African Export-Import Bank DEVELOPING INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS AND SUPPLY CHAINS TO SUPPORT DIVERSIFICATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF EXPORTS IN AFRICA COMPOSITE REPORT Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris (R.Kaplinsky@open.ac.uk; mike.morris@uct.ac.za) October 2014 Not for circulation without author permission PREFATORY COMMENTS This Composite Report has been prepared for the African Export-Import Bank with the aim of assisting African countries to create sustainable industrial diversification, promote economic development and facilitate exports. It focuses on three key drivers which can play a meaningful role in achieving these aims. These drivers are the expansion of industrial clusters, the development of local supply chains, and beneficial insertion into global value chains. The Composite Report consists of three self-standing documents of varying length. These are: A concise Plan for Action derived from the analysis and policy issues discussed in the main report, which can be used by policy makers as an intervention tool. A Summary Report setting out the structure of the principal argument in the main report, with reference to evidence where appropriate, which can be used as a relatively rapid introduction to the issues at stake. A detailed and substantial Main Report containing analysis, evidence to substantiate the argument, and consequent policy recommendations, which can be used by policy makers as the substantial underpinning of their approach to industrial diversification and export promotion. These three documents are mutually reinforcing. However they are designed to be read and used independently, although users will obviously benefit from reading and digesting all three documents. 2 African Export-Import Bank Developing Industrial Clusters And Supply Chains To Support Diversification And Sustainable Development of Exports in Africa A PLAN FOR ACTION Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris (R.Kaplinsky@open.ac.uk; mike.morris@uct.ac.za) October 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction .......................................................................................... ………… ........ 1 Supporting the Growth of Exports by Industrial Clusters ................................... ........ 2 Supporting the Growth of Supply Chains ........................................................... ........ 7 Supporting the Growth of Global Value Chains ................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. List of Tables Table 1: An Action Plan for Autonomously Emerging Clusters ............................................................... 4 Table 2: An Action Plan for Special Economic Zones ............................................................................. 6 Table 3: An Action Plan for Supporting Supply Chain Development .................................................... 10 Table 4: An Action Plan for Supporting Value Chain Development ........ Error! Bookmark not defined. List of Boxes Box 1: A Static Survivalist Cluster - The Eastland’s Garment Cluster, Nairobi ....................................... 2 Box 2: A Dynamic Cluster - Otigba Computer Hardware Village (OCV), Lagos ..................................... 3 Box 3: Economic Bottom Line - Supply Chain Development in South Africa .......................................... 8 Box 4: Social Bottom Line – Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) in Ghana ...................................... 8 Box 5: Environmental Bottom Line – Greening Supply Chains in Ghana ............................................... 9 Box 6: EU and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements....................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Box 7: The Apple iPhone 4 Vertically Specialised Value Chain .............. Error! Bookmark not defined. Box 8: The Cocoa Additive Value Chain ................................................. Error! Bookmark not defined. ii INTRODUCTION This Report addresses three drivers which can facilitate the expansion of Africa’s exports and which can provide the basis for rapid and sustainable growth. The three drivers are an expansion of industrial clusters, the consolidation and development of supply chains, and gainful insertion into Global Value Chains (GVCs). In each of these areas, the Report considers global developments which Africa can learn from, documents Africa’s own performance and identifies a series of policy measures which will allow African economies to take advantage of the opportunities offered by rapid export growth. This detailed discussion provides much food for thought for African policymakers in both the public and private sectors as well as for pan-continental agencies such as the Export-Import Bank. However, whilst providing a road-map for medium and longterm action, there is a danger that the degree of detail embodied in this Report will deflect attention from short-term steps which can be taken to set the process of structural change in motion. As the Chinese philosopher Laozi observed, even the longest journey begins with the first step. These “Action Steps” focus on each of the three drivers and in the process also consider the implications for greater intra-regional trade and sectoral prioritisation. 1 SUPPORTING THE GROWTH OF EXPORTS BY INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS Both global and African experience show that clusters are widely observed as a natural process, arising from the external economies associated with geographical clustering. Many clusters in Africa are static and survivalist in nature (see Box 1). Box 1: A Static Survivalist Cluster - The Eastland’s Garment Cluster, Nairobi The Eastlands garment manufacturing cluster in Kenya during the 1990s was located in two market areas around Nairobi. The buildings housing them were not suitable for garment production due to poor lighting, unstable power supply and lack of business services required by the cluster. The cluster was mainly made up of small-scale producers that produced garments for the local market. Collective action and collective efficiency were not strong features in the Kenya’s garment cluster. Horizontal bilateral linkages (between two like firms) were mainly limited to the lending and borrowing of basic tools and no horizontal multilateral linkages (between groups of like firms) existed. Neither cluster had a site association or a sectoral association. The weak linkages in the cluster did not appear to result in joint action. The clusters appeared to be characterized by a lack of trust, with producers complaining that as soon as they came up with a new design their competitors would steal their design. These two Nairobi garment markets are typical examples of survivalist clusters, serving low income local markets and generally engaged in “repair” (tailoring) rather than production. They have suffered as much from external diseconomies (copying of designs) as benefitting from external economies (proximity of suppliers and retailers). Product development was limited, cooperation was virtually absent and the clusters struggled to compete with imports, either of new or second hand clothes. The clusters also failed to form links with the large exporting firms operating in the export processing zones. However there is also extensive experience in both global and African economies of successful and dynamic cluster development (see the example in Box 2). The dynamic clusters are associated with an extension of their sales from the immediate locality to national, regional and extra-African markets. They are also characterised by a range of external economies, particularly with regard to skills, the clustering of suppliers which provides for specialisation amongst firms, being a magnet for buyers, developing trust to support collective action and by the capacity to upgrade their operations. Numerous types of institutional support also accompany dynamic cluster development. A major obstacle to cluster development is poor infrastructure, particularly transport, water, power and secure accommodation. 2 Box 2: A Dynamic Cluster - Otigba Computer Hardware Village (OCV), Lagos The OCV began in the early 1990s with a few firms concentrated on two streets, specialising in computer, printer, and office equipment sales and repair. The initial activities - computer cloning, assembly, and repair - were low risk activities. The formation of the cluster was made possible due to the convergence of two simultaneously occurring phenomena: the growth in demand for computer technology in Nigeria and neighbouring countries, and the high unemployment rates for college graduates with degrees in computer science, computer engineering, and business administration. The cluster benefits from the high demand of low priced, cloned computers systems. This demand pattern was also evidenced in other ECOWAS countries, providing the scope for export expansion and the solidification of OCV as a hub for low price computer systems tailored to the regional market. By 2005, the cluster had significantly upgraded its assembly, trade, and production activities, consisting of over 2,000 self-starting, self-sustaining enterprises, directly employing approximately 15,000-20,000 people, with additional indirect employment numbered in the thousands. Profitability grew from 39.5% in 1999 to 44.4% in 2004, while exports grew from 24.5% to 39% of sales. External Economies and Specialisation The cluster attracted new entrants, as well as buyers and traders from other West African countries, facilitating the transfer of knowledge across borders. Cooperation amongst cluster firms resulted in both intra, and inter, firm learning. The wide variety of components and services enabled easy sourcing for assembly, cloning, and repair, and created a highly competitive environment. Firms have moved onto higher-value added activities (locally branded computer or component production) through mastering new capabilities - standardisation, design, marketing, and quality control. Skills have been enhanced through the extensive use of apprenticeship programmes. Horizontal and Vertical Linkages There has been continual growth in the level of cooperation between firms with evidence of substantial horizontal linkages. This is exhibited in increased use of industrial associations (for information exchange, training, quality regulations, and joint marketing schemes), inter-firm credit facilities to allow mutual supply of stock, joint sourcing and warehousing, marketing of technical support and consultation both within and outside the cluster. Vertical linkages have taken the form of establishing locally branded IT companies (Omtek and Zinox Computers) tailored to the local environment, as well as increasing collaboration within the cluster between input suppliers and assemblers/producers. Relationships with foreign firms in China, Malaysia, and Dubai have increased the scale of information and technology transfer, improving quality and prospects for innovative activity. The main challenge facing the OCV is the absence of national government support through a cluster support programme. 3 For the purposes of developing a policy informed action plan (Table 1 and 2) to facilitate dynamic cluster activity, two types of clusters can be identified: 1. Clusters emerging “naturally” through autonomous spontaneous processes. 2. Clusters established ab initio as a result of policy interventions - e.g. Chinese Special Economic Zones (SEZs), many of which are in a nascent form. There are two types of Chinese zones – those supported directly through aid packages from the Chinese government, and those involving private sector firms. Thus far both almost entirely consist of Chinese firms. Table 1: An Action Plan for Autonomously Emerging Clusters Policy Directive Establish a cluster development unit Generate an inventory of clusters Identify possible sectors for cluster specialisation Rationale Cluster development will require specialised support programmes and the political will to resist pressure exerted by special interest groups. Autonomously developing clusters are often “below the radar”. They involve both formal and informal sector enterprises involved in productive sector activity, and extend beyond a narrow focus on the manufacturing sector. Government should consider the potential comparative advantage of those sectors involving clusters in relation to the economy’s endowments Key Implementation Activity Establish a dedicated cluster support programme with a mandate across all sectors. Provide the programme with its own budget to give it influence in establishing collaboration with individual line ministries. The institutional location in government of the unit and programme should be determined by particular country circumstances. Create an inventory of all productive sector clusters so that government and the private sector has a data base to inform its actions. Ensure it covers clusters both within sectors as well as crossing between sectors so that cooperation between sector associations and sector directorates can be enlisted. Include dynamic and survivalist clusters. Low and middle income economies will have greater potential in labour intensive apparel, footwear, furniture and tourist sectors. Resource-endowed economies in agroprocessing, timber and leather sectors. Middle income economies with more developed industrial sectors may want to prioritise machinery, assembly and producer services sectors. 4 Policy Directive Strategically focus on dynamic clusters Assist dynamic clusters find appropriate end markets Prioritise clusters for action Rationale Key Implementation Activity Not all clusters are dynamic in nature, and the evidence suggests static clusters either are survivalist or ‘die’. Direct scarce resources to dynamic clusters. Dynamic clusters are associated with end markets which help firms upgrade and grow. Selling into national markets is better than local markets, but exporting to regional markets helps firms learn as a step to penetrating global export markets. Focus on dynamic clusters in exporting to global and regional markets. Focus resources on upgrading firms within dynamic clusters, in particular on skills development and logistics. Support clusters selling into regional and global value chains to upgrade their firm competitiveness. Direct policy support at dynamic clusters as well as those which serve wider markets. There is no scientific method for determining which clusters are most suitable for policy prioritisation. Take account of the nature of entry barriers or preferential entry incentives in external markets. Accept there are limits to the number of clusters receiving support. Base prioritisation on the existing institutional capacity to provide appropriate support. Resist pressures to support clusters exerted by regional and industry lobbies since not all clusters can be supported. Identify key external economies and infrastructure bottlenecks Typically, autonomously developing clusters will benefit from a range of external economies which explain their dynamism. Identify the constraints to collective action and act on them Clusters are strengthened when their firms engage in joint collective action (e.g. purchasing and marketing). These require developing close trust relations between cluster members. External economies supporting the cluster development will require specialised support, such as in the deepening of skills and better links to external markets. By their nature, these clusters will also face infrastructural constraints, such as with regard to power, water and accommodation. These collective actions often require external institutional support from both the public and private sector to ensure they are successful. Be aware that the dynamism of clusters may also be inhibited by institutions which, however well-meaning, act to limit beneficial collective action. 5 Policy Directive Strengthen key external economies to overcome infrastructure constraints and promote trust and collective action Actions are dynamic and time-limited Rationale Key Implementation Activity There is no template which governments and other actors can use and apply across all sectors, all economies and over time. Discrete, decisive, well proportioned, transparent, actions are required to address these issues. Attune actions appropriately to the context of cluster development. Support for clusters must tread a careful path between being long enough to support structural change and not being too long to dull entrepreneurial spirit. There is no formula for an optimal time period. Distinguish between actions relevant to all clusters and those only relevant to particular sectoral clusters, and hence be mindful of the dangers of bowing to the pressure from special interest groups. The time period will be governed by the context, level of cluster development, sector, and particular policy interventions proposed. Table 2: An Action Plan for Special Economic Zones Policy Directive Rationale Key Implementation Activity Strategic policy directed at the Chinese government aid packages The official SEZs are an integral component of Chinese aid packages in selected countries with the objective of assisting their SOEs with inputs from Chinese firms. Negotiate bi-lateral arrangements to ensure a greater and deepening presence of domestic firms in their supply chains within these SEZs. Deal directly with Chinese lead firms over privately developed industrial estates (PIEs) These PIEs typically grow organically from a “first comer” industrialist which has established a successful enterprise and is looking to procure supplies locally. Pressure these lead Chinese private firms to facilitate the entry of local supplier firms into these estates and into their own supply chains. 6 SUPPORTING THE GROWTH OF SUPPLY CHAINS It is abundantly clear from both global and African experience that successful insertion into the global economy requires an efficient system of firms and supporting institutions. Hence the widespread recognition that supply chain linkages are critical to export competitiveness. A supply chain focus also serves development objectives since they determine what sorts of producers (for example, small or large) are incorporated in the chain, what impacts production has on the environment, and how widely the benefits of production are spread. A critical development in contemporary corporate strategy is that lead firms are increasingly anxious to outsource activities in which they do not possess a distinctive core competence. However, to maintain their own competitiveness they require their supply chains to be efficient. Pressure from buyers and civil society organisations also requires lead firms ensuring their chains meet the standards demanded in final markets. This generally involves a “chain of custody” as raw materials and intermediates move along the chain. Here, again, the lead firms require reliable supply chains. Lead firms therefore have a vested interest in supply chain development, providing much scope for win-win collaboration with policymakers and suppliers. By their nature, supply chains are derived from the operations of lead firms and this provides a natural focal point for achieving what has come to be called “Triple Bottom Line” development. This consists of: Promoting systemic competitiveness for economic gain (“the economic bottom line”). Underwriting the social licence to operate (the “social bottom line”). Reinforcing greening activities (the “environmental bottom line”). An African example of each form of these supply chains (“economic”, “social”, and “environmental”) is shown in Boxes 3, 4, and 5 respectively. 7 Box 3: Economic Bottom Line - Supply Chain Development in South Africa In 1998 the local component suppliers were faced with the need to rapidly become internationally competitive. Utilising a government matching grant support scheme to provide 65% funding, a learning network was established by a local business services firm to assist local component suppliers to benchmark themselves and upgrade their capabilities against international standards. By the early 2000s this network had matured into a national organisation – the South African Automotive Benchmarking Club (SAABC) – with membership from most of the major lead assembler firms and a substantial sample of their component suppliers. Central to the SAABC was a benchmarking model of key competitiveness drivers derived from the lead assemblers technical standards within the automotive industry. These centred on measuring supplier firm performance in terms of cost control, quality, lead times, operational flexibility, human resources and innovation capacity. The lead assemblers regarded the Club’s activities as raising the performance levels of their suppliers and as a general form of supply chain development. This was born out by the substantial improvement in performance standards between 19989 and 2014. Supplier firms also substantially improved their performance compared to internationally benchmarked standards, and in many instances they were approaching the international frontier. Eventually the SAABC ceased to depend on government funding and became financially self sustaining. Box 4: Social Bottom Line – Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) in Ghana In 2002, the Ghana Mining Commission required all mining corporations to incorporate a sustainable community development programme within their CSR models. Newmont Ghana Gold designed its CSR programme to proactively challenge the assumption that mining in Africa was an inherently enclave activity. Their strategy was implemented through publicprivate partnerships with local government institutions and NGOs. The programmes included projects to establish community forums, write individual community responsibility agreements, promote agro-processing subsectors, and upgrade health facilities. The most significant project - the 2006 Ahafo Linkages Programme, in partnership with the International Finance Corporation - was a three year plan to increase local content in the Newmont supply chain. Beginning from a low base, the number of local content transactions was increased by 395%, and the number of local SMMEs involved by 400%. Twenty two SMMEs were taken through a managerial mentoring programme, and 282 new jobs (of which 181 were skilled jobs) were created. The value of contracts in the CSR programme grew from $1.7m to $4.7m. Moreover the programme was designed to generate backward supply chain linkages into the local economy. In Ahafo, there are roughly 300 enterprises registered under the mining sector. Local companies, mostly SMMEs, play a large role in the provision of goods and services to the 3 rd and 4th tiers of the supply chain. 8 Box 5: Environmental Bottom Line – Greening Supply Chains in Ghana In response to the public criticism and pressure from shareholders to become more environmentally friendly, both Travis Perkins (Britain’s number one supplier of building and construction materials) and one of its biggest suppliers (Timbnet Silverman) began seeking solutions to green their supply chain. They jointly pressured Samartex Timber and Plywood, a company with a long history in the Ghanaian timber industry, to undergo a transformation of their timber sourcing practices in Ghana in return for an increase in the price and quantity of wood demanded by Timbnet Silverman. In 2004, Samartex signed an agreement with the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) to become the first certified sustainable timber supplier under the Global Forest and Trade Network (GFTN). Since Samartex’s successful certification, eight other timber suppliers in Ghana have undergone audits for certification. GFTN, with the help of USAID and the UK DfID, coordinated and funded technical assistance and expertise required for the greening of Samartex’s supply network. Samartex greatly reduced the amount of damage caused by poor timber felling and hauling practices, and provided new roads and hauling equipment to reduce the environmental impact of transporting timber. In addition, the company developed CSR agreements and established a joint forum with local communities intended to give rise to sustainable development solutions as well as educate the locals about sustainable forestry practices. The fact that supply chains are driven by lead firms provides a clear and identifiable lever for government policy. But whilst the role of these lead firms is critical in supply chain development (involving a “top-down approach” to systemic competitiveness), there is simultaneously also an important role for governments and other agencies working directly with suppliers (a “bottom-up” approach) to improve supplier efficiency. This distinction between top-down and bottom-up supply chain development provides an important architecture for a supply chain development action plan (Table 3). 9 Table 3: An Action Plan for Supporting Supply Chain Development Policy Directive Identify and engage with key lead firms Assist firms in assembling a consortium of firms in their supply chains Promoting bottom-up supply chain efficiency Certification to meet the social and environment bottom line Rationale Key Implementation Activity In most African economies there are a limited number of export sectors in which lead firms either play, or have the potential to play a critical role in supply chain efficiency. A focus on major export products, or significant exporting sectors, will identify the appropriate lead firms. Governments need to initiate strategic discussions with these lead firms to support, and if necessary, initiate supply chain development. Lead firms are generally best able to identify, and engage with, their first-tier suppliers and customers. But this meets only a part of the agenda to achieve systemic competitiveness. Government can help to assemble a consortium of supply chain partners. International experience shows governments have a role to play in facilitating supply chain efficiency, in part through incentives schemes to facilitate the growth of Business Services firms promoting supply chain development Meeting the variety of supply chain standards imposed on suppliers (social, environmental, health etc.) requires being able to satisfy certification codes. Certification is costly and local suppliers struggle to muster the funds and capabilities to pass these tests. Governments should pressure lead firms who are reluctant to promote supply chain development programmes. This may involve government agencies, and institutions in the National System of Innovation (such as research centres and universities). Government or international agencies should provide matching grant financing for upgrading programmes to assist local suppliers meet the international competitiveness standards of the lead firms. To ensure long term sustainability support financing should be time-bound to create a market-driven bottom-up supply chain development programme. Government should reduce costs by establishing centralised local certification agencies. Government should provide one-off loans or grant subsidy funding to help firms fulfil the various certification processes. 10 SUPPORTING THE GROWTH OF GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS Global Value Chains (GVCs) are the mechanism through which supply chains enter external markets. Increasingly, exports are not marketed as arms-length and impersonal sales, but involve close links between producers in the exporting country and buyers in the importing country. The nature of these exchange relationships affects key economic variables which determine the nature, rate and consequences of export growth as well as the capacity of firms in the supply chain to upgrade their operations in a manner which delivers sustainable growth. In turn, the relationships between producers and buyers will largely be determined by the character of the markets in which exports are sold. For example, northern markets are generally very standards-intensive posing demands on supply chain performance, whereas regional and southern markets generally tend to be less demanding (See Box 6) Box 6: EU and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements Predominantly driven by environmental concerns, and driven by both northern governments and northern civil society organisations, buyers in Europe have increasingly demanded that African timber producers meet a series of environmental standards. On the other hand, civil society organisations in China, as well as the Chinese government have been less demanding with regard to such standards in their sourcing patterns. EU and Chinese (CN) Buyers’ Requirements International Regulations and Standards (1 = not important; 5 = very important) EU Formaldehyde emissions 5 CN ISO standards 4 3 Phytosanitary requirements 2 1 GPP 0 Sustainability certification requirements Product testing requirements Building codes Legality certification requirements 11 In resource intensive and low income economies (both attributes are common to African economies) there is also a significant difference in value chains which affects exports, patterns of economic diversification, and policy processes. The key distinction here is between chains which involve ‘vertical specialisation’ and those which are essentially ‘additive” in nature. Vertically specialised value chains involve the fragmentation and slicing up of production into a myriad of sub-processes which can be undertaken in parallel. Since there is little processing loss in production and no degradation of inputs, there is no intrinsic need for the various stages to be geographically co-located and they lend themselves ideally to global dispersion. The more complex and extended the chain – that is, the greater the number of stages in value addition - the more likely it will be vertically specialised. In general this occurs in the manufacturing sector where final products are assembled using a variety of components. The example of the Apple iPhone 4 reflects a production chain in which parts are sourced from all over the world, are assembled under Apple’s design in China and then branded and marketed in the US and other final markets (See Box 7). Additive value chains involve a process of sequentially adding value to each stage of the chain, rather than in parallel. Additive GVCs tend to characterise the resource sector where the primary input into the final conversion process makes up a large proportion of total value of the final product, where the primary input may be varied as a result of the specific characteristics of the resource, and where processing losses may form an important component of overall product value. A typical example of an additive chain is the production and processing of cocoa into chocolate (See Box 8). This involves a series of sequential stages, which are difficult to execute in parallel. Thus whilst a supply chain policy programme engages with lead firms in the African exporting economy, a policy promoting GVCs engages with lead firms and buyers in external economies, as well as with lead firms in the regional and domestic economy. Such policies will vary depending on the different standards being required, as well as whether they are directed at vertically specialised or additive value chains. These are reflected in the Action Plan for Supporting Value Chain Development (Table 4). 12 Box 7: The Apple iPhone 4 Vertically Specialised Value Chain Box 8: The Cocoa Additive Value Chain 13 Table 4: An Action Plan for Supporting Value Chain Development Policy Directive Rationale Assess the market potential in key export sectors, particularly in regional markets This is a routine function of government and quasigovernment agencies in most African economies. For historical reasons most African economies trade links are focused on northern markets. Markets should be identified in key export sectors. Different export markets will have different characteristics with respect to quality, price and standards. Government can assist local producers seeking to export, especially small and medium sized firms, to search and analyse these market characteristics. Help exporters to assess the character of demand in different markets Meeting standards required in different export markets Assisting small producers to meet GVC standards Lead firms ensure standards compliance (for example with regard to ISO standards) by utilising externally based independent business services providers to monitor local producers. The transaction costs involved in working with small scale and informal producers may lead firms to adopt “excluding” supply chain upgrading policies in favour of large domestic firms or TNC subsidiaries, with adverse developmental results. Key Implementation Activity Switch some of the market-intelligence towards regional African markets and markets in other emerging economies. Regional African markets are likely to have less demanding standards than northern markets, and determining this should be a component of market intelligence activities. Develop locally based independent business service providers Provide some form of temporary incentive or direct support to local business service providers, depending on the sector and the level of economic diversification in the exporting economy. Government agencies have an important role to play in assisting smaller scale producers to comply with global standards. Subsidise compliance costs since standards monitoring firms seldom modulate their charges by firm size. Policy should aid the development of a local diverse business services sector. 14 Policy Directive Focus on policies specific to positioning in vertically specialised value chains Focus on policies specific to strengthening additive value chains Rationale Key Implementation Activity Specialisation refers more to capabilities and less to sectors and products. Policies which specifically address the promotion of vertically specialised GVCs, particularly in the short run, relate primarily to trade policy and building of capabilities. Remove quotas and tariffs on imports, remove “at the border” bureaucracy and obstacles which hinder trade, introduce incentives to promote exports, and ensure the smooth functioning of trade infrastructure. The strategic focus is on building backward, forward and horizontal linkages, sometimes in partnership with international agencies or lead firms, in order to deepen value added in the sector. Institutionalise local content policies. Assist firms with upgrading activities to develop firm level knowledge based capabilities in manufacturing and services. Build infrastructure specifically to meet the needs of the resource sector. Create marketing institutions to support domestic processing. Consider export taxes to force local value addition Selective use of import taxes to promote local content and backward linkages Build industrial zones to facilitate linkages between lead firms and local manufacturers. 15 African Export-Import Bank How Can Africa Develop Industrial Clusters and Supply Chains to Support Diversification and Sustainable Development of Exports1 SUMMARY REPORT Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris (R.Kaplinsky@open.ac.uk; mike.morris@uct.ac.za) October 2014 This is a summary of the Main Report for the Afreximbank – Kaplinsky, R. and M. Morris, (October 2014), Developing Industrial clusters and supply chains to support diversification and sustainable development of exports in Africa. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Globalisation and participation in global markets ............................................. 1 Africa’s participation in global markets ............................................................. 2 Africa’s experience with industrial clusters ....................................................... 4 Building supply chains in Africa...................................................................... 11 Global value chain dynamics as exporters enter global markets ................... 19 African examples of different types of value chain upgrading ........................ 21 Conclusion ..................................................................................................... 29 List of Tables and Figures Table 1: Africa’s Experience with 25 Clusters ........................................................................... 6 Table 2: China’s Official Planned African SEZs ...................................................................... 10 Table 3: Competitiveness improvements of South African auto components cluster ............. 13 Figure 1: The destination of Africa’s exports (2000-2012) ........................................................ 3 ii GLOBALISATION AND PARTICIPATION IN GLOBAL MARKETS Productivity growth and economic diversification are the source of long term economic development. They are aided by specialisation and the reaping of scale economies. In turn, specialisation and scale economies are bounded by the extent of the market. Export expansion offers the possibility of supporting sustained economic and employment growth by aiding the reaping of scale economies, the development of specialised capabilities and the learning required to build dynamic capabilities. Hence by offering access to unlimited markets, globalisation provides the opportunities for producers, especially in relatively small and undifferentiated African economies, to enter a trajectory of profitability, upgrading and productivity growth. However, participating in global markets does not necessarily provide these benefits. These depend on how producers enter global markets – which markets they participate in and what role they play in a global division of labour. Unless the exporting firms and economies add value in production – and in an increasingly competitive economy this requires the development of dynamic capabilities – it will always be subject to the erosion of benefits and to the dangers of immiserising growth (that is, increasing economic activity with reducing incomes). Beneficial insertion into global markets needs to be guided both by an economy’s resource endowments and by the character of the global markets. It is thus both a function of supply and demand. On the supply side firms that cluster in close proximity benefit from external economies and often cooperate with each other to develop systemic efficiency. In many cases clusters play leading roles in global export markets. Clustering is particularly beneficial for SMEs, whose problems are not so much that they are small, but that they are isolated. Supply capabilities in competitive markets also necessarily have to ensure that competitiveness and dynamism are embedded throughout the supply chain rather than in individual 1 firms. International experience shows that dynamic supply capabilities are enhanced by the development of clusters and supply chain upgrading. But on their own supply capabilities do not guarantee beneficial insertion in, and reward from, global markets. This is why the demand side, meeting the requirements and adjusting to the driving force of global markets, is so important. This requires being inserted into global value chains (GVC) in a manner which ensures firm profitability, operational upgrading, and the building of dynamic capabilities in order to compete sustainably in a rapidly changing global economy. AFRICA’S PARTICIPATION IN GLOBAL MARKETS The 1980s were a period of economic stagnation – and in many cases economic reversal – in Africa. The growth rate remained low during the 1990s, but since 2000 Africa has become one of the most rapidly growing regions in the global economy, growing at a compound rate of 5.3% p.a. It is not surprising that phrases such as “Africa Rising” and “the African lion” have gained widespread currency. Africa’s current economic growth is impressive but it is built on weak foundations, and its share of global GDP and global trade (2.7% and 3.7% respectively in 2012) is small. Africa’s share of global manufactures trade (0.9% in 2012) is not just particularly low but has barely changed since 2000. These proportions contrast sharply with Africa’s existing share of global population (15.5% in 2013) and particularly with its projected share of global population in 2030 (19.2%). These low trade shares provide plenty of potential to increase exports and for Africa to benefit from the scale economies and learning arising from successful participation in global markets. Despite its growing share of global exports, increasingly concentrated in the resource sector, Africa’s net export performance has deteriorated. Imports have grown more rapidly than exports, so that the continent’s net export performance is less impressive than its gross export performance. Africa’s current account trade balance expanded from a deficit of 2% of GDP in 2001 2 to 7% in 2013, despite the surge in commodity exports and the boom in commodity prices. This arises from the pattern of Africa’s external trade, both in terms of structure of exports and export destinations. Between 2000 and 2010, energy and hard commodities export shares increased from 50% to 58% and from 8% to 10% respectively, while the share of manufactures decreased from 24% to 19%. Simultaneously there was a remarkable shift in the destination of Arica’s exports - between 2000 and 2012 the share of African exports directed to China jumped from 4% to 18%, whilst the share of exports to the EU and US dropped substantially from 47% to 37% and 19% to 11% respectively (Figure 1). Figure 1: The destination of Africa’s exports (2000-2012) Source: UN Trade Statistics, accessed through WITS <http://wits.worldbank.org>, accessed on 26th January 2014 Arica’s performance since 2000 must be set in the context of key developments in the global economy. Four changes are especially relevant to Africa’s future trade prospects – trade preferences; the shift in global growth poles to Asia (China and India); the changing demand structure in low and middle income export markets; and the sustained strength of commodity prices. In the context of its resource endowments these changes impact on Africa’s ability to support export development in the future. Africa’s low share of global trade provides the potential for substantial export growth, particularly to rapidly growing low and middle income economies such as China and India. 3 These varied export opportunities arise in a context of attractive trade preferences offered to Africa in the US, the EU and China. Africa’s largely untapped resource endowment provides the scope for economic diversification and export growth through the development of linkages into and out of the resource sector. But without economic diversification and the development of dynamic capabilities, export expansion in itself is unlikely to generate sustained economic growth. Moreover, even where resource rents are significant, it will be difficult to sustain these rents in a world of intense global competition without process and product innovation. Economic diversification is of considerable policy significance since over the past decade Africa has “retreated” into a more intense structure of resource dependence. Although resource dependence is less problematic than in previous decades (since resource prices are likely to be robust in the midterm), commodity prices are volatile and this creates problems for macroeconomic management. Moreover, mining/metals and oil/gas tend to be very capital intensive sectors and without economic diversification the benefits of resource abundance do not spread widely through the economy. Economic diversification through export growth simultaneously provides a major opportunity and a challenge for African economies. To be successful it requires not just the ability to enhance production capabilities (including through exploiting the benefits of cluster dynamics and supply chain linkages), but also to insert appropriately in global value chains and global markets. AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS International experience shows that industrial clusters have often played a prominent role in global markets. In many cases they involve a range of firm sizes, including SMEs. These clusters are evidenced in both high income and low income economies. They arise because of the existence of external economies – for example, skill development, labour spillovers, proximity of buyers and sellers and the development of specialised service provides. When firms in a cluster join together to achieve common ends, they benefit 4 from what has come to be called “collective efficiency”. This has proven to be especially valuable for SMEs whose problems are not just that they are small, but that they are isolated. Industrial clusters also play a very prominent role in low and middle income developing economies. Unlike clusters in the developed economies, these developing country clusters are often “survivalist” showing little sign of dynamism. On the other hand, there are many examples of successful and dynamic exporting industrial clusters in developing economies. Industrial clusters are widely observed throughout Africa, but are poorly analysed and documented. A review of 25 African clusters addressed the association between cluster dynamism and cluster characteristics (Table 1). This showed that those selling into export markets tend to be more dynamic and to be more deeply involved in upgrading. Moreover a number of detailed case-studies of clusters in Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa, documented in the main report and spanning the furniture, metalworking, clothing and auto repair sectors shows how varied cluster dynamics are2. It is important to understand these dynamics if policy is to be effectively tailored to support gainful participation in global markets. Examples of “survivalist” clusters in Africa are numerous. These are clusters that benefit from some external economies due to the benefits of proximity, but have failed to capitalise on those benefits to improve firm performance or move to higher value added activities. For example, firms serving the domestic market in the Domiatt Furniture Cluster in Egypt benefit from the concentration of labour supply, the close proximity of suppliers and specialised service providers, and the ability to draw customers to the cluster. However these artisan workshops have failed to move into higher value added activities because they are trapped by an informal credit scheme that limits choices of workshop owners with regard to both raw material supply and product differentiation. In this case, lack of institutional support, in the form of 2 See Section 3.6 in main report for detailed discussion of the various case studies discussing examples of these different kinds of African clusters. 5 increased access for SMMEs to formal credit markets, has prevented the cluster from moving into higher value added products for new end markets. There are also a number of dynamic clusters in African economies, and these are documented in the main report through various case studies. A good example is the Domiatt cluster serving the export market. This has demonstrated great evidence of dynamism, with exports growing from $30 million in 2002 to $300 million in 2009. Cluster firms selling to high-end markets in America and Europe have benefited from a close relationship with their buyers. The exporters were required to maintain a higher learning curve in order to remain competitive on a global level. This included learning new skills and techniques; obtaining higher quality raw materials; upgrading machinery and equipment; meeting stringent quality, safety, and environmental standards; and participating in design activities. Table 5: Africa’s Experience with 25 Clusters Cluster End Market Domiatt Local, Furniture National Evidence of Dynamism None Egypt International Ethiopia External Labour supply, availability of Marketing suppliers, customer attraction, Learning specialised service providers Logistics Merkato Local, Labour supply, availability of Logistics Leather National None Shiro Meda Local, None Handloom National Suame Local Upgrading Suame Local, None Vehicle Regional Government, suppliers, customer attraction, Cluster/sectoral, specialised service providers External Labour supply, availability of None External None Government Learning Government, suppliers, customer attraction Metalwork Ghana Cluster/sectoral Upgrading Footwear Kenya Support None Growth, (Export) Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer attraction Repair Furniture Institutional specialised service providers Furniture Gikomba Labour supply, availability of Action Forms of suppliers, customer attraction, (Domestic) Domiatt External Economies Collective Local None Availability of suppliers, customer attraction, Cluster/sectoral, specialised service providers External Labour supply, availability of None None suppliers, specialised service providers 6 Ngong Local Growth Furniture Kibuye Labour supply, availability of None None Logistics Cluster/sectoral None None Availability of suppliers, Marketing Government, customer attraction , Learning Cluster/sectoral Availability of suppliers, Learning Cluster/sectoral, suppliers Local None Furniture Labour supply, availability of suppliers, specialised service providers Eastland Local None Garment Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer attraction, specialised service providers Kamukunji Local None Metalwork Ziwani Local Upgrading Vehicle customer attraction Lake Local, Growth, Availability of suppliers, Logistics, Government, Victoria National, Upgrading customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, Nile Perch International Lake International Naivasha specialised service providers Labour supply, availability of Marketing Government, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, specialised service providers Logistics External Cluster/sectoral Nigeria Otigba National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of Marketing Computer Regional, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Hardware International specialised service providers Logistics Nnewi National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of Logistics Auto Parts Regional Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Cluster/sectoral, External specialised service providers Textile & Mauritius External Growth, Cut Flower International Clothing Cape National Clothing & Growth, Labour supply, availability of Marketing Government, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, specialised service providers Logistics External Growth, Labour supply, availability of Logistics Government, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, Textile KZN specialised service providers National Clothing & External Growth, Labour supply, availability of Logistics Government, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, Textile South Africa External specialised service providers External Durban National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of Marketing Government, Automotive International Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, specialised service providers Logistics External South Local, Growth, Labour supply, availability of Marketing Government, African National, Upgrading suppliers, customer attraction Learning External Wine International Mwenge Local, Growth customer attraction, Learning Government, Handcrafts National, specialised service providers Marketing Cluster/sectoral customer attraction, Learning Government, specialised service providers Marketing Cluster/sectoral Tanzania Regional Gerezani Local, Metalworks National None 7 Keko Local, Furniture Regional Growth Labour supply, availability of Learning suppliers, customer attraction, Marketing Cluster/sectoral Uganda specialised service providers Fish Local, Growth, Availability of suppliers, Logistics Government, Processing National, Upgrading customer attraction, Learning Cluster/sectoral, International specialised service providers External The analysis of the 25 clusters (Table 1) shows that signs of both sustained growth and upgrading is prevalent in each of the three clusters selling primarily into global markets, the six clusters selling into national markets and the 10 clusters selling into domestic and regional markets. By contrast, the seven clusters selling into the immediate vicinity show the least signs of growth and upgrading – they are predominantly survivalist clusters. All of the clusters benefited from external economies. Half of them gained from all four types of recorded externalities – skill spillovers, proximity of suppliers, proximity of customers and inter-firm specialisation. A third benefitted from three externalities, and one-fifth from two externalities. Joint action between firms was widely observed and closely associated with cluster dynamism. The most prevalent form of joint action was in skill development, followed by cooperation in marketing and logistics. The more clusters engaged in different types of joint action simultaneously, the more likely this was associated with cluster dynamism. The impetus for joint action is often a lack of public service provision by the national or local government. For example, the Nnewi Auto Parts Cluster in Nigeria developed along familial and tribal lines in order to minimise production costs. Extended family networks play a critical role in skills development through apprenticeship programmes. They also served as the basis for investment in joint infrastructure projects - for example, digging boreholes, road construction and electricity generation - in order to share the cost burden of providing services that arguably should have been provided by the state. 8 Twenty two of the twenty five clusters were supported by institutions. The most dominant type of institution involved the participation of multiple parties – government, the private sector and foreign aid agencies and NGOs. The most helpful form of institutional support seems to emanate from sector-specific private institutions that formed in response to the needs of the cluster. These institutions are often formed in response to poor institutional support from government. The Otigba Computer Hardware Village in Nigeria has benefitted from its increasing use of industrial associations, utilised as mediums for information exchange, training, quality regulations, and joint marketing schemes. The Computer and Allied Products Dealers Association (CAPDAN) was established in 2003 with the initial objective of addressing security and infrastructural needs within the cluster. Since establishment the association has registered all of the cluster enterprises, worked with local police to install security cameras and security guards within the cluster, organised land allocation and factory construction to accommodate the growing clusters infrastructural needs, initiated a dialogue with Microsoft to get a reduction in the cost of software for cluster enterprises. In recent years, Chinese state-sponsored, but privately-run, Special Economic Zones have been established in six Africa economies (Table 2). In principle they represent a new approach to a perennial problem in industrial and cluster development in Africa. But whilst the Egyptian and Mauritian SEZs appear to have some dynamism, this does not appear to be the case in the other five economies. Most of these SEZs are in their infancy and it is too early to judge their likely future impact on growth, exports and employment. 9 Table 6: China’s Official Planned African SEZs Country Planning Initiated Status as of late 2010 Developers Planned Industry Focus Zambia Chambishi 2003 In operation/ under construction China Nonferrous Mining Group Copper and Cobalt processing Egypt Suez 1994 In operation/ under construction Tianjin TEDA, China-African Development Fund, Egypt-China Corporation for Investment, Tainjin Suez International Cooperation Co. Textiles & garments, petroleum equipment, automobile assembly, electronics assembly Nigeria Lekki 2003 Under construction Transport equipment, textile & light industries, home appliances, telecommunications. Possible oil refinery. Nigeria Ogun 2004 Under construction China Civil Engineering Construction, Jiangning Development Corp, Nanjing Beyond, China Railway, Lekki Worldwide Investments Ltd Guangdong Xinguang, South China Development Group, Ogun State Government Mauritius Jinfei 2006-07 Under construction Shanxi-Tianli Group, Shanxi Coking Coal Group, Taiyuan Iron & Steel Co Ethiopia Oriental 2006-07 Under construction Algeria Jiangling 2006-07 Approved but suspended Yonggang, Qiyuan Group, Jianglian Int’l Trade, Yangyan Asset management & Zhangjiagang Free Trade Zone Jiangling Automobile, Zhongding International Ceramics, ironware, furniture, lighting wood processing, medicine, computers, construction materials Services (tourism, finance, education) Manufacturing (textile, garment, machinery, hi-tech), trade, Electric machinery, steel & metallurgy, construction materials Automobile assembly, construction materials The Suez SEZ is the furthest along in its construction phase due to the long history of private Chinese participation in industrial zones and free economic zones in Egypt. Planning for the SEZ began in 1994 when the Egyptian government sought to copy the successful Chinese SEZ strategy. The Northwest Suez Economic Area established in the early 2000s was a failure due to its reliance on Egyptian partners for implementation - the project was mired by lack of capacity and corruption. Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA) Investment Holding Company learned from the previous failure, developing a Suez Industrial Park without the support of Egyptian investment. The park was successful, leading to an expansion of the park which incorporates four export-oriented clusters - textiles and garments, petroleum equipment, automotive assembly, and electrical equipment. A second round of expansion was proposed by TEDA and accepted under the current official Chinese SEZ programme in Africa. The progress of the Suez SEZ, which began construction in 2009, demonstrates the long gestation period necessary for SEZ success stories in an African context and the necessary role that African national governments must play in the process. It 10 took many years for Chinese investors to get it right in Egypt and the persistence of Chinese investors was encouraged by the Egyptian government and guided by specific national policy goals. BUILDING SUPPLY CHAINS IN AFRICA From the 1950s there has been an increasing recognition in business strategy that a chain is only as strong as its weakest link, that is, that islands of competitiveness find it difficult to compete if they are located in a sea of inefficiency. The translation of this abstract recognition into the everyday practices of firms in their supply chains can be traced back to the Toyota Motor Corporation which, after the 1960s, saw the first systematic, sustained and large scale implementation of Supply Chain Management (SCM) practices. It realised that, unless its suppliers adopted the same just-in-time and quality-at-source processes which it had developed in its own plants, it would not be able to effectively make the transition towards low-cost flexible production. However, it also recognised that its suppliers were not ready themselves to make the transition to the new form of production organisation. Hence, over a period of almost two decades, Toyota established procedures to restructure operations with its supply chain. These were built on three principles - contractual and competence trust, shifting from the anonymity of arms-length relations to enduring and often “personalised” relations with suppliers and introducing a series of key performance indicators which suppliers had to meet. Toyota’s successful implementation of SCM through all tiers of its extended supply chain provided it with major competitive benefits and has served as a role model for virtually all global TNCs and other larger northern firms. The key components of modern supply chain management are: Mastering the internal supply chain; targeting value chain efficiency; rationalising the vendor base; communication of new requirements to vendors; monitoring and sanctioning performance by suppliers; improving performance through benchmarking; supporting and assisting suppliers; and supply chain learning. 11 Whilst the Toyota model enhanced the Economic Bottom Line (that is, the profitability) of firms, it was increasingly challenged for only meeting the needs of one set of stakeholders – owners. Most large global firms are now expected to meet a Triple Bottom Line – the Economic, the Social and the Environmental Bottom Lines. Thus, just as the search for the Economic Bottom Line led to the development of profit-oriented SCM, so the imperatives of the Social and Environmental Bottom Lines developed into new forms of SCM – Corporate Social Responsibility and Supply Chain Greening. All three forms of SCM management are weak in contemporary Africa. Whilst SCM has diffused widely as an objective of corporate policy, the reality is often somewhat different. The problem is that it is often costly and skills intensive for management, particularly in the short term. Thus firms often baulk at the costs required in effective supply chain management, even though this might be critical to long-term profitability. Moreover, the commitment of senior strategic management to SCM is often undermined by the contradictory incentives imposed by human resource management, particularly in the African context where senior management of global firms is often distant from the firm’s operations and impose reporting requirements that are unrelated to the local context. Supplier development takes time and persistence, and the tight reporting requirements for purchasing managers mean that it is much easier to import the supplies from abroad than to engage in the time-consuming task of searching for local suppliers and assisting them to upgrade their capabilities. The Economic Bottom Line and Supply Chains in Africa With regard to African case studies 3 of supply chain management and development structured in terms of the Economic Bottom Line, the most advanced example is the South African auto assembly and components sector. It has made extensive use of competitiveness benchmarking to build supply chain development. As a result of sustained interventions through the South African Benchmarking Clubs, the average performance standard of the 3 See Section 4.4 in the main report. 12 automotive supply chain improved markedly over the period 1998/1999 to 2012 (Table 3). Customer return rates, a crucial measure of supplier performance in the automotive industry improved dramatically, falling from 3,270 parts per million (ppm) in 1998/9 to 226 ppm in 2012. Inventory holding more than halved, from 62.6 days to 26.2 days. Most significantly, from a supply chain perspective, these improvements in operational performance have been driven down the chain to 2nd and 3rd tier suppliers. This is evident in the significant improvement in respect of delivery reliability from the suppliers to these firms. This jumped from 78.7% to 92.5%. Internal reject rates and scrap rates in 2012 are at the international standard – 1.7% versus 1.6% and 1.5% respectively. Delivery reliability to customers at 97.7% is similar to international benchmarks (97.9%(; the same holds for delivery reliability from suppliers – 92.5% versus 93.3%. Inventory holding (26.2 days) is close to the international standard of 24.5 days. Although customer return rates (226 ppm) have made remarkable progress they are still above that of the international benchmark of 199 ppm. Table 7: Competitiveness improvements in performance of South African automotive components cluster, 1998/9 - 2012/3, & international comparisons Market driver KPI South African performance standards 1998/9 Cost control Quality Reliability Human Resources Inventory holding (operating days) Customer return rate (ppm) Internal reject rate (%) Internal scrap rate (%) OTIF delivery reliability to customers (%) OTIF delivery reliability from suppliers (%) Absenteeism lost hours (%) 2012 International standard 2012 SA vs. International standards, 2012 62.6 26.2 % Change 1998/9-2012 58.1% 3,270 226 93.1% 199 -11.9% 4.9 4.2 92.2 1.7 1.7 97.7 65.3% 59.5% 6.0% 1.6 1.5 97.9 -5.9% -11.8% -0.2% 78.7 92.5 17.5% 93.3 -0.9% 4.4 3.0 31.8% 2.6 -13.3% 24.5 -6.5% Source: SAABC database, accessed January 2014 Perhaps the most important lesson to be drawn from this experience is that most supplier firms in developing countries externalise their problems. They fail to understand the need to upgrade, and even when they do, they do not possess the internal capacity to change or build on their core competency. Lead firms driving the process of upgrading their supply chains is crucial if suppliers are to be shifted onto the level required to remain competitve. These 13 activities can occur within supply chain development programs run by the lead firms themselves. However the South African example shows that supply chain development, through collective action of suppliers facilitated by lead firm involvement can also occur in a more indirect manner. Lead firms and governments have an important role in pushing local supplier firms out of their current stasis, breaking vested interests, and incentivising firm upgrading. But external institutional support is critical in such a process - government (at different levels) policy and financial support and efficient external service provider facilitation. A recent development of potentially far-reaching significance is the prospect of large Chinese firms bringing their suppliers with them to Africa, although as yet, most of these suppliers are Chinese private sector firms rather than local enterprises4. However the mode of entry of large Chinese SOEs backed by state-to-state agreements often limits local procurement. Local procurement in these large SOE involvements is also hampered by the priority given by the host government for rapid execution of potentially long gestation period projects. However the drive for rapid execution hampers utilising local suppliers because of low levels of capabilities in the domestic economy. Hence the (limited) local supply chains feeding into these large SOE projects predominantly involve Chinese firms rather than locally owned suppliers. Nevertheless, despite these obstacles to local supply chain development, there has been a growing presence of privately owned Chinese SMEs feeding supplies into these large SOE ventures. Unlike the SOEs to whom they are feeding inputs, the entry of these privately owned suppliers is not aided by the Chinese government. Unrelated to the large SOE backed ventures, a number of larger privately owned Chinese manufacturing firms are investing in Africa, predominantly seeking to serve the growing domestic market. Faced with poor infrastructure and weak local supply capabilities, they are creating industrial estates and are bringing their Chinese supply chain with them to serve their needs for key inputs. 