount of a certain product that producers are able and willing to supply at a certain price. The law of supply states that price and the quantity supplied (amount producers want to produce at a certain price) have a direct relationship. As the price for the good or service increases, suppliers are more willing to supply it. And as the price for the good or service drops, less suppliers want to produce it. 6 Quantity supplied is a trade-off between labor and leisure. Additionally it’s a measure of opportunity cost in the sense that when a supplier use resources to produce one produce they give up on producing another. Consider for a moment that someone is planning paying someone to cut their grass. He decides to put an add sign in the paper. Of the two ads which will generate the more interest? Why? Mow my lawn for $10 Mow my lawn for $40 $40 dollars of course!! Because there are more people who are willing to give up their leisure or another job for $40 dollars as opposed to $10. Time and Supply Unlike the demand relationship, however, the supply relationship is a factor of time. Time is important to supply because suppliers must, but cannot always, react quickly to a change in demand or price. So it is important to try and determine whether a price change that is caused 7 by demand will be temporary or permanent. Up to this point we have looked at the relationship between price and demand and also price and supply. Now let’s consider the relationship between supply and demand. If the supply is greater than the demand prices will drop. If the supply is less than the demand prices will rise. If the supply is equal to the demand the prices will remain steady at equilibrium. Consider for a moment a C.D. was just released by a new rock group. Based on information from previous sales and other factors in the market, they decided to produce 10 C.D.s and at the price of $20. It turns out that the C.D. was a hit and 20 people demanded the C.D. Because the supply is less than the demand the price will rise. Because the price rises the law of supply kicks in, as price rises the quantity supplied rises as well. Now the C.D. company produces 30 C.D.s to meet the demand. Now that the 20 people have bought their CD, there are still 10 more C.D.s that nobody seems to want. Remember when price increases suppliers want to supply more but at the same time as the price increases buyers want to buy less. Now the supply is greater than the demand and the price begins to fall. As price falls suppliers a want to supply less and buyers want to buy more. If this sounds like a seesaw, well it sort of is, but the price will eventually stabilize and balance. Supplemental Reading: How the Price System Works 8 Think about water for a moment. Water always seeks its own level. What does that mean? Consider the water of a lake. By itself, with no other forces besides gravity acting on it, the water would be completely flat-like a sheet of glass. Price is the same way, it is always seeking it own levelequilibrium. Equilibrium When supply and demand are equal (i.e. when the supply curve and demand curve intersect) the economy is said to be at equilibrium. At this point, the allocation of goods is at its most efficient because the amount of goods being supplied is exactly the same as the amount of goods being demanded. Thus, everyone (individuals, firms, or countries) is satisfied with the current economic condition. At the given price, suppliers are selling all the goods that they have produced and consumers are getting all the goods that they are demanding. 9 As you can see on the chart, equilibrium occurs at the intersection of the demand and supply curve, which indicates no allocation inefficiency. At this point, the price of the goods will be P* and the quantity will be Q*. These figures are referred to as equilibrium price and quantity. Similarly to perfectly level water, in the real market place equilibrium can only ever be reached in theory, so the prices of goods and services are constantly changing in relation to fluctuations in demand and supply. Besides water what else can you think of that is naturally seeking balance? Would you consider balance a natural state? Would you consider equilibrium price to be natural? Disequilibrium: Disequilibrium occurs when price or quantity are not equal to the equilibrium price or equilibrium quantity. Excess Demand- Excess demand occurs when prices are set lower than the equilibrium price. As a result the lower price increases the quantity demanded while lowering the quantity supplied. Resulting an in inefficient outcome where the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. The result is a shortage. Shortages are man-made, they are a result of pricing. Shortages should not be permanent because the lowered prices will result in consumers competing with each other by offering higher prices to buy the products. The resulting higher prices will incentivize suppliers to increase the quantity supplied bringing the market closer to equilibrium. Shortages are not permanent IF prices are allowed to adjust. But what happens if prices are not allowed to 10 adjust? If the government sets a price ceiling, below the equilibrium price, then the price will not be able to reach its equilibrium point. A price ceiling is a price control that prevents prices from rising above a set price. Price ceilings are intended to keep prices lower and more affordable but those who create controls often fail to realize that price ceilings are not immune to the backs laws of supply and demand. The quantity that consumers demand (Q d) exceeds the amount that suppliers want to supply (Q s).