Open Floor Figure V.3 Please Hand In Midterm II Hard Copy of Midterm II Evaluations of Group Members E-mail Electronic Copy to Keven (keven.malkewitz@bus.oregonstate.edu) Harley-Davidson/Trump Brand Extensions Beef Jerky and Vodka Good or Bad? Why Midtern II… Midterm II Overview Discussion Difficult Sections Sections that We Did Well On… PART FIVE LAUNCH McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright ©2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All right reserved. Launch Figure V.1 The Five Decision Sets that Lead to a Marketing Plan Figure V.2 Common Myths About Marketing Planning for New Products Figure V.3 Marketing people make the decisions that constitute a marketing plan. The technical work is complete when the new item hits the shipping dock. Marketing people take over. The marketer’s task is to persuade the end user to use the new product. The more sales potential there is in a market segment, the better that segment is as a target candidate. The pioneer wins control of a new market. As with Broadway shows, opening night is the culmination of everything we have been working for. CHAPTER 16 STRATEGIC LAUNCH PLANNING McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright ©2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All right reserved. Strategic Givens Corporate, some team decisions made earlier. Often found in the Product Innovation Charter (PIC) Guidelines. A specified gross margin: affects funding. Speed-to-market: affects promotional outlays and schedules. Commitment to a given channel: affects distribution plan. Advertising policy: affects promotion decisions. Pricing policy: affects decision to use penetration or skimming pricing (slide down demand curve). Revision of PIC Goals Customer Acceptance Goals Use Satisfaction Sales Market Share Financial Performance Goals Time to break even Margins IRR, ROI Product Level Performance Goals Cost Time to Market Performance Quality Other Competitive Effect Image Change Morale Change Strategic Platform Decisions Permanence Aggressiveness Type of Demand Sought Competitive Advantage Product Line Replacement Competitive Relationship Scope of Market Entry Image Permanence Permanent, stand-alone. Permanent, but as a bridge to other items -- e.g., platform strategy. Temporary. Given firms’ tendency to develop streams of products, more and more new products are actually only temporary. Some Other Strategic Platform Decisions Aggressiveness (aggressive versus cautious attitude at entry) Type of demand sought (primary versus selective) Competitive advantage sought (differentiation, price leadership, or both) Competitive relationship (aim at a competitor, avoid a competitor) Image (create a new image, tweak an existing image, use the already-existing image) Product Line Replacement Strategies Figure 16.1 Butt-on product replacement Low-season switch High-season switch Roll-in, roll-out Downgrading Splitting channels The existing one is simply dropped when the new one is announced. Example: Ford's marketing of Mondeo and dropping of Sierra. Same as butt-on, but arranging the switch at a low point between seasons. Tour companies use this switch when they develop their new catalogs. Same as butt-on, but arranging the new item at the top of a season. Example: Polaroid used this strategy often, putting new replacement items out during the Christmas season. Another version of butt-on, but arranged by a sequence of market segments. Mercedes introduced its C series country by country. Keeping the earlier product along side the new, but with decreased support. Example: The 386 chip stayed along side the 486, until the Pentium was introduced. Putting the new item in a different channel or diverting the existing product into another channel. Example: Old electronic products often end up in discounter channels. Scope of Market Entry This is not test marketing. This is launch. All forces in place and working. Roll out slowly -- checking product, trade and service capabilities, manufacturing fulfillment, promotion communication, etc. Roll out moderately, but go to full market as soon as volume success seems assured. Roll out rapidly -- full commitment to total market, restricted only by capacity. The Target Market Decision Alternative ways to segment a market end-use, geographic/demographic, behavioral/psychographic, benefit segmentation Micromarketing and mass customization Also consider the diffusion of innovation Using the Joint Space Map to Identify Benefit Segments Comfort Figure 16.2 3 2 Aqualine Islands Molokai 1 Fashion Splash Sunflare Factors Affecting Diffusion of Innovation Relative Advantage Compatibility Complexity Divisibility Communicability Product Positioning Who -- Why -- How To whom are we marketing? Why should they buy it? How do we best make the claim? To Whom Are We Marketing? Users