4 See Section 4.5 in the main report. 14 Chinese initiated Privately Developed Industrial Estates (PIEs) are thus gaining traction in many African countries, but there is little qualitative or quantitative data available to accurately assess their impact. PIEs are smaller than SEZs and are narrower in focus. They typically grow organically from a “first comer” industrialist which has established a successful enterprise and is looking to procure supplies locally. The Yuemei Fabric Industrial Zone (YFIZ) in Nigeria is a PIE started by Zhejiang, one of the largest private textile firms in China. In 2000, the company began importing final products into Nigeria. In 2004, it invested $1 million and began manufacturing textiles. Zhejiang reinvested its profits and expanded the business - a total investment of over $10 million. In 2008, the company constructed an industrial park, which could house all the elements of the value chain. Soon after construction of the YFIZ was complete, five Chinese textile firms relocated or established new factories in the YFIZ. The initial success allowed Zhejiang to expand the YFIZ. In 2011, 20 factories operated in YFIZ with activities ranging from dyeing, weaving, spinning, knitting, sewing and embroidery. However the implementation of supply chain principles in relation to locally owned suppliers are often poorly developed in the operations of Chinese lead firms who are relatively new to operating outside of their home base. In the Zambian copper mines, the Chinese mining firm lacks developed supply chain management capabilities; it does not recognise that this is a lead firm responsibility, and instead looks to government bilateral agreements to support the upgrading of domestic suppliers. The latter are uncompetitive and sorely in need of assistance, notwithstanding that they do not understand the supply chain challenge themselves. The Social Bottom Line and Supply Chains in Africa In respect of social standards manifesting within supply chain relationships, supply chain management in pursuit of the Social Bottom Line is expressed in a number of ways, but principally through Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) principles and programmes. Contemporary CSR is seen as applying 15 both within the firm’s operations and in the role it plays in wider society. Moreover, it seeks to embed CSR in the everyday operations of the firm rather than as a sporadic and voluntary act undertaken after profits have been made in production in a way which may, or may not, reflect the principles of social responsibility. Given the global operations of the world’s leading corporations, and given that they are subject to civil society pressure on these global operations, most of the world’s leading TNCs have a commitment to pursuing some elements of the Social Bottom Line in the global operations, including in Africa. A core driver of CSR is the “social licence to operate”. It targets SCM activities on the incorporation and upgrading of local suppliers, generally privileging indigenous producers, producers in close proximity to the lead firm’s operations and often specifically addressing the incorporation and upgrading of SMEs, women and youth. This is evident both in relation to some of the largest resource extraction ventures and in the development of Fairtrade and other civil society driven initiatives in the agricultural sector. In some cases (Niger River Delta) CSR programmes are a reaction to intense local political pressure for the gains of commodity extraction to be spread to the local population. In other cases (Ghana’s gold sector) the lead firms have taken a proactive approach to CSR, seeking to spread the benefits of resource extraction before opposition from the local population mounts5. The Niger River Delta provides an example of the significant transformation oil corporations have undergone in their CSR strategies, largely in response to escalating social pressure and hostility in the region. Historically transnational companies viewed CSR as corporate philanthropy. These philanthropic gifts did little to quell growing tension between oil corporations and their host communities. Rioting, mass protests, and violence against oil company employees caused the Nigerian government to reconstruct CSR policies in cooperation with local communities in order to improve social relations. In the early 2000s, Chevron, Shell, and Total developed a new socio-economic 5 See Section 4.6 in the report for further analysis and case studies of the Social Bottom Line. 16 development programme based on a Global Memorandum of Understanding (GMoU). The firms promised to engage with local community institutions and NGOs in order to generate sustainable and holistic development programmes in return for a peaceful operating environment. The adoption of the GMoU model was accompanied by an expansion of the CSR programme, both in size and in budget - Shell allocated $65 million, while Total and Chevron both allocated $50 million to their new CSR programmes. Additionally, each corporation contributed 3% of its annual budget to the Niger Delta Development Corporation. The Environmental Bottom Line and Supply Chains in Africa Although concern with the Environmental Bottom Line dates back at least as long as the focus on the Social Bottom Line, its translation into SCM has been much slower globally. The spread of environmental awareness outside of the lead firm was spurred by the commitment made in 2005 by Wal-Mart to green its supply chain and the requirement that its first tier suppliers try and meet its green supply chain key performance indicators. However it is only very recently that structured programmes of what has come to be called Supply Chain Greening have been developed and are beginning to be rolled out down supply chains. These have been driven by issues of cost saving (e.g. energy, packaging, cleaning up), meeting consumer demands, and diverting attention away from other consumer demands (e.g. for Wal-Mart union recognition). Supply Chain Greening is the least developed of the Triple Bottom Line objectives in Africa6 and globally. However, many of the world’s largest firms (including Wal-Mart which has just entered the continent) are rolling out large supply chain greening programmes. There is evidence of nascent greening in some African supply chains, but also disturbing evidence of ‘de-greening” when enterprises formerly supplying high income markets in the EU switch 6 See Section 4.7 in the report for discussion and case studies of the Environmental Bottom Line. 17 their output to less demanding markets in China and other emerging economies. The timber industry in Africa provides an example of both greening and degreening transformations in SCM. In Ghana a collaboration between a UK lead timber supplier, and the WWF’s Global Forest and Trade Network (GFTN) has led to the successful adoption of greener supply chain policies. Travis Perkins, one of Britain’s primary supplier of building materials, came under media pressure for poor sustainable sourcing practices in its renovation of the British Parliament. In response it pressured its supplier, Samartex Timber and Plywood, to green its Ghanaian supply chain with the assistance of the GFTN. As a result, Samartex transformed its timber extraction practices and became the first GFTN certified “green supplier.” Since certification, Samartex has increased its exports and eight Ghanaian firms have followed its lead, largely motivated by the paucity of firms able to meet the increasing demand for sustainable tropical hardwood. In contrast, the Gabon timber industry has experienced ‘de-greening’ as timber exports to Chinese end markets have increased. Until the late 1990s, timber was predominantly exported to the EU. European consumers have grown increasingly concerned to promote environmentally responsible forestry practices, requiring legal certification along all links in the supply chain. Chinese buyers, on the other hand, impose few environmental standards, instead placing a premium on low price and large volumes. As the demand market shifts from Europe to China, barriers to entry for SMMEs into the timber industry are lowered, however, this occurs at the expense of the capability expansion associated with serving high end markets with stricter regulations. In summary these various developments along the Triple Bottom Line represent both threats and opportunities to the development of local supply chains and to locally-owned supply chains. It is as yet too early to determine the balance of outcomes. Moreover, it is unlikely that a single pattern will emerge spans all African economies and all economic sectors. 18 GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN DYNAMICS AS EXPORTERS ENTER GLOBAL MARKETS Previous sections addressed two of the major determinants of building supply capabilities - industrial clusters and supply chain management (SCM) – to assist firms enter global markets. In many cases clusters exhibiting active cooperation between firms play leading roles in global export markets but the bulk of African clusters are survivalist in nature, showing few signs of dynamism, specialisation and upgrading. They generally produce simple consumer goods and services for local customers. However, although exporting clusters are still at an immature stage on the African Continent, encouraging signs of dynamism have begun to emerge and in some documented cases clusters participate actively in global final markets. However, improving supply capabilities, through cluster development, supply chain development or other policies designed to build capabilities, is only one side in the economic development equation. Once production moves beyond the subsistence level, development becomes a process of production and consumption, supply and demand. In order to progress, producers need to find market outlets which are some distance from their production facilities. How producers enter markets, and which markets they enter, especially in highly competitive markets, determines the price which they obtain for their efforts. Because markets are increasingly differentiated, dynamic and volatile, producers need to develop the dynamic capabilities which are required to sustain a profitable presence in final markets. However in this era of globalisation the trajectory of this capability building is not just a result of supply side interventions but is also defined by final markets and transmitted to producers by buyers. In addition, many of the tools which facilitate the upgrading of capabilities in production are made available to producers by the lead firms who are responsible for the sale of products into final global markets. 19 For all these reasons, a focus on supply alone - whether from the perspective of the individual firm, clusters of cooperating firms, or supply chain relationships between firms - does not provide enough of the tools which producers in lower economies such as Africa require to penetrate and gain from global markets. Production, however it occurs, has to be connected to the markets, and in the contemporary global economy, this requires producers to engage with, and participate gainfully in global value chains (GVCs). Unlike the deep global integration in the nineteenth century which largely comprised of trade in primary products and finished manufactures, the ‘second great unbundling’ in the latter decades of the 20th Century saw a dramatic growth in the share of semi-processed intermediate products in global trade. Trade is increasingly in semi-finished components and subassemblies rather than in final products. Concomitantly production has become fragmented across national boundaries as lead firms outsourced their non-core competences to other parties in the value chain. Hence GVCs have become increasingly fractured (a growing number of links in the chain) and chains have become increasingly dispersed globally. The elements of GVC analysis The value chain (VC) describes the full range of activities which are required to bring a product or service from conception, through the different phases of production (involving a combination of physical transformation and the input of various producer services), delivery to final consumers, and final disposal after use. GVCs result from a series of developments which have been spurred by the deepening of globalisation. Firms have begun to specialise in their core competences and to outsource the balance of activities. This has required the lead firms to ‘govern’ their value chains, either directly or through intermediaries acting on their behalf. This defines the roles and performance requirements that outsourced producers have to meet in order to sustain participation in the VC. The character of high income markets which shaped the development of GVCs increasingly demands better quality, greater 20 product variety, and availability. This has led to a growing importance of standards – technical, ethical, health, and sustainability – to satisfy different market requirements. The dynamic nature of these markets also led to the demand for firms in the chain to master different types of upgrading as globalisation increases competition between different producers. Ownership and the embeddedness of lead firms and their supply chains often plays a key rile in determining the capacity of firms to respond to these complex demands. The value chain analytic perspective is important for the following primary reasons. First, building competences confined only to individual firms will flounder on systemic inefficiency. Second, GVCs connect producers to final markets which offer different possibilities for profitable production. Third, different end markets impact on patterns of competence specialisation, governance, standards, upgrading, and ownership in value chains. Finally GVCs define the division of labour within and between the various links, which affects the incomes and rents accruing to different parties involved in the chain, as well as the capacity of producers to upgrade. There are two major types of GVCs. ‘Additive value chains’ are characterised by sequential processes of domestic value added. These tend to dominate in the resource sectors. ‘Vertically specialised chains’ are characterised by the increasing fragmentation of production in which individual processes occur simultaneously. Between these two types of VCs are hybrid chains incorporating a combination of additive and vertically specialised sub-chains. Vertically specialised chains tend to dominate globalising manufacturing and service sectors and are growing more rapidly than additive chains. By contrast, there are few vertically specialised GVCs operating in Africa. These tend to be concentrated in Southern Africa. AFRICAN EXAMPLES OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF VALUE CHAIN UPGRADING Examples of additive value chains in African countries Cocoa’s technical characteristics shape the building of additive agroprocessing value chains within African producer countries. Cocoa intermediate products are more easily storable and tradable, making it 21 possible to relocate processing facilities in producing countries. Consequently the large chocolate TNCs have been willing to outsource the intermediate processing stages of the value chain, as long as this does not infringe on their core business of producing the most profitable link – quality chocolate manufacture, branding and marketing. Thus the cocoa and chocolate GVC reflects both vertical specialisation and additive sub-chains. The former are reflected in those parts of the chain in final markets which process intermediates, and the additive parts of the chain are located in cocoaproducing countries which produce the intermediates. Ghana (and to a lesser extent Nigeria) demonstrates the building of an additive value chain by cooperation between lead firm, local producers and government. This additive process is speeded up or retarded by specific institutional policy/interventions in African producer countries. In Ghana the proportion of cocoa exports processed domestically has increased steadily from 12.4% in 2007 to 25.6% in 2011. The government plays a critical role in maintaining the integrity of domestic value chain activities7. Processed fresh fruit and vegetable exports from developing countries have been facilitated by the European supermarkets and importers seeking to maximise their rents, driving tighter standards down the value chain, and developing closer relationships with export firms and suppliers in Zimbabwe and Kenya8. Consequently various upgrading opportunities to deepen value added opened up to local vegetable processing firms - improvements in processing activities, new product combinations, and packaging for specialty products. Local suppliers had to restructure their own operations, upgrade facilities, processes and logistics handling to meet the new requirements. Effective strategic collaboration between governments and the private sector has been critical in designing and implementing institutional interventions to support local upgrading processes. Government support encompassed the following: subsidies have enabled firms to expand production, infrastructural investment has reduced lead times, and farmer support has reduced costs. 7 8 See Section 5.5.1 in the report for elaboration of this cocoa value chain See section 5.5.3 in the report for elaboration of this fresh fruit and vegetables value chain 22 However this has not benefitted all value chain participants. The requirements of meeting these standards have marginalised small producers and exporters in favour of large farmers and exporting firms that have the resources, skills, facilities and knowledge capabilities to take advantage of these domestic value additive opportunities. Hence there has been a significant consolidation of an additive fruit and vegetable processing value in Kenya and Zimbabwe. Leather can be exported as hides, semi processed tanned leather, or finished leather9. A well-developed hide production and tanning industry is the basis for upgrading leather product manufacturing in the leather value chain. This requires regulation of the animal slaughter value chain, which impacts on the quality of the hides available. Exporting of hides and semi processed leather also has deleterious effects for developing a leather products manufacturing sector down the value chain. The Ethiopian government addressed leakages at the low value added links in the leather value chain to drive upgrading through the chain. It upgraded animal husbandry/slaughtering, curbing the export of low value added hides and semi-processed leather, and encouraging higher value added export products. It imposed a stringent 150% tax on hide exports to shift exports away from raw hides into finished leather. Hides exports declined from 70% of total exports in 2004 to zero in 2011, and the share of finished leather exports jumped from 30% to 93%. Government also assisted the rejuvenation of the local leather footwear industry. Using AGOA preferences, from a low base of $669,000 in 2011, Ethiopian footwear exports to the US increased 29 fold to $19,378 million in 2013. Ethiopia is thus a value added success story of building an additive leather value chain leading all the way up to the export of final footwear products. Capabilities have been built at all levels of the chain, as well as within government itself. This is as a result of government intervention, engagement with lead firm drivers to meet value chain standards, locally embedded firms upgrading their core competence and productive activities, end market preferential preferences, and institutional support from various quarters10. 9 See section 5.5.4 in the report for elaboration of this leather value chain See Section 5.5 for further examples of processed fresh fish and tea value chains 10 23 Oil exploration and extraction, given its capital, technology and skills intensive nature, is dominated by multinational companies. The Nigerian government has made substantive efforts to create an additive value chain by increasing local content in terms of skills and backward linkages 11 . These centre on institutions for training/education of technically skilled Nigerian personnel, and working with lead oil firms to grow the number of local firms supplying the oil extracting lead firms with products and services through various local content policies. Significant local supplier linkages have been created in fabrication and construction, well construction and completion, and controls/ICT systems. In these three sub-sectors of the oil extracting industry, a 2011 survey of 12 oil companies found that three quarters sourced more than half of their goods and services from local firms. Although the oil companies believed that they had reasonably close relationships with their first tier own suppliers, this did not extend down their supply chain to providing support to second and third tier suppliers. However across all these subsectors, 55% of first tier supplying firms purchased more than half of their services from local second tier suppliers. This suggests a considerable depth to backward linkages with substantial local value added. Domestic linkages are deep, and local suppliers are not merely importers, but rather producers of technologically complex goods and services. Moreover, as firms invest in process and functional upgrading, with the support of oil companies, these linkages are dynamic. This trajectory is a combination of the entrenched capability within the Nigerian government to drive local content through its policy framework, coupled with lead firms responding to the challenge and driving the necessary technical standards down the value chain to create competitive local supply. Mining does not have to be an enclave activity but can instead develop a backwardly oriented value chain into equipment supply12. South Africa has a well-developed industrial sector, which has its origins in the development of extensive value added linkages to the mining sector. With the introduction of democratic rule and international acceptance, the Sotuh African mining 11 12 See section 5.5.6 in the report for elaboration of this oil value chain See section 5.5.7 in the report for elaboration of this mining equipment value chain 24 companies expanded their actvities globally, but especially into SSA. Given their historical relationships with local suppliers, South African mining firms operating elsewhere tended to favour these same suppliers to service their activities abroad. The South African economy therefore continues to maintain a global competitive advantage in mining equipment and specialist services. This is evidenced in the building of innovative capabilities in mining and related technologies. The South African mining supplier industry is now a net exporter of high local value added products. Finally this additive backward linked value chain has also led to the building of horizontal linkages as suppliers branched out to serve the needs of other sectors. This has resulted in the development of various clusters of agglomeration, predominantly locally owned, of equipment suppliers and institutions. There are a number of conclusions to be drawn from this South African additive mining value chain based on growing local suppliers. The technical specificity of South African mining activities required the deployment and utilisation of advanced technologies and systems. Historically government marshalled a suite of specifically directed state policies (tariff, financial, technological, and institutional research support) to the local supplier industry. The expansion abroad of South African mining firms has created significant opportunities for exports of mining related equipment and services. However, government has in recent years reduced its support to this sector and there are signs of a diminishing global comparative advantage. Examples of vertically specialised value chains in African countries Apparel exporting African economies (e.g. Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mauritius, Swaziland) over the past 15 years have developed on the basis of vertically specialised GVCs13. These vertically specialised GVCs were based on Asian transnational firms locating plants in export processing zones and use duty free preferential access (e.g. AGOA for SSA and QIZ for Egypt) to the US market. The single transformation rules of origin (ROOs) encouraged vertically specialised value chains, since all inputs used for apparel 13 See section 5.6 in the report for elaboration of this apparel value chain. Mauritius and Madagascar have also built the most successful apparel production components through backwardly integrated textile production (i.e. additive value chains). 25 manufacture could be imported. The transnational firms set up low value added, simple assembly and cut-make-trim operations to produce relatively basic garments in Africa. All other higher value activities, such textiles and components, financing, sourcing fabrics, product development and design, logistics, merchandising and marketing were carried out in the head offices in Asia or in plants in Asia. As a result of AGOA and QIZ, African apparel exports to the US have increased rapidly. All SSA apparel exports to the US grew from $748 million in 2000 to $1,757 million in 2004. But a combination of the ending of the Multi Fibre Agreement (December 2004) and the global financial crisis in 2008 led to a sharp decline in exports so that by 2012 exports from these countries had declined to $866 million. The QIZ scheme saw a doubling of Egypt's exports of textiles and clothing to the US from $422 million in 2004 to $871 million in 2012. These vertically specialised apparel value chains have helped to build an industrial base in the apparel sector in Africa. They have built an export market, created employment for large number of workers, and built some low level production capabilities, as workers learn to respond to export market production requirements. But this does not extend beyond the operator and lowest supervisory overwhelmingly level, for managerial dependant on expatriates. and technical Virtually all skills are inputs bar infrastructure are imported. The basic production component of this value chain is hence not embedded in local social and economic networks of the host country. Its rationale is externally determined, driven by the product requirements of the US buyers, the vested interests of the head offices of the large transnational producers situated in Asia, and wage rates and preferential access opportunities in other low income regions. These largely Asian-based TNCs are not concerned with upgrading local capabilities, functionally upgrading by moving into more rent rich activities, and extending local value added linkages. While they remain important productive links, they are footloose investors, able and willing to shift their operations to another production site if duty free access conditions change. 26 These case studies of African GVCs illustrate how an understanding of the dynamics of GVCs helps to explain the nature of economic diversification and the determinants of upgrading amongst producers. They also show that successful upgrading and insertion in GVCs is a function of the technical character of individual chains; the strategies of the lead firms driving these chains; the nature of domestic capabilities in individual African economies; and the design and delivery of effective government policy. DEVELOPING A POLICY RESPONSE TO ENABLE GAINFUL PARTICIPATION As is clear from the international and African experience detailed above, there is a clear role for industrial policy in assisting African firms to participate gainfully in global markets. Formulating and implementing the appropriate policy response involves engaging firms, as well as government and institutions delivering public goods, to ensure that the private sector exporting effort is being supported and not undermined. However policy development requires not just that private and pubic actors draw on their individual strengths, but also that they recognise their particular weaknesses. International experience shows that competitiveness is hampered by a pervasive combination of “state failure” and “market failure”. Thus, an effective policy response to the opportunities opened up by global export markets necessarily requires not only a recognition by key actors of their limitations but also that they need to cooperate to learn and benefit from each other’s unique strengths. It is not possible to provide a laundry list of detailed generic policies since context and sector require specific tailored policy support. Rather what is required is a strategic framework within which appropriate detailed policies can be developed by actors responsible for country-specific resource allocation. The development of detailed policies will necessarily reflect the specific circumstances confronting individual firms and economies in the context of their particular constraints and capabilities. It will also necessarily reflect the individual characteristics of the sector in which they operate and 27 the opportunities available in different global markets. Broadly speaking the following recommendations can be made14. In respect of clusters, the lack of awareness of the potential offered by clusters has meant that in many cases, clusters have emerged beneath the radar of policymakers. The primary role of actors outside the cluster is to focus institutional interventions to build on what already exists rather than to create clusters anew. Four sets of external economies explain the economics of agglomeration – skill spillovers, proximity of suppliers, proximity of clusters and inter-firm specialisation. Each of these externalities lend themselves to policy action, both by firms internal to the cluster and by external parties. The key parties affecting cluster development need to prioritise the development of appropriate collective actions which are beneficial to cluster development. Although still in embryonic form, Africa also has the opportunity to benefit from China’s promotion of Special Economic Zones in various countries. In respect of supply chain upgrading, government needs to support the activities of lead firms, and to cajole reluctant supply chain managing firms to build cooperation along their chains, particularly with respect to the incorporation and upgrading of local SMEs in their chains. Lead firms and governments have to recognise the financial constraints SME suppliers operate under and assist them with timely payments. Policy has to recognise that supply chain upgrading is a specialised activity, requires specialist skills, and involves costs. Specialised private sector profit-driven service providers and firms may require external financial support through temporary matching grant schemes to deliver effective supply chain management assistance, particularly in meeting triple bottom line requirements. SME suppliers are often hampered by liquidity constraints and require working capital to feed into supply chains. Finally governments may need to engage separately with Chinese firms and their government to ensure that such lead firms play an active role in developing their own local supply chains. 14 See section 6.2 in the report for specific and elaborated detail of various industrial policy lessons aimed at addressing the strategic determinants between clusters, supply chains, and global value interconnections chains. 28 The dynamics of different types of GVCs depend in part on ownership characteristics of lead firms, whether they are additive or vertically specialised, and which end markets they feed into. Hence host governments need to acquire the appropriate knowledge of the strategies of various lead firms and the differing market dynamics with regard to upgrading opportunities. Due to the asymmetrical power relationships within GVCs, host governments have a role to play in assisting their local producers through various industrial policy and institutional interventions. Specialised service providers have a particular role to play assisting local firms access value chains to upgrade. Regional markets may offer more opportunities for developing local value added activities since they are often less demanding, provide learning opportunities, allow for the building of economies of scale, and facilitate firms in these regional value chains to build their production capabilities in a staged, step-by-step process. Finally since the essence of beneficial participation in global markets depends on value chain alignment, ongoing stakeholder consultation is crucial and should involve key parties along the chain. The above requires African governments to develop broadly framed and integrated industrial policies which go beyond conceptualising the isolated firm as the focus of concern. The thrust of this approach in this era of globalisation is to view productive sector policy as a supportive process encompassing the interrelations between individual firms, established clusters of firms, hierarchical supply chain linkages, and dynamic value chain relationships. In terms of finding ways to participate productively in the new global economy, it is important to move beyond the debate of whether African governments need to increase their exports and to introduce a site of productive sector policies, to how these governments should insert themselves in global markets and formulate and implement these supportive policies. CONCLUSION At the outset we observed that participation in global markets offers considerable potential to individual African firms, to groups of African firms 29 and to African economies at large. Large global markets provide the scope for reaping scale economies, for specialisation, for learning, for profitable production and for sustainable employment and income growth. However, international experience shows that these benefits do not automatically accrue from participating in global markets. It is possible for African producers to be locked inappropriately into external markets, resulting in what has come to be called “immiserising growth”, that is, expanded economic activity associated with declining incomes and profitability. The objective, therefore, for both private and public actors is to enter a trajectory of gainful participation in global markets. This gainful participation has to be rooted in the reality of individual firm and country endowments and capabilities. Most African economies are reliant on natural resources and the export of commodities. Thus the diversification policy objective of both public and private actors is to both enhance the productivity in the exploitation of these natural resources and to diversify their activities, both by creating linkages to the resource sector and by developing new specialisations in other sectors. However, these objectives can only be achieved in the context of opportunities available in the global economy. Whilst African exporters benefit from a range of preferential market access agreements, they need to be aware of the stagnation of northern markets and the rapid growth of southern markets. Switching between these different markets requires the development of specific capabilities. The supply capabilities required for this gainful insertion in differing global markets are often enhanced by the development of co-located clusters of firms. Co-location generates external economies and therefore enhances the competitiveness of firms in the cluster. Where firms build on these external economies and cooperate to meet common challenges, they benefit from collective efficiency. This is particularly important for SMEs whose problems are often less a matter of being small, and more a consequence of being isolated. However, whilst many global clusters have participated effectively in global markets, this is not always the case. Particularly in low income 30 economies and in Africa, clusters are often essentially survivalist in nature and show few signs of the dynamism required to be successful exporters. Whilst clusters of small firms are one important component of an effective supply response to global market opportunities, many successful exporting experiences are led by large lead firms. Globally, lead firms have come to recognise that it is not possible to sustain competitive advantage by being an island in a sea of inefficiency. It is necessary for them to assist their suppliers to upgrade in order to achieve systemic and dynamic competitive capabilities. Hence they have developed extensive programmes of supply chain management. In recent decades, the objective of supply chain management has moved beyond the achievement of profitability to target a triple bottom line - that is to simultaneously address the social licence to operate and environmental objectives. However supply chain management activities in most African economies are in their infancy, and seldom encompass the greening of supply chains. Cluster and supply chain development are critical components of supply capabilities. However, international experience makes it clear that on their own, supply capabilities do not provide the key for gainful participation in global markets. How producers are inserted into global value chains determines the profitability of their operations and their capacity to upgrade operations in order to develop the dynamic capabilities which are required to compete sustainably in a rapidly changing global economy. The GVC policy lens provides an integrated framework useful to both public and private actors for considering both supply capabilities and the character of final markets. Together, these two sets of factors influence who is incorporated in global markets, how they are incorporated in global markets, which global markets they are able to supply, and the roles which firms and economies play in global production networks. Appropriate positioning in GVCs thus addresses the challenges set out earlier, that is, it is not so much a matter of whether to participate in the global economy, but how to do so in order to ensure profitable, sustainable and equitable growth. 31 African Export-Import Bank Developing Industrial Clusters And Supply Chains To Support Diversification And Sustainable Development of Exports in Africa MAIN REPORT Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris (R.Kaplinsky@open.ac.uk; mike.morris@uct.ac.za) October 2014 with Letsema Mbayi and Lucy Martin TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER 1 .......................................................................................................... 1 PARTICIPATING GAINFULLY IN 21ST CENTURY EXPORT MARKETS ............. 1 SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 1 1.1. The challenge is not whether to participate in global markets, but how to . . 2 CHAPTER 2 .......................................................................................................... 8 THE CONTEXT FOR AFRICA’S GROWING PARTICIPATION IN GLOBAL EXPORT MARKETS ............................................................................................. 8 SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 8 2.1. The trajectory of Africa’s GDP and trade performance, 2000-2012 ........... 10 2.2. A slow pace of structural change .............................................................. 14 2.3. Important developments in the global trade environment .......................... 15 CHAPTER 3 ........................................................................................................ 25 AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS ............................... 25 SUMMARY .......................................................................................................... 25 3.1. Global experience: The “discovery” of clustering and industrial districts .... 27 3.2. What explains the existence of clustering? ............................................... 29 3.3. What happens when the market changes – exports and GVCs ................ 32 3.4. Industrial Clusters in Low and Middle Income Economies......................... 34 3.5. Some examples of Industrial Clusters in Latin America and Asia. ............. 35 3.5. African experience with Industrial Clusters ............................................... 42 3.6 Case-studies: Unpacking the dynamics of African clusters ........................ 49 CHAPTER 4 ........................................................................................................ 89 BUILDING SUPPLY CHAINS ............................................................................. 89 SUMMARY ...................................................................................................... 89 4.1 The historical origins of supply chain management .................................... 92 4.2 The origins of supply management (scm): enhancing chain agility, fostering product development and reducing costs ................................... 97 4.3 Beyond agility, product development and cost reduction: the triple bottom line and supply chain management .................................... 100 4.4 Africa’s experience with SCM in pursuit of the economic Bottom Line ..... 102 4.5 Africa’s experience with SCM pursuing the Social Bottom Line ............... 121 ii 4.6 SCM in pursuit of the Environmental Bottom Line .................................... 130 CHAPTER 5 ...................................................................................................... 145 GOVERNANCE IN GVCs AS EXPORTERS ENTER GLOBAL MARKETS ...... 145 SUMMARY ........................................................................................................ 145 5.1 Why ensuring supply is only part of export expansion .............................. 147 5.2 What explains the expansion of global value chains? .............................. 150 5.3. Different types of value chains ................................................................ 159 5.4. Africa’s experience with GVCs ................................................................ 162 5.5 Case-Studies of Additive GVCs in Africa ................................................. 164 5.6 Vertically Specialised Value Chains in Africa ........................................... 195 CHAPTER 6 ...................................................................................................... 201 DRAWING THE THREADS TOGETHER - SUPPORTING DIVERSIFICATION AND THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF AFRICAN EXPORTS ............ 201 6.1 Key lessons from global experience ........................................................ 201 6.2 Developing a policy response to enable gainful participation in global markets .................................................................................... 203 REFERENCES .................................................................................................. 218 iii List of Figures Figure 2.1 Average annual growth rates Figure 2.2 Africa’s share of global GDP, global trade and global manufactures trade Figure 2.3 Africa’s current account and fiscal balances Figure 2.4 The destination of Africa’s exports Figure 2.5 Sectoral and geographical composition of Africa’s exports Figure 2.6 The resource intensity of African exports Figure 2.7 Sectoral shares of Africa’s GDP Figure 2.8 Network of Plurilateral Groupings in Africa (and Middle East) Figure 2.9 Number of households, by disposable income, China and India Figure 2.10 Commodity prices Figure 2.11 Declining ore yields in four key metals Figure 2.12 Market driven linkages over time Figure 3.1: Average number of employees by clusters Figure 4.1: Suppliers and Users in the Production Chain Figure 4.2: The Triple Bottom Line Figure 4.3: Gabon export volumes of wood products in cubic meters Figure 4.4: European and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements – Wood Logs Figure 4.5: EU and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements – Regulations/Standards Figure 5.1: The Apple iPhone GVC Figure 5.2: GVC participation of African regions in 2011 Figure 5.3: Global cocoa/chocolate value chain Figure 5.3: Value added content of cocoa exports, Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria Figure 5.4: Ghana cocoa value chain Figure 5.5: Global tea value chain Figure 5.6: The UK Processed Vegetable Value Chain Figure 5.7: Leather Value Chain Figure 5.8: Value added content of leather/hides exports from Ethiopia Figure 5.9: Coffee value chain Figure 5.10: The oil value chain Figure 5.10: Garment Value Chain Figure 6.1. Fragmented and integrated export policy support 10 11 11 12 14 14 15 18 20 21 21 23 62 98 101 142 143 143 160 163 165 166 168 170 173 177 179 184 191 195 217 iv List of Tables Table 2.1 Comparative trade indexes, by region (1995, 2011) Table 3.1 Brazil’s Sinos Valley footwear cluster Table 3.2. Number of firms and workers in four clusters Table 3.3: Correlation of co-operation and performance Table 3.4: Africa’s Experience with 25 Clusters Table 3.5: The final market and cluster dynamism Table 3.6: Prevalence of external economies Table 3.7: Cluster dynamism and join action Table 3.8: Institutional support for joint action Table 3.9: Percentage - Micro, Small, Medium and Larger Furniture Enterprises Table 3.10: Base unit’s technological capabilities Table 3.11: Sources for acquiring of knowledge on production and innovation Table 3.12: Nature of manufacturing by clusters Table 3.13: Level of education by sector clusters Table 3.12: Trends in profitability, turnover, and exports Table 3.13: Operational performance of CCTC and KZNCTC combined Table 3.14: China’s Official Planned African SEZs Table 4.1: Key Performance Indicators measuring operational performance Table 4.2: Competitiveness improvements in performance of South African automotive components cluster, Table 4.3: Private Chinese Firms and Employment by Sector Table 4.4: Local Content Results Table 4.5: Domestic purchases by Ghana Chamber of Mines Producing Members Table 5.1: Composition of tea exports from Sri Lanka and Kenya Table 5.2: Exports of Ethiopian footwear to US Table 5.3: Fish Value Chain – Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda Table 5.4: SSA apparel exporters to the US 13 36 37 38 44 47 48 48 49 51 53 54 60 62 70 80 82 104 106 120 127 128 171 179 181 198 List of Boxes Box 1: What happens when a firm is unable to generate and appropriate rents in global markets Box 3.1: Michael Porters definition of Clusters Box: 3.2 Collective efficiency Box 3.3 Some examples of China’s industrial clusters Box 3.4: What explains the success of China’s SEZs Box 3.5: Business Incentives offered at Lekki Free Zone Box 5.1: Four sets of standards are widely observed in GVCs Box 5.2: Four types of upgrading 5 28 31 40 42 83 155 157 v CHAPTER 1 PARTICIPATING GAINFULLY IN 21ST CENTURY EXPORT MARKETS SUMMARY Productivity growth and economic diversification are the source of long term economic development. They are aided by specialisation and the reaping of scale economies. In turn, specialisation and scale economies are bounded by the extent of the market. Hence by offering access to unlimited markets, globalisation provides the opportunities for producers, especially in relatively small and undifferentiated African economies, to enter a trajectory of profitability, upgrading and productivity growth. However, participating in global markets does not necessarily provide these benefits. These depend on how producers enter global markets – which markets they participate in and what role they play in a global division of labour. Beneficial insertion into global markets needs to be guided both by an economy’s resource endowments and by the character of the global markets. It is thus both a function of supply and demand. This Report focuses on both supply and demand factors. International experience shows that supply capabilities are enhanced by the development of clusters and supply chain upgrading. On the demand side, it shows that the nature of insertion in global markets is determined by the structure of global value chains. 1 1.1. THE CHALLENGE IS NOT WHETHER TO PARTICIPATE IN GLOBAL MARKETS, BUT HOW TO DO SO. Perhaps the most famous economic text, The Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith, opens with the following phrase: “The greatest improvement in the productive power of labour, and the greater part of the skill, dexterity and judgement with which it is anywhere directed, or applied, seem to have been the effects of the division of labour.” Adam Smith argued that the division of labour contributes to productivity and economic growth for three sets of reasons. First, through specialisation, repetition and practice, workers improve their performance. Second, because workers can specialise, they do not need to waste time in changing over from one task to another. And, third, the division of labour not only influences productivity growth within the farm or enterprise. It also allows for sectoral specialisation and the development of a capital goods industry which provides the tools for productivity growth across a range of economic sectors. Smith also showed that this division of labour enhanced welfare by reducing the prices paid by consumers for the products which they purchased, and that the quality of these final products also improved with specialisation. The combination of productivity growth and reduced product prices rising from specialisation and sustained investment - made possible through the profits earned in specialisation-intensive economic activities - transformed the welfare of humankind over the past three centuries. It began in Europe and North America, spread through Asia in the second half of the twentieth century and is now evidenced in Rising Africa, which is experiencing high and historically unprecedented growth rates. There is a second important insight which emerges early on in the Wealth of Nations. Shortly into the text, Smith observes that 2 “…it is the power of exchanging that gives occasion to the division of labour, so the extent of this division must always be limited by the extent of that power, or, in other words, by the extent of the market.” Without markets, there is little scope for the division of labour. Conversely, the greater the scale of the market, the more elaborate a division of labour can become. In Adam Smith’s day, an increase in scale meant trading with neighbouring districts or cities. But now, with the sustained and massive advances in communication and information processing technologies, the market is global. There are very few regions in the world which are not penetrated by global products; there are also a diminishing number of regions in the world where producers do not participate in global markets, either directly or as subcontractors. Thus globalisation provides the scope to gain from scale economies and in so doing, to reap the benefits of specialisation. But larger markets offer a further benefit which was not evident to Adam Smith. Participating in global markets offers the further potential benefit of augmenting learning and capability building. Selling into demanding and competitive markets exposes producers to new ways of processing, new capital goods, new product designs and new activities which they can perform in their value chains. Given the rapidity of technical progress in high competitive global markets, the capacity to learn through exporting offers exciting prospects for economic management and for individual producers. However, the potential for reaping these different benefits made possible through participating in global markets does not automatically translate into the reality of achieving these gains. In order to understand why this is the case, it is necessary to recognise one further insight which can be drawn from the writings of classical economics. David Ricardo developed the theory of rent. He argued that land – a gift of nature – was of differential quality. The price of the final product was determined by the production costs of the least efficient producer. However, farmers with relatively productive land benefited from the gap – the resource rent - between their low production costs and 3 those of the least efficient producer. In later decades, Alfred Marshall (another giant of economic theory), developed Ricardo’s theory of rent, and showed that rents are not just a gift of nature. They could be created through investments - the quality of land could be improved through landscaping and irrigation. But more significantly, the application of knowledge to production processes in agriculture, industry and services and in the development of improved machinery has meant that the creation of “innovation rents” provides the source of economic advantage. Joseph Schumpeter, an Austrian economist writing in the mid-twentieth century, extended this idea of purposefully created rents by focusing on “gales of creative destruction”. That is, new technologies continually eroded existing innovation rents so that the policy agenda confronting individual entrepreneurs, farmers, and indeed whole economies, was the need to achieve dynamic rents, and this could only be achieved through the development of dynamic capabilities. Unless they could achieve these dynamic rents, they would be subject to intense competition and find it difficult to survive in a competitive market. The pursuit of “dynamic capabilities” is now the primary driver of corporate strategy in many sectors across the global economy. What relevance do these writings of classical economists have for African producers in the 21st century? First, there is enormous potential benefit to be gained from successfully participating in global export markets. This offers the prospect not just of reducing production costs through reaping scale economies, but also of growing capabilities as a consequence of specialisation and through learning in global export markets. However, without the capacity to continually, and repeatedly, generate and appropriate rents, participating in global export markets in this era of globalisation may offer little scope for enhancing incomes. The dangers that a mistaken insertion into global exports markets poses can be seen from the experience of central American export processing zones in the 1980s and 1990s, witnessed in the challenges faced by a Dominican Republic garment exporting firm (Box 1). Since it added virtually no value to the garments, and since it lacked the 4 capacity to improve its processes and products, the firm was locked into a downward spiral and ultimately was bankrupted by its inability to generate and appropriate process or product rents. Box 1: What happens when a firm is unable to generate and appropriate rents in global markets The firm began making jeans under contract for a large US buyer. Its function was to sew together the denim which had been produced and cut in the US, using other imported components such as thread, labels and buttons, and then to pack these in labelled boxes provided by its US principal. The firm began with a contract to assemble 9,000 jeans a week for $2.18 per jean; after nine months, the volume fell to 5,000 jeans a week, at a reduced unit price of $2.05, falling to 3,000 jeans a week at $1.87, three months later. Thirteen months after the contract started, its was abruptly terminated. Its US principle had found a cheaper source in the region, a consequence of a significant currency depreciation in a neighbouring country. Declining unit prices and investment instability: the case of jeans manufacturing in the Dominican Republican Republic Volume (per week) Unit price ($) January 1990 9,000 2.18 October 1990 5,000 2.05 December 1990 3,000 1.87 February 1991 Arrangement terminated and assembly transferred to Honduras Total investment in equipment by Dominican Republic firm was S$150,000 Source: Kaplinsky (1993) This sad story of an individual firm’s experience must be seen in the wider context of macro economic policy. The firm operated in an Economic Processing Zone (EPZs) which gave special privileges to exporters. These firms were exempt from taxes and import duties for all output which was exported. From the perspective of external buyers, this was an attractive source of supply, and there was a rush of American buyers into the region where an EPZ-fever had led to a rash of similar duty, and tax, free zones in 5 neighbouring countries. The falling price of Dominican Republic labour – measured in US$ – was a major attraction to US clothing buyers. Between 1980 and 1990, these wages fell in $US by 55%, at a faster rate than the fall in the neighbouring countries of Costa Rica (22%) and Mexico (33%); during the same period, the dollar value of wages in the US rose by 15%. These changes in relative wages were almost entirely a direct consequence of currency devaluations in the region, with neighbouring countries devaluing against the US and each other in order to enhance their price competitiveness. The fate which confronted the Dominican Republic garment exporter was that neighbouring countries devalued their currencies at a much higher rate which meant that Dominican Republic wages in real terms (that is, the dollars which the buyers dealt in) were no longer competitive. Since the firm’s comparative advantage was limited to unskilled labour, it had no capacity to adjust to changes in the exchange rate. Two conclusions can be drawn from this contemporary Central American experience to guide economic policy in Africa: Although participating in export markets offers the potential for reaping scale economies, for improving productivity, for learning and for employment, these benefits do not automatically accrue to exporting firms and economies. It is possible to enter global markets in a way which only provides for immiserising growth, that is, increasing physical output but with diminishing incomes. Second, unless the exporting firms and economies add value in production – and in an increasingly competitive economy this requires the development of dynamic capabilities – it will always be subject to the erosion of benefits and to the dangers of immiserising growth. There is one partial exception to this picture which has relevance to African exporters. This is that although Schumpeterian ’innovation rents’ are increasingly important in most sectors of economic activity, there are cases in 6 which natural resource rents continue to be important. For example, Botswana has been able to benefit from its relatively unique endowment of natural diamonds (although this absolute scarcity of supplies has been aided by deliberate policies over the years by the De Beers diamond cartel to limit supplies into the global market). Yet even this unique resource rent is subject to erosion through a combination of limited deposits in Botswana, the incentive to find diamonds in other regions of the world, and the growing capacity to produce synthetic diamonds which are virtually indistinguishable from natural diamonds (Mbayi, 2013). The determinants of these capabilities are the subject matter of this Report. We begin in Chapter 2 by setting the export challenge in context, particularly in the context of the changing geography of global production and the boom in commodity prices. Chapter 3 then reports global and African experience in regard to the role played by industrial clusters in achieving and sustaining the development of dynamic capabilities. This is followed in Chapter 4 with a review of global experience in the fostering of supply chain efficiency. But growing production capabilities – facilitated through clustering and supply chain improvements – is only part of the story of successful insertion in global markets. Producers have to be inserted into profitable market channels and this set of challenges can only be understood through the lens of global value chains, the subject of Chapter 5. Chapter 6 concludes with a review of the primary policy challenges which these various developments pose for governments and the private sector in Africa. In participating in global export markets, the simple reduction in impediments to market forces will not in itself result in economically and socially desirable outcomes. Positioning in global markets is critical, and the nature of this positioning, and the capacity to change positioning, requires policies to augment capabilities in production as well as in the capacity to feed into the most appropriate markets and market niches. 7 CHAPTER 2 THE CONTEXT FOR AFRICA’S GROWING PARTICIPATION IN GLOBAL EXPORT MARKETS SUMMARY Given Africa’s economic performance in the context of its resource endowments and developments in the contemporary global economy, it is possible to draw a series of lessons to support export development in the future. Export expansion offers the possibility of supporting sustained economic and employment growth by aiding the reaping of scale economies, the development of specialised capabilities and the learning required to build dynamic capabilities. Africa’s low share of global trade provides the potential for rapid export growth, particularly to rapidly growing low and middle income economies such as China and India. These varied export opportunities arise in a context of attractive trade preferences offered to Africa in North America, the EU and China. Africa’s largely untapped resource endowment provides the scope for economic diversification and export growth through the development of linkages into and out of the resource sector. Without the development of dynamic capabilities, export expansion in itself is unlikely to generate sustained economic growth outside of a limited (and declining) set of activities where Africa benefits from large natural resource rents. Moreover, even in those cases where resource rents are significant, it will be difficult to sustain these rents in a world of intense global competition without innovation in processes and product. 8 Economic diversification is of considerable policy significance since over the past decade Africa has “retreated” into a more intense structure of resource dependence. Although resource dependence is less problematic than in previous decades (since resource prices are likely to be robust in the mid-term), commodity prices are volatile and this creates problems for macroeconomic management. Moreover, mining and metals, and oil and gas tend to be very capital intensive sectors and without economic diversification the benefits of resource abundance do not spread widely through the economy. Economic diversification through export growth simultaneously provides a major opportunity and a major challenge for African economies. To be successful it requires not just the ability to enhance production capabilities (including through exploiting the benefits of cluster dynamics and supply chain linkages), but also to insert appropriately in global value chains and global markets. 