Ch.2: Horizontal Boundaries • What is optimal size of the firm in terms of output? • What non-vertically related outputs should the firm also produce? Costs of Production • Economic Analysis requires that ALL costs be included: – implicit – explicit Costs of Production • Total Cost = TC(Q) • Average Cost = AC(Q) = TC/Q • Marginal Cost = dTC/dQ Costs of Production • If MC < AC, AC falls • If MC = AC, AC is constant • If MC > AC, AC rises Costs of Production • Short run: at least one input is fixed • Long run: all inputs can vary Short Run Example • Suppose Production function = • Q=L½ • W = 50 • And fixed costs (rK) = 100 L Q 0 0 1 1 2 MPL VC FC TC AC MC 0 100 100 0.5 50 100 150 150 100 1.414214 0.353553 100 100 200 141.4214 141.4214 3 1.732051 0.288675 150 100 250 144.3376 173.2051 4 2 0.25 200 100 300 150 200 5 2.236068 0.223607 250 100 350 156.5248 223.6068 6 2.44949 0.204124 300 100 400 163.2993 244.949 7 2.645751 0.188982 350 100 450 170.084 264.5751 8 2.828427 0.176777 400 100 500 176.7767 282.8427 9 3 0.166667 450 100 550 183.3333 300 10 3.162278 0.158114 500 100 600 189.7367 316.2278 11 3.316625 0.150756 550 100 650 195.9824 331.6625 12 3.464102 0.144338 600 100 700 202.0726 346.4102 13 3.605551 0.138675 650 100 750 208.0126 360.5551 14 3.741657 0.133631 700 100 800 213.809 374.1657 15 3.872983 0.129099 750 100 850 219.4691 387.2983 Q Fixed Costs Variable Costs AVC AFC ATC mc 0.00 1000.00 0.00 1.00 1000.00 481.00 481.00 1000.00 1481.00 463.00 2.00 1000.00 928.00 464.00 500.00 964.00 432.00 3.00 1000.00 1347.00 449.00 333.33 782.33 407.00 4.00 1000.00 1744.00 436.00 250.00 686.00 388.00 5.00 1000.00 2125.00 425.00 200.00 625.00 375.00 6.00 1000.00 2496.00 416.00 166.67 582.67 368.00 7.00 1000.00 2863.00 409.00 142.86 551.86 367.00 8.00 1000.00 3232.00 404.00 125.00 529.00 372.00 9.00 1000.00 3609.00 401.00 111.11 512.11 383.00 10.00 1000.00 4000.00 400.00 100.00 500.00 400.00 11.00 1000.00 4411.00 401.00 90.91 491.91 423.00 12.00 1000.00 4848.00 404.00 83.33 487.33 452.00 13.00 1000.00 5317.00 409.00 76.92 485.92 487.00 14.00 1000.00 5824.00 416.00 71.43 487.43 528.00 15.00 1000.00 6375.00 425.00 66.67 491.67 575.00 16.00 1000.00 6976.00 436.00 62.50 498.50 628.00 17.00 1000.00 7633.00 449.00 58.82 507.82 687.00 18.00 1000.00 8352.00 464.00 55.56 519.56 752.00 19.00 1000.00 9139.00 481.00 52.63 533.63 823.00 20.00 1000.00 10000.00 500.00 50.00 550.00 900.00 21.00 1000.00 10941.00 521.00 47.62 568.62 983.00 22.00 1000.00 11968.00 544.00 45.45 589.45 1072.00 23.00 1000.00 13087.00 569.00 43.48 612.48 1167.00 24.00 1000.00 14304.00 596.00 41.67 637.67 1268.00 1600.00 1400.00 1200.00 AVC 1000.00 AFC 800.00 ATC 600.00 mc 400.00 200.00 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0.00 Costs of Production • In the short run, the firm is stuck with a given plant size • In the long run, the firm can choose from a variety of plant sizes. q k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5 k=6 1 21 30 41 54 69 86 21 2 14 21 30 41 54 69 14 3 9 14 21 30 41 54 9 4 6 9 14 21 30 41 6 5 5 6 9 14 21 30 5 6 6 5 6 9 14 21 5 7 9 6 5 6 9 14 5 8 14 9 6 5 6 9 5 9 21 14 9 6 5 6 6 10 30 21 14 9 6 5 9 11 41 30 21 14 9 6 14 12 54 41 30 21 14 9 21 13 69 54 41 30 21 14 30 14 86 69 54 41 30 21 41 15 105 86 69 54 41 30 54 16 126 105 86 69 54 41 69 17 149 126 105 86 69 54 86 18 174 149 126 105 86 69 105 60 50 Series1 40 Series2 Series3 30 Series4 Series5 20 Series6 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Costs of Production • First Mover Advantage: • For the first entrant, initial costs become sunk and unavoidable • For potential entrants, sunk costs are potential and factor into the entry decision Economies of Scale • Defined: A proportional increase in ALL inputs (LR) results in a greater than proportional increase in output Economies of Scale • Defined: A proportional increase in ALL inputs (LR) results in a greater than proportional increase in output • Result: As output increases, AC falls Economies of Scale • Defined: A proportional increase in ALL inputs (LR) results in a greater than proportional increase in output • Result: As output increases, AC falls • Shows up in the short-run when there are high fixed costs Minimum Efficient Scale • The quantity of output produced at minimum average cost Sources of Economies of Scale • • • • Indivisibilities: Train tracks, pipeline Capital Intensity:it’s already an expense Inventory/Sales: falls with higher volume The Cube-Square Rule: warehouse, blast furnace • Ad costs over a larger market • Specialization and the division of labor Application • Price Regulation is often imposed on the grounds that Economies of Scale are present • If this is so, then under regulation, the larger firms should be the healthiest • After trucking deregulation, however, the larger firms became less profitable Application • In the presence of economies of scale, • profitability will increase • with market share • ? Application • Is this due to economies of scale or higher prices that result from product differentiation? • Empirical evidence also suggests that firms grow beyond MES Economies