Analyzing the External Environment of the Firm: Creating Competitive Advantages chapter 2 Copyright © 2014 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education . Creating the Environmentally Aware Organization 2-2 Exhibit 2.1 Inputs to Forecasting Environmental Scanning & Monitoring 2-3 Environmental scanning involves surveillance of a firm’s external environment Predicts environmental changes to come Detects changes already under way Allows firm to be proactive Environmental monitoring tracks evolution of environmental trends Hard trends – measurable facts/events Soft trends – estimated, probable events Competitive Intelligence 2-4 Competitive intelligence Helps firms define & understand their industry Identify rivals’ strengths & weaknesses Collect data on competitors Interpret intelligence data Helps firms avoid surprises Anticipate competitors’ moves Decrease response time Beware of the potential for unethical behavior while gathering intelligence Environmental Forecasting 2-5 Environmental forecasting predicts change Plausible projections about Direction of environmental change? Scope of environmental change? Speed of environmental change? Intensity of environmental change? Scenario analysis involves detailed assessments of the ways trends may affect an issue & development of alternative futures based on these assessments SWOT Analysis 2-6 SWOT analysis is a basic technique for analyzing firm and industry conditions Firm or internal conditions = Strengths & Weaknesses Where the firm excels or where it may be lacking Environmental or external conditions = Opportunities & Threats Developments that exist in the general environment Activities among firms competing for the same customers The General Environment 2-7 The general environment is composed of factors that are both hard to predict and difficult to control: Demographic Sociocultural Political/Legal Technological Economic Global The Competitive Environment 2-8 The competitive environment consists of factors in the task or industry environment that are particularly relevant to a firm’s strategy: Competitors (existing or potential) Including those considering entry into an entirely new industry Customers (or buyers) Suppliers Including those considering forward integration Porter’s Five-Forces Model of Industry Competition 2-9 Exhibit 2.4 Porter’s Five-Forces Model of Industry Competition Source: Adapted and reprinted with permission of The Free Press, a division of Simon & Schuster Adult Publishing Group, from Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors by Michael E. Porter. Copyright © 1980, 1998 by The Free Press. All rights reserved. How the Internet and Digital Technologies Affect Competitive Forces 2-10 Using Industry Analysis: A Few Caveats 2-11 Managers must not always avoid low profit industries – these can still yield high returns for players who pursue sound strategies Five forces analysis implicitly assumes a zerosum game – yet mutually beneficial relationships can still be established with buyers & suppliers Five forces analysis is essentially a static analysis – yet external forces can still change the structure of all industries See the value net Vertical dimension = suppliers & customers Horizontal dimension = substitutes & complements The Value Net 2-12 Exhibit 2.6 The Value Net Source: reprinted by permission of Harvard Business Review. Exhibit from “The Right Game: Use Game Theory to Shape Strategy,” by A. Brandenburger and B.J. Nalebuff, July-August 1995. Copyright © 1995 by the Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation. All rights reserved. Strategic Groups Within Industries 2-13 Two unassailable assumptions in industry analysis: No two firms are totally different No two firms are exactly the same Strategic groups – clusters of firms that share similar strategies: Breadth of product & geographic scope Price/quality Degree of vertical integration Type of distribution Strategic Groups Within Industries 2-14 Exhibit 2.7 The World Automobile Industry: Strategic Groups Note: Members of each strategic group are not exhaustive, only illustrative. Strategic Groups Within Industries 2-15 Strategic groups as an analytical tool Helps identify barriers to mobility that protect a group from attacks by other groups Helps identify groups whose competitive position may be marginal or tenuous Helps chart the future direction of firms’ strategies Helps to think through the implications of each industry trend for the strategic group as a whole