9 2.1. THE TRAJECTORY OF AFRICA’S GDP AND TRADE PERFORMANCE, 2000-2012 The 1980s was a period of economic stagnation – and in many cases economic reversal – in Africa. The growth rate remained low during the 1990s, but since 2000 Africa has become one of the most rapidly growing regions in the global economy (Figure 2.1), growing at a compound rate of 5.3% p.a. It is not surprising that phrases such as “Africa Rising” and “the African lion” have gained widespread currency. Figure 2.1 Average annual growth rates (1970 – 2000) Source: www.UNCTADstats Nevertheless, despite this impressive performance, Africa’s growth is built on weak foundations, and its share of global GDP and global trade (2.7% and 3.7% respectively in 2012) is small (Figure 2.2). Africa’s share of global manufactures trade (0.9% in 2012) is not just particularly low but has barely changed since 2000. These proportions contrast sharply with Africa’s existing share of global population (15.5% in 2013) and particularly with its projected share of global population in 2030 (19.2%) (UNCTADstat). On the other hand, these low trade shares provide plenty of potential to increase exports and for Africa to benefit from the scale economies and learning arising from successful participation in global markets. 10 Figure 2.2 Africa’s share of global GDP, global trade and global manufactures trade Source: World Development Indicators, accessed <http://databank.worldbank.org>, accessed on 26th January 2014 Despite its growing share of global exports, Africa’s net export performance has deteriorated. Imports have grown more rapidly than exports, so that the continent’s net export performance is less impressive than its gross export performance. As Figure 2.3 indicates, Africa’s current account trade balance expanded from a deficit of 2% of GDP in 2001 to 7% in 2013, despite the surge in commodity exports and the boom in commodity prices. Figure 2.3 Africa’s current account and fiscal balances Source: African Economic Outlook, 2013. 11 This overall trade performance occurred at the same time as a remarkable shift in the destination of Arica’s exports (Figure 2.4). Between 2000 and 2012, the share of exports going to China grew from 4% to 18%. During the same period, the share of exports going to the EU25 fell from 47% to 37%, and exports destined to the US fell from 19% to 11% of the total. Figure 2.4 The destination of Africa’s exports (2000-2012) Source: UN Trade Statistics, accessed through WITS <http://wits.worldbank.org>, accessed on 26th January 2014 Underlying these significant changes in export destination is the changing structure of Africa’s exports (Figure 2.5). In terms of Africa’s specialisation in global trade, the share of oil and gas exports dominates, and increasingly so. Between 2000 and 2010, the share of these fuel exports in total exports rose from 50% to 58%. The share of manufactures in exports fell over the decade, from 24% to 19%, while that of ores and minerals rose slightly from 8% to 10%. Considered globally, therefore, Africa’s export structure became increasingly concentrated in the resource sector in the first decade of the 21 st Century. Table 2.1 shows Africa’s export product concentration and diversification compared to other developing economy regions. Detailed analysis of all 53 African countries reveals that more than half of the 53 African countries are characterised by an export concentration index equal or higher than 0.40 (Morris and Fessehaie 2012). (The export product concentration index measures the degree of export concentration. Values closer to 1 indicate an 12 economy dependent on export of one product.) The index is equal or higher than 0.60 for a quarter of African economies. The export diversification index measures the extent to which the structure of trade of a particular country differs from the world average. The export diversification index ranges from 1 (the largest difference from the world average) to 0 (an alignment to the world average). All African countries have a diversification index equal to 0.5 or higher. For almost a third of African economies the diversification index is higher than 0.80, which is significantly higher than indices for Asia (0.24) and Latin America (0.34). As Table 2.1 indicates, excluding South Africa, Africa’s average export concentration index has increased since 1995. However, the diversification indexes of Asia and Latin America, including the Least Developed Countries group, show that these regions are more aligned with world averages and, moreover, they have improved compared to 1995. Table 2.1 Comparative trade indexes, by region (1995, 2011) Export Concentration Index 1995 2011 Export Diversification Index 1995 2011 Developing economies: Africa 0.24 0.43 0.55 0.55 Africa excluding South Africa 0.34 0.51 0.67 0.62 Developing economies: America 0.09 0.13 0.36 0.34 Developing economies: Asia 0.09 0.12 0.32 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.75 0.69 Low-income developing economies LDCs: Asia 0.14 0.25 0.57 0.47 Major exporters of primary commodities excluding fuels: Developing America Source: UNCTADStats, accessed in July 2012 0.14 0.18 0.61 0.64 The resource concentration of Africa’s trade with China is particularly marked (Figure 2.5), although the share of oil and gas fell between 2005 and 2010 as exports of minerals and ores to China grew rapidly. Africa’s intra regional trade represents a sharp contrast with this pattern of global and China trade specialisation. Oil and gas exports were a small and falling proportion, with minerals and ores dominating. It is also notable that the share of exports of manufactures within the African region was larger than in Africa’s trade with China and the world. Moreover, and this has important policy conclusions which will be addressed in Chapter 6, the technological intensity of Africa’s 13 intra-regional exports is considerably more technology intensive than its trade with either China or the world (Figure 2.6). Figure 2.5 Sectoral and geographical composition of Africa’s exports Source: World Development Indicators, accessed <http://databank.worldbank.org>, accessed on 26th January 2014 Figure 2.6 The resource intensity of African exports x Source: World Development Indicators, accessed <http://databank.worldbank.org>, accessed on 26th January 2014 2.2. A SLOW PACE OF STRUCTURAL CHANGE The rapid growth of Asian economies in previous decades - China, Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Malaysia – was accompanied by a sharp increase in exports. This led to changes in economic structure, and notably an expanding share of manufacturing in GDP, and a rapid growth in employment. Africa’s 14 recent experience does not mirror these trends (Figure 2.7). Whilst the share of agriculture in GDP remained broadly stable after 2000, and the share of mining rose sharply until the financial crisis of 2008 led to a sharp fall in commodity prices, manufacturing’s share of continental GDP declined steadily over the decade, falling from 13.5% in 2000 to 10.9% in 2011. In part, this absence of structural change is a result of rising commodity prices and Africa’s export product concentration (see above). But it also reflects the low rates of manufacturing growth across the continent. Figure 2.7 Sectoral shares of Africa’s GDP Calculated from data supplied by OECD Development Centre, February 2014. 2.3. IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE GLOBAL TRADE ENVIRONMENT The dynamic nature of Arica’s trade performance since 2000 must be set in the context of key changes in the global economy. Four changes are especially relevant to Africa’s future trade prospects – trade preferences; the shift in global growth poles; the demand structure in low and middle income export markets; and the sustained strength of commodity prices. Africa’s trade preferences There are two major types of preferential market access schemes which influence the direction and content of African exports - regional and bilateral trade agreements, and the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP). 15 Developed countries, in particular the EU, Japan, and the US, have negotiated regional trade agreements to further regional production networks. Twenty-seven developed countries have provided unilateral tariff preferences to over 100 beneficiary countries through the GSP. Within the GSP, there is some preferential access for lower-income countries, such as with the Everything but Arms (EBA), the EU GSP and GSP+ initiatives, the Lomé Convention and its successors, the Cotonou Agreement and the US’s Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). Canada and Japan have also improved preferential market access for least developed countries (LDCs) in their GSP in the early 2000s. Preferential market access in these agreements is governed by more or less restrictive rules of origin (ROO), which have a crucial impact on outcomes. A motivation behind restrictive ROO is also to support backward integration and regional integration as cumulation provisions often allow for the use of regionally produced inputs. Restrictive ROO may however hinder market access for lower income countries by threatening the competitiveness of beneficiary countries as they are not able to source inputs from the most competitive source globally. AGOA provides preferential access to over 6,400 products, and the EBA covers 10,200 products. The EBA is very regulation-intensive and is poorly utilised by eligible African countries. The benefits of the AGOA trade preferences are distributed unevenly between sectors (particularly oil, but apparel exports have also been a major beneficiary) and between various African countries. The primary lesson that can be drawn from these access arrangements is that “the benefits of trade preferences for Africa are rarely distributed evenly, and depend largely on the existing export capacity of each beneficiary” (Minson 2007: 8). Industrial capability of the African exporting country is hence a crucial factor in determining the success of these institutional arrangements. By 2010, China had granted duty free access to 31 SSA LDCs for more than 4,700 items, covering 60% of the exports of SSA LDCs. Most African countries exports to China are primary products, with oil dominating in value 16 terms. Given the importance of these items, China’s preferential market access programme does not seem to have had the intended effect of increasing manufactured imports from low income SSA countries. Given Africa’s production capacity constraints and capability deficits, the available evidence points to the fact this market access has not helped preferenceeligible countries gain a competitive edge over other rival exporters (Co and Dimova 2014; Kareem and Kareem 2011). African countries have also increasingly negotiated regional trade agreements (Figure 2.8). For SSA the most important are the Southern African Development Community (SADC), Southern African Customs Union (SACU), the East African Community (EAC), the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). North Africa has a number of regional trade agreements with Middle East countries – e.g. the Agadir Agreement (Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia, Jordan) and the Arab Maghreb Union (Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria, Libya, Mauritania). 17 Figure 2.8 Network of Plurilateral Groupings in Africa (and Middle East) Source: Chauffour and Maur 2011 The shift in global growth poles The second important trend framing the global economic environment within which Africa seeks to improve its export performance is the changing geography of global growth. On the one hand, the formerly dominant northern economies have experienced low growth rates in recent years, particularly after the financial crisis of 2008. Despite the recent revival of growth in the US (and the potential for sustained future growth provided by low-cost nonconventional oil and gas supplies), at best growth in the north is unlikely to exceed 2-3% per annum for some years to come. By contrast, growth in many southern economies, particularly in China and India, has been at historically high rates. During the 1990s, China grew at a compound growth rate of 9.9% p.a. and India at 5.5% p.a. In the decade after 2000 growth averaged more than 9% and 7% respectively. As a consequence the combined share of China and India in global GDP grew from a low point of 6.9% in 1969 to more 18 than 20% in 2006 and by 2030 is likely to exceed 35%. Despite the fact that growth has slowed in both China and India after 2012, these two very large economies are likely to continue to grow more rapidly than the northern high income economies (UNCTAD, 2013). The growth slowdown in the `north’ has led to a growing sense of export pessimism, although it is widely acknowledged that markets will continue to grow rapidly in low and middle income economies in general, and China and India in particular. The character of dynamic global markets is shifting The significance of this growing share of global production by the two large Asian Driver economies (China and India) goes beyond the size of their markets and the potential this offers to African suppliers to increase the value of their exports. As important as their market size, is the fact that markets in these two very large economies (as well as in other rapidly growing middle income economies) are of a different character to those in high income markets. This affects the pattern of import demand, and as will be shown in later sections of this Report, this has important implications for African exporters. Despite the existence of pockets of high income consumption, markets in China and other low and middle income markets are dominated by low income consumers. Figure 2.9 shows how household incomes in both China and India are clustered in the income ranges of $2,500 to $10,000, considerably below household incomes in the north. Although many of these consumers aspire to the higher quality branded goods which dominate northern final markets, they lack the incomes to support these aspirations and thus prefer lower cost, lower quality and often less branded final products. 19 Figure 2.9 Number of households, by disposable income, China and India, 2004 and 2009 India 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Households ('000) Households ('000) China <1,000 1,000 2,500 2,500 5,000 5,000 10,000 10,000 - >55,000 55,000 Annual Household Income (US $ Constant) 2004 2009 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 <1,000 1,000 2,500 2,500 5,000 5,000 10,000 10,000 - >55,000 55,000 Annual Household Income (US $ Constant) 2004 2009 Source: Compiled from http://www.portal.euromonitor.com accessed July 2010 Sustained high commodity prices Commodity prices have surged since 2001 (Figure 2.10). Given its resource dependence (see above), this is clearly of considerable importance for Africa. Although commodity prices fell back after the financial crisis of 2008, they remain at more than double the level of 2000 and previous decades. Perhaps more important, there are a series of reasons why commodity prices are likely to remain robust in future decades (Farooki and Kaplinsky, 2012; Dobbs et al., 2011). First, the demand elasticity for commodities is high in low and middle income economies, in large part because the major market for many minerals and ores is in infrastructure. China, India, Brazil, Indonesia and other heavily populated lower income economies are urbanising rapidly and their automobile markets are expanding rapidly. (China’s auto market is not only the largest global market, but is also growing much rapidly than in other countries). This requires heavy investments in construction and infrastructure. In the case of soft agricultural commodities, as incomes grow in these economies, demand is switching to meat products whose production is very land intensive, placing competitive demands for land across a range of agricultural commodities. Second, on the supply side, with a few exceptions, there are major impediments to the supply of low-cost resources. High yielding ores have largely been exploited (Figure 2.11), and where low cost deposits do exist, the gestation period in their exploitation is long, often more than 15 years. Moreover, in periods of major uncertainty, and in the context of 20 growing financialisation in the northern economies, there has been a slowdown in the heavy investments which are required to bring new supplies to the market. The net result of these linked developments is that the prices of all three families of commodities – agricultural, mineral and ores, and oil and gas – are likely to remain robust for some years to come. Figure 2.10 Commodity prices Source: http://www.insg.org/presents/Dr_Farooki_2_Apr13.pdf Figure 2.11 Declining ore yields in four key metals Source: Farooki, M (2013), 'An Industry at Risk?', http://www.insg.org/presents/Dr_Farooki_1_Apr13.pdf This rise in commodity prices poses a number of challenges for Africa. One challenge is the capturing of rent. In previous discussion we distinguished between resource rents (arising as a gift of nature) and innovation rents (arising out of investments in knowledge and capital equipment). Although 21 Africa does benefit from many resource rents, these are often overestimated in importance. Production costs are high in the context of poorly developed infrastructure and civil war, and it is notable that the bulk of new investment in mining has gone to Latin America (29% of total investment in 2012), North America (20%) and Oceania (17%). Africa only accounted for 14% of total investment in 2012, 2011 and 2010 (Farooki 2013). This means that there is an imperative for African resource producers to generate and appropriate innovation rents by reducing costs in extraction and processing. A second important challenge is to link the resource sectors to the manufacturing and service sectors. This is an agenda which is widely termed “Making the Most of Commodities”. Based on an in-depth study of linkages to the resource sector in nine African economies (Morris et al. 2012), it is possible to construct a general model of linkage development in the continent (Figure 2.12) taking account both of the localisation of what was previously imported and the growing trend towards outsourcing by lead commodity firms. The vertical axis in Figure 2.12 represents the accretion of value added in the provision of inputs into the production of a commodity. Based on the insights drawn from the core competences framework (which will be discussed in Chapter 4 below), we can identify inputs which the lead commodity producers have no intrinsic interest in maintaining in-house since they do not reflect their core competences. These are win-win linkages between the lead firms and their potential suppliers. On the other hand, there are a range of inputs which are central to the lead firm’s competitiveness and which it is reluctant to see undertaken by a competitor. These constitute win-lose linkages. The horizontal axis of Figure 2.12 reflects the passage of time. The curve shows that, as a general consequence of the outsourcing of non-core competences, there is a market driven process of linkage development. Initially the pace of outsourcing is low, it then speeds up and subsequently tails off as the easy hits are exhausted. This discussion of Figure 2.12 has given examples of backward linkages, but analogous examples can be provided for forward linkages, as core firms jettison non-core processing activities from their operations. 22 Figure 2.12 Market driven linkages over time Source: Morris et al, 2012 The shape of this curve is determined by a combination of intrinsic and contextual factors. The intrinsic factors reflect the technological specificities of the sector in question and which provide the opportunity for domestic linkages. The contextual factors, which determine the economic feasibility of local linkage development, reflect a series of social, political and policy factors. Based on the research conducted on linkage development in the resource sector in nine African economies (Morris et al, 2012) four dominant contextual factors can be identified. The first is ownership, particularly of the lead commodity firms but also of suppliers. In many cases the embeddedness of locally owned firms is an important influencing factor (Morris and Staritz, 2014), but there are also significant differences between individual firms and in the behaviour of lead firms emanating from different countries (including the distinctiveness of Chinese and Indian firms relative to Northern firms) (Fessehaie, 2012b; Fessehaie and Morris 2013). A second factor of significance is the quality of hard and soft infrastructure. This is a complex linkage determinant, since whilst poor infrastructure acts as a form of protection to local producers, it also simultaneously undermines their competitiveness. The third contextual factor is the level of capabilities in the local economy, the character of the National System of Innovation (which includes education and 23 training) and the gap between these capabilities and the particular demands of the commodity sector in question. Finally, a factor of pervasive importance – which we will discuss in Chapter 6 – is the nature of the policy environment, as well as the willingness and the capacity of the state to define and implement an effective strategy to promote linkages. 24 CHAPTER 3 AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS SUMMARY International experience shows that industrial clusters have often played a prominent role in global markets. In many cases they involve a range of firm sizes, including SMEs. These clusters are evidenced in both high income and low income economies. They arise because of the existence of external economies – for example, skill development, labour spillovers, proximity of buyers and sellers and the development of specialised service provides. When firms in a cluster join together to achieve common ends, they benefit from what has come to be called “collective efficiency”. This has proven to be especially valuable for SMEs whose problems are not just that they are small, but that they are isolated. Industrial clusters also play a very prominent role in low and middle income developing economies. Unlike clusters in the developed economies, these developing country clusters are often “survivalist” showing little sign of dynamism. On the other hand, there are many examples of successful and dynamic exporting industrial clusters in developing economies. Industrial clusters are widely observed throughout Africa, but are poorly analysed and documented. A review of 25 African clusters showed that those selling into export markets tend to be more dynamic and to be more deeply involved in upgrading. All of these 25 clusters benefited from external economies. Half of them gained from all four types of recorded externalities – skill spillovers, proximity of suppliers, proximity of customers and inter-firm 25 specialisation. A third benefitted from three externalities, and one-fifth from two externalities. Joint action between firms was widely observed and closely associated with cluster dynamism in Africa. The most prevalent form of joint action was in skill development, followed by cooperation in marketing and logistics. Twenty two of the twenty five clusters were supported by institutions. The most dominant type of institution involved the participation of multiple parties – government, the private sector and foreign aid agencies and NGOs. This macro analysis of the 25 clusters only addressed the association between cluster dynamism and cluster characteristics. A number of detailed case-studies in Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa shows how varied cluster dynamics are. It is important to understand these dynamics if policy is to be effectively tailored to support gainful participation in global markets. In recent years, Chinese state sponsored, but privately run, seven Special Economic Zones have been established in six African economies (Egypt has two). In principle they represent a new approach to a perennial problem in industrial and cluster development in Africa. But whilst one of the Egyptian and the Mauritian SEZs appear to have some dynamism, this does not appear to be the case in the other five economies. Most of these SEZs are in their infancy and it is too early to judge their likely future impact on growth, exports and employment. 26 3.1. GLOBAL EXPERIENCE: THE “DISCOVERY” OF CLUSTERING AND INDUSTRIAL DISTRICTS Until the late 1980s, Italy – an industrially advanced and high income economy – was the world’s largest net exporter of clothing, furniture and footwear. Given that these sectors were (at least at that time) labour intensive, this was a somewhat surprising performance, since wages in Italy were substantially higher than those in many low income economies, including those with diversified and developed industrial sectors. But perhaps even more surprising than this export success in traditional industries was the average size of Italian firms operating in these export-oriented clusters. In each sector, average firm size was less than seven employees. This low average did not reflect a myriad of one-two people enterprises and a few very large firms, but rather a relatively even dispersion of small sized firms in each sector. Despite initial scepticism, it rapidly became apparent that the reality was that these dynamic export sectors were indeed being driven by a very large number of small scale firms. The policy and academic worlds woke to the reality of industrial clusters. The fastest growing district of Italy during the 1970s was the Emilia-Romagna region, which had the country’s highest per capita income. In 1980 the average firm size in the Emilia Romagna region was five employees. Ninety per cent of these firms employed less than 99 workers. During this period, the region experienced very rapid industrialisation – between 1951 and 1971, the share of the population employed in industry rose from 25% to 51%. In 1983 Emilia-Romagna accounted for 10% of Italy’s exports, and had a trade surplus of $5bn. Its industrial centre, Modena, had the highest per capita exports in Italy, and these exports included both labour intensive traditional industries (clothing and ceramics) and higher tech sectors (transport, machinery and metalworking).15 One of the striking features of this export success in Italy is that economic sectors were often spontaneously clustered in particular towns. Woollen 15 All data in this paragraph are drawn from Best, 1990: 204-205 27 textile firms concentrated in Prato, ham producers in Parma, ceramics in Sassuolo and ladies footwear in Brenta. Hence, the phrases “clusters” and “industrial districts” were largely synonymous in the Italian context and this ambiguity in nomenclature continues to exist. As a general rule (and as we shall see below, this is for good reasons) in most countries clusters are generally concentrated sectorally in particular districts (Box 3.1). Box 3.1: Michael Porters definition of Clusters Clusters are geographic concentrations of inter-connected companies and institutions in a particular field. Clusters encompass an array of linked industries and other entities important to competition. They include, for example, suppliers of specialized inputs such as components, machinery, and services, and providers of specialized infrastructure (Porter, 1998: 78) Once the academic researchers had “discovered” these sectoral and industrial clusters in Italy, they began to unearth a large variety of such clusters in other industrial economies. One example which caught attention was Hollywood (and now also Bollywood and Nollywood). But Los Angeles was less an ensemble of firms, than of capabilities. “Virtual teams” of specialists would assemble to produce a film, and then dissolve after the film was made, recombining with other specialists in the region to make different films. Another famous and striking example from the US was Silicon Valley, initially spinning off from Hewlett Packard and Stanford University and rapidly transforming into a dense network of dynamic and interacting hardware and software firms, and mobile skills. In Seattle, specialist software firms operate in the vicinity of Microsoft and firms specialising in new materials are clustered around the Boeing plant. Similar clusters developed in the electronic games industry in the UK, with regional clusters of capabilities as well as firms in Guildford, Leeds, Brighton and Dundee. In Germany, metalworking and machine tools are clustered in mid-sized “Middelstand” firms in Bad Wurtenburg and, in France high tech enterprises are clustered around Sophia Antopolis. Clustering is not just evident in production – in most global cities, particular types of retail shops (for example, selling electrical lights, or furniture) are often co-located; the threats of competition are evidently more 28 than compensated for by the attraction of similar shops to customers seeking particular types of goods. So, how can the existence of these clusters be explained, and are they also to be found in low and middle income economies? 3.2. WHAT EXPLAINS THE EXISTENCE OF CLUSTERING?16 External economies The “discovery” of clustering took academics back to the writings of the economist Alfred Marshall in the late nineteenth century (Marshall 1920). Marshall observed the existence of industrial clusters around Birmingham during the UK’s industrial development, that is, “the concentration of many small businesses of a similar character in particular localities” (Marshall, 1920: 221). His explanation for this clustering – which he referred to as ‘industrial districts’ - was the phenomenon of ‘external economies’. Marshall defined these as the gains which are “dependent on the general development of the industry” economies, and distinguished these from the ‘internal economies’ which are “dependent on the resources of the individual houses or businesses …, on their organisation and the efficiency of their management “ (Marshall,1920: 221). Crucially, Marshall saw external economies as being accidental, an “unintended or incidental by-product of some otherwise legitimate activity”, and contrasted this with the internal economies which resulted from the deliberate decisions of management. What might these external economies be? One clear advantage of clustering is the existence of a pool of skilled labour. For example, the electronic games clusters in UK cities are characterised by a large turnover of firms, with high mortality rates. But as some firms die, new ones emerge, drawing on the pool of mobile labour in the environs. Another form of external economy is the existence of a pool of specialised suppliers. This can be widely observed in the auto sector, with component firms clustering around assembly plants such as Toyota City in Japan and (formerly) Michigan in the US. More than 80% of 16 The discussion in this section is informed by Schmitz 1995,1999, and 2000 29 the world’s racing cars are produced in a small area around Nottingham and Milton Keynes in the UK, aided by scores of specialised firms producing advanced new materials and with expertise in braking and energy recovery technologies. Third, this supply base is often located near a set of advanced Research and Technology Organisations in what is called a ‘National’, ‘Regional’ or ‘Sectoral’ system of innovation. A fourth important source of external economy is that clusters draw buyers to an area, in the knowledge that one amongst the many co-located firms (or indeed shops, in the retail sector) will be able to meet their needs. Finally, where production systems require rapid response (for example, when market demand is customised or is volatile), or involve the transport of bulky materials, the co-location of suppliers and assemblers can reduce inventories and transport costs. Given the unintended nature of the process and the fact that it arises purely from external economies of co-location, this form of clustering is referred to as “simple agglomeration”. From external economies to collective efficiency and trust Detailed examination of the performance of clusters in an increasingly competitive global economy after the 1970s showed the limits of external economies. It became evident that successful and dynamic clusters could not be sustained if they relied on unintended and accidental external economies alone. For example, how could the small Italian clothing, footwear and furniture firms which dominated global sales meet the needs of buyers purchasing in large volumes? The answer was that these firms operated in consorzia, sharing brandnames and showrooms, often agreeing to common designs and dividing large volume orders amongst a large number of small scale suppliers (Piore and Sabel, 1984; Best, 1990). Other forms of cooperation included access to finance. In Modena, Italy, during the 1970s, 3,500 firms participated in a Loan Consortium, providing financial guarantees to members obtaining loans from banks. This not only provided access to finance, but because of low default rates, meant that the costs of loans was 1.5-2% lower than for non-members (Best, 1990: 215). 30 An oft-cited example of successful collaboration was the Consorzio Poggibonsi in Tuscany Italy. Comprised predominantly of furniture firms, in 1983 it had 85 member firms employing 2,000 people with a turnover of $150m, of which 30% was exported. Members paid $6,000 a year and benefited from joint export promotion in trade fairs (domestically and abroad), market research, an export office offering (inter alia) translation and producing catalogues, bulk-buying in order to reduce the cost of supplies, training and assistance with computerisation (in those days this was something of a novelty) (Best, 1990: 216). Thus it became evident that dynamic and sustainable clusters were characterised by what has come to be called “collective efficiency” (Schmitz, 1995). This involved two phenomena. The first was the external economies which arose as unintended and unplanned consequences of simple agglomeration. As we saw this comprised benefits such as a reservoir of skills, local suppliers and a “magnet” for customers seeking alternative suppliers. But the second component of collective efficiency is when firms in the cluster engage in purposeful, planned joint action. The Consorzio Poggibonso was a particularly well-developed form of collective action, but it was not unique. Other forms of joint action in clusters are often more limited, focusing perhaps on marketing alone, or cooperation in training. Box 3.2: Collective efficiency Collective efficiency is “defined as the competitive advantage derived from local external economies and joint action. In other words, there is unplanned and planned, or as some prefer, passive and active collective efficiency” (Schmitz, 1995: 536) The experience of clusters in the high income economies suggests that successful collective efficiency depends on the degree of trust amongst members. Consider, for example, the financial consorzio in Tuscany described above. The collective guarantee of loans depended on trust in the reliability of individual members to repay loans which were mutually guaranteed. Or the Consorzio Poggibonsi who sold the output of its members 31 under a common brandname – quality weaknesses in any one member would have undermined the market position of all members. Two elements of trust can be identified from these examples (Humphrey, Kaplinsky and Saraph, 1998). The first is competence trust, the knowledge that members of the cluster have the capabilities to not only meet existing technological and organisational challenges, but in a dynamic and fluid world economy, to also respond to new and often unanticipated technological and organisational challenges. The second form of trust is contractual trust – can the members’ word be depended on, will they adhere to their commitments? But important as inter-firm cooperation and trust might be, they are generally not enough to ensure a cluster’s survival in a turbulent world. Clusters often also require support from government, whether this be local, regional or national government. In Italy, where government was highly decentralised, during the heyday of its industrial clusters the Emilia Romagna region was dominated by communist led municipal governments. As the clusters increasingly participated in global markets and as technology became increasingly challenging (including the diffusion of computers), local governments helped sectorally specialised service centres provide training and technological support. In the UK’s new media and computer games sector, local government in Sussex supported the development of a large, and now almost entirely privately-funded support centre, assisting more than 2,000 members with business development, training, accommodation, labour mobility, marketing and other services (www.wiredsussex.com). 3.3. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE MARKET CHANGES – EXPORTS AND GVCS The industrial clusters developed around Birmingham during Britain’s industrial revolution unearthed by Alfred Marshall served a local market. This was true of most clusters until the advance of globalisation. After the 1960s trade policy reform swept through much of the world economy and the consequent liberalisation challenged clusters in a number of ways. First, as the market widened, they had to learn to meet the demands of alien and distant consumers with whom they were not familiar. Second, they had to 32 produce in much larger volumes, since typically the global buyers who were driving globalisation sought to sell into a variety of markets at the same time. A third challenge increasingly confronting the vibrant clusters of the 1960s and 1970s was the rapid advance of new technologies. This required a shift from artisanal production to semi-automated and automated production. It also vastly increased the knowledge content in production, requiring member firms to become increasingly specialised and to invest in skills, R&D and design. These challenges posed major problems for clusters across sectors, and many of the clusters which had dominated global trade in sectors such as footwear, ceramics, clothing and furniture failed to make the required transitions. The Italian industrial districts which had been the exemplar for industrial districts during the 1980s and 1990s saw a sharp rate of decline. There were 184 classified industrial districts in the regional heartland of this industrial activity (North-West, North-East and Centre) in 1991. Ten years later their number had dropped to 130. Some of this decline was caused by competition from emerging economies in labour intensive sectors. But it also arose as a consequence of the merging of industrial districts, their members successfully transitioning into larger firms, and a movement away from manufacturing production towards higher value added service clusters (Rabellotti et al., 2009). The fourth challenge was even more daunting for cluster development. It is an issue which we will take up in much more detail in Chapter 4 below, but it is important to flag its importance here. The expansion of the global economy in the last quarter of the twentieth century was largely driven by global value chains. This involved the fragmentation and coordination of very complex chains of production meeting diverse and volatile consumer needs across the world. As we shall see, successful participation in these chains is very demanding and producers have to dance to the tunes of global buyers of final and intermediate products and services. Unless producers can meet these needs, they are excluded from these global value chains. Trust – competence and contract – is just as critical in these vertical global chains as it is in the horizontal industrial clusters. But so, too, is the capacity of individual producers in the chain to wrestle not only with improvements in process and 33 product, but also in their positioning in these global value chains. The upshot of this transition from “horizontal” to “vertical” allegiances has often placed insuperable pressures on clusters and cluster members, radically altering the policy attraction of promoting industrial clusters in an era of global production and forcing a deep structural reorganisation of their form and structure. In developed economies such as Italy, the impact of globalisation and global value chains has resulted in some labour intensive clusters (footwear, garments, furniture) internationalising their own operations through outsourcing part of their production to low cost regions in Eastern Europe and North Africa while maintaining control of their higher value added core competences and links to their global buyers. The net effect of these internationalisation processes is a shift in the size of firms in these Italian districts towards medium sized and groups of firms which have experienced the highest growth rates (Rabelotti et al 2009). The stresses and strains which this conflict in allegiances poses has, as will be shown, below, undermined the success of many clusters in developing economies making the transition from local to global markets. 3.4. INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS IN LOW AND MIDDLE INCOME ECONOMIES So much for the dynamic clusters in high income economies. But what of clusters in low and middle income economies? It is widely argued that clusters in low and middle income economies are distinctive from those clusters in the high income economies (Schmitz and Nadvi 1999). These differences are said to take the following forms. First, many clusters, particularly those in the least developed economies or in localities of great poverty in middle income economies, are essentially survivalist in nature. They are composed of informal sector operations and, unlike the dynamic clusters of Emilia Romagna, the participants in these clusters have few alternative sources of employment. Hence they engage in petty manufacturing or services, often on an occasional or “casual basis”. These clusters remain essentially static in nature for many years, showing 34 little signs of upgrading or firm development. Competition within the cluster is intense and little surplus is generated to enable investment in new equipment, experimentation and upgrading. The second distinguishing feature of the low income clusters is the market which is served. This is overwhelmingly local in nature. The entrepreneurs essentially make the sorts of products which they themselves consume and there is little incentive for product upgrading or for the extended division of labour which, as we saw in Chapter 1, is a function of the size of the market. Third, and this is a strength of a limited number of these low income clusters, they do have the advantage of providing “riskable”, small steps for improvement. In theory this provides the capacity for SMEs in these economies to fill the “missing middle” between the myriad of small firms and the large, often foreign-owned enterprises which dominate the industrial sector (Schmitz, 1995). This then raises the possibility of shifting policy from support for SMEs (a widely used policy lever in many economies) to support for industrial clusters in which SMEs participate. In reviewing the experience of industrial clusters in the developing world, we recount the experience of notable clusters in Brazil, India, Mexico and Pakistan and contrast this with the prominent role played by industrial clusters in China. This is followed by a review of the African experience with clusters. 3.5. SOME EXAMPLES OF INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS IN LATIN AMERICA AND ASIA. One of the striking features of the Italian experience with cluster development was the concentration of many of these clusters in precisely the industries in which low and middle income economies were thought to possess a comparative advantage. These were sectors - clothing, footwear and furniture - which were labour intensive in nature and which had a high elasticity of demand at low per capita incomes. As we saw above, for many years Italy was the largest net exporter in these sectors. But during the 1980s and 1990s, dynamic clusters began to emerge in a number of developing economies, leading to a substantial growth in exports, and eating into the market dominance of Italian and other high income economy producers. 35 These dynamic clusters were not limited to these three sectors, and similar dynamism was evidenced in other sectors such as surgical instruments and footballs. Brazil’s export move in footwear was largely driven by a cluster of firms in the Sinos Valley (Table 3.1). Significantly, this was a region of immigration, in previous decades from Germany, resulting in strong social bonds and trust relations – initially at least – in the cluster. Between 1970 and 1990, a cluster of almost 2,000 firms in the Sinos Valley in Brazil raised its share of world leather footwear exports from 3% to 12%, specialising in women’s shoes. By 1991 they exported nearly 100m pairs of shoes annually, valued at $900m. These firms covered a range of links in the footwear chain, and created more than 15,000 jobs: Table 3.1 Brazil’s Sinos Valley footwear cluster Sub-sector No. Firms Direct Jobs Footwear manufacture 480 70,000 Shoe components 223 28,000 Tanning 135 22,000 Service industries/workshops 710 18,000 Leather articles 52 4,900 Others 106 4,900 Leather and footwear machines 45 3,600 Export and forwarding agents 70 2,000 Total 1,821 153,400 Source: IDS Policy Briefing 10, 1997 The surgical instrument cluster in Sialkot, Pakistan, produced scissors, forceps, and other precision instruments using stainless steel. In the late 1990s it comprised of more than 300 manufacturers, subcontracting work to more than 1,500 SMEs, and sourcing inputs from 200 local suppliers and more than 800 service providers. Over 90% of output was exported and the cluster accounted for more than 20% of global trade, making Pakistan the second largest exporter after Germany (Nadvi, 1999). 36 The growth of this medical instruments cluster was spurred by the interaction and division of labour between two sets of industrial clusters. The German cluster, which had for many years dominated the global industry, began to specialise in more complex types of surgical instruments as its cost structure rose. It developed links with the Pakistan cluster which fed less technologyintensive instruments into the global trade networks which the German cluster had developed. Collective efficiency – that is, purposive joint action – in this case thus involved not only cooperation between firms within a particular cluster, but between firms in a different cluster as well as between the two clusters as groups of firms (Nadvi and Halder 2005). Joint action was critical to the dynamism of the Pakistan surgical instruments cluster, driven by the need to meet quality standards in global markets and the need to overcome logistical problems in importing materials and exporting final products. But the importance of joint action can be evidenced in other clusters as well. Table 3.2 provides basic data on three footwear clusters (in Brazil, Mexico and India) as well as the Pakistan surgical instruments cluster. As can be seen, each case involved a substantial number of workers and firms. Each of the clusters also had significant exports. Table 3.3 reports the findings on the links between the performance of each of these clusters and their engagement in joint action. Table 3.2. Number of firms and workers in four clusters Footwear and related industries Surgical instruments Sialkot Pakistan Guadalajara Mexico Sinos Valley Brazil Agra India 315 391 4,500 300 15 - 20,000 83,800 48,000 10,000 - number of firms 160 260 75 260 - number of workers NA 55,000 ? 2-3,000 - number of firms NA 760 225 1,500 - number of workers NA 23,400 2,000 9,000 Manufacturers of end product - number of firms - number of workers Suppliers of inputs Subcontractors Source: Schmitz, 2000a 37 The contribution of cooperation within clusters to the performance of individual firms was high (Table 3.3). To varying degrees three forms of cooperation proved to be important. The first was between two firms producing similar goods and services (bilateral horizontal). The second was cooperation between more than two firms producing similar goods and services (multilateral horizontal) and the third was between two firms in the vertical chain (vertical bilateral). In each case, cooperation was spurred by the need to confront a major challenge in its external environment. The greater the degree of cooperation in their responses, the better was the cluster’s performance. Cooperation was much deeper when more than two firms cooperated, and when firms cooperated in a vertical value chain rather than with firms undertaking the same activities. Table 3.3: Correlation of co-operation and performance Footwear and related industries Guadalajara Mexico Sinos Valley Brazil Surgical instruments Sialkot Pakistan Agra India Horizontal Positive, Positive, Positive, bilateral significant at 10% insignificant. insignificant. Horizontal Positive, Positive, Positive, Positive, multilateral significant at 1% significant at 1% significant at 1% insignificant. Vertical Positive, Positive, Positive, Positive, bilateral significant at 5% significant at 5%. insignificant. significant at 10%. Positive, Positive, Positive, insignificant. insignificant. significant at 1%. with suppliers with sub- - contractors Note: In the cases of India, Pakistan and Brazil the correlations are between changes and in the Mexican case between levels of co-operation and performance. Source: Schmitz, 2000a But sustaining cluster momentum is not easy. The Sinos Valley footwear cluster was undermined after the late 1990s by two related sets of developments. First, the primary US buyers of footwear had their own value chain requirements which, as we observed earlier, required longer-term commitments from suppliers and involved extended trust relations. The Sinos Valley firms who prospered in this vertical chain then began to experience conflicts in their horizontal commitments to other manufacturing and supplier 38 firms in the region with whom they had previously cooperated closely. Hence deep insertion into the global value chain undermined close links in the local chain. The second challenge faced by the Sinos Valley cluster was that the American buying principles saw the opportunity of obtaining cheaper shoes from China, and they began to reduce their imports from Brazil. The very same steps which had allowed them to benefit from entry into the global chain – that is, the surrender of their own design, brand and marketing capabilities in favour of those of their American buyers – undermined their capacity to respond to the new challenges posed when their American buyers switched sourcing to China. These two sets of developments – the undermining of local links through developing external links, and the loss of brand and design capabilities when clusters participate in global value chains – are widely experienced in other industrial clusters. They are, in fact, also evidenced in the decline of the Italian industrial clusters in recent years. China’s experience with industrial clusters is distinctive. The clusters in Brazil, India, Mexico and Pakistan described above developed autonomously, although as they matured each subsequently benefitted from local and national government support. By contrast, although China has a long history of cluster development (Enright et al., 2005) the recent dynamism of their clusters has been driven by proactive government policies. This policy agenda began in the immediate post-revolutionary period in which Mao Zedong actively promoted clusters as a strategic defence against the possibility of hostile external forces. Following this, a series of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) were established, providing tax and other incentives and designed to promote exports through inward FDI and (increasingly) joint ventures between Chinese and foreign owned firms. The first five experimental SEZs were established between 1980 and 1984, a further 14 were created in 1984 and the number has expanded rapidly since then. Initially these clusters concentrated in labour intensive sectors, and although of diminishing relative importance in the economy, they continue to make a 39 major contribution to output, exports and employment. By 2006, in 15 labour intensive industries, there were an estimated 536 clusters in China, with an average of 923 enterprises, $620m of sales and 51,883 employees per cluster (Wang and Mei, 2009). Box 3.3 provides some examples of the breath-taking scale of some of the industrial clusters in labour intensive sectors. Box 3.3 Some examples of China’s industrial clusters Jinjiang in Fujian Province has more than 5,000 footwear firms, employing more than 5000,000 workers. It accounts for 20% of total global production of sports shoes and sneakers. Donguan Province accounts for 30% of the total global output of toys. Daleng Town in Dongguan Province is a centre for sweater knitwear, with more than 3,000 firms producing 1.2bn pieces a year and employing more than 150,000 people. Humen Town, also in Dongguan Province, has more than 2,000 clothing firms, employing more than 300,000 people and producing 2.5bn garments a year. One in five of the worlds computers are manufactured in Dongguan Province, which hosts more than 10,000 IT firms and employs more than 7,000,000 workers. Zhuji town in Zhejang Province has more than 3,000 firms manufacturing socks. http://www.cn-jif.com/main.asp; http://old.dongguantoday.com/Economic04.htm http://www.economist.com/node/21552898 Most of these industrial clusters were located in formally constituted SEZs. In total, these SEZs – labour intensive and high-tech - were estimated to account for 22% of China’s GDP and 60% of exports and to have resulted in 30m jobs in 2007. More recently, the SEZs have concentrated on high tech sectors and between 1995 and 2010, these high tech clusters accounted for half of the value of high tech industrial output and one-third of China’s hightech exports (Zhihua, 2014). 40 A critical and distinctive thread running through this experience of the export oriented SEZs which have largely driven China’s industrial surge since the mid 1980s has been the major role played by government (Box 3.4). The central state initially saw these clusters as a way of driving employment and exports, and then subsequently as the key to promoting technology transfer, and upgrading, and then ultimately as the route to transforming the economy from a low-tech and labour intensive structure to a high-tech knowledge intensive structure. But support for clustering in general, and SEZs in particular, was not limited to the central government. Provisional government was also an active participant in cluster development as was city and township government. China’s Township and Village Enterprises (TVEs) were the backbone of its industrial development until the end of the twentieth century. 41 Box 3.4: What explains the success of China’s SEZs “The key experiences of China’s SEZs and industrial clusters can best be summarized as gradualism with an experimental approach; a strong commitment; and the active, pragmatic facilitation of the state. Some of the specific lessons include the importance of strong commitment and pragmatism from the top leadership; preferential policies and broad institutional autonomy; staunch support and proactive participation of governments, especially in the areas of public goods and externalities; public-private partnerships; foreign direct investment and investment from the Chinese diaspora; clear goals and vigorous benchmarking, monitoring, and competition; business value chains and social networks; as well as continuous technology learning and upgrading” (Zhihua, 2014). 3.5. AFRICAN EXPERIENCE WITH INDUSTRIAL CLUSTERS An overview of cluster development in Africa With more than 50 countries, each with its own history and trajectory, with different ecologies and endowments of natural resources, there is inevitably a range of cluster experience on the African continent. Moreover, unlike the widely documented European and Chinese clusters, the characteristics of most African clusters are poorly recorded. It is thus difficult to generalise with any confidence across such a diverse landscape, but a review of what is known about African clusters does point to a few general trends. An extensive search of the English-language academic literature documents, with varying degrees of detail and with different focal points, yielded information on the experience of 25 African clusters (Table 3.4.). These span 9 economies – Egypt, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Mauritius, South Africa, Tanzania and Uganda. They include clusters in the south, east, west and north of the continent, and both the manufacturing and agricultural sectors. The cluster experience is considered in relation to the major determinants of cluster dynamics in other regions of the global economy. The first consideration is the market for the cluster’s output. As we saw earlier in this Chapter and in previous chapters, the nature of the final market is a primary determinant in the organisation of competitive supply. The second 42 issue considered is the dynamism of the cluster with respect to its growth and upgrading trajectories. Not all clusters are dynamic, and the evidence suggests that static clusters either are survivalist in nature or ‘die’. The third is the nature of the external economies which explain why most clusters exist. These are the spillovers between co-located enterprises which are unplanned, in particular with regard to labour and skills, the proximity of suppliers and customers and the extent of specialisation between firms. Beyond unintended external economies lies the possibility of joint action between enterprises, distinguishing in our analysis logistics, marketing and training. Finally, the institutionalisation of support to each of the clusters is assessed. This support may be provided by government, by formal associations developed by the private sector and by parties external to the economy, such as lead firms or aid agencies. All of these observations are judgements made on the basis of publically available material on the nature and the performance of these 25 clusters. It is not possible to subject these clusters to any form of numerical analysis since each of these clusters has been documented in a different form. In later sections of this Chapter we consider the performance of selected clusters in more detail. 43 Table 3.4: Africa’s Experience with 25 Clusters: Cluster Domiatt Furniture End Market Local, National Evidence of Dynamism None (Domestic) Egypt Domiatt Furniture Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Collective Forms of Institutional Action Support None Cluster/sectoral External attraction, specialised service providers International (Export) Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning, Logistics Merkato Leather Local, National None Footwear Ethiopia External Economies Shiro Meda Logistics attraction, specialised service providers Local, National None Handloom Suame Metalwork Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Government, Cluster/sectoral, External None External None Government Learning Government, attraction Local Upgrading Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Ghana attraction Suame Vehicle Local, Repair Regional Gikomba Local None Availability of suppliers, customer attraction, specialised service providers None Furniture Labour supply, availability of suppliers, Cluster/sectoral, External None None specialised service providers Ngong Furniture Local Growth Labour supply, availability of suppliers None None Kibuye Furniture Local None Labour supply, availability of suppliers, Logistics Cluster/sectoral None None Kenya specialised service providers Eastland Garment Local None Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer attraction, specialised service providers 44 Kamukunji Local None Availability of suppliers, customer attraction Metalwork Marketing, Government, Learning Cluster/sectoral Ziwani Vehicle Local Upgrading Availability of suppliers, customer attraction Learning Cluster/sectoral, External Lake Victoria Nile Local, National, Growth, Availability of suppliers, customer attraction, Logistics, Government, Perch International Upgrading specialised service providers Learning Cluster/sectoral, External Lake Naivasha International Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Government, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning, Cluster/sectoral, External Cut Flower Logistics Otigba Computer National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Hardware Regional, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning, Nigeria International Nnewi Auto Parts Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Logistics Cluster/sectoral, External Regional Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers International Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Government, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning, Cluster/sectoral, External Logistics Cape Clothing & National Textile KZN Clothing & National Textile South Africa Logistics National, Mauritius Textile & Clothing Cluster/sectoral Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Logistics, Government, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning Cluster/sectoral, External Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Logistics, Government, Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning Cluster/sectoral, External Durban National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Government, Automotive International Upgrading attraction, specialised service providers Learning, Cluster/sectoral, External Logistics 45 Uganda Tanzania South African Local, National, Growth, Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Marketing, Wine International Upgrading attraction Learning Mwenge Local, National, Growth customer attraction, specialised service Learning, Government, Handcrafts Regional providers Marketing Cluster/sectoral Gerezani Local, National customer attraction, specialised service Learning, Government, providers Marketing Cluster/sectoral Labour supply, availability of suppliers, customer Learning, Cluster/sectoral attraction, specialised service providers Marketing None Metalworks Keko Furniture Fish Processing Local, Regional Growth Government, External Local, National, Growth, Availability of suppliers, customer attraction, Logistics, Government, International Upgrading specialised service providers Learning Cluster/sectoral, External 46 Moving beyond this summary of 25 clusters (Table 3.4), we now consider each of these cluster characteristics in more detail. The first issue is whether there is any correspondence between the location of the final market and the dynamism of the clusters (Table 3.5). A clear pattern emerges here. Each of the three clusters selling primarily into global markets, the six clusters selling into national markets and the 10 clusters selling into domestic and regional markets show signs of both sustained growth and upgrading. By contrast, the seven clusters selling into the immediate vicinity show the least signs of growth and upgrading – they are predominantly survivalist clusters. It is not possible to determine the direction of causality in these numbers, that is whether only dynamic clusters are able to sell outside local markets, or whether the act of selling outside local markets leads to enhanced growth and upgrading. Table 3.5: The final market and cluster dynamism Evidence of Dynamism Market Orientation Growth & Number of Clusters Growth Upgrading Local only 1 2 0 7 Domestic (Local and National) 2 2 2 6 Domestic and Regional 1 0 1 4 Domestic and International 5 5 5 5 International only 3 3 3 3 Upgrading As can be seen from Table 3.4 above, all of the 25 clusters benefit from at least one of the four categories of external economies – labour skills spillovers, proximity of suppliers, proximity of customers and the development of inter-firm specialisation and the division of labour. Table 3.6 considers the prevalence of individual external economies in these 25 clusters. It shows that 12 of the clusters benefit from all four types of spillover, eight benefit from three types, and five benefit from two types of externalities. In none of the clusters did firms benefit from only one type of external economy. 