A Population-based Study of Primary Chemoradiotherapy in Clinical Stage III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: Intensity-modulated Radiotherapy Versus 3D Conformal Radiotherapy TE-CHUN HSIA1*, CHIH-YEN TU1*, HUNG-JEN CHEN1*, SHUO-CHUEH CHEN1*, JI-AN LIANG2, CHIH-YI CHEN3, YAO-CHING WANG2 and CHUN-RU CHIEN2,4,5 Departments of 1Internal Medicine, 2Radiation Oncology and 3Thoracic Surgery, China Medical University Hospital, and 4School of Medicine, China Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan, ROC *These Authors contributed equally to this study. Correspondence to: Chun-Ru Chien, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, China Medical University, 91 Hsueh-Shih Road, North District, Taichung 40402, Taiwan, ROC, e-mail: d16181@mail.cmu.edu.tw; and Yao-Ching Wang, Department of Radiation Oncology, China Medical University Hospital, 2 Yude Road, Taichung 40447, Taiwan, ROC. Tel: +886 422052121 Ext. 7450, Fax: +886 422052121 Ext. 7460, e-mail: jauntywang@gmail.com, Running title: IMRT vs. 3DCRT for Stage III NSCLC Key Words: 3DCRT, IMRT, lung cancer, population-based study. Indication: clinical study - - 1 The date of submission: May 6 2014 Abstract. Aim: To compare the effectiveness of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) vs. 3D conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) for clinical stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with primary chemoradiotherapy via a population-based retrospective cohort analysis. Patients and Methods: Using the Collaboration Center of Health Information Application (CCHIA) database, we identified 99 patients with clinical stage III NSCLC treated with primary chemoradiotherapy from 2007 to 2009 with complete data available for analysis. We compared the risk of death within two years of diagnosis and the hazard ratio for death between those treated with IMRT and those with 3DCRT. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to determine the efficacy of IMRT and 3DCRT. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted to assess relationships in various subgroups. Results: The risk of death within two years of diagnosis was similar for IMRT and 3DCRT (36% vs. 37%, p=0.97). For the entire follow-up period, the probability of death was not statistically different when IMRT was compared to 3DCRT (p=0.8). On multivariate analysis, the adjusted hazard ratio of death was statistically insignificantly higher for IMRT vs. 3DCRT (hazard ratio of death=1.54, 95% confidence interval=0.82-2.91, p=0.18). The results remained similar in the sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: Our population-based analysis from CCHIA suggests that for patients with clinical stage III NSCLC treated with primary chemoradiotherapy, the survival outcome of those treated - - 2 with IMRT was not superior to those treated with 3DCRT. Further prospective study and cost-effectiveness analysis are warranted. - - 3 Primary chemoradiotherapy is an important and curative treatment method for patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) (1). The essential role of radiotherapy is to eradicate the primary tumor and regional lymphadenopathy, and chemotherapy simultaneously provides the synergic effect of radiosensitization. Techniques of radiotherapy have obviously been revolutionized within the past decade (2), and one of the most prominent advances among the novel radiation techniques is intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). Currently, 3D conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) is the minimal requirement (3). Dosimetric comparison studies demonstrated the benefits of tumor coverage and normal organ sparing of IMRT over 3DCRT (4-7). In addition, some studies described their experience of using IMRT in NSCLC, and promising outcome and minimized toxicities were announced (8-10). On the contrary, some studies showed some dosimetric defects on clinical radiotherapy with IMRT to thoracic malignancy, such as a lower radiation dose to the lung (6, 10, 11), and substantial toxicity of treatment-related pneumonitis (12). However, no randomized study result is currently available for convincingly demonstrating the efficacy of IMRT versus 3DCRT for locally advanced NSCLC (2). The current role of IMRT in NSCLC is still debated in the literature. A recent systematic review reported that there is insufficient data to make evidence-based recommendation (13). Our previous preliminary report revealed similar survival outcome when patients were treated with either 3DCRT or IMRT (14). The aim of our current study was to compare the - - 4 efficacy of IMRT versus 3DCRT for clinical stage III NSCLC treated with primary chemoradiotherapy via a population-based retrospective cohort analysis using updated and more comprehensive data. Patients and Methods Data source. The Collaboration Center of Health Information Application (CCHIA) database is a set of databases providing complete information regarding cancer registry, death registration, and reimbursement data for the whole Taiwanese population (15-17). The Cancer Registry within CCHIA provides information for patients with lung cancer regarding individual demographics, tumor histology, location, stage of disease, and primary surgical, radiation, and systematic treatment. National Health Insurance (NHI, as a single payer) is a compulsory social insurance program in Taiwan with coverage of more than 99.6% of the Taiwanese population (18). Reimbursement data files from NHI in CCHIA provide information regarding occupation of the insured, details of treatment received and the characteristics of healthcare providers (physicians and hospitals). Study population and study design. Our study population identification and study design is depicted in