Agility, Adaptability and Alignment Hau L. Lee Stanford University Demand and supply uncertainties Fashion like product Strong competitive forces Increasing product variety Potential of external disruptions Short product and technology cycles Fast changing hardware and software Multiple sources of technological advances Frequent product transitions Manufacturing cost pressures Multiple supply chain partners Outsourced manufacturing partners Outsourced design partners Consumer electronics channel Other associated product providers Challenges Implications Increasing demand and supply uncertainties Uncertainty drives need for flexibility Shortening product and technology cycles Dynamic instead of static supply chains Multiple outsourced supply chain partners Differential interests of multiple players Challenges Implications Increasing demand and supply uncertainties Uncertainty drives need for flexibility Shortening product and technology cycles Dynamic instead of static supply chains Multiple outsourced supply chain partners Differential interests of multiple players Agility Adaptability Alignment Challenges Implications Increasing demand and supply uncertainties Uncertainty drives need for flexibility Shortening product and technology cycles Dynamic instead of static supply chains Multiple outsourced supply chain partners Differential interests of multiple players Agility Adaptability Alignment Largest convenience store chain in Japan ($23.3B annual sales) with 10,853 outlets (1,200 sq. ft each) #1 in fast foods #1 in battery, ladies stocking sales #2 in paperback/ magazine sales Value of $1 Investment SEJ Nikkei 55 Inventory turns/year Year Multimedia distribution Multimedia distribution Multimedia Host transmission computer 7-11 Japan HQ Satellite center Dedicated line Store ISDN Network Combined distribution center 7-11 Japan district office Manufacturer OFC mobile computer Trust-based agile logistics Dynamic shelving Supplier collaborations Measure Act Localized promotions Shelf & merchandizing New product development POS+ Total visibility Identify Analyze Correlation and Substitution Local events Product transitions General Design Strategic Sourcing Marketing & Distribution New product release data General design changes Mechanical design data Mfg. Design changes Sourcing changes Mechanical Design Plastics Component Procurement PCBA Mfg. Testing System Build & Test Final Packaging Chip design data Chip design changes California Texas Chip Design (GPU & MCP) Chip Supply Mexico Hungary 2001 Product launch in 14 months (versus 20 months for Sony Playstation 2), winning 3.6% market share in 4 months. Chip Packaging Chip Design (GPU & MCP) Chip Design Transportation customs clearance 3rd Source Manufacturing 2nd Source Manufacturing Mechanical Design Services Procure Components Plastics PCBA Mfg. Testing Final Packaging In November and December 2005, Xbox launched Xbox 360 simultaneously in N America and Europe, beating Sony’s Playstation 3 by close to a year. Product postponement: field-programmable integrated circuits Process postponement: die-bank as decoupling point and customize to order. IRL (Internet-Reconfigurable Logic) allows reconfiguration remotely via the Internet Postponement strategy supports NPI and upgrades Number 1 market leader Wafer fabrication Die-bank FA&T Wall Street Journal, January 29, 2001 March 17, 2000, lightning-induced fire at Philips’ radio-frequency chips factory in Albuquerque, New Mexico Percent of Respondents , Agree, 37 , Strongly Agree, 11 , Neutral, 37 , Disagree, 11 , Strongly Disagree, 5 Based on a Stanford study on Driving Business Value through B2B Outsourcing, supported by GXS, 2007 Percent of trading partners integrated via B2B solutions Before outsourcing After outsourcing Based on a Stanford study on Driving Business Value through B2B Outsourcing, supported by GXS, 2007 Average Percent Improvement Based on a Stanford study on Driving Business Value through B2B Outsourcing, supported by GXS, 2007 “Sensible” Sense “Responsive” Response Deep Intelligence Efficient Execution Local Empowerment Decentralized Control Integrated Information Systems – Centralized Command Challenges Implications Increasing demand and supply uncertainties Uncertainty drives need for flexibility Shortening product and technology cycles Dynamic instead of static supply chains Multiple outsourced supply chain partners Differential interests of multiple players Agility Adaptability Alignment 80’-90’ Complex technology with Lucent as leader Primary market in North America Supply base in Asia not well developed Oklahoma City as central procurement, stocking, kitting and assembly site for North America and Asia. 91’-00’ Response time a competitive pressure Fast growing market in Asia Bulk of supply base in Asia 1996: Taiwan and Qingdao as engineering, procurement and final assembly hub for Asia, backed up by OKC. Technology Market Focus Strategy Leadership Concentrated supply/demand Margin and control Centralization Maturity Regionally distributed supply/demand Responsiveness Expanded network Decline Globally distributed supply/demand Agility Value chain redesign 2000 5* No. of plants 29 5* No. of suppliers 3,000 900 No. of enclosures 47 7 Inventory turn 1 6-7 Heavy losses Profitable for 4 consecutive quarters Profitability *24 plants were sold off or closed. Celestica, Jabil, Sanmina and Solectron now handle 95% of total production needs Fortune 2003 2005 Sales ($B) Profit (%) Arcelo r 40.57 13 Mittal 28.13 12 JFE 24.37 12 NSC 22.93 9 POSC O 21.42 18 POSCO S&P500 NYSE (February ‘04 to January ‘07) Iron Ore Blast Furnace (Remove Oxygen & Impurities) Residual Crude (Pig) Carbon Iron Removal, Other Alloys Added Liquid Steel Casting Slab Ingots Reheating Ingots Continuous casting to save energy Factory