47 Table 3.6: Prevalence of external economies Evidence of External Economies Number of Clusters Availability of Labour Supply 18 Availability of Suppliers 23 Customer Attraction 22 Inter-firm specialization 19 2 External Economies 5 3 External Economies 8 All 4 External Economies 12 International experience shows that clusters achieve collective efficiency when members build on these accidental external economies and take deliberate joint action to strengthen cluster performance. Table 3.7 considers three types of joint action – skill development, marketing and logistics – and the extent to which this is associated with cluster dynamism. Approximately 75% of the 16 clusters cooperating in skill development have experienced sustained growth or upgrading, or both. A smaller number of clusters cooperated in either marketing (10 of 25 clusters) or logistics (11 of 25 clusters). Logistics cooperation is particularly closely associated with growth and upgrading, whereas joint marketing does not appear to be as important. The more clusters engaged in different types of joint action simultaneously, the more likely this was associated with cluster dynamism. Once again, causality cannot be imputed from these aggregate data alone. Table 3.7: Cluster dynamism and join action Evidence of Dynamism Evidence of Collective Activity Growth & Number of Clusters Growth Upgrading Learning 12 11 10 16 Marketing 8 6 6 10 Logistics 10 10 10 11 1 Collective Activity 0 3 2 5 2 Collective Activities 7 5 5 9 All 3 Collective Activities 5 5 5 5 Upgrading 48 Finally, there are a variety of forms of institutionalisation of joint action activities. One source of support is through government, either national or local government or both. Another form of institution is that created by the members of the cluster itself, or by sectoral associations. These institutions are both private sector driven. The third form of support is provided by parties external to the economy, such as through aid or NGOs. Table 3.8 shows the distribution of these institutional support programmes in the 25 clusters. The largest number of clusters received multiple types of support – from government, through the firm’s own contributions and from external sources. Four of the clusters support institutions were entirely the result of private sector cluster and sectoral initiatives, and an additional three involved collaborations between governments and the private sector. Table 3.8: Institutional support for joint action Number of Evidence of Institutional Support Clusters Only Government 1 Only Cluster/sectoral 4 Only External 2 Government & Cluster/sectoral 3 Government & External 1 Cluster/sectoral & External 2 Government, Cluster/sectoral, External 9 3.6 CASE-STUDIES: UNPACKING THE DYNAMICS OF AFRICAN CLUSTERS Whilst the sample of studies summarised in Tables 3.4 - 3.8 is by no means ideal in providing an overview of cluster experience in Africa, it does provide a reasonably comprehensive snapshot of what exists. What the summary table does not provide, however, is an understanding of causality, the determinants of the dynamics of these clusters – what drives them, and what explains their trajectories. An understanding of these cluster dynamics is essential for policy development and for this reason, the Report now covers the experience of some of these clusters in more detail, constrained of course by the extent to which the academic literature provides a holistic analysis of their trajectories. 49 These clusters are located in Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa and span the furniture, metalworking, clothing and auto repair sectors. 3.6.1 Egypt: The Domiatt Furniture Cluster Egypt has a long-lived and thriving cluster of furniture producers. However, what appears to be a single cluster in fact masks two sub-clusters with very different trajectories, and serving very different final markets. Cluster History and Characteristics18 Like much of the developing world’s early industrial development, the Domiatt Furniture Cluster had its origins in the disruption of global trade during the aftermath of WW1 and WW2. Production in France and Italy had been adversely affected during these two wars, and on both occasions Egyptian furniture manufacturers took advantage of the opening in the market. It clustered around the port city of Domiatt - a necessity due to their need to import wood (since Egypt had no timber of its own). Domiatt soon became the largest furniture producer in Egypt, companies expanded, and family owned firms gained an international reputation for high quality craftsmanship. After the initial boom, labour in the Domiatt cluster organised and industrial action increased. Firms chose to either remain in higher value added markets by importing high-tech machinery from Europe or to move down the value chain, to become showroom owners serving the domestic market and to outsource production of low-value added products to small non-unionised workshops. This shift was paralleled by a shift in the domestic consumer market toward cheaper, lower quality furniture. This saw the origins of two distinct sub-clusters of furniture producers – one targeting export markets, and the other the domestic market. The large majority of enterprises in the Domiatt cluster were small/micro firms with less than 14 employees (Table 3.9). In 2002, there were at least 50,000 firms operating in the area, employing over 100,000 people, 10% of the Domiatt population. The sector was characterised by high levels of artisanal 18 This account of the Domiatt furniture industry is drawn from El-Shahat 2007; 2011 50 skills mastered over a 25 year apprenticeship/journeyman learning process, and largely passed on through generations. Like many clusters situated in an African context, the Domiatt cluster operated without the support or assistance from the state. Table 3.9: Percentage - Micro, Small, Medium and Larger Furniture Enterprises Micro Small Medium Large (1-4 workers) (5-14 workers) (15-49 workers) (50+ workers) Egyptian Manufacturing 83.9 13.8 1.8 0.56 Furniture manufacturing (Egypt) 93.2 6.5 0.25 0.03 Furniture manufacturing (Domiatt) 92.4 7.5 0.09 .01 Source: CAPMAS, Firm Census 2003, cited in El-Shahat 2007 Domestic Value Chain Chain governance and trust The domestic VC consisted of three main actors - showroom owners, small workshop owners, and wood sellers. The domestic VC was price-driven, catering to the local market for cheap, low quality furniture, and characterised by power asymmetries that were consolidated through showroom owner governed credit schemes. The showroom owners held the power in the domestic VC. When an order came to the showroom owners, they passed on the “white wood” order and the design (a bare wooden structure) to the small workshop owner along with a letter of credit to purchase wood from a wood seller. When the small workshop owner completed the order, the product was delivered to the showroom owner and the credit deducted from payment to the small workshop owner. All higher value added activities (upholstery, paint, veneer) were then overseen by the showroom owner. There was evidence of trust between the furniture producers. When the showroom owners hired a small workshop owner, they provided them with an advanced payment so that the artisan could outsource certain activities to other specialised independent artisans - leg cutters, carvers, sculptors, etc. These networks formed a basic unit of collaboration between producers with evidence of significant specialisation. Most of these units have been working together for many years and exhibit strong trust relations. However, these 51 trust relations were not reflected relations with the wood suppliers. A major consequence of this lack of trust and vertical cooperation between producers and wood suppliers was the high rate of wood waste (5-20%). This resulted from a number of factors: Wood sellers used imperial measurements, while the small workshop owners used metric measurements. The quality of wood supplied was low and sometimes unacceptable for furniture production. The high humidity rates of the wood made it difficult to work with. Kiln drying required an investment that was often too expensive for small workshop owners to undertake. These chain inefficiencies could be traced back to the nature of value chain governance (an issue which will be addressed as a general phenomenon in Chapter 5). When providing credit for wood purchasing to the small workshop owners at the start of the production process, the showroom owners dictated what firm the small workshop owner must purchase from and what type of wood should be used. The restrictions placed on this process, severely limited the potential for knowledge transfers and increased operational inefficiency between the small workshop owners and their wood suppliers. The small workshop owners were locked into this arrangement. If they decided to produce their own products, to purchase their wood independently and to sell to other traders, they were “frozen out of the market” (El-Shahat 2007: 148). Skill Acquisition/Innovation The historical and cultural significance of furniture making in Domiatt generated a longstanding tradition of skill acquisition. The artisans that owned small workshops possessed a high level of skill. But they were price-takers in a competitive price-driven domestic market. As a result their margins were squeezed, and by 2002, 67% of the 80 firms interviewed had cancelled their apprenticeship programmes and 43% had reduced the number of journeymen. Table 3.10 gives an overview of the capabilities possessed by a 52 sample of 80 small workshop owners. Significantly, the firms were capable of modifying machinery and producing a wide variety of products. Skill acquisition was poorly supported by the state, and three out of the five furniture training schools in Domiatt closed. The remaining two schools were poorly funded and lacked skilled teaching staff. A Domiatt Technical Centre was established, but was unable to fulfil its mandate due to lack of funding. Consequently, the lack of training facilities in Domiatt led to an erosion of the high level of skill and quantity of specialised artisans that gave Domiatt its competitive advantage in the first place. Table 3.10: Base unit’s technological capabilities (sample: 80 firms) Capability Firms (%) Construct own machinery 58 Construct own flexible machinery 43 Modify imported machinery 87 Number of product varieties, 25+ 85 Research and development 11 Internal design skills 9 Source: El-Shahat 2007 The showroom owners lacked essential R&D and design skills. Artisans producing “white wood” furniture for the showroom owners lacked knowledge in both creating and reading technical drawings. This was one of the consequences of the governance of the chain by the showroom owners. The small workshop owners had no experience with executing codified production for tastes in export markets. They produced to the specifications of the showroom owners, largely transmitted through pictures of the desired products in outdated (over 5 years old) catalogues (Table 3.11). 53 Table 3.11: Sources for acquiring of knowledge on production and innovation Source of Knowledge Frequency of use of such a source (% of firms using such source at given frequency) Often Occasionally Never Catalogues (> 5years) 87 13 0 Catalogues (< 2years) 5 20 75 Timber suppliers 7 2 91 Machine suppliers 0 5 95 Showroom owners Paint/lacquer appliers 35 18 14 25 51 57 Fairs 9 14 77 Specialised publications 0 0 100 Technology Centre 0 0 100 Network (base unit) 88 12 0 Other Networks 4 10 86 Export Agents 0 21 79 Libraries or information Services 0 0 100 Spillovers 63 28 9 Institutional Constraints The Chamber for Trade and Commerce (CTC) in Domiatt claimed to represent firms from all links in the VC. In reality, the board consisted of representatives of showroom owners and wood sellers and perpetuated the value chain governance structures that undermined the autonomy of the small workshop owners. Furthermore, membership in the Chamber was expensive, creating a barrier to entry for cash-strapped small workshop owners. The first point of contact for potential foreign or domestic customers was the CTC, whose board directed those customers to its members. El-Shahat (2007: 142) described the CTC as a “private club,” that acts as an “old boys network.” The pervasiveness of showroom owner-operated credit schemes which was an important component of their chain-power was indicative of a larger problem in Egypt - the lack of a well-functioning credit market. Showroom owners had access to formal credit at cheaper rates and were able to postpone repayment for longer periods. Both formal and informal artisan workshops had few assets to serve as acceptable collateral in a formal credit 54 market - over 96% of SMMEs in Egypt did not have access to formal bank credit. Lack of access to the credit market was the main institutional constraint preventing small workshop owners from breaking out of this cycle. Export Value Chain The export VC was of different nature. Unlike the dispersed-ownership domestic chain, It was and dominated by three large firms, accounting for 85% of furniture exports and each employing 150-200 workers. Exporting firms produced high priced, high value added furniture for boutique markets in America and Europe. Domiatt’s advantage in these external markets came from the high level of skill and specialisation of its artisans. The subsector grew at a rapid rate. In 2002 exports were $30 million - by 2009, exports had grown tenfold, reaching $300 million. Skill Acquisition and Evidence of Upgrading Domiatt began as an export-oriented cluster after WW2. However, making the transition to successful exportation within the context of increasing global dispersion of production was a complex endeavour. The exporters were required to upgrade continuously in order to remain competitive. The following examples demonstrate ways in which exporters upgraded their skill levels in order to supply sophisticated international markets: Firms entering foreign markets were expected to reproduce a sample from technical drawings supplied by the buyer. Since none of the firms employed artisans that could read technical drawings, they had to invest in technical training, to learn how to produce furniture according to codified specifications, and to gain knowledge of ergonomics. In the beginning, buyers would often refuse payment because the product was in poor condition due to high levels of moisture in the wood supplied by Domiatt’s wood sellers. Since the wood sellers refused to supply the exporters with a higher quality of wood, the exporting firms were forced to invest in kiln driers to meet international moisture level requirements. 55 Prior to entering the market, the firms gave little thought to how to store wood correctly, resulting in waste when the wood warped due to humidity and poor quality final products. The firms learned to store wood in moisture controlled storage rooms. They also upgraded their productive process, establishing a centralised cutting area in the factory, identifying productive uses for scrap wood, and switchws to a 4-month wood procurement cycle in order to reduce inventories. American buyers demanded higher environmental standards for their imported furniture products. This meant the firms had to switch to water-based paints and lacquers, which required a transformation of the painting process and more efficient factory layout. Firms brought in foreign expertise to help them upgrade their process. American and European buyers demanded health and safety standards from their supplying factories, requiring the firms to make safety adjustments to machinery, to increase factory cleanliness and to provide safety masks and gloves to their workers. Collective Action and Trust Relations Cooperation between the three main exporters has grown in recent years as they realised the benefits of collective action, facilitated by a “gentleman’s agreement” to specialise in different areas of the export market. The export VC enjoyed the benefits of collective action in the following areas: They shipped together, benefiting from lower logistical costs. They shared the cost of hiring foreign experts to introduce new processes or technologies. They shared specialised technicians - painters, sculptors, etc. Because the firms were not directly competing with one another, they fostered a network of freely exchanged knowledge and information. At an international fair, the three main exporters witnessed furniture suppliers utilising wood 56 substitutes due to higher durability and versatility. One of the firms, with assistance from EXPOLINK (see below), had been using wood substitutes in their products for years and shared this knowledge with the other two firms. The switch to using wood substitutes reduced the cost of purchasing wood by 60% and also lessened their reliance on the weak competences of Domiatt wood sellers. Institutionalised Collective Action As opposed to the CTC, which largely represented powerful firms in the domestic VC, the export VC turned to the Egyptian Exporters Association (EXPOLINK) for support. EXPOLINK was backed by USAID and provided the following services for exporters: Connecting firms with foreign consultants who visited factories and gave advice on how to improve operations; Providing firms with specialists to aid in mastering a new skill or technology; Collecting and communicating a wide knowledge-base of different trends, quality standards, regulations, and market characteristics across the world; Subsidising 80% of costs for firms to travel to international furniture fairs. Significantly, these trips gave the three main firms an opportunity to spend time together, to share information and knowledge, and to build relationships of mutual trust. Specific examples of EXPOLINK’s contribution to the Export VC: Exporting firms learned through visiting an international furniture fair that Red Cherry and Maple furniture would be in high demand from buyers that coming year. EXPOLINK connected the three firms with a wood merchant in Cairo who was able to source those types of wood. The merchant also imparted knowledge of the wood’s special 57 properties and how to properly handle the wood throughout the production process. A buyer demanded a “Spanish coating” for an order. The firm turned to EXPOLINK who connected the firm with a “painting and coating” expert. Due to the “Spanish coating” process, the firm was also forced to change their factory layout to ensure sequential execution of the detailed process. Concluding Remarks Due to the high standards of product and process quality imposed on the exporting firms from boutique retailers in American and Europe and the lack of direct competition between the three main exporters, the export VC managed to upgrade cluster production processes, to break into higher-value added activities, and to acquire a wider range of technical skills. This resulted in rapid growth in the subsector. This export VC stood in stark contrast to the domestic VC. Small workshop owners, victims of an asymmetrical power structure, were stuck in low-value added activities to meet the demands of a price-driven market. They began a process of de-skilling in order to cut costs. This further eroded their chances of breaking into higher value product markets. There was some crossover between the two clusters. Some of the exporting firms occasionally subcontracted work to small workshop owners to cut production costs. The exporting firm supplied the pre-dried wood or wood substitute to the workshop owners and gave them a sample of the product to be replicated. Within this relationship there was evidence of some knowledge transfer. The artisanal workshops gained experience through working with a higher quality of wood and wood substitutes, and were expected to create a product to a higher level of specification. It was in the exporters interest to maintain this relationship after investing time and money in upgrading the skills of the workshop owner - herein lay the hope for workshop owner upgrading. If the export market continued to expand, more small workshop 58 producers would be brought in from the domestic market as subcontractors, freeing them from the control of the showroom owners and placing them on an upgrading path. 3.6.2 Kenya: The Gikomba, Ngong, and Kibuye Furniture Clusters19 Given the ready availability of timber and local demand for a basic consumer good, Kenya has a long history of furniture-making, spanning both the formal and informal sectors. The experience of the furniture clusters reported below addresses the experience of three informal sector clusters. The significant dynamic in these clusters is that it shows how, over time and in specific circumstances, some clusters can evolve to move beyond a survivalist strategy to target higher income markets, with the potential for reaching into export markets. Significantly, not all clusters display this dynamic and are able to make this transition. Two of these clusters (the Gikomba and Ngong clusters) are located in Nairobi, the capital city of Kenya, and the third (the Kibuye cluster) is located in Kisumu, the third largest city in Kenya and the provincial capital of Kenya’s western region in Nyanza Province. The information presented in this casestudy is based on data collected between August 2012 and January 2013 from 111 firms, of which 53 are located in the Ngong cluster, 25 in the Gikomba cluster and the remaining 33 operate in the Kibuye cluster. The majority of the firms operating in the Gikomba and Kibuye clusters were not registered businesses - only 1 firm in Gikomba and 2 firms in Kibuye were registered, compared to 18 registered firms in the Ngong cluster. The firms in each cluster manufactured similar products, but with important differences. Whilst the Gikoma and Kibuye clusters produced exclusively for low income consumers where price was dominant, the Ngong cluster produced both for these low income consumers and for higher income consumers. In the latter case, their products were beginning to compete with output from the formal sector and from imports. Firms in the Ngong cluster reported that they 19 This account of the Kenya furniture cluster is drawn from Attah-Ankomah 2014. 59 occasionally were visited by customers who they believed were foreigners, but they could not tell whether those items were for use in Kenya or in regional or overseas markets. External economies and specialised services Despite being locked into fiercely competitive price sensitive markets, firms co-locate because of externalities. These include benefits which have arisen as a consequence of deepening specialisation in each of the clusters. Some of the firms, particularly those in Gikomba and Kibuye, specialise in machining services to other firms while others provide such services in addition to manufacturing furniture (Table 3.12). The capacity of the Ngong cluster to provide both machine services and to produce furniture is a reflection of this cluster’s dynamism since some of the machinery requires relatively large investment. A second externality is that firms in these clusters rely on each other for product designs by copying the products of their neighbours. Third, suppliers of raw materials are also located in the cluster. And, fourth, working in the same geographical location allows the enterprises to draw on a pool of experienced labour, particularly in the Ngong cluster. Table 3.12: Nature of manufacturing by clusters Nature of Manufacturing Informal Sector Clusters All Ngong Gikomba Kibuye Furniture only 62.3 16.0 42.4 46.0 Machine work only 0.0 52.0 33.3 21.6 Furniture & machine work 37.7 32.0 24.2 32.4 Total 100 100 100 100 Collective action and trust relations Collective action - that is, building on external economies through joint action is poorly developed in these clusters. However, in Kibuye where there is an ethnically homogenous cluster where trust relations are relatively high, the local association was trying to erect permanent sheds to accommodate members. For the other clusters which are located in ethnically diverse Nairobi, collective action at the cluster level was virtually absent. The importance of ethnicity in supporting trust relations was evidenced by the 60 views of one of the firms in Gikomba: “We don’t trust each other but some people also envy others ... everybody here is careful if you don’t know the other person well, we always want to work with our tribe man.” Ethnicity appears less pervasive in the Ngong than the Kibuye cluster in Nairobi, reflecting the transition in Ngong to a more sophisticated product portfolio and the higher levels of education of the entrepreneurs in the cluster (see below). Cluster Dynamism The firms in the Ngong cluster are relatively dynamic and exhibit high growth potential compared to their counterparts in the other two clusters. Several factors reflect this dynamism. First, the firms in this cluster are able to produce furniture which is beginning to compete with products from large-scale or “formal sector” firms, which mainly target high-income consumers. One of the entrepreneurs reported that “... we have been in business for a long time and we produce high quality furniture that compares well with those imported from Europe or Asia and so my prices are not friendly. Sometimes, people come here and they run away because of our prices. Then, they go and buy [something from a low price cluster] .. which won’t last and then later they come back to us”. Second, the firms in the Ngong cluster are relatively young (the average age is 7.8 years, compared to 10.3 years for Kibuye and 12 years for Gikomba); yet, they employ more people on average than their counterparts in the other two clusters (Figure 3.1), suggesting that growth dynamics in this cluster are better than in the other two clusters. Third, the educational background of the entrepreneurs in the Ngong cluster is higher than the other clusters (Table 3.11). The cluster can boast of entrepreneurs with university and polytechnic qualifications and many more high school graduates, who seem to prefer entrepreneurship to employment in the formal sector. 61 Figure 3.1: Average number of employees by clusters Table 3.13: Level of education by sector clusters Level of Education Informal Sector Clusters All Ngong Gikomba Kibuye Primary or basic 17 12 19 48 High school 17 11 11 39 Basic + poly 3 2 2 7 High school + poly 11 0 1 12 University 5 0 0 5 Total 53 25 33 111 Challenges and government policy The firms operating in these clusters face many challenges. Infrastructure is poor. Particularly in the Gikomba cluster, firms operate in makeshift temporary structures which have poor electrical connections and are prone to fire outbreaks, flooding, and theft. While infrastructure is better for the firms at Ngong, they face potential ejection from this location as their sheds straddle one side of the Nairobi-Ngong Road which is due to be widened. If this happens, government may not provide alternative location, as officials from the Nairobi city council have already tried to prevent the operators from using this space. However, the 2008 Presidential Directive committed the government to channel all public furniture procurement to local firms, showing some evidence of support from the national government. 62 Conclusion The experience of these Kenyan furniture clusters evidences the effect of clustering on the operations of a group of firms and on industrialisation more generally. Clustering leads to several positive external economies such as those associated with the opportunities for creating and accessing specialised services, technological spillovers (e.g. copying of furniture designs) and skill spillovers. More importantly, the dynamism of the Ngong cluster – firms of growing size, moving into higher price markets, investing in more costly equipment and involving more educated entrepreneurs - suggests that clusters may evolve over time, with appropriate support form local and national government, into the sort of dynamic furniture clusters which emerged in Italy in the post WW2 period. However, as the Kibuye and Gikomba clusters show, not all clusters make this transition and are locked into a survivalist trajectory. 3.6.3 Kenya: The Eastland’s Garment Cluster20 Context The Eastlands garment manufacturing cluster in Kenya during the 1990s was located in two areas around Nairobi: the first, the Quarry Road market, in Gikomba, two kilometers east of Nairobi’s city centre: the second, Uhuru, situated a few kilometers to the south of Nairobi. Both markets were made up of concrete-block buildings that were built in 1974 to replace the previous make-shift establishments that dated back to colonial times. Although the new buildings were much better than the previous premises, they were still not suitable for garment production due to poor lighting, unstable power supply and lack of business services required by the cluster. The cluster was mainly made up of small-scale producers that produced garments for the local market. In the late 1990s there were over 600 producers plus a number of suppliers who provided the producers with various goods and services, such as machine repairing, scissors sharpening, 20 This account of the Eastlands garment cluster is drawn from McCormick 1998; McCormick 1992; Biggs et al. 1994, 1996; McCormick et al 1994; Ongile and McCormick 1996 63 transport and catering. Credit was also available from non-formal financial institutes like various NGOs. Interaction with Global Value Chains The two clusters began to grow in the 1970s when businesses started to manufacture clothing instead of selling second-hand clothes. The change was strengthened by the ban on imported second-hand clothes introduced in 1984. The locally manufactured clothes sold well in Nairobi and in other towns. However, this progress was interrupted in 1991 when the ban on second-hand clothes was lifted. Market liberalisation was a big blow to smallscale production as it combined with the already increased competition in the cluster as well as the weakened demand in Kenya’s depressed economy. Collective Action and Collective Efficiency Collective action and collective efficiency were not strong features in the Kenya’s garment cluster. For example, horizontal bilateral linkages (between two like firms) were mainly limited to the lending and borrowing of basic tools and no horizontal multilateral linkages (between groups of like firms) existed. Moreover, neither market had a site association or a sectoral association. Some limited vertical linkages developed between producers and their suppliers and traders. For example, some firms had strong enough relationships with their wholesalers to qualify for credit and the presence of traders in the markets enabled producers to access final markets. Despite these vertical linkages, the overall weak linkages in the cluster did not appear to result in joint action. A key characteristic in the clusters appeared to be the lack of trust, with producers complaining that as soon as they came up with a new design their competitors would steal their design. General Lessons The two Nairobi garment clusters are best characterised as survivalist, serving low income local markets and generally engaged in “repair” (tailoring) rather than production. They appear to have suffered as much from external diseconomies (copying of designs) as benefitting from external economies (proximity of suppliers and retailers). Product development was limited, cooperation was virtually absent and the clusters found it difficult to compete 64 with imports, either of new clothes or second hand clothes. The clusters also failed to form links with the large scale cut-make-and trim exporting firms operating in the export processing zones and exporting into the AGOA preferential market in the USA (which will be considered in Chapter 5). 3.6.4 Kenya: Kamukunji Metalwork Cluster21 Context During the 1990s, the Kamukunji metalwork cluster, mainly a craft-based cluster, comprised of nearly two thousand artisans making a variety of metal products with little division of labour within or between firms. Their products include tin-trunks, charcoal stoves, security bolts, cooking pots, griddles, bicycle carriers and wheelbarrows. The cluster was situated between the industrial area and the bus station, making it easier for the cluster to access the supply and product markets. The cluster has poor electrical supply and, as a result, most firms could only utilise simple technologies. This made the production processes slow and the products tended to be cheap and of a low quality, targeted at the large low-income domestic market. The location of the metalworking artisans in one area enabled them to benefit from external economies, particularly in accessing both product markets and final markets. The cluster had not been able to achieve economies of scale or significant technological spillovers. Collective Action and Collective Efficiency Collective action through multilateral linkages existed in the cluster primarily due to state action in the 1980s. President Moi had established the cluster in order to assist the artisans displaced as a result of the construction of a new housing estate. Most of the vehicle repair firms moved to Ziwani (see below). The metalworkers mainly relocated to Kumukunji where they were joined by other artisans. In 1985 the President visited the cluster, gave them the land permanently, and instructed the artisans to set up an association. 21 This account of the Kenyan metalwork cluster is drawn from Frijns et al., 1997; King 1996: 55–57; Undugu Design Unit, 1995; Haan 1995; McCormick, 1988 in McCormick, 1998 65 In 1994 the new Kamukunji Association of Artisans was formed. With approximately 850 members it represented all cluster artisans. It was affiliated with the National Federation of Associations, enabling the government to channel assistance through the National Federation. The association gave its members maximum exposure by encouraging them to participate in various trade shows and exhibitions. The association also provided joint security and recycling services and sought to assist members to find new markets, both domestically and in other African countries, particularly through the Kenyan National Chamber of Commerce. Another form of multilateral inter-firm cooperation was through informal groupings of firms that made similar products. However, this form of collaboration was limited, and the only documented example involved twelve firms that produced wheelbarrows in the cluster. This group helped replicate and simplify the production of a wheelbarrow they obtained from a local hardware store. The group also jointly marketed these locally produced wheelbarrows to local retailers. However, the group was unable to standardise parts across its group members. This case study illustrates the potential role played by government in fostering cluster development. Nevertheless, over a period spanning at least two decades, this metalworking cluster seemed to have developed little dynamism, benefitting from few externalities and displaying only limited signs of collective action. As in the previous case-study of the Kenyan clothing sector clusters, this metalworking cluster was located at the survivalist end of the cluster spectrum. 3.6.5 Kenya: Ziwani Vehicle Repair Cluster22 Ziwani Vehicle Repair Cluster is situated in the Eastlands of Nairobi. In the late 1990s, the cluster was small by comparison with other clusters in Kenya, with 506 enterprises crowded on 1.2 acres of land. The cluster included general mechanics, panel beaters, spray painters, vehicle-wiring specialists 22 This account of the Ziwani cluster is drawn from McCormick, 1998; Kinjanjui, 2000; McCormick et al, 1996. 66 and gas and electrical welders. The cluster also included some manufacturing firms that produced vehicle parts (such as silencers, rubber bushes, chassis, and car seat cushions), machines and household goods. There were also two spare parts shops retailing locally manufactured and imported spares, but most firms purchased their spares from other parts of Nairobi. The cluster specialised in the repair of older vehicles since the maintenance of newer models required costly diagnostic equipment. The cluster developed spontaneously in the 1970s. As in the case of the clothing and Kumukunji metalworking clusters, the Ziwani cluster benefitted from the change of attitude in Government towards the informal sector. This legitimised the cluster and brought growth and better infrastructure to the cluster. The second major turning point came with market liberalization. This resulted in the importation of spare parts and second hand vehicles. The large formal sector garages, medium-scale garages, and small shops, including the informal enterprises located in Ziwani, shared the market for vehicle repair in Nairobi. Being located at Ziwani facilitated market access for the informal sector firms because of the cluster’s reputation as a source of competitive vehicle repairing services. The firms also benefitted from the cluster’s labour pool, such as trainees, worker and entrepreneurs. Collective Action and Collective Efficiency Bilateral linkages were initially weak or non-existent with only a small percentage of firms in the cluster initially exchanging or sharing equipment. But as the cluster developed, there were signs of emerging informal cooperation between firms. For example, there was widespread information sharing from one vehicle repairer to another on new processes, such as the repair of new vehicles or the mixing of paint before spraying. There was, however, little sign of firms sharing equipment. In the late 1990s virtually all firms were involved in subcontracting, either accepting subcontracts or providing subcontracts. One of the distinctive features of the Ziwani Vehicle Cluster was the strengthening of this subcontracting system. A cluster association was formed and became 67 responsible for contract enforcement. All members of the cluster were members of the association, which provided extensive assistance to its members, including contract enforcement and security. Building on these successful subcontracts, the association took a further step by purchasing the land that the cluster was situated on from the City Council. The association also attempted to reduce its member’s capital costs by purchasing gas cylinders for shared use. Thus, unlike the Kumukunji metalworking cluster, the Ziwani cluster was strengthened endogenously through actions taken by member firms, rather than as a result of a Presidential Directive. The cluster slowly developed the capacity to take collective action through its own association, and in so doing to support the development of contractual trust relations, to purchase the land for its members and to purchase costly and scale intensive equipment which could be used jointly. Like the Ngong furniture cluster, the Ziwani cluster shows evidence of cluster dynamism, supporting external economies with joint action as it slowly built its collective efficiency. 3.6.6 Nigeria: Computer hardware and auto parts Otigba Computer Hardware Village (OCV), Lagos23 Cluster History and Characteristics The OCV began in the early 1990s with a few firms concentrated on two streets, specialising in computer, printer, and office equipment sales and repair. By the late 1990s, as computer demand in Nigeria grew, Otigba Street began attracting more and more enterprises, leading to the spontaneous development of a cluster of firms involved in the assembly and trade of computers and computer components. By 2004, 12 years after the initial signs of sector concentration, the cluster had expanded to include 8 streets and had significantly upgraded its assembly, trade, and production activities. By 2005, the cluster consisted of over 2,000 self-starting, self-sustaining enterprises, directly employing approximately 15,000-20,000 people, with 23 This account of the Nigerian OCV is drawn from Oyelaran-Oyeyinka 2007; Zeng 2006; Boladale 2006; Bamiro O.A. 2003; Brautigam, D 1997 68 additional indirect employment numbered in the thousands. The OVC is now perceived as the ‘Silicon Valley’ of not only Nigeria, but of the entire ECOWAS region. Evidence of Dynamism and Growth Several key characteristics of the OCV facilitated the creation of what became a dynamic cluster offering the potential for a significant future impact on innovation and high-value production systems throughout West Africa. The initial activities - computer cloning, assembly, and repair - were low risk activities, the small riskable steps observed as being important in cluster development in other regions of the world (see earlier in this Chapter). Further lowering risk levels and encouraging firm entry was the fact that the market for computers and computer components expanded rapidly in Nigeria during the 1990s, and continues to expand as the country requires higher levels of technological capacity to fuel rapid economic growth. The activities require a high base-level of knowledge and skill, creating an agglomeration of highly knowledgeable entrepreneurs. 90% of the entrepreneurs have formal schooling beyond secondary education 5% are university graduates, 15% polytechnic school graduates and 20% are specialised technicians. The formation of the cluster was made possible due to the convergence of two simultaneously occurring phenomena: the growth in demand for computer technology in Nigeria and the high unemployment rates for college graduates with degrees in computer science, computer engineering, and business administration. The cluster experienced a constant stream of new entrants after its informal establishment in the early 1990s. Moreover, firms within the cluster experienced impressive growth in profitability and exports. Table 3.12 shows 69 trends in profitability, turnover rates, and exports between 1999 and 2004. Profitability grew from 39.5% in 1999 to 44.4% in 2004, while exports grew from 24.5% to 39% of sales. This trend can be expected to continue - the cluster benefits from the high demand of low priced, cloned computers systems, which will expand as per capita incomes rise in Nigeria. 85% of Nigerians prefer cloned computers because of their low cost. This demand pattern is also evidenced in other ECOWAS countries, providing the potential for export expansion and the solidification of OCV as a hub for low price computer systems tailored to the regional market. Table 3.12: Trends in profitability, turnover, and exports Profitability (%) Turnover (%) Output exported (%) 1999 39.48 107.50 24.51 2000 34.75 82.14 23.98 2001 36.63 64.83 27.41 2002 39.24 192.50 33.37 2003 41.85 87.00 35.48 2004 44.37 58.00 38.99 Source: Oyelaran-Oyeyinka 2007. External Economies and Specialisation The cluster consisted of a wide variety of enterprises - suppliers, buyers, importers, clone assemblers, traders, repairs and servicing. Within each of the activities there was further specialisation. The large variety and level of specialisation of the firms translated into increases in operating efficiencies and provided the impetus for further firm entry in the following ways: Large knowledge base: The cluster attracted new entrants, as well as buyers and traders from other West African countries, facilitating the transfer of knowledge across borders. Inter-firm learning: The quantity and quality of knowledgeable enterprises combined with high levels of cooperation within the cluster (97% of firms indicate they cooperated with other firms in the cluster). 70 Access to inputs: The wide variety of components and services within a small geographical area enabled easy sourcing for assembly, cloning, and repair. The quantity of input suppliers created a highly competitive environment, driving prices down. Upgrading to higher-value added activities: Due to the high level of education within the cluster and the willingness to share and transfer knowledge, firms who entered the market in lower value-added activities (clone assembly) have demonstrated the ability to move onto higher-value added activities (locally branded computer or component production). Upgrading to branded production requires the mastering of a new set of capabilities - standardisation, design, marketing, and quality control. Once a firm moved to the level of computer production, these new capabilities were then externalised through the extensive use of apprenticeship programmes within OCV. Horizontal and Vertical Linkages There has been continual growth in the level of cooperation between firms with evidence of substantial horizontal linkages: Increase in use of industrial associations - utilised as mediums for information exchange, training, quality regulations, and joint marketing schemes. The presence of inter-firm credit facilities allowing firms that have run low on stock to purchase inputs on credit from others within the cluster. Cooperation in the form of joint warehousing of inputs and finished products, as well as joint sourcing schemes for smaller enterprises. Apprenticeship programmes which have been the main method of learning and skill upgrading within OCV. After completing an apprenticeship, the individual often established a new enterprise within the cluster. If the individual established a business outside of the cluster, they tended to maintain horizontal linkages with firms in OCV. 71 Technical support and consultation from experts recognised within the cluster. The reputation of expertise in the cluster led to firms from not only outside the cluster, but outside the region seeking technical support from the OCV. There are also a set of vertical linkages which developed in latter stages of the cluster’s development: The emergence of local production of computer parts and accessories. This has been accomplished by established locally branded IT companies, like Omtek and Zinox Computers who have managed to break into the highly competitive and foreign-dominated market by creating products that match their foreign counterparts in quality, but are tailored to the local environment. For example, Zinox designed the power units of its computer systems in response to Nigeria’s erratic power supply. Omtek designed keyboards that included the Nigerian currency symbol and which could accommodate three different Nigerian languages. There is increasing collaboration within the cluster between input suppliers and assemblers/producers. This is especially significant with regard to collaboration with both foreign input suppliers and foreign buyers of cloned or locally branded computers systems. Relationships with foreign firms in China, Malaysia, and Dubai have increased the scale of information and technology transfer, improving quality and prospects for innovative activity. Institutionalised Collective Action Horizontal linkages have been institutionalised in the form of industrial organisations. The most significant of these associations is the Computer and Allied Products Dealers Association (CAPDAN). CAPAN was established in 2003 with the initial objective of addressing security and infrastructural issues within the cluster. Since establishment, CAPDAN has accomplished the following: 72 Registration of all of the enterprises operating in OCV, involving over 4,500 firms and 1,500 street vendors. Worked with local police to install security cameras on Otigba Street, resulting in a significant decrease in crime. Negotiated with the Ikeja local government to provide an indoor facility for street vendors, further improving security. Applied for land allocation in Abuja to develop another IT cluster similar to OCV in order to better meet the growing technological demand from government ministries located in Abuja. Initiated a dialogue with Microsoft to get a significant reduction in the cost of Microsoft software in order to address pervasive software piracy in the cluster. Challenges and Government Policy The main challenge facing the OCV is the absence of national government support. Nigerian industrial policy long favoured a strategy of supporting large state-owned enterprises at the expense of SMME development. While the national government does have an ICT development policy, this involves a blanket application of generalised interventions with no differentiation of policies to address the needs of different sizes, subsectors such as ICT, and locales such as Ikeja. Furthermore, the state has not supported the cluster in upgrading infrastructure, providing new industrial spaces, or increasing access to seed funding to encourage new entrants and innovation. In summary, the spontaneous creation of a cluster, consisting almost entirely of SMMEs that participate in technologically advanced activities is unusual in an African context. The fact that it has occurred without the direct support from national government and within the context of poor institutional and infrastructure systems, makes it all the more unusual. As in the case of Kenya’s furniture and auto repair clusters, the OCV cluster shows the importance of time. Clusters, including those which have developed spontaneously, have their own trajectories and take time to develop. 73 However, in this case, the cluster shows the potential for sustained and high value added development in the future. Compared to the survivalist clothing and metalworking clusters in Kenya, it is at the opposite end of the African cluster spectrum when considering dynamism and future growth potential. This potential is particularly marked in the case of future Nigerian exports within the region, rather than into intensely competitive global markets, not least because of the cluster’s capacity to tailor its products and services to meet specific local operating conditions. 3.6.7 Nigeria: Nnewi Auto Parts Cluster24 Cluster History and Characteristics Nnewi encompasses four villages in rural Southeast Nigeria. The area has a long history of trading in automotive spare parts. The destruction caused by the Nigerian Civil War (1967-1970), prompted a consolidation of the auto spare trading network into one centralised location - the Nkwor Motor Spare Parts Market. The physical proximity of the firms enabled the establishment of trading rules and norms, and social cohesion and cooperation. The development trajectory of most of the manufacturing firms operating in Nnewi is remarkably similar to the iCT in Otigba. Nnewi manufacturers began as importers and distributors of auto spares from East Asia (mainly Taiwan). These distribution networks developed through extended family ties, with each family often specialising in supplying spare parts for a particular automotive brand. Trading activities allowed Nnewe industrialists to build the capital and knowledge levels necessary to enter into repair and manufacturing with greatly reduced risk. They utilised the relationships they had built up and maintained over decades with their East Asian suppliers in order to learn about the market and the technology necessary for production. In most cases, the new factories began producing the same products which they were 24 This account of the Nnewi cluster is drawn from Abiola 2006; Oyelaran-Oyeyinka 1997; Brautigam 1997, 2003. 74 previously importing, using second-hand imported machinery sourced from their Taiwanese partners. The Taiwanese partner would often train the new manufacturing staff in either their Taiwanese factory or send their technicians to Nnewe. Nigeria’s Structural Adjustment Programme from the late 1980s resulted in the devaluation of the Nigerian currency, which increased the costs of importing spares. During this time, Nnewi experienced an increasing amount of new entrants into the auto spares sector to fill the domestic demand for products that were now too expensive to import. By the mid-1990s, the cluster was supplying more than 80% of auto spares in Nigeria. In the context of a national and regional economic decline, the rapid rate of cluster growth was impressive, especially when so many SMMEs in Nigeria were failing. By the end of the 1990s, the cluster largely comprised of SMMEs (80%), most established between 1977 and 1987, and fully Nigerian-owned. The manufacturing firms produced a wide variety of products including, but not limited to, automotive spare parts, motorcycle parts and engines, cables and hoses, exhaust systems, and auto filters. 25% of firms exported their products to foreign markets, almost exclusively to other West African countries. Skill Acquisition/Innovation The transition from trading and marketing imported auto spares to producing them locally was made possible by the extensive experience that Nnewi entrepreneurs had acquired through close familial networks, the transfer of industry skills and knowledge generationally, and the longstanding relationships traders had fostered with their Taiwanese suppliers. Most of the early-entrant entrepreneurs had a very basic level of education and were semi-literate. They gained skills through an informal apprentice system rooted within extended family networks. By 2005, the average education levels of the entrepreneurs had improved markedly - 41% had a high school education, 29% had a technical school education, and 16% had a university degree. However, transfers of knowledge and skills through 75 informal apprenticeships were still a critical source of training and continued to facilitate the accumulation of critical skills within family lineages. The system of knowledge and technological transfers from Taiwanese firms to Nnewe firms was maintained as Nnewe firms continued to upgrade their manufacturing processes. In 2006, 80% of the firms sourced more than 60% of their machinery from foreign suppliers. When firms chose to upgrade their technology, the main motivations were improving old processes, expanding the variety of products, and enlarging production capacity. 60% of firms interviewed chose to invest in process upgrading in order to achieve greater efficiency. While there is little evidence of major innovations in design or productive capacity - Nnewi firms were basically copying tried and true production processes developed in Asia - there is evidence of technological modifications. The modification and improvement of old technology in order to adapt to a Nigerian industrial setting illustrates a capacity for growth and dynamism within the cluster. Linkages and Trust Relations Relationships within the Nnewi cluster can be separated into three categories: trade, social, and production relationships. Each operated at different levels of sophistication and impact on the cluster’s development. Trade relationships (backward linkages with input suppliers): The most advantageous networking relationship was between individual Nnewi firms and their respective Taiwanese partners. These relationships were strong and enduring and entailed a great deal of trust. Taiwanese producers and wholesalers provided critical advice, assistance, and training that benefited the Nnewi firms in terms of machinery and technology upgrading. Social relationships (horizontal linkages): The origins of the cluster, rooted in familial networks, created a foundation for horizontal linkages between firms - sharing of information, experienced personnel, and 76 equipment is common within lineages. As described above, familial ties played a critical role in skill acquisition through apprenticeship systems. Extended families often jointly invested in service provision to multiple factories (i.e. access roads, water boreholes, generators). Additionally, where the state failed to provide accessible services, close-knit family and ethnic ties facilitated access to informal credit and venture capital. When industrialists in Nnewe wanted to start or expand their business, wealthy friends or family would often assist by providing ‘informal shares’ in the endeavour. Production relationships (horizontal linkages): While joint action was common within family circles, cooperation extending beyond family was rare. Collective action in the areas of joint marketing and labour training was low. Levels of subcontracting and specialisation stagnated. Institutional Constraints and Policy Implications In Nnewi, there were two private industrial associations which represented the needs of the manufacturers - the Nnewi Chamber of Commerce, Industry Mines, and Agriculture (NCC/MA) and the Nigerian Association of Small Scale Industries (NASSI). Most firms belonged to at least one of these associations. These private institutions worked to provide opportunities for inter-firm communication, information exchange, and joint action to solve collective problems. Most significantly, the institutions promoted the needs of the cluster on a national scale, especially with regard to lobbying the government to improve the state of infrastructure in Nnewi. Nnewi industrialists have ‘substituted for the state’ in the provision of public goods. Without public provision of basic infrastructure - roads, water, electricity - or access to financing, the manufacturers in Nnewi have had to create private solutions to these public problems. However, these solutions entailed large overhead costs, undermining the ability of firms to invest in R&D, design skills, and technical upgrading - all essential elements to maintain cluster dynamism. 77 In summary, as in the case of the cluster of computer firms in Lagos, the Nnewi auto parts cluster represents a relatively advanced case of cluster development in Africa which bodes well for future development. It exists despite rather than because of state support and, like the Demiatt furniture cluster, has its origins in the breakdown of reliable import channels during periods of conflict. Not only has the state effectively ignored the cluster’s dynamism, but the cluster has had to fill gaps in the provision of public goods which are normally considered to be the responsibility of government. One of the important features in this story of cluster dynamism is the role of trust – within families in the Nnewi region, and between Nnewi entrepreneurs and their Taiwanese business partners. These trust relations evidence the importance of time in trust and cluster development. A further important aspect of this cluster’s development is that its exports begin in the regional market, mirroring the experience of the Nigeria’s computer cluster and Ghana’s mining services sector (Morris et al. 2012). Finally, as in the OCV computer cluster, cluster dynamism was associated with sustained upgrading at the firm level. 3.6.8 South Africa: The Clothing & Textile Clusters (CCTC/KZNCTC)25 Cluster history and context In mid 2004, the Western Cape provincial government approached a service provider firm, Benchmarking and Manufacturing Analysts (BMA), which was working with the automotive sector to build competitiveness through a cluster/learning network approach. BMA was asked to use its experience and facilitate the establishment of a provincial cluster in the garment and textile industry in the Western Cape. Soon afterwards the Durban Metropolitan local government requested a similar initiative in KwaZulu-Natal province. The Cape Clothing and Textile Cluster (CCTC) and KwaZulu-Natal Clothing and Textile Cluster (KZNCTC) were launched in 2004 and 2005 respectively. The Western Cape Provincial government provided funding and institutional support for the CCTC. The KZNCTC received support from the Durban 25 This account of the CCTC and KZNCTC is drawn from Arde 2011, Morris and Levy 2014; Morris and Barnes 2007. 78 Metropolitan Government and the Provincial Government. Both clusters are currently very active Horizontal/Vertical Linkages and Trust Relations The clusters are private/public sector organisations. They are membership driven and constitutionally governed organisations of firms comprising a critical mass of the leading garment and textile firms in each province. Provincial and local government provide the enabling environment and the majority of funding, whilst the service providers provide technical support. Both clusters are legally registered as non-profit membership based organisations. Their constitutions specify clear governance functions - an elected executive committee of manufacturer firms, plus provincial government representatives, as well as the service providers. Only manufacturers are eligible to be elected office bearers of any committees. Manufacturers pay membership fees which account for 25% of operating costs, with government funding covering the remainder. Retailers pay full membership fees plus additional funding for two special programs – value chain alignment and world class manufacturing. Retailers participate in cluster activities through multiple channels (though they have seldom played a leading role in operational cluster activities). Their joining in the cluster sent an important message to producers, and exerted pressure on their own suppliers to join the clusters. In some cases this has been through fear of losing favour, in others it has been as a means of enhancing operational quality and remaining in the retailer’s supply chain. Perhaps most fundamentally, in the early stages of development the retailers demonstration of their commitment to upgrading the domestic industry helped build trust, confidence and hope. Institutionalised Collective Action There are three technical steering committees comprising member firm volunteers and focusing on three areas of cluster activity - world class manufacturing, human resource development, and value chain alignment. These operate with clear business plans and budgets. Activities and services provided in the three core areas are decided upon and administered by the 79 technical steering committees. All members receive newsletters, are individually benchmarked in terms of world class manufacturing operational performance criteria, comparing their own performance to South African and international industry norms. They are expected to participate in workshop training activities, and receive technical assistance in preparing applications for industry support programs sponsored by central government. Skill Acquisition and Evidence of Upgrading These clusters are fundamentally concerned with raising the operational performance and competitiveness of member firms. Hence the workshops and activities are heavily loaded towards skills acquisition in world class manufacturing techniques and therefore process upgrading. This is reflected in the changes in the average operational performance data for the two clusters between 2006 and 2012 (Table 3.13). Average work-in-progress inventory improved by 28%, whilst finished goods inventory was reduced by 34%, resulting not only in lower financing costs but also in an ability to move towards greater flexibility. Similarly, quality (reflected in customer return rates) improved by nearly 50%. Their change in capabilities to undertake more rapid style changeover is another index of flexibility and this improved by 30%. Table 3.13: Operational performance of CCTC and KZNCTC combined 2006 2012 Total Inventory (Days) 37.56 30.58 % Change 2006-2012 18.58 Work in Progress (Days) 6.90 4.98 27.74 Finished Goods (Days) 11.76 7.76 34.07 Customer Return Rate (%) 2.68 1.39 48.04 Style Changeovers (%) Source: BMA 8.36 5.85 30.05 Cluster drivers The differentiating feature of clothing and textiles is the critical lead role played in the domestic value chain by the large domestic retail firms which hold the future of the firms in their supply chain in their hands. Although the existence of the cluster is not in jeopardy, its momentum has been uneven. Membership has fluctuated due to government inconsistency in funding, the global crisis, and finally, the fact that domestic retailers are shifting their 80 primary focus from support for the cluster generally to vertical linkage support for their primary suppliers in their own supply chains. 