Figure 1. Our target populations were those patients newly diagnosed with clinical stage III NSCLC within 2007-2009 and treated with primary chemoradiotherapy. The date of diagnosis was used as the index date. We decided the explanatory variable of interest (IMRT versus 3DCRT) based on the Cancer Registry. We also collected other covariables (see next paragraph) for adjustment of potential non-randomized treatment - - 5 selection and the efficacy data from CCHIA. This study was exempt from Institutional Review Board review because the CCHIA contains de-identified data and is publicly available through the proper application process (20). Other possible explanatory covariables. We included patient demographic factors (age, gender, and patient residency, period), patient characteristics (socioeconomic status (SES), pre-diagnostic Charlson comorbidity index), clinical variables (histological type, treatment sequence), and characteristics of the health services provider (treating hospital and physician). Age was categorized by a binary variable indicating at least 65 years old or not. Patient residency was classified as northern Taiwan or not. Period was defined as the year of diagnosis. We used the occupational types of the insured as the surrogate for SES and classified SES as white collar, blue collar, and other. Comorbidity index was reported as with or without comorbidity. Both hospital and physician were classified as high or low case volume with threshold at roughly median level. Histological types were classified as adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma. Sequence was classified as concurrent or sequential chemoradiotherapy. These classification rules were based on our clinical experience or previous NHI- or CCHIA-related research (21-31). Efficacy assessment. We obtained the survival status from the death registry. Then we compared the risk of death within two years (the minimal potential follow-up period) of diagnosis between those treated with IMRT and those with 3DCRT. We also compared the hazard ratio of death for the entire follow-up period (censored on 1st January 2012). - - 6 Statistical and sensitivity analysis. We used log-rank test and chi-square tests in univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression in multivariate analysis. We also performed two sensitivity analyses: (a) stratified analysis analyzing the effect of IMRT versus 3DCRT in either concurrent or sequential chemoradiotherapy subgroups; (b) subgroup analysis using a propensity-score (PS) matching subgroup. We used the above covariables to estimate the PS of receiving IMRT/3DCRT for each subject then constructed a 1:1 PS matching subgroup (32). We used tabulation to assess the balance of covariates between PS-matched groups then used Cox proportional hazards model with robust standard errors to estimate the hazard ratio of death (33). SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) was used for all statistical analyses. Results Patient characteristics of the study cases. As revealed in Figure 1, 150 patients with newly diagnosed (within 2007-2009) clinical stage III NSCLC treated with primary chemoradiotherapy were identified as the initial study population. After exclusion of those with incompatible or missing data, the final study population included 99 patients. Their characteristics are described in Table I. These two groups were not statistically different except for residency region and hospital volume. Univariate analysis. The risk of death within two years of diagnosis was similar for IMRT and 3DCRT (36% vs. 37%, p=0.97). For the entire follow-up period, the probability of death was not statistically different when IMRT was - - 7 compared to 3DCRT (p=0.8). The Kaplan–Meier survival curve is depicted as Figure 2. Multivariate analyses. The adjusted hazard ratio of death was statistically insignificantly higher for IMRT versus 3DCRT (hazard ratio of death=1.54, 95% confidence interval=0.82-2.91, p=0.18). Age (≥65), gender (male), and diagnosis period (2009) were also significant predictors for death (Table II). Sensitivity analysis. In the first sensitivity analysis, we found that the adjusted risk of death when IMRT was compared to 3DCRT was not statistically different in either concurrent or sequential chemoradiotherapy subgroups (p-value=0.28 and 0.99, respectively). In the second sensitivity analysis, we identified 27 patients who received IMRT who were quite comparable to another 27 patients who received 3DCRT (Table III). These two groups were not statistically different for these covariables. The hazard ratio of death was 1.67 (p=0.14) when IMRT was compared to 3DCRT in this PS-matched subgroup. Discussion In this population-based study, we demonstrated that both IMRT and 3DCRT for stage III NSCLC contributed to similar 2-year overall survival. However, older age age, male gender, and early diagnosis period were significant predictors for death by multivariate analyses. - - 8 To our knowledge, no prospectively randomized trial proved clinical outcome to be more favorable by IMRT than 3DCRT in NSCLC (34). Hence, no rigorous evidence supports the concept that IMRT can extensively substitute for 3DCRT in thoracic radiotherapy. However, the use of IMRT has become more and more prevalent worldwide. Shirvani et al. showed IMRT for stage III NSCLC rapidly increased from 0.5% in 2001 to 14.7% in 2007 (p<0.001) in the United State (9). To think the best of IMRT, it could provide more conformal target coverage and the potential for dose escalation within the normal organ constraints than 3DCRT. Financial cost issues also influence the application of radiation delivery techniques. This CCHIA database is a set of databases providing complete information regarding cancer registry, death