Expectations for Success AP Statistics 2015-2016 Mr. Stevens Dear Parents: It is time for a new school year to begin, bringing with it a multitude of exciting challenges. I am looking forward to working with you and your child over the next several months. We have much to accomplish but I am confidant that working together as a team we can all be successful. Please feel free to contact me through the school office or by email, christopher.stevens@gmsdk12.org. I will try to respond promptly to your inquiries. I believe that good communication between you, your child, and me is essential to a successful school year. Course Description: Statistics, the science of data, is part of the methodology of many fields that extends far beyond the “calculus-based” sciences. It is an essential tool in, for example, all of the behavioral, biological, and social sciences. Students of biology, business, engineering, psychology, and many other disciplines will inevitably encounter statistics in their college studies. In fact, some colleges see statistics as essential to the quantitative reasoning skills of all graduates and have made it part of the required general education program. Advance Placement Statistics acquaints students with the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. Students are exposed to four broad conceptual themes: 1) exploring data, 2) study design, 3) probability, and 4) statistical inference. Students work on projects involving the hands-on gathering and analysis of real-world data. Ideas and computations presented in this course have immediate links and connections with actual events. The use of computers and graphing calculators allows students to focus deeply on concepts involved in statistics. Students are strongly encouraged to successfully complete this class and take the AP examination to potentially earn college credit. I. General Goals The student will: 1. Develop proficiency in Statistics. 2. Improve logical reasoning skills, interpersonal skills, problem solving skills, and teamwork skills. II. Grading Procedure Grades will be determined in the following manner: 10 % Homework 20 % Class Work 30 % Quizzes 40 % Tests Conduct grade determined by sections VII - IX III. Grading Scale Numeric Grade 93-100 85-92 75-84 70-74 0-69 Letter Grade A B C D F IV. Attendance Policy The GMSD (Policy #6.200) The educational program offered by this District is predicated upon the presence of the student and requires continuity of instruction and classroom participation. Attendance shall be required of all students enrolled in the schools during the days and hours that the school is in session or during the attendance sessions to which she/he has been assigned. Only the following reasons will be considered for excused absences: Student illness or Death or serious illness within the student’s immediate family. When the student is officially representing the school in a school sponsored activity. Special and recognized religious holidays regularly observed by persons of their faith. Legal court summons not as a result of the student’s misconduct. Extenuating circumstances over which the student has no control as approved by the principal. If necessary, verification is required from an official or other source to justify absences. V. Late Work Policy: It is expected that all work should be completed and turned in the day it is due when asked for by the teacher. If not turned in at the appropriate time 20 points will be deducted for each day the assignment is turned in late. VI. Materials & Supplies 1. Notebook Paper in a three ring binder 2. Pencils 3. TI-84 calculator (TI-83 will not compute all chi2 distribution problems) VII. Preparedness 1. Students are to bring their supplies with them to class on a daily basis. 2. Each student is expected to complete for homework, any assignment not completed in class. 3. Students are responsible for finding out about assignments missed during any absence from class. VIII. Honesty & Personal Integrity I place a great deal of trust and confidence in the students concerning being honest during all quizzes and tests. I expect each student to follow the Houston High Honor Code. IX. Policies 1. Be in your seat when the bell rings. Students should also be prepared for class to start. 2. Always be courteous and respectful to the teacher and your classmates. 