= shortage When the price is lower than the equilibrium price, the quantity demanded will increase, while the quantity supplied will decrease resulting in a shortage. Consider for a moment how you would react to hearing the news that the government is placing a ceiling on gas prices. For the foreseeable future gas prices will be no higher than $3.00 per gallon. You would probably fill up all of your family’s cars, the lawn mower, and any container that would hold gas. But so would everybody else. No big deal except for one problem. The gas companies knowing that they cannot make as much money will send their gas someplace else. Why would they sell it here for $3.00 when they can get more money someplace else. Now there is a shortage of gas. 11 Price ceilings and resulting shortages are not a new phenomena. For example, In the sixteenth century price controls decided the fate of Antwerp, the most important city of today's Belgium. From 1584, it was besieged by Spanish forces led by the Duke of Parma. For a year smugglers risked their lives to get food into the city. Why? The prices were high and the incentive for wealth was worth the risk. But as the prices rose the public became angry and insisted that the leaders “do something!!” The City Fathers of Antwerp answered the call by fixing maximum prices for food, with severe penalties. The people of the city celebrated but the enforced low prices didn't force anybody to economize. The unintended outcome was devastating, at first the city lived in high spirits but soon all of the provisions were depleted. The new price ceiling had an additional unintended outcome, predictably now that smugglers couldn’t receive the just compensation for their risk, nobody was willing to bring in food to the city. Ironically, the price ceiling was more effective than the blockade at preventing food from entering the city. Within weeks of the creation of the price ceiling the city surrendered. What was worse for the people of Antwerp? Expensive food or no food? 12 The story teaches us three lessons. 1. Both intended and unintended consequences must be considered when creating any policy especially price controls. 2. Policy must be judged on its outcomes and not on its intentions or the rhetoric of the policy maker. 3. History has proven that a price control often harms the very group of people that it was intended to help. Investigate. . . Investigate a more recent price ceiling and report on its intended consequences and its outcomes. One other note: Students are often confused that price ceilings are drawn below the equilibrium. Think of it like this, if a boy was holding a helium balloon and he let it go outside, it would go up, up, and up. But if he let that balloon go inside, it would naturally rise until it was stop by the ceiling. If that ceiling disappeared the balloon would instantly rise. Price isn’t any different. 13 Excess Supply If the price is set too high, the quantity that suppliers wish to supply will exceed the amount that consumers wish to buy. The result is a surplus. Surpluses Like shortages, surpluses are man-made, they are a result of pricing. Surpluses should not be permanent because the higher prices will result in suppliers competing with each other by selling their products at lower prices. The resulting lower prices will increase the quantity demanded by the customers bringing the market closer to equilibrium. Surpluses are not permanent IF prices are allowed to adjust. But what happens if prices are not allowed to adjust? The quantity that consumers demand (Q d) is less than the amount Price floors are government mandated price controls which keep prices above the equilibrium price. Like price ceilings the result is an inefficient allocation of resources. This time the quantity supplied is greater than the quantity demanded. that suppliers want to supply (Q s).= surpluses When prices are keep artificially higher than they would naturally occur in the free market, the law of demand and the law of supply make the outcomes easy to predict. Higher prices lower the quantity demanded, and higher prices increase the quantity supplied. Resulting in a surpluses. 14 What public purpose does a price floor serve? Who wants the customer pay higher prices? The suppliers of course. Often price floors are created to help a specific group of suppliers. Price floors are most often associated with agriculture products and other goods and services where competition could result in significantly lower prices. Of course that is good for the customer, but unified interest groups that lobby the government pay vast amounts of money to influence government to create the floors. The best example of price floors is minimum wage. In this case the worker is the supplier and the firm is the customer. Investigate: Research Minimum wage laws in the United States. Research intentions and outcomes- both intended and unintended. How have minimum wage laws impacted the employment levels of unskilled workers? 15