ECONOMICS What does it mean to me? Part I: •Eleven Powerful Ideas of Economics READ Krugman Section 1, Module 1 Mankiw Ch 1, 2 DO Morton Unit 1 What you will learn in this Module: • What a business cycle is and why policy makers seek to diminish the severity of business cycles • How employment and unemployment are measured and how they change over the business cycle • The definition of aggregate output and how it changes over the business cycle • The meaning of inflation and deflation and why price stability is preferred • How economic growth determines a country's standard of living • Why models - simplified representations of reality- play a crucial role in economics ECONOMICS: The study of the allocation of our scarce resources to satisfy our unlimited wants for goods and services. Economics is: *A social science concerned with how resources are used to satisfy wants. *A study of how people and countries use their resources to produce, distribute, and consume goods and services. *An examination of behavior related to how goods and services are acquired. *A study of how people decide who will get the goods and services. BASIC ECONOMIC QUESTIONS WHAT TO PRODUCE? HOW TO PRODUCE? FOR WHOM TO PRODUCE? ECONOMICS is concerned with PRODUCTION DISTRIBUTION CONSUMPTION of GOODS and SERVICES The FACTORS OF PRODUCTION include: LAND (natural resources) LABOR (human resources) CAPITAL (capital resources) ENTREPRENEURSHIP RESOURCES: materials from which goods and services are produced. Those things such as people, tools, machinery, and factories. NATURAL RESOURCES: Water, oil, gems, land, and trees. Human Resources: People at work--manual, clerical, technical, professional, managerial. Capital Resources: includes any good used to create a final good or service. CAPITAL RESOURCES are further divided into: CAPITAL GOODS Goods used in the production process that can be reused for another product. (computers, trucks, machines, et.al.) INTERMEDIATE GOODS Goods that are used up in the production process. (paper, oil, ink, et.al.) ENTREPRENEURSHIP: *a particular type of human resource *business innovator *sees opportunity to make a profit *uses unexploited raw materials *takes RISK with new product or process *brings together land, labor, capital FINANCIAL CAPITAL: *NOT a real resource *ENABLES ENTREPRENEURS AND MANAGERS TO PURCHASE THE FACTORS OF PRODUCTION *Money to acquire capital goods and employ land and labor resources How do we pay for resources? RESOURCE PAYMENTS LAND Rent LABOR Wages & Salaries CAPITAL Interest ENTREPRENEUR Profit There are 11 powerful ideas that serve as the foundation of economics. If you develop a good understanding of them and master the problem-solving skills inherent in them, they will serve you for the rest of your life. NUMBER 1: WANTS AND DESIRES How do we satisfy our unlimited wants and desires in a world of limited resources? “Goods” and “services” are those things that we value or desire. GOODS tend to be TANGIBLE things-objects that can be seen, held, tasted, heard, or smelled. INTANGIBLE GOODS are things we cannot reach out and touch, such as friendship, knowledge, and fairness. SERVICES are intangible. In contrast to goods, BADS are items that people do not desire or want---garbage, pollution, weeds, and crime. The elimination of a bad becomes a good. In economics, we assume that more goods lead to greater satisfaction, or UTILITY, and that bads lead to dissatisfaction or DISUTILITY. Normal good Inferior good http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/3/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/75/ NUMBER 2: SCARCITY We all face scarcity because it is not possible for an individual to have all the goods and services that he or she desires. However, because we all have differing wants and desires, scarcity affects individuals differently. The essential question in Economics is: Scarcity Insufficient supply of something where “insufficient” is interpreted relative to the desires of a group of people. For instance, antiques are valued for their scarcity. . . When our wants exceed our needs we have SCARCITY. Scarcity forces us to make choices on how to best use our limited resources. Scarcity is NOT: the same as poverty. (eg. Goods can be scarce in United States AND Somalia. However, scarcity isn’t going away; poverty might.) the same as shortage. (eg. Whether you have a shortage or not depends upon how you handle the rationing problem made necessary by scarcity) Oh, Scarcity (Tune: Oh, Christmas Tree) Oh, scarcity! Oh, scarcity We can't have all the things we want. Oh, scarcity! Oh, scarcity! We cannot have it all. We really want a lot of stuff. But sometimes there's just not enough. Oh, scarcity! Oh, scarcity! We cannot have it all. Scarcity http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/47/ NUMBER 3: CHOICES We may all want a home, two cars, gourmet food, all with a pristine environment with no pollution. If we had unlimited resources to produce all of the goods and services everyone wanted, we would not have to choose among these decisions. If we did not have to make meaningful economic choices, the study of economics would not be necessary. But a woman who