layout to cut cycle time from days to hours Real time production control Innovative FINEX process Source of national pride Rollin g Rolled wires, plates, pipes Steel consumption (tons/person) US China Projected worldwide steel shortage In 2004-2005 Iron ore cost rose by 20% Coking coal cost rose by 80% Freight cost rose significantly Increasing pressures of trade barriers Crude steel manufacturing near iron ore mines; finishing plants near customers. Iron Ore Supply JV and strategic alliances with iron ore suppliers in India, Brazil and Australia Crude Steel Production Slabs Plans to build crude steel plants in Brazil 12 M-ton steel plant ($12B) in Orissa, India; Phase I by Dec 2010 with investment of $3.7B Finishing Plants JV with US Steel in 2002 on finishing plant in Pittsburgh Thailand: Cold Roll plant for Auto steel sheets (1/06) Nagoya, Japan: Cold Roll plant for Auto (2/06) Kunsan China: Cold Roll plant for Auto (02/04) Maharashtra, India: Plant for Electrical steel sheet (11/05) Flexible Network Relationships People-ready Change Mgmt Architect Supply Chain for Right Product, Market & Time Market Intelligence Product PLC Needs Technology Evolution Challenges Implications Increasing demand and supply uncertainties Uncertainty drives need for flexibility Shortening product and technology cycles Dynamic instead of static supply chains Multiple outsourced supply chain partners Differential interests of multiple players Agility Adaptability Alignment “The weakest link of the supply chain defines the supply chain.” “Instead of company to company competition, we are now in an era of supply chain to supply chain competition.” “Win-win relationship is the cornerstone of supply chain success.” Inventory Toyota Distribution Dealers Inventory risk Facility Investment Inventory Toyota Distribution Inventor Risk Dealers Facility Investment Organizational Boundary Dimension Single Enterprise Single Dimensional MultiDimensional CrossEnterprise Time from landing to departure Transit time What about time from landing to destination? Dimension Alignment Decisions, roles, responsibilities Re-assignment and empowerment Risks, costs, rewards Adjusted for incentives with win-win interests Performance measures Extended, joint, stretched to reflect alignment Empowerment of decisions and responsibilities requires provision of capabilities Alignment ultimately demands behavioral change Successful alignment across organizations is based on building trust in a supply chain Average Percent Improvement Based on a Stanford study on Driving Business Value through B2B Outsourcing, supported by GXS, 2007 US$M 2005 sales: US$8.2B (7.5% YoY G.R.) 1995 – 2005 CAGR: 22.4% Q1 Source: TSMC Q2 Q3 Q4 World’s largest foundry (contract semiconductor fabrication manufacturer) Emphasizes customer relationship as “First and Last Look” Invests in E-SCM to help internal and customers’ supply chain process eFoundry Design collaboration Engineering collaboration Logistics collaboration E-SCM Architecture Demand Planning Allocation Planning Capacity Modeling Allocation Management Order Management Available ToPromise Output Planning Iterative design verification and improvement process Sharing common mask set with different chips Diamond lane treatment Great cost and time savings for customers Helps customers NPI Win for both TSMC and customers TSMC Solution Service Focus Technology Focus Customer-centric total solution Manufacturing Focus Schedule ahead of ITRS Web-based design engineering and logistic service Capacity Leadership Complete SoC portfolio Comprehensive design service Production Excellence World-class quality Integrated backend service 1987 1997 2000 Agility Adaptability Alignment Extensive information integration Optimization-based applications Highly efficient manufacturing processes Centralized command, decentralized control Fab expansion based on technology and market changes Evolution to service-focus business Optimized product/fab assignment Information sharing across supply chain Collaborative relationships with customers Tight connectivity with assembly and test Trust-based, people-oriented organization “Sensible” Sense “Responsive” Response Deep Intelligence Efficient Execution Local Empowerment Decentralized Control Integrated Information Systems – Centralized Command Flexible Network Relationships People-ready Change Mgmt Architect Supply Chain for Right Product, Market & Time Market Intelligence Product PLC Needs Technology Evolution Dimension Alignment Decisions, roles, responsibilities Assignment to best run overall supply chain Risks, costs, rewards Adjusted for incentives with win-win interests Performance measures Extended, joint, stretched to reflect alignment World class supply chains require capabilities in agility, adaptability and alignment Sensible Sense and Responsive Response to gain agility Right supply chain for the right product and right time Winning with the whole supply chain AAA supply chain management is the key for super-AAA performance and values © 2007 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved. Microsoft, Windows, Windows Vista and other product names are or may be registered trademarks and/or trademarks in the U.S. and/or other countries. The information herein is for informational purposes only and represents the current view of Microsoft Corporation as of the date of this presentation. Because Microsoft must respond to changing market conditions, it should not be interpreted to be a commitment on the part of Microsoft, and Microsoft cannot guarantee the accuracy of any information provided after the date of this presentation. MICROSOFT MAKES NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESS, IMPLIED OR STATUTORY, AS TO THE INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION.