George Mason School of Law Contracts I Contract Law in the State of Nature F.H. Buckley fbuckley@gmu.edu 1 Next Day Vices of Capacity: A. Rational Choice B. Children 2 Contract Law as a solution to bargaining problems Suppose that the defector is penalized through legal sanctions so that the incentive to defect disappears. 3 Contract Law as a solution Leviathan 4 But what if we’re in a state of nature International Law Weak rule of law Unenforceable agreements Transaction costs of litigation 5 But what if we’re in a State of Nature? 1. International Law Signing of NAFTA Treaty 1992 6 But what if we’re in a State of Nature? 2. Weak Rule of Law Deputy Mayor of Moscow Vladimir Resin sporting a $360,000 wristwatch 7 2. Weak Rule of Law Measures of Government Corruption 2. Weak Rule of Law Measures of Government Corruption Rank Score Denmark 1 9.3 Sweden 4 9.2 Canada 6 8.9 Australia 8 8.7 Switzerland 8 8.7 Hong Kong 13 8.4 Germany 15 7.9 Japan 17 7.8 United Kingdom 20 7.6 United States 22 7.1 Transparency International But what if we’re in a State of Nature? 3. Unenforceability Examples? 10 But what if we’re in a State of Nature? Unenforceability 11 Marriage under no-fault Illegal Contracts Vague Contracts Social Promises Credible Commitments in a State of Nature: Five Strategies 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 12 Self-binding Union Reciprocal Altruism Social and Internalized Norms Self-enforcing agreements Credible Commitments 1. Self-binding 13 Credible Commitments 1. Self-binding I might persuade another party to trust me if I make it painful for me to breach Doing this without contract law: The use of hostages 14 Hostages: The Burghers of Calais Rodin 1885 15 Not hostages: The burgers of Calais McDonald's at Walmart, 8 South St., Calais, ME 04619 16 Richard III IV.v DERBY: Sir Christopher, tell Richmond this from me: That in the sty of this most bloody boar, My son George Stanley is frank'd up in hold: If I revolt, off goes young George's head; The fear of that withholds my present aid. 17 Modern examples of hostages to solve the problem of trust in bargaining Bankruptcy and secured lending 18 Modern examples of hostages to solve the problem of trust in bargaining Bankruptcy and secured lending Rings 19 Modern examples of hostages to solve the problem of trust in bargaining Bankruptcy and secured lending Rings Romantic love 20 Modern examples of hostages to solve the problem of trust in bargaining Bankruptcy and secured lending Rings Romantic love Reputations 21 2. Union strategies Allen and Lueck, The Nature of the Farm 22 2. Union strategies Marriage amongst princely families Victoria and Albert, 1840 23 2. Union strategies Vertical Integration As a response to post-contractual opportunism: Klein, Crawford, Alchian, 21 J.L. & Econ. 297 (1978) Armen Alchian 24 Post-contractual opportunism But see R.H. Coase, The Acquisition of Fisher Body by General Motors, 43 J.L.E. 15 (2000) 25 Credible Commitments 3. Reciprocal Altruism A genetic basis to reciprocal altruism? Robert Trivers, 46 Quart. Rev. Biol. 35 (1971) 26 A genetic basis to reciprocal altruism? 27 Reciprocal Altruism in Game Theory Axelrod, The Evolution of Cooperation (1984) Tit-for-tat as a dominant strategy for iterated PD games 28 Reciprocal Altruism in Game Theory Round 1: Cooperate or Defect Round 2: Cooperate or Defect Round 3: Cooperate or Defect Round 4: Cooperate or Defect Round 5: Cooperate or Defect Round 6: Cooperate or Defect Round 7: Cooperate or Defect Round 8: Cooperate or Defect Round 9: Cooperate or Defect Round 10: Cooperate or Defect Round 11: Cooperate or Defect Round 12: Cooperate or Defect Round 13: Cooperate or Defect Round 14: Cooperate or Defect Round 15: Cooperate or Defect Round 16: Cooperate or Defect Round 17: Cooperate or Defect Round 18: Cooperate or Defect Round 19: Cooperate or Defect Round 20: Cooperate or Defect Round 21: Cooperate or Defect Round 22: Cooperate or Defect Round 23: Cooperate or Defect Round 24: Cooperate or Defect Round 25: Cooperate or Defect Round 26: Cooperate or Defect Round 27: Cooperate or Defect Round 28: Cooperate or Defect Round 29: Cooperate or Defect Round 30: Cooperate or Defect Axelrod’s Iterated Prisoners’ Dilemma 29 The winner and loser… Anatol Rapoport Gordon Tullock TFT in action: The Christmas truce of 1914 Ver ist der turkey? Und der Belgians? 31 You’re a good sort, Fritzie, for a Hun… TFT in action: Posner and Goldsmith on Ambassadors in International Law 32 Carpaccio, The Legend of St. Ursula: The Arrival of the English Ambassadors TFT: An Application? America is at war with France and the Taliban. American POW’s in France are housed in a five star hotel where they are feted with wonderful meals and fine wines. American POW’s held by the Taliban are beheaded, every one of them. 33 TFT: An Application? The Geneva Convention prescribes that POW’s shall be provided with exercise facilities. Is America in breach of this if it offers French but not Taliban POW’s exercise facilities? 