Stefano Salvi Chair of the Supersites Advisory Committee Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction, Sendai, March 2015 DRR and satellite EO During the last four decades, satellite imagery has proved to be very well suited for providing important information to support Disaster Risk Reduction, in particular for Geohazards. HOWEVER: Are satellite data fully exploited for DRR? Inaccessible data and unexploited knowledge 1 Especially, but not only, in developing countries, data are not easily accessible to map and study geohazards. Sometimes are not even acquired. 2 Where they are acquired and become available there may be a lack of capacity to use them. 3 But even when they are well analysed by the scientific community, the important new knowledge generated is in many cases not efficiently exploited. The Geohazards Supersites concept A voluntary partnership aiming to demonstrate in high risk areas of the world (the Supersites) a streamlined and efficient process by which geohazard research results obtained by the global scientific community can directly benefit local Disaster Prevention and Response activities. http://www.earthobservations.org/gsnl.php The Geohazard Supersite partnership The Local Monitoring Agencies CEOS Space agencies The Local & Global Scientific Communities The Local DRM Agencies First bulding block: the data In-situ data CEOS Satellite data The value-added chain In-situ data Science Team #1 Science Team #2 Science Team #3 CEOS Satellite data Science Product A’ Science Product … Science Product A’’ Science Product A’’’ Science Product … … a synthesis is needed … In-situ data Science Team #1 Science Team #2 Science Team #3 CEOS Satellite data Virtual repository Science Product A’ Science Product … Science Product A’’ Science Product A’’’ Collaborative knowledge processing (compare, validate, model, report) Consensus product generation (hazard model, predictive scenario, etc.) Science Product … … driven by local agencies … In-situ data Science Team #1 Science Team #2 Science Team #3 CEOS Satellite data Virtual repository Collaborative process coordinated by local agency Science Product A’ Science Product … Science Product A’’ Science Product A’’’ Collaborative knowledge processing (compare, validate, model, report) Consensus product generation (hazard model, predictive scenario, etc.) Science Product … … which will provide the information to DRM users In-situ data Science Team #1 Science Team #2 Science Team #3 CEOS Satellite data Virtual repository Collaborative process coordinated by local agency Science Product A’ Science Product … Science Product A’’ Science Product A’’’ Science Product … Collaborative knowledge processing (compare, validate, model, report) Consensus product generation (hazard model, predictive scenario, etc.) Risk products to local DRM users Supersites proposals They are submitted by national geohazard monitoring agencies, and must be supported by the wider scientific community. Supersite proposals are evaluated by the Supersite Advisory Committee and by the CEOS. Resources should be obtained independently by the partners, who could leverage on the Supersite framework. The proposal must address priorities and requirements from the local DRM users. Active geohazard Supersites & Points of Contact 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Hawaiian volcanoes – PoC is US Geological Survey, USA Icelandic volcanoes – PoC is Univ. of Iceland Etna volcano – PoC is Natl. Inst. Geophysics and Volcanology, Italy Campi Flegrei volcano – PoC is Natl. Inst. Geophysics and Volcanology, Italy Western North Anatolian Fault – PoC is Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey Taupo Volcano – PoC is GNS Science, New Zealand Tungurahua and Cotopaxi volcanoes – PoC is Instituto Geofísico, Ecuador A success story: the Bardabunga eruption 2014 Main volcano is under 800 m thick ice cap. Worst scenario was magma/water mixing, causing strong explosions, 10-km high volcanic ash/gas plume, subglacial floods. Possible very strong impacts on: Regional air traffic. Eyjafjallajökull eruption, in 2010 caused 100,000 flights to be canceled, for a 5 Bn$ damage. Global air quality. Laki eruption in 1783 caused global climate effects leading to a number of global casualties in excess of hundreds of thousands. The Icelandic volcano supersite www.futurevolc.hi.is Seismic data show magma migration January 2015 August 2014 Satellite image coverage through the Supersite InSAR images shows dyke transferring magma for 45 km out of ice area, reducing impact of eruption GPS and InSAR allowed modeling of the source Energy Dyke mapping Depth Magma volume A coordinated effort to support response Analyses of Supersite data by various international research teams, coordinated by University of Iceland and with the local Civil Protection Agency, contributed to provide important information to update the situational awareness, directly driving important decisions by DRM users. To submit a Supersite proposal Write to: Stefano Salvi: Francesco Gaetani: stefano.salvi@ingv.it fgaetani@geosec.org http://www.earthobservations.org/gsnl.php