Study on behalf of the European Commission Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Presentation to the Group on the future of VAT - 7 November 2014 Overview of the Presentation 1. Overview of the study 2. Alternative taxation models being considered 3. Summary of qualitative analysis findings 4. Approach to quantative analysis 5. 6. 1. Business Survey overview 2. Member State Survey overview Quantative analysis – next steps 1. Business Survey 2. Member State Survey Next Steps - Economic Impact Assessment Page 1 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Overview of the Study ► The current VAT treatment of intra-EU B2B supplies of goods can be complex, creating a scenario of uncertainty which may deter businesses from fully realising the benefits of the common market. ► The European Commission wished to identify alternative concepts for a properly functioning destination-based EU system of VAT. The guiding principles of this are: ► a) The alignment of the simplicity and safety of intra-EU trade with purely domestic activities; and b) The cost of VAT compliance for business activities across the EU must be reduced. Following meetings with the VAT Expert Group and the Group on the Future of VAT, five options were selected for more detailed examination. Page 2 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Qualitative Assessment of Each Option Option Practical Application Page 3 Legislation Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Alternative Taxation models for the VAT treatment of B2B Cross-Border Supplies of Goods – Option 1b Option 1b: Improving the current rules without modifying them fundamentally This option seeks to harmonise the VAT treatment applied to call-off stock, consignment stock arrangements, and also chain transactions, as well as the form of documentation required to evidence the intra community supply. MS 1 GOODS MS 2 INVOICE Customer PAYMENT (self-assesses acquisition VAT) Supplier Call off/consignment stock - Call-off stock simplification becomes compulsory in all Member States (including consignment stock) - Time of intra community supply delayed until goods removed from warehouse Chain transactions - Uniform rules apply re: which supply in the chain receives the intra-EU exemption Documentation - List of relevant commercial documents that would support the exempt transfer Compulsory use of current optional simplification provisions - Domestic Reverse Charge, Appointment of Tax Representatives, ability to exempt with credit purchases relating to intra community supplies, warehousing (non customs) reliefs. Anti fraud Measure Supplier required to hold form prepared by MS of departure, signed by the customer. Page 4 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 1b: Summary of Qualitative Benefits Entity Supplier Impact Assumptions → Businesses no longer required to register for VAT in the Member State(s) where they do not have an establishment. • VAT return compliance burden reduced as number of VAT registrations reduced. • Time spent dealing with VAT audits reduced as no longer have to deal with multiple Revenue Authorities. Likely to be an overall reduction of compliance costs on an ongoing basis. Greater legal certainty for business. Beneficial as likely to result in fewer “negative” VAT audits, and as such lower likelihood of interest and penalties. Cash-flow benefit where VAT would otherwise be due to tax authorities before customers have paid the invoice. Customer → N/A Member State → No longer required to register non resident enterprises for VAT, therefore no need to undertake associated VAT audits etc., overall should see a reduction in administration costs. Reduced risk of VAT loss due to foreign enterprise failing to pay tax due. Page 5 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 1b: Summary of Qualitative Costs Entity Supplier Impact Assumptions → Maintenance of a register of all goods despatched or transported under the proposed reliefs. We assume that this is something that businesses would do already from a commercial perspective, therefore this is cost neutral. Additional reporting requirements. Likely to be a one-off set up cost in the year of implementation, and then cost neutral after that. Additional documentary requirement. One-off set up cost in the year of implementation, and then cost neutral after that. Customer → Additional documentary requirement so as to be able to identify the goods. We assume that this is something that businesses would do already from a commercial perspective, therefore this is cost neutral. Additional documentary requirement. One-off set up cost in the year of implementation, and then cost neutral after that. Member State → Must set up system so that reporting of such transactions can be done electronically. We have assumed that there will be a one-off set up cost in the year of implementation, and then cost neutral after that. Possible impact on MS cash-flow where relief is currently not implemented. Page 6 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Alternative Taxation models for the VAT treatment of B2B Cross-Border Supplies of Goods – Option 2a Option 2a: Adapting current rules whilst still following the flow of goods with the supplier charging VAT in the Member State of destination. MS 1 GOODS Supplier INVOICE (accounts for VAT in MS2) MS 2 Customer PAYMENT ► The transfer of goods forming part of a supplier's business assets is treated as a supply of goods. ► If the supplier is not established in the Member State of taxation, he will report the VAT due in the Member State of taxation using (enhanced) One Stop Shop. ► Either: ► standardise the definitions of products eligible for reduced rates, utilisation of a “portal” database; ► or the standard rate is applied to all B2B supplies (domestic and intra EU). ► Simplification measures also being considered, supplies to Certified Taxable Person, supplies between members of the same corporate family would fall within the reverse charge procedure ► Equal treatment of B2B supplies of goods and services ► Anti fraud measure - customer could be required to mention in his VAT return the purchases from non resident entrepreneurs Page 7 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 2a: Summary of Qualitative Benefits Impact Assumptions Entity Supplier → Businesses are no longer required to register for VAT in the Member State(s) where the supply takes place. The VAT return compliance burden reduced as number of VAT registrations required are minimised. Time spent dealing with VAT audits reduced as businesses no longer have to deal with multiple Revenue Authorities. No longer required to submit EC sales lists therefore administration costs reduced. Customer Member State → → No longer required to submit EC acquisitions list therefore administration costs reduced Uniform accounting treatment applied to domestic and intra EU purchases therefore less likelihood of error and the imposition of interest and penalties Administration costs reduced as no longer need to audit non resident enterprises. Tax receipts may increase Cash flow may improve Page 8 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 2a: Summary of Qualitative Costs Entity Supplier Impact Assumptions → Businesses may experience costs in determining what VAT rate to charge for each Member State. Assume this will be a one off cost in year one and cost neutral after that. Suppliers may need to check if their customer has CTP status assumed cost neutral as they already have to check VAT Number validity. Cash flow could be impacted. Albeit will be neutralised in part if simplification measures introduced. Customer → May need to register for CTP status. Assume this will be a one off cost in year one and cost neutral after that. Partly exempt customers may experience additional VAT costs (or at best, negative cash flow implications) if the reduced VAT rate is removed altogether. Additional reporting obligation may result in additional compliance costs. Cash flow could be impacted. Albeit will be neutralised in part if simplification measures introduced Member State Page 9 → Additional administration requirements such as CTP registration, development of content for web portal (and its on going maintenance), amendment to VAT return or development of additional document to enable enterprises to report purchases from non resident enterprises, will result in increased costs in year one as well as ongoing costs. Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Alternative Taxation models for the VAT treatment of B2B Cross-Border Supplies of Goods – Option 2b Option 2b: Adapting current rules whilst still following the flow of the goods with the customer applying the reverse charge mechanism ► In this model there is a single transaction (i.e., the supply of the goods). Reverse charge mechanism is applied to the movement of the goods MS 1 GOODS MS 2 Supplier INVOICE Customer PAYMENT (self-assesses for VAT via reverse charge mechanism) ► Customer required to register for VAT in a Member State where they have no establishment (like ‘As Is’). ► In addition suppliers would be required to register in the Member State to which they have transferred their own goods (like ‘As Is’). Page 10 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 2b: Summary of Qualitative Benefits and Costs Benefits: Entity Impact Assumption Supplier. → Consistency of treatment re: supplies of goods and services, simplification may help to reduce number of errors and as such possible imposition of interest and penalties. Customer → → N/A Member State N/A Costs: Scenario Supplier Customer Member State Page 11 Impact Assumption → → → Will incur one off systems change costs in year of implementation, cost neutral thereafter. Problems in relation to current systems will still exist re: movement of own goods, therefore at best cost neutral. Will incur one off systems change costs in year of implementation, cost neutral thereafter. Additional compliance costs where they have to account for VAT in MS where not established . May increase possibility of cross border fraud Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Alternative Taxation models for the VAT treatment of B2B Cross-Border Supplies of Goods – Option 4b Option 4b: Aligning the rules governing the place of supply of services with the customer applying the reverse charge mechanism. ► Once again in this model there is a single transaction. The place of supply will be where the customer has established (incl. fixed establishments) his business. MS 1 MS 2 Customer GOODS INVOICE Supplier PAYMENT (self-assesses for VAT via reverse charge mechanism in MS of establishment) ► Actual destination of the goods will remain