PROGRAM INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) CONCEPT STAGE June 13, 2013 Report No.: AB7316 Operation Name Region Country Sector Operation ID Lending Instrument Borrower(s) Implementing Agency Date PID Prepared Estimated Date of Appraisal Estimated Date of Board Approval Corporate Review Decision I. CO: Enhancing Fiscal Capacity to Promote Shared Prosperity DPL LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Colombia Central government administration (40%); Public administration- Financial Sector (40%);Sub-national government administration (20%) P145605 Development Policy Lending REPUBLIC OF COLOMBIA Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (MHCP) May 21, 2013 July 16, 2013 August 29, 2013 Following the corporate review, the decision was taken to proceed with the preparation of the operation. Key development issues and rationale for Bank involvement The Government of Colombia (GoC) has made inequality reduction a top priority turning its attention towards understanding how reforms, policies and institutions affect social outcomes, and in particular equity. This emphasis is reflected in the strategies and goals of the GoC National Development Plan (NDP) “Prosperity for All 2010-2014” (Prosperidad para Todos 2010-2014). The three pillar objectives of the Plan are: (i) Sustainable Growth and Competitiveness, (ii) Equality of Opportunities for Social Prosperity, and, (iii) Consolidation of Peace. Over the last two years, social indicators have improved, including a reduction in income inequality, income poverty and the official measure of multidimensional poverty. Improvements in the incidence of growth implied that, between 2010 and 2012, the average income of the bottom 40 percent of the income distribution grew at a faster rate than the Latin American average (8.1 versus 3.3 percent). This resulted in a further reduction of income poverty but also in a turning point for income inequality, which started to decrease (from 0.56 to 0.54 between those years). Over the same period of time, 2010 to 2012, the official multidimensional poverty measure (which includes fifteen dimensions related to education, health, employment and assets) dropped 3.4 points. The proposed Development Policy Loan (USD 300 million) recognizes and supports reforms that aim at reinforcing the declining recent trends in income inequality and improve overall equity in several dimensions. The set of reforms included in this operation will have important impacts to move in the direction of more equitable conditions in the following dimensions: i. Horizontal equity in the tax structure, ii. Regional equity though the reform of the royalties (regalias) system, iii. Equity from a life-cycle perspective by instrumenting policies to reduce poverty among the elderly, iv. Enhanced transparency, quality of information and accountability in the execution of the public budget, v. Enhanced public reporting of poverty and social welfare outcomes, and vi. Gender equity, through the enhanced implementing of instruments to promote gender-informed sector policies throughout the government, and strengthening the framework to protect women against violence. II. Proposed Objective(s) The set of reforms supported by this operation is expected to enhance fiscal capacity, achieve significant reduction in inequality and promote shared prosperity within the next years. This objective is consistent with the three pillars of the GoC’s National Development Plan “Prosperity for all”, namely: (i) Sustainable Growth and Competitiveness, (ii) Equality of Opportunities for Social Prosperity, and, (iii) Consolidation of Peace. This is aligned with The World Bank’s CPS FY-12-16 strategic theme 3: Inclusive Growth and Enhanced Productivity by contributing to the long-term outcome of “Improved Public Sector Management and Equity and Efficiency of Economic Policies.” III. Preliminary Description The reform program supported by the DPL is built around six policy areas that seek to enhance fiscal capacity towards shared prosperity in Colombia. These are: (a) More equitable tax policy and administration; (b) Inter-regional equity and subnational governments’ management; (c) Equity in social spending; (d) Equitable access to information and enhanced budgetary and financial management; (e) Monitoring of poverty and other social indicators; (f) Gender Equity. In each policy area, the prior actions demonstrate Colombia’s commitment to the reforms highlighted above. These reforms will have a positive impact on equity, as technical analysis has shown. The implementation of the reforms will reduce income inequality after taxes and transfers, enhancing the redistributive capacity of the system, increase the speed of regional convergence within the country and reduce poverty among the elderly. In addition, the reforms will improve the efficiency and transparency of the budget management and administration, strengthening conditions for transparency and accountability as well as better monitoring of achievements in the social sectors. By reducing the cost of formalization in the productive sector, the reform may also have an effect on formal employment and wages. Finally, the reforms create the instruments to promote gender-informed sector policies throughout the government, and strengthen the framework to protect women against violence. The operation is fully consistent with The World Bank’s goals to end extreme poverty and promote shared prosperity. While economic growth is important for increasing welfare, how equitable a society is also plays a primary role in driving progress. Equity-driven policies, such as the ones supported by this operation, enhance the capacity to grow in a sustained manner. Enabling people and regions that are currently marginalized to improve their conditions will unleash their inherent economic potential, increasing overall productivity and thus spurring back on growth. IV. Poverty and Social Impacts and Environment Aspects Poverty and Social Impacts The Government policies supported in this DPL are expected to have a positive poverty and social impact. The PSIA that is currently being carried out is meant to provide a robust analysis of the positive outcomes on equity of these Policy Actions. There are reasons to expect a positive impact from each of the supported reforms, as explained below. The PSIA is structured to follow the policy areas outlined under the Proposed Operation. Specifically, within Policy Area I, the policy towards a more equitable tax policy and administration is found to have a positive impact, decreasing income inequality, reducing poverty and increasing formal sector employment. In terms of Policy Area II, the policy actions regarding Subnational Governments Management are expected to become a factor of regional convergence for the period 2012 to 2016, by means of accelerating the catch-up effect between poor and rich Departamentos. Within Policy Area III, the policy actions are found to positively enhance equity in social spending—including by promoting access to social protection schemes for the elderly, informal and low-income workers. In terms of Policy Areas IV and V, the prior actions towards stronger budget and financial management, as well as monitoring of poverty and other social indicators are expected to improve transparency and efficiency in access to information on economic and social indicators. Finally, regarding Policy Area VI, gender equity, prior policy actions are expected to have a positive effect from a gender perspective, towards ensuring gender equality and the reduction of violence against women. Environment Aspects The proposed operation is not likely to have any significant effects on the environment, forests, and other natural resources. As this operation focuses on tax reform, transfers to subnational governments, improvement of social spending and financial management, poverty monitoring and gender equity, it is not expected to have any impact on the environment. However, to the extent that actions supported by the loan program are successful, over time, in attracting new private investment, there will be need to continue strengthening Colombia’s institutional capacity to identify and address environmental policy and regulatory issues. The Government of Colombia is well prepared to address potential environmental impacts. The National Development Plan (2010-14) focuses on sustainable growth, with environmental and disaster risk management as a cross-cutting theme, and calls for the strengthening of the National Environment System. The new Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development23 has prioritized the implementation of measures to strengthen the sustainability of some of the priority economic sectors, also known as growth engines (agriculture, mining, and construction). The Bank has been accompanying the Government in this process through a package of services, including the Environmental Development Policy Loan series, the Sustainable Development Investment Loan and the provision of targeted technical assistance and analytical support in the area of environmental management. V. Tentative financing Source: Borrower International Bank for Reconstruction and Development ($m.) 0 300 Others (specify) Total VI. Contact point World Bank Contact: Luis-Felipe Lopez-Calva Title: Lead Economist Tel: +1 (202) 473-4123 Fax: +1 (202) 522-0054 Email: lflopezcalva@worldbank.org Borrower Contact: Luis Fernando Mejia Title: General Director of Macroeconomic Policy Tel: +57 (1) 381-1700 ext. 2194 Email: lmejia@minhacienda.gov.co VII. For more information contact: The InfoShop The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20433 Telephone: (202) 458-4500 Fax: (202) 522-1500 Web: http://www.worldbank.org/infoshop 0 300