34 Example of TFT communities Old-boy networks Bullington Club members, 1987 2. David Cameron 8. Boris Johnson 35 Examples of TFT communities Alexis Tocqueville “Americans like to form clubs” 36 Racial Communities Diamond district, West 47th Street, NYC L. Bernstein, 21 J. Legal Stud. 115 (1992) 37 Credible Commitments 4. Social and Internalized Norms Ruth Benedict on shame cultures The Chrysanthemum and the Sword (1989) 38 4. Social Norms David, Andromache Mourning Hector 39 4. Social Norms Handing out the white feather 40 Just how long did that last? 41 Lytton Strachey But still… Consider the following examples of cooperative behavior: Not littering Gas Guzzlers Helping out in an emergency: the Good Samaritan 42 Yet we never lack for social norms 43 Lytton Strachey What happens when shame is internalized? “There is a man inside me who is angry with me” Sir Thomas Browne 44 Georges de la Tour, Repentant Magdalene Why Guilt is Good for You If Homo Economicus Had a Choice, would he want a conscience? Robert Frank, 77 AER 593 (1987) 45 Visible Guilt Solves the Lemons Problem If Homo Economicus Had a Choice, would he want a conscience? Robert Frank, 77 AER 593 (1987) “Speech is the gift God gave us to hide our thoughts.” Talleyrand 46 Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces Whom would you vote for? Alexander Todorov et al., Inferences of competence from faces predict election outcomes. Science (in press) 47 Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces Whom would you vote for? Sen Russ Feingold (Dem. WI) 48 Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces And this time? 49 Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces And this time? Sen. Ron Johnson (Rep. WI) 50 Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces Deception detection: Guilt and Facial Signals Which smile is genuine? 51 Paul Ekman, Darwin and Facial Expressions (1973); What the Face Reveals (1997) Guilt Explains Why We Have Faces Deception detection: Guilt and Facial Signals From an evolutionary perspective, an arms race between deceptive expressions and deception detection Zygomatic smiles 52 Microexpressions We are able to detect visual cues that can be seen for only a fraction of a moment Two stable equilibria: 98 percent of the population Sociopaths who can fool the rest of us 53 Microexpressions De la Tour, The Fortune Teller 54 Look at the Hands 55 Microexpressions 56 Look at the Hands 57 Microexpressions De la Tour, The Fortune Teller 58 Microexpressions De la Tour, The Fortune Teller 59 Microexpressions 60 Make the Mule You are a plainclothes detective at LAX, charged with identifying drug smugglers as they exit a plane. How do you pick them out? 61 Spot the liar Two mothers. Which one killed her children? Mother One Mother Two 62 Some Cold War History… In September 1945 Soviet cipher clerk Igor Gouzenko defected and told the RCMP of an espionage apparatus at the Anglo-Canadian nuclear research center in Montreal 63 Some Cold War History… Gouzenko told the RCMP that Dr. Alan Nunn May, a British scientist in Montreal, had revealed nuclear secrets to the Soviets and provided them with samples of U-233 and U-235—a few days after Hiroshima 64 Some Cold War History… The RCMP passed on the information to MI-5 65 Some Cold War History… Which assigned it to their head of Soviet Counter-Intelligence… Kim Philby 66 Kim Philby Philby 1 Philby 2 67 5. Self-enforcing agreements Suppose that the anticipated gains from the relationship in the future exceed the temptation to defect in every single period 68 Payoffs in a one-period PD Game Player 2 Player 1 69 Cooperate Defect Cooperate 3, 3 -1, 4 Defect 4, -1 0, 0 Payoffs in an iterated PD Game Player 2 Player 1 70 Cooperate Defect Cooperate 30, 30 -1, 4 Defect 4, -1 0, 0 5. Self-enforcing agreements The Special Relationship (R.I.P) 71 0oops… I forgot a sixth enforcement strategy in the state of nature Can you think what it might be? 72 Meet Nick the Chin I’m tinkin’ youse should pay what youse owe 73 But contract law persists (happily) 74 The advantages of Contract Law over Self-binding Strategies Contract Law frees up assets, as opposed to hostages 75 The advantages of Contract Law over Social and Internalized Norms Everybody lies… 76 The advantages of Contract Law over Reciprocal Altruism and Selfenfocement One-shot deals and end-period misbehavior 77 The advantages of Contract Law over Union Strategies Democratic and open to outsiders 78 The advantages of Contract Law over Union Strategies The “amoral familism” of Montegrano 79 The advantages of contract law Sir Henry Maine: “The movement of the progressive societies has hitherto been a movement from Status to Contract.” 80 Commerce and the New Man “Take the view of the Royal Exchange in London, a place more venerable than many courts of justice. There the Jew, the Mahometan, and the Christian transact together, and the name of infidel is given to none but bankrupts.” Voltaire, Letters on the English, Letter VI 81 Le doux commerce “Commerce cures destructive prejudices; And it is almost a general rule that wherever there are gentle morals (mœures douces) there is commerce; and wherever there is commerce there are gentle morals.” Montesquieu, The Spirit of the Laws II, book XX, Pléiade 585 82 Tom Friedman’s Macdonald’s Rule: The Lexis and the Olive Tree 83 Is there a trade-off? But if the spirit of commerce unites nations, it does not in the same manner unite individuals. We see that in countries where the people move only by the spirit of commerce, they make a traffic of all the humane, all the moral virtues; the most trifling things, those which humanity would demand, are there done, or there given, only for money. 84 George Mason School of Law Contracts I Illegality: Perfectionism F.H. Buckley fbuckley@gmu.edu 85