3.6.9 China SEZs in Africa26 At the Beijing Forum on China-African Cooperation (FOCAC) Summit in November 2006, the Chinese government, in line with its “Going Global” economic strategy, presented a framework for future Chinese investment in the continent. A key element of this framework was the development of Special Economic Zones (SEZs), modelled on its very successful domestic SEZ programme that successfully underlay rapid export growth and employment (and described earlier in this Chapter). After the FOCAC summit, the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) held two rounds of tenders. More than 120 Chinese companies submitted proposals to a panel of experts who then selected 19 global SEZ projects, seven of which were located in Africa. China’s SEZ programme represents a new approach to industrial development in Africa. In the past, African economic zones and industrial parks have been designed, developed, and run by central government agencies. The results of these programmes have been largely disappointing. In contrast, although funded by the Chinese government, these new zones were designed and run by private firms, who were selected on the basis of economic feasibility and potential profit gains. The Chinese government has assumed a hands-off approach to the SEZs - support is given through funding in grants and long-term loans. Chinese companies, both SOEs and private enterprises, are the drivers of SEZ design and implementation. Two of the seven zones are 100% Chinese owned (Mauritius and Ethiopia), while the other five are joint ventures between Chinese companies and African state partners. In both Egypt and Mauritius, the SEZs predate the 2006 discussions at FOCAC for the wider establishment of SEZs in Africa. Table 3.14 provides data on the seven SEZs selected for construction in six African countries (there are two in Nigeria). Many of the SEZ projects involve This account of China’s SEZ programme in Africa is drawn from Ancharaz & Nowbutsing 2010; Brautigam & Xiaoyang, 2011; Brautigam and Tang 2011; FIAS 2008; LFZDC 2014; World Bank 2009 26 81 expanding or upgrading existing Chinese industrial clusters - their planning and construction predates the 2006 announcement of the programme. Table 3.14: China’s Official Planned African SEZs Country Zambia Planning Initiated 2003 Chambishi Egypt Suez Status as of late 2010 Developers In operation/under China Nonferrous Mining Group construction 1994 Planned Industry Focus Copper and Cobalt processing In operation/under Tianjin TEDA, China-African Textiles & garments, construction Development Fund, Egypt-China petroleum equipment, Corporation for Investment, automobile assembly, Tainjin Suez International electronics assembly Cooperation Co. Nigeria 2003 Under construction Lekki Nigeria 2004 Under construction Ogun China Civil Engineering Transport equipment, Construction, Jiangning textile & light industries, Development Corp, Nanjing home appliances, Beyond, China Railway, Lekki telecommunications. Worldwide Investments Ltd Possible oil refinery. Guangdong Xinguang, South Ceramics, ironware, China Development Group, furniture, lighting wood Ogun State Government processing, medicine, computers, construction materials Mauritius 2006-07 Under construction Jinfei Shanxi-Tianli Group, Shanxi Services (tourism, Coking Coal Group, Taiyuan finance, education) Iron & Steel Co Manufacturing (textile, garment, machinery, hi-tech), trade, Ethiopia 2006-07 Under construction Oriental Yonggang, Qiyuan Group, Electric machinery, Jianglian Int’l Trade, Yangyan steel & metallurgy, Asset management & construction materials Zhangjiagang Free Trade Zone Algeria Jiangling 2006-07 Approved but Jiangling Automobile, Automobile assembly, suspended Zhongding International construction materials Source: Brautigam & Xiaoyang, 2011 African governments are expected to regulate zone activities and provide incentives for foreign investment in the zones. The incentive packages offered are similar across the different host countries, providing tax holidays, removal of import tariffs on inputs and low labour regulation. Box 3.5 gives an example of the incentives offered by the Lekki Free Zone in Lagos. 82 Box 3.5: Business Incentives offered at Lekki Free Zone 100% foreign ownership of investment 100% repatriation of capital, profit, and dividends Complete tax holiday form all Federal, State and Local government taxes, custom duties, and levies Permission to sell 100% of manufactured, assembled or imported goods into the domestic Nigerian market Waiver on all import and export licenses Duty-free, tax-free import of raw materials and components for goods destined for re-export Duty-free capital goods, consumer goods, machinery, equipment, and furniture No threshold/quota for foreign employees Prohibition of strikes within 10 years of operation Long lease for investors (up to 99 years since 2006) Source: LFZDC 201427 There are a number of factors underlying this commitment by China to the development of SEZs in Africa. Many critics of Chinese involvement in Africa argue that the EPZs are a reflection of Chinese neo-colonialism, viewing the SEZs as a mechanism for the extraction of resources. However, although each of the SEZs differ with regard to design, ownership, and sectoral focus, they are predominantly oriented towards manufacturing. Only one of the SEZs (Chambishi) is explicitly linked to commodity extraction and processing. There are two other rationales for the SEZ programme: Emerging consumer markets in Africa hold potential as a future destination for Chinese goods and services. If African countries experience sustained economic growth, per capita incomes will continue to rise, and, subsequently, consumer demand will expand. China recognises Africa’s untapped potential and is strategically positioning itself to benefit from the growing consumer market. 27 http://www.lfzdc.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=40&Itemid=17 83 China views the SEZs as regional hubs for the future growth of Chinese industry in Africa. SEZs will engage in the production of a variety of intermediate inputs - wires, cables, machinery, metal and plastic products, etc. - that feed supply chains throughout the continent. They will also provide centralised nodes for financial and business services for both Chinese and African companies. By using the SEZ as a catalyst for backward and forward linkages, China is decreasing transaction costs and reducing the risk of doing business for future entrants into the market. How might the Chinese EPZ promote linkages and upgrading? The greatest reservation about the SEZ programme is the concern that these zones will develop as enclaves detached from local socio-economic systems, with little positive impact on the development of host communities and local capabilities. For these SEZ’s to serve as a catalyst for local development they will have to significantly involve domestic investors and domestic labour and facilitate knowledge, skills and technological transfers. However, one of the main aims of China’s “Going Global” strategy is moving Chinese companies offshore - SEZs are seen as a key mechanism for achieving this aim. MOFCOM hopes that Chinese companies will constitute 70-80% of total firms in the zones. Nevertheless, each zone has been designed to incorporate investment from Chinese, African, and other foreign sources. Most plan to establish clusters in labour-intensive, low-skill industries that necessitate the knowledge, participation, and services of existing local networks. But the host governments have adopted different strategies towards local content and this will inevitably influence the breadth and depth of linkages from the SEZs. Mauritius restricted local firms from relocating to the SEZ during the first phase of development. The government saw the zone as attracting new capacity rather than providing the opportunity for existing firms to reduce their tax contributions and pay less for their labour force. Zambia, by contrast, has not introduced these restrictions. It encouraged domestic and foreign firms 84 alike to invest in the zones, aiming to attract 40 Chinese companies and companies from at least 10 other countries (including Zambia). In Nigeria, 42 companies have registered to invest in the proposed Lekki Free Zone, only six of which are Chinese. Requirements for local labour content also vary widely across the SEZs. In Egypt, one foreign work permit is granted for every nine local employees. The initial construction phase of the Suez SEZ necessitated 1,880 labourers, 1,800 of whom were Egyptian. In Ethiopia, each firm was only allowed two residence permits for foreign workers. During the construction of the Chambishi Zone, 500 Zambians and 400 Chinese were employed. By 2009, 3,300 Zambian and 700 Chinese workers were employed. In the Nigerian SEZ, at least 40% of the workforce was required to be Nigerian. Mauritius, on the other hand, placed few restrictions on how many foreigners were allowed to work in the country. A second potential benefit arising from the SEZs is the transfer of knowledge and technology from foreign firms to domestic firms, upgrading capabilities both within the zone and beyond its borders. The potential for growth in this area is, again, very much in the hands of government policy. At this time, there is no evidence of any host governments developing policy to encourage linkages between established domestic firms outside of the SEZ and those within the SEZ. This is a major cause for concern. MOFCOM has provided some stimulus to the learning and skill acquisition process. 60 African representatives from Zambia, Nigeria, and Ethiopia were invited to attend a 20-day workshop in China focused on the Chinese SEZ experience and lessons in SEZ management. The training programme was helpful, but short-lived. A sustained effort to elevate the knowledge levels of not only higher officials and managers, but unskilled labourers, administrators, engineers and artisans, is required to maximise the success and impact of the SEZ on the host country. 85 The Egyptian and Mauritian SEZs, described below, were amongst the first SEZs to begin construction and suggest that the lack of progress in SEZs in Nigeria, Zambia, and Ethiopia may be a function of their more recent origins. Whilst in principle they offer a new approach to the perennial problem of promoting industrial and cluster development in Africa, the jury is out on whether this new approach to cluster and industrial zones development in Africa will be any more successful than previous generations of zones. Chinese SEZs in Egypt Egypt has a substantial history of utilising industrial zones and free economic zones to attract FDI into the country. This strategy helped grow manufacturing exports from $5.3 billion in 2000 to $25.5 billion in 2009. Planning for a Chinese SEZ in the Northwest Suez region began as early as 1994 when the Egyptian government sought to copy the successful Chinese SEZs. In 1998, China and Egypt signed a MoU for construction of the Northwest Suez Economic Area (NWSEA) with joint ownership between the Tianjin EconomicTechnological Development Area (TEDA) Investment Holding Company and four Egyptian investors. The area was a failure, largely due to lack of capacity and pervasive corruption with TEDA’s four Egyptian partners. The failure to develop the NWSEA in partnership with local enterprises led TEDA to venture out on its own, establishing the Suez International Cooperation Company (SICC) in 2000. SICC bought land from the EgyptChina Corporation for Investment (ECCI) and began construction on an industrial park targeted toward small-to-medium Chinese firms. By 2006, construction was complete and Chinese began operation. By 2009, the Industrial Park was full. In response to the FOCAC Summit in 2006, TEDA submitted a proposal to expand the Suez Industrial Park under the new name, Egypt Suez Cooperation Zone (ESCZ), of which TEDA would be the majority shareholder. MOFCOM accepted the proposal, with funding from the Chinese African Development Fund (CADF). 86 The ESCZ strategy focused on the development of four clusters - textiles and garments, petroleum equipment, automotive assembly, and electrical equipment. The zone began operation in 2009 with 19 registered companies and total capital investment of $180 million. The zone produces products for export to Europe, China, and America, as well as producing for the domestic market. Service activities in banking, catering and customs grew in response to increased demand from the manufacturing firms. Although the firms were under Chinese ownership, they almost exclusively employed Egyptian labourers. In 2008, TEDA submitted a tender to develop a Northwest Suez Special Economic Zone (NSSEZ) next to the ESCZ. This was largely prompted by the Egyptian government which incorporated plans to establish a SEZ within Egypt’s larger industrial policy framework. The tender was accepted in 2009 and the NSSEZ is currently under construction. The coordinated effort between China and Egypt to create a successful export-oriented industrial zone is the longest running relationship within China’s current African SEZ programme. It provides two key insights into the nature of establishing a successful SEZ. It takes a long time to reach successful operation of an Industrial Park, Cooperation Zone, Industrial Processing Zone or an SEZ. Chinese developers usually allot a period of 10-15 years before a zone is fully functioning White TEDA’s continued involvement in the Suez region was a profitmotivated private venture, Egypt’s national government played a role in expanding TEDA’s interest in the region and guiding it toward larger national policy goals. Chinese SEZs in Mauritius China’s decision to locate an SEZ in Mauritius is an odd one at first glance. The island has a small domestic market, a shortage of unemployed labourers, 87 and aside from sugar, has no exploitable natural resources. Since 2007, leading up to the construction of the Jin Fei SEZ, there has been a spike in Chinese FDI funnelled into the Mauritius SEZ, a trend that has shown no signs of slowing down. The Jin Fei SEZ was officially launched in September 2009. The first phase of constructing industrial spaces and developing infrastructure was completed in 2012. The second phase of attracting investors, filling industrial spaces and developing manufacturing activities will be completed in 2015. The Jin Fei SEZ manufacturing base is intended to concentrate on light industry processing, pharmaceuticals, stainless steel, and aquaculture. The distinctive feature of the Mauritius SEZ is that service provision, not manufacturing, will be the main focus of activity. Over half of the activities in Jin Fei will be in education, logistics, information technology, and hospitality. Situated in the Indian Ocean, between Africa and Asia, China is looking to position Mauritius as its regional business hub for future operations in the continent. Mauritius offers many features that make it a practical locale as the future centre of Chinese investment in Africa: A stable macroeconomic environment and an upper-middle income country. Strategically located between African and Asian markets. Duty-free access to a number of key markets through bilateral or multilateral trade agreements. A member of both SADC and COMESA, providing an easy platform for entry into developing SSA markets. A history of being welcoming to foreign workers from China, Bangladesh, and India with lax expatriate labour laws. 88 CHAPTER 4 BUILDING SUPPLY CHAINS SUMMARY From the 1950s there has been an increasing recognition in business strategy that a chain is only as strong as its weakest link, that is, that islands of competitiveness find it difficult to compete if they are located in a sea of inefficiency. The translation of this abstract recognition into the everyday practices of firms in their supply chains can be traced back to the Toyota Motor Corporation which, after the 1960s, saw the first systematic, sustained and large scale implementation of Supply Chain Management (SCM) practices. Toyota’s successful implementation of SCM through all tiers of its extended supply chain provided it with major competitive benefits and has served as a role model for virtually all global TNCs and other larger northern firms. Whilst the Toyota model enhanced the Economic Bottom Line (that is, the profitability) of firms, it was increasingly challenged for only meeting the needs of one set of stakeholders – owners. Most large global firms are now expected to meet a Triple Bottom Line – the Economic, the Social and the Environmental Bottom Lines - and to push this through their supply chains. All three forms of the Triple Bottom Line SCM are weak in contemporary Africa. o With regard to the Economic Bottom Line, the most advanced example is the development of supply chains in the South African auto assembly and components sector. A recent development of potentially far-reaching significance is the prospect of large Chinese 89 firms bringing their suppliers with them to Africa, although as yet, most of these suppliers are Chinese rather than local firms. o SCM in pursuit of the Social Bottom Line is evidenced both in relation to some of the largest resource extraction ventures and in the development of Fairtrade and other civil society driven initiatives in the agricultural sector. o Supply Chain Greening is the least developed of the Triple Bottom Line objectives in Africa and globally. However, many of the world’s largest firms (including Wal-Mart which has just entered the continent) are rolling out large supply chain greening programmes. There is evidence of nascent greening in some African supply chains, but also disturbing evidence of ‘de-greening” when enterprises formerly supplying high income markets in the EU switch their output to less demanding markets in China and other emerging economies. There has been rapid growth in Chinese-related supply chains as Chinese activity expands in Africa. Although there is a great variety in these supply chains, a number of common characteristics are evident: o In some cases, such as Zambia’s copper industry, entry into the Chinese supply chain is easier than for northern resource extracting firms; yet when faced with poor capabilities, Chinese firms are less likely to engage in Supply Chain upgrading than their northern competitors. o The mode of entry of large Chinese SOEs backed by state-to-state agreements and utilising the ‘Angola mode’ of financing often limits local procurement. o Local procurement in these large SOE involvements is hampered by the priority given by the host government for rapid execution of potentially long gestation period projects. 90 o Rapid execution of utilising local suppliers is hampered by low levels of capabilities in the domestic economy. Hence the (limited) local supply chains feeding into these large SOE projects predominantly involve Chinese firms rather than locally owned suppliers. o Unrelated to the large SOE backed ventures, a number of larger privately owned Chinese manufacturing firms are investing in Africa, predominantly seeking to serve the growing domestic market. Faced with poor infrastructure and weak local supply capabilities, they are creating industrial estates and are bringing their Chinese supply chain with them to serve their needs for key inputs. Unlike the SOEs to whom they are feeding inputs, the entry of these privately owned suppliers is not aided by the Chinese government. These developments represent both threats and opportunities to the development of local supply chains and to locally-owned supply chains. It is as yet too early to determine the balance of outcomes. Moreover, it is unlikely that a single pattern will emerge spans all African economies and all economic sectors. 91 4.1 THE HISTORICAL ORIGINS OF SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT One of the most important threads running through development and growth policy in high, middle and low income economies alike is the critically important role which markets can play in efficient resource allocation. Whilst to greater or lesser degrees it is accepted that the state and other non-market actors have a constructive role to play in this process, the default position in much of the policy agenda is one of market-efficiency. The starting point for policy is market allocation. One of they key intellectual edifices on which this policy framework is built is that of perfect competition. Analysis and policies which do not confirm to this model are seen as departures from the norm. For example, the theory of imperfect competition analyses exchange relationships such as oligopoly and oligopsony (a few large sellers and buyers respectively), and monopoly and monopsony (a single seller and buyer respectively) in terms of their distance from perfect competition. There are four key assumptions within the theory of perfect competition which are relevant to supply chain management and supply chain upgrading: The market consists of a very large - in fact, infinite - number of buyers and sellers. These buyers and sellers have no specific identity – market exchanges are anonymous and impersonal, and exchanges are of an “arms-length nature”. It follows from this that no buyer or seller is large enough to affect the prices which are reached in market exchanges – they do not produce or buy in sufficient volumes to affect trading outcomes. All producers supply the same, undifferentiated product. 92 A hypothetical example of this set of market exchanges might be an agricultural commodity such as maize, produced by a myriad of small farmers, and sold into markets comprised of a very large number of customers. If there is face-to-face contact between these producers and consumers, then this is anonymous – that is, they either do not know each other, or if they do, this has no impact on the price of the product or the volume exchanged. Put this way it is immediately clear how fanciful the theory of perfect completion is in reality. Maize is not an undifferentiated product, not all suppliers produce at such small scale, few buyers purchase in such small volumes, and exchanges are seldom without personal identity This world view of perfect competition in economic theory had its equivalent in classical business strategy. This viewed the firm as an independent island, seeking to maximise its own profitability in a hostile win-lose environment. Whilst the intellectual edifice of perfect competition was increasingly eroded in economic theory after the 1930s (Chamberlain, 1933; Robinson, 1933), it was only in the 1950s that the theory of optimal business strategy began to reflect what was actually occurring in the real world. That is, firms did not act as isolated entities. A classical publication in supply chain theory in 1958 concluded that: “Management is on the verge of a major breakthrough in understanding how industrial company success depends on the interactions [with other firms and institutions] between the flows of information, materials, money, manpower, and capital equipment. The way these five flow systems interlock to amplify one another and to cause change and fluctuation will form the basis for anticipating the effects of decisions, policies, organizational forms, and investment choices” (Forrester 1958, p. 37, cited in Park, Nayyar and Low, 2013: 47). The largely static theory of business strategy was overtaken by events, particularly in the Japanese automobile industry and especially in relation to the development of what came to be called the Toyota Production System 93 (Monden, 1983). To understand why this happened, and its key role in the development of supply chain management, we need to return to the discussion in Chapter 3 when we reflected on the impact of market segmentation and market volatility on cluster development. When Toyota and the Japanese auto industry began to rebuild production during the 1950s, they were confronted with a domestic market which was too small to allow for the scale economies involved in the mass production of autos. Typically, a large US plant would produce more than 200,000 cars a year of the same model. Yet by the end of the 1950s the entire Japanese market was less than 250,000 cars. Therefore, profitable production of autos in Japan required a new form of production organisation. The widely celebrated mass production plant introduced by Henry Ford in the late 1920s served as the prototype for not just other auto firms, but for most industries. It was built around the principles of standardisation. Hence, once the final product was “locked”, specialised machinery could be introduced, dedicated to clearly defined tasks and depreciated over the years with large volume production. Critical to this mass production organisation was inventory control, with large volumes of work in progress being available “just in case” something should happen which might interrupt the continuous operation of these large and very costly machines. Since production could not be interrupted, quality control occurred after production was completed. Clearly, given limited market size, this model could not work effectively in Japan. Instead, Toyota pioneered what has come to be called “just in time” or “lean production” (Womack and Jones, 1990; Kaplinsky, 1994). Instead of standardising production around a single unchanging model, the objective was to allow plants to become adaptable, producing in smaller batches. For small batch production to be effective, large volumes of work in progress inventories were an obstacle. So Toyota pioneered new forms of work organisation within the plants which involved very much reduced levels of stock. The organising principle was small batch production, and small batch production required low levels of inventories. But if there were few inventories 94 available – ‘just in case’ something went wrong – it was no longer sensible to relegate quality inspection and rectification to the end of the production line. Instead, Toyota adopted a new mentality towards quality which had been developed in the US by Deming (1986) and Juran (1989) – Total Quality Control. This involved embedding a mentality of zero-defects into work organisation, and this required the adoption of in-process quality-at-source procedures. Thus the Toyota model moved away from the principles of mass production (large volumes of standardised products, very large ‘just in case’ inventories and end-of-line quality control) to a new system of flexible production (‘just in time’ small batches of inventories, and quality-at-source). However, at the same time, Toyota’s restructuring of its internal operations occurred in a context in which it, and its fellow Japanese auto firms, sourced much more of its inputs from external suppliers than did their US competitors. Typically a US auto firm was vertically integrated and would produce more than 60% of the value of a car internally. Henry Ford’s River Rouge plant built in 1927 pioneered the principles of mass production and took this internalisation to the extreme. It produced nearly 100% of the value of the car, including the manufacture of its own steel making plant. By contrast, Toyota (and other Japanese producers) bought in more than 60% of the car’s value from suppliers (Hoffman and Kaplinsky, 1988). The confluence of these two developments – the move from mass production to lean production, and the greater reliance on external suppliers – forced Toyota to develop a structured approach towards managing its supply chain. It realised that, unless its suppliers adopted the same just-in-time and qualityat-source processes which it had developed in its own plants, it would not be able to effectively make the transition towards low-cost flexible production. However, it also recognised that its suppliers were not ready themselves to make the transition to the new form of production organisation. Hence, over a period of almost two decades, Toyota established procedures to restructure operations with its supply chain, beginning with its core, first-tier suppliers. But these first tier suppliers were themselves dependent on purchases from second-tier suppliers, who in turn were dependent on third- and fourth-tier 95 suppliers (many of whom were very small). Hence to be effective, this required a root-and-branch reform of operations in the whole chain and between the links in the chain. In order to achieve this change, Toyota formed supply chain networks in which its first–tier suppliers worked with their suppliers (who in turn worked with their suppliers) to introduce the principles of just in time production along the chain (Cusumano, 1985). There were three critical elements to this supply chain management system, each of which challenged the idea that firms operated as isolated ‘island’. First, trust was critical (Sako, 1992), both the contractual trust and the competence trust which (as we saw in Chapter 3) were important in the development of industrial clusters. Second, and as a consequence, Toyota and its supply chain moved away from the anonymity of arms-length relations which dominated the win-lose mentality of mass production to enduring and often ‘personalised’ relations with suppliers. These were ‘sticky’ in the sense that they were long-lived, and if a supplier had problems, Toyota or its first-tier suppliers would send in teams of experts to help resolve the issue. And, third, in managing their relations with the supply chain, Toyota introduced a series of standards which suppliers had to meet. These standards had a dual purpose. They were not only introduced to ensure that Toyota operated its just in time system with full confidence that its suppliers would not let it down or ‘hide’ inventories and defects elsewhere in the chain, but it was also used to build improvement and innovation into its supply chain. Suppliers would be provided with moving quality targets. For example, the acceptable level of defects for delivered components systematically moved down from more than 1,500 parts per million (ppm) to the current target of zero ppm. Similarly, it introduced a ‘cost down’ approach to pricing which, in the 1980s and 1990s, required annual cost reductions by supplier of 3% per year. It is clear from this that a core component of supply chain management was the move away from anonymity and win-lose mentalities to sustained cooperation and win-win approaches. If suppliers could not meet their targets, Toyota teams would work with them to improve, and similarly its first-tier suppliers would do the same further down the supply chain. This was the birth 96 of modern supply chain management and consequently supply chain development. Its demonstrable superiority led to its replication in other Japanese auto firms, to the Japanese electronics sector and then diffused globally to other countries and firms (Womack and Jones, 1996), including to low and middle income economies (Kaplinsky, 1994). The success of the Toyota system in these more high tech industries extended to retailers of consumer goods such as clothing, food and footwear, adopting and then adapting its principles. One of the most successful examples of the ‘Toyota Production System’ to other industries has been the Spanish retailer Zara adapting and introducing it for the management and development of its garment suppliers so as to create a ‘fast product’ supplier system. This is the basis of Zara (and H&M) being able to have rapid turnover (sometimes on a two weekly cycle) of different garment styles in its stores on a more frequent basis than the previous four season year. 4.2 THE ORIGINS OF SUPPLY MANAGEMENT (SCM): ENHANCING CHAIN AGILITY, FOSTERING PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND REDUCING COSTS Many supply chains are extended, involving a variety of tiers. Although in the auto sector these supply chains involved backward linkages with tiers of suppliers, in many other sectors there are also forward linkages, with tiers of users (Figure 4.1). In general, the further down the chain the tier, the more likely it is to involve a small scale firm or farm. For example, in the 1980s, many of the third-tier suppliers in Toyota’s supply chain were small firms employing less than 20 people (Cusumano, 1985). 97 Figure 4.1: Suppliers and Users in the Production Chain Source: Lambert and Cooper (2000) A well-known definition of SCM is that provided by Mentzer et al in 2001: “…supply chain management is defined as the systemic, strategic coordination of the traditional business functions and the tactics across … business functions within a particular company and across businesses within the supply chain, for the purposes of improving the long-term performance of the individual companies and the supply chain as a whole” (Mentzer et al. 2001), The key components of modern supply chain management are as follows (Bessant, Kaplinsky and Lamming, 2003): 1. Mastering the internal supply chain. The lead firm in the chain has to begin by focusing on its own operations, ensuring that the various stages in its own operations are interacting in a systemically efficient manner. This will invariably involve the adoption of small inventories and quality at source procedures. This ‘internal supply chain management’ needs to be mastered before the lead firm can realistically think about managing its external supply chain effectively. 98 2. Targeting value chain efficiency. Having recognised the need to change its internal operations, and having taken action to do so, the lead firm needs to recognise the need for its external value chain to become more effective. It also needs to recognise that this value chain improvement must extend beyond the first tier, and that SME suppliers in its chain may have particular problems. 3. Rationalisation of vendor/customer base. In achieving this chain efficiency, almost always the first step which the lead firm will need to take will be to rationalise its supply base, identifying a set of reliable suppliers with whom it can develop high trust relations and who are capable of systematically improving their performance. This may often involve a substantial reduction in the number of its suppliers. 4. Communication of new requirements to vendors. Having rationalised the supply base, the lead firm must communicate its needs – generally with regard to quality, cost and delivery – to its supply base. These are the Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) which will drive the chain and which are central to supply chain management. 5. Monitoring and sanctioning performance by suppliers. Supplier performance then has to be measured, and the results communicated to the suppliers. Where persistently deficient, suppliers need to be negatively sanctioned, and this may or may not be complemented by positive rewards to those suppliers who consistently perform well. 6. Benchmarking and stretching. Measuring performance in a number of suppliers provides the capacity to compare, and hence to identify relative weaknesses. This is known as benchmarking. These relative weaknesses need to be systematically addressed to raise all supplier performance to best- practice levels. But, equally important, indicators of performance can be used to set objectives for further improvement, for stretching, and hence for improving competitiveness along the chain. ‘Best practice’ then becomes a moving frontier driving supply chain management. 99 7. Supporting and assisting suppliers. Where a supplier experiences difficulties, the lead firm will either need to provide direct development support to the supplier or ensure that the required support is provided by a third party. Support also needs to be targeted beyond the first tier of the chain. 8. Supply chain learning. Sophisticated value chain governors will then also go on to recognise that they can not only assist their suppliers to upgrade, but can also learn from them as well. SMEs pose particular problems for supply chains producing in large volumes or involving relatively sophisticated technologies. Their management may be undertrained, facilities may be poorly equipped with low levels of fixed investment, and the workforce may be unskilled and often even be barely literate and numerate. This will require the lead firm to take special steps to meet the needs of SMEs, as can be evidenced from the experience of Crompton Greaves, one of India’s largest manufacturing firms, in the late 1990s (Humphrey, Kaplinsky and Saraph, 1998). Many of its suppliers were very small firms, often employing less than 5 workers, operating in dingy premises with poor health and safety and maintaining very few records of production operations. Since Crompton Greaves was not only moving towards a zero-defect policy of total quality control but also seeking to achieve ISO9000 Quality Certification, it clearly had to either jettison these suppliers or to help in their upgrading. Since there were few alternative suppliers, it had to take the latter route and therefore invested considerable resources in developing a SCM team to directly assist many of its suppliers. 4.3 BEYOND AGILITY, PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND COST REDUCTION: THE TRIPLE BOTTOM LINE AND SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT The Toyota Production System (which is now widely referred to as \lean production’) did much to enable manufacturing and service firms across the sectoral spectrum to become more agile and thus to serve increasingly volatile and segmented markets. It also significantly reduced the trade-offs 100 between cost and quality and cost and variety which were central to mass production. But it diffused through other sectors and other economies during the 1980s and 1990s at a time when consumers in the high income northern economies were becoming more discriminating in their consumption habits. They not only demanded better quality and more frequently changing products at affordable costs, but also became increasingly concerned about the social and environmental character of the supply chains producing products for their final consumption. The rallying call for these wider supply chain concerns was the ‘Triple Bottom Line’ (see for example, Ekins, 1992) and ‘sustainability’ (see for example, the Bruntland Commission, 1987). Figure 4.2: The Triple Bottom Line Source http://www.vanderbilt.edu/sustainvu/who-we-are/what-is-sustainability/, accessed 13th February 2014. The Triple Bottom Line philosophy argued that the Economic Bottom Line only met the needs of a particular set of stakeholders in production, that is, the 101 owners of capital. There was also the need to satisfy other stakeholders, such as the workers involved in production (their working conditions, their safety, their training, etc) which represented a Social Bottom Line. Increasingly there was also the need to ensure that the environment was not degraded in production, that is, the Environmental Bottom Line. The Bruntland Commission and its successors have argued that unless all these Bottom Lines were addressed, production would not be sustainable - without an Economic Bottom Line firms would be unprofitable and would not invest; without a Social Bottom Line, the absence of a ‘social licence to operate’ would undermine the feasibility of operations, and without an Environmental Bottom Line, production would be overwhelmed by environmental costs. Thus, just as the search for the Economic Bottom Line led to the development of profit-oriented SCM, so the imperatives of the Social and Environmental Bottom Lines developed into new forms of SCM – Corporate Social Responsibility and Supply Chain Greening. Supply chain management in Africa is still in its infancy. To the extent that it has diffused, this has primarily been in the pursuit of cost competitiveness as suppliers have become incorporated in GVCs – the Economic Bottom Line. Progress with respect to the other two dimensions of the Triple Bottom Line – the social and environmental - has been less rapid. 4.4 AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH SCM IN PURSUIT OF THE ECONOMIC BOTTOM LINE SCM addressing the Economic Bottom Line in Africa predominantly arises through the operations of Transnational Corporations who have rolled put SCM in their global operations. One example of an advanced programme is that developed in South Africa in the automobile and clothing sectors. Its origins are to be found in the attempts by Toyota South Africa to restructure its supply chain (see below). Assisted by government support in its early stage, this developed into a large programme involving much of South Africa’s automobile supply chain, with significant improvements in supply chain 102 efficiency. Based on this sector’s success, the supply chain programme extended into the clothing and textiles sector. 4.4.1 South African experience with competitiveness-driven SCM In the mid-1990s South Africa shifted from import substituting industrialisation to trade liberalisation, significantly reducing quantitative restrictions and tariffs and promoting a rapid integration into the world economy. This posed major challenges for the automotive component sector which was faced with the need to rapidly become internationally competitive. When the lead firms – the auto assemblers – announced that they were considering sourcing their components offshore, this raised immediate concern amongst the component suppliers. Utilising a government matching grant support scheme to provide 65% funding, a learning network was established in 1998 called the ‘KwaZuluNatal Benchmarking Club’ (KZNBC). It comprised 11 component suppliers and one lead assembler firm (Toyota), facilitated by a private service provider (Benchmarking and Manufacturing Analysts, BMA), and operating as a manufacturing excellence learning network (Morris and Barnes 2007). The membership of the lead assembler was important in providing credibility to the KZNBC’s activities in raising the general competitiveness and performance levels of the component suppliers. Since all the members of the KZNBC were also in its own supply chain, Toyota South Africa regarded the Club’s activities as raising the performance levels of its suppliers and as a general form of supply chain development. Central to the KZNBC was a benchmarking model of key competitiveness drivers derived from the lead assemblers technical standards within the automotive industry. These were originally derived from the Toyota model of supply chain development and generalised throughout the automotive industry (Table 4.1). 103 Table 4.1: Key Performance Indicators measuring operational performance Market drivers Cost control Quality Operational performance measures Linked organizational practices Inventory use (raw materials, work in Single unit flow, quality at source, progress, finished goods) cellular production, kanbans Customer return rates, internal reject, Quality control structures, rework and scrap rates, return rates to statistical process control, quality suppliers circles, team working, multi-skilling Time from customer order to delivery, Business process engineering, Lead times delivery frequency of suppliers and supplier cellular structures, processing and (Value chain flexibility) delivery reliability, delivery frequency to dispatch, value chain relationships customers and delivery reliability and supply chain management Flexibility (Operations) Capacity to change (Human Resources) Manufacturing throughput time, machine changeover times, batch sizes, inventory levels, production flow Production scheduling, JIT, single minute exchange of dies, multi tasking and multi-skilling, cellular production in manufacturing Literacy/numeracy, suggestion schemes, Continuous improvement (kaizen), employee development/training, work organisation, worker absenteeism rates, labour/management development and commitment turnover, employee output programmes, industrial relations Innovation R&D expenditure (process and product), Capacity Contribution of new products to total sales Concurrent engineering, R&D The executive of the Club consisted of firm representatives. They controlled policy, budget and payments, with two facilitators as non-voting members. The following services were provided to members: A confidential diagnostic report for each firm measuring its operational performance, compared with a benchmark against an international competitor. Monthly aggregate benchmark data for the whole network. Quarterly ‘best practice’ inter-firm workshops. The first difficulty encountered in this benchmarking supply chain programme was a lack of trust, an unwillingness to share information and a tendency to blame others for emerging problems – government, suppliers, customers. This changed as members took ownership of the network, and workshops 104 were run in the factories themselves, signalling a shift towards more open experience sharing and trust building. The Club’s success led to three similar regional clustered networks being established in other cities where there were agglomerations of automotive firms. As in KwaZulu Natal, the lead assembler firms in these various centres joined the club in their region operating in a similar way as the lead assembler in the KZNBC. As the clubs matured they merged into one organisation – the South African Automotive Benchmarking Club (SAABC) – which later became self funding, requiring no financial support from government. There is clear evidence of growth in the network’s popularity through membership expansion and qualitative/anecdotal statements by members showing that firms perceived the activities as beneficial. But the most significant indicator of learning are the improvements in the performance of firms. Data from the South African Automotive Benchmarking Club (SAABC), in conjunction with internationally comparative data, shows the nature and rate of performance improvement of the automotive component manufacturers (Table 4.2). Whilst not strictly comparable from one year to the next due to constantly shifting participation in the SAABC, the average performance standard of the automotive supply chain improved markedly over the period 1998/1999 to 2012. For each of the seven metrics analysed the performance of the set of South African firms benchmarked annually improved markedly over the period. For certain Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) performance improved very significantly. Customer return rates, a crucial measure of supplier performance in the automotive industry, improved dramatically, falling from 3,270 ppm in 1998/9 to 226 ppm in 2012. The number of days of inventory more than halved during the same period, from 62.6 days to 26.2 days. Most significantly, from a supply chain perspective, these improvements in operational performance have been driven down the chain to 2nd and 3rd tier suppliers. This is evident in the significant improvement in respect of delivery 105 reliability from the suppliers to these firms. This jumped from 78.7% to 92.5% reliability. In a globalised world, competitiveness improvements cannot however simply be measured by local supplier performance changes. Successful supply chain development has to be comparative, using international benchmarks as the measurement comparator. Here SAABC members also show significant comparative performance. In respect of the other quality measures, internal reject rates (measuring re-works) and scrap rates in 2012 are at the international standard – 1.7% versus 1.6% and 1.5% respectively. Delivery reliability to customers at 97.7% is similar, 97.9%, to international benchmarks; the same holds for delivery reliability from suppliers – 92.5% versus 93.3%. Inventory holding is also reasonably close to the international standard of 24.5 days. Although customer return rates have made remarkable progress they are still above that of the international benchmark of 199 ppm. Table 4.2: Competitiveness improvements in performance of South African automotive components cluster, 1998/9 - 2012/3, & international comparisons Market driver KPI South African performance standards 1998/9 Cost control Quality Reliability Human Resources Inventory holding (operating days) Customer return rate (ppm) Internal reject rate (%) Internal scrap rate (%) OTIF delivery reliability to customers (%) OTIF delivery reliability from suppliers (%) Absenteeism lost hours (%) 2012 International standard 2012 SA vs. International standards, 2012 62.6 26.2 % Change 1998/9-2012 58.1% 3,270 226 93.1% 199 -11.9% 4.9 4.2 92.2 1.7 1.7 97.7 65.3% 59.5% 6.0% 1.6 1.5 97.9 -5.9% -11.8% -0.2% 78.7 92.5 17.5% 93.3 -0.9% 4.4 3.0 31.8% 2.6 -13.3% 24.5 -6.5% Source: Barnes and Morris (2008), SAABC database, accessed January 2014 Building on the success of the benchmarking club, the Durban city local government was keen to set up a more complex, multi-tiered cluster to assist the regional lead assembler. Toyota SA, the major assembler in Durban, had secured a significant export order and the opportunity presented itself to work with them and key suppliers to enable regional economic growth. This gave rise to the Durban Auto Cluster (DAC) which, as a public-private initiative, was formally launched in January 2002, with many of the original benchmarking 106 club firms as members and the same service provider facilitating the process. Most of the finance came from local government with firms also paying membership fees. Whilst Toyota’s support was important, it was agreed by all involved that it would take a back seat. This enabled suppliers to feel comfortable working on strategies of benefit to the lead firm without feeling dominated by the powerful assembler (Morris and Barnes 2007). The DAC was based on four development programmes - logistics, human resources, supply chain development, and operational competitiveness. These were run by technical steering committees controlling programme activities and expenditure, chaired by firm representatives, with technical support from the service provider. The logistics programme provides a notable example of how the DAC acted to improve supply chain performance. Logistics accounts for between 5-15% of selling costs, hence critically affecting competitiveness. Sea freight charges for smaller firms were more than double those of the largest first tier firm, affecting competitiveness throughout the value chain. Driven by the 1st tier firm, a special ‘cluster rate’ was negotiated between Europe and SA, which was only marginally above that of the largest 1st tier supplier rate. This improved competitiveness all along the supply chain as cluster members from the various tiers fed into the lead assembler. In a recent development the South African national government has set up an incentive support programme to assist the lead automotive assemblers develop the competitiveness of their supply chains - the Automotive Supply Chain Competitiveness Initiative (ASCCI) is set to run to 2017. The budget of R63 million will be 50% funded by the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI), and 50% by other stakeholders in the automotive industry. Key focus areas of the ASCCI include improving component supplier operational capabilities, increasing levels of localisation and achieving manufacturing value addition in South Africa. 107 Lessons There were five drivers to this increase in supply chain performance: Upgrading of competitiveness was essential given the threat by the lead firms to import components. It was fortuitous that the origins of this supply chain programme were in KwaZulu Natal, involving firms feeding into Toyota’s supply chain. This had an influence on the manner in which these firms viewed the importance of supply chain improvements. As was shown earlier in this chapter, Toyota was the lead firm globally driving the development of SCM. Government financial support was critical in the early phases of this supply chain programme. However, equally important, this financial support tapered off, forcing the supply chain members to take greater responsibility for the programme’s development. Fortuitously, the proximity of the KZNBC to a leading university with close links to local industry led to the emergence of a world class service provider. This shows the significance of the National System of Innovation in the promotion of global competitiveness. Without the commitment of the 1st tier supply chain firms to improve their performance, none of the developments would have been possible. Perhaps the most important lesson to be drawn from this experience is that most firms in developing countries externalise their problems. They fail to understand the need to upgrade, and even when they do, they do not possess the internal capacity to change or build on their core competency. Lead firms driving the process of upgrading their supply chains is crucial if suppliers are to be shifted onto the level required to remain competitve. These activities can occur within supply chain development programs run by the lead firms themselves. However the South African example shows that supply chain 108 development, through collective action of suppliers facilitated by lead firm involvement can also occur in a more indirect manner. But external institutional support is critical in such a process - government (at different levels) policy and financial support and efficient external service provider facilitation. Lead firms and governments have an important role in pushing local supplier firms out of their current stasis, breaking vested interests, and incentivising firm upgrading. 4.4.2 Explaining the SCM gap in Africa This experience in the development of benchmarking programmes designed to improve supply chain efficiency is not confined to the auto, and clothing and textiles sectors (see Chapter 3 on clothing clusters) in South Africa. For example, large and indigenously owned and managed South African firms such as Nampak (in packaging), South African Breweries (beverages), WalMart/Massmart (fresh food), and Anglo American (in mining) each have their own well-developed ‘economic bottom line SCM programmes’. However a 2010 survey found that the majority of companies in South Africa either do not work, or work ineffectively, with suppliers and customers to reduce overall supply chain risk (CSIR 2011). These lead-firm SCM initiatives are also not confined to South Africa in the African continent, although few other African economies have well developed SCM programmes. There are a number of reasons why this lacuna exists. First, the gap is not unique to Africa. Whilst SCM has diffused widely as an objective of corporate policy, the reality is often somewhat different. The problem is that SCM often seems costly for management, particularly in the short-term. Monitoring programmes have to be developed using new Key Performance Indicators. Supply chain teams have to be established, and sending them to trouble-shoot in supplier plants is not cost-free. The lead firms are also increasingly under pressure to deliver rapid results in competitive environments. This changes the focal length of management in the implementation of strategy from the medium- and the long-term to the 109 short-term. Thus firms often baulk at the costs required in effective supply chain management, even though this might be critical to long-term profitability. Second, whilst SCM is not rocket-science – its core principles are easy to understand – it is nevertheless skill-intensive. These skills are experiential and are often more tacit than codified, and are cumulative. They take both time and persistence to develop. Third, the commitment of senior strategic management to supply chain management is often undermined by the contradictory incentives imposed by human resource management, particularly in the African context where senior management of global firms is often distant from the firm’s operations. For example, the Tanzanian gold mines are located in rural areas some way from major cities. Expatriate staff work on cycles - eight weeks on, and eight weeks off. Typically their off-periods are spent back in their home bases, or in South Africa. Given this cycle, it is common for purchasing managers to take a week to settle down when they return to the mine. The last week of their cycle is preparing to go home, which leaves six weeks to focus on their purchasing responsibilities. But supplier development takes time and persistence, and the tight reporting requirements for purchasing managers mean that it is much easier to import the supplies from abroad than to engage in the timeconsuming task of searching for local suppliers and assisting them to upgrade their capabilities (Morris et al., 2012). A fourth reason for the underdevelopment of SCM in Africa is that the principles are sometimes poorly developed in the operations of southern lead firms who are relatively new to overseas operations. For example, in the Zambian copper mines, whilst Chinese firms are more open to using local suppliers than are northern mining firms, when their suppliers run into difficulties, they are more likely to be jettisoned than are the suppliers to the northern firms. The Chinese mining firm lacks developed supply chain management capabilities; it does not understand that this is a lead firm responsibility, and instead looks to government bilateral agreements to support the upgrading of domestic suppliers. This stands in marked contrast 110 to the northern mining companies who set high standards. Whilst this makes it difficult for local firms to enter their supply chains, once accepted as a supplier, they assist these local firms to upgrade to meet their performance criteria (Fessehaie and Morris 2013). 4.4.3. Chinese competiveness driven SCM in Africa Private Sector driven Chinese Supply Chains In 2011, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce (MOFOCM) reported that only 2.6% of its outbound FDI went to Africa. However, once the round-tripping of Chinese investment flows through financial centres such as the Cayman Islands (CI) and British Virgin Islands (BVI) and Hong Kong are taken into account, a more realistic figure is that Africa accounted for the largest share (40%) of Chinese outward FDI in 2008. While the state plays a large role in guiding Chinese investment, an increasing share is undertaken by the Chinese private sector. In 2011, 53% of total FDI was undertaken by the private sector in 923 different projects. Most of this involved small to medium enterprises with little connection to large SOEs (Shen 2013). Furthermore, while SOEs are mainly involved in resource extraction and construction, private FDI has been concentrated in the labour-intensive manufacturing, export-oriented, and service sectors. China’s ‘Going Global’ policy encouraged many domestic mature industries, especially those from overpopulated coastal industrial cities, to expand or relocate to foreign locations. The main motivations driving private Chinese firms to invest in African countries are:28 Access to the rapidly growing and potentially large African market. The market opportunities are not just within destination countries, but in the regional economies in which Chinese firms relocated. Rising labour costs in China have made African wage rates more enticing, potentially in the future, although few had taken advantage of these low wage costs to export from their African operations. 28 This discussion draws on Shen (2013) 111 Sourcing raw materials for ‘light industry’ has become increasingly difficult in the coastal cities of China. In Africa, many of the the raw materials necessary for production are available and cheap, especially with regard to agro-processing inputs like leather, cotton and wood. Import substitution policies in some African countries serve as an incentive for firms looking to penetrate trade barriers and remain competitive in African markets. A significant spin-off from this flow of Chinese private FDI into Africa (Gu 2009) has been the emergence of a series of embryonic clusters which, as was shown in Chapter 3, are an important component of supply capabilities. Chinese initiated Privately Developed Industrial Estates (PIEs) are gaining traction in many African countries, but there is little qualitative or quantitative data available to accurately assess their impact. PIEs are smaller than SEZs and are narrower in focus. They typically grow organically from a “first comer” industrialist which has established a successful enterprise and is looking to procure supplies locally. Shen (2013) offers a number of explanations for the organic nature of PIE formation and the accompanying SCM: If a country lacks basic infrastructure or service provision, a PIE will form around the private installation of a road, borehole, generator, or water treatment system in order to minimise the coasts of installation. PIEs help speed up the transfer of knowledge from ‘first comers’ to new entrants. A PIE founder which has been successful in developing a business in the host country context will help other entrepreneurs navigate foreign business customs, procedures, laws, and regulations. Many successful PIEs have roots in sector-specific SEZs from the coastal regions of China. Successful industrialists from these SEZs will relocate or establish a new factory in an African country. Over time, former suppliers to the factory in China will follow, creating a clustered supply chain feeding into one specific subsector. 