3. Raise your hand and wait to be recognized before speaking out in class. 4. Use the restroom and water fountain between classes. There will be no breaks during class. 5. Always be awake and alert during class. 6. All rules set forth by GMSD are applicable in this class. X. Consequences Failure to comply with class rules, Houston High rules, or Shelby County School’s policy may result in a telephone call from teacher requesting a conference. Continued failure to follow rules may result in a “Disciplinary Referral”. Repeated infractions will be reflected in student’s conduct grade. Students' conduct is graded as Excellent, Satisfactory, Needs improvement or Unsatisfactory, and the initial letter "E", "S", "N", or "U" is used to report the conduct grade. XI. Office Hours: I am typically available for student questions, clarification of assignments, tutoring, and make-up work before school from 6:10 A.M. until 7:00 A.M. and after school from 2:00 P.M. until 3:00 P.M. Scheduling a time to meet would be greatly appreciated. Chapter-Section Topic Chapter 1 The Nature of Probability & Statistics 1-1Descriptive & Inferential Statistics 1-2 Variables & Types of Data 1-3 Data Collection & Sampling Techniques 1-4 Observational & Experimental Studies 1-5 Uses & Misuses of Statistics 1-6 Computers & Calculators Chapter 2 Frequency Distributions & Graphs 2-1 Organizing Data 2-2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, & Ogives 2-3 Other Types of Graphs Chapter 3 Data Description 3-1 Measures of Central Tendency 3-2 Measures of Variation 3-3 Measures of Position 3-4 Exploratory Data Analysis Chapter 10 Correlation & Regression 10-1 Scatter Plots & Correlation 10-2 Regression 10-3 Coefficient of Determination & Standard Error of the Estimate Chapter 14 Sampling & Simulation 14-1 Common Sampling Techniques 14-2 Survey & Questionnaire Design 14-3 Simulation Techniques & Monte Carlo Method Chapter 4 Probability & Counting Rules 4-1 Sample Spaces & Probability 4-2 The Addition Rules for Probability 4-3 The Multiplication Rules and Conditional Probability 4-4 Counting Rules 4-5 Probability & Counting Rules Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions 5-1 Probability Distributions 5-2 Mean, Variance, standard Deviation, & Expectation 5-3 The Binomial Distribution Semester 1 Exam Review Semester 1 Exams Chapter 6 The Normal Distribution 6-1 Normal Distributions 6-2 Applications of the Normal Distribution 6-3 Central Limit Theorem 6-4 Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals & Sample Size 7-1 Confidence Intervals When σ & Population Size Known 7-2 Confidence Intervals When σ is Unknown 7-3 Confidence Intervals & Sample Size for Proportions 7-4 Confidence Intervals for Variances & Standard Deviations Chapter 8 Hypothesis Testing 8-1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing 8-2 z Test for a Mean 8-3 t Test for a Mean 8-4 z Test for a proportion 8-5 X2 Test for a Variance or Standard Deviation 8-6 Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Testing Chapter 9 Testing 2 Means, 2 Proportions, & 2 Variances 9-1 Testing Difference between 2 Means: Using z Test 9-2 Testing Difference Between 2 Means of Ind. Samples: t Test 9-3 Testing Difference Between 2 Means Dependent Samples 9-4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions 9-5 Testing the Difference Between Two Variances Chapter 11 Other Chi-Square Tests 11-1 Test for Goodness of Fit 11-2 Tests Using Contingency Tables Final & AP Exam Review AP Exam Final Exam Homework Pages Learning Targets (see Standards Page for detailed learning objectives) 1-33 Exploring Data 8/10-8/21 quiz 8/14 test 8/21 35-101 Exploring Data 8/24-9/04 quiz 8/28 Test 9/4 103-180 Exploring Data 9/8-9/25 quiz 9/11 Test 9/25 533-588 Exploring Data 9/28-10/07 quiz 10/2 test 10/7 Study Design 10/19-10/30 quiz 10/23 test 10/30 Probability 11/02-11/20 quiz 11/6 & 11/13 test 11/20 717-749 181250 251-298 299-354 Probability 11/30-12/11 quiz 12/4 test 12/9 December 14-15 December 16-18 Probability 01/05-01/22 quiz 1/8 & 1/15 test 1/22 355-398 Statistical Inference 01/25-02/10 quiz 1/29 & 2/5 test 2/10 399-469 Statistical Inference 02/16-03/04 quiz 2/19 & 2/26 test 3/4 471-531 Statistical Inference 03/07-04/01 quiz 3/10 & 3/18 test 4/1 590-625 Statistical Inference 04/04-04/15 quiz 4/8 test 4/13 April 18 – May 6 May 12 afternoon exam May 25-27