an essential element. For reverse charge to apply supplier can not be established in MS of customer (or, if established there, fixed establishment should not intervene in the supply). ► Customer must provide VAT number in MS of destination. ► A Mini OSS will be used in two situations: firstly, where goods are supplied to a non EU customer but are staying in the EU and secondly, where non EU business purchase and sell goods within the EU. ► Simplification measures also being considered, supplies to Certified Taxable Person would not require a recapitulative statement. ► Anti fraud measure – location of goods to be mentioned on invoice/recapitulative statement. Page 12 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 4b: Summary of Qualitative Benefits and Costs Benefits: Entity Supplier. Impact Assumption → Customer → Member State → Consistency of treatment re: supplies of goods and services, simplification may help to reduce number of errors and as such possible imposition of interest and penalties. For non EU businesses there would be a reduction in compliance costs as no longer required to register in multiple member states, instead they can use extended MOSS. Consistency of treatment re: supplies of goods and services, simplification may help to reduce number of errors and as such possible imposition of interest and penalties. N/A Costs: Scenario Impact Assumption Supplier → Will incur one off systems change costs in year of implementation, cost neutral thereafter. Customer → Will incur one off systems change costs in year of implementation, cost neutral thereafter. Additional reporting obligations may result in increased compliance costs Member State Page 13 → May increase possibility of cross border fraud Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Alternative Taxation models for the VAT treatment of B2B Cross-Border Supplies of Goods – Option 5a Option 5a: Aligning with the contractual flows with the supplier charging the VAT of the Member State of destination. The supplier has an obligation to collect and account for VAT in the member state where the contracting party is established. MS 1 Supplier (reporting VAT using the OSS) GOODS INVOICE MS 2 Customer PAYMENT ► The transfer of goods forming part of a supplier's business assets is not treated as a supply of goods. ► If the supplier is not established in the Member State of taxation, he will report the VAT due using the OSS. ► If contracting party reallocates the cost to another establishment that will be a deemed supply. ► Simplification measures also being considered, supplies to Certified Taxable Person, supplies between members of the same corporate family would fall within the reverse charge procedure ► Anti fraud measure - customer could be required to mention in his VAT return the purchases from non resident entrepreneurs Page 14 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 5a: Summary of Qualitative Benefits Impact Assumptions Entity Supplier → Businesses are no longer required to register for VAT in the Member State(s) where the supply takes place. The VAT return compliance burden reduced as number of VAT registrations required are minimised. Time spent dealing with VAT audits reduced as businesses no longer have to deal with multiple Revenue Authorities. No longer required to submit EC sales lists therefore administration costs reduced. Customer Member State → → No longer required to submit EC acquisitions list therefore administration costs reduced Uniform accounting treatment applied to domestic and intra EU purchases therefore less likelihood of error and the imposition of interest and penalties Administration costs reduced as no longer need to audit non resident enterprises. Tax receipts may increase Cash flow may improve Page 15 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Option 5a: Summary of Qualitative Costs Entity Supplier Impact Assumptions → Businesses may experience costs in determining what VAT rate to charge for each Member State. Assume this will be a one off cost in year one and cost neutral after that. Suppliers may need to check if their customer has CTP status assumed cost neutral as they already have to check VAT Number validity. Cash flow could be impacted. Albeit will be neutralised in part if simplification measures introduced. Customer → May need to register for CTP status. Assume this will be a one off cost in year one and cost neutral after that. Partly exempt customers may experience additional VAT costs (or at best, negative cash flow implications) if the reduced VAT rate is removed altogether. Additional reporting obligation may result in additional compliance costs. Cash flow could be impacted. Albeit will be neutralised in part if simplification measures introduced Member State Page 16 → Additional administration requirements such as CTP registration, development of content for web portal (and its on going maintenance), amendment to VAT return or development of additional document to enable enterprises to report purchases from non resident enterprises, will result in increased costs in year one as well as ongoing costs. Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Qualitative Analysis – Legislation ► An ‘As Is’ and ‘To Be’ analysis template was prepared in order to illustrate the VAT treatment of a selection of common types of goods transactions both from an existing approach (‘As Is’ analysis), and from the approach of the five alternative taxation models (‘To Be’ analysis). ► VAT experts in all 28 Member States consider that there are no significant differences between the EU Directive and the local VAT legislation. ► VAT experts in all 28 Member States considered that there were no significant obstructions in the local legislation that would prevent the taxation models being implemented in each territory. ► Minor potential legislative considerations were raised in the following areas: Page 17 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Business Survey: Process Overview Page 18 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Business Survey - Responses MEMBER STATE # SMEs # Austria 10 4 Belgium 4 Bulgaria 5 3 Croatia 14 2 Czech Republic 2 Cyprus 1 1 Finland 6 3 France 1 Germany 26 Greece 4 Hungary 8 3 Ireland 11 8 Italy 8 3 Netherlands 3 Poland 11 4 Romania 1 1 Slovakia 3 Spain 2 Sweden 5 1 UK Total 24 149 5 44 Target 840 - 17.74% 29.53% 6 The Business Survey launched in English on 12 May 2014. In addition, the survey was also made available in French, German, Italian, Spanish and Polish. The survey was closed on 12 September 2014. The proportion of SMEs that have responded to the survey is 29.5%. Percentage achieved Page 19 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Member State Survey: Process Overview Page 20 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Member State Survey Member State survey question Alternative proxy used in absence of response 1 Percentage split of a Member State’s total trade in respect of business to We use the data on a Member State’s total turnover (from Eurostat) and business (B2B) trade and business to customer (B2C) trade. reduce that by data on retail turnover (from Eurostat) to derive non-retail turnover (which we consider business to business trade). The ratio of these two will give an estimate for this question. 2 Percentage split of a Member State’s total VAT receipts in respect of B2B We will use the split between the Gross Value Added of the retail sector and trade and B2C trade. 3 4 5 6 7 the non-retail sector (from Eurostat) as a proxy to split the Value Added tax receipts into B2B trade and B2C trade. Percentage split of a Member State’s total domestic B2B trade between We will use the difference between the total turnover (from Eurostat) and the goods and services. aggregate of intra and extra EU trade (also from Eurostat) to derive a proxy for domestic trade. We will then obtain the goods and services split for the aggregate of intra and extra EU trade and assume that proportional split will also apply to domestic trade. Percentage split of a Member State’s total B2B VAT receipts between We will apply the goods and services trade split from question no.3 to the B2B goods and services. VAT receipts split we obtained from question no.2. Estimate of the number of Full Time Equivalents employees (FTEs) We will use estimates obtained from other countries as proxy information for currently employed in all of a Member State tax authority offices and the this response. number of FTEs employed dealing specifically with VAT per average calendar month. Average cost per hour (compensation) in a Member State for an We will use the average income levels in the Member State as an assumption. employee responsible for dealing with VAT. Percentage split of total FTEs dealing with VAT in your Member State We will use the split between domestic and international trade in a Member according to whether it relates to domestic trade or intra-EU trade. State as an assumption, validated by information provided in another question detailing the split in VAT registrations between domestic and foreign businesses in a Member State. Page 21 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Member State Survey - Responses MEMBER STATE Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France COMPLETE No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Germany Greece Yes Yes Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Yes Yes Yes No Lithuania Luxemburg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes Slovenia Spain Sweden UK Average Yes No No Yes Page 22 PERCENTAGE 0% 20% 83% 0% 69% 86% 78% 47% 17% 0% 50% 41% 52% 8% 100% 0% 59% 23% 92% 0% 5% 0% 0% 78% 94% 0% 0% 6% 37% The Member State Survey launched in English on 5 August 2014. In addition, the survey was also made available in French, German, Italian, Spanish and Polish. Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Qualitative Issues Identified with Business Survey Response Data and Proposed Next Steps • It was decided that a minimum number of 30 responses from each Member State should be obtained in order to ensure a reliable indication of business data across the EU. The actual number of business survey responses has fallen short of this. • The risk is that a lack of responses from certain Member States and types of businesses could skew the data in favour of other Member States or types of businesses. • Three additional steps have therefore been proposed to add greater detail and breadth to the existing data set: Interviews with specific business respondents to gain a more detailed understanding of their trade and cost profiles. • Utilisation of EY’s internal billing data to obtain a profile of typical VAT