registration, and reimbursement data for the whole Taiwanese population. Our previous preliminary report revealed similar median survival outcome when patients were treated with either 3DCRT or IMRT, of 20 months and 18 months, respectively (14). The results of the current updated study could reflect the clinical experiences of IMRT during the advancement of radiation techniques - - 9 in Taiwan. Ultimately, the survival rate of those treated with IMRT was not superior to that of those treated with 3DCRT in this population-based study. Only two larger retrospective studies from the same institution compared radiation pneumonitis and outcome between IMRT and 3DCRT combined with concurrent chemotherapy for locally advanced NSCLC (10, 35). Yom et al. showed grade 3 or more radiation pneumonitis occurred 32% in the 3DCRT group and 8% in the IMRT group (p=0.002) (35). Liao et al. showed a significant survival benefit and decreased radiation pneumonitis of grade 3 or more in the IMRT group (10). Bezjak et al. reviewed this critical issue of potential dose benefits and toxicities, and suggested careful delivery of IMRT to lung cancer until randomized studies are available (13). The interpretation of our study is not that IMRT is inferior to 3DCRT for radiotherapy in NSCLC but that there are insufficient data to decide which is really better at the population level currently. Either the potential concern of more lung tissue receiving a low dose of radiotherapy in IMRT (12, 36) or the implementation of IMRT for lung cancer in Taiwan is less mature, or other factors may be related to our finding. - - 10 There were several limitations in our study. Firstly, the study design was retrospective and non-randomized. The sample size was also only moderate. However, these data provide a population-based efficacy assessment. Secondly, the follow-up period was modest; a longer period of follow-up might be helpful to clarify this relationship between IMRT and 3DCRT in NSCLC. Thirdly, some potential confounding factors such as tumor volume, exact tumor extent, and dosimetric parameters were not available from this database at time of writing. Fourthly, we did not take the radiotherapy dose into consideration given the negative result of RTOG0617 (2, 37), although promising results had been reported in some early trials (38). Finally, the impact of different kinds of systemic therapies, such as the novel epidermal growth factor (EGF) inhibitors, was not considered because of the development of EGF receptors resistance (39) and are not part of the curative treatment yet. Despite these limitations, this study uniquely contributes to the literature by documenting the statistically insignificant inferior result in radiotherapy for NSCLC when IMRT was compared to 3DCRT. Similarly, Harris et al. used the - - 11 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result Medicare database and demonstrated similar overall survival and cause-specific survival between IMRT versus 3DCRT in stage III NSCLC (40). No survival impact of IMRT for esophageal cancer was also discussed recently (41). Our result is also important in that it is population-based from an Asian country in which the ethnic response to treatment might be different than that of patients from Western countries (42). The implication of our observation, together with the lack of high-level evidence as revealed in the recent systematic review (13), is that the implementation of IMRT for lung cancer should be cautious. More studies are needed to elucidate whether IMRT is superior or inferior to 3DCRT in radiotherapy for NSCLC. Conclusion Our population-based analysis suggests that for patients with clinical stage III NSCLC treated with primary chemoradiotherapy, the survival outcome of those treated with IMRT was not superior to that of those treated with 3DCRT. Further prospective study and cost-effectiveness analysis are warranted for a detailed understanding of the role of IMRT in the treatment of clinical stage III NSCLC. - - 12 Competing interests The Authors declare that they have no competing interests Acknowledgements The data analyzed in this study were provided by the Collaboration Center of Health Information Application (CCHIA), Ministry of Health and Welfare, Executive Yuan. This study was partly supported by the grand from China medical University Hospital to Chien C.R. (DMR-103-043). This work was partly supported by grants from the Ministry of Health and Welfare, Taiwan to Chen C.Y. (MOHW103-TD-B-111-03), but the funding bodies had no role in study design, the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data, the writing of the manuscript, and the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Legends: Figure 1. Study flowchart and identification of the study population.1We only included those treated by a single institution to ensure data consistency. 2Clinical staging was recorded according to the Sixth American Joint Committee on Cancer staging (19) before 2010, hence we only include cT1-3N2-3M0 or cT3N1M0 to ensure these cases were still stage III based on the current (Seventh) American Joint Committee on Cancer staging. 3Included only adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma since the number of other histologies among NSCLC was small and reporting of this small value was prone to violate the policy of CCHIA. 4Limited to those who received EBRT - - 13 dose ≥50 Gy with conventional fraction size (1.8-2.2 Gy/fraction) delivered within 1-2 months to ensure radiotherapy quality; the interval between diagnosis and the beginning of radiotherapy was limited to within four months. 5Occupational types of the insured as the surrogate for SES, classified SES as white collar, blue collar, and other. 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