112 PIEs offer a more realistic alternative than relocating to one of the official SEZ locations. The SEZs are still in the construction phase and will not be fully operational for a number of years. They involve the coordination of a number of different agencies, and construction is often delayed due the complexity of the projects and the number of stakeholders involved. It is far cheaper and faster to privately organise a cluster. PIEs are composed of firms that face similar constraints and can, therefore, more easily arrive at mutually beneficial solutions, benefitting not just from externalities, but also from collective action. SOEs and large corporations which are involved in the development of the official SEZs do not face the same financial pressures that the small/medium firms do - they can afford to make mistakes and delay action because they have government backing. Shen gives two examples of successful PIEs in Nigeria that formed in order to decrease the cost of doing business in an African context: The Yuemei Fabric Industrial Zone (YFIZ) in Nigeria is a PIE started by Zhejiang, one of the largest private textile firms in China. In 2000, the company began importing final products into Nigeria. In 2004, it invested $1 million and began manufacturing textiles. Zhejiang reinvested its profits year after year and expanded the business - a total investment of over $10 million. In 2008, the company constructed an industrial park that could house all the elements of the value chain. Soon after construction of the YFIZ was complete, five Chinese textile firms relocated or established new factories in the YFIZ. The initial success of YFIZ allowed Zhejiang to invest in the expansion of the YFIZ. In 2011, 20 suppliers operated in YFIZ with activities ranging from dyeing, weaving, spinning, knitting, sewing and embroidery. The Hazan Shoe Industrial Park (HSIP) was also established by Zhejiang in Nigeria. The goal of the HSIP was to replicate the success of the YFIZ, but 113 with high quality footwear for domestic and export markets. In 2004, Zhejiang began manufacturing shoes in Nigeria by importing inputs from China and assembling in a small factory. The company encouraged its suppliers to establish enterprises in the same area in order to cut transportation costs and has plans to reinvest its profits to expand the industrial park. It is significant that both of these PIEs are located in Nigeria. Nigeria is one of the main destinations for private Chinese investment. This is due to both the massive size of the domestic and regional market, as well as Nigeria’s polices which raise the cost of importing goods. Nigeria also suffers from poor quality and availability of basic infrastructure, which encourages private Chinese firms to cluster together in order to reduce the (private-borne) costs of supplementary service provision. Chinese SOE copper mines and their supply chain in Zambia Zambia’s mining sector has a diversified country ownership structure with the largest sources of FDI in 2009 from Canada, India, Australia, Switzerland, and China with a much smaller share. China’s entry into Zambia’s mining sector in 1998 was gradual, beginning with the acquisition of a relatively small mining operation, NFC Mining Co. However in 2009 it bought Luanshya, a mine with significant potential for expanded production, which had been closed. China was also in the process of financing and constructing the Chambishi Multifacility Economic Zone, which included the Chambishi Copper Smelter and the acid plants, as well as a copper semi-fabricates manufacturing plant. The Chinese firm the China Non-Ferrous Metals Corporation (CNMC), one of China’s largest SOEs. CNMC was one of the national champions selected by the Chinese government for special support at domestic and international levels. The experience of how Chinese copper mines relate to their suppliers demonstrates that ownership characteristics of lead firms shape the trajectories of supply chains. These can be analysed in terms of three dimensions: entry and selection of their suppliers; market parameters set in 114 the supply chain; and upgrading of local supplier capabilities (Fessehaie and Morris 2013). Northern mining companies are increasingly tending to outsource activities outside their core business and, whenever possible, prefer a local supply chain. They selected suppliers on the basis of well-established procurement procedures, relying heavily on past relationships with preferred suppliers. These buyers also had a high level of brand loyalty for critical supply links, such as capital equipment and components, which made OEM subsidiaries and distributers their preferred suppliers. This procurement procedure excluded new local entrants, and placed distributors of new brands at a disadvantage. The Chinese mining company did not inherit an existing supply chain. To minimise the risk of relying on local suppliers that did not meet its expectations in terms of volume and price, it followed a more vertically integrated path. It invested in in-house engineering services (electrical, mechanical), a foundry, and exploration and drilling services. For other inputs, the Chinese buyers outsourced a wide range of goods and services: capital equipment and spares, explosives, steel plates, oil, rubber products, cement, lubricants, tyres, components and personal protective equipment. In contrast to Northern traditional mining companies, entry barriers to the Chinese supply chain were low and local suppliers found it easier to secure access to the supply chain. Chinese buyers were willing to try new products/new suppliers and had low brand loyalty. Lacking the social embeddedness with historical suppliers which characterised the Northern mining buyers, they instead invested in, and relied on, extensive auditing. Chinese buyers were consistently reported by suppliers as ‘very good customers’ and ‘result oriented’. They engaged in tough price negotiations, but paid on time and reduced red tape to the minimum (Fessehaie 2012a). In terms of meeting market parameters within the supply chain, both the Northern and the Chinese mining companies regarded reliability of delivery, 115 trust and quality as critical and a basic requirement to participate in the supply chain. In the Northern supply chain, trust was built through long-term relationships. In some cases, they assisted suppliers with product quality improvement, jointly running quality tests and providing quality feedbacks. Indirect cooperation took place through the International Finance Corporation (IFC) Suppliers Development Programme. By contrast, because of language and cultural barriers, it was the suppliers who had to take the initiative to build a relationship with the Chinese mine, rather than, as in the case of northern firms, the lead mining firm driving this relationship. The Chinese buyers did not provide any direct or indirect assistance to suppliers. Indeed, its buying department engaged consistently only in negotiations regarding payment and delivery times. Significantly, unlike the Northern companies which were adjusting to the 2008 financial crisis and had introduced an investment standstill and stringent costcutting measures, the Chinese mining company had a countercyclical expansion, with the acquisition and recapitalisation of a new mine and continued investment in the China-Zambia Chambishi Economic Zone. The Chinese mining firm therefore did not cut production, staff or development projects. This difference in approach to supply chain upgrading reflected the different approach of the Chinese mine to supplier responsibility and the internalisation of supply chain development. Instead of taking responsibility for SCM, the Chinese company relied heavily on government-to-government intermediation, assuming that the government would take responsibility for supply chain upgrading. Put simply, the Chinese mining company did not see local supply chain development as part of its corporate strategy and, therefore, did not invest in embedding itself into local supplier upgrading. It regarded the localisation of upstream linkages as the responsibility of the Zambian government to be catalysed by investment in the China-Zambia Chambishi Economic Zone. 116 Weakly developed supply chains in the Angolan Construction Industry After three decades of civil war, Angola needed to rebuild quickly. The Chinese offered an alternative to conditional IMF loans that required greater government transparency and macroeconomic reforms and which were transactions-intensive and slow to materialise. In 2002, the President appealed to the Chinese Exim Bank for assistance in rebuilding the country’s infrastructure. In return, the Chinese gained access to Angola’s crude oil reserves needed to fuel China’s rapidly expanding economy. Chapter 2 highlighted this relationship as the “Angolan mode”. The first loan agreement between the Chinese Exim Bank and the Angolan government was signed in March 2004. Since 2004, the three Chinese stateowned banks (Exim Bank, the China Development Bank and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China) have provided a total of $14.5 billion in oilbacked loans (Shelton and Kabemba 2012). The terms of the loan call for Chinese government approval of the Chinese firm selected for each infrastructure project. The construction company, invariably an SOE, is paid directly by the Exim Bank, which then writes off the amount against the loan given to the Angolan Ministry of Finance. The terms of the Exim Bank financing ensure that procurement is directed towards Chinese goods and services. It requires that no less than 50% of the value of project procurement come from China, and also dictates that only a maximum of 30% of the contracts can be locally subcontracted (Corkin 2011). A supply chain of private Chinese investment closely trailed these SOE involvements. These small-to-medium sized firms are subcontracted for small jobs, set up a procurement supply chain to provide equipment and materials from China, and provide distribution of Chinese products and services that are required by the SOEs. Many have expanded beyond the construction industry to provide consumable products and services to the surrounding communities. Although this process ensures that a supply chain is quickly established, albeit transplanted from China, it also limits local content and the development of local capabilities. 117 Angola’s reconstruction process has therefore yet to result in any meaningful linkages to the local economy. Local content is limited by a number of factors: External sourcing requirements. Crude oil makes up 99.9% of Angola’s exports to China. 39% of Angola’s total oil exports go to China, composing 15.7% of China’s total imports of crude oil (Corkin 2011). The volume of Angolan oil exported to China poses a problem to China’s balance of trade. As a result, the Chinese embassy has prioritised increasing Chinese exports to Angola to counteract the huge trade deficit. To achieve this aim, as shown above, Exim Bank loans are disbursed with a procurement requirement to source a minimum of 50% of equipment, labour, and services from China. Lack of local suppliers. Even if these procurement requirements were not in place, Angola produces so little in-country that materials necessary for the massive reconstruction projects could not be sourced from local suppliers. Furthermore, the Angolan government’s priority is to complete these infrastructure projects rapidly. Even where local capabilities have evolved without the support of government, the firms are unable to keep up with the demand of the reconstruction process. In the cement sector for example, there are five Angolan firms, however, they do not have the capacity to meet the demands of the SOEs, or even subcontracting private Chinese firms. In 2010, cement was the most imported product in Angola, the vast majority of which was sourced form China (Corkin 2011). Risk mitigation. The Chinese SOEs operating in Angola entered the market with little knowledge of the local economic context. It takes effort to identify local suppliers, who will then require SCM inputs which the SOEs are loath (and sometimes unable) to provide. Weak institutional framework. Local content laws (Angola’s Private Investment Law 54/1) requires all companies registered with the Agencia Nacional para Investimento Privado (ANIP) to have a 70% Angolan workforce. However, due to the nature of the public 118 infrastructure projects, the SOEs are contracted by the Chinese Exim Bank who deals directly with the Ministry of Finance. Therefore, Angolan local content regulations do not apply in these ventures. Even in cases where local content regulations may apply, the wording of the law is ambiguous - local content could refer to local ownership, local partner, or local incorporation. Chinese firms are able to circumvent this restriction by opening a base in Angola and importing all products from China. Lack of political will. The weak institutional framework is compounded by a lack of political will to pursue a localisation agenda. Huge infrastructure projects have great public visibility and the government does not want to “slow projects down” by facilitating local contributions to the reconstruction process (Corkin 2011). Lack of Local Skill/Knowledge. Twenty six years of civil war has deprived the Angola of skilled workers. More significantly, the war has left the country with little training or educational institutions to equip the next generation of workers with skills necessary to compete in the global economy. Some of the SOEs have started training programmes for local workers. However, this is often done on a superficial level to improve public perception (Corkin 2011). Chinese oil firms in Sudan import their domestic supply chains Oil exploration and extraction in the Sudan has been dominated by FDI from China, mainly from investments by 13 large Chinese SOEs in the first decade of the 21st Century (Table 4.3). Whilst these 13 oil-related investments are dwarfed in number by investments by other Chinese firms, the value of the 13 SOE investments ($7.6b in 2010) far exceeded that of other ventures ($82m in 2010) (Suliman and Badawi 2010). Chinese FDI in the Sudan is however not restricted to these Chinese SOEs. Following in their wake there was a surge of investment by private Chinese SMEs mostly feeding into the oil-sector’s supply chain. Unlike the SOEs who have depended on Chinese state assistance, these private firms generally 119 invested independently, seeking market opportunities by supplying the needs of the oil sector. By 2007, 97 Chinese supplier firms had invested in Sudan 67 of these were wholly Chinese owned, and 30 were registered as private joint ventures. In total, they employed 6,828 workers. These Chinese firms participate in manufacturing, construction, services and agriculture and predominantly feed into the supply chain of the 13 large SOE oil lead firms (Table 4.3). By number of firms, they are concentrated in the construction sector; by number of employees, the agricultural sector is preponderant. The distribution of employment by nationality is not available. However, a study of a sample of 20 Chinese private firms revealed a ratio of 68% Chinese and 32% Sudanese employees (Suliman and Badawi 2010). Table 4.3: Private Chinese Firms and Employment by Sector (%) Percentage Percentage Firms Employees Mining 3.1 9.1 Food processing 3.1 2.4 Textile 2.1 1.1 Furniture 4.1 2.8 Paper 2.1 1.7 Plastic 10.3 7.2 Metals 2.1 2.1 Construction 37.0 22.0 Machine assembly 1.0 1.6 Leather 5.2 3.9 Electronics 4.1 2.5 Pharmaceutical 2.1 1.7 Restaurants and Hotels 3.1 1.2 Engineering; mechanics services 4.1 2.0 Transportation 6.2 5.8 Advertisement 3.1 1.2 Medical services 1.0 0.1 Agriculture 6.2 32.2 Total 100 100 Source: Ministry of Investment (MOI) Company Register registry, (Suliman and Badawi 2010) In conclusion, we can observe a number of what appear to be common trends in the role played by Chinese investment in the development of supply chains in Africa. The mode of entry of large Chinese SOEs backed by state-to-state agreements and utilising the ‘Angola mode’ of financing often limits local procurement. 120 Local procurement in these large SOE involvements is also hampered by the priority given by the host government for rapid execution of potentially long gestation period projects. Rapid execution utilising local suppliers is hampered by low levels of capabilities in the domestic economy. Hence the (limited) local supply chains feeding into these large SOE projects predominantly involve Chinese firms rather than locally-owned suppliers. Nevertheless, despite these obstacles to local supply chain development, there has been a growing presence of privately-owned Chinese SMEs feeding supplies into these large SOE ventures. Unlike the SOEs to whom they are feeding inputs, the entry of these privately owned suppliers is seldom facilitated or actively supported by the Chinese government. Unrelated to the large SOE backed ventures, a number of larger privately owned Chinese manufacturing firms are investing in Africa, predominantly seeking to serve the growing domestic market. Faced with poor infrastructure and weak local supply capabilities, they are creating industrial estates and are bringing their Chinese supply chain with them to serve their needs for key inputs. These developments represent both threats and opportunities to the development of local supply chains and to locally owned supply chains. It is as yet too early to determine the balance of outcomes. Moreover, it is unlikely that a single pattern will emerge which spans all African economies and all economic sectors. 4.5 AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH SCM PURSUING THE SOCIAL BOTTOM LINE There is a long tradition of corporate philanthropy in the global economy, in which corporate owners make charitable contributions in the quest to play a more positive social role in society. This is an especially rich stream in the US 121 where some of the more infamous ‘robber baron families’ who made their fortunes in the nineteenth century (such as the Carnegies and Rockefellers) subsequently established charitable foundations in the twentieth century. In recent decades the Gates Foundation, bolstered by support from Warren Buffet and other billionaires have maintained this charitable tradition, making a substantial contribution to the development of preventive health care in the developing world. A similar pattern of corporate philanthropy has begun to emerge in Africa, for example through the Mo Ibrahim Foundation. In India, many of the large firms have charitable operations directed at their own labour forces. For example, in the late 1990s in each factory of the Crompton Greaves Firm, whenever a worker died, all employees of a plant would donate a day’s salary to the family of the bereaved (Humphrey et al., 1998). However, contemporary CSR goes well beyond this philanthropic approach to the Social Bottom Line. The World Business Council, representing some of the world’s largest TNCs defines CSR in much broader terms: “Corporate Social Responsibility is the continuing commitment by business to behave ethically and contribute to economic development while improving the quality of life of the workforce and their families as well as of the local community and society at large” (Holme and Watts, 2000). This represents a much larger agenda for CSR than corporate philanthropy. Crucially, CSR is seen as applying both within the firm’s operations and in the role it plays in wider society. Moreover, it seeks to embed CSR in the everyday operations of the firm rather than as a sporadic and voluntary act undertaken after profits have been made in production in a way which may, or may not, reflect the principles of social responsibility. (The embedding of fair prices, fair labour standards and better organic and environmental standards in GVCs will be considered in Chapter 5). In this sense contemporary CSR is drawn more from the European than the North American charitable approach to the Social Bottom Line. Given the global operations of the world’s leading corporations, and given that they are subject to civil society pressure on these 122 global operations, most of the world’s leading TNCs now have a commitment to pursuing some elements of the Social Bottom Line in the global operations, including in Africa. A core driver of CSR is the ‘social licence to operate’. It targets SCM activities in the incorporation and upgrading of local suppliers, generally privileging indigenous producers, producers in close proximity to the lead firm’s operations and often specifically addressing the incorporation and upgrading of SMEs, women and youth. In some cases – as in the Niger River Delta (see below) – CSR programmes are a reaction to intense local political pressure for the gains of commodity extraction to be spread to the local population. In other cases – as in Ghana’s gold sector (see below) – the lead firms have taken a proactive approach to CSR, seeking to spread the benefits of resource extraction before opposition from the local population mounts. Either way, this new approach to CSR is aimed at incorporating formerly excluded communities in their supply chains rather than distributing welfare handouts to alleviate the costs of exclusion. 4.5.1 Niger Delta – CSR as a reaction to local political pressure Reflecting this transition in pursuit of the Social Bottom Line, CSR strategies adopted by transnational oil corporations operating in the Niger Delta have underdone a significant transformation in response to escalating social pressure and hostility in the region. The utilisation of CSR rhetoric in the region dates back to the 1960s and 1970s, during the first surge of oil exploration and production in the Delta. Ite (2007) classifies the period from 1960-1997 as one of “Community Assistance” - transnational oil companies like Chevron, Shell, and Total viewed CSR as a form of corporate philanthropy, undertaken on a limited scale. They engaged in basic infrastructure projects, cash transfers, scholarships, school and hospital construction, and agricultural development. All of these projects were one-off gifts – ‘spreading the wealth' - serving as recompense for the negative externalities caused by large-scale oil extraction on both the local communities and the local environment. 123 The early generation CSR projects in the region suffered from a range of problems. First, the projects were selected with no involvement from the communities themselves, based on the judgement of Shell and Chevron on what was appropriate for local needs. Second, and arguably partly as a consequence of the exclusion of local decision-makers, the interventions were often left unfinished, poorly executed, or poorly maintained. Schools were built, but lacked supplies; roads were constructed and then left to deteriorate. Third, these “gifts” were allocated without much coordination. They lacked a driving goal or strategy, often decided on an ad hoc basis in reaction to specific demands from a vocal specific community. This resulted in uneven development and uneven distribution of company resources, often aggravating and reinforcing pre-existing ethnic and tribal tensions in the region (Frynas 2001, 2005). These philanthropic projects did little to quell the growing tension between the oil corporations and their host communities. Violent protests broke out in the early 1990s in the form of rioting, attacks on pipelines, violence against oil company employees, mass protests, and armed resistance by various militant groups. The prolonged conflict caused massive civil unrest and multiple disruptions in oil production in the Niger Delta over the past two decades. In response to the increasingly hostile environment, the Nigerian government asked the oil corporations to construct socio-economic development programmes in cooperation with their host communities in an attempt to improve relations between the two parties. In 2002, Chevron undertook an internal investigation into the corporation’s CSR strategy. Shell soon followed suit. The result saw the adoption of a new model of CSR based on a Global Memorandum of Understanding (GMoU) through which oil corporations promised to engage with local community institutions and NGOs in order to generate sustainable development programmes, including through incorporation in their supply chains, in return for the maintenance of a peaceful operating environment in the region (Amnesty International 2005). 124 The adoption of GMoUs was paralleled by an expansion of CSR programmes within the oil corporations. New departments were created with large budgets, staffed by development and regional experts rather than oil-company technical experts. In 2010, Shell announced it would invest $65 million in its GMoU development package. Total and Chevron each allotted $50 million. Additionally, each corporation contributes 3% of its annual budget to the Niger Delta Development Corporation (NDDC). The NDDC’s budget for 2010 was $1.5 billion, $640 million of which was donated by oil corporations (Renouard and Lado, 2012). These second generation CSR programmes are built upon a foundation of long-term development goals. Chevron’s new CSR strategy is indicative of the changes taking place throughout the industry. With its new outlook, Chevron hopes to achieve the following aims:29 Work to increase local incomes and employment by improving the local business environment; Promote inclusive local growth and employment, with a special emphasis on addressing youth unemployment; Foster competitive business practices and improve the quality and quantity of locally sourced goods and services; Establish mutually beneficially partnerships with local stakeholders to improve local content in oil production processes. In order to achieve these aims, Chevron introduced a pilot programme in 2010 - the Niger Delta Partnership Initiatives Foundation (NDPI). The NDPI represents the new role Chevron hopes to play as a development catalyst in the region. Future interventions will be designed and implemented according to the following criteria: (a) thorough research and analysis of local markets; (b) active consultation with local stakeholders and NGOs; and (c) orientation http://www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals-network/daipartner-zone/niger-delta-chevron-new-paradigm-corporate-social-investment 29 125 toward upgrading of local production capabilities within the context of existing market structures. Central to NDPI’s strategy is the expansion of local content in the oil production supply chain. NDPI has created a database of local enterprises who can provide goods and services to the supply chain, prioritising intervention in programmes offering the largest potential for employment and output growth. Additionally, the NDPI has selected three priority subsectors unrelated to oil production - palm oil, aquaculture, and cassava - as targets for pilot programmes aimed at broad-based local development in the Niger Delta. 4.5.2 Ghana – a proactive approach to SCM and the Social Bottom Line The transformation of CSR programmes in the Niger Delta is an example of a direct and reactive response on behalf of large TNCs to increasing pressure and hostilities from local host communities. It is too early to determine whether these efforts will be successful. The long history of conflict between community and corporation in the region may prove to be a serious obstacle to meaningful corporate-led development for local enterprises. The case of the Newmont Ghana Gold Corporation’s interaction with the Ahafo mining communities describes a different setting for CSR programmes. Unlike the open and sometimes violent confrontation in the Niger Delta, Newmont’s programme in Ghana was conducted in a more peaceful and cooperative environment. Newmont, an American company founded in 1921, is the second largest gold mining firm in Ghana (GFMS 2010). Its CSR programme was designed to proactively challenge the assumption that mining in Africa was an inherently enclave activity. In 2002, the Ghana Mining Commission (GMC) required all mining corporations to incorporate a sustainable community development programme within their CSR models. Since its establishment, Newmont’s programme has succeeded in generating “imperfect, but promising economic linkages” (Bloch 2012: 435). Newmont’s CSR model is “committed to sustainable economic and social development of the Ahafo Mine Communities and its environs” 126 (Newmont 2009). The strategy consists of five pillar programmes, all of which are implemented through public-private partnerships with local government institutions and NGOs. The programmes cover a wide range of projects establishing community forums, writing individual community responsibility agreements, promoting agro-processing subsectors, and upgrading health facilities. The most significant project is the Ahafo Linkages Programme (ALP). The programme was started in partnership with the International Finance Corporation in 2006 with a three-year plan to increase local content in the Newmont supply chain. Table 4.4 illustrates the programmes results over the period. Beginning from a low base, the number of local content transactions was increased by 395%, and the number of local SMMEs involved by 400%. During this three year period, the ALP trained 22 SMMEs through a managerial mentoring programme and created 282 new jobs (of which 181 were skilled jobs). The value of contracts grew from $1.7m to $4.7m. Table 4.4: Local Content Results 2006 Contract values (US$) 2007 2008 1,718,949 4,182,654 4,668,404 Number of transactions 121 282 599 Number of local SMMEs 25 52 125 Source: Newmont 2009 In addition to the fiscal linkages that are normally associated with commodity extraction - royalties, corporate taxes, payroll taxes, etc. - Newmont’s CSR model has begun to generate backward supply chain linkages into the local economy. In Ahafo, there are roughly 300 enterprises registered under the mining sector. Local companies, mostly SMMEs, play a large role in the provision of goods and services to the 3rd and 4th tiers of the supply chain. Table 4.5 illustrates the distribution of mining expenditure amongst producing members of the Ghana Chamber of Mines (GCOM). Significantly, 38% of total spend (including fuel and power) is allocated to local purchases. Newmont currently lists 521 local enterprises as suppliers into its production chain (Bloch 2012, 440). Not all of these linkages are a result of its CSR 127 programme. Nevertheless, the programme has played a major role in deepening these backward linkages, and especially in seeking to skew these linkages to indigenous and small scale suppliers. Table 4.5: Domestic purchases by Ghana Chamber of Mines Producing Members (2008) Classification Amount (US$m) Percentage Employees 175 8 CAPEX 669 29 Direct to State 146 6 12 1 Local purchases 467 20 Local purchase (fuel/power) 428 18 52 2 376 16 2325 100 Mining host communities Loans (interest Imported consumables Total Source: Bloch 2012 The Ghana Mining Commission in partnership with the Ghana Chamber of Mines is utilising the Newmont CSR strategy as a model for guiding future corporate engagement with host communities. The GMC is developing a policy that will require all mining companies to commit to the implementation of a local business development programme with the express purpose of increasing localisation of supply chains. The new policy will be based on specific targeting of products and subsectors not on minimum percentage requirements of local content. The GCOM has already identified 27 product categories that are already manufactured locally and can be incorporated into the mining supply chain. Additionally, 35 local manufacturers have been identified for support from the GCM to upgrade their products and production processes in order to attain the quality necessary to enter into the supply chain. 4.5.3 Wal-Mart in South Africa Wal-Mart’s acquisition of Massmart in 2012 is a particular case of the incorporation of CSR activities into a direct supply chain development 128 programme. The particular and unique nature of the case derives from South Africa’s racialised economic history. As a result of the historical policies of segregation and apartheid large swathes of the private sector were concentrated in white hands. This was particularly marked in the agricultural sector where most commercial agricultural was concentrated in large farming units. The new democratically elected Government has over the past 20 years been prioritising the empowerment of black ownership as part of the process of redistribution of economic resources. As a Competition Appeal Court condition for the takeover of Massmart, Wal-Mart offered to set up a fund, administered by a special unit within its supply chain development unit, directed at empowering small and medium enterprises. Although not defined in racial terms, the major recipients thus far have been black suppliers. This is therefore an example of a proactive CSR type initiative directly focused on supply chain management and development activities. The Wal-Mart/Massmart Supplier Development Fund (SDF) was launched at the end of 2012 to support SME development in Massmart supply chains. Massmart has allocated R240m (roughly $22 million) to the fund, to be distributed over a period of five years. The objectives of the SDF are to assist existing and potential local small and medium sized suppliers to Massmart which fall outside of its priority supply chain development, and to assist highly focused clusters of micro-enterprises (existing or new) to upgrade their capabilities and give them access to its supply chain. The fund provides input loans for seed capital, marketing and sales support, technical support on basic financial management, help with packaging and transport, as well as guarantees and credit support for working capital and equipment funding. It targets existing Massmart suppliers and potential vendors, giving priority to SMMEs, suppliers with potential for export, products that are environmentally and social sustainable, and enterprises with capacity for labour absorption. Thus far, the main focus of the SDF has been on rural micro enterprise clusters, building the capabilities of small farmers in four regions to supply processed vegetables to Massmart’s main urban stores. This comprises 17 projects, thus far aimed at 165 small black farming enterprises, with 297 129 farmers trained and 645 seasonal labourers employed. TechnoServe is employed on contract to assist these small farmers in building capabilities to meet the necessary requirements and standards of the Massmart supply chain. The SDF has also provided support to 25 black-owned wine farms in the Western Cape in order to supply their products to domestic Massmart branches as well as integrate products into Thierry’s Wine Services global supply chain. A number of small manufacturers in the Gauteng have also been targeted by SDF with the goal of transforming the firms into long-term suppliers of Massmart products. 4.6 SCM IN PURSUIT OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL BOTTOM LINE Although concern with the Environmental Bottom Line dates back at least as long as the focus on the Social Bottom Line, its translation into SCM has been much slower. It is only very recently that structured programmes of what has come to be called Supply Chain Greening have been developed and are beginning to be rolled out along supply chains. As in the case of the competiveness driver of SCM, the first and most important step in supply chain greening is the restructuring of internal operations within the lead firms. The building blocks for this internal reform were provided with the introduction of the International Standards Organisation (ISO) ISO14000 standard introduced in 1996, modelled on the British Standard BS7750 which was introduced in 1992. Mirroring the ISO9000 family of quality standards, ISO14000 provides the potential for better environmental practices by embedding environmental monitoring throughout internal manufacturing operations. It does not guarantee better environmental performance since the firm may or may not take actions to correct the suboptimal environmental practices which the ISO14000 monitoring system unearths. The spread of environmental awareness outside of the lead firm was spurred by the commitment made in 2005 by Wal-Mart to green its supply chain. WalMart is the world’s largest corporation by turnover (and is China’s ninth largest 130 trading partner). It announced its intentions to move towards four greening objectives in its internal operations in 2005. The first step was to focus on energy and to move towards 100% renewable energy in its internal operations; the second was to strive to reach “zero waste” (modelled on the principle of “zero defects” in just-in-time production – see above); the third was to “sell products that sustain people and the environment”; and the fourth, was to green its domestic supply chain. The greening of its global supply chain accelerated after 2008 following the considerable progress made in greening its internal operations and its US supply chain. Wal-Mart began in China by inviting 1,000 CEOs of its largest suppliers to a meeting in Beijing. “When they arrived, the CEOs were told that half of them would be getting more business from Walmart and the other half would no longer be doing any business at all with the retail giant. Walmart’s new environmental rules were then handed out and the CEOs were told to make sure they figured out how to end up in the winning half” (Wharton Business School, 2012: 2). The topic of the summit was Wal-Mart’s “Global Responsible Sourcing Initiative.” The initiative challenged suppliers to meet five goals: (1) All suppliers must declare their factories compliant with local social and environmental regulations by 2011; (2) All suppliers must disclose the name and location of every factory they use to make Wal-Mart products by the end of 2009; (3) Suppliers must reach a near-zero defective return rate by 2012; (4) A 20% improvement on energy efficiency in all supplier factories in China by 2012; and 131 (5) All suppliers must source 95% of their products from factories that receive Wal-Mart’s highest rating for environmental and social practices by 2012. In 2009, Wal-Mart announced the development of a worldwide Sustainability Product Index, which established a uniform survey to be completed by all Wal-Mart suppliers. The survey consists of 15 questions surrounding energy use, climate impact, material efficiency, natural resource usage, and local community involvement. The surveys feed into the “Sustainability Index Consortium,” an open platform database that allows for analysis and dispersion of the information collected from Wal-Mart’s 100,000 suppliers. By 2012, 500 suppliers and 107 product categories had participated in the Sustainability Product Index. At the Global Sustainability Milestone Meeting in Beijing, CEO Mike Duke announced plans to expand participation to 70% of suppliers by 2017. At the event, he made it clear that failure to participate in the Index would result in removal of the firms from Wal-Mart’s supply chain. He also announced five key initiatives to accelerate progress in supply chain greening: Increasing the use of recycled materials and increasing the recyclable content in packaging; Offering products with greener chemicals, following the introduction of Wal-Mart’s Consumable Chemicals Initiative; Reducing fertiliser use in agriculture, requiring suppliers who use commodity grains to develop a fertiliser optimisation plan; Expanding the sustainability index to international markets, beginning with Wal-Mart Chile, Wal-Mart Mexico, and Massmart South Africa in 2014; Improving energy efficiency in factories. 132 Wal-Mart’s commitment to greening its supply chain, as well as the efforts of follower firms, was driven by a number of factors. First, as in the case of total quality control, greening is cost-saving. A reduction in energy costs as a consequence of greater energy efficiency is an important driver, but so too is a reduction in the cost of packaging and the costs involved in cleaning up spillages, and so on. Second, consumers have a growing awareness of environmental issues, and a green supply chain provides a potentially important marketing tool in final markets. And, third, greening is widely seen as a way of diverting attention from other consumer demands. In Wal-Mart’s case greening has been criticised as a defensive response to widespread criticism of its rejection of collective bargaining and in its failure to recognise trade unions. In the resource sector it was widely seen to deflect attention from consumer concerns with working conditions and corruption. Wal-Mart’s current goal is to have 70% of its global suppliers utilising its Green Index by 2017. As yet, this Green Index does not stretch beyond its first-tier suppliers. Other firms have begun to mirror Wal-Mart’s greening programme. IBM introduced a Social and Environmental Management System programme in 2010, targeting its 28,000 first-tier suppliers. It required suppliers to introduce both CSR and greening programmes. Critically, seeking to promote implementation, IBM required suppliers to measure performance against environmental goals and to publicly disclose both their metrics and their results. These first-tier suppliers are then required to push the same programmes through their supply base (Wharton Business School 2012). Hewlett Packard, Apple and other large electronics firms had been monitoring the environmental practices in their assembly operations and suppliers in China, Malaysia and other Asian economies for some time (Raj-Reichert, 2013). Lockheed Martin, one of the world’s largest and most technologically advanced aerospace and military contractors has moved forward on its Green Procurement agenda, defining this as 133 “… a product that fulfills one or more of the following criteria: • Products with recycled or recyclable content • Products that are energy and water efficient • Bio-based products • Alternative fuels • Fuel-efficient and alternative technology vehicles • Products that minimize toxic and hazardous ingredients • Products that minimize packaging waste • Regionally sourced products to reduce transportation costs. Green Procurement can apply to office products, printing services, electronic equipment, fleet vehicles, appliances, lighting, construction, renovations and maintenance, and more.” Seeking to extend the benefits of supply chain greening to low and middle income economies, the International Finance Corporation has initiated a support programme arguing that “Upgrades along the value chain can improve productivity, profitability, and regulatory compliance, making a firm more competitive. Upgrades may also include renewable energy upgrades and other greening tactics as well as improving health and safety awareness, generating broad financial, social and environmental benefits and demonstrating a commitment to good corporate governance”.30 Focusing particularly on small enterprises in agriculture and food processing for export, the IFC seeks to provide the finance to enable suppliers to meet the increasingly demanding requirements of lead firms in GVCs. “With IFC’s assistance, [Financial Institutions] can offer financing packages designed to improve supplier business performance and credit risk, while generating attractive portfolio returns from an untapped market.” 30 http://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/Topics_Ext_Content/IFC_External_Corporate_Site/CB_ Home/Sectors/Greening+Supply+Chains/ 134 Thus, whatever the historic and current reality of supply chain greening as a form of “greenwash”, there is little doubt that it will become an increasingly important component of SCM in the future, if for no other reason than the fact that it is cost saving. However, as yet it is still in embryonic form, and seldom extends beyond first-tier suppliers. There is also little sign of it being implemented in Africa. Some large firms, particularly TNC subsidiaries, are beginning to green their internal practices, but there is little evidence of even this limited form of internal greening diffusing to SMEs. A recent study of energy reduction practices in the Kenyan maize and the Nigerian cassava sectors shows very limited progress being made, with no signs of any awareness of the importance of supply chain greening (Adeoti et al., 2013). 4.6.1 Supply chain greening in Africa The consequences of the extension of global value chains in the fresh fruit and vegetable sector to incorporate African suppliers will be illustrated in the discussion of global value chains in Chapter 5. Particularly in fresh produce, the greening of supply chains plays an important role in ensuring that the major importing European retailers can meet the challenging conditions in their final markets. It is not just that consumers are wary of harmful chemical residues in final products, but government regulations also forbid the use of certain pesticides and fertilisers and place limits on the amount of residues of other less harmful chemical inputs. This has required the lead firms to put in place complex and systemic procedures to ensure the provenance of their supply chain. It affects the whole chain including soil preparation, seed selection, fertilisers, pesticides, washing and packing. This requires the introduction and monitoring of greening processes throughout the supply chain. It is accompanied by chain of custody documentation so that any unwanted concentration of chemical residue can be traced back to the individual plot of land, the individual farmer/picker, the day of harvesting and packing and the packing house involved in washing and packaging the final product. The greening of these 135 supply chains are a sine qua non for participation in these Europe-focused value chains. Similar procedures are required in other agricultural sectors such as in the wood-furniture and leather-footwear chains, as will be shown below. This supply chain greening is a function of market entry into high income markets and involves firms from high income countries responding to vocal civil society organisations. But what happens when the lead firms and lead markets are from low and middle income economies where lower per capita incomes and less well developed civil society organisations mean that environmental concerns are less important in consumer preferences? China’s rapidly growing presence in Africa provides the opportunity to assess these issues. Case Study: China’s “Green” Policies & the Ugandan Footwear Industry China has been widely criticised for the lack of environmental regulation and oversight throughout the country’s rapid industrialisation process. The severity of China’s current domestic air and water pollution crisis has prompted questions about the environmental impact of China’s increased involvement in foreign industries. In response to concerns from the international community, the Chinese Exim Bank signed a MoU with the IFC to work together to mitigate the impact of Chinese industrialisation both domestically and abroad, utilising the IFC’s “Equator Principles” as a blueprint. In 2008, the China Exim Bank published more stringent guidelines for environmental impact assessments (EIAs) for new development projects in foreign countries. By late 2008, the China Exim Bank was almost exclusively using European consultants for their EIAs because Chinese consultants lacked international credibility. That same year, the Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning drafted a new manual for environmentally sustainable practices for Chinese companies investing in developing countries. China began incorporating more stringent environmental regulations into their new African projects, but encountered problems when it came to lack of 136 capacity within host countries to implement the necessary infrastructural requirements to ensure green production. Chinese investment in the Ugandan footwear industry provides an example of this challenge. Establishing leather and footwear based industries in Africa is an area of focus for both private and public Chinese entities. Footwear clusters in China, especially that of the Wenzhou province, have been extremely successful in absorbing unskilled labour and upgrading to higher value added activities. Hazan Shoes, a private shoe company based in Wenzhou, invested $6 million to build an assembly factory in Lagos (see above). Hazan’s long-term plan is to establish a vertically integrated footwear cluster centred around the Lekki SEZ after construction is completed. In order to upgrade capacity in African footwear industries, China funded several month-long training courses at the China Leather and Footwear Industry Research Institute in Beijing. Representatives from eight African countries with promising footwear industries, including Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Uganda, attended the training sessions. Amongst technical and managerial skill building workshops, the institute held sessions on environmentally friendly leather processing methods, focusing particularly on methods that utilise non-toxic chemicals, vegetable-based dyeing, and minimise effluent. However, establishing leather and footwear enterprises in Africa has proved to be a challenge for Chinese businesses due to the inability of host countries to meet the environmentally sustainable production requirements. In 2006, Sun Jun, a Chinese company, broke ground on Skyfat Tannery in Jinja, Uganda. The national water and sanitation company built the necessary infrastructure to meet the requirements of the plant and, within six months of production, the tannery had exported $4 million worth of wet blue hides. Soon after, the Jinja local government alerted Skyfat to the fact that the government constructed sewer lines could not handle the amount of effluent the tannery was producing. This required Skyfat to take over treatment of the factory’s waste. By November 2007, the amount of effluent produced by 137 Skyfat and surrounding tanneries in the cluster had grown to an extent that the Jinja government forced the cluster to shut down production. 250 jobs were lost (Brautigam 2009). Skyfat placed the blame on the Ugandan authorities who approved Sun Jun’s investment without first doing an in-depth analysis of the infrastructure requirements for an environmentally safe method of disposing of the tannery’s waste. The leather and footwear industry has great potential to grow in African countries which have already established activity in the subsector. However, the infrastructure systems required to mitigate the environmental impacts of the industry require a substantial amount of investment and planning. The example of the Skyfat Tannery, part of the supply chain feeding into the shoe sector, illustrates how environmental regulation within supply chains has the potential to catalyse upgrading of production processes and infrastructure development, thereby attracting further enterprises to the region. However implementation has to occur with full engagement of national and local government in order to be successful. Case Study: Ghanaian Timber Industry The relatively successful greening of the Ghanaian timber supply chain involves three main actors— two British timber buyers, a timber supplier in Ghana, and the WWF’s Global Forest and Trade Network: Travis Perkins, Britain’s number one supplier of building and construction materials, was criticised by civil society organisations for sourcing wood from suppliers with poor sustainability practices for major government building projects, including the renovation of the British Parliament building. The British government requires that all state-run construction projects involve materials from sustainable sources. One of Travis Perkin’s biggest suppliers, Timbnet Silverman, the largest importer of hardwood in the UK, sources 40% of its wood from Ghana (Emmet and Sood 2010). Samartex Timber and Plywood is a company with a long history in the Ghanaian timber industry and a longstanding business relationship with 138 Timbnet Silverman. The company is currently the lead supplier of sustainable timber in Ghana. The Global Forest and Trade Network (GFTN) is a World Wildlife Fund (WWF) initiative to pressure large construction corporations to source wood materials from environmentally sustainable supply chains. The GFTN creates links between global corporations and local timber suppliers that are both committed to creating ‘green’ supply chains. The network also uses an independent auditor to certify each firm in the supply chain according to responsible forest management principles. In response to the public criticism and pressure from shareholders to become more environmentally friendly, both Travis Perkins and Timbnet Silverman began seeking solutions to green their supply chain. They pressured Samartex to undergo a transformation of their timber sourcing practices in Ghana in return for an increase in the price and quantity of wood demanded by Timbnet Silverman. In 2004, Samartex signed an agreement with the WWF to become the first certified sustainable timber supplier under the GFTN. Since Samartex’s successful certification, eight other timber suppliers in Ghana have undergone audits for certification. GFTN, with the help of USAID and the UK Department of International Development, coordinated and funded technical assistance and expertise required for the greening of Samartex’s supply network. Samartex greatly reduced the amount of damage caused by poor timber felling and hauling practices, also providing new roads and hauling equipment to reduce the environmental impact of transporting timber. In addition to transforming its environmental practices, the company developed CSR agreements and established a joint forum with communities in the area, intended to give rise to sustainable development solutions as well as educate the locals about sustainable forestry practices. 139 Since Samartex has received its certification, the company’s orders have increased by $2 million from timber supply companies looking to improve their sourcing practices (Emmet and Sood 2010). Samartex has served as a model for Ghanaian companies looking to achieve GFTN certification, largely motivated by the paucity of firms able to meet the increasing demand for sustainable tropical hardwood. 4.6.2 But Greening can also be reversed. The Ugandan leather and footwear experience is one of no progress, and contrasts sharply with the relatively successful experience of the Ghanaian timber sector. However, not all greening trajectories in Africa are positive, as can be seen form developments in Gabon between 2007 and 2001. De-greening in Gabon’s timber supply chain Gabon is the third largest global exporter of tropical timber. In 2008, 80% of total export earnings and 65% of government revenue were derived from the oil industry. However, these resource rents are very unevenly distributed. Timber is Gabon’s third largest export after oil and manganese, accounting for 6.2% of total exports in 2008 and around 3% of GDP. It is, however, the second largest employer after the state, absorbing an estimated 28-30% of the active labour force (much of this is part-time employment). Until the late 1990s, timber was predominantly exported to France and other EU markets. Since then, exports to China have grown rapidly and (in round wood equivalent volume) now exceed exports to the EU. In 2001, the government introduced legislation designed to create a sustainable timber industry and to encourage forward linkages. Amongst the objectives of the Forestry Code (Loi No 016/01 Portant Code Forestier) of 2001 was the development of a sustainable forest management system. One of the drivers of this push for sustainable forestry was pressure from major European buyers and external agencies, including the IMF and the World Bank (Gabon’s largest creditors) and European governments. Responding to concerns from civil society, a variety of standards emerged to protect forest ecosystems and the sustainability of forest resources, and this 140 determines the greening of the supply chain. Some of these standards are set by buyers, some are industry standards, and others are set by governments and are mandatory. Responding to concerns from civil society, European buyers increasingly require legality certification. In particular, OLB (Origine et Légalité des Bois) certifies that the particular logging company is the legal owner of the concession and has the right to sell the specified logs. Legality certification falls increasingly under the umbrella of the EU FLEGT programme (Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade), whose primary aim is to eradicate illegal timber trade. In addition to this legally backed FLEGT programme, buyers in Europe are increasingly conforming to the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) certification, which provides for the systematic recording of sustainable production standards, and a chain of custody certificate tracing timber all the way through the value chain. The FSC scheme has wide-ranging requirements including the protection of the rights of indigenous peoples and detailed procedures designed to protect the environment. The ISO 14000 standards are also protective of the environmental impact of the timber value chain. Many EU and US governments have a series of health and safety concerns in the timber value chain. These technical features, for example, address formaldehyde emissions arising from the adhesives used to produce plywood, chemicals used in the production of medium-density fibreboards or pollution from paint. Phytosanitary requirements ensure that the producer is capable of cleaning, sanitising and sterilizing timber to ensure that it is free from unwanted dirt, seeds, pests or germs. Critically, certification requires that these standards are implemented throughout the supply chain After the introduction of the Forestry Code in 2001, exports of processed timber products grew rapidly, exceeding 450,000 cubic metres in 2005. However, there are important differences between market destinations. European buyers have imported a growing proportion of processed timber products, whereas Chinese buyers almost exclusively buy unprocessed logs (Figure 4.3). 141 Figure 4.3: Gabon export volumes of wood products in cubic meters (1961-2007) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Sawnwood Veneer sheets Plywood Source: ForesSTAT data online http://faostat.fao.org (accessed January 2011) This switch in final markets had major implications for the greening of Gabon’s timber supply chain. Whereas the EU market is increasingly subject to green supply chain considerations, and this is reflected in the standards which they require from suppliers, few of these standards are imposed by Chinese buyers, since civil society organisation do not exert the same pressure on imported commodities. The Chinese government, too, has imposed few standards on imports which affect the greening of the supply chain. This contrasting experience between the EU and the Chinese markets is shown in the critical success factors governing timber exports. With the exception of some large foreign enterprises or joint ventures, wood processing companies largely follow a low-cost/low-price competitive strategy with a focus on quantity rather than quality. This contrast between the drivers of consumption and the determinants of market access in the EU and China surfaces in the preferences of global buyers operating in Gabon. Buyers from China tend to place a premium on low price and large volumes. They are generally less concerned with specific varieties than are the EU buyers, and also show particularly low preferences for environmental compliance and the quality of the logs which they are purchasing (Figure 4.4). Specifically with respect to environmental standards, Chinese buyers make very few demands from Gabonese suppliers, particularly in comparison to EU buyers (Figure 4.5). 142 Figure 4.4: European and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements – Wood Logs (1=not important; 5=very important) Price EU CN Environmental compliance 5 4 3 2 1 0 Variety tree species Volume Quality Source: Terheggen’s fieldwork data collected Nov. 2008 – Feb. 2009 Figure 4.5: EU and Chinese Buyers’ Requirements –International Regulations and Standards (1=not important; 5=very important)* EU Formaldehyde emissions 5 CN ISO standards 4 3 Phytosanitary requirements 2 1 GPP 0 Sustainability certification requirements Product testing requirements Building codes Legality certification requirements Source: Terheggen’s fieldwork data collected Nov. 2008 – Feb. 2009 Note: * See Box 3 for details of standards There are three supply chain consequences of this shift in global markets which, as we observed in Chapter 2, are likely to become increasingly prominent. These are likely to have widespread consequences beyond the timber sector. First, despite the growth of higher income segments of final demand in China (and other emerging economies), their demand profiles are more focused on price than on environmental concerns. Hence as global 143 demand shifts from the north to the south it is likely that greening concerns will be much less prominent and that in some cases, as in Gabon’s timber sector, the momentum is likely to be one of de-greening rather than greening. Second, standards have important implications for capability-building. Greater demands for environmental and quality standards require enhanced skills and the capacity to improve quality over time. A reduction in greening pressure on the supply chain will undermine the growth of capabilities in African supply chains. Third, at the same time, environmental standards require relatively sophisticated suppliers, and this has acted as a barrier to entry for SMEs. Therefore, one positive impact of a reduction in supply chain greening pressures is to provide enhanced space for SMEs in global supply chains. 144 CHAPTER 5 GOVERNANCE IN GVCs AS EXPORTERS ENTER GLOBAL MARKETS SUMMARY The value chain (VC) describes the full range of activities which are required to bring a product or service from conception, through the different phases of production (involving a combination of physical transformation and the input of various producer services), delivery to final consumers, and final disposal after use. The VC perspective is important for three primary reasons: o A chain is only as strong as its weakest link. Building competences confined to individual firms will flounder on systemic inefficiency. o Value chains connect producers to final markets; these final markets offer different possibilities for profitable production. o Value chains define the division of labour in the chain and this affects the incomes which accrue to different parties in the chain and the capacity of producers to upgrade. VCs result from a series of developments which have been spurred by the deepening of globalisation: o The specialisation by firms in their core competences. o The governance of GVCs. o The character of high income markets. o The growing importance of standards. o The demand to master different types of upgrading. o The importance of ownership. 145 Different end markets have significant ramifications for patterns of competence specialisation, governance, standards, upgrading and ownership in value chains. There are two major families of GVCs: o ‘Additive value chains’ - are characterised by sequential processes of domestic value added. These tend to dominate in the resource sectors. o ‘Vertically specialised’ chains – involved the increasing fragmentation of production in which individual processes occur simultaneously. These tend to dominate globalising manufacturing and service sectors. Vertically specialised GVCs dominate in high income economies and are growing most rapidly. By contrast, there are few vertically specialised GVCs operating in Africa, and those which do tend to be concentrated in Southern Africa. Case studies of African GVCs illustrate how an understanding of the dynamics of GVCs helps to explain the nature of economic diversification and the determinants of upgrading amongst producers. They also show that successful upgrading and insertion in GVCs is a function of: o The technical character of individual chains o The strategies of the lead firms driving these chains o The nature of domestic capabilities in individual African economies o The design and delivery of effective government policy 146 5.1 WHY ENSURING SUPPLY IS ONLY PART OF EXPORT EXPANSION Chapters 3 and 4 addressed two of the major determinants of supply capabilities – industrial clusters and supply chain management (SCM). As we saw in Chapter 3, international experience shows that firms who cluster in close proximity benefit from external economies and often cooperate with each other to develop systemic efficiency. In many cases clusters play leading roles in global export markets. Clustering is particularly beneficial for SMEs, whose problems are not so much that they are small, but that they are isolated. International experience also shows that clusters have their own internal dynamics – in general, effective policy consolidates and strengthens rather than creates clusters. A range of different types of clusters are evident in Africa. Unlike the high income northern economies - but like many low income southern economies - the bulk of African clusters are survivalist in nature, showing few signs of dynamism, specialisation and upgrading. They generally produce simple consumer goods and services for local customers. However, although clusters are still at an immature stage on the African Continent, encouraging signs of dynamism have begun to emerge. In some cases, such as the furniture industry in Egypt, clusters participate actively in global final markets. In Nigeria, clusters are emerging in the high-tech sector, and are beginning to differentiate and to draw in educated entrepreneurs. These dynamic trends are also evident in one of Kenya’s furniture clusters. Successful clusters are characterised by active cooperation between firms – “horizontal glue” is important in these production networks. This cooperation requires trust. Clustering is also strengthened by the development of specialised institutions which facilitate relations between firms. However, cooperation is not only evidenced at a horizontal level, between firms engaging in similar types of activity. It is also to be found in the vertical relations between firms in the value chain. ‘A chain is only as a strong as its weakest link’ is as true for a production system as it is for the anchor chain in a large ship. Hence, supply capabilities in competitive markets necessarily 147 have to ensure that competitiveness and dynamism are embedded throughout the chain rather than in individual firms. The structured improvement of supply chains – supply chain management (SCM) – has emerged spontaneously as an outcome of market forces as lead firms acted to strengthen capabilities in their supply chain. They were led to develop their supply chains in order to respond with agility to changing market conditions and to lower costs by improving quality, reducing inventories and cutting out waste. But agility and cost reduction are not the only factors which have driven the development of SCM. Lead firms have also taken actions to strengthen their supply chains in order to enter profitable niche markets and to consolidate their ‘social licence to operate’ by spreading the benefits of their operations locally. More recently, supply chain greening has become an important driver of SCM, both as a route to cost saving and in order to strengthen presence in profitable global niche markets. Supply chain management in Africa is still in its infancy. Large firms selling into global export markets – particularly, but not only subsidiaries of global TNCs - have begun to work with their supply chains. But, with the exception of some firms in South Africa, they have seldom ventured beyond the first-tier of their chains to interact with second- and third-tier SMEs. More typically these large firms have resorted to importing their inputs rather than upgrading the capabilities of local suppliers. In terms of sectoral differentiation in Africa, SCM has begun to emerge as a major element of corporate strategy (although often with low levels of implementation) in Africa’s resource sector. This is a response by lead resource extracting firms to the twin challenges of pressure from consumers in final markets and from the populations adjacent to their production activities who demand a greater share of the benefits accruing from resource extraction. However, improving supply capabilities – whether through cluster development, supply chain development or other policies designed to build capabilities - is only one side in the equation of economic development. Once production moves beyond the subsistence level, development becomes a 148 process of production and consumption, supply and demand. The exchange relationship between producers and consumers is critical for a number of reasons. First, as we saw in Chapter 1, the specialisation and division of labour which drives productivity growth is dependent on the scale of the market. Thus, in order to progress, producers need to find market outlets which are some distance from their production facilities. Second, how producers enter markets, and which markets they enter, determines the price which they obtain for their efforts. Selling into highly competitive markets is often associated with cut-throat margins. Third, because (as we saw I Chapters 2 and 3) markets are increasingly differentiated, dynamic and volatile, producers need to develop the dynamic capabilities which are required to sustain a profitable presence in final markets. The trajectory of this capability building is defined by final markets and transmitted to producers by buyers. Moreover, many of the tools which facilitate the upgrading of capabilities in production are made available to producers by the lead firms who are responsible for the sale of products into final global markets. The challenges associated with entering and participating on a sustainable basis in final markets are particularly daunting for suppliers in low and middle income economies who are unfamiliar with the nature of demand in distant final markets. SMEs operating in industrial clusters are amongst the most challenged groups of producers. For all these reasons, a focus on supply alone does not provide enough of the tools which producers in lower economies such as Africa require to penetrate and gain from global markets. It is akin to building a very large factory (perhaps using the most advanced technologies) to produce products which are then stacked in a warehouse. Production has to be connected to the markets, and in the contemporary global economy, this requires producers to engage with, and participate in global value chains (GVCs). Understanding the dynamics of GVCs is the subject of the analysis undertaken below. Before considering African experience in GVCs (Section 5.5), it is first necessary to understand the character of GVCs, and to briefly consider comparative experience on how producers participate in global markets. 149 5.2 WHAT EXPLAINS THE EXPANSION OF GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS? The value chain (VC) describes the full range of activities which are required to bring a product or service from conception, through the different phases of production (involving a combination of physical transformation and the input of various producer services), delivery to final consumers, and final disposal after use. Two central features of VCs are that they have become increasingly fractured (a growing number of links in the chain) and that chains have become increasingly dispersed globally. The depth of integration of the global economy has grown in recent decades. The ratio of global exports to global GDP more than doubled from 11.4% in 1970 to 26.1% in 2009. Unlike the deep global integration in the nineteenth century which largely comprised of trade in primary products and finished manufactures, the ‘second great unbundling’ after the 1950s saw a dramatic growth in the share of semi-processed intermediate products in global trade (Baldwin, 2012a). This was increasingly driven in recent decades by advances in information and communications and transport technology. By 2012, more than half of total global merchandise exports and more than half of traded services comprised intermediate products and services (Lanz et al. 2009). Behind these trends in global macro aggregates lies the restructuring of production in global value chains (GVCs). As will be shown below, this involves the fragmentation of production across national borders. Trade is increasingly in semi-finished components and sub-assemblies rather than in final products. This is evidenced in an increasing number of sectors, in both physical goods and services. So great is the resultant trade in intermediates, that according to the World Trade Organisation, 28% ($5tr out of $19tr) of global trade in 2010 involved double-counting, that is the value of intermediate products traded directly across national borders and indirectly as subsequently incorporated in final products (UNCTAD, 2013). 150 A number of linked factors explain this rise in fragmented trade: The specialisation by firms in their core competences in the pursuit of innovation rents. The governance of GVCs. The character of high income markets. The growing importance of standards. The demand to master different types of upgrading The importance of ownership. It is necessary to briefly explore these determinants of GVC evolution in order to understand the specific nature of Africa’s involvement in GVCs. Core competences – the building block for firm-level specialisation. As we saw in Chapters 2 and 3, markets in the high income northern economies became increasingly volatile and fragmented after the 1970s. These changing market requirements placed enormous pressure on firms which had been accustomed to operating in a world of stable and predictable markets which largely accepted their product offerings. They consequently had to find a way of adapting to this new competition, and one path to this was to refine and specialise their roles in their value chains. They did this in part by focusing on their core competences. Core competences describe a series of capabilities which satisfy three basic conditions – they are unique to the firm, they are difficult to copy and they have a value in the market place (Hamel and Prahalad, 1994). In a world of growing knowledge-intensity in production, there is increasing space for unique and specialised capabilities. The logical outcome of the need to identify and exploit core competences is to give up on those parts of the chain 151 which are not unique to the firm and/or which are easily copied. These noncore competences can then be outsourced to other parties in the value chain, subject of course to the firm’s capacity to manage this outsourcing structure. Facilitated by falling trade barriers, declining transport costs and the growing capabilities of information processing and communicating technologies, this outsourcing has become increasingly global in nature. For many of the world’s largest producers who had previously offshored parts of their internal operations to foreign subsidiaries to reduce production costs, this global outsourcing of some operations to suppliers with whom there were no equity links was a natural development of trajectories which they already had in place. The pursuit of innovation rents drives core competences As we saw in Chapter 2, core competences can be understood as rents, that is, possessing a capability or an attribute which is protected from competition. Although some rents are gifts of nature, most rents have been created or augmented. But in world of competition, rents are inherently dynamic. Despite intensive attempts to protect rents, a special attribute today, may become a commodity tomorrow, that is a product or service which has few barriers to entry. These rents are distributed through the chain and the function of focusing on core competences is to identify areas of high rent which are protected from competition. The balance of chain activities which do not constitute core competences is outsourced. But this outsourcing has to be managed to both ensure systemic chain efficiency and to institute processes which ensure that the chain as a whole responds to changing market conditions. It is customary to refer to the management of these chain relations as value chain governance. The management of chain rents requires Chain Governance GVCs which occur entirely within a single transnational firm are by definition tightly governed by the firm’s management structure. But even where there are no equity links between firms in the vertical chain, coordination and governance are critical. Each link in the chain has to be accorded a specific 152 role, defining the boundaries of its roles and the performance requirements it has to meet in order to sustain its role in the VC. The key actor in GVC governance has increasingly become the buyers who feed products into final markets. In some sectors, these buyers are individual firms who utilise intermediate products in their downstream operations – the experience of Toyota described in Chapter 4 is a good example of this type of buyer. A second type of buyer is the retail supermarkets who dominate many final global markets. In most European markets, more than 80% of total retail sales are controlled by less than five firms. Wal-Mart, with annual sales of $476.3 billion has a turnover equal to the GDP of the 25th economy in the world, and is China’s ninth largest trading partner. Buyer concentration in retail is also rapidly unfolding in Africa as Wal-Mart, Nakumatt, Shoprite, Woolworths, etc. move into various cities in the continent. A third major category of buyer is final branded product firms such as Nike, Levi-Strauss, Zara who have few manufacturing facilities of their own, but specify their needs very precisely to producers. Between these three types of dominant buyers are a range of intermediaries who have an important bearing on chain structure (and who play a major role in intermediating exports by African producers into global markets). Some sectors, such as garments and electronics, have seen the emergence of ‘triangular buyer governance’ in which the lead firm (for example Nike) specifies product requirements, and a systems coordinator (for example Li and Fung from Hong Kong) takes control of the outsourcing function and the management of the supply chain (Gereffi, 1999). In agricultural commodities there are a plethora of local buyers feeding produce into ‘category buyers’ who serve the needs of the retail chains for particular types of products (for example, fresh fruit and vegetables), or very large TNCs who specialise in trading (such as Cargill). Market characteristics determine chain structure and performance As we have repeatedly observed, the transition in production organisation over recent decades, as well as the emergence of GVCs, are both 153 consequences of the maturation of post-WW2 final markets. The first two decades after the end of the war were associated with a severe production shortfall in the high income economies. In this environment the producer was king and could virtually sell anything which it could produce. But as incomes grew and as basic needs were satisfied, so consumers in these markets became increasingly demanding. They required better quality, greater variety and new products - produced more ethically and sustainably - and wanted these changes to be made with increasing frequency. They were rich enough to pay the higher prices which these attributes entailed. Although not all consumers in high income countries were rich enough to translate these wishes into effective demand, these consumption patterns were increasingly dominant and determined GVC configuration. In general, the more demanding final markets were, the higher the margins available to producers in the chains feeding into these markets. By contrast, the very rapid growth of low and middle income markets (described in Chapter 2) provides a different imperative in market dynamics. These are much more like the supply-constrained markets in the high income economies after WW2 and are relatively price conscious and not nearly as discriminating with respect to production conditions in the value chains. It is not that consumers in these countries do not aspire to the (higher priced) product consumed in the higher income economies, but outside of the elite, they are unable to afford them. The growing prevalence of standards in VC governance Standards are a central component of governance in virtually all chains. These standards play a critical role in deciding who is incorporated in the chain, what they do in the chain and how they perform their allotted tasks. The emergence and growing importance of standards is explained by the changing nature of final markets in high income economies. The agility which is required to meet volatile demand, and the growing concern of consumers and governments around safety and ethical issues has forced value chains to ensure the integrity of production processes throughout the chain, not just at the final stage of production and assembly. ‘Chains of custody’, documenting 154 performance throughout the chain are now a central requirement for participating in many markets, especially in higher margin and more profitable markets. Box 5.1: Four sets of standards are widely observed in GVCs Corporate standards are internal to the chain. Typically they address quality, cost and delivery (QCD), and increasingly also environmental processes. These are used to specify the requirements of the lead firm for supplier firms to meet in order to ensure systemic chain competitiveness. An ability to innovate is another critical component of supplier performance, but is typically not measured in the same way as quality (parts per million defects), ‘cost-down’ (a specified annual decrease in unit prices) and delivery (percentage on time delivery, agreed batch-sizes). Generic standards are industry specific or are relevant across a range of sectors such as ISO9000 standards on quality and ISO14000 on the environment. Standards set by governments (for example food safety standards) and international bodies (for example, EU farm-to-fork standards). Standards emerging from civil society, such as labour standards, organic standards and Fairtrade certification. (Kaplinsky, 2010) As a general rule, corporate, industry and regulatory standards are nonnegotiable – the supplier either performs or does not perform, and the product either does or does not qualify for market entry. By contrast, civil society standards are seldom mandatory but affect the market niche in which the value chain is inserted. Typically, civil-society standards tend to involve participation in higher margin niche markets. However, whether optional or mandatory, a common characteristic of standards is that, even though they help to raise quality, they often involve increased expenditure on the part of producers and other links in the chain. 155 For example, in the horticulture sector in South Africa, an individual farm audit for GlobalGap costs R6,000 (approximately €400), excluding auditor transport and food. BRC audits costs double per packhouse, and ethical audits cost about R8,000 (€550) per farm. (Barrientos and Visser 2012). Moreover, they generally require a literate and numerate labour force or the employment of a full time manager to oversee the accreditation process and implementation of standards. These requirements often act to exclude small scale and informal producers, who are further disadvantaged by the costs of (generally renewable) accreditation. On the other hand, standards are often an important conduit for capability building, hence intensifying the learning involved in exporting. A recent development of potentially high significance is the extent to which standards are involved in GVCs which sell into low and middle income markets (see Chapter 4 above, and Kaplinsky, Terheggen and Tijaja, 2010). Lead firms from these importing economies may have fewer and less exacting corporate standards; the regulations affecting entry into these markets (for example, those governing food safety) may be less well developed, and the pressure exerted by civil society groups in low and middle income economies tends to be lower. One consequence of the lower standards-intensity of southern markets is that it reduces the barriers to entry for small scale suppliers in these chains. The complexity of upgrading As observed above, in the context of intense global competition, rents are inherently dynamic. The degree of dynamism is a function of the depth of rents (that is, the margins which they provide) and the strength of barriers to entry. Even within intellectual property rights the relative strength of different barriers may vary – brand names, for example, effectively exist in perpetuity whereas patents are time-bound. But even brand names are subject to erosion without heavy investments in promotion and in the development and consolidation of product attributes. 156 The continuous pressure on rents therefore means that throughout the GVC there is a continuous drive towards upgrading. This can take a variety of forms, but all upgrading is concerned with engaging in activities with the aim of increasing the rents that can accrue. Upgrading is usually seen as taking place within the production process, or in the kinds of products produced, or moving up the chain into new functions, or shifting to a more profitable value chain altogether (Box 5.2). Box 5.2: Four types of upgrading Process: Improvements in the process of producing products may take an embodied form or reflect changes to organisation, within specific links in the chain or in the chain as a whole. These improvements target productivity in production processes. Product: Improvements in products which may be in tangible products or services. They affect the quality and variety of products, as well as the introduction of new products. Functional: Changing position in the chain may mean engaging in links which are new to the firm – for example, moving beyond assembly to the manufacture of components, or developing capabilities in design or marketing. But it may also involve the vacating of existing links so that the firm moves out of manufacturing into design, rather than engaging in both manufacturing and design. Chain: The final component of upgrading in the GVC framework is to move from one chain to another, in the way that Nokia progressed from rubber boots, through timber machinery to mobile telephony (which has now been divested). Ownership and embeddedness The commitment of producers to the local and domestic economy is emerging as a major component of GVC dynamics, including in Africa. This commitment is referred to as ‘embeddedness’, and is closely linked to ownership. 157 The early stages of post-colonial development policy in Africa gave great prominence to the issue of ownership, It was assumed that locally-owned enterprises and farms would have a greater commitment to the development of domestic capabilities and value added. However, the drive towards liberalisation which gathered pace after the 1980s overturned this policy agenda. It led to the removal of this privileging of local ownership, substituting two, often contradictory policy agendas. The first was to remove ownership from the policy equation – for example, the TRIMS negotiations and current WTO regulations prohibit special concessions provided to locally-owned firms. On the other hand, much of Africa’s recent policy agenda has been designed to attract and often to privilege foreign direct investment (FDI) not just as a source of scarce capital, but also as a mechanism for encouraging technology transfer and helping producers enter global markets. A problem with this policy agenda is that it ignores the role of GVCs as the driver of globalisation. A variety of GVC issues which are related to different forms of ownership and embeddedness tend to get pushed to the margins by this analytic and policy agenda including the following: The ownership of the firm will influence the final market into which the chain feeds. These final markets have entry barriers such as tariffs and product standards. Their demand characteristics have implications for who is incorporated in the chain and the upgrading paths which are open to suppliers. The market niches which the firms feed into will determine the margins open to the producers, and the standards which they are required to meet. Ownership also influences the range of competitive suppliers who are available to meet the lead firm’s needs. Firm strategies differ and these strategies may often be a function of individual firm trajectories and/or their nationality of origin or ownership. For example, firms with subsidiaries producing the same product in many places or sourcing identical inputs from many countries may be particularly footloose. In other respects, firms from different countries of 158 origin may operate their foreign subsidiaries in distinctive ways. For example, as we saw in Chapter 4, in many respects Chinese owned firms behave differently to northern owned firms in Africa, and Chinese state-owned firms differently to Chinese private sector firms. The embeddedness of the lead firm will influence how it responds to changes in exogenous conditions, for example, a currency devaluation or civil unrest. It will also determine the extent to which the firm is prepared for the longer term challenge of building capabilities. Ownership and embeddedness are closely related, but are not the same thing. In principle there is the expectation that locally owned firms are more deeply embedded in, and committed to, the local economy than are foreign firms. But this is not always the case. There are many circumstances in which local firms are even more footloose, and even less likely to invest in building local capabilities than foreign owned firms. The key lesson for policy development is to determine which factors determine the embeddedness of producers and their commitment to upgrade and the role that ownership plays in their embeddedness. 5.3. DIFFERENT TYPES OF VALUE CHAINS It is customary to distinguish between VCs which are ‘buyer driven’ (in which the lead firm is one of the different categories of buyers described above) and ‘producer driven’ chains (in which the chain governor commands a core technology and acts as system integrator of the chain). As GVCs have evolved over the past two decades, there has been a notable shift towards greater buyer-driven-ness, even in the generally more technology-intensive producer driven chains. However, when resource intensive and low income economies are concerned (both attributes are common to African economies) there is a more significant difference in chains which affects exports and patterns of economic 159 diversification. The key distinction here is between chains which involve ‘vertical specialisation’ and those which are essentially ‘additive” in nature. Vertically specialised value chains involve the fragmentation and slicing up of production into a myriad of sub-processes. These activities can be undertaken in parallel – that is, at the same time - and since there is little processing loss in production and no degradation of inputs, there is no intrinsic need for the various stages to be co-located. They lend themselves ideally to global dispersion. The well-known example of the Apple iPhone4 illustrates this well. Each device retailed at just under $500 in the US. The phones were exported from China - ‘made in China’ – at a unit price of $179. But the value added in China was only $6.50, with the balance made up of imported components (for example, valued at $80 from Korea, $25 from the US and $16 from Germany), and service payments to Apple in the US (Xing and Detert 2010). This reflects a production chain in which parts are sourced from all over the world, are assembled under Apple’s design in China and then branded and marketed in the US and other final markets (Figure 5.1). Figure 5.1: The Apple iPhone GVC Source: Xing and Detert (2010) and www.newairplane.com. Additive value chains involve a process of sequentially adding value to each subsequent stage of the chain within the same country. For example, raw materials such as minerals and agricultural produce can be transformed and then processed in successive downstream stages before they are exported. In Henry Ford’s mass production River 160 Rouge plant constructed in 1927 (and described in Chapter 3), virtually the whole value of the car was added in a single plant. The more complex and extended the chain – that is, the greater the number of stages in value addition - the more likely it will be vertically specialised. In general this occurs in the manufacturing sector where final products are assembled using a variety of components (more than 3,000 in the case of an automobile). A reconfiguration of the way in which services are produced, also means that these too can comprise of a range of ‘assembled’ activities. For example, call-centres are part of a much larger fragmented chain of production, distribution and after-sales support. However there are exceptions to this general trend and some manufactured products are best suited to sequential value addition. This is generally the case if the primary input into the final conversion process makes up a large proportion of total value of the final product, is extremely varied in terms of complexity and form, and where lead times to ensure flexibility are critically important. For example, in the apparel sector where garments are made on a quick and flexible replenishment platform for retailers based on fast product principles, then having ready access to varieties of local fabric can be crucial in achieving value chain alignment and systemic efficiency. It is for this reason that Zara has vertically integrated backwards into fabric production through Inditex. As will be shown below it explains also how Mauritius (and Madagascar) draw on their ability to source local fabric to successfully compete in certain European and South African market segments. The resource sectors tend to be dominated by additive value chains for a number of reasons. First, the options for advancing value addition inside the country are bounded by the technical characteristics of the processing activities. Resource extraction is relatively immobile, that is, it is determined by a gift of nature. In addition, it is often also highly specific, since no two deposits or plots of land are identical. These various stages of production are generally necessarily additive – that is, they are sequential outcomes of previous stages of transformation. Second, in the case of almost all natural 161 resources there is extensive weight/volume loss in processing, or degradation in the quality of agricultural inputs if they are not processed soon after harvesting. (But this is not always the case. For example, in order to preserve its flavour, coffee roasting and grinding have to be done near the consumption stage). Third, when there are few rents in forward processing (in other words, many producers can compete against each other), lead firms often encourage value additive value chains in resource producing economies. This is particularly the case in many agricultural commodities. The GVC framework makes it possible to understand why specific chains have distinctive dynamics in various sectors and thus to determine what is the optimal strategy to pursue in any particular set of circumstances. Understanding these chain dynamics in terms of core competences and outsourcing, rent appropriation, governance, market fragmentation and segmentation, standards, upgrading and ownership and embeddedness, is critical in this strategic positioning. 5.4. AFRICA’S EXPERIENCE WITH GVCS Recent attempts have been made to measure Africa’s specialisation in different types of GVCs (Lanz 2009; OECD, 2014; Baldwin, 2012b). The measures which have been developed closely proximate the distinction between additive and vertically specialised GVCs discussed above. The first category of VC identified for measurement is termed ‘backward participation’, and refers to exports which draw on imported intermediates; this proximates to the ‘vertical specialisation’ VCs described in the previous section. The second category of VC used to measure export profiles is ‘forward participation’ VCs in which domestically sourced inputs are exported either in raw or semi-processed form and are incorporated as intermediate inputs in ‘backward specialisation’ VCs in other economies; these are the additive VCs described in the previous section. Using input-output and trade data sets, It is estimated that 85% of global GVC trade occurs within three trading regions – East Asia, North America and 162 Europe - and that three quarters of this trade involves the use of imported components in final exports. In other words, most GVC trade is vertically specialised, that is, ‘backward specialisation’. These GVCs are also growing more rapidly than the additive, forward participation GVCs. Between 1995 and 2011, Africa increased its share of global GVC trade, but from a very small base, that is from 1.4% to 2.2% (Baldwin, 2012b). However, the structure of Africa’s insertion into GVCs was very different from the global picture. Most of Africa’s as yet still limited participation in GVCs involves Southern Africa and West Africa (Figure 5.2), and even in the these regions, most of this involves forward participation. In other words, most African trade involves insertion in additive GVCs. Figure 5.2: GVC participation of African regions in 2011 (Southern Africa in lead, Northern/Western Africa driven by forward integration) 120 Value added exports (USD Million) 100 Forward 80 60 40 20 0 Southern Northern Africa Africa Western Africa Eastern Africa Central Africa Indian Ocean Source: OECD Africa Economic Outlook, 2014. Although these macro statistics take us a long way forward in understanding the insertion of Africa into GVCs, they suffer from three major disadvantages. First, as they are based on input-output tables, they are a blunt instrument in understanding the sectoral disaggregation of Africa’s exports. Second, few African economies have comprehensive, accurate and up-to-date input-output 163 tables. And, third, these macro data do not explain the dynamics of how and in which global markets African exporters are incorporated, how and which capabilities are built, and what policies may be most appropriate to foster gainful participation in global markets. In order to get a better understanding of these issues, it is necessary to analyse Africa’s export performance through the lens of the GVC framework. Additive and vertically specialised GVCs are distinct in character and, as we shall see, this has important implications for policy. However, in almost all cases they are affected by the same central characteristics of GVCs discussed in Section 5.2 above. That is, despite the differences in some of their technical characteristics, their dynamics are affected by outsourcing and specialisation in core competences as an outcome of rent-seeking behaviour; the governance of GVCs; the character of high income markets; the growing importance of standards; the demand to master different types of upgrading; and the importance of ownership and embeddedness. 5.5 CASE-STUDIES OF ADDITIVE GVCS IN AFRICA 5.5.1 Cocoa GVCs in West Africa31 The cocoa value chain is part of a larger value chain resulting in the production of chocolate (Figure 5.3). The major links comprise harvesting, cocoa beans processing, processing in cocoa butter and paste, and final chocolate manufacturing. The cocoa and chocolate GVC reflects both vertical specialisation and additive sub-chains. The former are reflected in those parts of the chain in final markets which process intermediates, and the additive parts of the chain are located in cocoa-producing countries which produce the intermediates. The lead firm grinders and chocolate manufacturers work with imported intermediate products and dominate forward linkages in the cocoa global 31 We draw on the following for this discussion of cocoa: Talbot 2002; Barrientos and AsensoOkyere, 2008; Barrientos, 2011; Fold, 2002; Morris and Fessehaie 2012; UNECA 2013. 164 value chain. Increasing market concentration through mergers and acquisitions has resulted in them controlling the highest value added chain links - trading and marketing. In Africa, producing countries are not only excluded from control over global logistics and marketing channels, but also from intermediate and final product manufacturing. Chocolate manufacturing is dominated by a few large TNCs in Europe and the US (Nestlé, Cadbury Schweppes, Mars). They have outsourced intermediate manufacturing stages, in some cases even standard chocolate production, to grinders. This enables them to focus on their core business - product development, marketing and distribution, targeting high value added products and markets differentiated by product quality and social and environmental standards. Smaller manufacturers (Ferrero, Lindt and Sprüngli) remain vertically integrated in order to preserve commercial secrecy and tight quality control systems. Figure 5.3: Global cocoa/chocolate value chain seeds, inputs, extension, growing, fermentation and drying beans roasting grinding cocoa liquor Cocoa butter cocoa powder Chocolate manufacturing confectionary and drinks Branding and marketing 165 Cocoa intermediate products (such as cocoa paste, butter, powder and cake, but not chocolate) are more easily storable and tradable, two characteristics which have made it possible to relocate processing facilities in producing countries. Consequently the large chocolate TNCs in the developed countries have been willing to outsource the intermediate processing stages of the value chain, as long as this does not infringe on their core business of producing the most profitable link – quality chocolate manufacture, branding and marketing. This is one reason why cocoa processing has been increasingly relocated to cocoa producing countries, including West Africa (Fold, 2002). These development of these additive chains is speeded up or retarded by specific institutional policy/interventions in African producer countries. A handful of large scale grinders - Cargill, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), and Barry Callebaut – have marginalised international traders and warehouses and dominate the intermediate stages of the cocoa global value chain. They control R&D, food processing technologies, and bulk logistics to transport thousands of tonnes of beans. This has created very high knowledge and capital entry barriers for potential competitors. In order to supply intermediate products on a just-in-time basis and in compliance with national standards, grinders have invested in technological and logistics capabilities. In turn, this has increased their market power along the global value chain. To manage large-scale logistical systems, grinders have vertically integrated backwards into producing countries - relocating purchasing, grading, and shipping functions. Ghana, Nigeria and the Cameroon are examples of additive cocoa VCs, albeit with varying degrees of value added. Raw beans represent 76% of Ghana’s total export value (of $3.5bn), 83% of Nigeria’s cocoa exports (of $1bn) and 87% of Cameroon’s exports (Figure 5.3).32 32 Cameroon exports US$ 0.7 billion but government interventions are ineffective, and the TNCs have shown little investment interest; hence there is little additive processing occurring. 166 Cocoa processing in Ghana and Nigeria is growing, due to global grinders integrating backward into producing countries. Relocating processing facilities and buying activities has secured supplies and increased their flexibility to meet global chocolate manufacturers quality and price specifications. Industrial policies have also incentivised local processing. Figure 5.3: Value added content of cocoa exports, Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria (‘000 US$, 2011) Stage 1: cocoa beans Nigeria Stage 2: cocoa shells Ghana Stage 3: cocoa paste Stage 4: cocoa butter and powder Cameroon Stage 5: chocolate - 2,000,000 4,000,000 Source: ITC Trademap accessed in August 2012 Nigerian processing companies are involved in both intermediate (cocoa butter, cocoa cake, cocoa liquor, and cocoa powder) and even some final stages (through Cadbury and Nestle producing beverages and confectionary) of the value chain. In Ghana the proportion of cocoa exports processed domestically has increased steadily from about 12.4% in 2007 to 25.6% in 2011. The government plays a critical role in maintaining the integrity of value chain activities within the country. It maintains control over production/sales through the marketing board (COCOBOD), grading and quality assurance processes, as well as exports (Figure 5.4). The growth of the additive cocoa value chain in these two countries is a result of the technical characteristics of cocoa making it possible, the strategic role of their governments in creating a strategic platform to facilitate the process, and most importantly, in this policy environment, the lead firms (grinders and manufacturers) perceiving it was in their own interests to assist the process. 167 Figure 5.4: Ghana cocoa value chain Ghana (and to a much lesser extent Nigeria) demonstrates building an additive value chain by cooperation between lead firm, local producers and government. For a variety of technical reasons in the cocoa value chain the lead firms are open to shifting and increasing value added processing activities through backward integration into cocoa producing developing countries. However a critical component for domestic links to deepen is for the host government to design and implement appropriate and effective policy measures. These depend on two forms of existing capability - within the 168 producers themselves and within government - to be able to assist producers to build capability. The case study demonstrates two extremes: The Ghanaian government has created a strategic platform along all the links to facilitate building an additive value chain. In contrast, in Cameroon the lack of public initiative has led to very thin domestic value added and has resulted in the export mainly of raw cocoa beans. Hence in Ghana existing capability entrenched within the producers arising from institutional support through the marketing boards was built on by the institutional capabilities of government. 5.5.2 Tea Value Chain in Africa33 Tea requires processing shortly after harvesting. Black tea, the vast bulk of the market, requires complex processing. The leaves are withered (or partially dried), and rolled up or cut, fermented, dried, and eventually sorted by size. This processing can be done in an orthodox manner for high quality loose teas, or alternatively through a process of cut, tear, and curl for bulk teas for tea bags. The end result in both cases is ‘made tea’ (Figure 5.5). Green tea represents only a small part of the market and its processing is relatively simple - tea leaves are heated, then rolled or twisted, and finally dried. Hence, unlike the cocoa and chocolate VC which comprises both additive and vertical specialisation sub-chains, the tea GVC is in some cases entirely additive in nature, albeit it a chain which is in many cases governed by lead buyers in importing countries. 33 We draw on the following for the discussion of the tea value chain: World Bank, 2008; Talbot, 2002; Fold and Larsen, 2011; Ganewatta, 2005; Republic of Kenya, 2012 169 Figure 5.5: Global tea value chain seeds, inputs, extension plucked tea leaf post-harvest processing (wither, crush, ferment, dry) made tea packet tea instant tea tea bags Further additive processing activities involve packing into tea bags, branded (retailers) small packs, instant tea, and ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages. The highest growth potential can be found in niche markets - organic teas, flavoured teas, green teas, and speciality teas with high health benefits. The marketing and distribution links are dominated by a few large TNCs which control more than 80 percent of the world market. The distinctive characteristic of the tea value chain is that these TNCs are often vertically integrated backwards into large scale tea plantations. The relative capital and scale intensity required by post-harvest processing has favoured the development of such integrated companies. However Kenya’s tea industry (the third largest in the world and the largest exporter) is an exception to this trend as it is based on small scale production. The small growers market through their own cooperative – the Kenya Tea Development Agency (KTDA). Kenyan government policy is focused on developing small holder production rather than facilitating additive forward processing within the country. Consequently Kenya remains confined to exporting bulk tea and not engaging in additional value added through packaging, blending, manufacturing RTD beverages, nor moving into niche markets. 170 Additive value addition in Kenya is hence minimal. However we have included it as an example to contrast to that of Sri Lanka, a case demonstrating the possibilities for growing the additive tea value chain. In the absence of a large domestic market Sri Lanka had to focus on exports in order to protect its tea industry. However it has done so by the government looking to upgrade the industry, and move into greater value added products such as teabags and retail branded packets. To do this it had to break the stranglehold of the large foreign brands. The government established a Tea Board and Tea Promotion Bureau. The former offered tax free incentives for exporting based on the previous year’s incremental export value of teabags and tea packets. In addition it offered matching loans for capital investment in processing plants. The latter supported national brands by providing grants to firms exporting value added products. Table 5.1: Composition of tea exports from Sri Lanka and Kenya, 2011 (%) Bulk black tea Value added black tea Sri Lanka 50.41% 46.46% Kenya 98.98% 0.12% Source: ITC Trademap, accessed in August 2012 In 2011 Sri Lanka exported 46.5% of its black tea in value added form, in sharp contrast to Kenya which exported 99% of its tea in bulk (Table 5.1). Substantial upgrading has taken place in the former, whilst Kenya has allowed the lead firms to maintain their command over chain rents. The difference between Sri Lanka and Kenya in terms of different government approaches to the development of value added processing in the tea industry and the creation of an additive value chain is therefore stark. In summary, Kenya is an example of a weakly developed additive value chain whereas Sri Lanka has successfully built an additive value chain. As Sri Lanka demonstrates, there are opportunities for creating an additive value chain and engaging in domestic upgrading activities, as long as the tea producing host government is willing to take the appropriate industrial policy initiatives and shift the management of rents and the chain structure in favour of a domestic upgrading process. 171 Since the lead firms are clearly not willing to upgrade producers down the tea value chain, upgrading in producing countries depends on government initiatives and its capability to implement the required strategies. The inability to follow this path in Kenya with respect to tea linkages is likely to be a function of government sectoral institutional failure since, as will be shown below, the country demonstrates the ability to build capabilities amongst producers in the fresh vegetable value chain. 5.5.3 Processed Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Value Chain in Africa34 Africa’s fresh and processed fruits and vegetable exports have historically targeted the European market. In the 1990s supermarkets in the UK transformed their value chain relationships with horticulture suppliers in Africa. UK multiple stores (supermarkets and major retail chains) increased their share of total fresh fruit and vegetable sales from 44% in 1992, to 76% in 1997. This was accompanied by a shift from purely market, arms length based relationships with suppliers to an organised value chain with concentrated and coordinated relationships with a more stable set of suppliers in African countries – notably Kenya and Zimbabwe – who had to meet new standards. The supermarkets reconfigured the value chain by bypassing the traditional wholesale markets and instead working directly with a smaller group of UK importers (Figure 5.6). 34 We draw on the following for this discussion of the fruit and vegetables value chain: Dolan and Humphrey 2000; Dolan and Humphrey 2004; Fold and Larsen, 2011; Evers et al 2014; Barrientos and Asenso-Okyere, 2008; Ouma, 2010; Fold and Larsen, 2011; Kaplan and Kaplinsky, 1999; Basboga et al., 2010; Dolan, Humphrey and Harris-Pascal 1999 172 Figure 5.6: The UK Processed Vegetable Value Chain The lower barrier-to-entry and lower-profit functions, such as quality control, monitoring, and distribution, were delegated to these importers. These importers were also tasked with responsibility for accessing new sources of supply, supporting developing-country producers and monitoring their performance. This was accompanied by a shift from loose, bulk products to greater product variety, innovation in products and presentation, and in packaged goods. This value added product shift in turn increased the level of processing required and affected how products were grown, harvested and stored, how they were packaged, how packhouses were organised, how the produce was stored before processing, airport handling facilities, and final processing facilities at the UK importers. Simultaneous with the introduction of private supermarket driven standards, European governments introduced strict food safety regulations. In order to maintain these various standards importers concentrated suppliers, varied them so as not to depend on one country or a single supplier source, and introduced traceability of supply to meet the various regulatory conditions imposed by government and international agreements. In order to do this they restructured relationships within the value chain, tightening VC governance structure, increasing coordination and control, and, in the process, changing the nature and scope of firms in the value chain. 173 This reconfiguration of the processing value chain meant that developing country exporters, such as Kenya and Zimbabwe, developed closer exclusive supplier relationships with importers through the chain. The proliferation of standards (public and private) has been a serious challenge for Kenyan exporters, which have had to face up to 15 different standards (GlobalGap, Tesco’s Nature Choice, Marks and Spencer’s Field to Fork, Fair Trade, etc). Exporters and their suppliers had to restructure their own operations and upgrade facilities, processes and logistics handling within Kenya and Zimbabwe to maintain consistency and meet the new requirements. For these African industries various upgrading opportunities opened up to local vegetable processing firms. They were given the opportunity to deepen value added through improvements in processing activities (washed, chopped products), through new product combinations (mixed washed, peeled, and chopped vegetables, ready for cooking), and packaging (for specialty products). These new products are important for supermarkets and branded manufacturers because they allow them to “re-format” traditional products in high-income markets. For Kenya and Zimbabwe this resulted in the following: A concentration of exporter firms and the tendency to exclude small and medium size exporters from the value chain. In order to compete ,exporters needed well-developed organisational and management capabilities, investment in post-harvest facilities, sophisticated logistics, large volumes, and close relations with European importers. Agricultural production moved away from smallholders to large farms, many of which were owned by the exporters. Upgrading of local export firms which had to create sophisticated quality assurance systems that document seed procurement, planting schedules, pesticide and fertiliser use, spraying, and personal hygiene to guarantee food safety. 174 Market power shifted from cost saving activities to value added ones, and a tendency to push value adding activities down the value chain closer to the African supplier. Hence product upgrading occurred in these producer countries. A substantial amount of produce sold in the UK supermarkets were locally (Kenya and Zimbabwe) packed and barcoded to differentiate products, varieties, countries and suppliers. In order to build local capabilities, processing firms in Kenya and Zimbabwe cooperated with farmers by allocating dedicated staff and providing farmers with inputs and technical services. Functional upgrading occurred by shifting some value adding activities, previously undertaken in the UK back into Kenya and Zimbabwe packaging, cold storage, installation of labeling processing equipment. The net effect of this has seen a diminution in the vertical specialisation in the chain and a significant deepening of value addition in Kenya and Zimbabwe, and hence the consolidation of a substantial additive fruit and vegetable processing value chain in these African countries. There is evidence that Kenya is also becoming a growing supplier of fresh vegetables to supermarkets in South Africa. Effective strategic collaboration between governments and the private sector has been critical in designing and implementing institutional interventions to support local upgrading processes. Government support encompassed the following: subsidies have enabled firms to expand production, infrastructural investment has reduced lead times, and farmer support has reduced costs. This fresh fruit and vegetables value chain exemplifies the manner in which the pursuit by the lead firms (supermarkets) to maximise their rents has altered the structure of the various links in the chain. Driving standards down the chain has created a complex process of upgrading in Zimbabwe and Kenya, and hence an additive value chain. However this has not benefitted all 175 value chain participants. The requirements of meeting these standards have marginalised small producers and exporters in favour of large farmers and exporting firms who have the resources, skills, facilities and knowledge capabilities to take advantage of these domestic value additive opportunities. Capabilities have therefore been built with the support of the lead producers but not to the benefit of all producers and exporters. The inability to distribute capabilities to small and medium size firms and producers is a failure of institutional capability on the part of government. 5.5.4 Ethiopian Leather Value Chain35 The global leather value chain begins with hides (bovine, sheep and goatskins) and ends with the manufacture of leather goods. The hides are processed in tanneries before being manufactured into leather footwear, garments, accessories (travel bags, belts, etc), technical products, and upholstery. There are five stages in the value chain: hide supply, semiprocessed leather, finished leather, finished products, and the diverse end markets (Figure 5.7). At all stages the leather can be exported as intermediates (hides, semi processed, or finished leather) or as finished products (shoes, jackets and bags) A peculiarity of the leather value chain is that it is essentially a by product of processes and activities in another value chain – animal production and slaughter for meat – and the quality for the first stage is dependant on the ability to collect and preserve the hides. Industrialised countries have established standards for animal husbandry, animal living conditions, high quality feeding, transportation conditions, as well as defined methods of slaughtering. This ensures not only good meat, but also unblemished and high quality hides. This is not the case in developing countries where hide quality is tarnished by pre- and post-slaughter defects. This has major implications for value added activities further down the leather value chain. 35 We draw on the following for this discussion of the leather value chain: Bini, 2002; Tegegne and Tilahun, 2009; Morris and Fessehaie 2012; Kiruthu 2002; Memedovic and Mattila, 2008 176 Figure 5.7: Leather Value Chain The raw hides are either exported or tanned at wet blue tanneries which effectively preserves the hide as a semi-processed leather. These wet blues are further processed into different types of finished leather ready for use by a variety of manufacturers. After the wet blue stage the leather undergoes a tanning process to produce finished leather used in manufacturing - either in the production of footwear and general goods, or more refined leather destined for the automotive industry. The value added of finished leather is higher than that of raw hides or semi-processed hides and therefore offers potential gains to developing countries. Manufacture of leather products is undertaken by a variety of firms ranging from large capital intensive factories to small, labour-intensive enterprises. Global marketing agents, operating at different stages in the chain, selling intermediate (hides, semi processed and finished leather) and end products, drive the global leather value chain. These agents have market knowledge, design capability, and a wide network of sales channels. They manage the complex supplier stages of the chain, contract production by enterprises, set the quality standards, sometimes provide the necessary finance, and serve the customers in the final end markets. US, Italian and other European buyers set demanding targets – for example, quality, price, volumes, and especially 177 strict technical standards (chemicals, processing techniques). In turn, the local tanneries try to set equally demanding market parameters to their suppliers, in terms of quality, price, learning capabilities, lead times, and trust. A leather industry can flourish both in low and high-wage economies. As is apparent in the case of Ethiopia (see below), there is scope for African countries to build an additive leather value chain. Upgrading activities are however tied to meeting the value chain knowledge intensive and technical standards, which imposes a major burden on low income country producers. For they often lack the knowledge, managerial capabilities, and design skills to meet these or identify their own end markets. A well-developed hide production and tanning industry is the starting point for upgrading leather product manufacturing in the leather value chain. The problem is that animal husbandry and slaughtering occurs in another industry, undertaken by firms without the perspective of transforming hides and skins into quality leather. This gives rise to a variety of problems - logistics, quality, defects, improper recovery of the raw stocks etc. Exporting of hides and semi processed leather also has deleterious effects for developing a leather products manufacturing sector down the value chain. This has led the Ethiopian government to address leakages at the bottom low value added links in the leather value chain and to drive upgrading through the links. The foundation for this is upgrading husbandry/slaughtering, curbing the export of low value added hides and semi-processed leather, and encouraging higher value added export products so as to encourage value chain additive upgrading. The Ethiopian government imposed a stringent export tax of 150% on the export of hides in an attempt to shift the composition of Ethiopia’s leather exports away from raw hides into finished leather. Hides exports declined from 70% of total exports in 2004 to zero in 2011 (Figure 5.8). Conversely, the share of finished leather over total exports increased from 30% to 93%. 178 Figure 5.8: Value added content of leather/hides exports from Ethiopia (%, 2004-2011) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Footwear Leather Hides 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Notes: SITC 21, 61, 85. Source: UN Comtrade data accessed October 2012 This process has also assisted the rejuvenation of the Ethiopian leather footwear industry, both for the domestic market and export markets. Currently the US is the largest market for footwear exports through utilising AGOA preferences. But exports to the EU are also beginning to take off. From a low base of $669,000 in 2011, Ethiopian footwear exports to the US increased 29 fold to $19,378 million in 2013, with AGOA preferences accounting for $19,241 million of these exports (Table 5.2). Table 5.2: Exports of Ethiopian footwear to US 2011 - 2013 2011 2012 2013 Total Footwear Exports 669 7,093 19,378 AGOA Preferences 630 6,860 19,241 (http://agoa.info/profiles/ethiopia.html). Government has supported this upgrading export sector by providing industrial zones and assisting large firms to partner with international actors. The Leather and Leather Product Training Institute (LLPTI) has helped firms innovate and upgrade through training in design and shoe production for employees of large and medium firms. This industrial policy initiative went hand in hand with government engaging the global lead drivers of the value chain to assist the upgrading of local tanneries (and also footwear firms) in line with world class standards. These international agents began to provide support to local tanners for process upgrading in the areas of ‘layout 179 improvements’, ‘speed-up’ and increased ‘reliability’ of production. This helped them to produce faster and to improve productivity at a better quality. Local footwear manufacturers also introduced firm level product and process innovations, as the larger firms installed new machinery, introduced new production organisation, upgraded product quality, and sought new export markets. Finally, the World Bank-Ethiopia funded Ethiopian Competitiveness Facility (ECF) provided matching grants to exporting companies engaged in, among others, the leather and shoe sectors. IFC has also provided loans and equity capital to private investors in the manufacturing sector. Chinese private capital has also invested substantially in shoe manufacture on the back of the successful upgrading of leather, the ability to benefit from preferential trade preferences and lower labour costs. Huajian, one of the largest shoe exporters in China, has opened a large export plant employing around 1,750 workers in an industrial zone in Addis Ababa with future plans to substantially expand its footprint. The company makes ladies shoes for Tommy Hilfiger, Guess, Naturalizer, Clarkes, and other brands in Europe and the US. Ethiopia is a value added success story of building an additive leather value chain leading all the way up to the export of final footwear products. Capabilities have been built at all levels of the chain, as well as within government itself. This is as a result of government intervention, engagement with lead firm drivers to meet value chain standards, locally embedded firms upgrading their core competence and productive activities, end market preferential preferences, and institutional support from various quarters. 5.5.5 The East African Processed Fresh Fish Value Chain36 There is a high demand for fish in European markets. This is especially the case for chilled fresh fillets, which are seen as healthy, convenient and preferable to frozen fish. Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda have built a reputation as some of the few non-EU countries that are able to competitively deliver 36 We have drawn on the following for this discussion of the Nile perch value chain: Asche 2006; Hempel 2010; Morris 2003 180 chilled fresh fillets of Nile perch which meet the high standards (food safety, health, quality, regularity of delivery) set by European supermarkets. The East African fish value chain (from Lake Victoria to European supermarkets) illustrates the role of foreign lead firms and governments in meeting exacting standards, upgrading the local industry, and increasing domestic value added in the additive value chain. In order to shift the Lake Victoria fishing industry away from exporting unprocessed fish, Kenyan, Tanzania and Ugandan governments have attempted to assist local processing firms to supply European supermarkets with processed and packaged fish fillets. The value chain is dominated by European importers and distributors, and domestically by on-shore processors and traders. Processing of Nile perch is done at on-shore processing plants. The processing of Nile perch takes place in modern facilities that are fully compliant with the food safety standards of export markets. Fish is filleted, packaged in labelled cartons, and exported chilled by airplane. Processors get a relatively small share (about 20%) of the supermarket retail price. The processing activity also has a large waste factor of about 60% per kilogram. The big winner in the Nile perch industry is the retail sector, including marketing, transportation, storage and packaging. This sector gets over 60% of the total retail value. This is reflected in the distribution of value within the value chain. In Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda the fishermen and lake side fish collectors retain between 13% – 20% of the value of the retail price for Nile perch in European supermarkets (Table 5.3). Table 5.3: Fish Value Chain – Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda Average Value added and percentage of final price received Key Chain Links Kenya Tanzania Uganda Fishermen, Fish collectors, Buying agents 13% 20% 13% Factory processing 21% 20% 24% (Filleting, chilling, bulk packing) European Buyers (Packaging, branding) 65% 60% 63% Source: Derived from Morris 2003; Asche 2006, Hempel 2010 Fishing is undertaken by traditional artisanal methods in small canoes propelled by paddles and sails. A few fishermen use small boats with outboard motors, and a small group of commercial fishermen employ large 181 fishing vessels with on board chilling facilities. Kenya has been predominantly using artisanal fishermen, Tanzania primarily artisanal, but also some larger boats, while the Ugandan industry is dominated by commercial fishing. Developing independent fish processing plants close to the Nairobi international airport was a strategic decision for the Kenyan government, as was supporting traditional artisan fishing methods. The Ugandan government however, decided to support foreign direct investment. A joint venture with local fisherman and processors resulted. The joint venture built a processing plant close to the airport that was also close to the Lake (geographical advantage) and supported the purchase of boats equipped with chilled holds. In Tanzania, the processing of Nile perch is undertaken in an on-shore processing plant. From 1997 to 2000, several health incidents concerning Nile perch resulted in the EU banning Lake Victoria Nile perch imports. An EU commission investigated the industry. It found numerous failures to meet health standards. The EU ban shut off the supply of Nile perch which European consumers demanded. This created major incentives for all those in the value chain to work together in order to tackle the issue of how to meet the required value chain standards. Uganda is a good example of how cooperation was undertaken by the Uganda Fish Processors and Exporters Association (UFPEA), European fish importers, the Government of Uganda, and the EU. The principle intervention was to restructure the government agencies responsible for managing the certification process so that they could align with the European supermarket driven EurepGAP framework. The government revised its fish regulatory systems to ensure they were accredited to certify fish exports as EurepGAP compliant. However implementation was a problem because of the large number of landing sites relative to the size of the monitoring inspectorate. In order to ensure adequate testing, the Belgian firm Chemipher opened a testing laboratory in Uganda. This streamlined the certification process, reduced costs and added domestic value to the chain. 182 The unintended consequence of the EU ban was the upgrading of the value chain, from fishing to processing. It resulted in the integration of certification processes into the local industry, thereby opening up the US market which also required HACCP compliance. The installation of local laboratories raised the knowledge intensive nature of local aspects of the value chain, and improved export performance. The Nile perch value chain story exemplifies how regulatory standards and their implementation has facilitated domestic capability upgrading and increased value added in Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania. This process was driven by the EU supermarkets needing to satisfy the demands of European consumers for fresh processed Nile perch, and hence to ensure these countries could meet the level of certification required. However it was only successful because of collaboration between the EU regulatory bodies and the African local governments, with strong assistance from EU based institutions. The end result was local upgrading to meet end market requirements, consolidating an additive value chain in these African countries. The strength of EU institutions in assisting local governments to build capabilities to regulate the value chain has played a critical role in the upgrading process. 