waits ‘til the third time around…..She’s the girl he’s found……The girl who’s hard to get….. (taken from Meredith Wilson’s The Music Man) MARKETS AND MARRIAGE As in markets for goods and services in which rare stuffed animals and exclusive doctors are prized, judgments about whom to pursue may rest on signals of quality, such as how hard people are to attract. That is the crux of the social price theory, which considers marriage through an economic (but human) lens. Economics isn’t only about money. Economics is also about scarcity, choice and utility maximization. Ninety-five percent of Americans marry, so most of us become buyers and sellers in the marriage market at some point……and the marriage market is alive and well in residence halls, nightclubs, churches and workplaces across the country. Taken from “Economics by Example” by David Anderson This concept also translates into the ROLE OF PRICE. Searching for a marriage partner involves making a decision about whether to pursue a relationship on the basis of an initially meager number of signals. Just as you choose a doctor, a college, or a bottle of wine, consumers seek indicators of the relative value of the available alternatives. Suppose your boss asks you to buy an outstanding bottle of wine to impress a new client. To pick a winner, you might look at the bottles, survey the knowledge and opinions of friends, look into the various reputations of various vineyards, and sample a few vintages. You would probably also use price as a guide. Taken from “Economics by Example” by David Anderson What does it take to win someone’s heart? For some people the answer may involve money, but for many, it has more to do with kindness, intellect, humor, romantic gestures, appearance and ability to contribute. People must decide what they value most. This standard has been called social price. As extremes, someone with high standards has a high social price; someone with low standards has a low social price. Sometimes parents know an individual’s prospects better than the individual. They may set a price floor (a minimum price). If a daughter announces her interest in an “inferior” male, the parents may forbid her to see him because the “social price” is too low. Taken from “Economics by Example” by David Anderson Scarcity (such as the one you love) forces us to choose and choices are costly because we always give up other opportunities. Economists call this OPPORTUNITY COST. Opportunity Cost: The next best alternative given up to get something. Everyone must give up something to get more of other things, called trade-offs. Opportunity Cost Trade-offs http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/10/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/9/ Some economists argue that we are worse off because of the FDA (Food and Drug Administration). What are the “costs” of having a government administrative agency control the food and drugs a society can consume? TINSTAAFL (There is no such thing as a free lunch) This statement clarifies the relationship between scarcity and opportunity cost. If the cafeteria is offering “free” lunches, is it really free from society’s perspective? Could the resources used to create the free lunch have been used to create something else of value? Technically, this is called a “subsidized” lunch. Prices and Costs are NOT the same thing. PRICES reflects the monetary value of a good or service, which is an objective fact. COSTS are personal and subjective. For example, would a $60,000 Lexus cost more to a poorer person than a richer one? They both give up the same amount of money, however, the costs are different for each person. In market settings, goods have positive prices y Economists generally use quadrant 1 to graph their equations. Quadrant II Quadrant I x Quadrant III Quadrant IV Too often the long-term consequences of a choice is ignored. “….must trace not merely the immediate results but the results in the long run, not merely the primary consequences but the secondary consequences, and not merely the effects on some special group but the effects on everyone.” --Henry Hazlitt Especially in politics there is a tendency to stress the short term benefits while completely ignoring the longer-term consequences. . . . we hear an endless pleading for proposals to help specific industries, regions, or groups without consideration given to their impact on the broader community, including taxpayers and consumers. --Common Sense Economics Consider the rent controls imposed on apartments. Cities like Berkeley and Santa Monica, California, as well as New York City have adopted such controls, usually in response to claims that rent controls will keep rents from rising and make housing more affordable for the poor. True, in the short run…..but what about the long-run consequences: 1) Market for apartments will stagnate. *existing apartments will not go to those who need them *expensive for someone to give up a rent controlled apartment *hard to find place closer to work because others are holding onto theirs 2) Reduce investment in new housing *no incentive to build new apartments for the future. NUMBER 4: THINKING MARGINALLY Choices are not