Lecture # 04a Demand and Supply (end) Lecturer: Martin Paredes In general, for the elasticity of “Y” with respect to “X”: Y,X= (% Y) = (Y/Y) = (% X) (X/X) dY . X dX Y 2 Price elasticity of supply: measures curvature of supply curve (% QS) = (QS/QS) = dQS . P (% P) (P/P) dP QS 3 Income elasticity of demand measures degree of shift of demand curve as income changes… (% QD) = (QD/QD) = dQD . I (% I) (I/I) dI QD 4 Cross price elasticity of demand measures degree of shift of demand curve when the price of another good changes (% QD) = (QD/QD) = dQD . P0 (% P0) (P0/P0) dP0 QD 5 Sentra Escort LS400 735i Sentra -6.528 0.454 0.000 0.000 Escort 0.078 -6.031 0.001 0.000 LS400 0.000 0.001 -3.085 0.032 735i 0.001 0.093 0.000 -3.515 Source: Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes, "Automobile Price in Market Equilibrium," Econometrica 63 (July 1995), 841-890. Example: The Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand for Cars 6 Elasticity Coke Pepsi Price -1.47 -1.55 elasticity of demand Cross-price 0.52 0.64 elasticity of demand Income 0.58 1.38 elasticity of demand Source: Gasmi, Laffont and Vuong, "Econometric Analysis of Collusive Behavior in a Soft Drink Market," Journal of Economics and Management Strategy 1 (Summer, 1992) 278-311. Example: Elasticities of Demand for Coke and Pepsi 7 1. Use Own Price Elasticities and Equilibrium Price and Quantity 2. Use Information on Past Shifts of Demand and Supply 8 1. Choose a general shape for functions Linear Constant elasticity 2. Estimate parameters of demand and supply using elasticity and equilibrium information We need information on ε, P* and Q* 9 Example: Linear Demand Curve • Suppose demand is linear: QD = a – bP • Then, elasticity is Q,P = -bP/Q • Suppose P = 0.7 Q = 70 • Notice that, if = -bP/Q • Then • …and Q,P = -0.55 b = -Q/P b = -(-0.55)(70)/(0.7) = 55 a = QD + bP = (70)+(55)(0.7) = 108.5 • Hence QD = 108.5 – 55P 10 Example: Constant Elasticity Demand Curve • Suppose demand is: QD = APε • Suppose again P = 0.7 • Notice that, if QD = APε • Then Q = 70 Q,P = -0.55 A = QP-ε A = (70)(0.7)0.55 = 57.53 • Hence QD = 57.53P-0.55 11 Example: Broilers in the U.S., 1990 Price • .7 0 70 Observed price and quantity Quantity 12 Example: Broilers in the U.S., 1990 Price • .7 Observed price and quantity Linear demand curve 0 70 Quantity 13 Example: Broilers in the U.S., 1990 Price • .7 Observed price and quantity Constant elasticity demand curve 0 70 Quantity 14 Example: Broilers in the U.S., 1990 Price • .7 Observed price and quantity Constant elasticity demand curve Linear demand curve 0 70 Quantity 15 1. A shift in the supply curve reveals the slope of the demand curve 2. A shift in the demand curve reveals the slope of the supply curve. 16 Example: Shift in Supply Curve • Old equilibrium point: • New equilibrium point: (P1,Q1) (P2,Q2) • Both equilibrium points would lie on the same (linear) demand curve. • Therefore, if QD = a - bP • b = dQ/dp = (Q2 – Q1)/(P2 – P1) • a = Q1 - bP1 17 Example: Identifying demand by a shift in supply Price Supply Market Demand 0 Quantity 18 Example: Identifying demand by a shift in supply Price New Supply Old Supply Market Demand 0 Quantity 19 Example: Identifying demand by a shift in supply Price New Supply Old Supply • P2 P1 • Market Demand 0 Q2 Q1 Quantity 20 This technique only works if the curve we want to estimate stays constant. Example: Shift in Supply Curve • We require that the demand curve does not shift 21 Price Supply Demand 0 Quantity 22 Price New Supply Old Supply Old Demand New Demand 0 Quantity 23 Price New Supply • • P2 P1 Old Supply Old Demand New Demand 0 Q 2 = Q1 Quantity 24 1. Example of a simple micro model of supply and demand (two equations and an equilibrium condition) 2. Elasticity as a way of characterizing demand and supply 3. Factors that determined elasticity 4. Estimating demand and supply a. From own price elasticity and equilibrium price and quantity b. From information on past shifts, assuming that only a single curve shifts at a time. 25