of Scope • Defined: Two goods can be produced more cheaply if produced together than separate • Examples: – Books and magazines – Hub and Spoke Airline routes – Pharmaceuticals Economies of Scope • Mathematically – TC(X,Y) < TC(X) + TC(Y) Sources of Economies of Scope • R&D Spillovers • Brand equity • Utilizing idle capacity The Learning Curve • Over time, AC falls as workers develop experience The Learning Curve • Over time, AC falls as workers develop experience • TC = TC(Q, past cumulative Q) The Learning Curve • Over time, AC falls as workers develop experience • TC = TC(Q, past cum. Q) • AC falling over time due to learning does not imply economies of scale Source of Diseconomies • Managerial problems • Wages and Firm Size – Do smaller firms pay less because the better workers have been taken? – W =P*MP (Do these vary with firm size? Chapter 5 Diversification • A firm is diversified if produces nonvertically related products • Examples: Philip Morris (Altria Group) Altria Group • Our Companies’ Brands • The consumer packaged goods companies of the Altria family have created brand portfolios that include some of the world's most popular and valued trademarks. • Leading brands of Kraft Foods North America and Kraft Foods International include: Kraft, Jacobs, Maxwell House, Milka, Nabisco, Oreo, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia, Post and Tang. • Leading cigarette brands of Philip Morris International and Philip Morris USA include: Marlboro, Basic, Chesterfield, Lark, L&M, Parliament and Virginia Slims. • The growth of our operating companies’ brands is driven by constant innovation, which is key to the future of our enterprise. Diageo • • • • • • • • Smirnoff Johnnie Walker Guinness Baileys J&B Captain Morgan Cuervo Tanqueray Company History • Diageo plc is a world leader in branded food and drinks. The company was formed from the December 1997 merger of liquor and beer giant Guinness PLC and alcohol and food power Grand Metropolitan plc. Diageo (pronounced dee-AH-zhay-oh) consists of four main businesses. United Distillers & Vintners (UDV) is the world's leading spirits and wines company with such brands as Smirnoff vodka, Johnnie Walker and J&B whiskey, Gordon's and Gilbey's gin, and Baileys liqueurs--in all, a full quarter of the top 60 international liquor brands. Pillsbury is a global food giant boasting four megabrands: Pillsbury dough, baking, and baked products; H&aumlèn-Dazs ice cream and frozen yogurt; Green Giant vegetables; and Old El Paso mexican food products. Guinness is one of the largest brewers in the world. Led by the flagship Guinness brand--the world's number one stout beer--the brewer's other brands include Harp lager, Kilkenny Irish Beer, and Kaliber alcohol-free lager. Diageo's fourth business is Burger King, the second largest hamburger chain in the world (after McDonald's). Among the company's smaller operations is Guinness Publishing, which puts out the renowned Guinness Book of Records. Diageo also holds a 34 percent stake in the Moët Hennessy champagne and cognac division of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton S.A., a French luxury-goods and drinks giant. In turn, LVMH owns 11 percent of Diageo. Geographic Diversification • Reason: Economies of Scale • Examples – National Chains – First Union – Conrail/CSX Spillover Diversification • Reason: Economies of Scope • Examples: – Pepsi - Pizza Hut, KFC, Taco Bell – Pharmaceuticals – Nutrigrain Bars, Eggos, RTE Cereal Managerial Diversification • Reason: Empire Building, Risk Spreading • Examples: Pick one! Performance of Diversified Firms • The stock market’s valuation of the combined company tends to rise with the announcement Performance of Diversified Firms • The stock market’s valuation of the combined company tends to rise with the announcement • Acquired firm’s shareholders receive abnormally high returns Performance of Diversified Firms • The stock market’s valuation of the combined company tends to rise with the announcement • Acquired firm’s shareholders receive abnormally high returns • Acquiring firms shareholders do not gain when the target is an unrelated firm Performance of Diversified Firms • Over 1/3 of all acquisitions made between 1950 and 1986 were divested by 1987 Performance of Diversified Firms • Over 1/3 of all acquisitions made between 1950 and 1986 were divested by 1987 • Over 1/2 of all unrelated acquisitions made between 1950 and 1986 were divested by 1987 Performance of Diversified Firms • Over 1/3 of all acquisitions made between 1950 and 1986 were divested by 1987 • Over 1/2 of all unrelated acquisitions made between 1950 and 1986 were divested by 1987 • Tobin’s q for specialized firms is 10% higher than q for diversified firms Conclusion • Diversification makes sense for the shareholders if corporate manager is a better portfolio manager than the shareholder’s portfolio manager Conclusion • Diversification makes sense for the shareholders if corporate manager is a better portfolio manager than the shareholder’s portfolio manager • Evidence suggests that this is not the case