all or nothing. Most choices are of the “little more” or “little less” variety. Most of us do not dine in the nude so we can afford food. --Common Sense Economics Economists call this “marginal thinking” because the focus is on the additional, or marginal, choices. People will alter their behaviors if they expect the marginal benefits from doing so will outweigh the expected marginal costs they will bear. This is called the RULE OF RATIONAL CHOICE. Thinking at the margin http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/7/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/54/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/88/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/95/ NUMBER 5: INCENTIVES CREATE RATIONAL BEHAVIOR Much of human behavior can be explained and predicted as a response to incentives. Rational behavior exists as people respond to incentives--both positive and negative--in the relative cost-benefit structure. An integral part of the “Late Show with David Letterman” is stage manager Biff Henderson wandering around New York City timing things. How long would it take a shop owner to stop Biff from drawing faces on watermelons? OR how long would a restaurant cashier let him eat free mints out of the bowl at the counter?” In most cases, Biff was stopped after a short period of time. However, in this case, the cashier never stopped him and, just before he left, Biff emptied the bowl into his pocket and walked out. Why did the cashier let Biff Henderson eat all the free mints? Taken from “Economics by Example” by David Anderson Why did the cashier let Biff Henderson eat all the free mints? The answer: INCENTIVES MATTER. With each watermelon Biff defaced, the shop owner risked financial loss. The shop owner had an incentive to protect his property. If the cashier had a financial stake in the restaurant, perhaps he would have said something. However, while the cashier’s duty was to maximize her employer’s profits, her “incentive” was to avoid hassles and collect a fixed wage. Taken from “Economics by Example” by David Anderson INCENTIVES are important in communist societies as well. In the former Soviet Union, employees in a glass plant were rewarded by the number of tons of sheet glass they produced. This led to factories producing sheet glass so thick, one could barely see through it. So they changed the strategy and employees were rewarded by the number of square meters they could produce. This led to production of glass so thin that it broke easily. **Taken from “Common Sense Economics” 2005 Incentives can be either positive or negative. POSITIVE incentives will either increase benefits or reduce costs. NEGATIVE incentives will either decrease benefits or increase costs. Would a tax on cigarettes be a negative or positive incentive? Would a subsidy to electric cars be a positive or negative incentive? Incentives http://www.spike.com/video-clips/duaf9s/shower-with-a-gorilla-program Seinfeld http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/29/ http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/52/ NUMBER 6: SPECIALIZATION AND TRADE People tend to dedicate their resources to one lifetime activity, whether it be teaching school, child-rearing, or cooking food. Why is this? The answer is simple: OPPORTUNITY COST. By concentrating their energies into a single, best- suited activity, individuals incur lower opportunity costs. In this way, they make better use of their limited resources. If a country, region, firm, or person can produce a good or service for a lower cost, economists would say they have a COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE. The advantages of specialization include greater skill, lower costs, greater efficiency, higher production, and increased wealth. NUMBER 7: MARKETS AND THE PRICE SYSTEM How do we determine who gets what? The market system allows communication between consumers and producers regarding the allocation of scarce resources. This is done through PRICES. Every individual is continually exerting himself to find out the most advantageous employment for whatever capital he can command. It is his own advantage, indeed, and not that of the society which he has in view. But the study of his own advantage naturally, or rather necessarily, leads him to prefer that employment which is most advantageous to society….He intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, let by an invisible hand to promote an end which was not part of his intention. --Adam Smith The remarkable thing about an economy based on private property is that self-interest will further the general prosperity of a community or nation. The individual “intends only his own gain” but he is directed by the “invisible hand” of market prices to promote the goals of others……. --Common Sense Economics Government policy sometimes interferes with the market system. Consider how minimum-wage legislation censors effective communication from teenagers to employers. While it is true that minimum wage protects teenagers from being paid extremely low wages for unskilled labor, the increase in minimum wage has two effects on teenage employment: 1) the higher minimum wage