5.5.6 Coffee Value Chain in Africa37: In many African countries, coffee represents a major source of foreign exchange earnings and employment. Between the mid-1980s and 2000, coffee producing countries have experienced declining world prices. This is partly due to the ending of the International Coffee Agreements and the dismantling of the coffee marketing boards. The state withdrawal from the provision of extension and quality control services also impacted on global coffee dynamics. While export volumes generally increased, there was a deterioration in quality and a higher exposure to price volatility. Whereas Uganda’s liberalised market made it a large supplier of relatively low quality coffee, Kenya’s restrictive export regulations contributed to maintaining its 37 We draw on the following for this discussion of coffee: Fold and Ponte, 2008; Kaplinsky and Fitter, 2004; Kaplinsky, 2004; Ponte, 2002c; Talbot, 1997b, 183 reputation as a supplier of fine, albeit inconsistent, quality coffee. Since the mid-2000s coffee prices have increased following the general price surge experienced by agricultural commodities. Figure 5.9: Coffee value chain seeds, inputs, extension, coffee cherries dry process wet process parchment coffee mill green coffee roast roasted ground instant Figure 5.9 displays the coffee global value chain. Coffee is a multi grade crop. If it is sold as raw unprocessed beans then the different value grades get lost in the aggregated crop, and processors up the chain reap the higher value and accruing rents. In order to reap higher value the beans have to be dried, then milled – i.e. have the husk broken off - resulting in the less bulky green beans. This allows for the beans to be graded according to density and size, followed by colour sorting. This process immediately adds value to the crop as it allows for different sorted grades to be channelled into different niches. The higher grades yield higher values in the market place and can be channelled into mixed blends for export as well as roasting. There is therefore a threefold process of value addition: milling and grading; sorting to ensure that each 184 graded bean gets the correct value in the blending process; roasting for final product. Private firms now play a key role in the coffee global value chain. Forward linkages are controlled by a small number of international traders, roasters, and retailers, which over the 1990s acquired a high level of market concentration. Roasters are the key drivers of the coffee global value chain. Roasters set the market parameters for growers, processors, and domestic traders in producing countries, and for international traders. Retail is controlled by supermarkets, but roasters command larger profit margins than supermarkets. Rather than pursuing vertical integration, roasters focus on their core business: product development, R&D, marketing. In order to shed non-core activities and overheads, they have moved to supplier managed inventory, which requires international traders to manage stocks of varying volumes, quality and origin of coffee to be supplied on a Just In Time (JIT) basis. To do so, international traders have integrated backward in coffee producing countries. The liberalisation of coffee marketing in coffee producing countries has facilitated this process, as many capital starved domestic traders have been partially or entirely acquired by international traders. The governance power of roasters has been enhanced by innovations in coffee processing technology. New washing techniques enable roasters to blend different varieties of coffees to create a specific flavour. This increases the roasters flexibility in their sourcing strategies, reducing their dependence on specific sources and qualities, minimising the risk of shortages and price variations, and enhancing their ability to combine supplies of varying quality and prices. On the producer side, this implies less bargaining power with respect to price and volumes. To counteract potential demand slumps, roasters and retailers have cultivated niche markets, creating products to respond to health, environmental and social consumer concerns. Product differentiation responds to the need to 185 supply fast-growing niche markets for specialty, fair trade and organic coffees. Indeed coffee has as much potential for differentiation as wine, and this is reflected in the price variance. Market concentration in forward linkages has resulted not only in higher entry barriers for new entrants, but also in an increasingly unequal distribution of income between producing and consuming countries. Until the mid-2000s, while coffee growers in producing countries saw their farm gate prices collapse, retailers in consuming countries faced relatively stable revenue streams. It is estimated that roasters and retailers control, respectively, up to 30 percent and 20 percent of total value added in the coffee global value chain. In producing countries, declining world coffee prices impacted negatively on coffee growers’ income. The option for producer countries is to embark on local upgrading strategies in the value chain. A number of upgrading strategies are available to coffee producing countries. The first consists of moving into processing of the raw beans The second involves product upgrading strategies, that is production of higher quality coffee, or different types of coffees (fair trade, organic), aimed at increasing growers’ prices. The third consists of functional upgrading, that is moving beyond green beans exports, by acquiring processing, marketing and distribution capabilities which involve not only growers, but also food manufacturers, and service providers. For roasters, quality consistency represents a key market parameter, because inconsistent quality forces them to adjust processing equipment and procedures. Hence, they value consistency as much as quality. The final quality of coffee depends as much on bean types as on farming practices and primary processing (drying, washing, storage). Therefore, process upgrading requires investment in extension services to farmers, capacity building for processing, transport and storage, and domestic quality control systems. Finally, producer countries can engage in functional upgrading through producing roasted coffee and instant coffee. In general, roasted coffee needs to be processed near a consumption point in order to preserve its flavour. This explains why international trade has traditionally taken place in green beans 186 form. Vacuum packing enables it to preserve the flavour for a slightly longer period, but also increases transportation costs. A Zimbabwean case study Coffee sales were traditionally controlled by the government through the marketing board. Farmers sold their raw beans to the marketing board which then exported the crop on the global commodities market without any further value addition. Farmers got paid an amount based on tonnage irrespective of the quality of the different beans In 1994 the large commercial farmers broke away from the marketing board and engaged in a process of adding value along the chain. Around 60 farmers leveraged funding and built a coffee mill and roasting plant. The debt was paid back in three years. The mill had a capacity of 20 000 tons per annum. Each of the commercial farmers held pro rata shares in the mill based on their throughput tonnage. In order to encourage the small coffee growing sector, the Zimbabwe Coffee Mill gave a portion of the shareholding to small scale (black) farmers. These mostly held the shares collectively, through clusters of coops for the small out-growers. In addition some of the wealthier small holders producing bigger crops held individual shares. The mill provided these small farm holders with technical, financial and extension support. The addition of the milling, grading and sorting process radically changed the manner in which value accrued and rents were distributed to each grower. Every farmer’s load of coffee brought to the mill was individually sorted, tagged and monitored through the system. Every load of coffee was therefore sold according to its true value, and each farmer could receive the appropriate amount for the coffee harvested. The greater proportion of high quality beans, the greater the rents accruing to the individual farmer once the coffee was sold. Through this value adding process, the Zimbabwe Coffee Mill at its height was able to sell the very low grade beans (about 5% of the crop) into the domestic market and to instant coffee manufacturers. The remainder of the coffee beans were milled, graded, polished, sorted and blended, and exported to 187 various brands of coffee. The roasting process was still taking off but around 5% of the top quality graded beans were being roasted and this fetched even higher prices on the export market. Japan was the primary niche export market for high quality blended coffee beans. This processing activity raised the average price per ton of coffee substantially when compared to the previous marketing board system. Prior to 1994 when the coffee exports were based on commodity exports of raw, unprocessed beans the average price per ton was around $1500, whereas the new milling/grading/sorting process was yielding average prices per ton of around $4000 per ton. These cluster and value chain linkages had a major impact on the small growers. Coffee growing based on value addition has relatively long lead times from harvesting to sales. Small growers thus struggled with cash flow as they waited until the end of the process. Hence the mill paid them a flat amount as soon as the coffee was delivered. After the milling, sorting and grading process had been completed and the blended and even roasted coffee etc. had been sold, each farmer received an additional back payment based on the appropriate, proportional amount of their load. This collective additive value process made an enormous difference to these small growers. They received finance and technical support. As dry land farmers this allowed them to escape the exigencies of the weather and invest in irrigation and storage sheds. They were assisted with transport and drying points. The mill was able to buy inputs (e.g. fertiliser) in bulk and cut costs. Finally it attracted other infrastructural development, and allowed them to escape purely subsistence farming. This additive value chain depended on a symbiotic relationship between small growers, large commercial farmers and the processing plant (milling/roasting). It was an additive value chain dependant on maintaining vertical and horizontal cooperation between the various links of the chain. However if some of the links were broken the systemic nature of the value chain would result in collapse. At its height in 2000 the Zimbabwe Coffee Mill had built up farming capacity to around 20 000 hectares under coffee production, producing around 12 000 tons per annum. The bulk of the coffee, around 10 188 000 tons, came from the large commercial farmers, with the small holder sector producing the rest. With the land invasions of white owned farms post 2000, and forcible appropriation of these farms by government, the commercial coffee farming sector declined over time and eventually collapsed. The small holder cooperatives could not produce enough tonnage to carry the overhead cost of the mill which required throughput of a minimum of 4500 tons per year to break even. The small holders could not do this, and by 2007 the mill effectively stopped functioning. The result was that the whole additive value chain broke down. The Zimbabwean coffee example highlights a number of key clustering and value chain issues. It demonstrates, contrary to the experience in the fresh fruit and vegetables value chain, how the lead (commercial farm) value chain drivers were able to facilitate clustering of small scale farmers, build their capabilities, enable upgrading along all the links in the chain, distribute the gains, and capture additional value in this additive value chain. It also demonstrates how misplaced government policy interventions attacking the key chain drivers (the white commercial farmers) for external political gain rapidly destroyed the overall functioning of the entire value chain leading to systemic collapse. 5.5.7 Additive Value Chains in Energy38 Additive resource based value chains do not only occur in regard to forward processing. The development of value added links in a value chain can also be the result of global lead firms establishing themselves in a developing country and developing domestic backward linkages into local supply. In this case the lead firm (e.g. manufacture, assembly, mining or oil/gas) establishes that it is in its interests to do so, through the need for near sourcing of supply, and this is facilitated and accelerated by the host country’s government policies requiring certain degrees of local content. 38 We have drawn on the following for this discussion of Nigerian oil: Urzua, 2007; Morris et al 2012; Oyejide and Adewuyi, 2011; 189 The development of value chains and lead firm outsourcing to suppliers has also been established in the mining and energy industries, albeit later than other industries. Mines and oil companies have moved away from a high level of vertical integration towards outsourcing almost every stage in the process to independent firms, including the provision of capital goods and intermediate inputs. These suppliers are often large global brands or firms in their own country with which they have established a history of supply. However this is a costly process bringing in imports. Hence the emergence of a tendency towards near-sourcing, because transport and logistics are poorly developed, because goods brought in from outside may be subject to long and unpredictable delays and because government policies have often mandated the deepening of local value added. As a result the desirability of finding an efficient local supplier is particularly attractive in Africa. African governments and local supplier firms have responded to these opportunities in order to be incorporated into the chain. There are a number of factors that determine the nature, extent and the location of these outsourced linkages. In the first instance, there are technical factors intrinsic to resource sectors, such as the specificity of resource deposits and technological requirements. However there exist also a series of secondary contextual factors which may speed up the process of developing locally based backward linkages – lead firm ownership/nationality, infrastructure quality and availability, skill and knowledge capabilities, and government policy interventions. To illustrate this particular form of additive value chain we have concentrated on the development of backward linkages in the Nigerian oil value chain (Figure 5.9). Multinational companies dominate exploration and TNCs dominate oil production. Since oil extraction is capital-, technology- and skillsintensive, oil field services are provided by a range of international and national suppliers. Shell is the largest oil extracting company, followed by Chevron. The state-owned Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) has established a number of joint ventures with oil extraction companies. 190 Figure 5.10: The oil value chain The Nigerian government has made substantive efforts to increase local content in terms of skills and backward linkages. These centre on training/education of technically skilled Nigerian personnel (Petroleum Technology Development Fund, Petroleum Training Institute, National College of Petroleum Studies), working with lead oil firms and growing the number of local firms supplying the oil extracting lead firms with products and services through various local content policies. In regard to local supply to the oil industry, significant local supplier linkages have been created in fabrication and construction, well construction and completion, and controls/ICT systems. A 2011 survey of 12 oil companies found that three quarters sourced more than half of their goods and services from local firms to these three sub-sectors of the oil extracting industry. All in all, the value of local supplies amounted to 25% of the value of the final product for 41% of oil firms, while for one third of them, this share was 50%. Despite this high-level of local sourcing, much of this occurred on an arm’s length basis, suggesting that there is considerable leeway for the promotion of better links between the oil firms and their suppliers through enhanced value chain governance. Although the oil companies believed that they had reasonably close relationships with their first-tier own suppliers, this did not 191 extend down their supply chain to providing support to second- and third-tier suppliers. However this did not mean that first-tier suppliers were simply importing most of their goods and services. A survey of 80 first-tier suppliers in these sub-sectors revealed substantial levels of local content in their own purchases. Across all these sub-sectors 55% of first-tier supplying firms purchased more than half of their services from local second-tier suppliers. This suggests a considerable depth to backward linkages with substantial local value added. In summary, Nigeria’s lead oil extractive firms have been pushed by government policy to create an oil export additive value chain with substantial linkage development to local suppliers. Domestic linkages are deep, and local suppliers are not merely importers, but rather producers of technologically complex goods and services. Moreover, as firms invest in process and functional upgrading, with the support of oil companies, these linkages are dynamic. This trajectory is a combination of the entrenched capability within the Nigerian government to drive local content through its policy framework, coupled with lead firms responding to the challenge and driving the necessary technical standards down the value chain to create competitive local supply. Past investments in domestic higher level education and Nigerian professionals returning from abroad have made these developments feasible. 5.5.8 Additive value chains in Mining39 The large-scale exploitation of minerals in South Africa dates back to the latter decades of the 19th century with the discovery of diamonds and the exploitation of deep deposits of gold ore. South Africa possesses not only the most developed mining sector, but also the most advanced mining supply industry in Africa. It also possesses extensive forward linkages, not just in the processing of many ores, but also especially in the processing of soft industrial commodities. In some cases, as in the incorporation of platinum in catalytic exhausts for automobiles (where it is the world’s largest producer), forward linkages have moved beyond processing to the beneficiation of 39 This discussion of the South African mining equipment value chain draws on: Kaplan 2011; Kaplan 2012; Morris et al., 2012. 192 minerals. In respect of additive value chains, South Africa has a welldeveloped industrial sector, which has its origins in the development of extensive value added linkages to the mining sector. Historically, government economic policies with regard to mining had two main objectives - to provide a favourable environment for mining investors to lower the wage costs of (black) labour, and to support policies to advance backward linkages to local suppliers. Both were focused on building an additive mining value chain. Although these two thrusts were considerably weakened after democratic transition in 1994, this dependence on an industrialisation path grounded in mining extraction and supply has persisted. With the introduction of democratic rule and international acceptance, the local supplier firms were able to move into new export markets and they did so rapidly. This was facilitated by the South African mining firms expanding their activities globally, and especially into SSA. Given their historical relationships with local suppliers, South African mining firms operating elsewhere tended to favour these same suppliers to service their activities abroad. The South African economy therefore continues to maintain a global competitive advantage in mining equipment and specialist services and a number of large non-South African mining TNCs operating on the continent source skills and equipment and other supplies from South Africa. South Africa thus possesses a variety of in-depth capabilities in mining and related technologies. Mining related technology patents make up a much larger share of South Africa’s total patenting activity than for other comparator countries with significant mining industries, including in higher income economies with developed resource sectors. This can also be seen in South African exports of mining equipment where it is a net exporter of high local value added products. Furthermore the South African mining supplier industry has developed globally competitive capabilities based on supplying its local mining industry, and is a world leader in a host of mining equipment products, especially those related to deep level mining. For example, spirals for washing coal; pumping up water from deep levels; hydropower; tracked mining; underground locomotives; ventilation; shaft sinking; turnkey new mine design 193 and operation. Finally this additive backward linked value chain has led to the building of horizontal linkages. The mining sector provided the initial source of demand and successful domestic firms, having built competencies from supplying their mine customers, branched out to serve the needs of other sectors. Examples of such horizontal linkages are in transport, haulage, and hydraulic equipment where South Africa has leading global products. This has resulted in the development of various clusters of agglomeration of equipment suppliers and institutions, many of which are located on the East Rand region near Johnannesburg. A database of 678 companies involved in supplying mining inputs shows the depth of locally owned suppliers - 67% are locally owned, and most of the foreign firms are specialist consultants or branded Original Equipment Manufacturers. There are a number of conclusions to be drawn from this South African additive mining value chain based on growing local suppliers. First, the technical specificity of South African mining activities required the deployment and utilisation of advanced technologies and systems. Second, the historical success of the South African mining equipment and services sector resulted from considerable and extended public support for research and training. Government marshalled a suite of directed state policies (tariff, financial, technological, and institutional research support) to the local supplier industry. This allowed for the early development of considerable local technological expertise and, in many subsectors, South African firms are at the global technological frontier. Third, the expansion abroad of South African mining firms has created significant opportunities for exports of mining related equipment and services. Fifth, in a highly competitive world, these unique capabilities have to be dynamic and sustained. However, government has in recent years reduced its support to this sector and there are signs of a diminishing global comparative advantage. 194 5.6 VERTICALLY SPECIALISED VALUE CHAINS IN AFRICA 5.6.1. Apparel Value Chains in Africa40 Whilst many African countries have sought to promote an integrated additive textile and apparel value chain, recent decades have seen growing African participation in vertically specialised apparel exporting GVCs. Located in export processing zones and generally (but not exclusively) dominated by foreign owned lead firms, these apparel exporters have sought to take advantage of preferential trade regimes such as AGOA. In entering these vertically specialised value chains, African apparel producers are following a well-trodden global path. The apparel value chains described below often coexist with additive apparel value chains focused on the domestic markets and in some emerging cases, represent hybrid forms, involving components of both types of value chains. Figure 5.10: Garment Value Chain The apparel value chain can be divided into five stages (Figure 5.10): natural and synthetic fibres; yarn; fabric (woven, knits and industrial textiles); manufactured apparel and other textile based products; distribution and sales This discussion of the apparel value chain draws on: Al – Azmeh 2013; Morris et al 2014; Morris and Staritz 2014; Morris et al 2011; Staritz 2011. 40 195 channels at the wholesale and retail levels. Fibres are processed from animal, plant or synthetic raw materials and are spun into yarn which is used to produce woven or knitted fabric. The fabrics are then finished, dyed or printed, and converted into garments or products for other end-markets (e.g. household and home furnishings, industrial or technical consumer products). A large part of apparel production remains labour intensive, has low start-up and fixed costs and requires simple technology. These have encouraged the relocation of apparel production to low-cost locations, mainly in developing countries. With an increasingly fine division of labour, in some cases (including in Africa) this process of ‘manufacturing’ might be more accurately described as ‘apparel assembly’. Textile production is more capital and scale intensive, demands higher workers’ skills and has partly remained in developed countries or shifted towards middle-income countries. There is also a series of “intangible” activities that add value to apparel - product development, design, textile sourcing, distribution, branding, and retail. These are primarily controlled by lead firms, as well as some intermediaries and supplier firms. The apparel value chain has been one of the most trade-regulated manufacturing activities in the global economy. While quotas were eliminated 1st January 2005 with the phase out of the Agreement on Clothing and Textiles (ACT)/Multi Fibre Agreement (MFA), tariffs still play a central role in global apparel trade. Average Most Favoured Nation (MFN) tariffs on clothing imports are around 11% for the EU and the US. However, these tariffs vary considerably for different product categories. In the US, tariffs on clothing products are significant, with duties on cotton products ranging on average between 13% and 17% and duties on synthetic products between 25% and 32%. In the EU, tariffs on clothing products vary between 0% and 12%. In this context preferential market access to the US and EU markets has a substantial impact on global clothing trade patterns and provides a significant advantage for African clothing producing countries ability to compete with Chinese and South East Asian exporters. The most important duty free PTAs are (a) to the US – the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) for SSA 196 and Qualifying Industrial Zone (QIZ) for Egypt; (b) to the EU - Everything But Arms (EBA) Initiative and Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs); and (c) South Africa - the Southern African Customs Union (SACU) and Southern African Development Cooperation (SADC). AGOA, which was enacted in 2000, has Rules of Origin (ROO) requirements stating that clothing has to be made 85% from yarns, fabrics and threads from the US or produced in AGOA beneficiary countries. However, the Third Country Fabric derogation allows eligible lesser developed countries duty free access for clothing made from fabrics originating anywhere in the world. This has been especially important for the development of apparel industry in Africa. QIZ, which came into force in 2005, contains a similar exemption for Egypt allowing it to export under single transformation conditions. For those countries that signed interim EPAs in 2008 and 2009, ROO requirements changed to single transformation. SADC ROOs require double transformation for duty free entry to the South African market. Single transformation ROOs encourage vertically specialised value chains, since all inputs prior to apparel manufacture can be sourced from outside the country. Hence it is the AGOA/QIZ PTA that forms the focus of this interrogation of the vertically specialised apparel value chain in Africa. The EU/SA PTAs are more complicated, as they include double transformation requirements which tends to incentivise an additive value chain (we shall refer to them as a point of comparison later in the discussion). As a result of the AGOA and QIZ schemes, clothing exports from Africa (especially the major key SSA country exporters) to the US have increased rapidly (Table 5.4). All SSA apparel exports to the US grew from $748 million in 2000 to $1,757 million in 2004. But a combination of the ending of the Multi Fibre Agreement (December 2004) and the global financial crisis in 2008 led to a sharp decline in exports so that by 2012 exports from these countries had declined to $866 million (Table 5.4). The QIZ scheme saw a doubling of Egypt's exports of textiles and clothing to the US from $422 million in 2004 to $871 million in 2012. 197 Table 5.4: SSA apparel exporters to the US by year ($US Mil) Exporter 2000 2004 2007 2012 SSA Total 748 1,757 1,293 866 Lesotho 140 456 384 301 44 277 248 254 Mauritius 245 226 115 163 Swaziland 32 179 135 60 110 323 290 43 Kenya Madagascar Source: USITC; General Customs Value; Apparel represents HS 61+62 AGOA resulted in a major injection of Asian transnational FDI (initially from Taiwan, Hong Kong and Korea) into the five major SSA apparel producing countries. These firms sought to take advantage of preferential access to the US market - initially of MFA quota access, but also, and more importantly, in the longer run of preferential tariffs. These transnational producers had firmly established themselves within apparel value chains driven by US buyers of the large retailers and feeding into the US market. They developed global manufacturing networks to avoid quota restrictions, rising labour costs, and to meet the high demand from US based buyers. Over 90% of their production was destined for the bulk US market segment, and was driven by the value chain requirements of this market segment. Their motivation for investing in Africa was to take advantage of preferential, global regulatory regimes - quota hopping and preferential market access to the US market. They own or source from production units in several countries and regions, following a global strategy involving long-run production of a narrow range of basic, low complexity, undifferentiated, low value added products. These are made in large plants in a number of competing low income countries. Operating at high volumes, these are generally highly inflexible production set ups, and specialise in a narrow range of activities. By contrast, their African plants are low value added, and highly specialised basic assembly and cutmake-trim (CMT) operations. All other higher value activities, such textiles and components, financing, sourcing fabrics, product development and design, logistics, merchandising and marketing are carried out in the head offices in 198 Asia or in plants in Asia. When the MFA phase-out eliminated the need for quota free locations, several of these footloose and highly mobile operations closed. The AGOA or QIZ duty-free access motivation remains, but only as long as this advantage is sufficient for them to remain globally costcompetitive. This vertically specialised apparel value chain has helped to build an industrial base in the apparel sector in Africa. It has built an export market, created employment for large number of workers, and built some low level production capabilities, as workers learn to respond to export market production requirements. But this does not extend beyond the operator and lowest supervisory level, for managerial and technical skills are overwhelmingly dependant on expatriates. Virtually all inputs bar infrastructure are imported. The basic production component of this value chain is hence not embedded in local social and economic networks of the host country. Its rationale is externally determined, driven by the product requirements of the US buyers, the vested interests of the head offices of the large transnational producers situated in Asia, and wage rates and preferential access opportunities in other low income regions. These largely Asian-based TNCs are not concerned with upgrading local capabilities, functionally upgrading by moving into more rent rich activities, and extending local value added linkages. While they remain important productive links in the export apparel value chain, they are footloose investors, able and willing to shift their operations to another production site if duty free access conditions change. Madagascar illustrates a recent example of the footloose nature of this value chain. After the coup in January 2009, the US withdrew AGOA status from Madagascar, and, consequently, duty free access to this market disappeared. With the withdrawal of AGOA eligibility, apparel exports to the US market collapsed - dropping from $295 million in 2008, to $55 million in 2010 and $40 million in 2011. Most of the Asian firms closed overnight. Those who remain – said to be six – have effectively closed but maintain an office presence in a ‘wait and see’ position, hoping for a return of AGOA status. 199 In this respect it is helpful to contrast this footloose investment with an export apparel value chain, which contains more value additive linkages and, through a different ownership structure, is also more embedded in African countries. In the SSA apparel export industry, only Kenya has an export apparel sector structured primarily on the basis of Asian investors oriented to supplying the US market. Lesotho, Madagascar, Mauritius, and Swaziland have built alternative export value chain platforms in the apparel sector. These are structured around supplying the EU and the South African markets, which have very different market characteristics and product requirements. Although differing in detail and depending on dynamics in different producer countries, in contrast to the US, these two markets require smaller order sizes, higher quality, and more complex garments – i.e. higher value added garments. PTA requirements in many cases (SADC for Mauritius and Madagascar regional exports to South Africa, and until recently to the EU) also require two stage conversion and hence the use of local or regional fabric to ensure duty free status. The firms that supply these markets are locally or regionally embedded in African countries. They may be natural citizens (Mauritius), embedded diaspora owners of French origin but who regard themselves as locals (Madagascar), or owners of apparel firms in one country investing in an adjacent one (regional investors from Mauritius in Madagascar, or South Africa in Lesotho and Swaziland). This combination of local embeddedness, derived from such ownership patterns, with more flexible end-market requirements from the EU and South African buyers, has led to a very different value chain upgrading trajectory from that of the purely vertically specialised value chain serving the US market. This is a hybrid of a vertically specialised and additive value chain. It is still driven by having to meet the standards and market requirements of the lead firm buyers, but it also has an internal dynamic driven by these ownership patterns which ensures it is locally embedded and oriented to increasing domestic value addition. 200 CHAPTER 6 DRAWING THE THREADS TOGETHER - SUPPORTING DIVERSIFICATION AND THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF AFRICAN EXPORTS 6.1 KEY LESSONS FROM GLOBAL EXPERIENCE At the outset of this Report we observed that participation in global markets offers considerable potential to individual African firms, to groups of African firms and to African economies at large. Large global markets provide the scope for reaping scale economies, for specialisation, for learning, for profitable production and for sustainable employment and income growth. However, international experience shows that these benefits do not automatically accrue from participating in global markets. It is possible for African producers to be locked inappropriately into external markets, resulting in what has come to be called ‘immiserising growth’, that is, expanded economic activity associated with declining incomes and profitability. The objective, therefore, for both private and public actors is to enter a trajectory of gainful participation in global markets. This gainful participation has to be rooted in the reality of individual firm and country endowments and capabilities. Chapter 2 of this Report evidenced the reliance of most African economies on the export of commodities. Thus the policy objective of both public and private actors is to both enhance the productivity in the exploitation of these natural resources and to diversify their activities, both by creating linkages to the resource sector and by developing new specialisations in other sectors. However, these objectives can only be achieved in the context of opportunities available in the global economy. Whilst African exporters benefit from a range of preferential market access agreements, they need to be aware of the stagnation of northern markets and the rapid growth of southern markets. Switching between these different markets requires the development of specific capabilities. 201 As was evidenced in Chapter 3, the supply capabilities required for this gainful insertion in differing global markets are often enhanced by the development of co-located clusters of firms. Co-location generates external economies and therefore enhances the competitiveness of firms in the cluster. Where firms build on these external economies and cooperate to meet common challenges, they benefit from collective efficiency. This is particularly important for SMEs whose problems are often less a matter of being small, and more a consequence of being isolated. However, whilst many global clusters have participated effectively in global markets, this is not always the case. Particularly in low income economies and in Africa, clusters are often essentially survivalist in nature and show few signs of the dynamism required to be successful exporters. Whilst clusters of small firms are one important component of an effective supply response to global market opportunities, as was shown in Chapter 4, many successful exporting experiences are led by large lead firms. Globally, lead firms have come to recognise that it is not possible to sustain competitive advantage by being an island in a sea of inefficiency. It is necessary for them to assist their suppliers to upgrade in order to achieve systemic and dynamic competitive capabilities. Hence they have developed extensive programmes of supply chain management. In recent decades, the objective of supply chain management has moved beyond the achievement of profitability to target a triple bottom line, that is to simultaneously address the social licence to operate and environmental objectives. Supply chain management activities in most African economies are in their infancy, and seldom encompass the greening of supply chains. Cluster and supply chain development are critical components of supply capabilities. However, international experience makes it clear that on their own, supply capabilities do not provide the key for gainful participation in global markets (Chapter 5). How producers are inserted into global value chains determines the profitability of their operations and their capacity to upgrade operations in order to develop the dynamic capabilities which are required to compete sustainably in a rapidly changing global economy. 202 The GVC policy lens provides an integrated framework useful to both public and private actors for considering both supply capabilities and the character of final markets. Together, these two sets of factors influence who is incorporated in global markets, how they are incorporated in global markets, which global markets they are able to supply, and the roles which firms and economies play in global production networks. Appropriate positioning in GVCs thus addresses the challenges set out in the opening Chapter of this Report, that is, it is not so much a matter of whether to participate in the global economy, but how to do so in order to ensure profitable, sustainable and equitable growth, 6.2 DEVELOPING A POLICY RESPONSE TO ENABLE GAINFUL PARTICIPATION IN GLOBAL MARKETS Markets are critical to gainful participation in the global economy. Ultimately it is the firm which has to wrestle with the competitive challenge, to manage supply effectively and to export the products to final markets. Thus it is essential that private actors are fully informed of international experience with regard to clusters, supply chains, global value chains and the development of dynamic capabilities. But firms do not exist in a vacuum. So it is equally important that public actors take appropriate steps to ensure that the private sector is being supported by, rather than undermined by the environment in which they operate. Public action is not however limited to governments (operating both at the national and provincial/state level), but also of panstatal institutions providing public goods such as the AfriEximBank, the African Development Bank, the World Bank, UNIDO International Finance Corporation, bilateral aid agencies and global NGOs. Business and policy development requires not just that private and pubic actors draw on their individual strengths, but also that they recognise their particular weaknesses. International experience shows that competitiveness is hampered by a pervasive combination of “state failure” and “market failure”. Without these “failures” all producers would be at the frontier of global 203 competitiveness and this is patently not the case. Thus, an effective response to the opportunities opened up by global export markets necessarily requires not only a recognition by key actors of their limitations but also that they need to cooperate to learn and benefit from each other’s unique strengths. In the words of one of the most influential contemporary theorists of industrial policy: " … the task of industrial policy is as much about eliciting information from the private sector ... as it is about implementing appropriate policies. The right model … is ... strategic collaboration between the private sector and the government with the aim of uncovering where the most significant obstacles to restructuring lie and what type of interventions are most likely to remove them. … Hence the right way of thinking of industrial policy is as a discovery process - one where firms and the government learn about underlying costs and opportunities and engage in strategic coordination. (2004: 3)." We now consider the nature of the key policy responses required of private and public actors - including of critical support institutions such as the AfriEximBank - to meet these competitive challenges. Before addressing these responses, it is important to recognise a number of critical caveats: The development of supply capabilities and gainful insertion in global markets occurs in a wider macroeconomic context. They will be aided by a stable and predictable macroeconomic environment, and transparent and predictable governance and property laws. To a greater or lesser degree, all export activity will be directly and indirectly affected by the quality of hard and soft infrastructure. This challenge has been acknowledged by individual African governments and by multilateral institutions within the framework of PIDA (Programme for Infrastructural Development in Africa). 204 Capability development, in both static and dynamic respects, depends critically on human resource development and in the quality of the education and training system and research and technology organisations operating within institutions in the National System of Innovation. New ventures have a high failure rate. Even in the high income economies, nine out of ten new firms fail to thrive. Therefore not all clusters will be dynamic – indeed, not all clusters will continue to survive. Nor will supply chain upgrading initiatives necessarily work effectively. Hence failure, both in private and public spheres, is endemic and, arguably, the absence of failure means that strategic objectives have been insufficiently ambitious. Policy needs to be evidence-based, reflecting the particular character of a sector and an operating environment. Generic, catch-all policies are unlikely to be effective. At best they may be harmless; at worst they can create considerable damage to competitiveness in external markets. Each of these broad policy issues lie outside of cluster, supply chain and value chain development. But they are crucial to their success. It is neither possible nor desirable to provide a laundry list of generic policies which can be applied across sectors, countries and over time. However it is possible to identify a strategic framework within which appropriate detailed policies can be developed by actors responsible for country specific resource allocation. The development of detailed policies will necessarily reflect the specific circumstances confronting individual firms and economies in the context of their particular constraints and capabilities. It will also necessarily reflect the individual characteristics of the sector in which they operate and the opportunities available in different global markets. Given these caveats, we now turn to the general strategic determinants of policy formation with 205 regard to clusters, supply chains, global value chains and the interactions between these three set of strategic policies. 6.2.1. Policies to promote cluster development Four insights from international experience frame cluster policy development. 1. The lack of awareness of the potential offered by clusters has meant that in many cases, clusters have emerged beneath the radar of policymakers. A first step in cluster development policies is to create an inventory of what clusters exist in a given economic space 2. Dynamic clusters invariably emerge spontaneously rather than as a consequence of support from the government or other institutional agencies. The primary role of actors outside the cluster is to focus institutional interventions to build on what already exists rather than to create clusters anew. This requires an informed identification of dynamic clusters in an economic space. Having distinguished a set of clusters in an economic space, it is then necessary to develop a knowledge base which allows for the identification of dynamic clusters and provides an explanation of the nature and sources of their dynamism 3. By definition, self-developing clusters are characterised by external economies which explain the economics of agglomeration. Empirical analysis of 25 African clusters suggests that four sets of external economies are particularly prominent – skill spillovers, proximity of suppliers, proximity of clusters and inter-firm specialisation. Each of these externalities lend themselves to policy action, both by firms internal to the cluster and by external parties. A combination of sector specific and generic training schemes (especially aimed at institutionalising world class manufacturing 206 practices) can promote human resource development in the short to medium term, whilst the development of the educational system can provide the human capability foundations required for skills development. Schemes need to be developed to bring both suppliers and customers in closer contact with cluster firms, either by promoting physical co-location or by enhancing communications and fostering participation in distant markets. Inter-firm specialisation is less open to policy development and will tend to emerge as a response to market forces, supply chain development activities, and value chain dynamics. However policy needs to be flexibly attuned to be able to respond to specific opportunities that may arise so firms can be assisted where appropriate. 4. Collective action across a broad range of frontiers and scope of activities has proven to be an important factor underwriting the dynamism of clusters and is particularly important for SMEs. African experience with cluster development (Chapter 3) shows that the most successful form of collective action involve a range of actors, both internal to the cluster (notably firms) and external to the cluster (government, international aid agencies and NGOs). Each of the key parties affecting cluster development – firms within the cluster and external parties who have the capacity to influence developments in the cluster – need to prioritise the development of appropriate collective actions which are beneficial to the country and sector specific needs of cluster development. By its nature, effective cluster collective action needs to have the active participation of cluster firms and wherever possible 207 needs to be driven by individual firms operating as change agents within a cluster. There is extensive international experience with cluster facilitation – “network brokers” – which can be drawn on in supporting the development of cluster collective action. Government can play an important role in creating an enabling environment to foster specific collective actions within general cluster development. Government can also, under strictly regulated circumstances to control rent seeking, provide matching grant financial support to foster cluster facilitation and collective action. 5. Beyond these four sets of policy insights which emerge from international experience, Africa has the opportunity to benefit from the distinctive experience of China in cluster development. Chinese clusters have in many cases, and particularly in their early development, often been the creation of government. In recent years China has begun to promote Special Economic Zones in Africa, and although most of these are in very embryonic form, their progress needs to be monitored, and advantage taken of opportunities wherever possible. Where they are successful, lessons need to be learned and to be carried over into the wider development of clusters in Africa. 6.2.2. Policies to promote supply chain development Six insights from international experience frame policy development for supply chain upgrading: 1. Lead firms drive supply chain upgrading. In the best cases, this goes beyond first-tier suppliers and customers, and lead firms not only make demands of suppliers and customers but actively assist their upgrading 208 efforts. However not all lead firms are equally disposed to develop their suppliers and customers. Public actors supporting supply chain development should be informed about the track record of the lead firms in the relevant sectors of their economy in supply chain management. Wherever possible they need to support the activities of these lead firms, and to cajole reluctant supply chain managing firms to improve their efforts, particularly with respect to the incorporation and upgrading of SMEs in their chains. Private actors should be required to cooperate along their chains, encouraged to see this as a learning and upgrading opportunity rather than an assault on their competences. 2. Whilst lead firms play the key role in driving supply chain upgrading, they may not necessarily be the implementers of these programmes. Implementation may be the responsibility of first-tier suppliers and customers as well as being supported by specialised service providers. These service providers may be profit-seeking private actors, or be NGOs. Extension services provided directly by governments in supply chain management tend to be limited to the agricultural sector. Supply chain upgrading is a specialised activity and requires specialist skills. In the more advanced cases they are profit driven, but government and support institutions such as Chambers of Commerce, industry associations, development banks, and international agencies may play a key role in promoting their development. 3. Small and medium enterprises have specific problems in accessing and remaining in lead firm supply chains. One of the major constraints they face is being hampered by financial and credit restriction concerns arising from the often delayed payment schedules of their customers. Delays in payment of invoices are common, and although their need is to be paid as soon as possible, lead firm purchasing managers and government procurement officers often do not pay within the agreed 30 209 day period and often pay as late as 90 days after invoice. Unfortunately government is often the worst culprit in this regard, and many SMEs face bankruptcy after being awarded apparently lucrative contracts. The suppliers are therefore continuously bounded by cash flow constraints which, at best restrict their ability to engage in the necessary building of their dynamic capabilities to meet lead firm requirements, and at worst threaten their very survival. Lead firms need to implement strict internal policies to pay their small and medium suppliers on the basis of 14 to 30 days after receipt of goods and services. Government should also implement similar departmental directives, as well as creating internal monitoring and evaluation systems to ensure that these are adhered to. Moreover, government should also engage with lead firms to appraise them of the necessity to assist their SME suppliers overcome such financial constraints as a necessary condition for supply chain development. 4. Whilst participating in supply chain improvement is on balance profitable, it often requires upfront costs. Given that supply chain development skills require intensive elaboration, specialised private sector profit-driven service providers will be unable to deliver effective supply chain management without support. At the same time, whilst firms in the supply chain may in the full course of time be prepared to pay for the supply chain upgrading services they receive, they may be unaware of the benefits offered by these service providers. Consequently, many governments, from the UK to South Africa, have subsidised the early stages of development of a specialised supply chain upgrading programme Financial incentives provided by governments or other supporting institutions may be required to promote both the demand for supply chain upgrading services and the supply of these services. To be effective and to minimise the cost-burden, it is however important that this support have a grant component, be temporary and that it tails off 210 gradually to promote the development of a specialised and profit-driven business services provider sector. 5. Increasingly, supply chain upgrading transcends the profit-driven search for a reduction in costs by driving inventories down, and improving quality and delivery schedules. It has also had to respond to pressure to take account of social and environmental issues in its supply chain – i.e. meeting its ‘triple bottom line’ responsibilities to ensure sustainable production activities. Corporate Social Responsibility (social) objectives have become increasingly important, particularly in the resource sector. However, early generation CSR charitable concerns have been succeeded by attempts to promote linkages as a way of productively including local suppliers and customers in supply chains. Supply chain greening to meet environmental responsibilities is also a new agenda which, although still in embryonic form, has the potential to impact substantially on the ability of suppliers being able to meet demands in niche global markets. Government and other agencies are required to support the CSR objectives of lead firms by providing assistance to supply chain upgrading, including through the provision of efficient infrastructure. Supply chain greening is a relatively new agenda and may require particular forms of customised support. 6. Supply chains feeding into and out of Chinese-owned enterprises pose particular challenges for Africa. Large scale Chinese state owned firms tend to source from China and, when they do source locally, from Chinese owned suppliers. They also tend to see supply chain management as a role to be played by the host government rather than by lead firms. Both these trends are inimical to the development of a diversified and indigenous economy. 211 Host governments need to recognise these trends and to take actions to mitigate their harmful consequences. The Chinese government should be encouraged to recognise that in the African context it is expected that the lead firm will play a more active role in the upgrading of its supply chain. The terms of Angola-mode sourcing procedures need to be challenged to ensure a greater degree of local content in supply chains dominated by lead Chinese firms. 6.2.3. Policies to support gainful insertion in Global Value Chains Seven insights from international experience frame policy development with regard to participation in GVCs: 1. Typically, GVCs are dominated by a restricted number of large transnational firms. Each of these firms tends to have distinctive strategies towards supply chain development and to feed into particular markets and market segments. Since there are a restricted number of lead firms, it is important that governments and key local suppliers are aware of the distinctive nature and strengths and weaknesses of these lead firms. It is essential that the approaches towards these firms be knowledge-based, particularly in sectors which are of significance in existing or projected export sectors. Governments can be assisted in the development of this knowledge-base by external institutions (such as the AfriEximBank). 2. The dominance of most sectors by a limited number of very large firms puts them in an asymmetrical power relationship with African producers and their suppliers. Host governments have a role to play in assisting their local producers, particularly when external lead firms are seeking access to the scarce resources which characterise many additive natural resource based value chains. Governments should be aware of the oligopolistic rivalry characteristic of lead firms in most sectors. In some cases this provides the 212 opportunity to use access to domestic markets and scarce resources to ensure enhanced supply chain development and a gainful role for producers in global markets. This is analogous to the strategies adopted by large Chinese State owned enterprises which bundle aid and investment in order to ensure access to Africa’s scarce natural resources. 3. Two major families of GVCs exhibit distinctive dynamic characteristics and provide different upgrading opportunities. ‘Additive value chains’ tend to dominate in the resource sectors and are characterised by sequential processes of domestic value added. ‘Vertically specialised’ chains tend to dominate globalising manufacturing and service sectors and involve the increasing fragmentation of production in which individual processes occur simultaneously and can be economically undertaken in different locations in the global economy. Vertically specialised GVCs dominate in high income economies and are growing most rapidly. By contrast, African economies are dominated by additive value chains. There are few vertically specialised GVCs operating in Africa, and, those that do, tend to be concentrated in Southern Africa. Additive value chains provide more favourable opportunities for building a variety of value added activities and linkages within African economies than do vertical specialisation value chains. In some sectors, if the correct enabling conditions are created, this can be undertaken with the cooperation of lead firms who are willing to allow such linkages to be embedded in developing countries. In other sectors where the technical conditions are less favourable, African governments will have to play a more proactive policy role to ensure that such functional and process upgrading occurs. By contrast, vertical specialisation value chains provide considerably more scope for employment generation in manufacturing, particularly in the manufacturing and services sectors. The attraction of these chains 213 to Africa requires particular packages of support from government, but care should be taken to ensure that these support schemes induce upgrading over time and that they do not undermine additive value chains by encourage a process of inappropriate downgrading to take advantage of incentive packages as in SEZs. 4. The character of value chains is significantly affected by the destination of end-markets. This affects the pattern of specialisation in core competences, governance structures, standards and the scope for upgrading. Some end-markets may provide more scope for upgrading and the development of dynamic capabilities. Therefore an important component of government support for private sector involvement in global value chains should encompass the extent to which lead value chain firms are inserted in particular types of end markets. This needs to address both the specificities of market niches and the regional location of markets since these are often closely related. Preferential trade access can be helpful in accessing particular end markets, but the accompanying rules of origin may affect the scope for upgrading and the developing of dynamic capabilities 5. Standards are an increasingly important requirement for participating in external markets, particularly in northern markets. Many African producers have poor awareness of the importance of these standards and lack the capacity to achieve these standards. This is particularly evident for SMEs seeking to participate gainfully in GVCs. As in the case of the business services sector supporting supply chain upgrading, governments and other support agencies (including NGOs and development banks) will be required to support both the demand for and supply of the services assisting firms to achieve the standards necessary to participate in export markets. Whilst these specialised service providers may become viable on their own in later years, they 214 will generally require financial support in the short term. It is necessary that this financial support tail off over time. 6. Regional markets may offer more opportunities for value added activities in value chains than do markets in northern economies. Regional markets are often less demanding, provide learning opportunities, allow for building up economies of scale, and facilitate firms in these regional value chains to build their production capabilities in a staged, step-by-step process. Regional integration processes within Africa should be fast-tracked and streamlined to support the development of capabilities and local competitive advantage. 7. Value chain alignment is important in strategy development and policy implementation. An effective and evidence-based policy process requires that consultation should involve key parties from along the chain. It is also necessary that this consultation process be ongoing, since sector dynamics are constantly in flux and policy is a moving agenda. Whilst the key parties in the chain should be included in policy development on an ongoing basis, it is important that some key actors do not dominate the policy process for individual gain at the cost of collective efficiency. Hence the government or chain facilitator should have some measure of autonomy from key chain actors. Chain facilitation may be exercised by a variety of parties including governments and private sector actors, but this is contingent upon the circumstances of each chain and each economy. 6.6.4. An integrated framework for export development As observed in the Introduction to this Report, much policy development treats clustering, supply chains and value chains as if they were separate policy agendas. But whilst each of these policy agendas has specific characteristics, they overlap in many respects. As Figure 6.1 suggests, it is 215 imperative that wherever possible these policy agendas are integrated. In designing and implementing these agendas, it is important that key lessons be learned from international experience, namely that: The process begins with strategy formulation which should occur at the highest feasible level given the particular importance of a sector in a given economy. Strategy formulation should set out the key objectives of sectoral development and the key targets for export targeting. Once a strategy has been formulated, this needs then to be backed by specific policy instruments. To be effective, policy instruments must have teeth – carrots for positive performance and sticks for poor performance. Policies must be aligned and mutually consistent. Policies which provide conflicting incentives not only fail to achieve their objectives, but promote confusion and weaken resolve. Policies should be aligned to capabilities. There is no point in introducing policies which are beyond the capacity of implementing individuals, firms, governments and institutions. Policy design must be backed by policy will. Those implementing policies should operate with diligence and transparency. Strategy and policy development as well as implementation should involve a full range of stakeholders, from private and public sectors and, where relevant and functional, from civil society. External agents such as the AfriEximBank may have a key role to play in strategy development and in providing an effective evidence base to guide policy development and implementation. 216 Figure 6.1. Fragmented and integrated export policy support Export policy development fragmentation Supply Clusters chains Value chains Export policy development integration Supply Clusters chains Value chains In conclusion this requires African governments to develop broadly framed and integrated industrial policies which go beyond conceptualising the isolated firm as the focus of concern. 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