administration and compliance costs for businesses across the EU. Utilisation of local tax expert contacts in each Member State to obtain specific cost estimations re: the costs associated with complying with the five options. It is intended to use these three additional sources of data to corroborate the primary Business Survey response data where possible. Page 23 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Qualitative Issues Identified with Member State Survey Response Data and Proposed Next Steps • Responses received from Member State Tax Authorities have not been consistent in respect of: • Which Member States have provided responses. • How many questions have been answered in the responses provided. • Member States have, in some cases, struggled to extract the relevant data needed for completion of the survey. Member States have also proved unwilling to provide estimated figures for changes in their costs for administering the proposed alternative VAT system options. • Proposed additional steps to handle these issues are as follows: • Discussions with Member State Tax Authorities where the surveys are completed in order to understand how they were able to respond to all of the questions. Where the Member State Tax Authorities have used proxies, we can provide these to the Member State Tax Authorities who have not been able to fully complete the survey. • Discussion with Member State Tax Authorities through calls and follow up emails requesting them to respond to all questions and providing proxies that other Member State Tax Authorities have used. This approach will be in conjunction with an email issued by the European Commission to the same effect. • Assistance to be provided directly to Tax Authorities where difficulties in completing the survey have been raised or identified. Page 24 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Economic Impact Assessment Methodology Data analysis Qualitative analysis Secondary data from external resources Quantitative analysis Input from primary data analysis Data transformation Data collection Primary data from Member States, business, and tax experts The QUEST III economic model Macroeconomic modelling Model results “As-is” Model results “To-be” Variation = Economic Impact Page 25 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Economic Impact Assessment Data analysis 1. Primary data ► Objective: a. To highlight trends, as well as draw attention to areas of importance and concern. b. To determine the magnitude and the timing (split between one-off and ongoing) of expected changes in i. Associated compliance costs; ii. VAT fraud gap; iii. Intra-EU trade volumes, iv. Any other factor to be identified in qualitative analysis. in order to inform key input requirements for our macroeconomic impact analysis. ► Resources: Business survey, Member state survey, expert opinions. Page 26 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Economic Impact Assessment Data analysis 2. Secondary data ► Objective: Provide input to the macroeconomic model required to assess the macroeconomic impact of the proposed changes. a. Economic data. b. Financial data and prices. c. External trade & trade partners data. d. Demographics. ► Resources (amongst others): a. Eurostat, b. IMF, c. World Bank, d. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), e. International Labour Organisation (ILO), f. Business Monitor International (BMI), g. National Statistics Offices and Central Bank databases, h. Bloomberg. Page 27 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Economic Impact Assessment Macroeconomic modelling - QUESTIII ► The QUESTIII model is used to forecast the impact of changes to VAT legislation on macroeconomic outcomes. ► Preferred modelling approach used extensively by EC DG ECFIN to evaluate the economic impact of a number of policy proposals. ► Requires significantly detailed data over a long period of time. ► Built on microeconomic foundations of the economy such as: ► Behaviour of households and firms. ► Fiscal policy of the government (taxation and spending). ► Monetary policy of Central bank. ► Market frictions such as lack of liquidity. ► Role of external trade. ► The variant in this study closely follows that of Ratto et al. (2009). Page 28 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Economic Impact Assessment Next Steps ► Further insight over the costs and benefits resulting from each of the 5 policies to be obtained from primary analysis and expert opinion prior to submission of the final report. ► Using these insights, we will quantify the parameters of the economic model separately for each of the proposed policies effectively creating 5 scenarios. ► Selected macroeconomic indicators for the ‘As-Is’ state will be forecasted using the economic model in order to determine the baseline to compare postpolicy impacts. This baseline will be presented in the interim report. ► We will forecast the macroeconomic indicators under each of the 5 scenarios. ► Results from these scenarios will be compared to “As-Is” baseline to assess the macroeconomic impact of each of the 5 scenarios. ► Additional analyses will be performed under each scenario, in order to evaluate how sensitive the results are to variations in our key assumptions. Page 29 Implementing the ‘destination principle’ to intra-EU B2B supplies of goods Questions?