increases the number of teenagers who want jobs, sometimes even causing them to drop out of school, 2) the higher minimum wage for low-skilled workers discourages hiring. NUMBER 8: GOVERNMENT POLICIES Governments are institutions devised by humans to serve the collective group or will. There are seven reasons to justify government involvement into the economic decisionmaking process: •government provides legal framework •some goods and services are inherently “public” •lack of competition has led markets to operate inefficiently •government can help participants in market activity make better decisions •the existence of externalities--like pollution-can cause inappropriate market signals •income distribution as determined by the market may be considered unfair or inappropriate •overall level of output may be viewed as inappropriate in the market. NUMBER 9: ECONOMIC GROWTH Economic growth enhances the potential amount of individual consumption---the greater the economic growth, the more goods we and our descendants will have to consume in the future. Americans produce and earn approximately 30 times as much per person today as in 1750. Why are Americans so much more productive than 250 years ago? 1) Scientific knowledge and technological abilities 2) Complex machines and factories, better roads, extensive systems of communication 3) Families in 1750 directly produced most of the items they consumed; today we purchase them from others --Common Sense Economics Other sources of economic growth: 1) Investments in people (skills) and machines (assets) 2) Improvements in technology (brain power, less cost) 3) Improvements in Economic Organization *human activities *entrepreneurship *open markets promote free exchange of ideas *competition NUMBER 10: PRICE STABILITY When overall prices increase in an economy, it is called INFLATION. When overall prices decrease, it is called DEFLATION. When either of these conditions exist, the PURCHASING POWER of money is changing. Inflation will cause the purchasing power of money to decrease. It can raise one nation’s prices relative to prices in other countries , which will lead to difficulties in financing foreign goods. In extreme situations, it can erode the faith the people have in the currency resulting in the refusal to accept paper money as a form of payment. In a deflationary period, the purchasing power of an individual will rise, however, businesses may be forced to lay off workers in an effort to reduce costs to offset the lower prices of the product. NUMBER 11: Ceteris Paribus: all other things equal The Use of Models in Economics •Models •Other things equal assumption •Ceteris Paribus POSITIVE vs NORMATIVE Positive Versus Normative Economics • Positive economics: questions that have definite right and wrong answers. • Normative economics: economics analysis saying how the world should work. • Examples: facts vs. predictions • Economic model ECONOMIC way of thinking …….making use of a common set of tools for economic analysis. Statistics Factual Tools Theoretical Tools Models Concepts Institutions History WHY IS ECONOMICS A SOCIAL SCIENCE?? Economics is very similar to the other social sciences--psychology, history, sociology, anthropology, and political science--in that it is concerned with reaching conclusions based on human behavior. Social scientists may study the same issue but have a different perspective on the subject. The two main branches of Economics are: Macroeconomics-looks at problems in the economy which affect society as a whole. Microeconomics-- Despite the fact that the two areas stress different topics, they both still strive to understand people’s behavior. looks at the smaller areas in the economy trying to understand how firms and businesses make their decisions. The study of economics can help you to understand education, pollution concerns, global warming, welfare reform, health care, in that we all must make choices between our unlimited wants/desires and our basic needs. The disciplined mind developed by the study of economics will give one the problem-solving tools which will be valuable to anyone regardless of career choice. Is it rational for people to strive for a better situation in their own lives? Economists believe that self-interest = rational behavior They also believe that rational behavior includes the idea that individuals will attempt to anticipate the future consequences of their acts. Rationality http://www.yadayadayadaecon.com/clip/19/ What tradeoffs occur when a driver with a suspended license drives a car illegally? What are the consequences of smoking cigarettes? What are the tradeoffs of not finishing high school? What are the consequences of not going to college? Not all humans react in similar ways, however, by looking at large groups of people, economists can make many reliable predictions about human behavior. The End Compiled by Virginia Meachum, Economics Teacher Exploring Economics, Pathways to Problem Solving, by Robert L. Sexton (Dryden Press, 1999) Principles of Economics, by N. Gregory Mankiw, 2nd & 3rd edition (Thompson, Southwest Publishing, 2004) Economics For AP, by Paul Krugman, Robin Wells, David Anderson, Margaret Ray