Trade and Interdependence Consider the Production Productivity Frontiers of a Farmer and a Rancher… Assume: Nobody else in the economy, each can work only 8 hours a day and the only two goods they can produce are beef and potatoes Minutes needed to make AmountPossibilities producedFrontier in 8 if Note that the Production Possibilities Frontier is also the Consumption the two farmers do not trade. oneWhy? ounce of: hours: • The straightness of the curves show that the trade-off of one good for the other is constant for Meatgoods. Why?Potatoes Meat Potatoes these producers and these • These trade-offs are also the opportunity costs of producing one good rather than the other: Farmer min/oz. Cost to15themin/oz. 8 oz. 32 oz. • What is the60 Opportunity Farmer of one ounce of meat? • What is the20 Opportunity Rancher of one ounce of meat? Rancher min/oz. Cost to10themin/oz. 24 oz. 48 oz. • Farmer’s PPF Rancher’s PPF Meat Meat Without trade, the farmer chooses this level (4oz. Meat, 16 oz. potato) 8 Without trade, the farmer chooses this level (12 oz. Meat, 24 oz. potatoes) 24 1:2 1:4 32 Potatoes 48 Potatoes To trade or not to trade, that is the question… Suppose the farmer agrees to produce only potatoes (32 oz.) and the rancher produces 18 oz. meat and only 12 oz. of potatoes – they trade 5 meat for 15 potatoes Farmer Rancher Note that with trade, both and Meat Potatoes farmer Meat Potatoes Without Trade 16 12 24 rancher are able to4 consume more meat With Trade and potatoes than0 they could producing Production 32 18 12 onTrade their own: They able consume Gets 5 are Gives 15 to Gives 5 Gets 15 Consumption (P + T) 5 27 outside of their17PPFs. 13 Gains from Trade (C – WT) +1 +1 +1 +3 Both side, in this case, gain meat and potatoes from trading. Why? Trade allowed both sides to specialize and do what they do best, producing more of their specialty (at less opportunity cost) Meat Meat After trade, farmer gains outside of PPF alone 24 No trade No trade After trade, rancher gains outside of PPF alone 13 8 5 Rancher production with trade Farmer production with trade 4 16 17 32 Potatoes 12 48 24 27 Potatoes To fully understand why the rancher (who produces both products better than the farmer) gains from trade, we must compare their relative costs of production: Absolute and Comparative Advantage Minutes needed to make one ounce of: Amount produced in 8 hours: Meat Potatoes Meat Potatoes Farmer 60 min/oz. 15 min/oz. 8 oz. 32 oz. Rancher 20 min/oz. 10 min/oz. 24 oz. 48 oz. The producer who uses fewer resources/inputs (in this case time) to produce a good has an absolute advantage over the other: Who has the absolute advantage in producing potatoes? (Rancher: 10 min/oz. – 15 min/oz. OR 48 oz. – 32 oz. per 8 hours) Who has the absolute advantage in producing meat? (Rancher: 20 min/oz. – 60 min/oz. OR 24 oz. – 8 oz. per 8 hours) Absolute Advantage is the ability to produce a good using fewer resources (inputs) than other producers of that good. Minutes needed to make one ounce of: Amount produced in 8 hours: Meat Potatoes Meat Potatoes Farmer 60 min/oz. 15 min/oz. 8 oz. 32 oz. Rancher 20 min/oz. 10 min/oz. 24 oz. 48 oz. The producer who has a lower opportunity cost (smaller trade-off) for producing a good has a comparative advantage over the other: Opportunity Cost of: 1 oz. of meat 1 oz. of potatoes Farmer 4 oz. potatoes ¼ oz. meat Rancher 2 oz. potatoes ½ oz. meat 1. For the farmer, 1 oz. of potatoes takes 15 minutes, time that can’t be spent on meat. Since it Sotakes whohim has60 theminutes comparative advantage (the smallest opportunity costs): costs him ¼ an for an ounce of meat, a loss of 15 minutes for potatoes ounce of meat. Similarly, 1 oz. meat (1/4 takesoz.) 60 minutes, time that be spent • The farmer gives up lessofmeat for an ounce of can’t potatoes, he on has the potatoes. Since 15 minutes are needed for an oz. of potatoes, 1 oz. of meat costs 4 potatoes. comparative advantage for potatoes. 1. For rancher, 1 oz. of potatoes 10 minutes. Since takes 20ofminutes forhas an ounce • the The rancher gives up lesstakes potatoes (2 oz.) for anitounce meat, he the of meat, a loss of 10advantage minutes forfor potatoes comparative meat.costs ½ oz. of meat. Similarly, 1 oz. of meat takes 20 minutes. Since potatoes take 10 minutes, each ounce of meat costs 2 potatoes. So who cares? Gains from trade come from comparative advantage (not absolute advantage). Here’s why: • When each person/nation specializes in the goods for which they have a comparative advantage, they produce more with less opportunity cost. • This raises the production in the entire economy • All thing equal, more production (output) helps everyone (makes the economic pie bigger) • In the deal between the farmer and the rancher, the farmer gave 15 oz. potatoes for 5 oz. of meat – 1 oz. of Rule Thumb: Trade benefitscost, both sidesis 4when the price lays meatof cost 3 oz. potatoes. His opportunity however, oz. potatoes for 1 oz.of of the meat.trade Since his price (3 for 1) is less than his opportunity (4 for 1), opportunity he wins!! betweencostthe two costs • • • • The rancher gave 5 oz. meat for 15 oz. potatoes – 3 oz. potatoes cost 1 oz. of meat. His opportunity cost, OC (Farmer): potato = 1 meatfor 1 oz. Trade Price: 3 potato = 1(1meat Rancher: 2 potato = 1cost meat however, is 24 oz. of potatoes meat. Since his price for 3) is OC less than his opportunity (1 for 2), he wins too!! If the price was 1 oz. potato for 1 oz. meat, both would be meat buyers, since the price would be less than their opportunity cost. (Price < OC for both) – no trade would happen If the price was 5 oz. potato for 1 oz. meat, both would be meat sellers, since price would be above their opportunity cost. (Price > OC for both) – no trade would happen Trade happens when both have goods they can buy and sell for a price less than their opportunity costs.