vs. non-users (primary vs. selective demand) Target market criteria (demographic, geographic, psychographic, benefit segmentation) Everybody -- no narrowing down (mass customization, Post-It notes) The real issue here is commitment -- by all NPD participants and by management Why Should They Buy It? This too we have been testing -- basic concept statement used for testing and for guiding technical (e.g., QFD “Whats”), and the key reason on the “How likely would you be to buy this if we marketed it?” (product use test) Formatted in three ways: Solves major problem current products do not. Better meet needs and preferences. Lower price than current items. How Do We Make the Claim? Product positioning statement is a strategic driver --a core item -- not a list of advantages. Some new products get one short sentence -technical items more. Can be stated as one or more features (what it is). Can be stated as a function (how it works). Can be stated as one or more benefits (how the user gains). Can be stated as a surrogate (no features, functions, benefits). Product Positioning Options Figure 16.2 Position to an Attribute Feature Function Benefit (direct or follow-on) Position on a Surrogate Nonpareil Parentage Manufacture Target Rank Endorsement Experience Competitor Predecessor Branding Decisions What is the brand’s role or purpose? Are you planning a line of products? Do you expect a long-term position in the market? How good is your budget? Physical/sensory qualities of brand considered? Message clear and relevant? Insulting or irritating to anyone? Questions and Guidelines in Brand Name Selection Figure 16.8 Question What is the brand's role or purpose? Will this product be a bridgehead to a line of products? Do you expect a long-term position in the market? Is the name irritating or insulting to any market segment? Guideline If the brand is to aid in positioning, choose a brand name with meaning (DieHard, Holiday Inn). If purely for identification, a neologism (made-up word) such as Kodak or Exxon will work. If so, choose carefully so as not to be a limitation in the future (Western Hotels changed name to Western International, then finally to Westin.) If not, a dramatic, novelty name might be useful (such as Screaming Yellow Zonkers). Women found Bic's Fannyhose to be objectionable. Some Brand Names That Didn’t Work Figure 16-9 Crapsy Fruit Fduhy Sesane Mukk Pschitt Atum Bom Happy End Pocari Sweat Zit Creap I'm Dripper Polio Sit & Smile Barf French cereal China Airlines snack food Italian yogurt French lemonade Portuguese tuna German toilet paper Japanese sport drink German lemonade Japanese coffee creamer Japanese instant coffee Czech laundry detergent Thai toilet paper Iranian laundry detergent How Brand Equity Provides Value Figure 16-10 High Brand Loyalty Reduced marketing costs Increased trade leverage High Brand Awareness High Perceived Quality Easier to make brand associations Supports quality positioning Creates positive image Patents or trademarks Supports higher-price strategy Helps customer process information Strong channel relationships Increased liking and familiarity More/Better Brand Associations Other Brand Assets Provides value to customer: Provides value to firm: Assists in customer information processing Increases confidence in purchase Increases satisfaction in product use Increases effectiveness of marketing programs Increases customer loyalty and trade leverage Facilitates brand extensions Is a source of competitive advantage Building Brand Equity Getting awareness of the brand and the meaning. Making brand associations -- even the factory location in Saturn’s case. Building perceived quality Loyalty in repurchase -- locking them in Getting reseller support A Brand Report Card Figure 16.11 Characteristic Delivers benefits desired by customers. Stays relevant. Prices are based on value. Well positioned relative to competitors. Is consistent. The brand portfolio makes sense. Marketing activities are coordinated. What the brand means to customers is well understood. Is supported over the long run. Sources of brand equity are monitored. Examples Starbucks offers “coffee house experience,” not just coffee beans, and monitors bean selection and roasting to preserve quality. Gillette continuously invests in major product improvements (MACH3), while using consistent slogan “The best a man can get.” P&G reduced operating costs and passed on savings as “everyday low pricing,” thus growing margins. Saturn competes on excellent customer service, Mercedes on product superiority. Visa stresses being “everywhere you want to be.” Michelob tried several different positionings and campaigns between 1970 and 1995, while watching sales slip. The Gap has Gap, Banana Republic, and Old Navy stores for different market segments; BMW has the 3-, 5-, and 7-series. Coca-Cola uses ads, promotions, catalogs, sponsorships, and interactive media. Bic couldn’t sell perfume in lighter-shaped bottles; Gillette uses different brand names such as Oral-B for toothbrushes to avoid this problem. Coors cut back promotional support in favor of Coors Light and Zima, and lost about 50% of its sales over a four-year period. Disney studies revealed that its characters were becoming “overexposed” and sometimes used inappropriately. They cut back on licensing and other promotional activity as a result. Profitable Brand Strategies Figure 16.12 Low Relative Market Share Value Brand Category Premium Brand Category High Relative Market Share Dead End Low Road Example: Nine Lives Optimum strategies: Slash costs and prices “Trump” market leader with superpremium brand Example: Oscar Meyer Optimum strategies: Cut costs and reduce prices Build brand equity Hitchhikers High Road Example: Neutrogena, Post Optimum strategies: “Don’t rock the boat” Innovate Find a niche market Example: Gillette, Clorox Optimum strategies: Value-improving innovations Premium prices Source: Adapted from Vijay Vishwanath and Jonathan Mark, “Your Brand’s Best Strategy,” Harvard Business Review, May-June 1997, pp. 123-129. BA 590 Break CHAPTER 17 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE STRATEGIC PLAN McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright ©2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All right reserved. The Launch Cycle Figure 17.1 Sales and Expenditures Expenditures Prelaunch Beachhead Announcement Sales Early growth Tactical Launch Decisions and Actions, Showing Influences on Demand Figure 17.2 Launch Tactic Promotion Advertising Coupons Publicity Sampling Beta Test Sites Sales and Distribution Shows/Demonstrations Technical Support Distribution Structure Intensity of Coverage Distribution Incentives Pricing Introductory Pricing Price Administration Product Breadth of Assortment Timing Product Deletion Preannouncing Effective For: Cases where awareness will stimulate trial Reinforcing awareness New and controversial technologies with high perceived usage risk Cases where product advantages best learned through usage Stimulating “sampling” and as a reference for other potential buyers Clarifying relative product advantages or where uncertainty exists Cases of incompatibility in usage process Cases where relative advantage strong (direct channels) Cases where warranty/maintenance service needs to be offered easily Cases where availability needs to be stimulated High relative advantage and compatibility (skimming policy); early adoption needs to be stimulated (penetration policy) Cases where economic risk needs to be reduced (i.e., through rebates or money-back guarantees) Introducing new product categories with high relative advantage High margin but strong relative advantage (fast deletion); high switching costs (slow deletion) Building hype for new products; useful if relative advantage is high Preannouncement Getting to be popular, and very creatively managed. Far from the old days of “tease the public.” Preannouncement signaling may be used (“vaporware”). Beachhead This refers to the heavy expenditure needed to overcome sales inertia (“getting the ball rolling”). Steep rising expenditures curve during this period, up to point where sales are increasing at an increasing rate. Begins with the announcement. Key decision during beachhead: when do you end it? How do you know inertia has been overcome? Copy Strategy Statement Communications tools used at launch will have certain deliverables. The way in which the firm communicates these deliverables to the advertising and promotion creative people is the copy strategy statement. Typical contents: The The The The market segment targeted product positioning statement communications (promotion) mix major copy points to be communicated. Typical Examples of Copy Points “The provider of this insurance policy is the largest in the world.” “This cellular phone has no geographic limitation.” “Dockers are available at JCPenney.” “Future neurosurgeons benefit from the hand-toeye skills of computer games like this one.” There is no limit to the choices here, but there must be a focus. Only a few copy points are going to be accomplished at a time. A-T-A-R Goals: The New Product Group’s Obligation New product group must persuade itself and management that the plan can achieve the necessary awareness, availability, trial, and repeat purchase... and that it can do so in sufficient quantity and at acceptable cost. Motivating Distributors Figure 17.3 Increase distributor’s unit volume. Increase distributor’s unit margin. Reduce distributor’s cost of doing business. Change distributor’s attitude toward the line. Barriers to Trial Lack of interest in the claim. Lack of belief in the claim. Rejecting something negative about product. Complacency. Competitive ties. Doubts about trial. Lack of usage opportunity. Cost. Routines. Risk of rejection. Appropriate Launch Tactics Given Relative Advantage and Compatibility Figure 17.4 1. Low Compatibility 2. High Compatibility A. Low Relative Advantage Penetration price Slow deletion Risk-based promotion (leasing, money-back guarantees, equipment allowances) Intensive distribution Secrecy before entry Narrow product assortments Awareness promotion (coupons, etc.) Intensive distribution B. High Relative Advantage Preannounce Broad product assortments Information-based promotion (shows, demonstrations, websites, publicity/education) Selective distribution Skim price Fast deletion Usage-based promotion (samples, beta tests) to clarify benefits received Selective distribution Source: Adapted from Joseph P. Guiltinan, "Launch Strategy, Launch Tactics, and Demand Outcomes," Journal of Product Innovation Management, Vol. 16, No. 6, November 1999, pp. 520-521. CHAPTER 18 MARKET TESTING McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright ©2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All right reserved. What Is Market Testing? Market testing is not test marketing! Test marketing is one of many forms of market testing -- others include simulated test market, informal sale, minimarket, rollout. Test marketing is also a much less common form now due to cost and time commitments and other drawbacks. Where We Are Today in Market Testing Scanner systems allow for immediate collection of product sales data. Mathematical sales forecasting models are readily available that can run on a relatively limited amount of data. We are “building quality in,” testing the marketing components of the product at early stages (ads, selling visuals, service contracts, package designs, etc.) rather than testing the whole product at the end. Increased competition puts greater pressure on managers to accelerate product cycle time. Market testing is a team issue, not solely in the province of the market research department. Figure 18.1 High Low Cost and Time Savings Decision Matrix on When to Market Test Scope of Learning and Accuracy Low High Stages of the product development cycle How Market Testing Relates to the Other Testing Steps Figure 18.2 Two Key Values Obtained from Market Testing Solid forecasts of dollar and unit sales volume. Diagnostic information to allow for revising and refining any aspect of the launch. Deciding Whether to Market Test Any special twists on the launch? (limited time or budget, need to make high volume quickly) What information is needed? (expected sales volumes, unknowns in manufacturing process, etc.) Costs (direct cost of test, cost of launch, lost revenue that an immediate national launch would have brought) Nature of marketplace (competitive retaliation, customer demand) Capability of testing methodologies (do they fit the managerial situation at hand) Types of Information That May Be Lacking Manufacturing process: can we ramp-up from pilot production to full scale easily? Vendors and resellers: will they do as they have promised in supporting the launch? Servicing infrastructure: adequate? Customers: will they buy and use the product as expected? Cannibalization: what will be the extent? Methods of Market Testing, and Where Used Figure 18.3 Speculative Sale Often used in business-to-business and consumer durables, similar to concept and product use tests. Give full pitch on product, answer questions, discuss pricing, and ask: “If we make this product available as I have described it, would you buy it?” Often conducted by regular salespeople calling on real target customers. Conditions for Speculative Sale Where industrial firms have very close downstream relationships with key buyers. Where new product work is technical, entrenched within a firm's expertise, and only little reaction is needed from the marketplace. Where the adventure has very little risk, and thus a costlier method is not defendable. Where the item is new (say, a new material or a completely new product type) and key diagnostics are needed. For example, what set of alternatives does the potential buyer see, or what possible applications come to mind first. Simulated Test Market (STM) Create a false buying situation and observe what the customer does. Follow-up with customer later to assess likely repeat sales. Often used for consumer nondurables. Simulated Test Market Procedure Mall intercept. Self-administered questionnaire. Advertising stimuli. Mini-store shopping experience. Post-exposure questionnaire. Receive trial package. Phone followup and offer to buy more. Possible Drawbacks to STMs Mathematical complexity False conditions Possibly faulty assumptions on data, such as number of stores that will make the product available May not be applicable to totally new-to-themarket products, since no prior data available. Does not test channel member response to the new product, only the final consumer Controlled Sale by Informal Selling Used for business-to-business products, also consumer products sold directly to end users. Train salespeople, give them the product and the selling materials, and have them make calls (in the field, or at trade shows). Real presentations, and real sales, take place. Controlled Sale by Direct Marketing More secrecy than by any other controlled sale method. The feedback is almost instant. Positioning and image development are easier because more information can be sent and more variations can be tested easily. It is cheaper than the other techniques. The technique matches today's growing technologies of credit card financing, telephone ordering, and database compilation. Controlled Sale by Minimarkets Select a limited number of outlets -- each store is a minicity or “minimarket.” Do not use regular local TV or newspaper advertising, but chosen outlets can advertise it in its own flyers. Can do shelf displays, demonstrations. Use rebate, mail-in premium, or some other method to get names of purchasers for later follow-up. Controlled Sale by Scanner Market Testing Audit sales from grocery stores with scanner systems -- over a few markets or national system. Sample uses: Can use the data as a mini-market test. Can compare cities where differing levels of sales support are provided. Can monitor a rollout from one region to the next. Minimarkets and Scanner Testing: IRI’s BehaviorScan and InfoScan Cable TV interrupt privileges Full record of what other media (such as magazines) go into each household Family-by-family purchasing Full record of 95 percent of all store sales of tested items from the check-out scanners Immediate stocking/distribution in almost every store is assured by the research firm. Result: IRI knows almost every stimulus that hits each individual family, and it knows almost every change that takes place in each family's purchase habits. The Test Market Several test market cities are selected. Product is sold into those cities in the regular channels and advertised at representative levels in local media. Once used to support the decision whether to launch a product, now more frequently used to determine how best to do so. Pros and Cons of Test Marketing Advantages: Risk Reduction monetary risk channel relationships sales force morale Disadvantages: Strategic Improvement marketing mix production facilities Cost ($1 mill+) Time (9-12 months+) hurt competitive advantage competitor may monitor test market competitor may go national Competitor can disrupt test market A Risk of Test Marketing: “Showing Your Hand” Figure 18.5 Kellogg tracked the sale of General Foods' Toast-Ems while they were in test market. Noting they were becoming popular, they went national quickly with Pop-Tarts before the General Foods' test market was over. After having invented freeze-dried coffee, General Foods was test-marketing its own Maxim brand when Nestle bypassed them with Taster's Choice, which went on to be the leading brand. While Procter & Gamble were busy test-marketing their soft chocolate chip cookies, both Nabisco and Keebler rolled out similar cookies nationwide. The same thing happened with P&G’s Brigade toilet-bowl cleaner. It was in test marketing for three years, during which time both Vanish and Ty-D-Bol became established in the market. General Foods' test market results for a new frozen baby food were very encouraging, until it was learned that most of the purchases were being made by competitors Gerber, Libby, and Heinz. The Rollout Select a limited area of the country (one or several cities or states, 25% of the market, etc.) and monitor sales of product there. Starting areas are not necessarily representative The company may be able to get the ball rolling more easily there The company may deliberately choose a hard area to sell in, to learn the pitfalls and what really drives success. Decision point: when to switch to the full national launch. Types of Rollout By By By By geography (including international) application influence trade channel Patterns of Information Gained During Rollout Figure 18.7 Risks of Rollout May need to invest in full-scale production facility early. Competitors may move fast enough to go national while the rollout is still underway. Problems getting into the distribution channel. Lacks national publicity that a full-scale launch may generate. Probable Future for Market Testing Methods Test marketing Pseudo sale Minimarket Rollout (“dinosaur”) (incomplete) (flexibility & variety) (small, fast, flexible) Review Figure V.3 Lecture on “Launch”… Launch Plan Market Test Launch Management Next Week… Marketing Planning Book (Chapters 1-3) Market Plan Competitive Set Industry Analysis