Chapter 13 Topics: – Systems proposal – Determining hardware needs – Determining software needs – Decision to rent, lease, or buy – Tangible and intangible costs and benefits – Methods for selecting alternatives Preparing the System Proposal Systems Proposal • In order to prepare the systems proposal analysts must use a systematic approach to identify hardware and software needs – – – – Ascertaining hardware and software needs Identifying and forecasting costs and benefits Comparing costs and benefits Choosing the most appropriate alternative Preparing the System Proposal Steps to Ascertain Hardware and Software Needs • Inventory computer hardware currently available • Estimate current and projected workload for the system • Evaluate the performance of hardware and software using some predetermined criteria • Choose the vendor according to the evaluation • Obtain hardware and software from the vendor Preparing the System Proposal Steps to Ascertain Hardware and Software Needs Preparing the System Proposal Hardware Inventory Check – Type of equipment: model no., manufacturer – Status of equipment operation – Estimated age of equipment – Physical location of equipment – Department or person responsible for equipment Preparing the System Proposal Criteria for Evaluating Hardware • Time required for average transactions (including time for input and output) • Total volume capacity of the system • Idle time of the central processing unit • Size of memory provided Preparing the System Proposal People that Evaluate Hardware – Management – Users – Systems analysts Preparing the System Proposal Three Options for Obtaining Computer Equipment – Buying – Leasing – Rental Preparing the System Proposal Buying Advantages Disadvantages Cheaper than leasing or renting over the long run Ability to change system Provides tax advantages of accelerated depreciation Full control Initial cost is high Risk of obsolescence Risk of being stuck if choice is wrong Full responsibility Preparing the System Proposal Leasing Advantages Disadvantages No capital is tied up Company doesn’t own the system when lease expires Usually a heavy penalty for terminating the lease Leases are more expensive than buying No financing is required Leases are lower than rental payments Preparing the System Proposal Renting Advantages Disadvantages No capital is tied up Company doesn’t own the computer No financing is required Easy to change systems Cost is very high because vendor assumes Maintenance and the risk (most expensive insurance are usually option) included Preparing the System Proposal Evaluation of Vendor Support for Hardware • Hardware support – full line of hardware, quality products, warranty • Software support – complete software needs, custom programming, warranty • Installation and training support – commitment to schedule, in-house training, technical assistance • Maintenance support – routine maintenance procedures, specified response time in emergencies, equipment loan while repair is being done Preparing the System Proposal Guideline for Evaluating Software – Performance effectiveness – perform all required and – – – – – desired tasks, well-designed display screens, adequate capacity Performance efficiency – fast response time, efficient input, output, storage of data and backup Ease of use – satisfactory user interface, help menu, ReadMe files, flexible interface, adequate feedback, good error recovery Flexibility – options for input and output, usable with other software Quality of documentation – good organization, adequate online tutorial, Web site with FAQ Manufacturer support – tech support hot line, newsletter/email, downloadable product updates Preparing the System Proposal Costs and Benefits Analysis • Systems analysts should take tangible costs, intangible costs, tangible benefits, and intangible benefits into consideration to identify cost and benefits of a prospective system Preparing the System Proposal Tangible Costs • Tangible costs are those that can be accurately projected by systems analysts and the business' accounting personnel • Examples: – Cost of equipment – Cost of resources – Cost of systems analysts' time Preparing the System Proposal Intangible Costs • Intangible costs are those that are difficult to estimate, and may not be known • Examples: – Cost of losing a competitive edge – Declining company image Preparing the System Proposal Tangible Benefits • Tangible benefits are advantages measurable in dollars that accrue to the organization through use of the information system • Examples: – Increase in the speed of processing – Access to information on a more timely basis Preparing the System Proposal Intangible Benefits • Intangible benefits are advantages from use of the information system that are difficult to measure • Examples: – Improved effectiveness of decision-making processes – Maintaining a good business image Preparing the System Proposal Selecting the Best Alternative • To select the best alternative, analysts should compare costs and benefits of the prospective alternatives using – Break-even analysis – Payback – Cash-flow analysis – Present value method Preparing the System Proposal Break-Even Analysis • Break-even analysis is the point at which the cost of the current system and the proposed system intersect • Break-even analysis is useful when a business is growing and volume is a key variable in costs Preparing the System Proposal Break-Even Analysis Preparing the System Proposal Payback Period (PBP) • Payback determines the number of years of operation that the system needs to pay back the cost of investing in it • Payback is determined in one of two ways: – By increasing revenues – By increasing savings • If the PBP of a project is 6 years and the project can exist 3 years in the fast technology change situation—it should be rejected. Preparing the System Proposal How to determine PBP • PAY BACK PERIOD (PBP) Investment: Amount Recovered in 2002: Remaining Investment to be recovered: Amount Recovered in 2003: Remaining Investment to be recovered: $ 20,000 $ 7,312 $12,668 $ 7,768 $ 4,920 Part of 2004 Needed : 4,920/7352= 0.67 (Assuming that Amount Recovered in 2004 is $7352) PBP = 1 + 1 + 0.67 = 2.67 YEARS Preparing the System Proposal Payback Period Preparing the System Proposal Three Drawbacks of the Payback Method – It is strictly a short-term approach to investment and replacement decision – It does not consider the importance of how repayments are timed – It does not consider total returns from the proposed systems project that may go well beyond the payback year Preparing the System Proposal Cash-Flow Analysis • Cash-flow analysis is used to examine the direction, size, and pattern of cash flow associated with the proposed information system • Determines when a company will begin to make profit • Determine when cash outlays and revenues will made up for initial investment Preparing the System Proposal Cash-Flow Analysis Preparing the System Proposal Present Value Method • Assess all the economic outlays and revenues of the information system over its economic life and to compare costs today with future costs and today's benefits with future benefits • Use present value when the payback period is long, or when the cost of borrowing money is high Preparing the System Proposal Present Value Method Without considering present value Considering present value Preparing the System Proposal Guidelines for Selecting the Best Alternative – Use break-even analysis if the project needs to be justified in terms of cost, not benefits or if benefits do not substantially improve with the proposed system. – Use payback when the improved tangible benefits form a convincing argument for the proposed system. – Use cash-flow analysis when the project is expensive relative to the size of the company. – Use present value when the payback period is long. Preparing the System Proposal